Professional Documents
Culture Documents
TRAINING
When to use
Quantitative • Probably the most used format in ShARE presentation with the structure slides
slides
Value chain • Often used when there is a time line, or an industrial value chain or a process
slides
Matrix slides • Used for a smart and complicated analysis, with 2-3 dimensions
Map slides
• Used to spot clusters in a country, in a region
Calculations
slides • Used as BACK-UP of quantitative slides when you come up with a complex
methodology
• Quantitative slides
• Structure slides
• ID slides
• Matrix slides
• Map slides
• Calculation slides
3181 31
21
zoom
832
701
520
4
31
1
0
S" " " "
ard re r rty" tes
"UB t h de v e ga "
sL
eu "F e "po "bi
ll
a tes xx xx xx xx
r i ll g
"Do "bi
CAGR
Category wise Automobile Demand in India (XX)
03-08 08-09
Passenger 16.9% 0%
Vehicle
7,9
7,2 7,4
7,1
Commercial
6,2 20.9% -23%
Vehicles
5,4
4,8
Two Wheelers 13.3% -3.2%
Source: SIAM Industry Statistics (Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers)Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 6
Cost could drop up to XX% in 2015, mainly due to technology
progress
“XXX as substrate will low the cost for it is cheap and could product bigger substrate
to increase utilization of XXequip, at the same time, Si is softer than SiC and
sapphire to reduce processing costs……It’s estimated that use Si could save 90%
of the chip cost”
65%
XX,XXX
100% US DOE
estimation
confirmed similar
declining pattern
10%
5%
7%
20% 2% 1%
10%
Government subsidizes
Introduction of
the
4 000 000 first flex-fuel
car: VW Golf
Price’s liberalization Higher ethanol prices (caused by
poorer crops due to bad climatic
conditions) made people to
2 000 000 chose gasoline at the gas
stations as it is only economical
to buy ethanol when it costs
<70% of gas
0
2 0 2 -6
2 0 3 -6
2 0 4 -6
2 0 5 -6
2 0 6 -6
2 0 7 -6
2 0 8 -6
2 0 9 -6
-6
20 -01
20 -06
20 -12
20 -06
20 2
20 2
20 2
20 2
20 2
20 2
20 2
20 2
20 2
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
10
00
00
00
01
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
0
0
20
Source: ANP – National Agency for Oil, Natural Gas and Biofuels, Petrobras 8
Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved
Highest occupancy rate appears in the National Day holiday and
summer vacation, the lowest point appears in the Spring Festival
Summer holiday
65%
63% 61%
61%
Chinese new year holiday,
most Chinese return to
59%
home and economic
57% slows down
activity
56%
55%
54%
53%
51%
49%
2014 2015 2016
47%
45%
Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec.
Domestic Demand is expected to grow further Rapid growth in export demand is fueled by
with increasing market penetration India’s low cost of operations
Domestic Demand
Export Demand
(XX)
CAGR (XX) CAGR
CAGR CAGR 09-15 09-15
03-07 07-08 XX%
17.9%
-4% 16,1 4,1
XX
14,8 3,5
13,6
12,5 CAGR 3,0
11,5
10,1 9,7 9,7 10,6 03-09 2,5
8,9 30.7% 2,1
7,9 1,8
6,8 1,5
5,9
1,2
1,0
0,6 0,8
0,3 0,5
2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
“Car Density in India is low at 12 per 1000 people “India’s low cost of operations has led to an increase in
in comparison to U.S. market’s 756 per 1000 outsourcing of auto components from the local players” -
people” -Mr. Jatinder Kumar, Visteon Revving up! Indian automotive industry - a perspective by
E&Y
157
Mobile switch capacity
Mobile subscribers
105
96
89
80 80 78
73
54 57
53
49
45 43 43 46 45 43 45
40 38 37 37 38
35 36 33 31 36
31 29 28 25 25
23 22 21 23 23
20 20 19 19 18 16 16 15 15 14 1712 11
17
9 9
5 74 43 2
1
li a
Ti ng
an i
Sh an
H un xi
on ng
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ai
H n
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Sh xi
ne Be g
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G in
Si bei
ao i
Ji ng
H n
Fu n
Xi su
Zh gsu
lo nan
Q xia
Ji lin
ho u
H g
t
G gxi
N an
'x
Sh hu
be
Li be
n
Sh don
ua
n
a
C z ho
an
ng
gh
an
go
Ji
an
ia
ji
r M ij i
n
ia
ji
ni
jia
do
en
un
g
g
e
an
ng
Ti
an
ch
an
ai
in
in
ua
ej
nj
ng
ng
ui
Y
ua
ei
G
In
1. Mobile Switch capacity: maximum number of users (in millions) each mobile switch can service
2. Data is ranked by mobile subscribers/BTS capacity;
Source: Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China
Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 11
Hotel industry in XXX is dominated by 3 large local groups,
which represents XX% of hotel chain rooms
1 126 3% 5%
SUNMEI Group 55 439
1 126 3% 5%
Urban Hotel Group 55 439
hotels (#)
504 rooms (#) 2% 2%
Zhuyou Hotels Group 33 492
92 1% 1%
Wanda Hotels & Resorts 27 521
493 1% 2%
99-Inn Management Co. 26 699
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000
Source:: Hotels, inntie, corporate annual reports, company website Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 12
Aluminum sheet usage in automobile components is decreasing
because of improving technology
1,5 1,5
1,3 1,3
1,25 1,25 1,25 1,25 XX4
1,15 1,15 1,15
1,75 1,75
1,6 1,6
1,5 1,5 1,5 1,5 XX3
1,4 1,4 1,4
1,25 1,25 1,1 1,1 1 1 1 1 0,9 0,9 0,9 XX2
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
“Improvement in technology is the reason of decrease in kilo grams of aluminium used in radiators, intercooler, evaporators
and condenser especially in past five years and trend is likely to continue in future but reduction would not be equal and
would be slow going forward” - Mr Pradeep Srivastav, Climate System
CAGR
3G network
A large drop launched in 11.5%
in CDMA 2009
493 572 639 746 886
users due to 384
take-over2 283 1087
150 1316
95 98 97 96 90
CDMA 60 89
10 76 79
launched in CAGR
2002 52 60
36.4% 28
41 41
36 839 856 854 847 830 764
33 664 744 815 672
28 591 24
17 489 504
407
4
206 289 342 302
0 0
70 156
45
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
1. CAGR = Compounded Annual Growth Rate
2. take-over: China Unicom sold the CDMA service to China Telecom in July, 2008. ShARE projections
0,89
1204 1219
1076
818 881
693
0,30 0,28 539
0,23
221 245 226
0,13 0,08 149 178 195
115
53 60 66 67 83 101 107
XX XX XX XX XX XX 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Source: For Profit Higher Education: The Failure to Safeguard the Federal Investment and Ensure Student Success, US Senate
National Centre for Education Statistic
Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 18
1
YYY
The average capacity for rural electrification is 20 kw, with micro-
hydro projects achieving a higher capacity range
100
90 Comments
80
70 • The capacity of solar micro-grid
projects ranges from 1 – 150 KW, with
Capacity (KW)
60 an average of 19 KW
• The capacity of hydro micro-grid
50
projects ranges from 1 – 400 KW, with
40 an average of 20 KW
• Sumatra and Sulawesi are top
30 adopters of PV and micro-hydro within
Av. 20 KW
20 the region
• Only 26 (5%) have capacity above
10 50kW
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
# of microgrids
Notes: A database of the 585 sites was constructed. Of which, 477 were analysed (253 micro-hydro and 224 solar) as the
rest had incomplete capacity data.
Source: XXX Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 19
Content
• Quantitative slides
• Structure slides
• ID slides
• Matrix slides
• Map slides
• Calculation slides
• 1975 to 1980
Period
- First presented in 1973
Autonomy • XX
Source: Gurgel Club, Quoatro Roda Magazine – April 2007 Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 21
Indian Gov’t has also developed an Automotive Mission Plan
(AMP) to further increase exports of low cost car
• The XX Plan (2006 – 2016) aims at doubling the contribution of the automobile sector in
Goal GDP by taking the turnover to $XX Billion, with special emphasis on export of small and
low cost cars
• Improving infrastructure to increase export capacity
- Earmark space for parking and vehicle repair at these ports to accommodate at least
20,000 vehicles at a time
- Creation of specialized port infrastructure for handling vehicle exports
- Creation of three automobile export hubs near Mumbai, Chennai and Delhi, each equipped
Key to handle output of 0.5 million vehicles annually by 2015
Objectives • Increasing efficiency of operation of all ports
- Execution of port connectivity with all the automotive hubs in the country
- Addressing automation in procedures and standardization at all ports
- Expedite implementation of container terminals in line with the National Maritime
Development Program
• Car manufacturers are setting up car terminals in line with AMP to start export of cars
Recent - Maruti Suzuki has set up a car terminal at XX and Special Economic Zone Ltd in Gujrat and
this is where the exports of its product A Star commenced
Developments
• Many foreign transport companies are establishing their businesses in India after the
supporting launch of the AMP
the AMP - The Japanese multi-modal transport group, Mitsui OSK Lines (MOL) has formed a new
company in India to transport cars to Ennore port for Nissan and Chennai port for Hyundai.
• XX
Origin • XX
• XX
Co- • Dan Dong Huang Hai Bus
manufacturers
• Wu Zhou Long Bus
40 vehicles of Super Capacitor Electric Bus running in
Shanghai 2010 Expo are all used “AOWEI”super
• Xia Men King Long Bus capacitor. The total cost of super capacitor bus only
covers ½ of the Li-ion battery bus.
Note: PHEV- Plug-in hybrid electric vehicle; BEV- battery/pure electric vehicle; HFCV- hydrogen fuel cell vehicle
Source: Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT); Roland Berger
Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 25
Tsinghua is the leading university promoting social
entrepreneurship
• Location: Beijing, • Social organization • 1995. 10: established an NGO research center ;
China • Social enterprise the first and now the most matured center in
• Creation: 1911 China
• Rank No.1 • 2009. 5: held the first Social entrepreneurship
Tsinghua University contest in Tsinghua; collaborated with Northern
Light Venture Capital
• Location: Beijing, • Social organization • 1995.12: set up an NGO legal aid center
China • 2002: introduced MPA course including NGO
• Creation: 1898 management and public welfare
• Rank No.2 • 2005: set up an Institute for civil society
development(ICSD) studying social issues
Peking University
• XXX(CNPC)
‾ One of the top 4 industrial players in the oil market of China
‾ Invested XX Euro in Bio-Diesel program of Hainan Province, aimed to produce 60000 mt/yr bio-
diesel
‾ Signed MOU with XX to produce greed diesel and bio-jet fuel from cellulosic wastes and animal
feedstuffs in Sichuan Province
• XX(CPCC or Sinopec)
‾ One of the top 4 industiral players in the oil market of China
‾ Invested 0.09 billion Euro in Curcas Bio-diesel program or Guizhou province, aimed at
producing 50000 mt/yr bio-diesel
‾ Cooperating with Boeing China Co. in bio-fuel
“We are glad to promote the R&D of algae bio-et fuel with Boeing. Given our scientific advantage and Boeing’s influence in
aviation area, we will definitely develop high quality bio-jet fuels and advanced technologies.”
XXX, Vice Director of Qingdao Institute of Bioenergy
Source: XXX
Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 27
Content
• Quantitative slides
• Structure slides
• Matrix slides
• Map slides
• Calculation slides
Source: Southeast University; ShARE Interviews Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 29
Case study - Shenzhen – Most promising Economic Zone in
China
• Area:813.00 km2
• Regionalism: 6 district
• Population: 8.91 million
• GDP per-capita ($): 13 581
Transport in 2009
• Metro:
‾ Operating length (km): 22
‾ Operating routes: 2
‾ Number of Vehicles(vehicle): 132
‾ Passengers (million person-times):
138.23
Choose a location
out of 36 cities
Sources: euroakademie.de
Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 32
The power sector in XX is state driven. XX is regulated by 3
ministries and controls gen, trans an dist sectors
PPAs
IPPs XX
and management
• Quantitative slides
• Structure slides
• ID slides
• Matrix slides
• Map slides
• Calculation slides
Target
0 $XX $ XX $ 300,000 $ XX $XX
Revenue
Target
0 50 200 XX XX XX
students
First First
Scale up 1st round
performance in performance
Milestone local province around world
Legal registered
as an First
entertainment performance
company around Asia
First
performance
Finish first batch around China
teacher and
students selection
Source: ShARE Analysis
Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 35
Social firm was the first model to emerge followed by
foundations, social enterprise at very recent stage
Before 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Foundation
XX New non-public foundations
set up focus on social issues
Sustainable NGO
XX Second batch of new model
NGOs appear around 2005,
Social firms
Appear as early as PRC Grow very quickly in Peak amount in 1995, then
established early 1980s began shrinking
XX XX XX
26’
ºFRANCE
PAR 32 training centres in France
58’
SPAIN
>TEA 5 training centres in Spain
62’
PORTUGAL
UK 14’
97’
CZECH REPUBLIC
GERMANY
>Integrata
97’
CHINA
7 training centres in China 12’
SINGAPORE
15’
CHILE
• Quantitative slides
• Structure slides
• ID slides
• Matrix slides
• Map slides
• Calculation slides
xx x
xx
xx
x
xx 3
Kazakhstan
1 Iran
Libya x
1
xx xx
Kuwait
UAE
x xx
Legend 3
Country 4
x
x
TOTAL 15 years
Years
Field of Expertise
before setting up the Profiles of directors of SE/SB
SE
Holds a MBA
9
Finance 10
4
Business (start-up, 8 11
marketing,…) 5
2 1 16
12
Social study / 3
Public sector 7 15
Law
14 13
Engineering/IT 6
Others 10
Working experience
0-2 years 2-5 years 5-10 years 10-30 years Retirement before starting the
SE
Source: Literature Search; Team analysis Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 41
8 models of organizations identified which serve a social cause
and are financially self sustainable
Indirect
Direct
The poor receive social benefits by their role in the
The poor receive a social service or product
exercise of the business
donation NGO
Employees Suppliers or contractors
CSR* Out of scope
are the poor, disabled are the poor, disabled
Source of revenues
4 5
1
Capital Foundation Social firms Social resp. firms
market
2
rich Sust. NGO
3 Shareholder
Social business I Social enterprise are the poor, disabled
poor
Support
Sustainable organization which provides funds or consulting services to direct or indirect FISSO
7 8
Sells consulting/services
Provides debt/equity to Social funds Social consulting to FiSSO
FiSSO
* If the CSR is not sustainable Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 42
Packaging is the most promising entrance for China market
comparing to others
Estimated Go/No
xx market size CAGR Rationales
Go
(‘xx) 2009-2015
xx • xx
• xx
7
• xx
27
• xx
5% • xx
xx3 xx2 xx ? • xx
4
20
138
• xx
70 12% • xx
• xx
• xx
• xx
2009 2015
Source: ShARE analysis, Interviews Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 43
Content
• Quantitative slides
• Structure slides
• ID slides
• Matrix slides
• Map slides
• Calculation slides
Production of xx in 2008
12%
4% x
7.8% 2.9% x%
3.238
xxx xx 10.846 4.8%
5.3% 3.795
Canada 4.325
Norway
4%
Russia China
xx USA
3.4%
Iran 3.5%
x Saudi
Arabia 2.784
Mexico
Venezuela
Kuwait
Legend 3.6%
2.980
% % of world’
x
Production in UAE
million barrels/day
~65% of xxproduction took place in this
group of countries
xx (>10)
xx (5-10)
x (1-5)
Very low (<1)
xxx: xx
Source: xxxx
Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 46
Bihar, Jharkhand and Orissa are the regions with the least xx
Xx in India
Bihar = 52.9%
Jharkhand = 31.1%
Orissa = 55.8%
Legend
>90 %
80-90%
60-80%
30-60%
Xx industry structure
Europe
• Major corporation: xx US
• Advantage: xx design • Major corporations: xxx Gree Characteristics:
Lighting
technology, largest producer
in Europe. • Advantage: xx and ss xx a • Globally, the major xx market is in
leading position Taiwan and Japan, while Japan ranks
first with the market share of ~40% in
xxproduction value.
Source:xxx
Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 48
In China trans-city ferry boat is widely used in 3 major rivers and
around xx cities use city ferry
About xx cities in ss
provinces have city the Huanghe River
ferry. Till 2008, city
ferry routes has
reached 650,
carrying 0.26 billion Lanzhou Jinan
people per year.
Shanghai
the Yangtze River Zhengzhou
Over xx trans-city
ferry routes
throughout the
Chongqing
country, carrying Wuhan
0.32 billion people
per year
Guangzhou
the Pearl River
• Quantitative slides
• Structure slides
• ID slides
• Matrix slides
• Map slides
• Calculation slides
Methodology
Prowess Date of
Sector Size Ownership
database Creation
All except:
• Tobacco, Av revenue
• Alcohol, (07-09 / 08-10)
Total no. of > X years xxx
between
companies • Real Estate USDxx mn &
• IT USD 500 mn
• Healthcare
1 Listed targets
Weight Parameter
For listed companies 1 : highest
0 : lowest
x Normalization 0-1 XX
Av. 07-09
1 : highest
0 : lowest
x Normalization 0-1 XX
(P/E) / (P/Eindustry)
Score +
1 : most stable
0 : least stable
x Normalization 0-1 XX
x Normalization 0-1 XX
Growth 07-09
Source: ShARE analysis
Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 53
Back –up – cost drivers
Cost drivers
2015| 2020
“XX as substrate will low the cost for it is
Technological cheap and could product bigger substrate to
increase utilization of XX equip, at the same
XX% | X% time, Si is softer than SiC and sapphire to
reduce processing costs……It’s estimated
• Rise internal current by that use Si could save 90% of the chip cost”
Increasing chip size XX,Deputy Manager and XX, former XX
• Higher luminous efficiency
• New substrate material
Economic “We estimate the XX supply will grow at a
Cost drop CAGR of more than 15% in the next 10
X% | X% + XX% | X%
years , which is mainly driven by unexpected
high growth of the XX lighting market and the
high large-size LED panels.”
• Production costs drop XX XX
XX
Source: XXShARE analysis
Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 54
There is overall a low outlook for ipp/ppp in XXX
Score (1-5)
Comments
5 is high
1
Government Appetite 6 • Very sensitive and political
X
(XXX) • XXX strongly discourages xxx to consider other foreign
players
2
Track record 3 • One PPP developed, one under construction - Tata does not
(YYY) have enough demand for electricity, it is facing losses due to
low take off
3
Availability of • xxxxx
financing 2 • Financing from XXX may be reduced as focus shifts towards
(IMF outlook, PRG) local project development
av
4
Creditworthiness of 5 • Tariff is ww
off-taker
5
2.5 • Xxxxx xxxxxx
Market
• ddfhfdghfghfghfg
OVERALL 0.6
Source: Minister of Natural resources energy and Mining, IPP framework Copyright ©2017 ShARE. All Rights Reserved 55