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RESEARCH
AFRICA
REPORT
2015
CONTENTS
03 Africa: The growth continent
AFRICA: THE GROWTH CONTINENT
The rapidly growing economies of Africa are catching the attention of increased numbers
06 The economies of Africa
of property investors and corporate occupiers. Africa is no longer viewed as a region of
08 Africa’s population growth
long term economic distress, but is increasingly seen as a continent of opportunity.
10 Africa’s megaprojects
12 Africa prime rent ranking Africa’s economic growth began to resources, whose growth has originated services being increasingly important
14 Africa commercial occupier guide accelerate around the turn of the century, from industries such as manufacturing, drivers of growth, Africa will maintain
following several decades of economic agriculture and construction. its position as one of the world’s fastest
16 Algeria stagnation. Since 2000, Africa has growing economic regions.
Nonetheless, the economic outlook
17 Angola averaged growth of over 5% per annum,
for many African economies has been
with the Sub-Saharan region averaging
clouded by the steep fall in oil prices A demographic boom
18 Botswana growth of close to 6%. The larger that started in the middle of 2014 and Allied to its improving economies, Africa’s
19 Cameroon emerging economies of this region, such continued into 2015. The International growth story is also being driven by
as Nigeria, Kenya, Angola and Ethiopia, Monetary Fund has revised downwards its demographic trends and urbanisation.
20 Chad have increasingly been the key drivers of GDP growth forecasts for Africa and now Africa’s population is rising rapidly at a
the continent’s growth.
21 Côte d’Ivoire expects Sub-Saharan growth to be below time when population growth is slowing
Rising commodity prices have been an 5% in 2015. The short term outlook for in other global regions. UN projections
22 Democratic Republic of the Congo Nigeria, in particular, has weakened.
important factor behind Africa’s growth suggest that the population of Africa will
23 Egypt over the last 15 years, particularly in major Sub-Saharan GDP growth is forecast almost quadruple to more than four billion
oil-exporting countries such as Nigeria to move back above 5% in 2016, and by 2100, with nearly one billion of these
24 Equatorial Guinea people in Nigeria alone. This is arguably
and Angola. However, Africa’s economic to strengthen in subsequent years. This
25 Ethiopia progress has derived from diverse sources the single most important demographic
suggests that, as many African economies
and, according to McKinsey, the large trend that will shape the world over the
have diversified and reduced their
26 Gabon course of this century.
majority of recent growth has come from dependency on commodities, the recent
27 Ghana non-commodity sectors. Underlining collapse in oil prices may have a less Sub-Saharan Africa’s largest cities are
this, one of Africa’s fastest growing severe impact on Africa than historical some of the fastest-growing urban areas
28 Kenya
economies in recent years has been commodity price downturns. With sectors in the world. UN forecasts suggest that
29 Madagascar Ethiopia; a country with meagre mineral such as telecommunications and financial the populations of Lagos, Kinshasa and
30 Malawi
31 Mali
32 Mauritania
33 Mauritius
34 Morocco
35 Mozambique
36 Namibia
37 Nigeria
38 Rwanda
39 Senegal
40 South Africa
41 Tanzania
42 Tunisia
43 Uganda
44 Zambia
45 Zimbabwe
Nairobi
46 Knight Frank in Africa
2 3
AFRICA REPORT 2015 RESEARCH
Luanda will all grow by more than 70% the larger West Hills Mall opening in projects across Africa, mostly by
during the 2010-2025 period, while Dar Accra in late 2014. private developers. However, many
es Salaam, Kampala and Lusaka are of these projects have experienced
Increased numbers of multinational
expected to double. By most estimates, significant delays and Eko Atlantic,
companies are seeking offices in
Lagos has already overtaken Cairo as being built on reclaimed land off the
African cities, generating demand for
Africa’s biggest city and its population coast of Lagos, is one of the few to
high quality space, particularly in key
may be close to 40 million by 2050, have made demonstrable progress
regional hubs such as Nairobi and Lagos.
making it a true global megacity. with its construction.
The oil and energy sector is an important
driver of activity in many of Africa’s most
Rising demand for dynamic office markets. Demand from Sub-Saharan property
real estate this sector, combined with an extreme investment gathers pace
lack of supply, has made Luanda in
The growth of Africa’s cities is creating By global standards, most property
Angola one of the most expensive office
a need for increased volumes of good investment markets in Africa are opaque
markets in the world, with prime rents at
quality commercial and residential and small. The exception is South Africa,
US$150 per sq m per month. Likewise,
real estate of all types. Retail property which is by far the continent’s largest and
recent offshore gas discoveries have
development has been encouraged by most mature market. Other Sub-Saharan
driven construction activity and rental
the rise of the urban middle class, as markets are now attracting increased
growth in Mozambique’s capital, Maputo.
well as the expansion of South African interest from international investors,
retailers such as Shoprite and Pick n Pay Africa’s population boom is creating but the most noteworthy flow of capital
into the rest of Africa. Modern shopping demand for residential property, ranging in recent years has been from South
malls are a relatively new phenomenon in from mass market affordable housing to Africa into the rest of the Sub-Saharan
much of Africa; Accra Mall, for example, high-end luxury properties. Attempting to region, as a growing number of funds
the first to be built in Ghana, opened address this, there have been numerous have been established by South African
in 2008. Its success has helped to announcements in recent years of developer/investors targeting the rest of
encourage further development, with ambitious large-scale satellite city the continent. Dar es Salaam
4 5
AFRICA REPORT 2015 RESEARCH
Kenya was recently upgraded to middle-income Nigeria’s GDP was rebased and recalculated in
status, by World Bank definitions, following a 2014, with the result that it leapfrogged South
recalculation of its GDP Africa as the continent’s largest economy
TUNISIA
MOROCCO
$594.3 bn
SAHARA
NIGERIA $341.2 bn
CABO MAURITANIA MALI SUDAN ERITREA SOUTH AFRICA $284.8 bn $227.8 bn
VERDE NIGER EGYPT $131.4 bn $112.6 bn
DJIBOUTI ALGERIA ANGOLA $70 bn
MOROCCO
CHAD SUDAN
SENEGAL
THE GAMBIA BURKINA FASO
KEY REPUBLIC OF
THE CONGO
COMOROS
GDP growth forecasts, 2015-19, average growth p.a.
GDP per capita by puchasing
power parity (PPP), 2014 MALAWI 10%
ANGOLA
ZAMBIA
US$15,000 OR ABOVE 8%
US$1,500-1,999
SWAZILAND
the world’s 20 fastest 2%
US$1,000-1,499
LESOTHO
growing economies 0%
BELOW US$1,000 over the next five
Ethiopia
Mozambique
Rwanda
Côte d’Ivoire
DR Congo
Nigeria
Tanzania
Zambia
Uganda
Kenya
Angola
Ghana
Malawi
Cameroon
Morocco
Senegal
Sudan
Madagascar
Tunisia
Botswana
Zimbabwe
Algeria
Egypt
South Africa
SOUTH AFRICA
NO DATA AVAILABLE
years will be in Africa
Source: International Monetary Fund
Source: International Monetary Fund
6 7
AFRICA REPORT 2015 RESEARCH
Population (billions)
Population (millions) 2.9 11.0
ALGIERS
2010 CAIRO 3
2025 3.0
AFRICA
CASABLANCA 2
ASIA
EUROPE
KANO LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
5.7 7.1
NORTHERN AMERICA
OCEANIA
1
5.1
3.3 0
IBADAN
5.0 4.5
4.7
00
05
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
00
2.9 KHARTOUM
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
21
4.2 4.0
DAKAR 2.9 Source: United Nations Population Division
ACCRA 2.9
7.0 2.6 2.0 ADDIS ABABA
ABUJA
3.5 6.1 Africa’s population will become primarily urban
18.9
4.2 1.6 over the coming decades
ABIDJAN 3.2
KAMPALA 7.3
NAIROBI
42% 62%
Lagos DURBAN
Dakar 3.7
Kinshasa
Abidjan
Accra
Addis Ababa 3.8
Khartoum 14.5 JOHANNESBURG 3.0
Alexandria
Algiers
Cairo 4.4
Casablanca
Durban
Johannesburg
Cape Town URBAN NON-URBAN
8.4 3.5 CAPE TOWN
Source: UN-HABITAT Source: United Nations Population Division
KINSHASA
8 9
AFRICA REPORT 2015 RESEARCH
SUEZ
CANAL
AFRICA’S MEGAPROJECTS New Suez Canal
Egypt has commenced work on the construction of a second channel of the Suez
Canal, which will run parallel to the existing canal for 72 km. This is expected
Major infrastructure and construction projects across the continent to double the shipping capacity of the waterway. It is part of the broader Suez
Canal Corridor Area Project, which envisages the creation of improved transport
infrastructure, new industrial zones and urban development around the canal.
EGYPT
Cotonou-Niamey-Ouagadougou-Abidjan
Railway Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam
At a cost of around US$4.1 billion, Ethiopia is
A West African rail loop is under development,
constructing a 170m tall hydroelectric dam across the
connecting Niamey and Ouagadougou, the capitals of
River Nile. It is due for completion in 2017 and will be
landlocked Niger and Burkina Faso, with the ports of
Africa’s largest hydroelectric power plant when built, with
Abidjan and Cotonou, in Côte d’Ivoire and Benin. The
a generating capacity of 5,250 megawatts of electricity.
project will involve the laying of 1,200 km of new track
and the rehabilitation of 1,800 km of existing lines. Work
commenced on the Niamey-Cotonou section in 2014.
Lagos-Calabar Railway
TANZANIA
Lekki Deep Seaport A state-owned Chinese
The Nigerian government has company has agreed a US$12
approved the construction of a new billion contract to build a
port at Lekki, 60 km east of Lagos. Konza Technology City
railway stretching more than
It is designed to relieve congestion Grand Inga Dam Konza is a planned city, located 60 km south of Nairobi,
1,400 km along the coast
at Nigeria’s existing ports, with a The proposed Grand Inga project, in the Democratic Kenya. It is envisaged as a hub for Africa’s growing
of Nigeria. It will run from
projected annual capacity of 2.5 Republic of the Congo, is designed to harness of the technology sector, providing almost 100,000 jobs by
Lagos in the west to Calabar
million TEUs. Port operations are vast hydroelectric potential of the Congo River, and Bagamoyo Port 2030. Work has commenced on phase one of the city,
in the east, connecting cities
scheduled to commence in 2017. would be the world’s largest hydropower scheme. Construction is due to start imminently on the Chinese- which will establish initial infrastructure and real estate,
including Aba, Port Harcourt,
The project comprises six phases, ultimately having financed US$11 billion Bagamoyo Port in Tanzania, with this phase being scheduled for completion by 2018.
Warri and Benin City.
a generating capacity of around 40,000 megawatts which would be Africa’s largest port. It will reportedly
of electricity. It is hoped that construction on the first have the capacity to handle 20 million containers per
phase, the Inga III dam, will commence in 2016. year, and its first phase is due for completion in 2017.
10 11
AFRICA REPORT 2015 RESEARCH
AFRICA PRIME RENT RANKING
18
1 Lusaka, Zambia 22.00 35.00 7.00 3,500
Rental ranking¹ City
9
10 Maputo, Mozambique 37.50 40.00 10.00 6,000
27
10 Kigali, Rwanda 25.00 25.00 4.00 2,500
10
11 Accra, Ghana 37.50 42.50 10.00 5,000 28
11 Yaoundé, Cameroon 24.00 28.00 3.00 3,000
11
12 N'Djamena, Chad 40.00 40.00 6.00 7,000 29
12 Bamako, Mali 20.00 18.00 5.50 3,000
12
13 Johannesburg, South Africa 22.00 60.00 7.00 4,500
30
13 Windhoek, Namibia 14.00 24.00 5.00 2,800
13
14 Cape Town, South Africa 18.00 60.00 5.00 5,000 31
14 Lilongwe, Malawi 12.25 17.00 3.94 3,000
14
15 Port Louis, Mauritius 34.00 40.00 7.00 3,000 32
15 Harare, Zimbabwe 10.00 25.00 4.00
1,500
15
6 Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire 28.00 32.00 8.00 3,000 33
16 Tunis, Tunisia 10.00 12.50 3.50 3,000
16
16 Nairobi, Kenya 21.00 48.00 4.20 4,720 34
17 Nouakchott, Mauritania 12.00 15.00 2.00 2,200
17
17 Addis Ababa, Ethiopia 20.00 25.00 6.00 6,000 35 Blantyre, Malawi 7.70 10.60 2.50
1,500
Source: Knight Frank Research ¹Ranking based on a weighted aggregate of rents across the four sectors
12 13
AFRICA COMMERCIAL OCCUPIER GUIDE AFRICA REPORT 2015 RESEARCH
Angola Botswana Egypt Ghana Kenya Malawi Nigeria South Africa Tanzania Uganda Zambia Zimbabwe
LEASE TERMS
Rents quoted US$/sq m/month Pula/sq m/month EGP/sq m/month US$/sq m/month KSh/sq ft/month or MWK/sq m/month US$/sq m/annum or Rand/sq m/month US$/sq m/month US$/sq m/month US$/sq m/month US$/sq/month
US$/sq ft/month Naira/sq m/annum
Typical lease 1-3 years 1-5 years 1-5 years 2-5 years 6 years 1-3 years 2-5 years 3-5 years 1-3 years 2-5 years 2-5 years 1-3 years
lengths
Frequency of Monthly to annually in Monthly in advance Quarterly in advance Usually paid quarterly or Quarterly in advance Quarterly in advance Annually or 2-3 years in Monthly in advance Annually in advance Usually paid quarterly Quarterly in advance Monthly in advance
rent payments advance biannually in advance advance or biannually in
advance
Basis of rent None Pre-agreed escalation, Pre-agreed escalation, Periodic rent reviews Fixed rental increases, Annual rent reviews Periodic rent reviews Fixed annual escalation, Annual escalation, Periodic rent reviews Fixed annual rental Annual rent reviews
reviews typically 6-10% per typically 5-10% per at an agreed annual typically 7.5% per annum based on open market based on open market typically 7-9% typically 10% at an agreed annual escalations, typically based on open
annum annum percentage, typically if rents are paid in KSh or rents rents percentage, typically 3-5% market rents
5-10% 5% if paid in US$ 3.5-10%
Break options Can be exercised by Uncommon, but can be Can be exercised by Can be exercised by Break clauses are not Can be exercised by Break clauses are not No break options Can be exercised by Can be exercised by Can be exercised by Can be exercised by
either party. Typical exercised by either party either party. Typical notice either party. Typical common either party. Typical common, except in either party. Typical either party. Typical either party. Typical either party. Typical
notice period is 3 when in place. Typical period is 3 months notice period is 3 months notice period is 3 longer leases notice period is 3-6 notice period is 6 notice period is 3 notice period is 6
months notice period is 3 months months months months months months
Ability to Subletting permissable, Subletting permissable, Subletting permissable, Subletting permissable, Subletting not permitted Subletting permissable, Subletting permissable, Subletting permissable, Subletting not Subletting not Subletting permissable, Subletting permissable,
assign lease with landlord’s consent with landlord’s consent with landlord’s consent with landlord’s consent with landlord’s consent with landlord’s consent with landlord’s consent permitted permitted with landlord’s consent with landlord’s consent
OCCUPATIONAL
COSTS
Service Paid by tenant. Paid by tenant. Typically Paid by tenant. Typically Paid by tenant. Typically Paid by tenant. Typically Paid by tenant based Paid by tenant. Paid by tenant. Covers all Paid by tenant. Paid by tenant. Paid by tenant. Paid by tenant.
charges Typically 10-15% of 10-15% of net rents 8-15% of net rents 10-15% of net rents 20-25% of gross rents on actual bills received Typically 20-30% of landlord expenses except Typically US$200-500 Typically 15-40% of Typically 10-15% of Typically 75-100% of
net rents for services net rents property rates, which are per month net rents net rents net rents
not recoverable.
Utilities Tenant pays for all Tenant pays for all Tenant pays for all utilities Tenant pays for Tenant pays for electricity. Paid by tenant through Tenant pays for Tenant pays for all Tenant pays for Tenant pays for Tenant pays for Tenant pays for all
utilities consumed. utilities consumed. consumed. Communal electricity. Landlord pays Landlord pays for water, service charge utilities, either via consumables including electricity directly, electricity. Landlord electricity. Landlord utilities including
Communal consumption Communal consumption consumption is recovered for water, recovering cost recovering cost via service charge or on a water, electricity and and water via service pays for water, pays for water, electricity and water
is recovered through is recovered through through service charge via service charge service charge metered basis sewerage/waste charge recovering cost via recovering cost via
service charge service charge service charge service charge
Relevant local No VAT on rents. Urban VAT of 12% payable No VAT in Egypt, although No VAT on rents. VAT of 16% payable on VAT of 16.5% payable VAT of 5% payable VAT of 14% payable on VAT of 18% payable VAT of 18% payable VAT of 16% on VAT of 15% payable
taxes payable Property Tax applies to by registered bodies. there are plans to introduce Rent tax of 8% payable rents, service charges and on rents on commercial rents. rents on rents on rents commercial rents. on rents
commerical rents, at an Withholding tax of 5% it. General sales tax by tenant parking fees Withholding tax of Withholding tax of 10%
effective rate of 15% paid by tenant on rents payable on service charges 10% payable by tenant payable by tenant
above P36,000 per annum
Internal Tenant responsible Tenant responsible Tenant responsible Tenant responsible Tenant responsible Tenant responsible Tenant responsible Tenant responsible Tenant responsible Tenant responsible Tenant responsible Tenant responsible
repairs
External Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible
repairs and
repairs to
common parts
Building Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible Landlord responsible
insurance
Restoration Tenants required to Tenants required to Tenants required to Tenants required to restore Tenants required to restore Tenants required to Tenants required to Varies by lease Tenants required to Tenants required to Tenants required to Tenants required to
restore premises to restore premises to restore premises to premises to original state, premises to original state, restore premises to restore premises to agreement. Fair wear restore premises to restore premises to restore premises to restore premises to
original state, subject original state, subject to original state, subject to subject to reasonable subject to reasonable wear original state, subject original state, subject and tear will apply in original state, subject original state, subject original state, subject original state, subject
to reasonable wear reasonable wear and tear reasonable wear and tear wear and tear. Typically let and tear. Typically let as to reasonable wear to reasonable wear most, but not all, cases to reasonable wear to reasonable wear to reasonable wear to reasonable wear
and tear as shell & core shell & core and tear and tear and tear and tear and tear and tear
TRANSACTION
COSTS
Agency fees: Paid by landlord or Paid by landlord or Paid by landlord or tenant. Paid by landlord or Paid by landlord. Typically Paid by landlord. Paid by landlord Paid by landlord. Paid by landlord. Paid by landlord. Paid by landlord. Paid by landlord.
new lease tenant. Typically one tenant. Typically one Typically one month’s rent tenant. Typically one 4-8.3% of annual rent Typically 5-10% of or tenant. Typically Typically 13-19% of Typically one Typically one Typically equivalent to Typically 10% of
month’s rent month’s rent month’s rent annual rent 5-10% of the total rent annual rent, depending month’s rent month’s rent one or one and a half annual rent
on lease length month's gross rent
Agency fees: Paid by landlord or Paid by landlord or Paid by landlord or tenant. Paid by landlord or Paid by landlord. Typically Paid by landlord. Paid by landlord Paid by landlord. Not a norm Paid by landlord. Paid by landlord. Paid by landlord.
renewal tenant. Typically one tenant. Typically 2-3% of Typically one month's rent tenant. Typically one 2.5% of annual rent Typically 5-10% of or tenant. Typically Typically 13-19% of Typically one Typically equivalent of Typically 10% of
month’s rent annual rent month’s rent annual rent 5-10% of the total rent annual rent, depending month’s rent one month’s gross rent annual rent
on lease length
Agency fees: Typically one Typically one Typically one month’s rent Typically 50-100% of No subleasing N/A Typically 5-10% of the Paid by existing tenant. No subleasing No subleasing Paid by existing tenant. Typically 50-100% of
sublease month’s rent month’s rent one month’s rent total rent Typically 13-19% of Typically equivalent to one month’s rent
annual rent, depending one month's gross rent
on lease length
Legal fees Payable by tenant on Payable by landlord or Payable by tenant on Landlord and tenant pay Payable by tenant, on a Payable by tenant, Payable by tenant, Landlord and tenant pay Landlord and tenant Landlord and tenant Either paid by landlord, Payable by tenant,
attorney scale tenant on attorney scale attorney scale their own costs sliding scale depending based on a prescribed tarriffs vary by lawyer their own costs pay their own costs pay their own costs or shared between tarriffs vary by lawyer
on rents scale of fees landlord and tenant.
Fees by negotiation
Is stamp duty Yes. Tenant pays No No Yes. Tenant pays Yes. Tenant pays. It is Yes. Tenant pays Yes. Rates vary No Yes. Tenant pays at No Lease registration fee Stamp duty payable
payable on calculated as 2% of (MWK500 per by state 1% of annual rent based on a statutory when leases are
leases? combined total of the document) scale. Typically, registered, based on a
average rent over the 6 landlord pays statutory scale
years plus the service
Source: Knight Frank Research charge for 1 year
14 15
Gambia
Guinea Chad Sudan
Bissau
Guinea
Sierra Benin AFRICA REPORT 2015 RESEARCH Soma
Leone Togo Nigeria
Ivory Ethiopia
Liberia Coast Ghana
Central Africa Republic
Camaroon
ALGERIA Equatorial
Guinea
ANGOLA
Uganda
Kenya
Gabon Congo
Oran
Rwanda
Key facts Key facts
Algiers Democratic
Constantine Republic of
Tunisia Population 38.8 million Population 19.1 million
the Congo Tanzania
Major cities: Major cities:
Morocco Algiers 3.4 million Luanda 6.5 million
Oran 1.5 million Huambo 1.9 million Luanda
Constantine 1.0 million Official languages Portuguese
ALGERIA Libya
Official languages Arabic Total area 1,246,700 sq km ANGOLA
Total
Egyptarea 2,381,741 sq km Huambo
GDP growth (2014) 3.9%
Zambia Malawi
n GDP growth (2014) 3.8% Key export Petroleum
Key export Petroleum Currency Kwanza (AOA)
Currency Algerian Dinar (DZD) EIU country risk C
Mauritania EIU country risk D rating (E=most risky) Zimbabwe
rating (E=most risky) World Bank Doing 181
Mali World Bank Doing 154 Business rank Namibia
Niger Business rank (out of 189 countries) Botswana
Office market the hydrocarbon sector, but there is (out of 189 countries) Eritrea Office market Industrial market
Senegal now a major drive to diversify. It is Sudan
Office rents in Algiers have remained Chad Despite the recent construction of new Industrial market activity is mainly
Gambia hoped that the opening in late 2014 Luanda prime rents and yields
largely stable in recent years, and most of buildings, Luanda still suffers from a associated with the oil sector, and most
Guineathe office stock is of a low quality which
of Renault’s new €50 million (c.US$63 Algiers prime rents and yields Djibouti lack of good quality office stock, and of the existing stock is owner-occupied.
Guinea Benin million) plant in Oran will be a major Prime rents Prime
Bissau falls short of international corporates’ yields occupancy costs remain the highest in SouthThe principal industrial locations are
Africa
Côte Togo Nigeria
turning point. Industrial activity is spread Prime rents Prime
SierraThe Bab
standards. Ezzouar district,
d’Ivoire near
Ethiopia yields
Africa. It is estimated that the majority of Luanda port and Viana to the east of
Leoneis a focus for development
the airport, throughout Algiers, even in central areas, Offices US$150/sq m/month 14% the 250,000-300,000 sq m of office space
Central South Sudan the city, while there are also established
activity,Liberia
with KPMG’s building now
Ghana although there are dedicated zonesAfrican Offices US$37.50/sq m/month 9% Retail US$120/sq m/month 13% being brought to the market during 2014-
Republic warehouse districts at Benfica, the
completed and BNP Paribas’ new at locations such as Oued Smar and Retail US$37.50/sq m/month 9% Industrial US$21/sq m/month 14% 15 has already been either pre-let or sold.
Cameroon Cacuaco road, and the road to Catete.
Algerian headquarters due to become Rouiba. The new zone at Sidi Abdellah is Industrial US$12/sq m/month 13% Residential US$25,000/month* 12% The market is dominated by occupiers
Somalia The logistics property sector is relatively
operational in early 2015. In a major Equatorial
becoming a centre for the pharmaceutical US$5,000/month* 8%
Residential Uganda from the oil sector, and it is expected that
undeveloped and immature, and good
recent deal, Citi has leased space at Le Guinea
industry, with Sanofi and Hikma both Kenya
Source: Knight Frank LLP
recent falls in oil prices will affect demand
Congo
*4 bedroom executive apartment – prime location quality warehouse space is scarce. The
Ksar tower in Bab Ezzouar, and will be building factories.
Source: Knight Frank LLP in 2015. The prime office areas are the
Gabon *4 bedroom executive house – prime location
Ingombota and Baixa districts in the Angolan government operates the ZEE
relocating there from Hydra during 2015. Democratic
There are also significant new office Republic Rwanda city centre, while secondary office areas (Special Economic Zone) in Viana, where
Residential market of the Congo Burundi Contacts warehouse properties can be leased
developments due to come on stream include Maianga, Alvalade and Miramar.
The ex-pat market is mainly focused on Contact Peter Welborn, Managing Director, Africa for a fraction of the cost of privately-
over the next few years in Pins Maritimes. +44 20 7861 1200
There is also notable office development
Hydra, where large villas are located. Peter Welborn, Managing Director, Africa owned parks, but there are strict criteria
Tanzania peter.welborn@knightfrank.com activity to the south of the city in Talatona.
+44 20 7861 1200
Retail market The prime market has softened peter.welborn@knightfrank.com Tim Ware, Managing Director, Zambia
governing appropriate tenants which make
Following the development of the Al
over recent years, with downwards
+260 211 250 538/250 683
Retail market it extremely difficult to locate there.
adjustments being made to rents on +260 211 255 992-3 The retail sector in Luanda is still at a
Qods Mall at Cheraga, which opened in
2008 and is now showing its age, SCCA’s renewal. There is significant activity at tim.ware@zm.knightfrank.com nascent stage of its development. While Residential market
Bab Ezzouar Centre Commercial and the top end of the marketAngola
in suburban international retailers have started to The prices of good quality villas and
Malawi
Dahli’s Ardis have also been completed. and out-of-town locations, particularly Zambia be attracted by the growth of Luanda’s apartments in Luanda have been
The market is strong, although almost around Grands Vents and to the west middle class, high set-up costs and the among the highest in the world in recent
entirely made up of local retailers. of Algiers with Emiral’s Forum El Djazair difficulty of entering the market are holding years. However, a virtually non-existent
Mozambique many back. There are only three modern
However, Carrefour is returning to the development. In the mid-market, there mortgage market and significant volumes
are major new apartment developments Zimbabwe shopping centres in Luanda, although
Algerian market after pulling out in 2009, Namibia Madagascar of new supply have put downward
at Ouled Fayet and Aïn Taya, with several others are under construction.
and will be opening its first new store pressure on prices. This trend is expected
Mauritius However, many of the new developments
in Sétif. The next major development in units costing around DZD 9 million Botswana to continue as a result of falls in oil prices.
have suffered from a lack of funding
Algiers is likely to be the Trust Complex, (c.US$112,500). The affordable market New residential property tends to be
and have been slow to materialise.
a mixed-use project which includes a offers units for around DZD 4 million located either in central Luanda or to the
For example, the Comandante Gika
shopping mall with 20,000 sq m GLA, (c.US$50,000). A significant volume south in Talatona. This location provides
project, originally planned to be completed
and is anticipated to be opened in 2016. of serviced apartment stock will be lower cost housing and is popular with ex-
in 2010, remains under construction.
delivered over the next 2-4 years with South Africa pat families. Prime four bedroom houses
A 10,000 sq m Kero hypermarket has
Industrial market several towers under construction at opened in the complex, but it remains the rent for around US$15,000 per month in
Algeria has a very narrow industrial the Trust Complex and around Algeria only tenant while development continues Talatona, compared with US$25,000 per
BNP Paribas Headquarters, Algiers (under construction) Belas Business Park, Luanda
base as the economy is heavily reliant on Business Center. around it. month in the city centre.
16 17
of the Congo
Burundi
Mali
Niger
BOTSWANA Angola
Malawi
Senegal CAMEROON
Chad
Su
Zambia
Gambia
18 19
Algeria
Mediterranean Sea
AFRICA REPORT 2015 RESEARCH
co
Tunisia Western
Sahara
CÔTE D’IVOIRE
Algeria
CHAD Libya Egypt Mauritania
20 21
Mali AFRICA REPORT 2015 RESEARCH
Niger
Sudan Eritrea
Chad
Djibouti
22 23
Namibia
Algeria
Mali AFRICA REPORT 2015 RESEARCH
Niger Western
Libya Egypt
Sudan Eritrea
Chad Sahara
centre, although this will soon change as K5 and require the oil and gas industry of retail space, with office floors above. Akaki Kality, Dukem, Debre Zeit/Bishoftu and
The market is challenging for international Mojo. Another important area is Alem Gena/
Société Générale has a new headquarters to operate from Luba, on the other side MozambiqueSebeta where Diageo operates its brewery.
companies as it is very difficult to find office
under construction in Malabo II. There of Bioko Island. While the timing for this
buildings thatZimbabwe
is a limited supply of available offices is uncertain, all of the oil companies that Contact Mozambique Contact Namibia
do not include large retail
elements or that comply with international Madagascar
Residential market
in multi-tenanted properties, which are are not already in Luba are looking into Peter Welborn, Managing Director, Africa Peter Welborn, Managing Director, Africa
usually apartment buildings doubling their options, mostly focusing on Lonrho’s +44 20 7861 1200 Zimbabwe +44 20 7861 1200
health and safety standards. As the
Mauritius
The residential and hospitality markets are
up as offices. However, a significant Freeport development.Namibia peter.welborn@knightfrank.com Madagascar
peter.welborn@knightfrank.com climate is relatively mild, offices rarely have
Botswana
air conditioning.
the most developed and sophisticated real
volume of new supply will be provided estate sectors in Addis Ababa. Demand
by Malabo Gate, which is currently under Residential market Mauritius
Retail market
from ex-pats tends to be focused on Bole
construction and comprises two large
mixed-use buildings.
Several of the better quality apartment Botswana The Addis Ababa retail market is still
and Kazanchis. Prices are high and good
property does not stay on the market for
buildings in Malabo are leased in their
at an early stage of its development in long. A good 3-bed apartment will rent for
Retail market
entirety to oil companies. Some provide South Africa with other major cities in East
comparison around US$3,000 per month unfurnished
small serviced units, often in buildings Africa. There are some grocery operators in or US$5,000 per month furnished, while
The government is trying to reinvent designed as hotels, with rents generally in Addis Ababa, but these are local mid-size aparthotels cost around US$6,750 per
Malabo as a tourist and conference centre the order of US$2,000 per month per unit. companies operating out of small units, month, offering less living space but
destination, and there has been significant There are also compound developments, and there are no international retailers. better facilities and services. There is a
development in support of this over the
last two years. There are upmarket hotels,
some of which are well-established, but
others are speculative and quirky and
South Africa Much of the existing retail stock comprises huge programme of housing construction
the lower floors of office buildings, and is underway around Addis Ababa, which is
including a Sofitel, Hilton and Ibis, and include commercial elements. Rents for generally poorly planned and managed. The largely government-led. This includes the
even a casino in the shape of a boat; El standard ex-pat villas are typically in the market would appear to have good growth mid-market 40/60 condominium scheme
Barco on the Airport Road. However, the order of US$5,000-8,000 per month, but potential, as Ethiopia is the second most (so called because purchases are based
retail market has yet to attract international there are some huge properties which rent populous country in Africa. However, one on 40% equity and 60% debt) which has
brands and, given the small size of the for many times this. Quality is an issue and obstacle is that, as a landlocked country 160,000 residents registered to buy. Similar
indigenous population, it will require many properties are offered in a poorly with relatively poor infrastructure, supply schemes aimed at the low-cost market are
Abayak Buildings, Malabo Sofitel Hotel, Sipopo African Union Headquarters, Addis Ababa
visitor numbers to increase significantly maintained state. chains can be unreliable. the 20/80 and 10/90 programmes.
24 25
Mauritania
Mali
Niger AFRICA REPORT 2015 RESEARCH
Eritrea
Sudan
Chad
Senegal
GABON GHANA
Djibouti
Benin
Niger
Togo Nigeria Gambia Mali
e Ethiopia
South Sudan
Central African Key facts Key facts
Ghana Guinea
Republic
Population 1.7 million Bissau
Population 25.8 million Benin
Cameroon Major cities:
Major cities:
Equatorial Libreville
Uganda 0.7 million Somalia Accra 2.6 million
Guinea GHANA Nigeria
Kumasi 2.0 million
Sierra Côte
Guinea Official languages English d’Ivoire
Republic Kenya Official languages Leone
English Togo
Libreville Total area 267,667 sq km
of the Total area 238,533 sq km
GDP growth (2014) 5.1%
GABON Congo
Democratic Republic Rwanda
Key export Petroleum
GDP growth (2014) 4.5%
of the Congo Key export Gold Kumasi
Central African CFA
Currency
Burundi Franc (XAF) Currency Cedi (GHC) Liberia
Accra
EIU country risk C EIU country risk C Came
rating (E=most risky) Sekondi-Takoradi
rating (E=most risky)
Tanzania
World Bank Doing 144 World Bank Doing 70
Angola Business rank Business rank
(out of 189 countries) (out of 189 countries)
Office market limited capabilities of import and Office market pipeline projects include Kumasi City Mall
Equatorial
distribution networks. in Ghana’s second city, Kumasi. Guinea
Historically, Libreville has had an Accra has seen a significant amount
undersupply of office space, and Libreville prime rents and yields Accra prime rents and yields of office development in recent years,
Industrial market
occupiers have needed to rent residential Industrial market particularly in the Airport City area,
or hotel properties and adapt them for Industrial development in Libreville is MalawiPrime rents Prime Prime rents Prime which is about 5 km to the north east Within Accra, key industrial locations
use as offices. For example, the African generally concentrated in the south Zambia yields yields include the North Industrial Area and
of the city centre. Several large projects
Development Bank occupies converted US$37.50/sq m/month 8.5% South Industrial Area, where warehouse
of the city, towards its port. There are Offices US$40/sq m/month 9% Offices are under construction or planned in
housing at Gué-Gué, while the UN has two major designated industrial zones, US$42.50/sq m/month 7.5%
units typically provide in the region of
Retail US$50/sq m/month 9% Retail this area, notably One Airport Square, a
similar premises at Batterie IV. A number 1,000 sq m. About 25 km east of Accra
at Oloumi and Owendo. The market in Industrial Mozambique
US$8/sq m/month 14% Industrial US$10/sq m/month 12% landmark development by Laurus/Actis,
of better quality new buildings are on is the port city of Tema, where an oil
Oloumi is mainly characterised by light Residential US$8,000/month* 7.5% Residential US$5,000/month* 8% which is close to completion with around
Boulevard de l’Indépendance, including manufacturing, with many of the most
Zimbabwe refinery and a number of factories are
15,000 sq m of office space. There is
the Gabon Mining Logistics buildings. Namibia Madagascar located. In early 2015, the Kuwaiti
visible warehouse units being used for Source: Knight Frank LLP Source: Knight Frank LLP another cluster of office development in
The government is a major occupier of *4 bedroom executive house – prime location developer Agility broke ground on a new
sales, particularly as car showrooms. *4 bedroom executive house – prime location
Mauritius the Ridge area close to the city centre,
office space, with many ministries being logistics park on a 40-acre site in the
Owendo is mainly a location for heavier
Botswana where projects nearing completion
in the northern part of the city centre. Tema Port Free Trade Zone. The city
industry and port-related companies. include RMB Westport’s Accra Financial
In the private sector, there is strong of Takoradi is another major focus for
Major industries in Libreville include Centre and Dream Realty’s mixed-
demand for the relatively small supply of Contact Contact industrial activity, as the main base for
shipbuilding, wood processing use The Octagon. Prime office rents
good quality buildings. Peter Welborn, Managing Director, Africa Ghana’s offshore oil sector.
and brewing. Peter Welborn, Managing Director, Africa softened in 2014, due to both the large
+44 20 7861 1200 +44 20 7861 1200
peter.welborn@knightfrank.com volumes of new supply coming to the
Retail market peter.welborn@knightfrank.com Residential market
Residential market
South Africa market and the impact of the sharp
Although Gabon has a small population, depreciation of the Ghanaian Cedi. Traditionally, the areas of Accra which
The best residential locations in Libreville
its GDP per capita is one of the highest in have been most popular with ex-pats are
Africa. As such it represents an attractive are Hauts de Gué-Gué, La Sablière
Cantonments, Labone and the Airport
retail opportunity. It is among the and Batterie IV. These areas have Retail market
Residential Area. These locations offer
African markets that have been targeted seen significant volumes of apartment Accra Mall, which opened in 2008, was modern good quality properties which
for expansion by French retail giant development, which has been highly the first large-scale modern shopping are often situated in small gated
Carrefour. Another French supermarket successful. The market is buoyant and centre in Ghana, with around 20,000 sq compounds. Typical rents are
brand, Casino, is already present in demand for good quality residential m of retail space. More recently, West US$3,000 per month for a two bedroom
Libreville through a partnership with a property is strong, with the pressure Hills Mall opened in Accra in late 2014, apartment and US$5,000 per month
local franchisee, while the Gabonese on prices being accentuated by the with Shoprite among the anchor tenants. for a four bedroom house. A number
retailer Prix Import has four supermarkets competition between individuals and The new mall has approximately 27,000 of large residential buildings are under
in the city. Libreville’s main market is corporate occupiers seeking to use sq m of retail space and is claimed to construction, including Villaggio Vista
at Mont-Bouët, although this will be residential properties as offices. Gabon be largest in West Africa. Street-front in the Airport Residential Area, which
superseded by the new Grand Marché, is also seeing the construction of retail also remains popular in Accra, and includes a 27-storey tower, the tallest
which is under construction by the large amounts of social housing, with the new office buildings in Airport City building in Ghana. Recent development
Swiss group Webcor on a nearby seven Libreville’s northern suburb of Angondjé generally include retail units on the lower has focused on the high end of the
hectare site. Currently, major challenges being designated by the government as a floors. The trend of mall development is market, and there remains a limited stock
Abayak Buildings, Malabo Ernst & Young Building, Libreville UN
OneBuilding, AccraAccra (under construction)
Airport Square,
within the retail market include the key area for such development. spreading to the rest of the country, and of low to middle-income housing.
26 27
Uganda
Kenya
Guinea Congo
Gabon
AFRICA REPORT 2015
Rwanda RESEARCH
Eritrea
Democratic Republic
ad Sudan Tanzania
of the Congo
KENYA Somalia MADAGASCAR
South Atlantic Ocean
Ethiopia Key facts Key facts
al Africa South Sudan Angola
Malawi
Population 45.0 million Population
Zambia
23.2 million
ublic Major cities: Major cities: Mozambique
Nairobi 3.4 million Antananarivo 1.9 million
Mombasa 1.2 million Official languages French, Malagasy
Uganda
KENYA
Kisumu 1.0 million
Total area 587,041 sq km MADAGASCAR
Official languages English, Kiswahili
Kisumu GDP growth (2014) 3.0% Zimbabwe Antananarivo
Total area 580,367 sq km Namibia
Key export Textiles
Rwanda Nairobi GDP growth (2014) 5.3%
Currency
Malagasy Ariary Mauritius
Key export Tea
Mombasa
(MGA) Botswana
Kenyan Shilling
Currency EIU country risk C
(KES) rating (E=most risky)
Tanzania EIU country risk C World Bank Doing 163
rating (E=most risky) Business rank
World Bank Doing 136 (out of 189 countries)
Office market Industrial market Business rank Office market Alarobia, which opened in 2012 with
around 60 shops and a food court.
Office construction activity in Nairobi The Kenyan industrial market remained
(out of 189 countries) South Africa The market deteriorated after the
Indian Ocean government was overthrown in 2009,
The recent period of political instability
has been boosted by Kenya’s relative subdued during 2014, with few leasing made major retailers reluctant to enter
political stability and strong economic transactions and static rents. Activity has Antananarivo prime rents but the 2013 presidential elections were
ola Nairobi prime rents and yields and yields widely recognised by the international
the market, and the supermarket chains
Zambia Malawi
growth resulting from the expansion been restricted by the outdated nature of
community. This has led to the return of
Shoprite, Score and Leader Price are
of local and multinational companies. Kenya’s industrial stock, which does not Prime rents Prime Prime rents Prime among the few international retailers
a number of NGOs and the World Bank,
However, during 2014 the market moved meet the needs of major manufacturing yields yields with a presence in Madagasacar. Should
which has provided a boost to the office
from a position of stability to having an companies. The market currently there be a sustained period of political
Offices US$21/sq m/month 8% Offices US$15/sq m/month 14% market. The majority of government
stability, increased numbers of retailers
oversupply of Grade B office space.Mozambique
has large industrial requirements and Retail US$48/sq m/month 10% Retail US$35/sq m/month 13% offices, banks and embassies are located
from France and South Africa may look to
There is a relative shortage of Grade A demand for high quality warehouses. in the CBD. However, this area is very
Zimbabwe Industrial US$4.20/sq m/month 8% Industrial US$5/sq m/month 18% enter the market.
ia developments and, even though office Madagascar
Going forward, such demand may be
Residential US$4,720/month* 6% Residential US$2,700/month* 12%
congested, suffers from a shortage of
take-up rates in 2014 were around 20% satisfied by large-scale developments car parking and has a large number of
in the pipeline such as Konza City, Mauritius hawkers and street vendors which make
Industrial market
down on the previous year, prime rental Source: Knight Frank LLP Source: Knight Frank LLP
Botswana
levels increased by 5-10%. Tatu City and KenGen’s Industrial Park.
*4 bedroom executive house – prime location *4 bedroom executive house – prime location it an unfavourable environment for office The main industrial areas are located
workers. Most multinational companies in the south of Antananarivo. There
Average quoted warehouse rents are in
prefer to be located in areas to the north is a mixed-use area to the south of
Retail market the range of US$3.00-3.60 per sq m
the city centre which mainly contains
of the city centre, such as Andraharo,
Kenya has seen increased interest from per month. Contact Contact
Ankorondrano, Tana Waterfront and lower quality buildings, Madagascan
international retailers seeking to enter Ben Woodhams, Managing Director Peter Welborn, Managing Director, Africa Ivandry. These areas benefit from being businesses and airline companies. As it
Residential market +254 20 4239000 +44 20 7861 1200
the market, either as sole ventures ben.woodhams@ke.knightfrank.com less congested, on the way to the airport forms the main arterial route south of the
peter.welborn@knightfrank.com
South Africa
or through partnerships with local The residential market witnessed and close to some of the preferred city, the road in this area can become
investors. Brands such as Carrefour, marginal increases in capital and rental suburbs for ex-pat housing. A new very congested. About 5 km to the south
Game and Debenhams are all set to values during 2014. However, there were landmark office building is the 33-storey of the city centre, the Zone Industrielle
make their debuts in the Kenyan market signs of a slowdown in transactions in Tour Orange in Ankorondrano which, Forello is the location of some of the
following a protracted construction heavier industries. There is also a small
during 2015. Demand for retail space the prime residential market towards the
process, is now completed and almost amount of light industrial activity just
has been driven by the increasing end of 2014. Activity has been affected
fully leased. south of the airport.
spending power of Kenyan consumers an oversupply of prime property and
and rising demand for overseas brands. security concerns, which have been
Retail market Residential market
This has encouraged a strong level of most evident in Nairobi and Mombasa.
The retail sector is largely informal The residential market was negatively
retail construction, with over 220,000 However, the low to middle-income
and there are markets throughout affected by the political instability that
sq m of retail space currently under residential market remained resilient,
Antananarivo including the followed the overthrow of the government
development and due for delivery in with demand for such housing still Andravoahangy craft market, the in 2009 and the withdrawal of many
the near future. Pre-leasing levels in outstripping supply. The uptake of Petite Vitesse food market and the NGOs. Residential values fell by around
the new schemes have been strong; residential mortgages remained low Analakely covered market. The main 25%, but the market is gradually starting
the forthcoming Garden City Mall, during 2014, as although interest rates retail location is the area around Avenue to improve with the return of the NGOs.
for example, was 96% pre-let as at have remained stable at 8.5%, rates are de l’Indépendance. Antananarivo’s The banks continue to restrict lending
Abayak Buildings, Malabo Two Rivers Development, Nairobi (under construction) Antananarivo
December 2014. still significantly higher than rental yields. most modern retail centre is La City in and cash buyers dominate the market.
28 29
Rwanda AFRICA REPORT 2015 RESEARCH
Burundi
Tunisia
Morocco
MALAWI Algeria
MALI
Libya
Western
Democratic Tanzania Key facts Key facts Sahara
Republic
of the Congo Population 17.4 million Population 16.5 million
Major cities: Major cities: Mauritania
Blantyre 0.9 million Bamako 1.8 million
Lilongwe 0.9 million Official languages French MALI
Niger
Mozambique Official languages English Total area 1,240,192 sq km
Lilongwe Total area 118,484 sq km GDP growth (2014) 5.9%
Senegal Chad
Bamako
Zambia GDP growth (2014) 5.7% Key export Gold
MALAWI Key export Tobacco West African CFA
Currency Guinea Guinea Benin
Currency
Malawian Kwacha Franc (XOF) Bissau
Blantyre
Sierra Côte Togo Nigeria
(MWK) EIU country risk C d’Ivoire
EIU country risk C rating (E=most risky) Leone
Zimbabwe Central A
rating (E=most risky) World Bank Doing 146 Liberia Ghana
Madagascar
World Bank Doing 164 Business rank Cameroon Repub
Business rank (out of 189 countries)
Office market Industrial market (out of 189 countries) Office market Industrial marketEquatorial
The office rental market has seen some Industrial production in Malawi has The coup d’état of 2012 caused The industrial market is based around
Guinea Congo
improvement over the last twelve months, been adversely affected by both the Bamako prime rents and yields economic activity to slow in the south local tradesmen, with no international
Gabon
Malawi prime rents and yields of Mali, and to stall in the north, De
and rent escalation rates of upwards of country’s general economic woes and Mauritius manufacturers in the city. The main
20% per annum are typical. Demand for regular electricity blackouts. As a result, Prime rents Prime the region that was most severely industrial zone is to the east of the R
Botswana BLANTYRE
yields affected. Following the French-led
space continues to be relatively strong demand for manufacturing space has Prime rents Prime commercial centre, where large
yields Offices US$20/sq m/month 11% military intervention, the situation was infrastructure projects have lessened the
of t
in Lilongwe, which has encouraged been subdued. However, significant
US$18/sq m/month 12% brought under control, although the
some new office development. However, plans have been put in place to boost Offices US$7.70/sq m/month 8% Retail impact of traffic congestion. As much as
north remains tense. There have been
there is very little office construction the electricity sector, which appear to Retail US$10.60/sq m/month 7% Industrial US$5.50/sq m/month 16% 80% of the Malian workforce is employed
improvements in the economic, political
in Blantyre, and the development that be given priority now. The industrial Industrial US$2.50/sq m/month 9% Residential US$3,000/month* 10% in agriculture, with cotton being one of
and security environment, which augur
is taking place is mainly for owner- market is largely dominated by demand Residential US$1,500/month* 4.5% the country’s largest exports. Mining is
Source: Knight Frank LLP well for increased demand for office
occupation. Office investment activity is for logistics and storage space, and also an important sector, and both areas Angola
LILONGWE *4 bedroom executive house – prime location space in the capital Bamako. The city
currently extremely limited, due to very there has been a strengthening of has a limited supply of good quality have potential for growth should political
Prime rents Prime
low liquidity and high lending rates which warehousing rents. yields stability be maintained. The availability
South Africa office accommodation, which leads
are making investment almost impossible Contact to international companies and aid of good quality storage and logistics
Offices US$12.25/sq m/month 8.5%
for most investors. The exception is the Residential market Peter Welborn, Managing Director, Africa organisations being housed in converted warehousing is minimal, and
Retail US$17/sq m/month 7.5%
pension funds, which are currently highly Residential rents and values are +44 20 7861 1200 villas. Demand comes from the banking, the majority of large organisations
liquid and thus the dominant players in significantly higher in Lilongwe
Industrial US$3.94/sq m/month 9.5% peter.welborn@knightfrank.com telecommunications, government and needing such space develop their own Namibia
the market, but they are only interested Residential US$3,000/month* 5% NGO sectors. Prime rents are currently on-site facilities; for example Unicef
than in Blantyre. In Lilongwe, the
in buying existing office buildings, rather continuing demand for representational Source: Knight Frank LLP US$20 per sq m per month, although operate almost entirely from their own
than development projects. *4 bedroom executive house – prime location rent levels fall away dramatically Bamako headquarters.
accommodation for both the commercial
outside the CBD to around US$6 per
sector and the international community
Retail market has encouraged many landlords to Contact
sq m per month. Residential market
The retail rental market has performed extend or renovate their properties, Don Whayo, Managing Director The residential market is the most So
+265 1 823 577
Retail market
well across all of the major commercial rather than constructing new ones. In buoyant of the property sectors, and
don.whayo@mw.knightfrank.com Prior to the coup d’état, there had been
centres in Malawi, and the shopping mall Blantyre, most residential properties in benefits from demand both for housing
rumours that international brands were
concept has taken root in the main cities. prime locations date back to the 1960s. and for villas that can be adapted
poised to enter the Bamako market, but
However, the diminishing purchasing The development of new property in for office use. The supply of housing
these have been silenced and there has
power of Malawians is a threat to the prime locations has stagnated in both is mainly run by the government,
subsequently been little movement in
market, which may lead to falling demand cities, and most current residential with government-built housing units
the sector. Retail activity continues to
for retail space in the medium term. The development is in peripheral areas be generally informal and based around significantly outnumbering those built
Gateway Mall, developed by MPICO away from more established residential street trading, with the Marché Rose by private developers. However, there
Limited in Lilongwe, opened in December locations. This is partly due to a and Street Market in the city centre are a number of real estate developers
2014. This property brings to the market scarcity of available land in low density being key locations. The most modern that provide serviced land plots to the
approximately 17,000 sq m of prime residential areas within city boundaries. retail provision is to the west at self-build and assisted self-build markets,
retail space and has attracted some of The increased demand and short supply ACI 2000, where there are also a number both of which are large elements of the
Abayak
Arwa House,
Buildings,
Lilongwe
Malabo Kang’ombe House, Lilongwe BCEAO Tower, Bamako
the well known South African chains. have resulted in buoyant rental levels. of showrooms. residential market in Mali.
30 31
Democratic Republic
of the Congo AFRICA REPORT 2015 RESEARCH
Tanzania
32 33
d’Ivoire South Sudan
Leone Central African
Liberia Ghana
Cameroon Republic
Equatorial
AFRICA REPORT 2015 RESEARCH Somalia
Uganda
Kenya
Guinea Congo
Gabon Democratic
Rwanda
Republic Burundi
MOROCCO of the Congo MOZAMBIQUE
Tanzania
Angola
34 35
Malawi
Zambia
Gabon Congo
Rwanda Western Libya E
Algeria
Democratic Republic Sahara AFRICA REPORT 2015 RESEARCH
of the Congo Tanzania
Mauritania
36 37
Somalia
AFRICA REPORT 2015 RESEARCH
Kenya
RWANDA SENEGAL
Key facts Key facts Mauritania
Uganda
Population 12.3 million Population 13.6 milion
Major cities: Major cities:
Kigali 1.1 million Dakar 2.4 million
RWANDA Official languages inyarwanda,
K Official languages French Dakar SENEGAL
Kigali French, English Total area 196,722 sq km
Democratic Total area 26,338 sq km Mali
Republic GDP growth (2014) 4.5%
The
of the Congo GDP growth (2014) 6.0% Key export Petroleum Gambia
Key export Tantalum Currency
West African CFA
Currency wandan Franc
R Franc (XOF)
Burundi (RWF)
Guinea
EIU country risk C Bissau
Tanzania EIU country risk C rating (E=most risky) Guinea
rating (E=most risky) World Bank Doing 161
World Bank Doing 46 Business rank
Business rank (out of 189 countries)
Office market Industrial market Côte
Office market expectation is that this project will (out of 189 countries)
Sierra
d’Ivoire
absorb high-end retail demand for the Office market activity in Dakar has Compared with many other West African
Government occupiers and African
foreseeable future. continued to shift away from Plateau in the Leone
cities, the industrial market in Dakar is
banks, particularly from Nigeria and south of the peninsula up to Les Almadies fairly stagnant. Over the past five years,
Kigali prime rents and yields Dakar prime rents and yields
Kenya, are a big feature of the Kigali in the north. Many of the banks are now in Liberia
there has been little interest in Dakar from
office market, as well as pension funds
Industrial market
Prime rents Prime Prime rents Prime Les Almadies including UBA and Bank of international manufacturers and many
and the aid/diplomatic sectors. Relatively Manufacturing interest in Rwanda is yields yields Africa. Total also now has its headquarters of the international businesses that are
few major multinational companies strong, encouraged by the country’s in this part of the city having taken in the city have been scaling back their
Offices US$25/sq m/month 10% Offices US$20/sq m/month 10%
are active in Rwanda, but the serviced transparency and its efforts to attract over a building that was to have been a operations. Small-scale local industrial
Retail US$25/sq m/month 9% Retail US$29/sq m/month 10%
office operator Regus has a presence, international business. While external conference centre on Route de l’Aéroport. activity is found throughout Dakar, but the
investment has principally come from Industrial US$4/sq m/month 12% Industrial US$5/sq m/month 13% Development remains patchy along prime area for bigger businesses is the
providing an obvious option for market
China, India and other African countries, Residential US$2,500/month* 8% Residential US$4,000/month* 8% the Voie de Dégagement Nord (VDN), port. Most industrial property is owner-
entry. There are only a small number of
good quality office buildings in Kigali, there is also increasing evidence that but Sonatel’s headquarters is nearing occupied and there is practically no
Source: Knight Frank LLP Source: Knight Frank LLP
and occupancy rates are high. As a western companies are looking closely *4 bedroom executive house – prime location *4 bedroom executive house – prime location completion and will be the biggest office speculative development in this sector.
at the market. Some recent market complex on this important arterial road.
result, office rents are relatively expensive
compared with other capital cities in East activity has resulted from the closure Another cluster of office development is Residential market
Contacts Contact at Point E, to the north of Plateau. Rents Villas are generally harder to find the
Africa. Prime rents can reach US$25 per for environmental reasons of the
Ben Woodhams, Managing Director, Kenya Peter Welborn, Managing Director, Africa have been relatively flat for the past five further one travels down the Dakar
sq m per month, although US$12-15 per Gikondo Industrial Estate. The Rwanda
+254 20 4239000 +44 20 7861 1200 years, at around CFA 10,000 (c.US$20) peninsula, as land is more expensive and
sq m per month is generally the going Development Board has been successful peter.welborn@knightfrank.com
ben.woodhams@ke.knightfrank.com per sq m per month, although higher rents sites are smaller. Mid-peninsula, Fann
rate for office space. in promoting the Special Economic Zone may be quoted on pre-leases.
Judy Rugasira Kyanda, Managing Director, and Mermoz are popular embassy and
near the airport; phase one is completed
Uganda diplomatic housing districts, while Point
Retail market and all plots are sold, while phase two is +256 41 341 391 Retail market E is more of a professional area with
selling for RWF 43,000 (c.US$60) per sq m. judy.rugasira@ug.knightfrank.com
There are currently no malls in Rwanda The retail market has seen little change in some good quality villas and many new
of the scale of those in cities such as recent years. Sea Plaza, next to Radisson apartment buildings. There is some
Nairobi and Kampala. The relatively small Residential market Blu, is the largest and most prestigious major development taking place along
Union Trade Centre, which opened in At the top end of the residential shopping mall, anchored by a Casino the coast in this vicinity, particularly the
2006 and is anchored by Nakumatt, was market, the most desirable location is supermarket. The mall is fully occupied, Waterfront scheme. To the north, Les
Kigali’s first modern shopping centre. Nyarutarama, where Kigali’s golf course but the partially-built cinema complex Almadies is a popular and expensive
is located. This provides an exceptional remains unfinished. Casino also anchors residential area where there is a great
More recently, the mixed-use Kigali City
Dakar City at Les Almadies and there are deal of development activity. Over the
Tower opened in 2011, and includes a and quiet environment with some huge
several other Casinos around the city. The long term, Diamniadio, about 30 km
Nakumatt supermarket and a popular villas and boutique hotels. Other high-
Citydia supermarket chain, a franchise of from Dakar, will be a major focus for
food court. However, the market may end locations include Kagugu, Kimihurura
the Spanish retailer Dia, has been opening housing development, as it is the
be about to take a major leap forward and Kacyiru, which is the location of theMalawi units around Dakar, including some in location of a new city project designed
with the construction of phase one US Embassy. Ex-pat villas generally rent an “Express” format in petrol stations. to ease congestion in Dakar. The rental
ofZambia
the MIC Commercial Complex, a for US$1,500-2,500 per month. There is It appears to be doing well and it has a market was greatly impacted in 2014
mixed-use project which is expected to a strong market for serviced apartments, reputation for being cheaper than Casino. by the passing of a law which imposed
deliver a significant volume of new retail with rents in the order of US$2,200-3,000 Other international retailers in the city reductions on all residential rents, except
Abayak
Centenary
Buildings,
House, Malabo
Kigali Kigali City Tower, Kigali 2K Plaza, Dakar
space during 2015/2016. The market per month. include Benetton, Mango and Etam. in special circumstances.
38 39
Eritrea
Democratic Republic Senegal
of the Congo Chad
Tanzania Gambia
Guinea AFRICA REPORT 2015 RESEARCH Djibouti
Guinea Benin
Bissau
Côte Togo Nigeria
Sierra d’Ivoire Ethiopia
Leone
Angola Central African South Sudan
Malawi Liberia Ghana
SOUTH AFRICA
Zambia
Cameroon
Republic
TANZANIA
Mozambique Equatorial Somalia
Uganda
Guinea
Zimbabwe Madagascar
Key facts Key facts Congo Kenya
Namibia Gabon
Population Mauritius
54.0 million Population 44.9 million Rwanda
Botswana Democratic
Major cities: Major cities:
Johannesburg 4.4 million Republic Burundi Mwanza
Dar es Salaam 4.5 million
Pretoria Cape Town 3.7 million of the Congo Arusha
Mwanza 2.8 million
Johannesburg Durban 3.5 million Arusha 0.4 million Dodoma
Pretoria 2.5 million Zanzibar
Ekurhuleni
Official languages 11 official languages
Dodoma 0.4 million TANZANIA Dar es Salaam
Official languages Kiswahili, English
Total area 1,219,090 sq km
SOUTH Durban GDP growth (2014) 1.4%
Total area 947,300 sq km
40 41
uinea Benin
Côte Nigeria
d’Ivoire Togo Ethiopia
ra AFRICA REPORT 2015 RESEARCH
ne
Central African
Republic
South Sudan
TUNISIA UGANDA
Liberia Ghana
Cameroon
44 45
KNIGHT FRANK IN AFRICA
TUNISIA
MOROCCO
ALGERIA LIBYA
EGYPT
WESTERN
SAHARA
SENEGAL CHAD
THE GAMBIA BURKINA
FASO
GUINEA ETHIOPIA
GUINEA BENIN
BISSAU
GHANA 199 SOUTH SOMALIA
SUDAN
SIERRA
LEONE CÔTE NIGERIA CENTRAL AFRICAN
D’IVOIRE REPUBLIC
LIBERIA TOGO CAMEROON 131
45
EQUATORIAL GUINEA 131
UGANDA
SÃO TOMÉ & KENYA
GABON
PRINCIPE RWANDA
BURUNDI
SEYCHELLES
DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC
OF THE CONGO 25
TANZANIA
REPUBLIC OF
THE CONGO
COMOROS
MALAWI
ANGOLA ZAMBIA
27
23
ZIMBABWE
MOZAMBIQUE
MAURITIUS
NAMIBIA
66
26 MADAGASCAR
BOTSWANA
KEY SWAZILAND
SOUTH
AFRICA LESOTHO
COUNTRIES WITH KNIGHT FRANK OFFICES
COUNTRIES WHERE KNIGHT FRANK HAS WORKED
IN THE LAST TWO YEARS 146
23 EMPLOYEE NUMBERS
46
COMMERCIAL BRIEFING
For the latest news, views and analysis
of the commercial property market, visit
knightfrankblog.com/commercial-briefing/
INTERNATIONAL RESEARCH
Matthew Colbourne
Associate, International Research
+44 20 7861 1238
matthew.colbourne@knightfrank.com