Professional Documents
Culture Documents
19 July 2021
Media
AdStats: Factbook on Advertising Expenditures
www.jpmorganmarkets.com
Alexia S. Quadrani North America Equity Research
(1-212) 622-1896 19 July 2021
alexia.quadrani@jpmorgan.com
Table of Contents
U.S. Advertising Expenditures ................................................3
Global Advertising Expenditures ..........................................10
Television Advertising Expenditures....................................16
Audio Advertising...................................................................24
Print Advertising Expenditures .............................................28
Digital Advertising Expenditures ..........................................34
Outdoor & Cinema Advertising Expenditures......................42
Event Advertising: Political & Sporting................................48
Hispanic Advertising Expenditures ......................................54
U.S. Advertisers......................................................................59
Global Advertisers..................................................................71
Advertising & Marketing Services Companies ....................77
Selected Sports Contracts.....................................................88
Fragmentation of Media .........................................................92
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Table 2: Advertising & Marketing Services – U.S. Advertising Revenues vs. Nominal GDP Growth, 1980-2022E
$ in billions
% change in Advertising Marketing
Advertising Marketing Total Nominal Advertising Marketing Nominal Expenditures Expenditures
Year Expenditure Expenditure Expenditure GDP Expenditure Expenditure GDP % of GDP % of GDP
1980 35.5 2857.3 1.24%
1981 39.8 3207.0 12.1% 12.2% 1.24%
1982 43.5 3343.8 9.3% 4.3% 1.30%
1983 49.8 3634.0 14.5% 8.7% 1.37%
1984 57.7 4037.7 15.9% 11.1% 1.43%
1985 61.6 4339.0 6.8% 7.5% 1.42%
1986 66.2 4579.6 7.4% 5.5% 1.45%
1987 70.6 4855.3 6.7% 6.0% 1.45%
1988 76.7 5236.4 8.7% 7.9% 1.47%
1989 81.0 5641.6 5.6% 7.7% 1.44%
1990 83.9 5963.1 3.5% 5.7% 1.41%
1991 82.2 6158.1 -1.9% 3.3% 1.34%
1992 84.2 6520.3 2.4% 5.9% 1.29%
1993 87.4 6858.6 3.8% 5.2% 1.27%
1994 92.1 7287.3 5.3% 6.3% 1.26%
1995 98.0 7639.8 6.5% 4.8% 1.28%
1996 104.9 8073.1 6.9% 5.7% 1.30%
1997 112.0 8577.6 6.9% 6.2% 1.31%
1998 120.7 9062.8 7.8% 5.7% 1.33%
1999 139.9 9630.7 15.9% 6.3% 1.45%
2000 156.7 187.8 344.5 10252.4 12.0% 6.5% 1.53% 3.4%
2001 147.2 186.8 334.1 10581.8 -6.0% -3.0% 3.2% 1.39% 3.2%
2002 149.8 189.3 339.0 10936.5 1.7% 1.5% 3.4% 1.37% 3.1%
2003 152.3 183.4 335.7 11458.3 1.7% -1.0% 4.8% 1.33% 2.9%
2004 161.5 188.7 350.2 12213.7 6.0% 4.3% 6.6% 1.32% 2.9%
2005 166.2 194.5 360.7 13036.6 2.9% 3.0% 6.7% 1.28% 2.8%
2006 173.4 201.0 374.4 13814.6 4.3% 3.8% 6.0% 1.26% 2.7%
2007 177.7 208.7 386.4 14451.9 2.4% 3.2% 4.6% 1.23% 2.7%
2008 171.8 210.6 382.4 14712.8 -3.3% -1.0% 1.8% 1.17% 2.6%
2009 150.5 199.1 349.6 14448.9 -12.4% -8.6% -1.8% 1.04% 2.4%
2010 154.4 198.8 353.2 14992.1 2.6% 1.0% 3.8% 1.03% 2.4%
2011 156.2 202.5 358.7 15542.6 1.1% 1.6% 3.7% 1.00% 2.3%
2012 163.9 207.7 371.6 16197.1 4.9% 3.6% 4.2% 1.01% 2.3%
2013 170.7 211.3 382.0 16784.8 4.2% 2.8% 3.6% 1.02% 2.3%
2014 179.9 217.7 397.6 17527.3 5.4% 4.1% 4.4% 1.03% 2.3%
2015 187.4 224.3 411.7 18238.3 4.2% 3.5% 4.1% 1.03% 2.3%
2016 197.2 230.7 427.9 18745.1 5.2% 3.9% 2.8% 1.05% 2.3%
2017 212.4 235.4 447.8 19543.0 7.7% 4.7% 4.3% 1.09% 2.3%
2018 229.7 243.6 473.3 20611.9 8.2% 5.7% 5.5% 1.11% 2.3%
2019 242.5 248.6 491.1 21433.2 5.6% 3.8% 4.0% 1.13% 2.3%
2020 229.5 244.7 474.2 20932.8 -5.4% -3.4% -2.3% 1.10% 2.3%
2021E 236.7 250.6 487.3 22675.3 3.2% 2.8% 8.3% 1.04% 2.1%
2022E 247.4 253.4 500.7 24003.7 4.5% 2.8% 5.9% 1.03% 2.1%
Source: Zenith, December 2020; IMF; J.P. Morgan. Note: Marketing Expenditure is Advertising Expenditure + direct mail, telemarketing, sales promotion, PR, sponsorship, and directories
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20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
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2000 2010
Digital
(Internet &
Cable TV Mobile) Digital
Outdoor 7.1% 4.6% Cable TV
(Internet &
Directories 3.0% 14.2%
Mobile)
7.0%
15.5%
Outdoor
Newspapers 3.6%
Directories
27.8%
4.1%
Radio Newspapers
11.3% 13.7%
Radio
8.9%
Local TV
(ex. Cable) National TV
Local TV
9.1% National TV (ex. Cable)
(ex. Cable) 9.4%
(ex. Cable) 9.1% Direct Mail Magazines
Direct Mail Magazines
9.0% 12.1% 9.3%
10.3% 10.9%
2021E
Radio OOH
Print 4% 3%
3%
TV
22%
Digital
68%
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Table 4: Time Spent Using Media per Day with Major Media by U.S. Adults
In hours: minutes
2019 2020 2021E 2022E 2023E
Digital 6:49 7:50 7:59 8:09 8:20
—Mobile (nonvoice) 3:45 4:16 4:23 4:29 4:35
——Audio 1:07 1:10 1:16 1:19 1:22
——Social networks 0:52 1:03 1:03 1:03 1:04
——Video* 0:42 0:49 0:51 0:53 0:55
——Other 1:05 1:15 1:13 1:14 1:14
—Desktop/laptop** 1:54 2:03 1:59 1:56 1:56
——Video* 0:23 0:26 0:26 0:25 0:25
——Audio 0:16 0:20 0:20 0:20 0:20
——Social networks 0:07 0:07 0:07 0:06 0:06
——Other 1:08 1:09 1:06 1:04 1:04
—Other connected devices 1:10 1:30 1:38 1:44 1:49
TV*** 3:27 3:33 3:17 3:02 2:51
Radio*** 1:35 1:28 1:26 1:26 1:25
Print*** 0:19 0:19 0:19 0:18 0:17
—Newspapers 0:10 0:10 0:10 0:10 0:09
—Magazines 0:09 0:09 0:08 0:08 0:08
Other*** 0:12 0:11 0:11 0:11 0:11
Total 12:23 13:21 13:12 13:06 13:05
Source: eMarketer, April 2021.
Syndication
Daytime 24.48 22.79 7.4% 15.67 14.59 7.4%
Early Fringe 48.9 45.36 7.8% 25.05 23.24 7.8%
Prime Access 117.6 108.79 8.1% 51.57 47.71 8.1%
Late Fringe 51.98 48.04 8.2% 27.21 25.15 8.2%
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Syndication
Day 3.25 3.47 3.67 3.86 4.09 4.29 4.18 4.50 4.88 5.20 5.51 5.77 5.97 6.56 7.05
Early Fringe 6.56 7.01 7.61 8.02 8.46 8.88 8.61 9.31 10.05 10.73 11.41 12.00 12.45 13.62 14.68
Late Fringe 7.77 8.25 8.82 9.31 9.92 10.42 10.07 10.92 11.05 11.85 12.70 13.35 13.87 15.27 16.52
Cable
Day 2.74 2.86 2.80 2.69 2.83 3.06 2.97 3.23 3.50 3.72 3.96 4.15 4.32 4.72 5.18
Prime 6.27 8.16 7.96 8.02 8.49 9.17 8.74 9.60 10.61 11.31 12.09 12.75 13.34 14.61 12.21
Early/Late Fringe 4.79 4.94 5.32 6.08 6.45 7.10 6.94 7.53 8.21 8.75 9.33 9.80 10.17 11.13 15.94
Radio
Network 3.27 3.40 3.28 3.22 3.28 3.18 3.10 3.42 3.60 3.73 3.75 3.75 3.86 3.98 4.57
Spot (100 Markets) 6.51 6.70 6.68 7.08 7.31 7.10 6.48 6.64 6.76 6.72 9.60 9.55 9.74 10.04 10.84
Magazines
Page 4-Color 8.48 8.76 8.89 8.94 9.02 8.74 8.58 8.70 8.62 NA NA NA 10.48 10.95 13.25
Digital
Network Display Ads -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 3.50 3.61 3.70 3.65
Premium Display Ads -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 11.75 12.22 12.59 13.70
Untargeted Video -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 25.75 26.27 26.66 19.40
Targeted Video -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 36.90 38.01 38.81 36.45
Mobile Average -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 3.95 4.06 4.15 4.35
Mobile Premium -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 12.10 12.83 13.21 14.02
Tablet Average -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 5.10 5.30 5.46 5.60
Out-of-Home -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 12.15 12.51 12.82 13.15
Source: Media Dynamics 2017.
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Alexia S. Quadrani North America Equity Research
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40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
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Alexia S. Quadrani North America Equity Research
(1-212) 622-1896 19 July 2021
alexia.quadrani@jpmorgan.com
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Alexia S. Quadrani North America Equity Research
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alexia.quadrani@jpmorgan.com
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Alexia S. Quadrani North America Equity Research
(1-212) 622-1896 19 July 2021
alexia.quadrani@jpmorgan.com
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Alexia S. Quadrani North America Equity Research
(1-212) 622-1896 19 July 2021
alexia.quadrani@jpmorgan.com
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Alexia S. Quadrani North America Equity Research
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$40.0 35.5
31.9
$30.0
$20.0
$10.0
$0.0
2019 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E
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Alexia S. Quadrani North America Equity Research
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alexia.quadrani@jpmorgan.com
Table 16: Top 50 Basic Cable Networks Affiliate Fee/Avg Sub/Month, 2011-2022E
Network Name 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E
1 ESPN $4.77 $5.04 $5.54 $6.10 $6.61 $7.04 $7.54 $8.14 $8.79 $9.50 $10.25 $11.08
2 TNT 1.22 1.31 1.39 1.59 1.62 1.84 2.12 2.38 2.57 2.75 2.92 3.09
3 NFL Network 0.68 0.85 1.13 1.22 1.31 1.39 1.48 1.58 1.68 1.79 1.91 2.03
4 FOX News Channel 0.79 0.90 0.96 1.04 1.20 1.35 1.49 1.57 1.65 1.72 1.79 1.86
5 USA 0.76 0.81 0.88 0.97 1.00 1.15 1.19 1.24 1.29 1.34 1.40 1.45
6 TBS 0.60 0.66 0.70 0.75 0.77 0.85 0.98 1.10 1.19 1.26 1.31 1.35
7 Disney Channel 0.78 0.81 0.85 0.89 0.92 0.94 0.99 1.04 1.09 1.15 1.20 1.26
8 ESPN2 0.64 0.67 0.70 0.77 0.83 0.85 0.88 0.94 1.01 1.08 1.15 1.23
9 CNN 0.55 0.57 0.59 0.62 0.66 0.72 0.83 0.89 0.96 1.01 1.06 1.11
10 SEC Network 0.64 0.67 0.71 0.74 0.78 0.82 0.87 0.91 0.96
11 Nickelodeon/Nick At Nite 0.51 0.55 0.62 0.68 0.71 0.70 0.72 0.75 0.79 0.83 0.87 0.91
12 FX Network 0.45 0.48 0.53 0.58 0.62 0.66 0.69 0.73 0.77 0.81 0.85 0.89
13 FOX Sports 1 0.22 0.22 0.24 0.35 0.48 0.60 0.64 0.67 0.71 0.79 0.84 0.89
14 MTV 0.37 0.40 0.44 0.47 0.51 0.50 0.51 0.54 0.57 0.59 0.62 0.66
15 FOX College Sports 0.37 0.39 0.41 0.43 0.45 0.48 0.50 0.53 0.55 0.58 0.61 0.64
16 AMC 0.26 0.34 0.35 0.38 0.44 0.49 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.60
17 Paramount Network 0.23 0.25 0.32 0.39 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.52 0.54 0.57 0.59 0.62
18 Discovery Channel 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.46 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.53 0.53
19 BTN 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.40 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.55 0.59 0.63 0.67
20 MGM HD 0.52 0.49 0.47 0.45 0.46 0.47 0.49 0.50 0.52 0.53 0.55 0.56
21 CNBC 0.31 0.31 0.34 0.37 0.39 0.43 0.45 0.47 0.49 0.51 0.53 0.55
22 Golf Channel 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.34 0.35 0.40 0.41 0.43 0.45 0.46 0.48 0.50
23 Cine Latino 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.44 0.44
24 Syfy 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.31 0.32 0.36 0.38 0.39 0.41 0.42 0.44 0.46
25 Lifetime Television 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.41
26 TCM 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.33 0.35 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.42
27 NBCSN 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.29 0.30 0.33 0.34 0.36 0.38 0.40 0.42 0.44
28 NHL Network 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.36 0.37 0.39 0.40 0.42
29 Antena 3 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.40
30 Bravo 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.28 0.29 0.32 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.38 0.39 0.41
31 Freeform 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.39 0.41 0.43
32 A&E 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.38
33 E! 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.39
34 HDNet Movies 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.36
35 NBA TV 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.36
36 Cartoon Network / Adult Swim 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.25 0.29 0.31 0.33 0.35 0.36 0.38
37 History 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.35
38 TyC Sports International Channel 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.33
39 ESPNews 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.23 0.25 0.27 0.29 0.31 0.33 0.35 0.37 0.40
40 MLB Network 0.26 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.33 0.34 0.36
41 National Geographic Channel 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.33
42 MSNBC 0.20 0.21 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.31
43 FXX 0.17 0.17 0.19 0.21 0.23 0.25 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.31 0.33 0.35
44 ESPNU 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.27 0.28 0.30 0.31 0.33
45 ESPN Deportes 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.20 0.22 0.23 0.25 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.35
46 WAPA América 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.29
47 OWN: Oprah Winfrey Network 0.02 0.01 0.18 0.20 0.22 0.24 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.32 0.34
48 FOX Life 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30
49 ESPN Classic 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30
50 BET 0.18 0.19 0.21 0.23 0.25 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.30 0.31
Source: SNL Kagan 2019.
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Table 19: Trends in Weekly Viewing, Channels Viewed, and Time Spent per Channel, Early 1950s to Mid-2010s
Time Spent
1
TV Set Usage Persons per Avg Viewers Avg Hrs Viewed Channels Viewed per Channel
1,2 1,2 2 2
(Hrs) TV HH Per Set Per Person per Person (Hrs/Weekly)
Early-1950s 32.5 3.4 2.65 25.0 3.2 8.3
Early-1960s 36.5 3.3 1.90 24.0 4.9 4.9
Early-1970s 43.0 3.1 1.80 24.5 5.4 4.5
Early-1980s 47.0 2.7 1.65 26.5 6.7 4.0
Early-1990s 49.5 2.6 1.45 28.0 11.2 2.5
Early-2000s 53.7 2.5 1.31 30.4 13.0 2.3
Early-2010s 57.6 2.5 1.26 31.9 13.9 2.3
Mid-2010s 58.0 2.5 1.20 32.4 14.0 2.3
Source: Media Dynamics 2015.
1. Live and delayed in-home TV only.
2. Base is all persons aged 2+.
Table 20: Average Adult Exposure to TV Program Sources over Extended Time Frames, All Dayparts, 2014
Program Source Avg. Day Avg. Week Avg. Month Avg. Quarter Total Year
ABC/CBS/NBC Network Fare 0.60 1.75 2.55 2.85 2.95
1
Local Station / Syndicated Program 0.45 1.45 2.40 3.60 3.95
PBS Station 0.15 0.40 0.65 0.80 0.95
Pay Cable 0.20 0.45 0.65 0.90 1.05
Basic Cable 1.95 10.25 17.05 24.15 36.05
All Sources 3.35 14.30 23.30 32.30 44.95
No. of Telecasts Viewed 6 39 165 495 2,008
Source: Media Dynamics 2015.
1. Includes Fox and CW network shows.
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Audio Advertising
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Table 27: US Average Time Spent per Day with Digital Audio, by Device
in minutes
2019 2020 2021E 2022E 2023E
Desktop/Laptop 15.7 20.0 19.6 19.8 19.9
Mobile 66.8 69.7 76.0 79.3 81.6
Total 82.4 89.7 95.6 99.1 101.5
Source: eMarketer, April 2021.
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Note: 2013 latest available from NAA. The NAA began disclosing online advertising expenditures in 2003. Magna estimates (2014-2017).
Source: Newspaper Association of America. MAGNA.
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Note: Due to changes in methodology and measurement, no data are available for 1992 and 1993, and 1991-1994 are not comparable years. *Through Q3,12, latest available data.
Source: NAA; J.P. Morgan.
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Circulation Circulation
26% 29%
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2020
Other
8%
Video
17% Search
44%
Display
31%
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$115.2 120%
$120.0
$40.0 40%
27%
$80.0 70%
$73.0
60%
$60.0 $56.9 50%
$45.7
40%
$40.0 68%
42% 30%
28%
20%
$20.0
18% 10%
15%
$0.0 0%
2019 2020 2021E 2022E 2023E
Mobile programmatic display ad spending % chg % of total mobile display ad spending
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Table 43: Top 25 Web Sites (Desktop and Mobile) by Unique Visitor
Unique visitors in millions
Apr-21
Rank Property Unique Visitors
1 Google Sites 272.29
2 Microsoft Sites 221.13
3 Facebook 218.52
4 Verizon Media 216.02
5 Amazon Sites 212.43
6 WarnerMedia 199.91
7 Comcast NBCUniversal 191.62
8 The Walt Disney Company 174.26
9 Apple Inc. 173.87
10 ViacomCBS Digital 173.66
11 CafeMedia 162.65
12 Hearst 155.76
13 Weather Company, The 149.06
14 UPROXX 148.34
15 Meredith Corporation 144.85
16 USA TODAY Network 142.67
17 Red Ventures 133.29
18 Wikimedia Foundation Sites 120.28
19 Mediavine 119.42
20 Freestar 118.33
21 Penske Media Corp (PMC) 116.60
22 Fox Corporation 115.49
23 Wal-Mart 114.47
24 VEVO 113.99
25 PayPal 112.35
4,021.3
Source: comScore; J.P. Morgan.
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$9.0
$8.0
$7.0
$6.0
$5.0
$4.0
$3.0
$2.0
$1.0
$0.0
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Source: OAAA, J.P. Morgan estimates.
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Place-
Street Based,
Furniture, 4.00%
5.00%
Transit,
13.00%
Billboards,
78.00%
Source: OAAA.
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Table 52: Super Bowl Advertising Rates and Total Ad Revenues, 2011-2021
Cost per In-Game
30 second unit ad revenues
Year (millions) (millions)
2011 2.89 227.9
2012 3.23 262.5
2013 3.72 292.0
2014 3.91 331.8
2015 4.1 345.4
2016 4.47 376.0
2017 4.7 430.2
2018 4.37 340.6
2019 4.51 338.6
2020 5.2 448.7
2021 5.6 484.7
Source: Kantar Media, J.P. Morgan estimates.
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Other Digital
24%
Network TV
Digital 43%
Related To
Print
2%
Other Print
0%
Magazines
4%
Newspapers
6%
Cable TV
3%
Spot TV
14%
Source: Advertising Age, Kantar Media, J.P. Morgan
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Hispanic Hispanic HH
Rank Designed Market Area (DMA) TV HH Percent of U.S.
1 Los Angeles 1,868,780 12.5%
2 New York 1,431,140 9.6%
3 Miami-Fort Lauderdale 827,700 5.5%
4 Houston 699,750 4.7%
5 Dallas-Fort Worth 545,150 3.6%
6 Chicago 512,780 3.4%
7 San Antonio 456,560 3.1%
8 San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose 389,730 2.7%
9 Phoenix (Prescott) 329,290 2.6%
10 Harlingen-Brownsville, Texas 295,270 2.2%
Source: Advertising Age; Nielsen. Note: Estimates as of Jan. 1, 2019, and used throughout the 2018-2019 TV season.
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U.S. Advertisers
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Global Advertisers
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Table 90: Ad Spending by Category for Top 100 Global Advertisers, 2017
$ in millions
Category 2017 % of Total 2016 % of Total
Personal care and household products
51,563 18.5% 50,377 18.9%
Automotive 47,089 16.9% 46,319 17.4%
Entertainm ent and media 29,795 10.7% 26,577 10.0%
Retail 26,674 9.6% 23,694 8.9%
Food and beverage 20,873 7.5% 21,335 8.0%
Technology 18,910 6.8% 17,843 6.7%
Beer, wine and liquor 17,790 6.4% 17,084 6.4%
Telecomm unications 17,312 6.2% 16,933 6.4%
Financial services 13,153 4.7% 13,625 5.1%
Apparel 12,686 4.5% 10,984 4.1%
Pharm aceuticals 8,146 2.9% 8,089 3.0%
Travel 7,833 2.8% 6,475 2.4%
Restaurants 7,150 2.6% 6,730 2.5%
Global 100 total $278,974 100.0% $266,065 100.0%
Source: Advertising Age, December 2018
Note: All figures are considered Ad Age estimates.
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CPG CPG
Health Care Health Care
13%
14% 12%
13%
Retail Retail
5% 8% TMT
Financial 13%
4%
TMT Financial
Auto Auto
25% 15%
14% 16%
Note: Category definitions are not standard across companies. IPG figures represent top 100 clients.
Source: Company reports; J.P. Morgan.
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Table 102: Top 25 U.S. Agency Brands by Core Advertising Revenue, 2019
$ in millions
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Note: Asterisk (*) indicates estimate. Advantage Marketing Partners: 2017 pro forma revenue for Marketing segment including Daymon
Worldwide's Daymon Interactions (acquired December 2017) and other acquisitions.
Source: Advertising Age, May 2019.
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Fox Sports - Fox Bet May 2019 Original partnership with The Stars Group: creation of FOX Bet and free-to-play app (later branded FOX Bet Super 6)
- FanDuel - TSG receives exclusive use of Fox Sports TM for games and online wagering, certain ad and integration rights
on Fox Sports linear and digital assets. Commits to minimum annual ad spend on FOX media assets
- Fox: receives brand license, integration, affiliate fees. Pays $236m for 5% of TSG. Receives 10-year option to acquire
50% of TSG US business
Oct 2019 Flutter Entertainment and The Stars Group announce merger
- Fox: 5% stake in TSG converts to 2.6% in FLTR (currently ~2.4%). Receives 10-year option to purchase 18.5%
of FanDuel at market value beginning in July 2021. Retains option to acquire up to 50% of FOX Bet
ESPN - Caesars May 2019 Caesars to serve as official odds supplier across ESPN linear and digital. Receives ad/sponsor activations.
-ESPN to build branded studio at LINQ Hotel which will focus on sports betting content. Daily Wager show moves to
studio in Aug 2020
ESPN - Caesars Sep 2020 Separate multiyear agreements with Caesars and DraftKings
- DraftKings -DraftKings: becomes co-exclusive link-out provider and exclusive daily fantasy sports partner
Helps to power DFS segments across ESPN shows
-Caesars: becomes co-exclusive link-out provider (to US partner William Hill). Sponsors ESPN fantasy products
-DKNG rises 17%/34% in day/week post announcement; CZR rises 11% on announcement
NBC Sports - PointsBet Aug 2020 PointsBet becomes official sports betting partner of NBC Sports. 5 year agreement
-Exclusive odds/props provider for NBCSN, GOLF Channel, Peacock, and Rotoworld
-Exclusive integration on NBC Sports RSNs (footprint includes PacNW, New England, California, Illinois, Penn, D.C.)
-Partner for free-to-play app NBC Sports Predictor
-PointsBet commits to ~$400m of ad spend (mainly on RSNs), in addition to referral fees
-NBCU issued fully paid shares representing 4.9% of PBH AU; options to acquire up to 25% maturing in five years
-PBH AU rises 86% on announcement; subsequently raises $300m of equity financing
CBS Sports - William Hill Feb 2020 William Hill becomes official sportsbook and wagering data provider for CBS Sports
-CBS Sports to utilize William Hill odds/experts, education tools, prop bet calculators to enhance digital content
Includes opportunities for integration on linear programming
-CBS digital includes SportsLine, a $10/mo or $100/yr subscription for sports gambling advice/content
-William Hill receives exclusive promotion right across digital, including CBS Sports Fantasy
-Rollout was planned for March 2020 with NCAA Tournament; with cancellation, delayed to NFL start in September
Turner - DraftKings Oct 2020 DraftKings named official sportsbook and DFS provider across select non-NBA Turner and B/R properties
- FanDuel -Turner: non-NBA properties are primarily MLB, but also "The Match" golf; partner with B/R on Super Bowl show
-Turner receives sports betting data, DFS content; B/R receives custom content, odds, DFS stats, personalized alerts
FanDuel named exclusive sportsbook provider for NBA programming; incl. TNT linear and BleacherReport
-FanDuel odds integrated into NBA studio shows. Title sponsor for Group Chat , a B/R betting show
-Turner creates TNT Bets livestream for Western Conference finals games
DraftKings and FanDuel: both 5.5 year deals. Turner reported to receive $300m+ from deals, in addition to affiliate fees
Sinclair - Bally's Nov 2020 Long-term strategic partnership includes all Sinclair Assets (RSNs, stations, Tennis Channel, Stadium, STIRR)
-10 year deal with options for renewal.
-SBGI receives penny warrants for 15% of BALY; warrants to acquire 10% contingent on hitting certain metrics (first time
depositors); options for another 5% at specific price points
-Fox RSNs to rebrand to Bally Sports. SBGI receives naming rights fee of ~$8.5m/yr
-Bally's commits to spend certain percentage of marketing across RSNs
-Integrated content across all Sinclair assets, including pre-, post-, and in-game.
Yahoo - BetMGM Oct 2019 Exclusive partnership between Yahoo Sports and MGM Resorts and Roar Digital (JV with MGM and GVC Holdings)
-Yahoo Sports is Digital Media Sports Partner for MGM resorts
-Integration into Yahoo Sports app, with linkouts to BetMGM
-Multiyear agreement. Yahoo serves as affiliate, and is paid for registrations with possible rev share
Barstool Sports - Penn Jan 2019 Penn National becomes exclusive gaming partner for Barstool Sports
-Sole rights to Barstool brand for online, retail sports betting, iGaming. 40 year agreement
-Penn acquires 36% interest in Barstool for $163m; after three years Penn will increase ownership to 50%
The Athletic - BetMGM Jan 2021 BetMGM exclusive sports betting partner of The Athletic in the US
-Creation of The Athletic Betting Hub, a gaming focused vertical; further content integrations
-Features live odds, offers from BetMGM
Source: Company reports.
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Fragmentation of Media
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Xumo Offers both live and on demand content with advertising. Comcast Live TV, AVOD Free 24
16.7 (10m
Starz Starz original programming and licensed content. Lionsgate SVOD $9/month
domestic)
Discovery+ Discovery content and licensed programming such as shows from A&E. Discovery SVOD $5/month with ads; $7/month ad-free. 15
Live games from MLB, MLS, NHL, PGA, Boxing, UFC, and more with limited ads. Also
ESPN+ Disney Live TV, SVOD $5.99/month or $59.99/year 13.8
includes ESPN Originals and ESPN+ exclusives. Superseded ESPN Insider.
Original TV and films. First year free with purchase of certain Apple devices. Also offers
Apple TV+ Apple SVOD $5/month 10
ability to sign up for channels like Amazon.
100 fight nights per year both live and on-dem and, including Golden Boy Promotions.
DAZN DAZN Group Limited Live TV, SVOD $20/month or $100/year 8
Bypass PPV for subscription model.
Includes streaming services Acorn TV, Shudder, Sundance Now, ALLBLK, IFC Price point varies between $5 to $10 a
AMC Networks AMC Networks SVOD 6
Unlimited, and AMC+. month.
More than 50 broadcast and cable channels, as well as Hulu stream ing with limited $55/month; add-on premium networks
Hulu with Live TV Disney, Comcast Live TV, A/SVOD 4.1
commercials. available
More than 60 TV channels, including all major broadcast networks. Offers 3 stream s and $65/month for 70+ channels; add-on
YouTube TV Alphabet Live TV 3
DVR. premium networks available
First OTT skinny bundle; only 20+ channels in single stream . Offers free HD antenna for $30/month; add-on premium networks
DISH Sling TV Dish Live TV 2.5
broadcast networks. Also offers international program ming packages. available
IMDb TV Offers Hollywood hit movies and TV shows. Amazon AVOD Free TBA
Table 116: Average Time Spent per Day with Digital Video by US Adults, by Device, 2019-2023E
In hrs:mins
2019 2020 2021E 2022E 2023E
Digital video 1:51 2:20 2:29 2:35 2:24
Mobile 0:42 0:49 0:51 0:53 0:55
Desktop/laptop 0:23 0:26 0:26 0:25 0:25
Other connected devices 0:47 1:05 1:12 1:17 1:22
TV 3:27 3:33 3:17 3:02 2:51
Total TV and digital video 5:18 5:53 5:46 5:38 5:33
Source: eMarketer, April 2021.
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Table 117: Share of Average Time Spent per Day with Select Media by US Adults vs. US Ad
Spending Share, 2017-2019E (% of total)
2017 2018E 2019E
Time spent Ad spend Time spent Ad spend Time spent Ad spend
share share share share share share
TV 34.0% 37.1% 32.9% 35.4% 32.0% 33.6%
Digital 50.4% 42.9% 51.8% 46.1% 53.0% 49.1%
Mobile 28.1% 30.2% 29.4% 34.5% 30.4% 38.3%
Desktop/laptop 22.2% 12.7% 22.4% 11.7% 22.6% 10.8%
Note: ages 18+; time spent with each medium includes all time spent with that medium, regardless of multitasking; for example, 1 hour
of multitasking on desktop/laptop while watching TV is counted as 1 hour for TV and 1 hour for desktop/laptop; ad spending share
excludes out-of-home; numbers may not add up to total due to rounding; *time spent with desktop/laptop includes all internet activities
on desktop and laptop computers.
Source: eMarketer, September 2017.
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Analyst Certification: The Research Analyst(s) denoted by an “AC” on the cover of this report certifies (or, where multiple Research
Analysts are primarily responsible for this report, the Research Analyst denoted by an “AC” on the cover or within the document
individually certifies, with respect to each security or issuer that the Research Analyst covers in this research) that: (1) all of the views
expressed in this report accurately reflect the Research Analyst’s personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and
(2) no part of any of the Research Analyst's compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations
or views expressed by the Research Analyst(s) in this report. For all Korea-based Research Analysts listed on the front cover, if
applicable, they also certify, as per KOFIA requirements, that the Research Analyst’s analysis was made in good faith and that the views
reflect the Research Analyst’s own opinion, without undue influence or intervention.
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Explanation of Equity Research Ratings, Designations and Analyst(s) Coverage Universe:
J.P. Morgan uses the following rating system: Overweight [Over the next six to twelve months, we expect this stock will outperform the
average total return of the stocks in the analyst’s (or the analyst’s team’s) coverage universe.] Neutral [Over the next six to twelve
months, we expect this stock will perform in line with the average total return of the stocks in the analyst’s (or the analyst’s team’s)
coverage universe.] Underweight [Over the next six to twelve months, we expect this stock will underperform the average total return of
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Coverage Universe: Quadrani, Alexia S: AMC Networks (AMCX), Activision Blizzard (ATVI), AppLovin (APP), Cinemark (CNK),
Clear Channel Outdoor (CCO), Discovery Inc - A (DISCA), Disney (DIS), Electronic Arts (EA), Endeavor (EDR), FOX (FOXA),
Gannett Company (GCI), IMAX (IMAX), Interpublic Group of Companies (IPG), Lamar Advertising Co. (LAMR), Lionsgate
Entertainment (LGFa), MSG Networks (MSGN), National CineMedia, Inc. (NCMI), New York Times Company (NYT), News Corp
(NWSA), Omnicom Group (OMC), Outfront Media Inc (OUT), Roblox (RBLX), SciPlay (SCPL), SeaWorld Entertainment (SEAS),
Sinclair Broadcast Group (SBGI), TEGNA (TGNA), Take-Two Interactive (TTWO), ViacomCBS Inc (VIAC), Warner Music Group
(WMG)
Equity Valuation and Risks: For valuation methodology and risks associated with covered companies or price targets for covered
companies, please see the most recent company-specific research report at http://www.jpmorganmarkets.com, contact the primary analyst
or your J.P. Morgan representative, or email research.disclosure.inquiries@jpmorgan.com. For material information about the proprietary
models used, please see the Summary of Financials in company-specific research reports and the Company Tearsheets, which are
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Completed 16 Jul 2021 10:48 AM EDT Disseminated 19 Jul 2021 12:15 AM EDT