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Future of Work

Futurist Analyses on 3 Key Trends

June 2022
Authors

Tuomo Kuosa, PhD


Tuomo leads the foresight team at Futures Platform. He
specialises in strategic foresight, futures research methodology
and societal transformation. He is also an Associate Professor in
Strategic Foresight in Finnish National Defence University.

Max Stucki
Max is the Foresight Analysis Manager at Futures Platform.
He is responsible for supervising and developing the
foresight analysis process. He has worked with numerous
clients to help them prepare for the future.

Shiori Ota
Shiori works as a Senior Foresight Analyst at Futures Platform,
specialising in technological and social change. Her work
focuses on trend and scenario analysis.

Gökce Sandal
Gökce works as a Foresight Analyst and Content Marketing
Specialist at Futures Platform. Her industry expertise includes
consumer and lifestyle trends, cultural change and creative
industries.
Table of Contents

Methodology 4

PHENOMENON 1
Industry 5.0 6

PHENOMENON 2
Generation Z
Enters Work Markets 8

PHENOMENON 3
The Rise of the
Creator Economy 10

About
Futures Platform 12
Methodology
In the interconnected digital age, what happens in one industry impacts another. While
disruption once came primarily from within one’s industry and by established players alone,
today’s most disruptive shifts often first emerge outside of one’s own industry.

At Futures Platform, our academically-trained futurists continuously monitor industries


from a holistic vantage point to identify early signals of such disruptive changes. Through
our collaborative foresight platform, we help organisations look beyond their industries
and anticipate the most impactful shifts reshaping the businesses, societies and values of
tomorrow.

The phenomena featured in this report have been identified through Futures Platform’s robust
process centred on continuous foresight and cross-industry horizon scanning practices.

Phenomena are identified based on the following criteria:

• The phenomenon must have a significant future impact on several industries.


The estimation of the potential impact is based on the team’s analysis, which compares
the phenomenon with available data and industry outlooks.

• The topic must appear several times in well-respected media.


Extensive coverage of a subject indicates its potential for greater, niche-market-
exceeding impact. However, there may be exceptions to this criterion in the cases of
wild cards and weak signals.

• The phenomenon must have a developmental direction.


The identified phenomenon is either getting more influential, or it is becoming weaker,
ending, changing directions, or merging with another phenomenon.

• The phenomenon must have a sufficiently independent and robust core.


Even if we spot a change signal with novelty value, we do not necessarily identify it as
an independent phenomenon if it is directly linked to an existing trend.

Access the full


Future of Work radar to explore
50+ trends and scenarios in an
interactive future view

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Future of Work: Trend Highlight Report June 2022 4


Phenomena Cards

Phenomena Types

STRENGTHENING

The phenomenon is becoming more common or acute during the given timeframe. Most of its
change potential is still ahead.

WEAKENING
The phenomenon is becoming more unusual. During the given timeframe, most of its change
potential or value has already occurred.

WILD CARD

A possible but not probable event or change. The probability within the given timeframe is
between 5% to 30%.

WEAK SIGNAL

A small emerging issue in the present. At the given timeframe, it is still hard to say whether it
will become a trend.

Phenomena Timestamp

All Futures Platform phenomena have an expert-assessed timeframe within which the
phenomenon is anticipated to either accelerate or decline. Our team uses S-Curve Analysis
and Trend Impact Analysis to reason the probable time range.

Future of Work: Trend Highlight Report June 2022 5


PHENOMENON 1

Industry 5.0
STRENGTHENING | 2024-2029

The next wave of the industrial revolution, Industry 5.0, will turn
our focus back to humanity. It will be a revolution where robots
help humans work better, faster, and safer by leveraging cognitive
computing power. Contrary to the accelerated automation
and dehumanisation that characterised the previous industrial
revolution, Industry 5.0 aims to enable better collaboration
between machines and humans to increase the efficiency and
quality of industrial processes.

Future of Work: Trend Highlight Report June 2022 6


Background Future Directions

From the era of the first industrial revolution The impacts of meaningful collaboration
to the present day, the objective of between machines and humans won’t be
technological advancement in manufacturing only confined to manufacturing – it will
has been to improve productivity. Especially be a catalyst for the future of society as a
the ongoing fourth revolution, Industry 4.0, whole. For example, Japan has set up the
marks an era of automation empowered Society 5.0 initiative to achieve a super-
by artificial intelligence (AI) and smart smart society where robotics and AI provide
technologies with minimised human solutions to societal challenges such as the
intervention. This has put humans in a position ageing population, diminishing workforce,
where we compete against machines, and the and climate change. With its human-centric
prevailing thought is that we will lose certain approach, Industry 5.0 will help foster safer
jobs to them. work environments for humans and promote
social stability by enabling a higher quality of
Industry 5.0, however, puts the focus back life.
on people. Technologies such as AI,
robotics, and sensors will continue to Industry 5.0 technologies such as AI
evolve. Yet, the goal is to support, not and robotics will create new innovation
supersede, human workers. By merging opportunities, enable cost-efficient solutions
consistency and precision of machines and potentially transform business models
with advanced cognitive capabilities of and supply-chain processes. They will also
humans, manufacturing processes can create new jobs, as well as require re-skilling
be brought to new levels of speed and and upskilling of existing staff. Companies
perfection. Production lines can become that don’t adjust their processes to the
even smarter with humans being upskilled to industry 5.0 model, on the other hand, will
provide added value for customers, such as risk losing their competitive advantage and
customisation and personalisation. becoming redundant.

In practice, Industry 5.0 will be enabled Sustainability is another critical objective


by the evolution of machinery to support of Industry 5.0. Until the current Industry
workers. In smart factories of the future, 4.0, the primary focus has been on improved
intelligent collaborative robots (cobots) efficiency, and environmental protection
programmed for direct human-robot has only been a secondary consideration.
interaction will be completing diverse tasks In the fifth industrial revolution, however,
alongside humans. They will be equipped aligning production with the UN’s Sustainable
with advanced sensors that enable them to Development Goals (SDGs) will be imperative
react to a human worker in a split second. to achieve the green transition.
Exoskeleton devices that enhance the
physical strength of workers will also play a
major role, making physical labour safer and
more comfortable while reducing injuries.

Future of Work: Trend Highlight Report June 2022 7


PHENOMENON 2

Generation Z Enters Work Markets


STRENGTHENING | 2023-2028

The oldest members of Generation Z have already entered the job


markets, and the rest will join within the coming decade. Growing
up amidst great economic crises, climate change, and the Covid-19
pandemic has played an important role in shaping Gen Z’s attitudes
towards work. While members of this generation tend to have a more
pragmatic approach to work than Millennials, they’re still highly
value-driven: They prioritise mental health and demand diversity,
equity and inclusion in the workplace.

Future of Work: Trend Highlight Report June 2022 8


Background

Born between 1997 to 2012, Generation Z is the disabled, and inclusion of different cultural or
generational cohort succeeding Millennials. lifestyle practices.
While the definition of generations is merely
directional, there are nevertheless certain core Multiple surveys indicate that Gen Z also
characteristics that are influential in defining prioritises meaningful work over pay.
each generation’s perceptions and attitudes According to a recent survey by talent
towards work. acquisition platform Lever, 42% of Gen Z
would rather work at a company that gives
Generation Z reached adulthood during them a sense of purpose over a company that
a period when great economic crises pays more. In comparison, 49% of millennials
undermined global stability. Their lives have and 56% of Gen X would prioritise higher pay.
been dramatically impacted by large social,
political and environmental events such
as increasing economic inequalities, racial Future Directions
injustice protests, climate crisis and the Covid-
19 pandemic. For these reasons, Generation Data shows that by 2025, Gen Z workers will
Z tends to have a more pragmatic approach make up 27% of the workforce. A large part
to work than Millennials – they appreciate of this generation is still in their formative
traditional financial security, such as stable years, and the current and near-future global
income, permanent job and savings. events will continue to shape their values
and attitudes towards work in the years to
Being the first truly digital-native generation, come. Moreover, as traditional job patterns
working and collaborating in digital disappear with digitalisation and automation,
environments comes naturally for Gen Z. many members of this generational cohort
They also tend to favour flexibility over will have non-conventional career paths.
rigid structures, and prefer instant feedback
loops and frequent, informal check-ins with To attract and retain Gen Z talent,
supervisors rather than traditional hierarchies organisations will need to adapt their work
and yearly performance reviews. structures, offices and management styles to
the demands of this cohort. They will need
Despite their pragmatic approach, Gen Z is to show commitment and take concrete
highly value-driven in their work expectations. steps towards workplace wellbeing, DEI, and
With the oldest members of the cohort having environmentally and socially responsible
begun their careers during the pandemic, practices to appeal to this generation. As this
Gen Z is already asserting new norms in the cohort establishes themselves in the work
workplace. They demand diversity, equity life, benefits such as mental health off days
and inclusion (DEI), and expect employers and hybrid work models will likely become
to accommodate employee needs such as the new workplace norms.
neurodiversity, accessibility for the physically

Future of Work: Trend Highlight Report June 2022 9


PHENOMENON 3

The Rise of the Creator Economy


STRENGTHENING | 2023-2028

The creator economy is an ecosystem of social media platforms,


independent content creators, and a growing pool of third-
party tools that help creators with content creation and finances.
Although closely related to the gig economy, the creator economy
is essentially different as it allows creators to build ongoing revenue
streams by monetising their unique skills - which can be vlogging,
writing, teaching a skill or playing video games. The advent of the
creator economy will have far-reaching implications on how people
perceive work, potentially disrupting traditional career paths.

Future of Work: Trend Highlight Report June 2022 10


Background

The creator economy is a fast-growing priorities and seek more fulfilling careers. The
ecosystem of social media platforms, record numbers of job losses and increased
marketplaces and tools that help creators screen times during the pandemic also led
connect with audiences and monetise their many to venture into the creator economy.
creations. Creators may provide online
courses, entertainment, or simply connect
people around shared interests. It has been Future Directions
estimated that the creator economy is worth
at least $100 billion today, and in 2021 alone, The growth of the creator economy will have
it saw a record $1.3B in funding. far-reaching implications for the future of
work and entrepreneurship. As the ecosystem
While the creator economy has its roots grows, creators will have more tools and
in the social media and influencer culture, opportunities to reach audiences at scale and
most social media platforms don’t have capitalise on their skills and knowledge. With
the structures for creators to directly fewer barriers to micro-entrepreneurship,
monetise their influence. To fill in the gaps, more people may start building a career on
a swath of new platforms such as Twitch their own terms and adopt a more flexible
and Patreon have emerged to offer creators approach to work. Rather than being tied to
better compensation and a more direct a specific job role, it will likely become more
connection with their audiences. For example, common for people to have a portfolio of
newsletter monetisation platform Substack diverse skills and multiple revenue streams.
has successfully lured away many journalists
from traditional publishing houses. Tech The creator economy also has the potential to
giants are also catching up: Facebook, Twitter, transform both the traditional and the social
and TikTok have all announced that they’re media landscape. As sponsoring creators are
building tools and setting up creator funds to cheaper and they have a much more targeted
keep creators on their platforms. audience than mainstream channels like TV,
mainstream advertisement may become
The growth of the creator economy has given obsolete. The media landscape will likely get
rise to a new form of micro-entrepreneurism, further fragmented, and micro-influencers
where people can capitalise on their skills with very niche audiences will be sponsored
outside of traditional work arrangements and to promote products that appeal directly to
pursue their interests either as side hustles those audiences. The growth of the creator
or as full-time ventures. This marks a larger economy may also force big social media
societal shift in the attitudes towards work, platforms to change their business models
blurring the once distinct separation between and focus more on building tools that allow
work and leisure. The Covid-19 pandemic has creators to earn money.
also provided a boost to the creator economy,
prompting people to re-evaluate their

Future of Work: Trend Highlight Report June 2022 11


About Futures Platform

Futures Platform is the industry standard source for future trends, scenarios and long term
change. It’s a full-functionality visual and collaborative toolbox for foresight and manage-
ment teams, ensuring strategy, innovation and decision-making are future proof.

The solution brings together an AI-powered digital foresight platform and the expertise
of professional futurists. At its core, the platform features more than 800 analyses of future
phenomena – from technological and environmental to societal change, with a focus on the
long term. These compact, easy-to-digest scenario descriptions are combined with au-
to-crawled additional information from validated sources.

The visually engaging, collaborative foresight radars map interconnections between phe-
nomena and allow teams to understand alternative futures and co-shape future-proof
strategies. On top of this, a team of professional futurists and foresight consultants are there
to help and guide organizations on any related matter, from custom scenario analyses and
horizon scans to building organizational foresight capability onto the next level.

www.futuresplatform.com
www.futuresplatform.com

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