Professional Documents
Culture Documents
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Jan-81 Jul-81 Jan-82 Jul-82 Jan-83 Jul-83 Jan-84 Jul-84 Jan-85 Jul-85 Jan-86 Jul-86 Jan-87 Jul-87 Jan-88 Jul-88 Jan-89 Jul-8
n-87 Jul-87 Jan-88 Jul-88 Jan-89 Jul-89 Jan-90 Jul-90
Year Month Production (000 Tons) Date SNO TrendForecast
1981 January 12 Jan-81 1 43.07617
1981 February 7 Feb-81 2 43.2487
1981 March 13 Mar-81 3 43.42123
1981 April 35 Apr-81 4 43.59376
1981 May 56 May-81 5 43.76629
1981 June 65 Jun-81 6 43.93882
1981 July 81 Jul-81 7 44.11135
1981 August 72 Aug-81 8 44.28388
1981 September 76 Sep-81 9 44.45641
1981 October 73 Oct-81 10 44.62893
1981 November 54 Nov-81 11 44.80146
1981 December 21 Dec-81 12 44.97399
1982 January 9 Jan-82 13 45.14652
1982 February 7 Feb-82 14 45.31905
1982 March 14 Mar-82 15 45.49158
1982 April 33 Apr-82 16 45.66411
1982 May 43 May-82 17 45.83664
1982 June 66 Jun-82 18 46.00917
1982 July 71 Jul-82 19 46.1817
1982 August 78 Aug-82 20 46.35423
1982 September 78 Sep-82 21 46.52676
1982 October 72 Oct-82 22 46.69929
1982 November 59 Nov-82 23 46.87182
1982 December 31 Dec-82 24 47.04435
1983 January 9 Jan-83 25 47.21688
1983 February 7 Feb-83 26 47.3894
1983 March 15 Mar-83 27 47.56193
1983 April 34 Apr-83 28 47.73446
1983 May 33 May-83 29 47.90699
1983 June 75 Jun-83 30 48.07952
1983 July 75 Jul-83 31 48.25205
1983 August 85 Aug-83 32 48.42458
1983 September 80 Sep-83 33 48.59711
1983 October 73 Oct-83 34 48.76964
1983 November 58 Nov-83 35 48.94217
1983 December 36 Dec-83 36 49.1147
1984 January 8 Jan-84 37 49.28723
1984 February 10 Feb-84 38 49.45976
1984 March 24 Mar-84 39 49.63229
1984 April 48 Apr-84 40 49.80482
1984 May 56 May-84 41 49.97734
1984 June 68 Jun-84 42 50.14987
1984 July 81 Jul-84 43 50.3224
1984 August 87 Aug-84 44 50.49493
1984 September 81 Sep-84 45 50.66746
1984 October 77 Oct-84 46 50.83999
1984 November 62 Nov-84 47 51.01252
1984 December 34 Dec-84 48 51.18505
1985 January 12 Jan-85 49 51.35758
1985 February 12 Feb-85 50 51.53011
1985 March 26 Mar-85 51 51.70264
1985 April 51 Apr-85 52 51.87517
1985 May 63 May-85 53 52.0477
1985 June 72 Jun-85 54 52.22023
1985 July 86 Jul-85 55 52.39276
1985 August 83 Aug-85 56 52.56528
1985 September 85 Sep-85 57 52.73781
1985 October 78 Oct-85 58 52.91034
1985 November 54 Nov-85 59 53.08287
1985 December 29 Dec-85 60 53.2554
1986 January 13 Jan-86 61 53.42793
1986 February 11 Feb-86 62 53.60046
1986 March 20 Mar-86 63 53.77299
1986 April 42 Apr-86 64 53.94552
1986 May 47 May-86 65 54.11805
1986 June 67 Jun-86 66 54.29058
1986 July 80 Jul-86 67 54.46311
1986 August 85 Aug-86 68 54.63564
1986 September 93 Sep-86 69 54.80817
1986 October 77 Oct-86 70 54.9807
1986 November 54 Nov-86 71 55.15322
1986 December 33 Dec-86 72 55.32575
1987 January 11 Jan-87 73 55.49828
1987 February 8 Feb-87 74 55.67081
1987 March 22 Mar-87 75 55.84334
1987 April 52 Apr-87 76 56.01587
1987 May 50 May-87 77 56.1884
1987 June 77 Jun-87 78 56.36093
1987 July 89 Jul-87 79 56.53346
1987 August 84 Aug-87 80 56.70599
1987 September 94 Sep-87 81 56.87852
1987 October 83 Oct-87 82 57.05105
1987 November 57 Nov-87 83 57.22358
1987 December 40 Dec-87 84 57.39611
1988 January 13 Jan-88 85 57.56864
1988 February 10 Feb-88 86 57.74116
1988 March 32 Mar-88 87 57.91369
1988 April 53 Apr-88 88 58.08622
1988 May 62 May-88 89 58.25875
1988 June 75 Jun-88 90 58.43128
1988 July 91 Jul-88 91 58.60381
1988 August 91 Aug-88 92 58.77634
1988 September 90 Sep-88 93 58.94887
1988 October 81 Oct-88 94 59.1214
1988 November 66 Nov-88 95 59.29393
1988 December 57 Dec-88 96 59.46646
1989 January 10 Jan-89 97 59.63899
1989 February 8 Feb-89 98 59.81152
1989 March 17 Mar-89 99 59.98405
1989 April 54 Apr-89 100 60.15658
1989 May 63 May-89 101 60.32911
1989 June 84 Jun-89 102 60.50163
1989 July 81 Jul-89 103 60.67416
1989 August 94 Aug-89 104 60.84669
1989 September 97 Sep-89 105 61.01922
1989 October 84 Oct-89 106 61.19175
1989 November 67 Nov-89 107 61.36428
1989 December 34 Dec-89 108 61.53681
1990 January 13 Jan-90 109 61.70934
1990 February 9 Feb-90 110 61.88187
1990 March 29 Mar-90 111 62.0544
1990 April 62 Apr-90 112 62.22693
1990 May 60 May-90 113 62.39946
1990 June 79 Jun-90 114 62.57199
1990 July 90 Jul-90 115 62.74452
1990 August 89 Aug-90 116 62.91705
1990 September 90 Sep-90 117 63.08957
1990 October 84 Oct-90 118 63.2621
1990 November 58 Nov-90 119 63.43463
1990 December 42 Dec-90 120 63.60716
TrendForecast
Intercept 42.90364 SUMMARY OUTPUT
Slope 0.172529
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.211054307
R Square 0.04454392
Adjusted R Square 0.036446835
Standard Error 27.91253462
Observations 120
ANOVA
df SS
Regression 1 4286.06
Residual 118 91934.93
Total 119 96221
CoefficientsStandard Error
Intercept 42.90364146 5.128126
SNO 0.172529342 0.073559
120
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60
40
20
0
1 7 13 19 25 31 37 43 49 55 61 67 73 79 85 91 97 103 109 115 121
MS F Significance F
4286.06 5.501229 0.020672
779.1096
31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 100103106109112115118