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Probability
Quarter 3 – Module 8:
Length of Confidence Interval
and Appropriate Sample Size
What I Need to Know
What I Know
B. Find the length of the confidence interval given the following data:
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Lesson
Length of Confidence and
1 Appropriate Sample Size
How large should be the sample? Many researchers find this a problem. In
fact, many rely on old methods to determine the sample size they need in their
investigations. This problem must be addressed carefully because needlessly large
samples are a waste of important resources. On the other hand, insufficient sample
size may lead to poor results.
What’s In
A. Fill in the blank with the correct word or group of words to make a meaningful
statement. Write your answer on a separate sheet of paper.
1. 1 – 0.38
2. (0.35) (0.65)
1.96(2)
3. 0.06
2
(1.96)(5.3)
4. ( 0.2 )
(2.58)(2.5) 2
5. ( 0.10 )
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Note to the Teacher
In this module, the learners will be able to know how to compute for the length of the
confidence interval and for an appropriate sample size needed using the length of
interval.
What’s New
Definition of Terms
1. Confidence interval - In statistics, this refers to the probability that
a Population parameter will fall between a set of values for a certain proportion of
times. Confidence intervals measure the degree of uncertainty or certainty in
a sampling method. They can take any number of probability limits, with the most
common being a 95% or 99% confidence level.
2. Narrowness of the interval – This pertains to a small width in relation to the
length of the confidence interval.
Formula:
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Example 1. Find the length of the confidence interval 0. 275<p<0.360
Solution:
Steps Solution
1. Determine the given. UCL = 0.360
LCL = 0.275
2. Use the formula for Length of LCl = UCL – LCL
Confidence Interval.
3. Substitute the given value, then LCI = 0.360 - 0.275
perform the indicated operation. LCI = 0.085
Solution:
Steps Solution
1. Determine the given. UCL = 0.805
LCL = 0.526
2. Use the formula for Length of LCl = UCL – LCL
Confidence Interval.
3. Substitute the given value, then LCI = 0.805 - 0.526
perform the indicated operation. LCI = 0.279
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What is It
𝝈 𝝈
𝒙
̅ − 𝒛𝒂⁄𝟐< 𝒖 < 𝒙
̅ − 𝒛𝒂⁄ √𝒏
√𝒏 𝟐
Example 3: Find the length of the confidence interval given the following data:
Solution:
Steps Solution
1. Determine the given. = 0.3, n =70, confidence level=95%
2. Determine the (1- 𝑎)100% = 95% Find 𝑎 in equation (1-
confidence coefficient. 𝑎)100% = 95% where in
95% is the given
confidence level.
(1- 𝑎) = 95% 100% of (1 - 𝑎) = (1 - 𝑎)
(1- 𝑎 )= 0.95 Charge 95% to decimal
number.
(1- 𝑎) - 1 = 0.95 -1 Subtraction property of
equality.
(-1)(-𝑎) = (-0.05)(-1) Multiplication property of
𝒂 = 0.05 equality.
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Subtract 0.025 from
0.500 - 0.025 = 0.475 0.500 (which is half the
area of the Standard
Normal Curve).
𝒛𝒂⁄ = 1.96 Hence, Using the Area
𝟐
under the Standard
Normal Curve Table,
as 𝑠ℎ𝑜𝑤𝑛 𝑏𝑒𝑙𝑜𝑤.
𝒔
3. Substitute the values LCl = 𝟐𝒛𝒂 . Use this formula to solve
⁄𝟐 √ 𝒏
in the formula and for the length of
compute. confidence interval.
𝝈 0.3
LCl = 𝟐𝒛𝒂 . LCl = 𝟐(1.96) ( ) Supplies the values,
⁄𝟐 √𝒏
√70
then multiply
2(1.96)(0.3).
LCl =
1.176 Divide 1.176 by √60.
√70
B. Find the length of the confidence interval given the following data:
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2. = 0.5, n = 50, confidence level 95%
Where:
𝒕𝒂⁄𝟐 – is the t value
𝝈– standard deviation
𝒏– sample size
Example 4: Find the length of the confidence interval, given the following data:
Solution:
Steps Solution
1. Determine the given. s = 6.5, n= 15,
confidence level = 99%
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(-1)(-𝑎) = (-0.01)(-1) Multiplication property of
equality.
a = 0.01
LCl =
38.701 Divide 38.701 by √15.
√15
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Try this:
C. Find the length of the confidence interval given the following data:
In deriving the formula for the sample size, there are two things to remember
when we decided on the quality of the sample size that we need: confidence and the
narrowness of the interval.
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𝑧𝑎 2
2 ⁄ 2⋅ 𝜎 Square both sides.
(√𝑛) = ( )
𝐸
𝑧𝑎 2
⁄ ⋅𝜎 This is now the resulting formula for
𝑛=( 2
) sample size needed in estimating a
𝐸
population mean.
Formula in Determining the Minimum Sample Size Needed when Estimating the Population Mean
𝑧𝑎⁄ ⋅ 𝜎 2
𝑛 = ( 2)
𝐸
Where:
𝒛𝒂⁄𝟐 – is the z value
𝝈– standard deviation
𝒏– number of sample E– margin of error
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Solution:
Steps Solution
2 𝑛=( )
𝑛=( ) 0.06
𝐸 2
1.29
𝑛=( )
0.06
𝑛 = (21.5)2
Note: When Determining sample size, we always round up the resulting value to
the next whole number.
Rule: When the calculated sample size is not a whole number, it should
be rounded up to the next higher whole number.
Rule: Rounding up a sample size calculation for conservativeness ensures that
your sample size will always be the representative of the population.
Reference: https://www.isixsigma.com/tools-templates/sampling-data/rounding-and-round-rules
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Example 1. A sample size calculation determined that 2006.083 data points were
necessary to represent the population. In this case, 2007 data points
samples should be taken.
Answer: 410
Try this:
Kristine wants to replicate a certain study, where the lowest observed value
is 10.4 while the highest is 12.8. She wants to estimate the population mean µ to
within an error of 0.05 of its true value. Using 98% confidence level find the sample
size n that she needs.
Solution:
Steps Solution
1. Determine the given. 98% confidence, E = 0.06 kg, lowest observed value is
10.4 while the highest is 12.8.
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3. Determine the Since the range R = 12.8 – 10.4 = 2.4
standard deviation.
Then, using the formula
= 𝑅/4 = 2.4/4 = .6
𝑧𝑎 2
4. Substitute the values ⁄ ⋅𝜎
𝑛=( 2
)
in the formula and 𝐸
compute. 2
𝟐
(2.33)(0.6)
𝒛𝒂 𝑛=( )
⁄ ⋅𝝈 0.06
𝟐
𝒏=( )
𝑬 1.398
2
𝑛 = (0.06 )
𝑛 = (23.3)2
E. Solve this.
1. The school nurse of a certain school wants to conduct a survey about the average
number of students who buy snacks at the school canteen. If he plans to use 98%
confidence level, 3 as the margin of error, and a standard deviation of 15. How many
sample sizes does he need for the survey?
What’s More
Activity 2
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4. n = 644.o41
5. n = 932.63
C. Find the length of the confidence interval given the following data:(s – sample
standard deviation)
1. 𝑠 = 2.36, n = 350, confidence level: 99%
2. 𝑠 = 3.35, n = 250, confidence level: 99%
3. 𝑠 = 3, n = 275, confidence level: 95%
4. 𝑠 = 6, n = 425, confidence level: 98%
5. 𝑠 = 9, n = 501, confidence level: 99%
D. Determine the sample size, given the following data: (s – sample standard
deviation)
1. 𝑠 = 5, E = 2.45, confidence level: 95%
2. 𝑠 = 7, E = 3.65, confidence level: 98%
3. 𝑠 = 4, E = 2.76, confidence level: 99%
4. 𝑠 = 8, E = 2.22, confidence level: 95%
5. 𝑠 = 3.3, E = 1.03, confidence level: 99%
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a (2) method. They can take any number of probability limits, with the
most common being a 95% or 99% confidence level.
There are two things to remember when we decided on the quality of the
sample size we need: (4) and the (5) of the interval.
What I Can Do
Solve the following problems. Write your answer on your answer sheet.
1. You want to estimate the mean gasoline price within your town to the margin of
error of 5 centavos. Local newspaper reports the standard deviation for gas price in
the area is 25 centavos. What sample size is needed to estimate the mean gas prices
at 95% confidence level?
2. Carlos wants to replicate a study where the highest lowest observed value is 13.8
while the lowest is 13.4. He wants to estimate the population mean µ to the margin
of error of 0.025 of its true value. Using 99% confidence level, find the sample size n
that he needs.
Assessment
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4. Upper confidence limit = 0.820
B. Find the length of the confidence interval given the following data:
12. Teacher Carol, wants to conduct a survey about the average number of students
in a certain school who wants online class instead of distance modular learning. If
she plans to use 99% confidence level, 0.5 as the margin of error, and a standard
deviation of 5. How many sample sizes does she need for the survey?
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Answer Key
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