THE FACTORS AFFECTING PATTERNS OF TRADE BETWEEM COUNTRIES AND
CAUSES OF CHANGES IN THESE PATTERNS;
Impact of emerging economies – economies nowadays grow very fast or slow. When GDP grows the country is likely to import more goods and services than before. It also export more to pay for these imports. So economic growth will affect the patterns of trade internationally. Emerging economies tend to experience higher economic growth rates than developed economies, which disrupt existing trade patterns a their share of world exports and imports grows. Many emerging economy have a cost advantage than developed. Overtime many developed countires move to exporting secondary sector and high-tech sectors. Patterns of trade changes between emerging economy and developed because of the increase in global supply chain. The increase in FDI between countries also have affected the pattern of trade. Emerging economies have received FDI inflows from developed countries but equally FDI flows occur between emerging economies. Many firms in developed countries have shifted production overseas for the advantage of lower costs. However the advanced technologies can help reduce the costs despite the high wage labour. Emerging increasingly represent new markets for developed economies. If economic growth rates of emerging economies remain higher than those of a developed economies , this will open up fast growing markets.
Changes in comparative advantage – this means that countries will
specialise in goods and services in which they have a comparative advantage (Competitive advantage refers to factors that allow a company to produce goods or services better or more cheaply than its rivals. These factors allow the productive entity to generate more sales or superior margins compared to its market rivals). The growth of emerging economies means that many developed economies have shifted their exports towards high valued goods and services. This makes sense since advanced economies are likely to have a comparative advantage in these. They can produce them at a lower opportunity cost than emerging economies, because they have large supply of skilled labour and technology. Growth of trading blocs and bilateral trading agreements – bilateral trade agreements , which are designed to increase trade between parcipating countries at the expense of other countries. Hence the change the pattern of trade in terms of geographical composition of exports and imports.
Change in relative exchange rates – the exchange rate of one currency
for another affects the relative prices of goods between countries. So changes in relative exchange rates affect patterns of trade unless they very large. Its is long term changes which are sufficiently large that impact trade.
Changes in protectionism between countries – restrictions on free trade
between countries affect trade flows between countries. Countries will be able to export a higher volume of goods and services , overseas if other countries reduce tarrifs and quotas. Some barriers may only some goods and services overseas, which will affect the composition of different type of goods and services which are traded. Joining a trading bloc removes barriers.