Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Mare Sarr
School of Economics
University of Cape Town
29 June 2010
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Outline
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Outline
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Forests are logged for timber or burned to convert the land for
agriculture;
The underlying causes that typically explain why people act in such
a way that they may destroy or degrade natural environments are:
Economic growth
Population growth
Poverty
Underlying Causes: Market Failure
We need to explain what public goods are, the problems that they
give rise to for markets and their implication for environmental
degradation.
The fact that agents (private and government) do not have perfect
information about the consequences of their actions may result in
environmental degradation.
For example:
In fact things could even get worse (see illustration of the polluting
monopolist in Perman p142-143)
Underlying Causes: Government Failure
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First, are the data generally consistent with the EKC hypothesis?
Stern and Common (2001) present results that are not consistent
with the existence of an EKC for sulfur. The EKC hypothesis may
hold for some environmental impacts, but it does not hold for all.
Evidence on the EKC hypothesis
All the tted relationships are inverted U, consistent with the EKC
hypothesis. The turning point for SO2 is around $3000 per capita.
Implications of the EKC
These results might lead one to believe that, given likely future
levels of income per capita, the global environmental impact
concerned would decline in the medium term future.
million km
2 in 2025.
Implications of the EKC
Even if the data appear to conrm that the EKC ts the experience
of individual countries, it does not follow that further growth is
good for the global environment.
They then note that the EKC relationship has been shown to apply
to a selected set of pollutants only , but that some economists
have conjectured that the curve applies to environmental quality
generally .
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Many of the issues with which we deal in this text involve choices
with consequences that extend over time.
W = ϕ0 U0 + ϕ1 U1
So that W is a weighted average of the utilities for each generation.
1
W = U0 + U1
1+ρ
Discounting
Time discounting, for ρ >0 as generally assumed, means that
future utility `counts for less' than the same quantity of present
utility in obtaining a measure of intertemporal welfare.
T Ut
W = ∑ (1 + ρ)t
t =0
When T →∞ then
Ut
∞
W = ∑ (1 + ρ)t
t =0
−ρ t
∫ ∞
W = Ut e
0
Why discount future utility?
Ut th
The present value is , that is what the t generation's
(1 + ρ)t
utility counts for in a simple summation across generations. It is
what future utility is treated as being worth in welfare terms now.
The current worth given to utility of 100 one century ahead varies
from 75.13 for an annual discount rate of 0.27% to 12.5 for 2.0%.
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Table 4.2 lists six concepts that are used and discussed in the
sustainability literature.
Concepts of sustainability
Concepts of sustainability
The idea is that the present generation does not have the right to
deplete the opportunities aorded by the resource base since it does
not properly `own' it.
These stocks are nite and therefore are bound to run out some day
−ρ t
∫ ∞
max W = u (Ct )e dt (1)
Ct 0
s.t. K̇t = Q (Kt , Rt ) − Ct (2)
Taking Stock
The Hartwick rule will not result in constant consumption for ever
for case 1 and 2. Nor will it if α < β.
Is sustainability feasible? Substitution possibilitiesCase 3:
Qt = Ktα Rtβ with α + β = 1
The Hartwick rule is that at every point in time the total rent
arising in the resource extraction industry must be saved and
invested in reproducible (human-made) capital.
Following the Hartwick rule means that the total value of the
economy's stock of reproducible capital together with its stock of
the non-renewable resource is held constant over time
The value of the remaining stock of the resource declines, while the
value of the stock of reproducible capital increases in compensating
amount.
Is sustainability feasible? Substitution possibilitiesCase 3:
Qt = Ktα Rtβ with α + β = 1
The constant consumption level that goes with following the
Hartwick rule can be thought of as being like the interest on this
constant stock of total wealth.
Q2: Most oil-rich African countries, Nigeria, Congo Rep etc. and
Gulfe countries before the 1990s did not follow this model and
ended up with resource curse when commodity prices went down.
Instead of being invested productively most of resource rent was
either consumed immediately or invested in white elephants
Weak and strong sustainability