10-Piece Set 10-Piece Set

month year sold units Time in month sale price Jan Mar Apr
Jan-11 219 1 $949.98 1 0 0
Feb-11 175 2 $949.98 0 0 0
Mar-11 306 3 $949.98 0 1 0
Apr-11 394 4 $949.98 0 0 1
May-11 394 5 $949.98 0 0 0
Jun-11 131 6 $949.98 0 0 0
Jul-11 131 7 $949.98 0 0 0
Aug-11 438 8 $949.98 0 0 0
Sep-11 525 9 $949.98 0 0 0
Oct-11 613 10 $949.98 0 0 0
Nov-11 657 11 $949.98 0 0 0
Dec-11 394 12 $949.98 0 0 0
Jan-12 354 13 $949.98 1 0 0
Feb-12 706 14 $949.98 0 0 0
Mar-12 603 15 $949.98 0 1 0
Apr-12 603 16 $949.98 0 0 1
May-12 367 17 $949.98 0 0 0
Jun-12 328 18 $949.98 0 0 0
Jul-12 509 19 $949.98 0 0 0
Aug-12 429 20 $949.98 0 0 0
Sep-12 417 21 $949.98 0 0 0
Oct-12 1,553 22 $799.95 0 0 0
Nov-12 1,670 23 $799.95 0 0 0
Dec-12 1,204 24 $799.95 0 0 0
May Jun Jul Sept Oct Nov Dec SUMMARY OUTPUT
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Regression Statistics
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Multiple R 0.973563068
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 R Square 0.947825048
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Adjusted R Square0.890906918
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 Standard Error 131.3148541
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 Observations 24
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 ANOVA
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 df
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Regression 12
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Residual 11
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 23
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Coefficients
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Intercept 5050.946011
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Time in month 14
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 10-Piece Set sale -5.0189962
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 Jan -94.5
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Mar 45.5
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Apr 75.5
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 May -56.5
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Jun -221.5
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Jul -145
Sept -22
Oct 199.5
Nov 266
Dec -112.5

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation
Predicted 10-Piece Set sold units
1 202.5
2 311
3 370.5
4 414.5
 5 296.5
6 145.5
7 236
8 395
9 387
10 622.5
11 703
12 338.5
13 370.5
14 479
15 538.5
16 582.5
17 464.5
18 313.5
19 404
20 563
21 555
22 1543.5
23 1624
24 1259.5
 Time in month Residu
250
200
150
100 10-Piece Set

Residuals
50 Residua
0
-50 0 5
300 10 15
Jan
-100 200 300
-150

Residuals
-200 100 200
0

Residuals
100820
Time
-100780 800 in month
840 8
SS MS F Significance F -200 0
3445772 287147.7 16.65243 2.429E-05 -100 0 10-Piece S
189679.5 17243.59 -200
3635451

Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95,0%Upper 95,0%

809.9097 6.236431 6.381E-05 3268.347 6833.545 3268.347 6833.545
5.020949 2.788318 0.01764 2.948966 25.05103 2.948966 25.05103
0.819754 -6.122567 7.493E-05 -6.823262 -3.214731 -6.823262 -3.214731
115.4818 -0.818311 0.43055 -348.6738 159.6738 -348.6738 159.6738
114.1645 0.398548 0.697854 -205.7744 296.7744 -205.7744 296.7744
113.8328 0.663254 0.520825 -175.0443 326.0443 -175.0443 326.0443
113.722 -0.496826 0.629092 -306.8004 193.8004 -306.8004 193.8004
113.8328 -1.945837 0.077666 -472.0443 29.04427 -472.0443 29.04427
114.1645 -1.270097 0.230259 -396.2744 106.2744 -396.2744 106.2744
115.4818 -0.190506 0.852383 -276.1738 232.1738 -276.1738 232.1738
125.8246 1.58554 0.141151 -77.43812 476.4381 -77.43812 476.4381
125.7244 2.115739 0.057997 -10.71754 542.7175 -10.71754 542.7175
125.8246 -0.894102 0.390411 -389.4381 164.4381 -389.4381 164.4381

Residuals
16.5
-136
-64.5
-20.5
 97.5
-14.5
-105
43
138
-9.5
-46
55.5
-16.5
227
64.5
20.5
-97.5
14.5
105
-134
-138
9.5
46
-55.5
 e in month Residual Plot

10-Piece Set sale price

Residual Plot
5
300 10 15
Jan20Residual
25
Plot
30
200 300
Mar Residual Plot
Residuals

100 200
0
Residuals

100820
Time
-100780 800 300860 880 900 920 940 960
in month
840
-200 0 200 Apr Residual Plot
0 1 2
Residuals

-100 10-Piece
100 Set sale 300
price
-200 0 200 May Residual Plot
-100 0 1 2
Residuals

100 Jan 300

-200 0 200 Jun Residual Plot
-100 0 1 2
Residuals

100 Mar 300

-200 0 200 Jul Residual Plot
-100 0 1 2
Residuals

100 Apr 300

-200 0 200 Sept Residual Plot
-100 0 1 2
Residuals

100 May 300

-200 0 200 Oct Residual Plot
-100 0 1 2
Residuals

100 Jun 300

-200 0 200 Nov Residual Plo
-100 0 1 2
Residuals

100 Jul 300

-200 0 200 Dec Resid
-100 0 1
Residuals

100Sept 300
-200 0 200 Time in m
-100 0 1
Residuals

100 Oct 2,000

10-Piece Set sold units
-200 0 1,500
-100 0 1,000 Nov
-200 500
0 D
0 5 10
Time
ual Plot
Residual Plot
2
Nov Residual Plot
1 2
Dec Residual Plot
1 2
t 300
200 Time in month Line Fit Plot
1 2
Residuals

100 Oct 2,000

10-Piece Set sold units

0 1,500
10-Piece Set sale price Line Fit
10-Piece Set sold
-100 0 1,000 Nov 1 units 2 Plot
Jan Line Fit Plot
10-Piece Set sold units

-200 Predicted 10-Piece

500 2,000 Set sold units10-Piece Set sold
1,500 Dec units
10-Piece Set sold units

0 2,000
1,000
0 5 10 15 1,500 20 25 30 Predicted 10-Piece
Set sold units10-Piece Set sold
Mar Line Fit Plot
500
units
10-Piece Set sold units

Time
0 in month
1,000 2,000
750 800500850 9001,500950 1000 Predicted 10-Piece
Set sold units10-Piece Set sold
Apr Line Fit Plot
units
10-Piece Set sold units

10-Piece
0 Set sale price
1,000 2,000
0 500 1 1,500 2 Predicted 10-Piece
Set sold units10-Piece Set sold
May Line Fit Plot
units
10-Piece Set sold units

0 Jan 1,000 2,000

0 500 1 1,500 2 Predicted 10-Piece
Set sold units10-Piece Set sold
Jun Line Fit Plot
Mar units
-Piece Set sold units

0 1,000 2,000
0 500 1 1,500 2 Predicted 10-Piece
Set sold units10-Piece Set sold
Jul Line Fit Plot
units
et sold units

0 Apr 1,000 2,000

0 1 1,500 2 Predicted 10-Piece
500 Set sold units10-Piece Se
units
0 May 1,000
Predicted 1
 1,500
Apr Line Fit Plot
10-Piece Set sold

10-Piece Set sold

units

10-Piece Set sold units

1,000 2,000
500 1,500 MayPredicted
Line 10-Piece
Fit Plot
Set sold units10-Piece Set sold
units

10-Piece Set sold units

0 1,000 2,000
0 500 1 1,500 2 Jun Line Fit Plot
Predicted 10-Piece
Set sold units10-Piece Set sold
units
0 Mar 1,000

10-Piece Set sold units

2,000
0 500 1 1,500 2 Jul Line Fit Plot
Predicted 10-Piece
Set sold units10-Piece Set sold
Apr units

10-Piece Set sold units

0 1,000 2,000
0 500 1 1,500 2 Predicted 10-Piece
Set sold units10-Piece Se
Sept Line Fit Plo
units
0 May 1,000

10-Piece Set sold units

2,000
0 500 1 1,500 2 Predicted 1
Set sold un
Oct Line F

10-Piece Set sold units

0 Jun 1,000 2,000
0 500 1 1,500 2 No
0 Jul 1,000

10-Piece Set sold units

2,000
0 500 1 1,500 2
0 Sept 1,000
0 500 1
0 Oct
0
t0-Piece
Plot Set sold
nits
Line
redictedFit Plot
10-Piece
et sold units10-Piece Set sold
units
Predicted 10-Piece
Set sold units10-Piece Set sold
units
Predicted 10-Piece
 t0-Piece
Plot Set sold
nits
Line Fit Plot
redicted 10-Piece
et sold units10-Piece Set sold
units
Sept Line Fit Plot
Predicted 10-Piece
Set sold units10-Piece Set sold
units
2 Predicted 10-Piece Oct Line Fit Plot
Set sold units10-Piece Set sold
units
10-Piece Set sold units

2,000
1 1,500 2 Predicted 10-Piece
Set sold units10-Piece Set sold
Nov Line Fit Plot
units
10-Piece Set sold units

1,000 2,000
500 1 1,500 2 Predicted 10-Piece
Set sold units10-Piece Set sold
Dec Line Fit Plot
units
0 Sept 1,000
10-Piece Set sold units

2,000
0 1 1,500 2 Predicted 10-Piece
500 Set sold units10-Piece Set sold
Oct 1,000 units
0
0 1 2 Predicted 10-Piece
500 Set sold units
0 Nov
0 1 2
Dec
 10-Piece Set Time in 10-Piece
month year Set sale
sold units month price Jan Mar Apr May Jun
Jan-11 219 1 $949.98 1 0 0 0 0
Feb-11 175 2 $949.98 0 0 0 0 0
Mar-11 306 3 $949.98 0 1 0 0 0
Apr-11 394 4 $949.98 0 0 1 0 0
May-11 394 5 $949.98 0 0 0 1 0
Jun-11 131 6 $949.98 0 0 0 0 1
Jul-11 131 7 $949.98 0 0 0 0 0
Aug-11 438 8 $949.98 0 0 0 0 0
Sep-11 525 9 $949.98 0 0 0 0 0
Oct-11 613 10 $949.98 0 0 0 0 0
Nov-11 657 11 $949.98 0 0 0 0 0
Dec-11 394 12 $949.98 0 0 0 0 0
Jan-12 354 13 $949.98 1 0 0 0 0
Feb-12 706 14 $949.98 0 0 0 0 0
Mar-12 603 15 $949.98 0 1 0 0 0
Apr-12 603 16 $949.98 0 0 1 0 0
May-12 367 17 $949.98 0 0 0 1 0
Jun-12 328 18 $949.98 0 0 0 0 1
Jul-12 509 19 $949.98 0 0 0 0 0
Aug-12 429 20 $949.98 0 0 0 0 0
Sep-12 417 21 $949.98 0 0 0 0 0
Oct-12 1,553 22 $799.95 0 0 0 0 0
Nov-12 1,670 23 $799.95 0 0 0 0 0
Dec-12 1,204 24 $799.95 0 0 0 0 0

Predicted 10-
Piece Set sold
units

Jan-13 1292 25 $799.95 1 0 0 0 0

Feb-13 1400 26 $799.95 0 0 0 0 0
Mar-13 1460 27 $799.95 0 1 0 0 0
Apr-13 1504 28 $799.95 0 0 1 0 0
May-13 1386 29 $799.95 0 0 0 1 0
Jun-13 1235 30 $799.95 0 0 0 0 1
Jul-13 1325 31 $799.95 0 0 0 0 0
Aug-13 1484 32 $799.95 0 0 0 0 0
Sep-13 1476 33 $799.95 0 0 0 0 0
Oct-13 1712 34 $799.95 0 0 0 0 0
Nov-13 1792 35 $799.95 0 0 0 0 0
Dec-13 1428 36 $799.95 0 0 0 0 0

Forecast Actual Abs. Error MAD

Jan-13 1069 MAPD
Feb-13 1536
Mar-13 1490
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jul Sept Oct Nov Dec
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 1 0 0 0
0 0 1 0 0
0 0 0 1 0
0 0 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 1 0 0 0
0 0 1 0 0
0 0 0 1 0
0 0 0 0 1

0 0 0 0 0 Coefficients
0 0 0 0 0 Intercept 5050.946
0 0 0 0 0 Time in month 14
0 0 0 0 0 10-Piece Set sale price -5.018996
0 0 0 0 0 Jan -94.5
0 0 0 0 0 Mar 45.5
1 0 0 0 0 Apr 75.5
0 0 0 0 0 May -56.5
0 1 0 0 0 Jun -221.5
0 0 1 0 0 Jul -145
0 0 0 1 0 Sept -22
0 0 0 0 1 Oct 199.5
Nov 266
Dec -112.5