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1 2 3 4=2*3
CFAT of
Year DF @ 16 % PV of CFAT
Project X
0 -210000 1 -210000
1 70000 0.862 60340
2 70000 0.743 52010
3 70000 0.64 44800
4 70000 0.552 38640
5 70000 0.476 33320
Ko = 15 %
Rf = 10 %
t = 40 %
1 2 3 4=2*3
CFAT of
Year Project DF @19 % PV of CFAT
Zeta - 10
0 -1500000 1 -1500000
1 600000 0.84 504000
2 600000 0.706 423600
3 600000 0.593 355800
4 600000 0.499 299400
NPV = 1582800 -1500000 82800
Rf= 10 %
Ko= 15 %
Risk Index = B = 1.8
RADR = Rf + B (Ko – Rf)
10 % + [1.8*5%]
19%
ject earns less than RADR, Shareholders earning is less.
15 % 10
Decision Rule in case NPV method is applied
NPV is >0 , Accept the Project
NPV is <0 , Reject the Project
NPV = 0, Management will be indifferent
Risk freeStep
Cash1 Flow = Risky Cash flow * CEC
Risk free rate of return = 6%
1 2 3 4=2*3 5
YearCFAT of Project S CEC Risk free CF DF @ 6%
0 -3400000 1 -3400000 1
1 1800000 0.8 1440000 0.943
2 2000000 0.7 1400000 0.89
3 2000000 0.5 1000000 0.84
NPV = 3443920-3400000
1 2 3 4=2*3 5
YearCFAT of Project J CEC Risk free CF DF @ 6%
0 -3300000 1 -3300000 1
1 1800000 0.9 1620000 0.943
2 1800000 0.8 1440000 0.89
3 2000000 0.7 1400000 0.84
NPV = 3985260-3400000
n that Project S is more riskier than Project J. Therefore, If Radr method is used then Project S would be a
1 2 3 4=2*3 5
YearCFAT of Project A CEC Risk free CF DF @ 5%
0 -170000 1 -170000 1
1 90000 0.8 72000 0.952
2 100000 0.7 70000 0.907
3 110000 0.5 55000 0.864
NPV = 179554-170000
1 2 3 4=2*3 5
YearCFAT of Project B CEC Risk free CF DF @ 5%
0 -150000 1 -150000 1
1 90000 0.9 81000 0.952
2 90000 0.8 72000 0.907
3 100000 0.6 60000 0.864
NPV = 194256-150000
n that Project S is more riskier than Project J. Therefore, If Radr method is used then Project S would be a
Profit 10000 0 0
Units 2500
1 2 3 4=2*3 2
CFAT of
Year DF @ 15 % PV of CFAT CFAT of Project
Project
0 -1600000 1 -1600000 -1600000
1 500000 0.869 434500 500000
2 500000 0.756 378000 500000
3 500000 0.658 329000 500000
4 500000 0.572 286000 500000
5 500000 0.497 248500 500000
NPV = PV of CIFS - PV of COFs76000
1676000 - 1600000 = 76000
Original Case
Sensitivity of ProjectSensitivity
Cost of Annual CIFS
500000*3.352 = 1676000
PV of CIFS 1676000 1676000 1600000
PV of COFS -1600000 -1676000 -1600000
NPV 76000 0 0
% Change in [1676000-1600000
Project Cost [1600000
/ 1600000]*100
-1676000 / 1676000]*100
[76000/1600000]*100
[-76000/1676000]*100=-4.53%
= 4.75%
1 2 3 4=2*3
CFAT of
Year DF @ 16 % PV of CFAT
Project
0 -1600000 1 -1600000
1 500000 0.869 434500
2 500000 0.756 378000
3 500000 0.658 329000
4 500000 0.572 286000
5 500000 0.497 248500
Particulars
Amount (in Rs Lakhs) Year 0
apital Investment in Project
100 for P&110
M lakhs
apital Investment in Working
40 capital 40
tal Investment = Cash Outflows
140 150
NPV ?
1 2 3 4=2*3
Year CFAT DF@ 12% PV of CFAT
0 -14000000 1 -14000000
1 3700000 0.893 3304100
2 3450000 0.797 2749650
3 3262500 0.711 2319637.5
4 3121875 0.636 1985512.5
5 9389406 0.567 5323793.202
orking NoteCFAT
for calculation of Depreciation Amount
EBDIT = Revenue Particulars
- Cost Amount in Rs Lakhs Amount in Rs Lakhs
less DepValue of P& M 100 10
EBIT
Depreciation of the year-251 -2.5
ritten Down
less Interest
Value of P& M after Year751 Depreciation 7.5
Depreciation
EBT of the year
-18.75
2 -1.875
ritten Downless
Value
tax of P& M after Year56.25
2 Depreciation 5.625
Depreciation
EAT of the year
-14.06
3 -1.406
ritten Down
AddValue
Dep of P& M after Year42.19
3 Depreciation 4.219
Depreciation of the year-10.55
4 -1.055
ritten Down Value of P& M after Year 31.64
4 Depreciation 3.164
Depreciation of the year-7.91
5 -0.791
ritten Down Value of P& M after Year 23.73
5 Depreciation 2.373
1 2 3 4=2*3
Year CFAT DF@ 12% PV of CFAT
0 -14000000 1 -14000000 -14000000
1 3700000 0.893 3304100 15682693.202
2 3450000 0.797 2749650
3 3262500 0.711 2319637.5
4 3121875 0.636 1985512.5
5 9389406 0.567 5323793.202
NPV 1682693.202
1 2 3 4=2*3
Year Decline in CFATDF@ 12% PV of Decline in CFAT
1 360000 0.893 321480 1297440
2 360000 0.797 286920
3 360000 0.711 255960
4 360000 0.636 228960
5 360000 0.567 204120
Particulars
Year 1 (Old Case) Year 1
Sales 12000000 12000000
Variable Cost-6000000 -6600000
Fixed Overheads-1500000 -1500000
EBDIT 4500000 3900000
Less Depreciation
-2500000 -2500000
EBIT 2000000 1400000
Interest 0 0
EBT 2000000 1400000
Tax @ 40% -800000 -560000
EAT 1200000 840000
ScenarioProbability
CFAT(pi)OR NPV in Rs Cr pi* Ri in Rs R - R~
High growth 0.2 20 4 9.5
Average Growth 0.5 10 5 -0.5
Low Growth 0.3 5 1.5 -5.5
E (R) = ∑pi* Ri 10.5
E (R) = R~
Situation
NPV of Project X Pi Situation
1 3000 0.1 1
2 6000 0.4 2
3 12000 0.4 3
4 15000 0.1 4
Expected
Year CFAT (in Rs Lakhs)
DF @ PV
6%of Expected CFAT (in Rs Lakhs)
0 -50 1 -50
1 27 0.943 25.461
2 29.3 0.89 26.077
3 27.9 0.84 23.436
Expected NPV 74.97 - 50 =24.97
Expected CFAT of Year 1
Year Variance
1 85.4
2 98.61
3 74.29
1 2 3 4=2*3
CFAT of Project
Year DF @15 % PV of CFAT
Meta - 10
0 -1100000 1 -1100000
1 600000 0.87 522000
2 400000 0.756 302400
3 500000 0.658 329000
4 200000 0.571 114200
NPV = 12676000 -1100000 167600
Rf= 10 %
Ko= 15 %
Risk Index = B = 1
RADR = Rf + B (Ko – Rf)
10 % + [1*5%]
15%
6=4*5
PV of Risk free Cash flow
-3400000
1357920
1246000
840000
43920
6=4*5
PV of Risk free Cash flow
-3300000
1527660
1281600
1176000
685260
6=4*5
PV of Risk free CFs
-170000
68544
63490
47520
9554
6=4*5
PV of Risk free CFs
-150000
77112
65304
51840
44256
Material
Reduction
Cost in
increases
sales units
by 25
by%
250 units or units gets reduced by 10%
100000 90000
-50000 -36000
-30000 -27000
-20000 -20000
0 7000
3 4=2*3
DF @ 17 % PV of CFAT
1 -1600000
0.855 427500
0.731 365500
0.624 312000
0.534 267000
0.456 228000
0
Year 5
100000
120
-60
1500000
25 % on WDV
WDV at the end of 5th year
40%
12%
Year 5
12000000
-6000000
-1500000
4500000
-791015
3708985
0
3708985
-1483594
2225391
2225391
791015
2373000
4000000
9389406
(R - R~)^2 Pi * (R - R~)^2
90.25 18.05
0.25 0.125
30.25 9.075
(x-x~)^2 Pi * (x-x~)^2
36000000 3600000
9000000 3600000
9000000 3600000
36000000 3600000
Variance (σ^2) ∑Pi * (x - x~)^2
14400000
Std Deviation (σ) / 3795
CV = Std Deviation (σ) / Expected NPV42
(y-y~)^2 Pi * (y-y~)^2
36000000 7200000
9000000 2700000
9000000 2700000
36000000 7200000
Variance (σ^2) ∑Pi * (x - x~)^2
19800000
Std Deviation (σ) 4450
CV = Std Deviation (σ) / Expected NPV49
(y1 - y1~)^2 Pi * (y1 - y1~)^2
169 16.9
81 16.2
4 1.6
169 50.7
Variance 85.4
Std Deviation 9.24
1 2 3 4=2*3
CFAT of Project PV of
Year DF @13 %
Neta - 10 CFAT
0 -1900000 1 -2E+06
1 400000 0.885 354000
2 600000 0.783 469800
3 800000 0.693 554400
4 1200000 0.613 735600
NPV = 2113800 -1900000 213800
Rf= 10 %
Ko= 15 %
Risk Index = B = 0.6
RADR = Rf + B (Ko – Rf)
10 % + [0.6*5%]
13%
NPV Joint Probability Expected NPV
-14726 0.08 -1178.08
-8118 0.12 -974.16
1794 0.2 358.8
7580 0.24 1819.2
15840 0.3 4752
24100 0.06 1446
Expected NPV 6223.76
4=2*3
PV of
CFAT
-100000
26790
23910
21360
19080
17010
8150
1. Sunlight Ltd has Investible funds of Rs 70 Cr. The company is thinking about the investment proposals.
Project Initial Investment (in Rs Cr)
X 10
Y 24
Z 32
M 22
J 18
2. Skylights Ltd has Investible funds of Rs 7 Cr. The company is thinking about the investment proposals. All these projects
Project Initial Investment (in Rs Cr)
A 3
B 2
C 2.5
D 6
3. Manav Ltd
Limited Funds 2020000
Cost of Capital 10%
5. Appllo Industries
Funds Available Rs 10L
Cost of Capital 10%
No Capital Rationing in Future
No Alternative Investment for Surplus Funds
Project Initial Cost (in Rs Lakhs)
A 3.5
B 4
C 6.5
D 4.8
E 2.3
C+B 6.5 + 4
6. Mahindra Ltd
Funds Available Rs 10.10 L
Cost of Capital 10%
Assuming No Capital Rationing in Future
Assuming No Alternative Investment for Surplus Funds
Rs 10.10 L
Project Initial Cost (in Rs Lakhs)
A 0.5
B 1
C 1.5
D 2
E 2.5
F in part upto 2.6 Lakhs 2.6
10.1
E + D +C + B +A 7.5
7. Skylark Ltd
Funds Available Rs 22 Lakhs
Assuming No Capital Rationing in Future
All Projects are Indivisible
B +A+G+E 20
B+D+E 15
B+D+F 19
B+E+F 17
A+G+D+E 21
D+E+F 18
8
Funds Available 400000
Cost of Capital 12%
Projects Initial Investment (in Rs)
A 300000
B 200000
C 200000
D 100000
E 300000
project A
Yr CFAT
0 -300000
1 187600
2 187600
Project X
Yr CFAT (in Rs Lakhs)
0 -6
1 -2
1 12
2 4
Project Z
Yr CFAT (in Rs Lakhs)
0 -6
1 -6
1 4
2 20
X 6
Y in part upto 2 Lakhs 2
8
Selection of projects based on PI ranking Total Initial Cost
Y 4
Z in part upto 4 Lakhs 4
8
s thinking about the investment proposals.
NPV (in Rs Cr) Rank based on NPV
6 5
18 4
20 3
30 1
20 2
thinking about the investment proposals. All these projects are divisible
NPV (in Rs Cr) PI
0.6 1.2
0.5 1.25
1.5 1.6
1.8 1.3
Pv Of CIFS NPV
10 9
18 16
24 21
28 24
32.5 27.5
76.8 64.8
Pv Of CIFS NPV
10 9
18 16
24 21
28 24
32.5 27.5
76.8 64.8
NPV
4.5
8
10.5
12
13.75
14.04
62.79
Total NPV
32.4 + 13.75 +10.5 = 56.65
58.65
32.4+ 12 +10.5+4.5 = 59.4
32.4+ 12 +8+4.5 = 56.9
32.4+ 10.5 +8+4.5 = 55.4
48.75
e NPV of one rupee- one Rupee for every 10 Rupees of the uninvested amount.
Initial Outflow (in Rs Lakhs) NPV
3 12
5 18
8 20
6 6
4 5
8 5
8 -2
e NPV of one rupee- one Rupee for every 10 Rupees of the uninvested amount.
33 2
33 7
29 3
28 5
21 1
16 4
PI Rank based on PI
1.24 1
1.20 2
1.19 3
1.07 4
1.06 5
PI Rank based on PI
1.24 1
1.20 2
1.19 3
1.07 4
1.06 5
DF@10% PV of CFAT
1 -6
0.909 -1.818
0.909 10.908
0.826 3.304
NPV 6.394
PV of CIFS 14.212
PV of COFS 7.818
PI 1.82
NPVI = NPV /Initial Cost of Investment 1.07
DF@10% PV of CFAT
1 -6
0.909 -5.454
0.909 3.636
0.826 16.52
NPV 8.702
PV of CIFS 20.156
PV of COFS 11.454
PI 1.76
NPVI = NPV /Initial Cost of Investment 1.45
NPV PI
6.394 1.82
6.0622 1.78
8.702 1.76
PI Rank Based on PI
1.82 1
1.78 2
1.76 3
Total NPV
6.394
3.0311
9.4251
Total NPV
6.0622
5.801
11.8632
Project Initial Investment (in Rs CrNPV (in Rs Cr)
M 22 30
J 18 20
X 10 6
50 56
Rank based on PI
4
3
1
2
F+E+C 10
F + E + B +A 10
F+D+ C+A 10
F+C+B+A 9
E+D+C+B+A 7.5
ted amount.
Rank based on NPV
3
2
1
4
5
6
7
ted amount.
0.2 32.8
0.7 32.3
0.3 28.7
0.5 27.5
0.1 20.9
0.4 15.6
Project B
Yr CFAT DF@12%
0 -200000 1
1 66000 0.893
2 66000 0.797
3 66000 0.712
4 66000 0.636
5 66000 0.567
C+B 4 78130
C+D 3 46760
B+D 3 44490
A+D 4 23604
E+C 5 113100
E+B 5 110830
C+B+D 5 84690
C+A 5 57244
B+A
5 54974
A+D 4 23604
PV of CIFS
PV of COFS
PI
NPVI = NPV /Initial Cost of Investment
Funds Available
Cost of Capital
No Capital Rationing in Future
Total NPV
3.8+ 1.75 = 5.55
3.15+2.15= 5.40
3.15+1.75 = 4.70
4.9
2.65
Total NPV
56.65
58.65
59.4
55.4
48.75
38.25
40.25
41
37
48.75
NPV Rank based on NPV PI Rank based on PI
17044 4 1.06 5
37930 3 1.19 3
40200 2 1.20 2
6560 5 1.07 4
72900 1 1.24 1
PV of CFAT
-4
-3.818
7.272
6.608
6.0622
13.88
7.818
1.78
1.52
sed on NPVI
Project Initial Cost (in Rs Lakhs) NPV
F 6 14
E 2.5 13.75
D 2 12
C 1.5 10.5
B 1 8
A 0.5 4.5
Rank based on NPV
1
2
3
4
5
6
3. Manav Ltd
Limited Fu 2020000
Cost of Cap 10%
Projects Initial Cash OuPv Of CIFS NPV Rank base PI Rank based on PI
I 1 10 9 6 10 1
II 2 18 16 5 9 2
III 3 24 21 4 8 3
IV 4 28 24 3 7 4
V 5 32.5 27.5 2 6.5 5
VI 12 76.8 64.8 1 6.4 6