Muhammad Misbahul Huda

118280017
UAS Manajemen dan Evaluasi Ekonomi Industri Kimia (RB)

Tabel 1. Kebutuhan Bahan Baku

kebututuhan
bahan Baku
(kg/jam)
Cassava 24.940,865
Ca(OH)2 3.423,882
MgSO4.7H2O 85,597
KH2PO4 9,416
ZnSO4.7H2O 12,840
MnSO4.H2O 12,840
FeSO4.H2O 12,849
CO(NH2)2 52,406
L. plantarum 158,117
H2SO4 2.514,602
C15H10N2O2 7,588
PEG 151,767
Tin Oxide 34,985
Tin Octoate 31,925
TNPP 60,707
Etanol Absolut 7,252
TOTAL 31.517,638

Tabel 2. Kebutuhan Alat Proses dan Harga Alat pada Tahun 2014
No Nama Alat Jumlah Harga 2014 (US$) Harga 2028 (US$)
1 Washing and Peeling 1 2.711,473 3.317,538
2 Hammer Crusher 1 6.099,12 7.462,387
3 Mixer 1 26.400,00 32.300,899
4 Starter 3 18.200,00 66.804,132
5 Bioreactor 12 561.600,00 8.245.538,558
6 Acidulator 1 712.300,00 871.512,511
7 Rotary Filter 1 127.853,09 156.430,668
8 Evaporator 1 215.400,00 263.545,971
9 Prepolimer Reactor 1 71348,608 87.296,370
10 Lactide Reactor 1 76.889,15 94.075,328
11 Vacuum Condensor 1 46.811,92 57.275,272
12 Polimer Reactor 1 301.500,00 368.890,948
13 Melt Mixer Additive 1 127.853,40 156.431,055
14 Devolitizer 1 255.706,81 312.862,108
 15 Underwater Pelletizer 1 191.780,10 234.646,580
16 Sparger Gas 1 133.538,36 163.386,708
17 Centrifugal Dryer 1 221.282,45 270.743,259
18 Silo 4 5.114,14 25.028,968
20 Belt Conveyor 2 1.200,00 2.936,445
21 Kompresor 3 2.000,00 7.341,113
22 Condensor Recycle 1 30.257,00 37.020,011
23 Screw conveyor 1 1.100,80 1.346,850
24 Blower 4 7.500,00 36.705,567
25 Pompa Evaporasi 1 731.600,00 895.126,426
26 Pompa Filtrasi 1 775.800,00 949.205,961
27 Pompa Prepolimer 1 227.900,00 278.839,957
28 Kompresor Lactide 1 65.800,00 80.507,543
29 Pompa Vacuum Polymer 2 259.400,00 634.761,604
30 Pompa Devolitizer 1 260.800,00 319.093,729
31 Pompa air 2 8.300,00 20.310,414
32 Pompa H2SO4 1 8.300,00 10.155,207
33 Pompa katalis 1 8.300,00 10.155,207
34 Pompa mixer 5% 1 8.300,00 10.155,207
35 Pompa mixer 95% 1 12.900,00 15.783,394
36 Pompa starter 1 12.900,00 15.783,394
37 Pompa fermentasi 1 12.900,00 15.783,394
38 Pompa acidulasi 1 12.900,00 15.783,394
39 Pompa PEG 1 8.300,00 10.155,207
40 HE Tin octanoate 1 3.100,00 3.792,909
41 Cooler Acidulasi 1 85.400,00 104.488,514
42 HE Prepolimer 1 10.200,00 12.479,893
43 Heater 4 3.100,00 15.171,634
44 HE Vacum Condensor 1 10.741,89 13.142,901
TOTAL 70 5.671.388,304 14.933.575,135

Tabel 3. Indeks CEPCI

Tahun Annual Index
2006 499,6
2007 545,4
2008 575,4
2009 521,9
2010 550,8
2011 585,7
2012 584,6
2013 567,3
2014 595,3
 2015 605,3
2016 615
2017 624,9
2018 634,8
2019 644,7
2020 654,5
2021 662,5706
2022 671,9692
2023 681,3678
2024 690,7664
2025 700,165
2026 709,5636
2027 718,9622
2028 728,3608

Indeks CEPCI
700
600
Annual Index

500
400
300 y = 9,3986x - 18332
200 R² = 0,8757
100
0
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
Tahun

Gambar 1 Grafik penentuan Indeks CEPCI

Gambar 2 Data Lang Factors

Data asumsi dalam penentuan FCI
No presensi 8
Tahun pabrik 2028
Kapasitas pabrik 50000 Ton/tahun
Tipe pabrik Solid-Fluid
Faktor Lang 4,3 Timmerhause
FCI (Alat) 64,214 MM$
WC (timmerhause 15%) 9,632 MM$
Tabel 4 Nilai depresiasi tiap tahun
tahun d BV
0 64,21
1 2 62,21
2 1,93770865 60,27666443
3 1,877357406 58,39930702
4 1,818885842 56,58042118
5 1,762235415 54,81818577
6 1,707349403 53,11083636
7 1,654172853 51,45666351
8 1,602652523 49,85401099
9 1,552736828 48,30127416
10 1,504375791 46,79689837
Tabel 5. Data analisis Non-Discounted Cash Flow
Invesment Revenue CoM Depreciation Gross Profit (EBIT) Income Tax NIAT CF CCF
Year
MM$ MM$ MM$ MM$ MM$ MM$ MM$ MM$ MM$
0 -2 -2 -2
1 -12,842 -12,842 -14,842
2 -38,526 -38,526 -53,368
3 -12,842 -12,842 -66,21
3 -9,632 -9,632 -75,842
4 30 25 13,76976744 -8,769767442 -2,630930233 -6,138837209 7,63093 7,63093 -68,21106977
5 40 23 13,76976744 3,230232558 0,969069767 2,261162791 16,03093 16,03093 -52,18013953
6 45 23 13,76976744 8,230232558 2,469069767 5,761162791 19,53093 19,53093 -32,6492093
7 45 23 13,76976744 8,230232558 2,469069767 5,761162791 19,53093 19,53093 -13,11827907
8 45 20 13,76976744 11,23023256 3,369069767 7,861162791 21,63093 21,63093 8,512651163
9 45 20 25 7,5 17,5 17,5 17,5 26,01265116
10 45 20 25 7,5 17,5 17,5 17,5 43,51265116
11 45 20 25 7,5 17,5 17,5 17,5 61,01265116
12 45 20 25 7,5 17,5 17,5 17,5 78,51265116
13 11,632 45 22 23 6,9 16,1 16,1 27,732 106,2446512
17,04547
160
120
80
40
0
-40 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
-53,368
-80
-120
-160
-200

Gambar 3 Grafik Non-Discounted Cash Flow

Tabel 6. Data analisis Discounted Cash Flow
Invesment Revenue CoM Depreciation Gross Profit (EBIT) Income Tax NIAT CF DCF CCF
Year
MM$ MM$ MM$ MM$ MM$ MM$ MM$ MM$ MM$ MM$
0 -2 -2 -2 -2
1 -12,842 -12,842 -11,67454545 -13,6745
2 -38,526 -38,526 -31,83966942 -45,5142
3 -12,842 -12,842 -9,648384673 -55,1626
3 -9,632 -9,632 -7,236664162 -62,3993
4 30 25 13,76976744 -8,769767442 -2,630930233 -6,138837209 7,63093 7,63093 5,212028026 -57,1872
5 40 23 13,76976744 3,230232558 0,969069767 2,261162791 16,03093 16,03093 9,95394641 -47,2333
6 45 23 13,76976744 8,230232558 2,469069767 5,761162791 19,53093 19,53093 11,02470095 -36,2086
7 45 23 13,76976744 8,230232558 2,469069767 5,761162791 19,53093 19,53093 10,02245541 -26,1861
8 45 20 13,76976744 11,23023256 3,369069767 7,861162791 21,63093 21,63093 10,09098859 -16,0951
9 45 20 13,76976744 11,23023256 3,369069767 7,861162791 21,63093 21,63093 9,173625995 -6,92152
10 45 20 25 7,5 17,5 17,5 17,5 6,747007565 -0,17451
11 45 20 25 7,5 17,5 17,5 17,5 6,133643241 5,959132
12 45 20 25 7,5 17,5 17,5 17,5 5,57603931 11,53517
13 11,632 45 22 23 6,9 16,1 16,1 27,732 8,032972579 19,56814
17,45856
40

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

-40

-80

Gambar 4 Grafik Discounted Cash Flow