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Resources, Conservation and Recycling 117 (2017) 274–284

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Resources, Conservation and Recycling


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/resconrec

Full length article

Behavioral determinants towards enhancing construction waste


management: A Bayesian Network analysis
Amal Bakshan ∗ , Issam Srour, Ghassan Chehab, Mutasem El-Fadel, Jalal Karaziwan
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, American University of Beirut, Lebanon

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: In this study, a Bayesian Network analysis is used to define causal behavioral determinants towards
Received 24 February 2016 improving practices in construction waste management (CWM). For this purpose, a structured survey
Received in revised form 1 September 2016 questionnaire was developed and administered to field workers at construction projects. The collected
Accepted 11 October 2016
data was used to develop a probabilistic relational model with single- and multi-factor analysis to assess
Available online 3 November 2016
conditional probabilities underlying various determinants. The results indicate that behavior is highly
influenced by attitude, past experience, and social pressure with 21, 20, and 10% higher chance of improve-
Keywords:
ment by these factors, respectively. Behavior in CWM appears to be more sensitive to changes in personal
Sustainability
Construction Waste Management
factors such as attitude than corporate factors such as training. When simultaneously controlling all fac-
Worker behavior tors, the behavior is improved with personal factors by 9% more than with corporate factors. Additionally,
Bayesian Network it was found that the probability of having effective CWM practices on-site reaches 83% when workers
have a positive attitude towards waste management, are well experienced in CWM practices, and are
influenced by social pressure. Achieving this result also requires independency at work and availability of
training sessions. The model raises the awareness of construction stakeholders about factors influencing
workers’ behavior towards CWM and presents quantified strategies that increase the chances of mini-
mizing the generation of construction waste. It can serve as a motivation and a decision support tool for
adopting and implementing sustainable CWM practices.
© 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction and recycling3 (Calvo et al., 2014; Tam and Tam, 2006). Ideally, the
3Rs principle is supported by economic benefits including 1) cost
The need for effective construction waste management is of reduction in material purchasing (Bossink and Brouwers, 1996), 2)
ever-growing importance in this era of shrinking natural resources saving in transportation cost from construction site to landfills, 3)
and scarcity, coupled with increasing challenges in siting new saving in disposal cost at landfills (i.e. landfill tipping fee), and 4)
landfills particularly in and around land-limited and continuously revenue from selling waste materials (Yuan, 2013).
developing metropolitan urban areas. The growth in quantities The construction industry is inherently geared and suited
of construction waste in such areas has exacerbated associated towards the adoption of the 3Rs principle. However, effective
adverse environmental and socio-economic impacts (Poon et al., implementation seems to be highly influenced by the awareness,
2003) at a considerable loss in land resources for the expansion or the lack thereof, of various stakeholders (workers, contractors,
of existing landfills or the creation of new ones (Esin and Cosgun, and owners) of corresponding benefits albeit the false preconcep-
2007; Lu and Yuan, 2010). As a result, the construction industry tion that CWM contributes highly to project expenses (Johnston
is increasingly becoming under pressure to promote sustainable and Mincks, 1995) or the perception of CWM as an activity with a
CWM practices guided by the 3Rs principles of reducing,1 reusing,2 low priority compared to other objectives for meeting project dead-
line and maximizing profit (Manowong, 2012; Teo and Loosemore,
2001). On the contrary, the non-consideration of sustainable waste
management practices has proved to cause budget and time over-
∗ Corresponding author. runs as well as a negative influence on the environment (Lu and
E-mail addresses: ahb15@mail.aub.edu, amal.bakshan@gmail.com (A. Bakshan).
1
Most effective with emphasis on preventing the generation of waste at source.
2
Entailing using construction material more than once for the same function
3
(reusing formwork) or for a new function (reusing the remaining cut-corners of Changing the waste material into a new product with different characteristics,
steel bars for supporting shelves) (Esin and Cosgun, 2007; Poon, 2007). e.g. recycling concrete waste into aggregates, (Tam, 2008b).

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2016.10.006
0921-3449/© 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
A. Bakshan et al. / Resources, Conservation and Recycling 117 (2017) 274–284 275

Yuan, 2010). For this reason, improving stakeholders’ awareness operative level (e.g. Chen et al., 2002; Teo and Loosemore, 2001),
about environmental and economic considerations of CWM has Lingard et al. (2000) explored the understanding of site workers as
emerged as a vital driver for spreading a culture within orga- well as managers of waste minimization practices. The behavioral
nizations and encouraging the adoption of sustainable practices BN model, proposed in this study, is tested on a sample of field
(Osmani et al., 2008; Yuan, 2013). Workers’ awareness in particular workers, as they are at the front line of construction operations.
is reflected in their attitude and behavior towards waste manage- The intention is to assess and quantify the influence of personal
ment with recently reported evidence ascertaining that promoting factors, which relate to the psychological and cognitive factors that
best practices is a behavioral and social process (Begum et al., shape the worker’s behavior regardless of the corporate policies
2009; Udawatta et al., 2015), thus raising considerable attention enforced by the upper management. Such policies, instead, are cap-
to the role of human factors in minimizing and managing con- tured through the corporate factors (e.g. supervision), as illustrated
struction waste (Yuan and Shen, 2011). In short, the identification in Table 2.
of factors that influence the behavior of construction field work- During the data collection process, 123 construction sites were
ers regarding waste management, as well as the quantification of contacted. This number is almost equal to the total number of ongo-
relationships between respective factors, are imperative towards ing construction projects in the study area at the time when the
improving waste management practices. survey was conducted (OEA-Beirut, 2013). Lebanon, the source of
While various statistical analysis techniques with different lev- the field survey data presented in this study, is struggling from
els of complexity were recently applied to examine these factors haphazard dumping of CW due to shortages in designated land-
(Table 1), they fell short of quantifying relationships between causal fills as well as the absence of regulations on proper disposal of CW
factors for improving behavior towards waste management. In this (Srour et al., 2013). The vast majority of generated waste – 0.5 mil-
context, a behavioral Bayesian Network (BN) offers the advantage lion tons from buildings under construction and over 1 million tons
of allowing the quantification of relationships between related fac- from demolition activities – is disposed of in valleys and abandoned
tors by building a probabilistic relational model that relies on field quarries (Bakshan et al., 2015).
survey data (Korb and Nicholson, 2004). As such, in this study, a As a first step, site managers were contacted to discuss the
behavioral BN-based approach with qualitative and quantitative study objectives and to seek permissions for workers’ participa-
components is adopted to develop a model that identifies struc- tion in the survey. Out of 123 buildings, 65 expressed willingness
tural information about influencing factors in CWM. The model also to participate or a positive response rate of 53%, which was con-
identifies the causality or relationships between these factors while sidered representative. Note that the survey procedure consisted
defining probability distributions that quantify these relationships of semi-structured interviews, where a structured questionnaire
with the aim of supporting effective implementation of CWM plans. was used to interview the field workers. The questionnaire was
field-tested and explained thoroughly prior to administering it to
workers in order to reduce measurement errors or chances of mis-
2. Methodology understanding. During the interviews, the responses were noted
by the interviewers based on detailed discussions with the work-
Following a comprehensive literature review to define behav- ers. The field workers who participated in the survey are those who
ioral factors regarding CWM, the adopted methodology comprised were onsite and available to be interviewed during site visits, lead-
a field survey of construction workers to measure each factor, and ing to a total of 69 participants whose responses were then used to
the development and testing of the behavioral BN model. establish the behavioral BN model.
Factors that reportedly influence the behavior towards waste The survey questions aimed at measuring personal, corporate
minimization and/or recycling fall under two main categories, per- and behavior factors with corresponding states to be incorporated
sonal (attitude towards CWM, awareness towards consequences, work in the behavioral BN model. For example, two questions that corre-
experience, past experience in CWM, and social pressure) and corpo- spond to awareness towards environmental and economic benefits
rate (training, supervision and financial incentives) factors with their of CWM are used as indicators for the awareness towards conse-
main attributes summarized in Table 2. Personal factors, referred to quences factor. On the other hand, three states are considered for the
as individual factors, represent the psychological and cognitive fac- awareness towards consequences node (i.e. “Not Aware”, “Aware”
tors that are involved in shaping the individual’s decision-making. and “Fully Aware”), and the state of the factor is identified based on
On the other hand, corporate or organizational factors, refer to the respondents’ answers to these two questions. If the answers for
factors that act as part of the organizational context, which may both questions are “No”, then the state of awareness towards con-
either facilitate or constrain the success of individuals’ initiatives sequences is “Not Aware”. If both answers are “Yes”, then the state
to any behavioral change (Young et al., 2013). In order to capture is “Fully Aware”. The state “Aware” is considered when one of the
the latter, a structured questionnaire survey was designed in a way answers is “No” and the other one is “Yes”. Similarly, the state of
that ensures simplicity and anonymity (Table 3) all while target- past experience in CWM factor is picked from the three states (i.e.
ing the personal and corporate factors defined above as well as “No Exp”, “Little Exp”, and “Advanced Exp”) based on the answers
behavior towards CWM through a set of closed-ended questions of the two questions that correspond to past experience in waste
of categorical data type. While financial incentives are recognized reduction and reuse.
to affect worker’s behavior towards waste management, it was Regarding the attitude towards CWM factor, three states are con-
excluded because site visits revealed that rewarding schemes were sidered, including “Negative”, “Neutral” and “Positive”. The state is
not implemented for motivating construction workers. Site man- decided based on the answers to the three questions related to
agers attributed the absence of such incentives to a slow economy this factor. The question related to the respondent’s perception
and the lack of discretionary funds through which such incen- towards the importance of CWM has four options that are also
tives could be provided. Instead, the questionnaire was tailored mapped to “Negative”, “Neutral” and “Positive” states. The state
towards the magnitude of financial rewards that can motivate “Not important at all” is considered as “Negative”, the state “Slightly
workers towards effective implementation of a CWM plan. Finally, important” is integrated as “Neutral”, and the states “Important”
the behavior towards CWM refers to the actual ongoing behavior and “Very important” are considered as “Positive”. Similarly, the
related to CWM. states “Strongly disagree” and “Disagree” of the question related to
While various studies have targeted site workers to examine the the perception towards charging financial penalties are combined
influencing factors that shape their behavior towards CWM at the into one state “Negative”. The states “Agree” and “Strongly agree”
276 A. Bakshan et al. / Resources, Conservation and Recycling 117 (2017) 274–284

Table 1
Factors that affect the behavior regarding waste management.

Reference GeographicalFocus Statistical Analysis Main Study Activity/Outcome


Methodology

Tonglet et al. (2004) Brixworth, UK - Factor Analysis - Explores major causal factors by grouping related variables
- Multiple Regression - Tests the statistical significance of correlations of causal
factors towards the dependent variable (i.e. behavior)

Kulatunga et al. (2006) Sri Lanka - Ranking Analysis - Identifies critical factors based on their ranking values

Barr (2007) Exeter, UK - Path/Regression Analysis - Tests the statistical significance of factors (p-value)
- Goodness-of-fit test - Tests the fit of the model

Tam (2008a) Hong Kong - Ranking Analysis - Identifies the importance of factors based on their ranking
values

Begum et al. (2009) Malaysia - Logistic Regression Analysis - Tests the statistical significance of factors (p-value)
- Goodness-of-fit test - Tests the fit of the model

Sidique et al. (2010) Minnesota - Several Regression Analysis techniques: - Tests the statistical significance of causal factors towards the
- Pooled OLS dependent variable (i.e. behavior)
- Random Effects
- Random Effects with Instrumental Variables (IV)

Wang and Yuan (2011) China - Ranking Analysis - Identifies critical factors based on their ranking values
- Factor Analysis - Explores the groupings that might exist among critical
factors

Ramayah et al. (2012) Malaysia - Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) - Tests the statistical significance of causal factors
- Several measurement of ‘fit’ tests: - Determines a structural model identifying causal factors
- Normed chi square - Estimates variances of factors
- Goodness-of-fit - Assesses the fit of the measurement structural model
- Comparative fit
- Non-normed fit

Udawatta et al. (2015) Australia - Ranking Analysis - Ranks all possible factors based on their ranking values
- Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA) - Extracts major factors by grouping several related variables
- Principal-axis Factoring (PAF) - Examines whether there exists a statistically significant
- Analysis of variance (one-way) difference between two sample groups

are considered as “Neutral” and “Positive”, respectively. The third the BN approach to propose strategies for improving the behavior
question related to a financial indicator has five options that are of construction workers towards waste management. It is worth
processed into three by considering the state “15%–20%” as “Nega- mentioning that BN technique has no minimum sample size
tive”, the state “10%–15%” as “Neutral”, and the states “0%”, “2%–5%” required to compile the model and perform the analysis. It has the
and “5%–10%” as “Positive”. Consequently, the value of the state ability to show an accurate prediction of outcomes even with a
of the attitude towards CWM factor is estimated as the rounded small sample size (Kontkanen et al., 1997).
average scores of the three questions. As for the behavior towards Once the influencing critical factors affecting the behavior
CWM, the state is identified based on two questions related to cur- towards waste management are identified (Table 2), they were
rent adoption of waste reduction and waste reuse practices. The linked along probable dependencies into a BN model as reflected in
state is considered as “Negative” if the respondent is not imple- Fig. 1, where linkages are built from reported observations such as
menting any of these waste management practices and “Positive” training having a direct effect on behavior towards CWM (Begum
if implementing at least one of them. et al., 2009) or on awareness towards consequences of CWM and
The relationship in a BN is quantified by a set of conditional subsequently on attitude and behavior towards CWM (Johnston and
probabilities that are tabulated showing one probability distribu- Mincks 1995; Kulatunga et al., 2006). As such, the model has a
tion for every combination of possible values of the parents, where continuous arrow representing the direct relationship between
it is desirable to reduce the size of CPTs when possible. For exam- training and behavior towards CWM as well as a dashed arrow rep-
ple, the CPT of awareness towards consequences depends on values of resenting the indirect relationship between training and behavior
three incoming factors (i.e. work experience, past experience in CWM, towards CWM through awareness towards consequences and attitude
and training). Therefore, this CPT would have [3 × (4 × 3 × 2)] = 72 towards CWM, which in turn defines cross-connections between
elements. In an attempt to reduce its size, the number of states of corporate and personal factors.
the work experience factor was reduced to three by combining the The BN model was then used to 1) conduct a sensitivity analy-
two states “5-to-10” and “10-to-20” into a new state “Medium”. sis to show the probability variations in the behavior in relation to
The states “0-to-5” and “greater than 20” are mapped to “Short” changes in the states of influencing factors, 2) identify single-factor
and “Long” respectively. Therefore, the number of elements of the strategies to improve the behavior by varying the states of each fac-
CPT was reduced from 72 to 54. tor individually, and 3) assess multi-factor strategies that increase
The CPT of the behavior towards CWM node has the chances of minimizing waste onsite by varying the states of
[2 × (2 × 3 × 2 × 2 × 3)] = 144 elements. While 69 sample cases multiple factors simultaneously. The BN analysis software Netica
may be perceived as not large enough to quantify all conditional (Norsys, 2015) was adopted to construct the BN using the drop and
probabilities in this CPT, these cases still provide appropriate data drag feature and then incorporating the 69 cases through a com-
to establish a BN model that can demonstrate the application of pilation process to generate the behavioral BN model along with
A. Bakshan et al. / Resources, Conservation and Recycling 117 (2017) 274–284 277

Table 2
Factors influencing behavior towards CWM with their main attributes and assessment method.

Factor Main Attributes Assessment Method

Personal
Attitude - Contractors with positive attitude toward waste management reflect satisfactory Measured by asking individuals to
behavior (Begum et al., 2009). specify their feelings about performing
- Attitude of construction workforce can influence the generation and the behavior, e.g. whether the behavior
implementation of waste management strategies (Kulatunga et al., 2006). in question is good, useful, rewarding,
- Workers’ knowledge and awareness of environmental benefits is positively related etc.
to attitude, which in turn contributes to improving waste management behavior
(Ramayah et al., 2012).

Awareness towards - Enhancing workers’ awareness about saving economic resources and environmental Measured by asking individuals about
consequences of protection improves waste management performance (Yuan, 2013). awareness towards benefits of waste
CWM - Communication and training efforts to raise awareness about the benefits of management (environmental,
recycling affect the attitude positively towards recycling and consequently behavior economic, and social)
(Sidique et al., 2010).

Work and Past - Duration of professional past experience in CWM practices shapes workers’ attitude Measured by asking individuals about
experience in CWM positively through awareness towards the consequences of CWM and is the best their number of years of professional
direct predictor of conservation behavior (Ajzen, 1993; Begum et al., 2009; Macey and past experience
and Brown, 1983; Terry et al., 1999; Wang and Yuan, 2011).

Social pressure - Social pressure or norm may have the greatest impact where an individual exhibits Measured by asking about the
a certain behavior positively when he/she perceives that it is important what others presence of a connection between
think he/she should be doing (Chan, 1998; Ramayah et al., 2012; Shaw, 2008). workers and owner or contractor

Corporate
Training - Training is a main source of information and knowledge about various waste Measured by asking workers if they are
management strategies, and proved to be an effective way in improving waste attending and have attended training
minimization and behavior towards recycling (Osmani et al., 2008; Udawatta et al., sessions regarding CWM practices
2015).
- Training and education about waste minimization methods play an important role
in 1) the awareness on the importance of waste management as a cost-effective and
profitable technique, 2) forming positive attitudes regarding waste management at
corporate and individual levels, and 3) enhancing behavior towards waste
management (Johnston and Mincks 1995; Kulatunga et al., 2006).

Supervision - Supervision of waste management activities with clear instructions from top to Measured by asking workers about the
bottom level of the organization is critical for proper implementation of waste extent of contractor’s supervision of
management strategies (Kulatunga et al., 2006) and improving the behavior CWM
regarding waste management in construction projects (Udawatta et al., 2015).

Financial incentives - Financial rewards constitute a major incentive that affect waste minimization Measured by asking workers about the
practices and motivate construction workers to comply with a waste management rewards and their extent for
strategy (Osmani et al., 2008;Tam and Tam 2008; Kulatunga et al., 2006). implementing CWM

the CPTs underlying each factor. Downward and upward propaga- reveal that there still exists a considerable room to further improve
tion of data was then applied to identify single- and multi-factor the attitude of construction workers towards CWM, consequently
strategies for improving behavior towards CWM. enhancing the effectiveness of waste management within the con-
struction industry in the area.
3. Results and discussion

3.1. Baseline conditions 3.1.1. Example of a conditional probability table (CPT)


During the compilation of the BN model, a conditional probabil-
The field survey data were incorporated into the model and the ity table (CPT) can be generated for each factor. The CPT estimates
occurrence probabilities were estimated accordingly. These prob- the probability of all states of a specific factor for all possible com-
abilities represent the beliefs at the states and sum to 100% for binations of the parents’ states. For example, the awareness towards
each factor. Fig. 2 shows the baseline behavioral BN model along consequences factor has three states and three parents. Thus, the CPT
with estimated probabilities. The belief on the awareness towards of this factor encompasses 54 elements that represent the condi-
consequences factor, for example, shows that around 14% of respon- tional probabilities of the three states given all possible joints of the
dents are not aware of environmental and economic consequences parents’ states. Table 4 illustrates part of the CPT of the awareness
or benefits of CWM, about 47% are aware of either the environmen- towards consequences factor which represents the conditional prob-
tal or the economic consequences, and 39% are fully aware of both ability P(awareness towards consequences | past experience in CWM,
consequences. Regarding the respondents’ status for corporate fac- training, work experience). For instance, the behavioral BN model
tors, 56% undergo training sessions related to CWM strategies, and established based on the field survey data indicates that the prob-
only 38% receive adequate supervision from management. For the ability of awareness towards consequences changes from 20 to 73%
attitude towards CWM, around 48% of respondents exhibit positive being fully aware if a worker with a medium work experience has
attitude, with the same percentage of those exhibiting neutral atti- little past experience in CWM practices (i.e. either reduce or reuse)
tude. Moreover, 31% are still not practicing any CWM. Therefore, regardless of whether training courses were provided or not. These
the beliefs of the states, described based on the field survey data, probability variations demonstrate the critical influence of having
278 A. Bakshan et al. / Resources, Conservation and Recycling 117 (2017) 274–284

Table 3
Questionnaire for data collection with corresponding states in CWM behavioral BN model.

Factor Question Answer State in BN model

Personal
Work Years of professional experience in the • 0–5 • Short
experience construction industry • 5–10 • Medium
• 10–15 • Long
• 15–20

Attitude Importance of CWM • Not important • Negative


towards • Slightly important • Neutral
CWM • Important • Positive
• Very important

Main contractor should penalize • Strongly disagree


subcontractors if generated waste quantities • Disagree
are above agreed upon levels • Agree
• Strongly agree

If the company decides to implement a • 0%


financial reward scheme to motivate you to • 2–5%
participate in waste management practices, • 5–10%
how much should the financial reward at least • 10–15%
be (as a% of salary)? • 15–20%

Awareness I think that CWM preserves natural resources • No • Not Aware


towards • Yes • Aware
consequences • Fully Aware

I think that CWM saves cost • No


• Yes

Past experience I have past experience in waste reduction • No • No Exp


in CWM • Yes • Little Exp
• Advanced Exp

I have past experience in waste reuse • No


• Yes

Social I have strong connection with the • No • No


pressure owner/contractor thus adopting waste • Yes • Yes
management practices to reduce waste and
save cost

Corporate
Training I am currently attending training sessions • No • No
regarding CWM practices • Yes • Yes

Supervision Adequate supervision from management is • No • No


provided at work • Yes • Yes

Financial The company is currently applying a financial • No • NA


incentives rewards scheme to motivate workers to be • Yes • Excluded
involved in waste management practices (less
waste ⇒ high incentive)

Behavior
Behavior I am currently adopting waste reduction • No • Negative
towards CWM strategy • Yes • Positive

I am currently adopting waste reuse strategy • No


• Yes

Table 4
Part of CPT of awareness towards consequences node.

States of parent nodes States of awareness towards consequences factor

Past experiencein CWM Training Work experience Not Aware Aware Fully Aware

No Exp Yes Medium 0.6 0.2 0.2


Little Exp No Medium 0.09 0.18 0.73
Little Exp No Long 0.1 0.6 0.3
Little Exp Yes Long 0.13 0.73 0.14
Advanced Exp No Short 0.25 0.25 0.5
Advanced Exp No Medium 0.17 0.33 0.5
Advanced Exp No Long 0.08 0.5 0.42
Advanced Exp Yes Medium 0.2 0.4 0.4
Advanced Exp Yes Long 0.1 0.4 0.5
A. Bakshan et al. / Resources, Conservation and Recycling 117 (2017) 274–284 279

Fig. 1. Proposed BN model.


Continuous circle represents a personal factor.
Dashed circle represents a corporate factor.
Continuous arrow represents a direct influence on behavior.
Dashed arrow represents an indirect influence on behavior.

past experience in CWM practices on improving the behavior of dependence between the inquiry variable and the test variables
construction workers towards waste management at the site level. based on the chi-square distribution. The MI is thus zero when the
two sets of variables are independent and maximum when they are
3.1.2. Example of reasoning within the BN functionally dependent. A separate report is generated showing a
Reasoning within the BN allows for the prediction of the prob- list of test variables along with their related MI scores.
ability of all factors in the network when new information about a The sensitivity analysis was applied to identify the factors in
certain factor becomes available. For example, assume that the state the generated behavioral BN that have the greatest influence on
of training is “Yes”. Entering this new information to the BN model the behavior towards CWM with factors ranked in the order of their
will change the occurrence probability from 56 to 100% for the state influence indicating that attitude towards CWM (MI = 0.006) is the
“Yes” and from 44 to 0% for the state “No”. In addition, the color most influencing factor, followed by past experience in CWM, social
of the node will change from yellow to grey, indicating that new pressure, training, awareness towards consequences, work experi-
information is entered to the network. Concurrently, the probabil- ence, and supervision (MI = 0.00001). These results shed light on the
ity of field workers adopting CWM practices (i.e. positive behavior) importance of enhancing the attitude of workers towards CWM as
changes from 67 to around 72% on the basis of the established BN an effective way for adopting sustainable practices and improv-
(Fig. 3). ing the performance of the industry regarding waste management.
Note that the sensitivity analysis revealed that behavior towards
CWM is more sensitive to changes in personal factors than corporate
3.2. Sensitivity analysis factors.

The sensitivity analysis illustrates the ability to select an


“inquiry” variable/factor and several “test” variables. The model 3.3. Strategies to improve behavior
cycles through the factors in the BN by systematically entering
new evidence about each state of each test variable/factor, and Updating the BN through downward and upward propagation
the probability distributions for the states of the inquiry variables of information (i.e. reasoning) was used to vary the states of factors
are estimated accordingly. A mutual information (MI) statistic is and propose best strategies (single-factor and multi-factor) that
computed for each variable, which measures the degree of mutual can be adopted to improve behavior towards waste management
280 A. Bakshan et al. / Resources, Conservation and Recycling 117 (2017) 274–284

Fig. 2. Behavioral BN model and estimated occurrence probabilities.

Fig. 3. Reasoning within the behavioral BN model (training = “Yes”).

in the construction industry. In this context, the increase in the 3.3.1. Single-factor strategies
probability of the state “Positive” of behavior towards CWM factor To propose single-factor strategies, each factor in the BN model
in Fig. 2 corresponds to the improvement in the adoption of CWM is controlled individually. For instance, the state of past experience
practices. in CWM factor was varied between its three possible options in an
A. Bakshan et al. / Resources, Conservation and Recycling 117 (2017) 274–284 281

Table 5
Conditional probabilities (%) of state “Positive” of behavior towards CWM.

ConditionalProbabilities(%) Personal Factors Corporate Factors

Direct Influence Indirect Influence Direct Influence

CWM Past CWM Social Work Awareness Training Supervision


Attitude Experience Pressure Experience towards
Consequences

State 1 50 50 63 69 66 67 70
State 2 70 70 73 69 70 72 69
State 3 71 70 – 70 70 – –
Difference (%)Best to worst 21 20 10 1 4 5 1

attempt to examine the influence of this factor on the probability influence of attitude towards CWM factor, are not included in these
distribution of behavior towards CWM. The results indicate that the five strategies due to the fact that, in a BN, the extent of direct
probability of adopting CWM practices (i.e. exhibiting “Positive” influences is greater than that of indirect influences. The highest
behavior) is 50%, 70% and 71% when the state of past experience probability of 83% for implementing CWM practices is achieved
in CWM is “No Exp”, “Little Exp” and “Advanced Exp” respectively. when information about the states of the five direct factors become
Similarly, the states of other factors were controlled, and the prob- available. In other words, employing a field worker with a positive
ability of state “Positive” of behavior towards CWM is estimated attitude towards waste management, well-experienced in CWM
accordingly. Table 5 presents these probability distributions for all practices and highly influenced by social pressure would apply
personal and corporate factors, where states 1, 2 and 3 reflect the CWM practices onsite with a probability of 83% if independency
states of factors as ranked by the model. at work (i.e. no supervision) and training sessions are provided.
Clearly, the attitude of construction workers towards CWM has
considerable influence on their behavior towards the adoption of 4. Discussion
waste management strategies. For example, when attitude towards
CWM is “Negative”, the probability of a worker adopting CWM prac- The observations drawn from controlling the influencing factors
tices is 50% which increases to 70% when the attitude is “Neutral” of the proposed BN model revealed a greater sensitivity of behav-
and to 71% when it is “Positive”. ior towards CWM to personal factors than to corporate factors. This
The examination of the influences of personal and corporate finding is consistent with Loosemore et al. (2002)’s argument that
factors shows that the probability of undergoing “Positive” behav- waste can be prevented by exerting enough efforts for improving
ior is around 73% when social pressure exists, around 72% when the personal influencing factors. In this regard, this study sheds
attending training sessions and around 70% when supervision is light on the considerable effect of worker’s attitude in accomplish-
provided. As such, the behavior towards CWM is more dependent ing satisfactory behavior towards CWM. Contractors interested
on personal factors than corporate factors, which is consistent with in implementing effective CWM practices must avoid employing
the results of the sensitivity analysis. Therefore, it is more effective workers with negative attitude towards CWM. Similar arguments
to control personal factors when identifying single-factor strate- were advanced by Begum et al. (2009) and Kulatunga et al. (2006),
gies for enhancing behavior towards CWM. For instance, hiring a whereby the attitude of the construction workforce is ascertained
construction field worker with advanced past experience or highly to influence the generation and implementation of waste manage-
influenced by social pressure (such as having strong connection with ment strategies. In this regard, the proposed behavioral BN model
the owner/contractor thus more inclined to adopt CWM practices demonstrates that training efforts to raise the awareness about the
to reduce cost) increases the probability of improving behavior benefits of CWM affect the attitude towards CWM positively and
towards waste management onsite by 20 and 10%, respectively, consequently the behavior.
as compared to the case with no past experience or social pressure. Past experience in CWM has been shown to have a considerable
influence on shaping the behavior towards CWM, as supported by
3.3.2. Multi-factor strategies Begum et al. (2009) and Wang and Yuan (2011). However, even
Single-factor strategies showed a maximum of 70 to 73% prob- with minimal past experience in CWM and/or neutral attitude,
ability of undergoing “Positive” behavior when controlling the social pressure plays a crucial role in exhibiting positive behav-
factors individually. Another possible way to further improve the ior towards CWM. Such a role is equally highlighted by Ramayah
behavior towards CWM is to employ strategies that control mul- et al. (2012) and Shaw (2008). While several studies demonstrated
tiple factors simultaneously (i.e. vary the states of several factors). that supervision of waste management activities with clear instruc-
Fig. 4 presents an example about varying the states of three fac- tions from top management is critical for proper implementation
tors (i.e. attitude towards CWM, past experience in CWM, supervision) of waste management practices (Kulatunga et al., 2006; Udawatta
at the same time, where the probability of undergoing “Positive” et al., 2015), we found that the impact of supervision on the behav-
behavior increases to around 79%, thereby demonstrating the effec- ior towards CWM is reversed when having advanced experience in
tiveness of multi-factor strategies in increasing the chances of CWM. Such interesting observation is captured when the impacts
adopting waste management practices. Table 6 presents observa- of supervision and past experience in CWM were considered simul-
tions drawn when controlling multiple factors and examining the taneously.
effect on the behavior. Besides assessing the influence of personal and corporate factors
As discussed above, controlling multiple factors at once identi- consistently with the reported literature, the behavioral BN model
fies strategies that may lead to adopting CWM practices onsite with also quantified such influences. Effective strategies (Table 7) could
a probability of more than 73% (i.e. the highest percentage of single- not be defined without the reasoning ability embedded within the
factor strategies). Table 7 outlines the most effective strategies that BN analysis. The main contribution of this study is thus empha-
would induce workers to minimize waste during construction. Note sized by overcoming the shortcomings of other statistical methods
that the work experience and awareness towards consequences fac- in quantifying the relationships between respective factors for
tors, which exert indirect influence on behavior through the direct improving the behavior towards waste management.
282 A. Bakshan et al. / Resources, Conservation and Recycling 117 (2017) 274–284

Fig. 4. Controlling attitude towards CWM, past experience in CWM and supervision factors simultaneously.

Table 6
Observations drawn from controlling multiple factors.

Strategy/Scenario Probability Observations


(behavior towards
CWM = Positive)

(past experience in CWM = No) 50% Contractors interested in implementing effective CWM practices have to avoid
with any combination of factors employing workers with negative attitude towards CWM or those not having
(attitude towards CWM = Negative) 50% past experience in CWM practices.
with any combination of factors

(attitude towards CWM = Neutral), 79% Social pressure has considerable effect on the behavior regarding CWM even
(past experience in CWM = Little Exp), when worker’s attitude is “Neutral” and the past experience is minimal
and (social pressure = Yes)

(attitude towards CWM = Neutral), 58% Social pressure has 18% higher influence on the behavior towards CWM even
and (social pressure = No) when worker’s attitude is “Neutral”
(attitude towards CWM = Neutral), 76%
and (social pressure = Yes)

(awareness towards 76% The influence of awareness towards consequences factor (indirect influence) is
consequences = Fully Aware), (past 3% lower than that of the attitude towards CWM factor (direct influence)
experience in CWM = Little Exp), and
(social pressure = Yes)

(supervision = Yes) and 70% Controlling corporate factors alone has 9% less chance in improving the
(training = Yes) behavior towards CWM than controlling the personal factors alone indicating
more sensitivity to personal than to corporate factors

(past experience in CWM = Advanced 65% The probability of performing “Positive” behavior surprisingly increases by 8%
Exp), and (supervision = Yes) when supervision is not provided to workers with advanced past experience in
(past experience in CWM = Advanced 73% CWM practices, indicating perhaps that workers having advanced experience
Exp), and (supervision = No) in CWM would expect from their employers to appreciate and value their
skills, intimate knowledge of the materials and ability to perform well without
supervision.

5. Conclusion porate (training, supervision and financial incentives) factors. These


factors were used in a field survey of construction workers at ongo-
In this paper, factors influencing workers’ behavior towards con- ing projects to understand their causal relationships with workers’
struction waste management are identified and classified under behavior towards waste management through a behavioral BN
personal (attitude towards CWM, awareness towards consequences, methodology/model. The model was developed and tested using
work experience, past experience in CWM and social pressure) and cor- the same influencing factors and the field survey data with the
A. Bakshan et al. / Resources, Conservation and Recycling 117 (2017) 274–284 283

Table 7
Most effective strategies for enhancing the behavior towards CWM (Probability > = 75%).

Strategy # Factors Probability (%)

Attitude towards CWM Social Pressure Supervision Training Past experience in CWM

1 Neutral Yes Yes Yes Little Exp 75


2 Neutral Yes No – Advanced Exp 76
3 Positive – Yes – Little Exp 79
4 Positive Yes Yes Yes Little Exp 80
5 Positive Yes No Yes Advanced Exp 83

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