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Risk Management Analysis of Adhi Persada Gedung Company in Application Vertical Integration Strategy Through Acquitition Xyz Company
Risk Management Analysis of Adhi Persada Gedung Company in Application Vertical Integration Strategy Through Acquitition Xyz Company
INTRODUCTION
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1.2 Research Purposes
1. To examine whether vertical integration by the company is the right decision.
2. To identify the factors that influence the risk of failure and the success of the vertical
integration decision by acquiring the company PT XYZ.
3. To evaluate the risk of failure that arises in the vertical integration.
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According to Stuckey and White (1993: 11) that if it is not urgent then do not take
the decision to do vertical integration unless absolutely necessary. Due to this strategy is
too expensive, risky, and difficult to reverse even though sometimes vertically integrate
is needed, but more often than not because companies make mistakes by over-integration.
So the principle of prudence in making this decision needs to be considered.
2.1.2 Value Chain Analysis
In the Value Chain Analysis the company identifies the main activities and
supporting activities that create value for customers (Thompson et al., 2014).
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2. Secondary Data : Several report from outside the company.
3.2. Data Analysis Method
This data analysis was carried out using a descriptive method to obtain a complete
picture of matters relating to the factors that influence the integration strategy chosen by the
company. Based on the concept of strategy formulation and analysis method used, the research
framework can be illustrated in Figure 3.1 below.
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Then the results of the analysis states that PT APG should be partially integrated (tapered
integration) or not to buy PT XYZ shares as a whole and in the short term. The author also
underlines the statement from Respondent 1 which states that although there will be a large
Cash Out, it is expected that there will also be additional Cash In from the proceeds from the
sale of PT XYZ goods that support the captive market of PT APG and the ADHI Groups.
4.2 Process for Implementing the Framework (Stuckey & White)
The process of applying this framework is used to analyze the conditions of companies
and related industries to get the best strategic decision output whether vertical integration (full
or partial) or not doing integration or quasi-integration.
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Figure 4.2 Figure Continued
In this step, the results of research on the analysis of the framework are:
1. The first step, management has understood the industrial chain or business system of
PT XYZ as a company to be acquired as explained by Respondent 1 (APG).
2. The second step, the author can conclude that the APG Management has identified
the company to be acquired at each stage and classifies transactions across all stages.
3. The third step, APG Management has ensured the existing weaknesses of the vertical
market value which is used as one of the motives for optimizing HPP by means of
vertical integration by acquiring PT XYZ, even though there is a risk that the steel
raw material prices are quite fulktuatif.
4. The fourth step, the author can conclude that APG Management is able to predict
changes in the structure of the industry and predict changes in the problem of market
forces due to changes in the structure of the industry well.
5. The fifth step, APG management decides the optimal vertical strategy using normal
criteria (example: NPV, risk, execution). In addition, it can provide security of supply
to PT APG even though it will later cause a large cash out due to the acquisition but
it is considered by additional cash in from the receipt of PT XYZ's operating results
supported by PT APG's captive market and other ADHI groups.
4.3 Value Chain Analysis of PT XYZ
This Value Chain Analysis (figure 4.3) aims to see and identify the competitive advantage
of PT XYZ.
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Figure 4.3 Value Chain Analysis PT XYZ
Resource: Dept Interview with Respondent 2 and Acqusition Pre-Assessement Report , 2019
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4.5 Analisis SWOT Integrasi Vertikal (akuisisi PT XYZ)
The SWOT matrix is a tool that greatly helps management to determine alternative
strategies that can be taken by the company, which is broadly divided into 4 types of strategies,
namely: SO Strategy, SW Strategy, WO Strategy and WT Strategy. Following is an overview of
the SWOT Matrix:
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4.6 Mitigation and Evaluation the Risks of Vertical Integration Strategy
Based on the analysis that has been done, the risks that may occur in this vertical
integration decision are as follows:
1. Through Stuckey & White's Vertical Restructuring Framework, it is known that the
adequacy of pseudo-integration arrangements or long-term contracts is considered
insufficient because it cannot bind the price of jobs that tend to fluctuate, and if these
prices can be bound then a substantial advance is required where This will relatively
disrupt the company's cash flow. Then the best decision is to do a partial integration
(tapered integration) where this still contains its own risks that are related to the cash
flow itself where it is not certain that by acquiring PT XYZ, cash in expectations from
XYZ can be as expected by PT APG.
2. Through the application of the Stuckey & White Framework among other things:
a. PT XYZ has a value chain link with PT APG and other ADHI groups because it is
one of the company's HPP elements in terms of steel so that it can support the
production process. In addition, from the data obtained domestically, the
projections of steel construction demand will increase. Infrastructure
development will be more numerous and will certainly be followed by development
around the infrastructure.
b. PT APG's steel construction work carried out by PT XYZ subcontractors is only a
small amount, although later if it is acquired it will provide a large portion for PT
APG and PT XYZ will get additional captive markets from other ADHI groups.
c. PT XYZ can provide security of supply, the potential for cost efficiency to support
PT APG's expansion plans and PT APG can also support PT XYZ in expanding
its market with PT APG and other ADHI groups as Captive Consumer. However,
in this case, in-depth analysis is still needed through the due diligence process.
d. Weaknesses related to steel construction is that enough price fluctuations make
PT APG partners include the risk factor value of steel price increases with a large
enough value. Then the cash flow is not good meaning it is due to late payment
(Cash In) from the Client PT. XYZ The author concludes that the Cash In expected
by APG from its Exisiting market PT XYZ which is expected by PT. APG is at risk
not in accordance with the initial expectations.
Therefore through this research evaluation can be carried out as follows:
1. The advantages of this acquisition are as follows:
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a. PT APG is considering deciding to acquire PT XYZ to support PT APG's
production where there are elements of steel construction work.
b. PT APG's net profit tends to increase every year with the projected projections of
demand for steel construction which is increasing in the absence of the threat of
steel substitute goods.
2. The disadvantages of this acquisition are as follows:
a. PT APG's steel construction work is carried out by PT XYZ's subcontractors only
a few transactions. In this case it will not have a significant impact on the
performance of PT APG in the near future although this is not a big loss for PT
APG.
b. Fluctuations in raw material prices that are difficult to predict and avoid, this will
disrupt the company's cash flow. This needs to be studied in more depth because
this is a significant risk for PT APG.
c. PT XYZ's cash flow distortion occurs due to customer payment methods and the
lack of strictness of PT XYZ's payment regulations. The author concludes that
there were disagreements from Respondents 1 and 2 where Respondent 1 expected
a lot of Cash In from PT XYZ while information from Respondent 2 (PT XYZ)
placed Cashflow as the main problem.
d. Although Cash Out to acquire PT XYZ is considered to be paid by Cash In from
sales revenue, PT APG still has to consider the very competitive market
competition in obtaining customers given the number of other large steel
companies.
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a. PT APG's steel construction work is carried out by PT XYZ's subcontractors only
a little.
b. Fluctuations in raw material prices that are difficult to predict and avoid, this will
disrupt the company's cash flow.
c. PT XYZ's cash flow distortion occurs due to customer payment methods and the
lack of strictness of PT XYZ's payment regulations.
d. Although Cash Out to acquire PT XYZ is considered to be paid by Cash In from
the sales revenue of goods, PT APG still has to consider highly competitive market
competition in obtaining customers given the large number of other large steel
companies both domestic and international.
While the factors that supported the success of the vertical integration decision by
acquiring PT XYZ were as follows:
a. Acquiring PT XYZ is expected to be able to support PT APG's production process
where there is an element of the company's HPP in terms of steel.
b. PT APG's net profit tends to increase every year with the projected projections of
demand for steel construction which is increasing in the absence of the threat of
steel substitute goods. This is considered to be beneficial for PT APG, namely as
input or cash in PT APG.
3. Evaluation of the risk mitigation results that have been carried out namely acquiring
PT XYZ is non-urgent considering that PT APG's steel construction work is carried
out by PT XYZ's subcontractors only a few. In addition, the projections or expectations
of cash in for PT XYZ for PT APG are still unclear, even the expected cash in is still
at risk not being achieved even though operating income is sure to increase.
5.2. Implication
1. When PT APG makes a vertical integration decision through the acquisition of PT
XYZ, the following impacts will be:
a. In production activities: Almost all production activities related to steel
construction will be carried out by PT XYZ, this will result in reduced production
costs due to the loss of transaction costs that previously occurred. Then from the
production capacity of PT XYZ which is able to carry out production activities with
a capacity of 100 thousand tons per month (to serve clients outside of PT APG) plus
the service to PT APG here will provide substantial business revenue potential for
PT APG.
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b. In Financial activities: The potential for increased cash in from the side of PT APG
will be open, of course, PT APG must support and improve the billing system and
contractual arrangements conducted by PT XYZ because it is still a weakness of PT
XYZ.
2. When PT APG takes the decision not to do vertical integration through the acquisition
of PT XYZ, it will have an impact: PT APG will face challenges going forward in the
same way as before. There is no security of supply for steel construction work, but the
company's performance has no significant impact.
5.3. Suggestion
Suggest for PT APG, this study recommends not to acquire PT XYZ for the purpose of
establishing vertical integration in the near future, as seen from the risk factor of PT
XYZ cash flow, which is the operational obstacle of PT XYZ. Confirming that the
estimated cash in (expectations) will be obtained is still not clear considering the
condition of PT XYZ's cash flow is also still distorted due to customer / client payments
even though operating income is definitely increasing. Due diligence needs to be done
first so that it can be studied more closely related to the risk of Cashflow for PT XYZ.
The vertical integration plan undertaken by PT APG by acquiring PT XYZ, according
to the author, isn’t an urgent strategy that must be carried out by PT APG considering
the number of transactions on PT XYZ against PT APG is also still very minimal. By
not making acquisitions in the near future it will not significantly "disrupt" PT APG's
performance.
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REFERENCES
Following up on this vertical integration strategy by acquiring (buying) and not building itself
(make) based on the relationship with the steel construction experience itself. Acquisitions take
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precedence over building (make) because APG companies consider more specialist skills where
they cannot be quickly fulfilled by PT APG itself if it builds its own subsidiary or business unit.
In addition, PT XYZ which will be acquired has several advantages compared to several other
steel construction companies such as the large and large workshop assets and is located in a
strategic area where the land assets will provide a reflection of high values in the future (as an
alternative if diverted being a property building) as well as good work experience and
experience can even be categorized as the top 10 national steel specialist contractors
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