ASSIGNMENT 3

CST20103/CST10103 STATISTICS AND PROBABILITIES

DEADLINE: 6 DEC 2021
NAME :
MARK : /100 Marks
Answer all the questions.
1. There is a bag filled with 2 blue, 8 red and 2 yellow. Aireen picks a marble out the bag, notes
its colour and replaces it. She then takes another marble from a bag.

(a) Draw a tree diagram to represent the experiment and state the sample space S for the
experiment.

S = {bb, br, by, rb, rr, ry, yb,yr,yy}

(6 marks)
(b) What is the probability of:

i. getting 2 reds?

8 8
= x
12 12

4
=
9

(2 marks)

ii. getting 2 blues?

2 2
= x
12 12

1
=
36
(2 marks)

iii. getting 2 yellows?

2 2
= x
12 12

1
=
36

iv. getting 2 different colours?

2 8 2 2
=( x )+( x )
12 12 12 12

1 1
= +
9 36

5
=
36

(3 marks)
(c) A number from 1 to 20 is chosen at random. What is the probability of choosing;

i. an even number?

= ∴ even number between 1 to 20 = 2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12, 14, 16, 18, 20

10
=
20

1
=
2

(2 marks)

ii. prime number?

= ∴ prime number between 1 to 20 = 2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13, 17,19

= 8/20

= 2/5

(3 marks)
2. The probability distribution for random variable X is given in Table 1.

X 0 1 2
1 2 1
P(X=x)
4 4 4
Table 1: Probability distribution for X

(a) Compute the following :

i. Mean and variance

μ = (0x0.25) + (1x0.5) + (2x0.25)

= 0.5+0.5
=1

Var(x) = ∑ x 2p – μ2
= [(02x0.25) + (12x0.5) + (22x0.25)] - 12
= (0.5 + 1) – 12
= 1.5 – 12
= 0.5
(5 marks)

ii. Standard deviation

σ = √ var(x)
= √ 0.5
= 0.707

(2 marks)

iii. E(2X + 24)

E(2X + 24) = 2E(X) + 24

= 2(1) + 24
= 26

(3 marks)
(b) Suppose the scores on an IQ test are normally distributed. If the test has a mean of
100 and a standard deviation of 10, what is the probability that a person who takes
the test will score:

i. between 90 and 110?

P(90 < X < 110) = P(X<110) – P(X<90)

P(90 < X < 110) = 0.84 – 0.16
P(90 < X < 110) = 0.68

∴ the test score will fall between 90 and 110 is 68%

(4 marks)

ii. less than 85?

∴ area probability = 0.0668 = 6.68%

(3 marks)
 iii. more than 73?

∴ area probability = 0.9965

= 99.65%
(3 marks)

3. The number of people arriving at a coffee shop is a Poisson process with a rate of 2 per 10
minutes.

(a) Find the probability that:

i. Between 9 and 10 am no customers arrive.

(3 marks)
ii. more than 5 customers arrive between 9 and 9:30 am.

(3 marks)

iii. two or less customers arrive between 10 and 10:30 am.

(4 marks)
(b) A factory produces components of which 1% is defective. The components are packed
in boxes of 10. A box is selected at random.

i. Find the probability that the box contains exactly one defective component.

(3 marks)

ii. Find the probability that there are at least 2 defective components in the box.

(3 marks)
4. College students were asked if they have ever cheated on the examination. The result show
below.

Cheated on Collage examination?

Gender
Yes No
Male 0.32 0.22
Female 0.28 0.18

(a) If the students are selected at random, find:

i. the probability of the students are female.

(3 marks)

ii. the probability of the students cheated on the examination and male.

(3 marks)
 iii. the probability of the students male given that the students did not cheated on
the examination.

(4 marks)

(b) If X is a random variable with Binomial distribution of n=35 and p=0.45, find:

i. E(X)

(3 marks)
ii. Var(X)

(3 marks)

iii. P(X ≤ 4)

(4 marks)
5. For the continuous random variable X, the probability distribution is given by

α(2 + 1) 1≤x≤4
f(x) =
0 otherwise

(c) Find

i. The value of the constant α.

(4 marks)
ii. E(X).

(4 marks)
iii. Var(X)

(4 marks)
 iv. P(1 ≤ X ≤ 3)

(4 marks)

(d) M is discrete random variable that has the expected value 25 and variance 3. Find:

i. E(3M +24)

(2 marks)

ii. Var (2M – 14) + E(4M)

(2 marks)