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DOI: 10.1002/pa.2360
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2 of 9 RITIKA AND KISHOR
namely risk tolerance, risk propensity, risk-taking ability, risk prefer- the interpretation of information, it may affect the risk preferences of
ence, risk attitude, and risk propensity. The terms such as risk propen- the individuals (Barnes, 1984; Schwenk, 1984). Due to presence of
sity, risk-taking ability, risk attitude, and risk preference are used some behavioral biases, individuals mark down the uncertainty and
interchangeably in the academic literature (Baker & Ricciardi, 2014). negative outcomes related to their decisions and thus underestimate
There is no universally accepted definition of risk preferences the associated risk (Cooper, Woo, & Dunkelberg, 1988; Shaver &
(Baker & Ricciardi, 2014). Risk preference is generally defined as the Scott, 1992).
tendency of an individual to take or avoid risk (Sitkin & Pablo, 1992). The academic literature shows the effect of various emotions
This concept illustrates what an individual chooses in between a risky (fear, happiness, surprise, disgust, and anger) on probability weighing
and a safer alternative. This differs from an individual to another indi- (Baker & Nofsinger, 2002; Fehr-Duda, Epper, Bruhin, &
vidual because what is “undesirable” can be different for different Schubert, 2011; Kliger & Levy, 2008; Rottenstreich & Hsee, 2001).
individuals. The researchers of behavioral finance use risk preferences Fear leads to higher risk aversion. Academic literature supports that
to explain the financial and investment behavior. risk preferences of an investor are affected by external stimuli
Risk preference of the investors is difficult to generalize as it is (Bateman, Islam, Louviere, Satchell, & Thorp, 2011; Roszkowski &
based upon various subjective and objective factors which affect the Davey, 2010). For example, situations leading to pessimism (such as
judgments of individuals regarding various investment options and Covid-19) may lead to a reduction in the risk tolerance of investors.
financial services (Thaler & Johnson, 1990). The opinions and judg- Fundamentally, the effect of emotions on risk preferences is evident
ments of human beings regarding financial decision making are shaped but still underrated (Chang, 2007). Studies suggest that people having
by various factors such as family background, education, personal less emotional biases (ones who are emotionally stable) take decisions
understanding, profession, and others (Grable & Roszkowski, 2008; on the basis of expected utility theory (Charupat, Deaves, Derouin,
Olsen, 2000; Olsen & Cox, 2001). Risk seekers prefer less safety mea- Klotzle, & Miu, 2013).
sures (like keeping money for precautionary purpose) as compared to
risk averters (Sciortino, Huston, & Spencer, 1987). Risk preferences
vary from an individual to another individual and from one country to 2.2.1 | Overconfidence bias and risk taking
another country (Weber & Hsee, 1998).
Overconfidence can be defined as supreme faith in one's own abilities
(Odean, 1998). Overconfidence stems from illusion of knowledge and
2.2 | Emotional biases and risk taking optimism (Russo & Schoemaker, 1992). Due to illusion of knowledge,
investors think themselves to be “better than average” in intelligence,
The proponents of behavioral finance apply theories from psychology stock picking, and risk-taking abilities (Ricciardi & Simon, 2000;
and sociology to financial decisions (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979; Strong, 2007). They feel that due to their knowledge and abilities,
Ricciardi, 2008; Thaler & Johnson, 1990). Various studies have they can control the risk of their portfolio and can easily escape the
explored the role of cognitive aspects on financial risk taking negative consequences arising due to their choices. Optimist investors
(Edwards, 1995; Olsen, 1997; Ricciardi, 2005). But the effect of emo- feel that only good will happen to them, leading them to underestima-
tions on investment decisions is less explored. A remarkable work in tion of costs and over stating of gains. So, they feel themselves to be
this regard is “risk -as- feelings” hypothesis (Loewenstein et al., 2001) invulnerable to various risky situations. This bias leads to misinterpre-
in which the authors state that tation and lower perception of risk by the investors (Barnes, 1984;
Nofsinger, 2017; Russo & Schoemaker, 1992). So, they take end up
Feelings play a much more prominent role in risk taking more risk (Barber & Odean, 2001).
decision-making than they are given credit for by the
cognitive-consequentialist tradition of judgment and H1 Overconfident investors prefer to take more risks.
decision-making research.
The decision-theoretic approach to decision-making Traditional finance is based on expected utility and measures invest-
under risk has largely ignored the role played by emo- ment risk with the help of skewness and kurtosis (Olsen, 2000). But
tions… very little attention has been given to the the tenets of behavioral finance relate investment risk to perceived
impact of emotions (p. 280) risk and assume that investors are loss averse and they take less risk
in order to avoid the losses. Prospect theory rests on the assumption
Psychological researchers assert that “emotional reactions” occur of loss aversion, which refers to the tendency of people to avoid
prior to “cognitive evaluations” (LeDoux, 1996; Zajonc, 1980). Judg- losses (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). People susceptible to this bias
ment and decision making is guided by perceptions which are framed give more importance to losses as compared to gains. Academic litera-
by emotional aspects (Damasio, 1994). Since behavioral biases effect ture reports that losses bother the investors twice as compared to an
RITIKA AND KISHOR 3 of 9
equivalent gain (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). Loss averse investors Wood, 2006; Prosad, Kapoor, & Sengupta, 2015; Weber, Blais, &
avoid investing in portfolios with high risk in order to minimize the Betz, 2002). The statements were evaluated on a five-point Likert
probability of loss (Duxbury & Summers, 2004). Evidence also sug- scale extending from 1 (strongly disagree) to 5 (strongly agree).
gests that emotions affect loss aversion thus affecting the risk toler- Traditional finance takes into consideration the objective measures
ance (Dhar & Wertenbroch, 2000). of risk using stock beta, variance, standard deviation, and CAPM (capital
asset pricing model). Behavioral finance scholars measure subjective
H2 Investors susceptible to loss aversion bias prefer to take less risk. (psychological) aspects of risk using various multidimensional variables.
When taking a decision under situation of risk, an investor looks upon
the measurement of financial risk as well as the indicators of behavioral
2.2.3 | Regret aversion bias risk (Ricciardi, 2008). The measure of risk preference used in this study
is, “domain specific risk-taking scale (DOSPERT)” formulated by Weber
Academic literature shows that regret leads to negative emotions et al. (2002). DOSPERT is a measure which assesses the self-reported
(Fogel & Berry, 2006; Summers & Duxbury, 2012). The feeling of risk-taking ability of individuals in five areas. The construct related with
regret stems from a bad outcome and the awareness that a better investment risk taking was adopted from this scale to measure the risk
outcome could have been achieved with a different choice (Fogel & preferences of the investors. Participants were asked to rate the possi-
Berry, 2006). Regret aversion bias is a bias which states that people bility of engaging in the risk-taking behavior on a scale extending from
avoid taking decisions in order to keep away from the regret of mak- 1 (extremely unlikely) to 5 (extremely likely). In order to check the con-
ing bad decisions (Connolly & Zeelenberg, 2002). Due to this bias, tent validity of the questionnaire, it was sent for pretesting to three
people make very conservative investment choices due to the regret behavioral finance experts, two academicians and three experienced
associated with poor results on risky investment choices made in the investors. The reviewers were asked to report the flaws in the ques-
past (Pompian & Wood, 2006; Thaler & Johnson, 1990). Regret aver- tionnaire. Minor revision was done in the questionnaire based on the
sion bias affects the foreign exchange risk (Steil, 1993). feedback from the reviewers.
2.2.4 | Self-control bias To have a better perspective of the valuation process, research on
risk must focus on the individual decision makers (Cooley, 1977). So,
Self-control bias is the behavioral propensity of investors to save less the current study is based on the individual investors investing in the
for future in order to spend more today (Pompian & Wood, 2006). financial markets. All the respondents for the current study were indi-
According to traditional finance, rational investor takes all necessary vidual investors residing in Delhi. Data were collected from a sample
measures in order to fulfill their long-term objectives. But it has been consisting of 720 investors selected using a combination of judgmen-
reported in the literature, people even after knowing that is necessary tal and snowball sampling technique from investors residing in Delhi
for them, fail to save adequately for their long-term goals (such as for and having investment in financial markets. In the initial phase, pilot
retirement purposes; Pompian & Wood, 2006). Due to this bias, inves- study was conducted using responses from 60 investors and the reli-
tors invest in more risky securities such as equity as compared to ability and content validity of the instrument was assessed. In the next
bonds and debentures because they feel unable to control their and final phase, the responses were collected from 720 investors hav-
behavior. They take more risk in order to get more money for spend- ing investment in financial markets. The data were collected in the
ing (Lusardi & Mitchell, 2007). Higher risk-taking behavior is associ- form of a field survey during the period from July 2019 to February
ated with lower self-control (Samuels et al., 2004; White et al., 1994). 2020. The data were sorted and analyzed using the Statistical Package
for the Social Science (SPSS) 20 and AMOS 20 (Analysis of Moment
H4 Investors susceptible to self-control bias take more risk. Structures) softwares. Table 1 shows the demographic profile of the
respondents. The results showed that most of the respondents were
males, aged 20–35 years, having postgraduation degree, a permanent
3 | M E TH O DO LO GY job, and income up to 5,00,000 rupees.
4.1 | Measurement model results. So, the developed constructs could be used to test the
hypothesized structural model.
Cronbach's α {CA(α)} of each construct was used to evaluate the reli- The results of the measurement model indicate that the model is
ability and internal consistency. The responses collected on negatively valid and reliable. So, the developed constructs of this measurement
worded items were coded reversely during the analysis. All constructs model could be used to check the structural model and the related
achieved more than .70 value of Cronbach's α, thus justifying them- hypotheses.
selves to be used for basic research (Table 2; Nunnally &
Bernstein, 1967; Fornell & Larcker, 1981).
Confirmatory factor analysis was conducted on 21 variables. The 4.2 | Structural model
convergent validity of every factor is evaluated by using the values of
critical ratio (CR) and average variance explained (AVE). The CR and AVE Different indices of the measurement model used in the study pro-
value of all the factors lie above 0.5 and 0.7, respectively, and hence, all vided different values as (CMIN/df) value of 2.680 (p < .05), compara-
factors indicate convergent validity. All the items loaded significantly tive fit index (CFI) = 0.969, normed fit index (NFI) = 0.918, goodness
with a factor loadings value of more than 0.6 (Bagozzi & Yi, 1988). These of fit index (GFI) = 0.917, and root mean square error of approxima-
results demonstrate the convergent validity of the measures used. tion (RMSEA) = 0.087. The model successfully explained the changes
The discriminant validity of the factors is ascertained by using the in risk preferences caused by emotional biases of individual investors.
statistical toolkit furnished by Professor Gakingston. The values of Since all the measurement indices showed acceptable values, the
AVE, ASV (average shared variance), and MSV (maximum shared vari- model is a good fit (Bagozzi & Yi, 1988).
ance) of all the five constructs are compared. Since, for all the con- According to the results, risk preferences showed a significant
structs, the value of AVE is higher than ASV as well as MSV, all negative relationship with loss aversion bias (β = −.53, t = −11.594;
constructs have proven to possess discriminant validity (Hair, Black, p < .001) and regret aversion bias (β = −.13, t = −2.769, p < .01). So,
Babin, Anderson, & Tatham, 2006). The measurement model of the Hypotheses H2 and H3 are fully and strongly supported (Table 4). The
study shows valid results for discriminant validity (Table 3). results also indicated that self-control bias (β = .30, t = 6.533,
Various indicators used to estimate the validity and reliability of p < .001) and overconfidence bias (β = .17, t = 3.691, p < .001) have a
various constructs of the measurement model gave satisfactory significant positive relationship with risk preferences of individual
RITIKA AND KISHOR 5 of 9
investors. Thus, the Hypotheses H1 and H4 are supported by the theoretical base by examining the impact that various emotional
results. The results are presented in Table 4 and Figure 1. biases lay on the risk and uncertainty preferences of the individual
investors.
The results of the study are in line with the earlier studies show-
5 | DISCUSSION ing that emotional biases affect the risk preferences of individuals
(Ackert, Deaves, Miele, & Nguyen, 2019; Aspara & Tikkanen, 2008).
Building on the new field of behavioral economics and behavioral The outcome extracted from the current study demonstrates that
finance, the purpose of this article is to provide valuable insights into emotional biases namely “loss aversion bias,” “overconfidence bias,”
the impact of emotional biases in the behavioral decision making of “risk aversion bias,” and “self-control bias” influence the decision mak-
individual investors. Although there are some studies in the behavioral ing of Indian investors. The findings show that loss aversion bias is the
finance literature focusing on the effect of various emotions on the most important predictor of the risk preferences. The result is akin to
risk perception of investors, the current study tries to extend the the landmark theory of behavioral finance named as “prospect theory”
(Duxbury & Summers, 2004; Kahneman & Tversky, 1979; Sitkin &
Pablo, 1992). The findings illustrate that the preferences for risk of
the individual investors are most likely to be influenced by their atti-
TABLE 2 Results of measurement model tude of avoiding losses. Individual investors who want to avoid poten-
Construct Items Factor loadings Cronbach's α tial losses prefer to take less risk even in situations of probable gain.
The strong impulse of the investors to avoid losses leads them to
Overconfidence bias OC1 0.933 .96
dwell more on risk avoidance. Indian investors who can afford to lose
OC2a 0.937
and are willing to take financial risks would have favorable attitudes
OC3 0.953
toward investment and are more likely to invest.
OC4 0.950
Contrary to some of the previous studies stating that over-
Loss aversion bias LA1a 0.884 .873
confidence has no effect on risk preference on an individual basis
LA2 0.924 (Evans, Holcomb, & Chittenden, 1989; Houghton, Simon, Aquino, &
LA3 0.945 Goldberg, 2000), the findings demonstrate that overconfidence bias
LA4 0.928 has a significant positive relationship with risk preferences. This
Regret aversion bias RA1 0.687 .867 shows that due to having supreme faith in one's abilities and the out-
RA2 0.887 look that they can control the outcome of their investment decisions,
RA3 a
0.792 overconfident investors discount the unknown risks present in various
RA4 0.916 securities and thus, end up in taking more risk. The findings are in
RA5 0.893
RA6 0.788 TABLE 4 Results of structural model and hypotheses testing
Self- control bias SC1 0.896 .874
Path β t-Value Hypotheses Results
SC2a 0.908
OC ! RP 0.17 3.691* H1 Supported
SC3a 0.867
LA ! RP −0.53 −11.594* H2 Supported
SC4 0.890
RA ! RP −0.13 −2.769** H3 Supported
Risk preferences RP1 0.944 .882
SC ! RP 0.30 6.533* H4 Supported
RP2 0.949
RP3a 0.942 Abbreviations: LA, loss aversion bias; OC, overconfidence bias; RA, regret
aversion bias; RP, risk preferences; SC, self-control bias.
a *
The items were negative in sense and were reverse coded for the p < .001.
**
analysis. p < .01.
Abbreviations: ASV, average shared variance; AVE, average variance explained; CR, critical ratio; MSV, maximum shared variance.
6 of 9 RITIKA AND KISHOR
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Management Review, 33(2), 7–17. AUTHOR BIOGRAPHIES
Samuels, J., Bienvenu, O. J., Cullen, B., Costa, P. T., Jr., Eaton, W. W., &
Nestadt, G. (2004). Personality dimensions and criminal arrest. Com-
prehensive Psychiatry, 45(4), 275–280. Ritika is a research scholar at School of Management Studies
Schwenk, C. (1984). Cognitive simplification processes in strategic
(SOMS), Indira Gandhi National Open University, New Delhi,
decision-making. Strategic Management Journal, 5(2), 111–128.
Sciortino, J., Huston, J., & Spencer, R. (1987). Perceived risk and the pre- India. She is currently a member of Indian Commerce Association.
cautionary demand for money. Journal of Economic Psychology, 8(3), She holds the degree of B.Com. (Hons.) and M.Com. from the Uni-
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Shaver, K., & Scott, L. (1992). Person, process, choice: The psychology of
plines, Commerce and Management. She has presented papers at
new venture creation. Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, 16(2),
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Sitkin, S. B., & Pablo, A. L. (1992). Reconceptualizing the determinants of repute. Her research areas include behavioral biases, behavioral
risk behavior. Academy of Management Review, 17(1), 9–38. finance and risk preferences.
Sitkin, S., & Weingart, L. (1995). Determinants of risky decision-making
behavior: A test of the mediating role of risk perceptions and propen- Prof. Nawal Kishor is M. Com, PGDIM and Ph.D. He has been
sity. Academy of Management Journal, 38(6), 1573–1592. working at SOMS, IGNOU for the last 30 years. He has been
Sjöberg, L. (2003). Risk perception is not what it seems: The psychometric
engaged in teaching, training, research and other academic activi-
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(pp. 14–29). Stockholm: Valdor. ties. He has published various research papers in reputed interna-
Slovic, P., Finucane, M., Peters, E., & MacGregor, D. G. (2002). Rational tional and national journals and has presented many research
actors or rational fools: Implications of the affect heuristic for papers in international and national conferences. He has been
behavioral economics. The Journal of Socio-Economics, 31(4),
actively involved as Key note speaker, technical session chairper-
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Steil, B. (1993). Corporate foreign exchange risk management: A study in son, guest of honour, and resource person in international and
decision making under uncertainty. Journal of Behavioral Decision Mak- national conferences. He had been the resource person for aca-
ing, 6(1), 1–31. demic staff colleges of various universities as well as for the fac-
Strong, R. A. (2007). Practical investment management. Mason:
ulty development programmes. He has been the managing editor
Thomson/South-Western.
Summers, B., & Duxbury, D. (2012). Decision-dependent emotions and of The Indian Journal of Commerce and editor of Indian Journal of
behavioral anomalies. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Pro- Open Learning. His areas of interest are: International Business
cesses, 118(2), 226–238. Management, International Marketing, Foreign Trade, Export-
Thaler, R., & Johnson, E. (1990). Gambling with the house money and try-
Import Procedures, Retail Management, Organisational Behaviour,
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General Management, Commerce and Distance Education.
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but cross-cultural similarities in attitudes towards perceived risk. Man-
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scale: Measuring risk perceptions and risk behaviors. Journal of Behav- financial decisions: Do emotional biases matter? J Public
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