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doi:10.1093/ehjci/jeaa243
Received 29 March 2020; editorial decision 3 August 2020; accepted 7 August 2020
Aims Right ventricular (RV) failure causes death from acute pulmonary embolism (PE), due to a mismatch between RV
systolic function and increased RV afterload. We hypothesized that an echocardiographic ratio of this mismatch
[RV systolic function by tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) divided by pulmonary arterial systolic
pressure (PASP)] would predict adverse outcomes better than each measurement individually, and would be useful
for risk stratification in intermediate-risk PE.
...................................................................................................................................................................................................
Methods This was a retrospective analysis of a single academic centre Pulmonary Embolism Response Team registry from
and results 2012 to 2019. All patients with confirmed PE and a formal transthoracic echocardiogram performed within 2 days
were included. All echocardiograms were analysed by an observer blinded to the outcome. The primary endpoint
was a 7-day composite outcome of death or haemodynamic deterioration. Secondary outcomes were 7- and 30-
day all-cause mortality. A total of 627 patients were included; 135 met the primary composite outcome. In univari-
ate analysis, the TAPSE/PASP was associated with our primary outcome [odds ratio = 0.028, 95% confidence inter-
val (CI) 0.010–0.087; P < 0.0001], which was significantly better than either TAPSE or PASP alone (P = 0.017 and
P < 0.0001, respectively). A TAPSE/PASP cut-off value of 0.4 was identified as the optimal value for predicting ad-
verse outcome in PE. TAPSE/PASP predicted both 7- and 30-day all-cause mortality, while TAPSE and PASP did
not.
...................................................................................................................................................................................................
Conclusion A combined echocardiographic ratio of RV function to afterload is superior in prediction of adverse outcome in
acute intermediate-risk PE. This ratio may improve risk stratification and identification of the patients that will suf-
fer short-term deterioration after intermediate-risk PE.
..
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*Corresponding authors. Tel: þ1 (617) 643 0853. E-mail: ddudzinski@mgh.harvard.edu (D.M.D.); Tel: þ45 (204) 50486. E-mail: mads.dam@clin.au.dk (M.D.L.)
C The Author(s) 2020. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.
Published on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved. V
2 M.D. Lyhne et al.
Graphical Abstract
Patients who did not meet primary Patients who did meet primary P-value
outcome (n 5 492) outcome (n 5 135)
....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Age (years) 62 ± 16 59 ± 17 0.082
Sex (female) 240 (49%) 66 (47%) 0.702
Race 0.023
Data are presented as mean ± SD or n (%) where appropriate. ‘Recent’ was defined as within 4 weeks.
OPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; VTE, venous thromboembolism.
TAPSE/PASP, corroborating high degree of consistency in the intra- .. primary endpoint whereas TAPSE and PASP separately showed sig-
..
observer analyses. .. nificantly lower AUC (Figure 3B). We identified a TAPSE/PASP ratio
Patients who experienced the primary outcome had significantly
.. 0.387 (95% CI 0.304–0.425) as the optimal value for predicting out-
..
lower TAPSE, higher TRV and higher PASP, larger IVC, and more fre- .. come in PE based on the ROC.
quently septal bowing and McConnell’s sign. They also had a lower
.. In multivariate analysis, TAPSE/PASP was independently associated
..
TAPSE/PASP ratio 0.29 (0.21–0.40) compared with those who did .. with primary outcome with an OR 0.026 per unit change (95% CI
not meet the primary outcome [0.47 (0.33–0.70), P < 0.001]. See
.. 0.008–0.080, P < 0.0001). TAPSE and PASP separately were also in-
..
Figure 2. .. dependently associated with the primary endpoint (Table 4).
..
The distribution of the TAPSE/PASP ratio is shown in Figure 3A. .. For secondary outcomes of all-cause mortality, higher TAPSE/
We divided patients into quartiles by TAPSE/PASP ratio (<0.295, .. PASP was associated with lower 7-day all-cause mortality with OR
..
0.295–0.429, 0.430–0.659, >0.659); there was a significant trend asso- .. 0.060 (95% CI 0.007–0.527, P < 0.0001) per unit change. TAPSE, but
ciated with primary outcome (P < 0.0001) across these quartiles. In .. not PASP, predicted 7-day mortality. Only TAPSE/PASP, but not
..
the lowest quartile, 69/158 (44%) of patients experienced adverse .. TAPSE or PASP individually, predicted 30-day all-cause mortality
outcome, compared with; 38/157 (24%), 17/159 (11%), and 11/151 .. with OR 0.326 (95% CI 0.118–0.895, P = 0.0297) per unit change
..
(7%), respectively, in the higher quartiles. .. (Table 4).
.. Figure 4 shows the percentage of events for both primary and the
..
Association with adverse outcome .. two secondary outcomes also stratified by high vs. low TAPSE/PASP
In univariate analysis, TAPSE/PASP were associated with the primary .. with the 0.387 as optimal cut-off. Significantly more events occurred
..
endpoint with an odds ratio (OR) = 0.028 [95% confidence interval .. in the low TAPSE/PASP group during the first 7 days.
(CI) 0.010–0.087, P < 0.0001] per unit change. There was no differ- ..
..
ence between sexes. TAPSE and PASP separately were also associ- .. Sub-analyses
ated with the primary outcome (Table 4). However, in ROC analysis
.. A number of sub-analyses were pre-specified. We believe that the
..
TAPSE/PASP had an AUC of 0.740 (95% CI 0.694–0.787) to predict . primary clinical use of the TAPSE/PASP ratio is in stratifying
The echocardiographic ratio TAPSE/PASP in acute pulmonary embolism 5
Patients who did not meet primary Patients who met primary P-Value
outcome (n 5 492) outcome (n 5 135)
....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Symptoms
Asymptomatic, n (%) 19 (4) 1 (1) 0.093
Dyspnoea, n (%) 364 (74) 96 (71) 0.504
Data are presented as median with inter-quartile range or n (%) where appropriate. Hypoxia is defined as saturation < 95% on ambient air or need for supplemental oxygen.
PE, pulmonary embolism; PERT, pulmonary embolism response team; NT-proBNP, N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide.
Echocardiographic variable Patients who did not meet primary Patients who did meet primary outcome (n 5 135) P-Value
outcome (n 5 492)
....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
TAPSE (mm) 16.9 (13.3–21.0) 13.4 (9.3–16.6) <0.001
TRV (cm/s) 2.7 (2.3–3.1) 2.9 (2.6–3.2) <0.001
RA–RV pressure gradient (mmHg) 28.7 (21.5–37.5) 33.4 (26.8–41.7) <0.001
PASP (mmHg) 34.1 (25.7–44.2) 40.7 (32.7–51.6) <0.001
IVC (cm) 1.7 (1.4–2.1) 2.0 (1.6–2.3) <0.001
TAPSE/PASP (mm/mmHg) 0.47 (0.33–0.70) 0.29 (0.21–0.40) <0.001
McConnell sign present 113 (23%) 61 (45%) <0.001
Septal bowing 128 (26%) 71 (53%) <0.001
A B
..
..
..
Table 4 Correlation between echocardiographic esti- ..
mates of RV function and afterload and the endpoints ..
..
Correlation to primary, com- OR 95% CI P-value
..
..
posite outcome ..
................................................................................................. ..
TAPSE (univariate) 0.878 0.844–0.913 <0.0001 ..
..
PASP (univariate) 1.033 1.020–1.047 <0.0001 ..
TAPSE/PASP (univariate) 0.028 0.010–0.087 <0.0001 ..
..
TAPSE (multivariate) 0.873 0.838–0.910 <0.0001 ..
PASP (multivariate) 1.034 1.020–1.048 <0.0001
..
..
TAPSE/PASP (multivariate) 0.026 0.008–0.080 <0.0001 ..
Correlation (univariate) to 7 days
..
..
all-cause mortality ..
TAPSE 0.901 0.835–0.974 0.0082
..
..
PASP 1.018 0.992–1.044 0.1780 ..
TAPSE/PASP 0.060 0.007–0.527 <0.0001
..
..
Correlation (univariate) to 30 days ..
..
all-cause mortality ..
TAPSE 0.955 0.909–1.005 0.0744 .. Figure 4 Adverse events stratified by TAPSE/PASP ratio.
.. Percentage of events for both primary 7 days composite outcome
PASP 1.009 0.991–1.027 0.3322 ..
TAPSE/PASP 0.326 0.118–0.895 0.0297 .. and the secondary outcomes of 7 and 30 days mortality.
.. Stratification by TAPSE/PASP<0.387 vs. >_0.387 shows significantly
..
All ORs calculated per unit change, i.e. per mm increase for TAPSE; per mmHg .. more adverse events in the low TAPSE/PASP group. PASP, pulmon-
increase for PASP, and per mm/mmHg increase for TAPSE/PASP. .. ary arterial systolic pressure; TAPSE, tricuspid annular plane systolic
CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; PASP, pulmonary arterial systolic pres- .. excursion.
sure; TAPSE, tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion. ..
..
8 M.D. Lyhne et al.
..
determinant in TAPSE/PASP changes, as afterload is the most dynam- .. RV–PA coupling.43 TAPSE/PASP has been shown to correlate with
ic factor compared with contractility in the time following acute .. actual RV–PA coupling18 and to correlate with invasively measured
..
intermediate-risk PE in an animal model.39 TAPSE/PASP ratio is not a .. RAP, pulmonary vascular resistance, and LV end-diastolic pressure.22
measure of function but rather a proxy for VA-coupling (see ..
..
below),36 noting TAPSE does not account for ventricular force or .. Clinical implementation
contractility as it does not contain information on ventricular mass or .. The TAPSE/PASP ratio could be implemented in near real-time acute
..
a time consideration (e.g. acceleration). Despite these potential con- .. clinical risk stratification systems as echocardiography is easy to per-
cerns, the ratio has been shown valuable in pulmonary hypertension, .. form, inexpensive, harmless, and widely available. Even in supine,
..