Weekly demand of a single spare part

Week Demand Forecast (LT) Error

1 303 285.37 17.63
2 282 289.74 -7.74
3 268 294.10 -26.10
4 288 298.46 -10.46
5 336 302.83 33.17
6 370 307.19 62.81
7 358 311.55 46.45
8 367 315.92 51.08
9 318 320.28 -2.28
10 390 324.64 65.36
11 371 329.01 41.99
12 390 333.37 56.63
13 395 337.73 57.27
14 358 342.09 15.91
15 330 346.46 -16.46
16 290 350.82 -60.82
17 334 355.18 -21.18
18 396 359.55 36.45
19 390 363.91 26.09
20 340 368.27 -28.27
21 304 372.64 -68.64
22 309 377.00 -68.00
23 291 381.36 -90.36
24 350 385.73 -35.73
25 451 390.09 60.91
26 401 394.45 6.55
27 355 398.82 -43.82
28 420 403.18 16.82
29 334 407.54 -73.54
30 375 411.91 -36.91
31 385 416.27 -31.27
32 391 420.63 -29.63
33 396 425.00 -29.00
34 365 429.36 -64.36
35 384 433.72 -49.72
36 441 438.09 2.91
37 466 442.45 23.55
38 455 446.81 8.19
39 414 451.17 -37.17
40 434 455.54 -21.54
41 476 459.90 16.10
42 429 464.26 -35.26
43 453 468.63 -15.63
44 475 472.99 2.01
45 438 477.35 -39.35
46 444 481.72 -37.72
47 473 486.08 -13.08
48 500 490.44 9.56
49 514 494.81 19.19
50 556 499.17 56.83
51 543 503.53 39.47
52 530 507.90 22.10
53 549 512.26 36.74
54 596 516.62 79.38
55 531 520.99 10.01
56 523 525.35 -2.35
57 523 529.71 -6.71
58 512 534.08 -22.08
59 587 538.44 48.56
60 598 542.80 55.20
61 547

Mean absolute deviation

Absolute Squared Absolute
error error % error
17.63 310.70 5.82%
7.74 59.85 2.74%
26.10 681.19 9.74% b0 281.01
10.46 109.47 3.63% b1 4.36
33.17 1100.51 9.87%
62.81 3945.20 16.98%
46.45 2157.38 12.97%
51.08 2609.62 13.92%
2.28 5.19 0.72%
65.36 4271.67 16.76% Chart Title
41.99 1763.56 11.32%700
56.63 3207.14 14.52%
57.27 3279.67 14.50%600
15.91 252.98 4.44% f(x) = 4.36318421783829 x + 281.006214689266
500
16.46 270.87 4.99%
60.82 3699.22 20.97%400
21.18 448.78 6.34%
300
36.45 1328.78 9.21%
26.09 680.65 6.69%200
28.27 799.42 8.32%
68.64 4711.07 22.58%100
68.00 4624.05 22.01% 0
90.36 8165.58 31.05% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
35.73 1276.40 10.21%
60.91 3710.03 13.51%
6.55 42.86 1.63%
43.82 1919.88 12.34%
16.82 282.93 4.00%
73.54 5408.54 22.02%
36.91 1362.05 9.84%
31.27 977.76 8.12%
29.63 878.08 7.58%
29.00 840.74 7.32%
64.36 4142.06 17.63%
49.72 2472.28 12.95%
2.91 8.50 0.66%
23.55 554.68 5.05%
8.19 67.05 1.80%
37.17 1381.97 8.98%
21.54 463.89 4.96%
 16.10 259.17 3.38%
35.26 1243.58 8.22%
15.63 244.22 3.45%
2.01 4.04 0.42%
39.35 1548.74 8.98%
37.72 1422.59 8.49%
13.08 171.10 2.77%
9.56 91.32 1.91%
19.19 368.38 3.73%
56.83 3229.65 10.22%
39.47 1557.63 7.27%
22.10 488.57 4.17%
36.74 1349.86 6.69%
79.38 6300.74 13.32%
10.01 100.28 1.89%
2.35 5.52 0.45%
6.71 45.06 1.28%
22.08 487.33 4.31%
48.56 2358.19 8.27%
55.20 3046.82 9.23%

34.17 1643.25 8.79%

MAD MSE MAPE
Mean absolute deviation
Mean squared error
Mean absolute percent error
 Chart Title

x + 281.006214689266

30 40 50 60 70