F. Project Selection/ Analysis of alternatives.

Project Selection is a process in which specific project

strategies are selected from among the objectives and
means raised in Objectives Analysis, based upon
selection criteria.

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 Project Selection _ cont’d
How to select the project
1. Divide the objective tree into different clusters of
objectives
2. Name all clusters
3. Remove impossible one to achieve
4. Set criteria to make the final selection

Needs, Priority, Gender, Environment,

Difficulty, Budget, Risks, etc,,,,

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Analysis of alternatives.
 At this stage, there is a need to assess the
alternative courses of action proposed by each
objective tree in terms of effectiveness, costs,
feasibility, impact on priority groups, risks or other
criteria.
Criteria can be:
 Technical
 Financial
 Economic
 Institutional
 Social/distributional
 Environmental
 Project Selection _Cont’d
Example of the Problem Tree ( case of bus traffic accidents) to the
Objective Tree

Incidence of bus accidents is high

Drivers do not Many technical Road condition

follow rules problems of buses is too bad

Drivers are not Many old Bus is maintained poorly

trained buses

Regular Mechanics Insufficient

New buses tech. is not tech. is equipment
has not done inadequate at
been workshop
purchased

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 Project Selection-Cont’d
Example of the Problem Tree ( case of bus traffic accidents) to the
Objective Tree
Incidence of bus accidents is
lowered
Incidence of bus accidents is high

Driver follows
Drivers do not Fewertechnical
Many technical Bettercondition
Road road
follow rules
rules problems of buses
troubles is too bad
infrastructure

Bus drivers
Drivers are not Fewerold
Many old Bus is maintained adequately
poorly
trained buses

Regular Mechanics Sufficient

Insufficient
New buses tech. is not tech. is equipment
purchased
has not done
check inadequate
improved at
provided
been done workshop
purchased

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 Project Selection-Cont’d
Example of the Objective Tree ( case of bus traffic accidents)
How could we divide?

Incidence of bus accidents is lowered Road Improvement

Approach

Driver follows Fewer technical Better road

rules troubles infrastructure

Bus drivers Fewer old Bus is maintained adequately

trained buses

Regular Mechanics Sufficient

Driver Training New buses tech. tech. is equipment
Approach purchased check improved provided
done
Bus Maintenance
Approach
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Preliminary screening
 Once some project ideas have been put forward, the next step
will be to select one or more of them as a potentially viable.
 This requires a quick preliminary screening by experienced
professionals.
 At this stage, the screening criteria are rough
 During this stage, the analysts should eliminate project
proposals that are:
 Technically unsound & risky
 Projects that have no market for their outputs
 Have inadequate supply of inputs
 Very costly in relation to benefits
 Assume over ambitious sales and profitability

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 In-class Activity
 Turn problem tree of the Education into objective tree and,
I. identify the possible project ideas (clusters of objectives).
II. Undertake initial screening from the alternative projects
by using the criteria of: (a) effectiveness to achieve
objectives; (b) cost of the proposal; (C) Ease of
implementation, and (d) time needed.
• Assumptions: (1)Each criterion has equal weight, (2) apply a five
point scale of evaluation as indicated below:
• 0(very poor), 1(poor), 2 (fair), 3 (Average), 4 (good), (5) excellent
III. Select two potentially feasible project based on results of preliminary
screening

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Reading Assignment

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