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Y X1 X2 Y

OBS Recuento Humedad Temperatura ESTIMADO ERROR


1 156 1 70 15 157.4101483 -1.41014826008944
2 157 1 65 16 151.2797271 5.72027294264433
3 177 1 71 24 173.1889579 3.81104211853673
4 145 1 64 13 144.9918253 0.00817470695739075
5 197 1 84 21 188.4953258 8.50467418190465
6 184 1 86 16 183.6711316 0.328868391226507
7 172 1 72 22 171.5677698 0.432230235109131
8 187 1 84 18 183.7498719 3.25012811043592
9 157 1 71 20 166.861686 -9.86168597675487
10 169 1 75 16 166.7042054 2.2957945848263
11 200 1 84 28 199.5680517 0.431948348664946
12 193 1 79 27 190.2739945 2.72600550375103
13 167 1 80 13 169.6709907 -2.67099066555141
14 170 1 76 22 177.7375611 -7.73756110801807
15 192 1 88 23 197.8287531 -5.82875311357677
174.8666667 0.00000

Y X1 X2 Y
OBS Recuento Humedad Temperatura ESTIMADO (yi - yi estimado)^2
1 156 1 70 15 157.4101483 1.98851811543328
2 157 1 65 16 151.2797271 32.7215225383417
3 177 1 71 24 173.1889579 14.5240420292434
4 145 1 64 13 144.9918253 6.68258338350307E-05
5 197 1 84 21 188.4953258 72.3294829402603
6 184 1 86 16 183.6711316 0.108154418743985
7 172 1 72 22 171.5677698 0.186822976140308
8 187 1 84 18 183.7498719 10.5633327342099
9 157 1 71 20 166.861686 97.2528503041674
10 169 1 75 16 166.7042054 5.27067277570339
11 200 1 84 28 199.5680517 0.186579375909414
12 193 1 79 27 190.2739945 7.43110600645687
13 167 1 80 13 169.6709907 7.13419113548602
14 170 1 76 22 177.7375611 59.8698519003688
15 192 1 88 23 197.8287531 33.9743628591084
174.8666667 343.541556935407
q´ 0 1

q 0
1
1

betas 25.71153011
1.542447836
1.581817976

tcalculado
X TRANSPUESTA

1 1 1 1 1 1
70 65 71 64 84 86
15 16 24 13 21 16

X TRANPUESTA * X (X TRANSPUESTA * X)^(-1)

15 1149 294 7.21548826821669 -0.09092752


1149 88837 22703 -0.0909275195123712 0.001390292
294 22703 6082 -0.0093762044337954 -0.00079433

X TRANSPUESTA * Y BETAS

2623 25.7115301127051
202481 1.5424478357818
52198 1.5818179761771

Y = 25.7115301 + 1.54244784*X1 + 1.581817


XI HUMEDAD 0 50
X2 TEMPERATURA 0 8
Y 115.4884659

FV SC GL
Modelo 3650.19177639793 3
Error 343.541556935407 11
Total 3993.73333333333 14

Ho: Todos los betas son iguales a cero.


H1: Al menos un beta es diferente de cero.

Ho: Todas las variables influyen de manera significativa.


H1: Al menos una de las variables no influyen de manera significativa.
(yi - y promedio)^2
355.951111111111
319.217777777778
4.55111111111108
892.017777777778
489.884444444444
83.4177777777776 ESTIMADOR DE LA VARIANZA
8.21777777777782
147.217777777778
319.217777777778
34.4177777777779
631.684444444444
328.817777777778
61.8844444444446
23.6844444444445
293.551111111111
3993.73333333333

DETER AJUSTADO
91.40% 89.05%

Y = 25.7115301 + 1.542447

Estimar de manera confidencial el beta 2, con un niv

Beta 2 1.58181798
Confianza 95%
n 15
p 3
Sigma estimado 5.58847480360174
a22 0.003582742
q´ 0

q 0
1
-1

betas 25.71153011
1.542447836
1.581817976

q´*betas -0.03937014

q´VARYCOV -0.08155132

q´VARYCOV*q 0.00656169

raiz(q´VARYCOV*q) 0.08100426

t (n-p) 2.179

INFERIOR -1.02578222
SUPERIOR 0.947041944
1

Sigma estimado 5.588474804

7.21548826821679 -0.09092752 -0.0093762044


-0.0909275195123723 0.001390292 -0.0007943282
-0.0093762044337962 -0.00079433 0.00358274194

q´*beta 3.124265812 q´beta prueba 2

-0.10030372 0.00059596363 0.00278841377102


0.003384377

0.058175402

0.325111768

t-calculado 3.458090175
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
72 84 71 75 84 79 80
22 18 20 16 28 27 13

-0.0093762
-0.00079433
0.003582742

X1 + 1.58181798*X2 + e

CM F HIPOTESIS Análisis de Varianza


1216.7306 38.9590029
31.231051 Fuente GL SC Ajust.
Regresión 2 3650.2
Humedad 1 1711.3
Temperatura 1 698.4
Error 12 343.5
o. Total 14 3993.7

nera significativa.
5.588474804

1 + 1.54244784*X1 + 1.58181798*X2 + e

cial el beta 2, con un nivel de confianza del 95%.

7.215488268 -0.0909275195 -0.00937620443379407


-0.09092752 0.0013902918 -0.00079432816628518
-0.0093762 -0.0007943282 0.0035827419373081
1 -1

Sigma estimado 5.58847480360174

7.21548826822 -0.0909275195123729 -0.0093762


-0.0909275195 0.00139029179597339 -0.00079433
-0.0093762044 -0.00079432816628515 0.003582742

0.00218462 -0.0043770701
1 1
76 88
22 23

Análisis de Varianza

MC Ajust. Valor F Valor p


1825.1 63.75 0
1711.26 59.77 0
698.39 24.39 0
28.63
Estadístico de Durbin

Estadístico de Durbin-
Estadístico de Durbin-Watson

Estadístico de Durbin-Watson
1.75477
=

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