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World wide there, were 441 operating nuclear power plants (NPPs)at the
end of 2002 supplying 16 percent of global electricity generation
cumuilative operating experience now stands at over 10,000 reactor years.
The most significant recent trend has been that of steady increases i
availability factors , without such improvement in availability factors
nuclear power would not have. maintained its 16% share of global
electricity. some 83% of nuclear capacity is concentrated i
induistriali'zed countries .By contrast ,almost 2 billion people i
developing counmtries remain without reliable energy supplies , a major
factor in their aspirations for social and economic development.
Nuclear power can be considered the only source that can provide
electricity on a large scale with comparatively minimal imnpact on the
environment . But any major fuiture expansion in the use of nuLclear power
will depend- heavily on the innovation in reactor and Fuel cycle
technmology . Innovation should ensuLre, that new reactor and fuiel cycle
technologies incorporate inherent safety features , proliferation resistant
characteristics , and reduiced generation of waste, consideration shiould be
given to- physical protection and other characteristics that will reduce the
vuilnerability of nuclear facilities and materials to theft ,sabotage and
terrris acts In1thspprcnieAto wI'llb Ive o eooi
The 23rd National Radio Science Conference (NRSC 2006)
1- Introduction:
The worlds' population crossed 6 billion mark in the 1999. Most current
estimates suggest that around 2 billion people will be added over the next
30 years with another billion in the following 20 years Virtually all this
increase will be in the developing countries with the bulk of this in urban
areas. The core challenge for development is to ensure availability of
productive work opportunities and a better quality of life for all these
people [I].
Faculty of Electronic
March 14-16,2006 |jInv 3
Engineering, Menoufiya University, Egypt.
Since the early days of nuclear power development , the direct use of
heat generated in reactors has been widely practised and expanding . In
addition to the forerunners , UK and Sweden. many other countries have
found it convenient to apply nuclear heat for district heating or for
industrial. processes , or for both , in addition to electricity generation
[7,81 . They include Btulgaria . Canada , China the Czech Republic
Genrnany, Hungary, India , Japan , Kazaklhstan , the Russian Federation,
Slovakia, Sweden, Switzerland and Ukraine. Thotugh less than I % of the
heat generated in nuclear reactors worldwide is at present used for district
and process heating its operating experience exceeds about 600 reactor -
years and there are signs of increasing interest in these applications
About 33% of the world's total energy consumption is currently used for
electricity generation . Thlis share is steadily increasing and is expected to
reachl 40%/ by the year 20 15 .Of thle rest , h1eat consumled for residential
and industrial pulrpo.ses and the transport sector constitulte the mnajor
The 23rd National Radio Science Conference (NRSC 2006)
March 14-16,2006 FInv 3
Faculty of Electronic Engineering, Menoufiya University, Egypt.
The residential and the industrial sectors constitute the two major
components of the overall heat market . within the residential sector
while heat for cooking has to be produced directly where it is used , the
demand for space heating can be and is often supplied from a reasonable
distance by a centralized heating system through a district heating
transmission and distribution network serving a relatively large number
of customers
For large size reactors, the usual approach is to build multiple unit
stations. When when used in the co-generation mode, electnrcity would
always constitute the main product. Serval co-generation nuclear power
plants already supplied process heat to industrial users. Carrentand
advanced light or heavy water reactors offer heat in the low temperatture
range, which corresponds to the requirements of several industrial
processes. Heat only reactors have not yet been applied on an industrial/
commercial Scale for the supply of process heat
4- Waste management
The wastes from peaceful uses of nuclear energy tend to receive the lion's
share of public scrutiny, even when they are properly managed,
contained, and have radioactivity levels similar to those from other
sources that are not managed as well. The amount of radioactivity in
waste accunulated as a result of nuclear power production arotund the
world dtuing the last half centtry is also on the order of 1000 EBq; this
inventory is growing at a rate of approximately 1 00 Ebq per year.
The volume of civilian radioactive waste is not very large either. All the
high-level waste accumutlated so far thouglh intensely radioactive could be
accommodated in a large store of arotud one hectare, or one city block.
This is the result of the efficiency of nuclear fuiel and the strict strategy of
concentration and confinement of waste followed by the civilian nuclear
industry. Operating a 1000 megawatt electric nuclear power plant
requires arotmd 27 tonnes of fiuel per year. An equivalent fossil fiel plant
would consume per year approximately 2.6 million tonnes of coal ( or 5
trains of 1400 tonnes each per day ) or 2 million tonnes of oil ( or 10
supertankers per year ) [9,101 Not surprisingly, these differences are seen
in thle wastes being generated. Thle nuclear will produce arounld 27 tonnles
The 23rd National Radio Science Conference (NRSC 2006)
Faculty of ElectroniMarch 14-16, 2006 E
Faculty of Electronic Engineering, Menoufiya University, Egypt.
*. Limit the number and size of the controlled areas and identify all
points in the working areas and all stages in the process where it is
possible to prevent material from becoining radioactive waste;
*: Establish waste accounting and tracking systems to quantify
sources, types, amount, activities and characteristics of waste;
* Apply recent technological processes (good operational practice)
and modify maintenance and refurbishment procedures leading to
waste reduction;
** Reuse recovered materials (e.g. boric acid, special metals, fission
material) to reduce waste generation and decrease operational costs
* Recycle and reuse liquids within the process (such as
decontamination solutions and laundry water) to reduce the volume
and potential environmental impact of discharged liquids;
*. Establish a system of sorting waste and separating waste streams to
prevent improper mixing and to assure more efficient
charactenrzation and sub sequent processing;
*: Establish a rigorous system for segregation of non-active and
active contaminated waste in the controlled area; and
*. Increase tlie flow of information among staff regarding waste
reduction philosoplhies, teclhiques and improved methods, and
emphasize the training of staffin waste reduction practices.
5- Environinental Impacts
Although the use of electricity is relatively benign, its generation is one
of the world's environmentally damaging activities, while the energy
sector contributes. 49% of greenhouse gases, electricity generation alone
produces more than 25% of energy-related carbon dioxide emissions.
During the past 20 years, half of all increases in energy related carbon
dioxide emissions were from electricity generation [13,14].
Thle renewable-energy soulrces, whaich are still1 under devel opmnent , viz.
solar and ocean energies , shlow emission factors of 100-3)00 g C02
The 23rd National Radio Science Conference (NRSC 2006)
March 14-16, 2006 3
[ Tnv
Faculty of Electronic Engineering, Menoufiya University, Egypt.
6- Nuclear Safety :-
Accidents at Three-Mile Island and Chernobyl demonstrated the higl
level of hazardous of existing nuclear power industry. Then two
important theses were put forward. Future nuclear reactors shall have
distinction in Kind with the existing one ; nuclear technology shall be the
forgiving one i-e that some single errors of operator shall not cause high
probability of accident severe consequences. Recognizing the necessity to
take thoroughgoimg decisions has brought the LAEA to a decision to
develop the " User Requirements" [15-18. j
The existing requirements can be Stunmarized as follows:
* A design life of 60 years;
* Reliable and flexible operation, with high overall plant availability,
low level of unplanned outages, short refuelling outages, good
controllability (e.g., 100-50-100% load following capability ). and
operating cycles extended up to 24 months;
* Increased margins to reduce sensitivity to distLrbance and the
number of safety challenges ;
* Improved automation and man-machine interface wlhich, together
with the increased margins, provide more time for the operator to
act in accident/incident situations, and reduce the probability of
operator errors;
* Core damage frequency less than 10-5 per reactor-year and
cumulative frequency of large releases following core damage less
than 10-6 per reactor- year ; and
* Design measures to cope with servers accidents.
In one specific area, th1ere is a distinct difference between requirements
for Eulrope and thle United States. Thlis differenlce is attributed to thle
The 23rd National Radio Science Conference (NRSC 2006)
March 14-16, 2006 FnvT3 17
Faculty of Electronic Engineering, Menoufiya University, Egypt.
The basic strategy, however, remuains the same, namely : all levels of
protection should be implemented to keep the whole risk as low as
reasonably achievable, social anld economic factors taking into account.
In addition, dependence on hulman action in assuring thle different levels
of defence-in depth shoulld be reduced
Over the years ,new nuclear power plants have become progressively
more capital intensive , taken longer to build than other conventional
power generating facilities , involved increasingly prescriptive and
cumbersome procurement, and entailed longer and costlier regulatory and
licensing procedures. All these factors tend to increase financial and
commercial risks, and delay innovation [12].On average ,the Capital costs
for building new nuclear plants of current reactor Fulled plants desing are
2-4 times more than fossil .The challenge for industry is to reduce these
costs to a generally competitive level. Without innovation., nuclear power
is unlikely to meet this challenge [13] Quantification of the external costs
of today's fossil energy plants would improve the economics of nuclear
plants. But these benefik will not be so great with various advanced fossil
fuel technologies involving ftuel decarbonization and C02 sequestration
[3,17] .Thus direct economic costs will continue to be important in
deternining the ftuture of nuclear power[Fig.5].
In conclusion, as stated in the World Energy Assessment published in
2000: "If nuclear power it to become economically viable again,
innovations will be needed that can provide electricity at costs
competitive with other fututre near-zero-emission energy technologies.
Moreover this hlas to be done in ways that are consistent with meeting
concerns aboult nuclear safety, proliferation and diversion ,and radioactive
waste disposal"[l4, 1 9J
The 23r National Radio Science Conference (NRSC 2006)
March 14-16, 2006 E
Faculty of Electronic Engineering, Menoufiya University, Egypt.
8- Proliferation Resistance
Proliferation resistance is defined as that characteristic of a nuclear
energy system that impedes the diversion or undeclared production of
nuclear material, or misuse of technology, by states intent on acquiring
nuclear weapons or other nuclear explosive devices
The degree of proliferation resistance results from a combination of, inter
alia, technical design features, operational modalities, institutional
arrangements and safeguards meastres. These can be classified as
intrinsic features and extrinsic measures[20,21].
Intrinsic proliferation resistance feattres are those features that result
from the technical design of nuclear energy systems, including those that
facilitate the hinplementation of extrinsic measures.
Extrinsic proliferation resistance measures are those measures that result
from states decisions and Lindertakings related to nuclear energy systems.
Safeguards is an extrinsic neasure comprising legal agreements between
the party having authority over the nuclear energy system and a
verification or control authtority ,binding obligations on bothl parties and
verification uIsing a inter alias, on site inspection.
The 23rd National Radio Science Conference (NRSC 2006)
March 14-16, 2006 i
Faculty of Electronic Engineering, Menoufiya University, Egypt.
Beyond doubt, the Chemobyl accident was severe accident in all its
dimensions. For Comparison purposes, a review of other energy related
as well .Industrial accidents is needed .While the perception of nuclear
accidents may not change, such a review provides some perspective. In
the industrial sector, the well known 1984 Bhopal accident at a chemical
plant in India caused some 3000 early deaths and serveral hundred
thousand severe health effects.
In the energy sector, dam failure and overlapping have caused thousands
of deaths and massive disruptions in social and economic activities with
the displacement of entire towns -the Variant dam overlapping in Italy
and dam failures in Gujarat and Orissa in India are tlhree suclh examples,
each with several thousand fatalities. Severe coal mine accidents, causing
several hundred deaths, are not rare. Explosions and major fires in the oil
and gas industry have involved botlh occtupational and public fatalities and
injuries. A pipeline gas leak explosion in the Urals involved-500
fatalities. Energy sector accidents have also led to severe environmental
damage, such as the 1989 "Exxon Valdez " oil-tanker accident in Alaska
[15-16j,
The 23rd National Radio Science Conference (NRSC 2006)
March 14-16, 2006 IEIIII
Faculty of Electronic Engineering, Menoufiya University, Egypt.
10- Conclusions
The future potential of nuclear power largely depends on regional energy
demand growvth , Co2 Constraints and relative competitiveness of nuclear
power . In particular, carbon tax could change the relative
competitiveness of nuclear power quite significantly and 20% reduction
of nuclear power generation cost could also increase future nuclear
growth substantially.
In general , it is desirabe to have -a standardized reactor design all over the
world, so that production scale merit can be maximized For nuclear
technology to make a substantial contribution to energy supplies,
innovation is essential- innovation that is global in scope, responsive to
concerns and collaborative in its approach. Environmental impacts caused
by nuclear power generation and its related fiuel cycle activities become
key factors for fuiture nuclear installation.
Environmental concerns should be addressed for the sustainable
development of nuclear power. Active R&D is underway on a number of
new nulclear reactor anld fulel cycle technologies and international
cooperation woulld be h1elpful1 to facilitate those efforts.
The 23'd National Radio Science Conference (NRSC 2006)
March 14-16, 2006 Inv 37
Faculty of Electronic Engineering, Menoufiya University, Egypt.
References
1-Sustainable Development in a Dynamic World - World Development
Report - 2003 , World Bank.
2-Energy , Electricity and Nuclear Power Estimates For the period up to
2020 , Reference Data Series No. I ,July 2002 , LkEA.
3-International conference on Innovative Technologies for nuclear Fuel
Cycles and Nuclear power, 23-26 June 2003 , LAEA Vienna, Austria
(Proceeding inpreparation)
4-International Atomic Energy Agency , Guidance for the evaluation of
innovative nuclear reactors and Fuel cycles ", Report ofPhase IA of the
International Project on Innovative Nuclear Reactors and Fuel Cycles
(INPRO) , IAEA - TECDOC- 1362 , June 2003.
5-OECD International Energy Agency, OECD Nuclear Energy Agency,
Innovative Nuclear Reactor Development Opportunities for International
Cooperation , OECD / LEA, Paris, 2002
6-Rashad S.M., Hammad , F.H; Nuclear Power and the enviromnent;
Comparative assessment of environmental and. health impacts of
electricity generating systems, Applied Energy 65 ( 2000 ) 211- 229
7-International Atomic Energy Agency , Status of non electric ntuclear
heat applications : Technology and safety , IAEA - TECDOC - 11 84,
Nov.2000
8-International Atomic Energy Agency, nuclear Heat applications:
Design Aspects and operating Experience, IAEA- TECDOC-1056, LIEA,
Vienna, 1998 .
9-International Atomic Energy Agency, Waste solutions, IAEA Bulletin,
Vol.42 No.3, 2000, Vienna, Aulstria.
The 23rd National Radio Science Conference (NRSC 2006)
March 14-16, 2006 E
Faculty of Electronic Engineering, Menoufiya University, Egypt.
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The 23rd National Radio Science Conference (NRSC 2006)
March 14-16, 2006 Inv 3
Facuy Of Electronic Engineering, Menoufiya University, Egypt.
Defenec, in Demth
Determine istie * Prevent abnormal operation and
Inas Emphasis
& probabilistic failures; on hem safety
Safety Analyses
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detect failures;
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