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among alternative uses’. (Rao) freely available, when its price exceeds
• the social science that studies the behavior of zero. (when there is a value attached to
(called economic actors, players, or agents), o Economics studies how people use
when they manage or use scarce resources, their scarce resources in an attempt to
which have alternative uses, to achieve desired satisfy their unlimited wants
ends. (Wikipedia)
SCARCITY
• a social science concerned with man’s problem
Scarcity occurs when the amount of people’s desire
of using scarce resources to satisfy human
exceeds the amount available at a price of zero.
wants. (Pagoso, et al)
• the study of people and choices o Goods and services that are truly free are not
the subject matter of economics.
❖ the famous economist, Alfred Marsh, defined ▪ Without scarcity, there would be no
economics as ‘A study of man in the ordinary economic problem and no need for
business of life’. prices.
o It inquires how he gets his income and o the tension between infinite wants and finite
resources.
how he uses it.
o Thus, it is on the one side, the study of 1. Resources are always scarce.
2. They are not only scarce, but also have
wealth and on the other and more
alternative uses
important side, a part of the study of 3. Optimum allocation is required.
4. It is about making of choices or decision-
man.
making.
1. How an individual consumer allocates his 1. Labor - the physical and mental effort used to
scarce resources among alternative uses? produce goods and services.
- in such a way that he always tries to get
2. Capital:
maximum satisfaction
- maximization of satisfaction/utility is the • Physical capital: Manufactured items (tools,
goal of an individual consumer. buildings) used to produce goods and services.
2. Similarly, an individual producer aims at least • Human capital: Knowledge and skills people
cost combination of inputs to get a given acquire to increase their labor productivity.
quantities of output.
3. Natural resources – all “gifts of nature” used to
o Efficiency. Getting more out of less.
produce goods and services; which includes bodies of
o Inputs – raw materials that are put into
water, trees, oil reserves, minerals, and animals.
process to develop a certain product or
service (output). • These can be renewable or exhaustible.
3. How an individual firm/Industry attains
4. Entrepreneurial ability – managerial and
equilibrium.
organizational skills needed to start a firm. The talent,
o A firm is said to be an equilibrium, if it
combined with the willingness to take risk of profit or
attain profit maximizing level of output.
loss. (could be innate or learn)
It tries to maximize Revenue, or
minimize Cost. • Entrepreneur – a profit-seeking decision maker
o Equilibrium = in the state of balance, a who starts with an idea, organizes an enterprise
point where buyers and sellers are to bring the idea to life, and assumes the risk of
Resources: The inputs, or factors of production, used to revenue minus resource cost.
produce the goods and services that humans want. (sales revenue – resource cost)
Acctg 1102 - Managerial Economics (Midterm)
Resources are combined to produce goods and services. Market is a set of arrangements by which buyers and
sellers carry out exchange of mutually agreeable terms.
Good – a tangible product used to satisfy human wants.
The means by which buyers and sellers carry out
• A good is something we can see, feel, and touch
exchanges in markets.
(i.e., corn).
o It requires scarce resources to produce and is o Bring together buyers and sellers
used to satisfy human wants. o Determine price and quantity
Service – an activity, or intangible product, used to Product market – a market where goods and services
satisfy human wants. are sold or exchanged.
o A service is not tangible but requires scarce Resource market – a market in which a resource is
resources to produce and satisfies human bought and sold.
wants (i.e., haircut).
o Labor, capital, natural resources, and
entrepreneurial ability are exchanged in
ECONOMIC DECISION MAKERS resource markets.
• Resource owners - Supply resources o Philippine stock exchange – the one who
FIRMS, GOVERNMENTS, REST OF THE WORLD operates the stock market in the country.
• Produce goods and services Circular-flow model – a diagram that traces the flow of
resources, product income, and revenue among
economic decision makers.
Acctg 1102 - Managerial Economics (Midterm)
A rational decision maker changes the status quo if the THE SCIENTIFIC METHOD
expected marginal benefit is greater than the expected
A process of theoretical investigation called scientific
marginal cost.
method consists of four steps:
(expected marginal benefit > expected marginal cost)
1. Identify the question and define relevant variables
2. Specify assumptions
MICROECONOMICS and MACROECONOMICS
• Other-things-constant assumption – when
Microeconomics: The study of economic behavior in
particular markets, such as that for computers or focusing on the relation among key economic
unskilled labor.
variables, that other variables remain
o the study of how consumers, workers, and
unchanged; in Latin, ceteris paribus.
firms interact to generate outcomes in specific
• Behavioral assumption – describes the
markets
expected behavior of economic decision
• Individual economic choices
makers – what motivates them.
• Markets coordinate the choices of
economic decision makers
3. Formulate the hypothesis
• Individual pieces of the puzzle
Macroeconomics: The study of the economic behavior • Hypothesis – a theory about how key variables
of entire economies
relate to each other (educated guess)
o the study of production, employment, prices,
• Variable – a measure, such as price or quantity,
and policies on a nationwide scale.
that can take on values at different times
• Performance of the economy as a whole
• Big picture 4. Test the hypothesis – evidence
Benigno Aquino & Gloria Arroyo - Economist
THE SCIENTIFIC METHOD: Step by Step
o Simplification of economic reality A positive economic statement concerns what is; it can
o Important elements of the problem be supported or rejected by reference to facts.
o Make predictions about the real world
• Assertion about economic reality
❖ Good theory
• Supported or rejected by evidence
o Guide • True or false
• ‘What is’
o Sort, save, understand information
Acctg 1102 - Managerial Economics (Midterm)
A normative economic statement concerns what • The mistake of ignoring secondary effects:
should be; it reflects an opinion and cannot be shown (unintended consequences of policy)
to be true or false by reference to the facts. o Unintended consequences
(prescriptive in nature) o Train Law
is true for the group, or the whole. for the purpose of facilitating decision-making and
o What is true for the individual is true forward planning” – Milton H. Spencer
“Price theory in the service of business executives is • The predictions are supported by the empirical
known as Managerial economics” – Donald Stevenson evidence
Watson
Reference: Managerial Economics -- Howard Davies and Pun-Lee - cannot say to a manager: “behave AS IF you
Lam had perfect knowledge”
o identify the new equilibrium, e.g: in o for instance, the firm may be assumed
neo-classical model of the firm to behave “as if” its managers had
▪ When demand increases? perfect knowledge of its environment
▪ When costs rise?
• If the aim is to produce decision-rules which
▪ When a fixed cost increases?
o This is the main purpose of the model - can be applied by practising managers,
what it was designed to do unrealistic assumptions will produce decision-
• Normative prescriptions rules which are not operational
o it will cost me $30 per unit to supply o for instance, set output and price by
something which will give me $20 per MC=MR (marginal cost = marginal
unit in revenue – should I do it? – I must revenue)
pay $20 billion to set up in my industry.
HOW CAN MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS ASSIST
Should I charge higher prices to get
DECISION-MAKING?
that money back?
• Positive and normative are linked by “if?” 1. Adopt a general perspective, not a sample of one
o IF the aim of the firm is to maximise 2. Simple models provide stepping stone to more
complexity and realism
profit what will it do/what should it do?
3. Thinking logically has value itself and can expose
WHAT IS THE PURPOSE OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS? sloppy thinking
❖ These purposes are different, they can lead to o In managerial economics, the emphasis is upon
misunderstanding, and economists are not the firm, the environment in which the firm
always honest about the limitations of their finds itself, and the decisions which individual
approach for practical purposes. firms have to take.
o In industrial economics (or industrial
WHAT ARE THESE LIMITATIONS?
organization), the emphasis is (or was) upon
• If the aim is prediction, unrealistic assumptions
are acceptable and may be needed;
Acctg 1102 - Managerial Economics (Midterm)
the behavior of the whole industry, in which the Conduct: the behavior of firms in the market, e.g.
firm is simply a component. pricing behavior advertising, innovation.
Three questions to find the source of the problem: o Why are people making mistakes?
o What can we do to make them change?
1) Who is making the bad decision?
• Economists use the rational-actor paradigm to
2) Does the decision maker have enough information to
make a good decision? model behavior.
3) Does the decision maker have the incentive to make • The rational actor paradigm states:
a good decision? o People act rationally, optimally, self-
Answers to these questions will suggest solutions: interestedly
1) Letting someone with better information or o Meaning, they respond to incentives – to
incentives make the decision change behavior you must change
2) Giving the decision maker more information incentives.
3) Changing the decision maker’s incentives.
Acctg 1102 - Managerial Economics (Midterm)
1) Senior management made the bad decision to 1) Who is making the bad decision?
overbid.
o The mechanic recommended unnecessary
2) They had enough information to make the right repairs.
decision.
2) Does the decision maker have enough information
3) They didn’t have the incentive to do so. to make a good decision?
A bonus system created incentives to over-bid. o Yes, in fact, the mechanic is the only one
with enough information to know whether
• Senior managers were rewarded for acquiring repairs are necessary.
reserves regardless of their profitability. 3) Does the decision maker have the incentive to make
• They had the young geologist “do what he a good decision?
could” to increase the size of estimated
o No, the mechanic is evaluated based on the
reserves. amount of repair work he does, and receives
bonuses or commissions tied to the amount of
• Bonuses also created an incentive to
repair work.
manipulate the reserve estimate
NAR Solution
Solution to Overbidding Problem
There was an incentive issue
Now that we know what is wrong, how do we fix it?
o NAR tried two solutions
• Let someone else decide? NO
• Change information flow? NO 1) reorganized into two division – led to colluding
• Change incentives? YES
o Collusion – backdoor agreement
❖ Change performance evaluation metric
o non-competitive, secret, and
• Ex: Increased profitability as
sometimes illegal agreement between
measurement of success instead of
rivals which attempts to disrupt the
increased acquired reserves
market's equilibrium
❖ Reward scheme
o conspire to work together to gain an
• Ex: Make bonuses tied to profitability,
unfair market advantage.
not acquired reserves
2) adopted flat pay (fixed pay) – led to less incentive to
NAR Problem work hard
In 2006, a TV reporter was sent into a National Auto o Suggested resolution: add an additional
Repair (NAR) shop with a perfectly good car performance evaluation metric to original
commission scheme
o The reporter came out with a new muffler and
▪ Ex: Sporadically send in “secret
transmission – and a bill for over $8,000
shoppers” like the news reporter
o The news story badly hurt NAR’s profits
❖ This shows the trade-offs you face when
How do you solve this problem? creating solutions (one thing increases, and
another must decrease)
Acctg 1102 - Managerial Economics (Midterm)
VALUE SYSTEM
MODULE 2 Apartments
The One Lesson of Business
Suppose you want to move from Detroit to Nashville.
First, you would try a two-way trade. Failing that, you’d
o Voluntary transactions create wealth by
try a three-way connection with another city.
moving assets from lower- to higher-valued
uses. o Need to find correct trades with correct timing
The buyer values the house at $130,000 Do mergers follow the wealth-creating engine of
o This is the buyer’s top dollar – willingness to pay capitalism? Do they move assets to a higher-valued
o This is the seller’s bottom line – won’t accept o Our largest and most valuable assets are
less
corporations.
The buyer and seller must agree to a price that “splits”
o Merger - there is an accounting entity, there is
surplus between buyer and seller. Here, $128,000.
a surviving entity
SURPLUS o Example: A acquired B, the surviving
company is A. The resulting company is
The buyer and seller both benefit from this transaction:
A.
BUYER SURPLUS = buyer’s value minus the price
o For business consolidation: A and B. The
(market equilibrium) resulting company is C.
$10,000 are the gains from trade o However, many mergers and acquisitions do
not create value
Wealth-Creating Transactions
o If they do, value creation is rarely so
Which assets do these transactions move to higher-
clear
valued uses?
o To create value, the assets of the acquired firm
• Price Controls Destroy Wealth: • They buy raw materials (capital, labor, etc.) and
o Example: rent control (price ceiling) in create and sell higher-valued goods and
New York City deters transactions services
between owners and renters • Can equate market-level problems (taxes,
o Government could set the legal subsidies and price controls) with organization-
minimum amount and maximum level goal alignment problems
amount. o Ex: The overbidding from the oil
o Department of Trade and Industry company = “subsidy” paid to
Which assets end up in lower-valued uses? management for acquiring oil reserves
• Allows us to use the same analysis
Price ceiling – When the government sets a maximum
price for a specific goods or services
Stossel on Vanderbilt's GREED
- The lower the price celling, the more the
deadweight loss and inefficiency
- Only has an effect on the market when it’s Vanderbilt got so rich by pleasing lots of people.
below the equilibrium price
o He did that by making travel and shipping
Price floor – is a law that sets a minimum price in a cheaper
specific market • He used bigger and faster ships
• Served food on board
- The idea is to help by keeping the price
artificially high and not allowing the price to o All this lowered his cost so much that he caught
Taxes create a profit opportunity o Competitors and the government called him a
monopolist
o Discussion: 1983 Sweden tax
o He had to persuade people by offering oil for a
Subsidies create opportunity
lesser price
o Discussion: health insurance
• Working-class people could now afford
Price-controls create opportunity
fuel for their lanterns
o Discussion: Regulation Q. & euro dollars
o Discussion: What about ethics?
❖ Their greed did more than make them rich. It
gave the rest of us good things.
Wealth Creation in Organizations
In computing costs and benefits, consider all costs and Big Coal Power Company
benefits that vary with the consequences of a decision
Big Coal Power Co. switched to an 8400 coal when the
and only those costs and benefits that vary with the
price fell 5% below the price of 8800 coal
consequences of the decision.
o 8400 coal generates 5% less power than 8800
o These are the relevant costs and benefits of a
o The manager was compensated based on the
decision.
average cost of electricity, and expected this
Fixed costs do not vary with the amount of output. move to save money
o Instead – company profit reduced
• Regardless whether you produce or not these
costs are being incurred Why? What happened?
Big Coal Solution
Variable costs change as output changes.
Use our three questions for analysis
o Decisions that change output will change only
variable costs. 1) Who is making the bad decision?
Accounting profit does not necessarily correspond to • The plant manager made the switch to the
real or economic profit. lower-priced 8400 coal.
The fixed-cost fallacy or sunk-cost fallacy means that 2) Did he have enough information to make a good
you consider irrelevant costs. decision?
o A common fixed-cost fallacy is to let overhead • Yes, presumably he knew that this would reduce
or depreciation costs influence short-run his output.
decisions.
Acctg 1102 - Managerial Economics (Midterm)
3) Did he have the incentive to make a good decision? o Payments to your accountants to prepare your
tax returns. (fixed)
• No, because he was evaluated based on the o Electricity to run the candy making machines.
(variable)
average cost of electricity produced at his plant. o Fees to design the packaging of your candy bar.
(fixed)
Lesson From Coal Problem o Costs of material for packaging. (variable,
depends on the no. of production and materials
• The plant manager should have considered all to be used)
the costs of switching to the lower Btu coal
o Namely, the lost electricity Real Example: Cadbury (Bombay)
• Average costs can be a poor measure of plant Beginning in 1978, Cadbury offered managers’ free
performance housing in company owned flats to offset the high cost
• Need to align incentives of a business unit with of living. (stay in)
the goals of the parent company
o In 1991, Cadbury added low-interest housing
Background: Types of Costs loans to its benefits package.
o Definition: Fixed costs do not vary with the o Managers moved out of the company housing
o Definition: Variable costs change as output o The empty company flats remained on
changes. (increases as you produce more) Cadbury’s balance sheet for 6 years.
Total cost = combination of total fixed cost and total reduce capital expenditures if they do not cover
variable cost. (total FC + total VC) costsSenior managers then decided to sell the
unused apartments after seeing the implicit
Example: A Candy Factory
cost of capital.
o The cost of the factory is fixed.
o Employee pay and cost of ingredients are
variable costs.
When making decisions, you should consider all costs You buy a ticket for $20. Scalpers are selling tickets for
and benefits that vary with the consequence of a $50 because your team is playing cross-state rivals
decision and only costs and benefits that vary with the
o You go to the game, saying, “These tickets cost
decision.
me only $20.” WRONG
o These are the relevant costs and relevant o The tickets really cost you $50 because you give
benefits of a decision. up the opportunity to scalp them by going
o Unless you value them at $50, you are sitting on
You can make only two mistakes
an unconsummated wealth-creating
o You can consider irrelevant costs transaction
o You can ignore relevant ones
Example: Should You Fire an Employee?
Definition: The fixed-cost/sunk-cost fallacy means you
The revenue he provides to the company is $2,500 per
make decisions using irrelevant costs and benefits
month
Fixed-Cost/Sunk-Cost Fallacy Examples
o His wages are $1,900 per month
Football game: o His office could be rented out $800 per month
You pay $20 for a ticket. At halftime, you’re team is o YES, you are only making $600 a month from
losing by 56 points. You say you’ll stay to get your this employee but could make $800 a month
money’s worth, but you can’t get your money’s worth! from renting his office
o The ticket price does not vary whether you stay Subprime Mortgages
or leave – it’s a sunk cost and irrelevant. The subprime mortgage crisis of 2008 is a good example
You are in a new products division and will be able to Credit-rating agencies failed to recognize the higher
distribute a new product through your existing sales costs of loans made by dubious lenders.
force. You will be forced to pay for a portion of the sales o Example: Long Beach Financial
force. o Gave loans out to homeowners with bad credit,
o If you believe this “overhead” is big enough to asked for no proof of income, deferred interest
then you’ve committed the sunk-cost fallacy Credit ratings didn’t reflect the hidden costs of risky
Definition: ignoring relevant costs (costs that vary with o As a result, many Wall Street investors
the consequences of your decision) when making a purchased packaged risky loans and eventually
o EVA® = net operating profit after taxes minus • EVA® is no better or worse
o Makes visible the hidden cost of capital Not enough information or bad incentives are not the
only causes for business mistakes.
The major benefit of EVA is identifying costs. If you
cannot measure something, you cannot control it. • Often psychological biases get in the way of
rational decision making.
o Those who control costs should be responsible
for them. Definition:
• Does it help avoid the hidden cost fallacy? and to ignore information that contradicts
would have to value seeing Eric Clapton for you Total net benefits = total benefits – total costs,
maximized at optimal choice
to choose his concert?
❖ Rational agents consider opportunity costs,
A. $0 B. $10 C. $40 D. $50 whether implicit or explicit, when calculating
the total
Profit = Total revenue – Total cost • Economic profit = total revenue minus total
costs (including explicit and implicit costs)
❖ Total revenue - the amount a firm receives
from the sale of its output
❖ Accounting profit ignores implicit costs, so it’s
❖ Total cost - the market value of the inputs a
higher than economic profit.
firm uses in production
ACTIVE LEARNING 2
Costs: Explicit vs. Implicit
Economic profit vs. accounting profit
• Explicit costs require an outlay of money, e.g.,
The equilibrium rent on office space has just increased
paying wages to workers. (recorded in the
by $500/month. (The rent on office space increases
accounting records) $500/month)
• Implicit costs do not require a cash outlay, e.g., Compare the effects on accounting profit and economic
the opportunity cost of the owner’s time. profit if:
Remember one of the Ten Principles: a. you rent your office space
• Explicit costs increase $500/month.
The cost of something is what you give up to get it
• Accounting profit & economic profit
• This is true whether the costs are implicit or
each fall $500/month.
explicit. Both matter for firms’ decisions.
b. you own your office space
• The relevant costs and benefits of an extent • During this process, the chief of obstetrics
decision are marginal costs and marginal proposed an increase in the number of babies
o If the marginal revenue of an activity is • The CEO wondered why since the cost of
larger than the marginal cost, then do delivering babies was higher than the revenues
• An incentive compensation scheme that • The CEO’s mistake: He began with the costs
o Fixed fees have no effects on effort looking at average cost, which include
• A good incentive compensation scheme links costs that do not vary with the decision.
pay to performance measures that reflect o If he had ignored fixed costs, he would
Average cost (AC) is simply the total cost (TC) of Marginal cost is the additional cost to make and sell
production divided by the number of units produced one additional unit of output (Q)
(Q).
MC = TCQ+1 – TCQ
AC = TC/Q
MC = change in total cost/change in quantity
• Average costs often decrease as quantity
• Marginal cost is often lower than average cost
increases due to presence of fixed costs (FC)
(due to fixed costs) but not always
o AC = (VC + FC)/Q
• Marginal costs are what matter in extent
o FC does not change as Q increases
decisions
• Key note: Average costs are not relevant to
extent decisions Marginal revenue (MR) is the additional revenue
gained from producing and selling one more unit.
Extent Decisions
$50,000 /1,000 = $50 estimated marginal cost • A textile company with manufacturing plants in
Latin America uses SAH=“Standard Absorbed
If the marginal revenue generated by this customer is
Hours” a measure of textile factory output
greater than $50, do more advertising.
o Allows managers to compare factories
Advertising Extent Decision Example (cont.) making different items, e.g. t-shirt = 1 SAH
• You know the direction (do more), but you do while dress = 3 SAH
not know how far to go • Suppose Factory A has costs of $30 per SAH
• You have to take a step and re-compute while Factory B has cost of $20 per SAH. How
marginal cost and benefit to see if you should can you profitably use this information?
continue in the direction your analysis originally • Should you move production to cheaper
• Also, even if we do not know the marginal o Make sure you are not including fixed
different media
Acctg 1102 - Managerial Economics (Midterm)
o If the $20 and $30 rates are good MC o The landowner receives less money
proxies, shift some production from since the logger only harvests one type
Factory A to Factory B of tree
o Royalties deter some wealth-creating
Incentive Pay
transactions as fir trees are not
Royalty rates vs. fixed fee contracts harvested
How hard to work is an extent decision so you can Sales Commission Example
design incentives to encourage hard work by using
Motivating salespeople:
marginal analysis
• Expected sales level: 100 units @ $10,000/unit
• Example: You receive two bids to harvest 100
= $1M
trees on your land
o Option 1: 10% commission
o $150/tree or $15,000 for the right to
o Option 2: 5% commission + $50,000
harvest all the trees.
salary
o On your tract there are pines (worth
▪ Hint: consider incentives for
$200) and fir (worth $100).
salespeople
o Which offer should you accept?
• Use Option 1 because MR = $1000/sale >
▪ Hint: consider the effects of
$500/sale, the MR under Option 2
the two bids on the incentives
• The sales force responds to larger marginal
of the logger.
benefits of selling with more effort
Tree Harvesting Answer o Lower sales effort under option 2 is
The bids have the same face value, but are very called “shirking”
• Fixed fee: the logger will ignore the $15,000 A consulting firm COO received a flat salary of $75,000
because it doesn’t vary with the decision to cut
• After learning about the benefits of incentive
down trees.
pay in class, the CEO changed COO
o The logger will end up cutting down all
compensation to $50K + (1/3)* (Profits-$150K)
trees that are profitable to cut down,
• Profits increased 74% to $1.2 M
MR>MC
• Compensation increased $75K -> $177K
• Royalty Rate: The logger will only cut down
trees that generate profit of $150, Discussion: What are the disadvantages to incentive
MR>MC+150 pay?
o Mix of $200- and $100-value trees –
• Some argues that it creates a gap between
logger will harvest only the $200
employees because you are not allocating the
incentive fairly to all.
Acctg 1102 - Managerial Economics (Midterm)
0 0 20 20 - -
1 12 20 32 12 30
2 22 20 42 10 30
3 27 20 47 5 30
4 40 20 60 13 30
5 60 20 80 20 30
6 100 20 120 40 30
Given: Price = 30 = MR
0 0 20 20 - - - -
1 12 20 32 12 30 30 -2
2 22 20 42 10 30 60 18
3 27 20 47 5 30 90 43
4 40 20 60 13 30 120 60
5 60 20 80 20 30 150 70
6 100 20 120 40 30 180 60
Acctg 1102 - Managerial Economics (Midterm)
Mr. Matthews decided not to buy the building. A good A good compounding rule of thumb:
decision – one year later, the cost of capital was
“Rule of 72”: If you invest at a rate of return r, divide 72
10.125% and Mr. Matthews could offer only $5.4
by r to get the number of years it takes to double your
million for the building.
money
Example: Nashville Pension Obligations The NPV Rule: if the present value of the net cash flows
is larger than zero, then the project earns more than the
The city of Nashville uses discounting to decide how
cost of capital.
much to save for future pension obligations.
NPV > O, earns more than the costs of capital
For a pension that pays out $100,000 in 20 years, with
a discount rate of 8.25% Nashville must save: o Project is profitable if the value is greater than
zero
$100,000/(1.0825)20 =$20,485
The NPV Rule in Action
• If the city invests the $20,485 and e arns 8.25%,
then the savings will compound in 20 years – Consider two projects that each require an initial
unrealistic! investment of $100
• Somewhat of high savings rate that may not be
• Project 1 returns $115 at the end of the first
returned; however, a high savings rate means year
less current spending, which is politically • Project 2 returns $60 at the end of the first, and
$60 at the end of the second
popular • The company’s cost of capital is 14%
• A more realistic (but less popular) discount rate
would be 6.5%, which would lead to saving
$28,380 now.
• Companies use discount rates, which are NPV and Economic Profit
determined by cost of capital.
o Projects with a positive NPV create economic
o A company’s cost of capital is a blend of
profit.
debt and equity, its “weighted average
• Only positive NPV projects earn a
cost of capital” or WACC
return higher than the company’s cost
• Time is a critical element in investment
of capital.
decisions
o Projects with negative NPV may create
o Value of money might be different in
accounting profits, but not economic profit.
the future period – not the same as you
• In making investment decisions,
expect it.
choose only projects with a positive
o Cash flows to be received in the future
NPV
need to be discounted to present value
o IRR – you have to interpolate to arrive at the
using the cost of capital correct value
• Effective tool in making decisions
(project possibility study)
Acctg 1102 - Managerial Economics (Midterm)
The break-even quantity is the amount you need to sell In 1983, John Deere was in the midst of building a
to just cover your costs
Henry-Ford-style production line factory for large 4WD
o At this sales level, profit is zero
tractors
o Neither earning or incurring losses
o Unexpectedly, wheat prices fell dramatically
o If your break- even is lower, you could reach
reducing demand for large tractors
your goal a little bit earlier and then surpass
your break- even Deere decided to abandon the new factory and instead
purchased Versatile, a company that assembled
The break-even quantity is:
tractors in a garage using off-the-shelf components
Q=FC / (P-MC)
• Deere chose one manufacturing technology
FC - fixed costs P - price MC - marginal cost
over another
left after marginal cost to “contribute” to factory had big FC and small MC,
Nissan’s popular truck model, the Titan, had only two Was purchasing Versatile the right choice?
Nissan had a 3% share of the market, implying only • If you expect to sell less than 5 units, choose the
12,000 Titan sales per year – not enough to break even. low-MC technology
• If you expect to sell more than 5 units, choose
• Instead they decided to license the Dodge Ram
the low-FC technology
Truck, which would reduce the fixed cost of
redesign, and a lower break-even point. John Deere Lesson
• After the Government took over Chrysler, John Deere made the right decision by acquiring
• John Deere and Versatile were only two of 4 o Long-run: fixed costs become avoidable
firms selling 4WD tractors in North America. so they are included in the shutdown
price
Break-Even Advice
▪ Long run = longer timeline,
Remember this advice: Do not invoke break-even longer time period
analysis to justify higher prices or greater output. ▪ More than a year
• Managers sometimes believe they must raise o Short run: they are unavoidable and
prices to cover fixed costs or they must sell as should not be included in the shutdown
Example: FC=$100, MC=$5, and you produce 100 • What would you do to address hold up?
units/year
Vertical Integration
Break – even point – The sales volume where neither If the business sells more than 50,000 units (the green
profit nor loss is made area), then the contribution margin is higher than fixed
costs (CM > FC), the business makes a profit.
alternative way of saying the same thing: the break –
even point is the sales volume where Contribution
Margin = Fixed Cost
Contribution Margin = revenue minus variable cost (P- Volume sold (Q) = Fixed Cost $/ (Price per unit – Variable
Work on all these variables at the same time, and the How much money will I have two years from now if I
break – even point becomes dynamic instead of static invest $100 at an expected 20% annual return?
PRESENT VALUE
$100 = $120/1.2
$𝟏𝟎𝟎 = 144/(1.2)2
Acctg 1102 - Managerial Economics (Midterm)
o The project is expected to provide four years’ ❖ The word ‘Net’ in the term ‘Net Present Value’
worth of benefits of nominally $400 per year, means deducting the investment amount from
and an investment today of $1000 to launch the the present values of the future cash flows.
project
As the net present value of this project is positive, it is
o We take a fairly high WACC of 20% in this
worth pursuing.
calculation.
NPV > 0 Accept
What is the present value of a $400 benefit that we o Accept the project proposal as it creates value
𝑭𝑽/(𝟏 + 𝒘𝒆𝒊𝒈𝒉𝒕𝒆𝒅 𝒂𝒗𝒆𝒓𝒂𝒈𝒆 𝒄𝒐𝒔𝒕 𝒐𝒇 𝒄𝒂𝒑𝒊𝒕𝒂𝒍)𝒏 = 𝑷𝑽 If the net present value of the project would have been
negative, it would not be worth pursuing.
$400/(1.2)1 = $𝟑𝟑𝟑
NPV < 0 Reject
$400/(1.2)2 = $𝟐𝟕𝟖, two years from now
o Reject the project proposal, as it does not
$400/(1.2)3 = $𝟐𝟑𝟏, three years from now
create value for the company.
4
$400/(1.2) = $𝟏𝟗𝟑, four years from now
o Elastic Demand (|e| > 1): Quantity changes • Finally tested a price increase, experienced
more than price. profit increase of 20%
o Inelastic Demand (|e| < 1): Quantity changes
Why? Profit= (P-C) x Q
less than price.
• Businesses tend to focus on C and Q, neglect P
• In many instances, companies can make money
MR > MC implies that (P - MC)/P > 1/|e|; in words, if
by simply raising price
the actual margin is bigger than the desired margin,
reduce price
Curves
Demand curves describe buyer behavior and tell you Marginal analysis finds the profit increasing solution to
how much they will buy at a given price the pricing trade-off.
Fundamental tradeoff:
• Lower price → sell more, but earn less on each How Do We Estimate MR?
[(q1 -q2)/(q1+q2)]
[(p1 -p2)/(p1+p2)]
Discussion: Compute elasticity, when price changes
from $10 to $8, and quantity changes from 1 to 2? 3
Price increase → Revenue increase (decrease in Q is Revenue and price elasticity are related by the following
smaller than increase in P) approximation.
If demand is elastic
• If P then Rev
• If P then Rev
Acctg 1102 - Managerial Economics (Midterm)
4. In the long run, demand curves become more elastic. (%change in quantity demanded) (%change in income)
• This can also be explain by the speed at which o Inferior goods (negative): as income increases,
consumers to find more substitutes in the long o normal goods (positive): as income increases,
Example: ATM fees Cross-price elasticity of good one with respect to the
price of good two.
• At a selected number of ATMs, a bank raised
user fees from $1.50 to $2.00. (%change in quantity of good one) (%change in price of
users typically completed the current o Substitute (positive): as the price of a substitute
transaction but avoided the higher increases, demand increases
priced ATMs in the future o Complement (negative): as the price of a
complement increase, demand decreases
Acctg 1102 - Managerial Economics (Midterm)
Stay-even analysis tells you how many sales you need Proposition: The individual brand demand elasticity is
when changing price to maintain the same profit level approximately equal to the industry elasticity divided by
the brand share.
• How to implement marginal analysis of pricing
using stay-even quantity: • Discussion: Suppose that the elasticity of
demand for running shoes is –0.4 and the
%ΔQ = (%ΔP)
market share of a Saucony brand running shoe
(%ΔP + margin)
is 20%. What is the price elasticity of demand
Margin=40%, %ΔP=5%, then %ΔQ = 11.1%
for Saucony running shoes?
In other words, a 5% price increase would be profitable
if quantity went down by less than 11.1%. Proposition: Demand for aggregate categories is less-
elastic than demand for the individual brands in
• Use elasticity estimates or marketing surveys to
aggregate.
determine whether quantity would go down by
11.1% Title?
Our expression for optimal pricing, MR=MC or • Interest rates and unemployment shot up
(PMC)/P= 1/|e|, takes into account the firm’s cost • Overall economy slowed dramatically and
• Often, the consumer side is ignored in pricing Concurrently, demand for Sara Lee hot dogs declined
decisions, leading to cost-based pricing. Why? • This surprised managers because they thought
• Often, firms do not have the demand picture demand would hold steady, or even increase,
• They need to invest in a market research since hot dogs were more of a consumer staple
division to take profitability seriously than a luxury item.
Extra: Quick and Dirty estimators • Surveys revealed the decline was mostly
confined to premium hot dogs
Linear Demand Curve Formula:
• And, consumers were using creative substitutes
𝑚𝑎𝑥
e = p / (𝑝 − p) • Lower priced brands did take off but were priced
too low.
Discussion:
o Your costs are rising (including the opp. cost of 𝑷𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒆 𝒆𝒍𝒂𝒔𝒕𝒊𝒄𝒊𝒕𝒚 𝒐𝒇 𝒅𝒆𝒎𝒂𝒏𝒅
Basic idea: Elasticity measures how much one variable Along a D curve, P and Q move in opposite directions,
responds to changes in another variable. which would make price elasticity negative.
• One type of elasticity measures how much ❖ We will drop the minus sign and report all
demand for your websites will fall if you raise price elasticities as positive numbers.
Standard method of computing the percentage (%) P falls 20%, Q rises 50%, elasticity = 50/20 = 2.50
change:
Going from A to B, the % change in P equals: “start” and which as the “end” – you get the
same answer either way
($250–$200)/$200 = 25%
A C T I V E L E A R N I N G 1:
Calculate an elasticity
if P = $70, 𝑄 𝑑 = 5000
if P = $90, 𝑄 𝑑 = 3000
Acctg 1102 - Managerial Economics (Midterm)
% change in P EXAMPLE 2:
What lesson does the example teach us about the The prices of both of these goods rise by 20%. For which
determinants of the price elasticity of demand? good does 𝑸𝒅 drop the most? Why?
A Summary
Price elasticity of demand The slope of a linear demand curve is constant, but its
elasticity is not.
% 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑄 > 𝟏𝟎%
= =>𝟏
% 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑃 𝟏𝟎%
A price increase has two effects on revenue: If demand is inelastic, then price elastic of demand < 1
𝑷𝒆𝒓𝒄𝒆𝒏𝒕𝒂𝒈𝒆 𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒏𝒈𝒆 𝒊𝒏 𝑸𝒅
=
𝑷𝒆𝒓𝒄𝒆𝒏𝒕𝒂𝒈𝒆 𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒏𝒈𝒆 𝒊𝒏 𝑷
Revenue = P x Q
A C T I V E L E A R N I N G 2:
❖ When D is elastic, a price increase causes Since demand is inelastic, Q will fall less than 10%, so
revenue to fall. expenditure rises.
Acctg 1102 - Managerial Economics (Midterm)
B. As a result of a fare war, the price of a luxury Since demand for drugs is inelastic, P rises
cruise falls 20%. Does luxury cruise companies’ proportionally more than Q falls.
total revenue rise or fall?
Result: an increase in total spending on drugs, and in
Revenue = P x Q
drug-related crime
The fall in P reduces revenue, but Q increases, which
❖ Shifting of the curve is different from
increases revenue.
movement along the curve.
Since demand is elastic, Q will increase more than 20%, o Movement – the factor is price
so revenue rises. (price increases revenue to fall; o Shifting – other price factor, many
however, since price decreases and the quantity determinants.
increased by more than 20%, so revenue rises)
Policy 2: Education
𝑷𝒆𝒓𝒄𝒆𝒏𝒕𝒂𝒈𝒆 𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒏𝒈𝒆 𝒊𝒏 𝑸𝒔
=
𝑷𝒆𝒓𝒄𝒆𝒏𝒕𝒂𝒈𝒆 𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒏𝒈𝒆 𝒊𝒏 𝑷
% 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑄 𝟎%
= =0
% 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑃 𝟏𝟎%
𝟏𝟔%
elasticity of supply equals = 2.0
𝟖%
Rule of thumb:
Elasticity and changes in equilibrium Supply often becomes less elastic as Q rises, due to
capacity limits.
The supply of beachfront property is inelastic. The
supply of new cars is elastic.
Other Elasticities
Formula:
𝑷𝒆𝒓𝒄𝒆𝒏𝒕 𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒏𝒈𝒆 𝒊𝒏 𝑸𝒅
=
Answers 𝑷𝒆𝒓𝒄𝒆𝒏𝒕 𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒏𝒈𝒆 𝒊𝒏 𝒊𝒏𝒄𝒐𝒎𝒆
When supply is inelastic, an increase in demand has a
Recall from chapter 4: An increase in income causes an
bigger impact on price than on quantity.
increase in demand for a normal good.
SOLUTION