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KOLEJ UNIVERSITI TUNKU ABDUL RAHMAN

CENTRE FOR PRE-UNIVERSITY STUDIES

ACADEMIC YEAR 2020/2021

DECEMBER EXAMINATION

FPMA1014 STATISTICS

MONDAY, 21 DECEMBER 2020 TIME: 2.00 PM – 4.00 PM (2 HOURS)

FOUNDATION IN ACCOUNTING
FOUNDATION IN COMPUTING

Instructions to candidates:

1. Answer ALL questions in the format/ template requested or provided.


2. Write in dark blue or black ball pen only.
3. Write your answers on blank white A4 paper / test pad. Please write your Full Name
(as per IC), Student ID (20WPFxxxx) and Class (FAC110x or FCP120x or FCQ120x)
on the top left corner of each of the answer script.
4. Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significance figures, unless a different
level of accuracy is specified in the question.
5. The use of an electronic calculator is expected, where appropriate.
6. This is an open book final online assessment; but you MUST NOT receive any help
whatsoever from any other person.
7. Read all the questions carefully and understand what you are being asked to answer.
8. You are reminded of the need for clear presentation in your answers.
9. Marks are awarded for your own (original) analysis. Therefore, use the time and
information to build well-constructed, concise, accurate and thoughtful answers with
supporting explanations and justifications.
10. You must submit your answer within the time frame allowed for this online assessment.
The deadline for the submission of your answers is half an hour from the end time of
this online assessment.
11. Please make sure that you have arranged your answers according to the question number
and rotate the image properly before converting to ONE pdf file.
12. File name format: KL_ FAC110x_Full Name as per IC or KL_FCP120x_Full Name as
per IC or KL_FCQ120x_Full Name as per IC.
13. Penalty as below WILL BE IMPOSED on students who submit their answers late as
follows:
i) The final marks of this online assessment will be reduced by 10 marks for answer
scripts that are submitted within 30 minutes after the deadline for the submission of
answers for this online assessment.
ii) The final marks of this online assessment will be downgraded to zero (0) mark for
any answer scripts that are submitted after one hour from the end time of this online
assessment.

This question paper consists of 4 questions on 8 printed pages.


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FPMA1014 STATISTICS
14. Any late submission after the stipulated time frame or no submission, are deemed to be
failure of the online assessment. [Note: For candidates facing problems to submit the
online assessment, please email to cpus@tarc.edu.my within 48 hours of the online
assessment to apply for "I" indicator under Extenuating Mitigating Circumstances
(EMC) situation. Attach your email with supporting documents and EMC form which
can be obtained from your student intranet.]
15. Students are required to complete the declaration section before submission of your
answer.
STUDENT’S DECLARATION OF ORIGINALITY
By submitting this online assessment, I declare that this submitted work is free from all forms
of plagiarism and for all intents and purposes is my own properly derived work. I understand
that I have to bear the consequences if I fail to do so.

This question paper consists of 4 questions on 8 printed pages.


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FPMA1014 STATISTICS

Question 1
a) A local sports college lecturer selects a random sample of 56 students and the time spent in the
training centre, to the nearest hour, are recorded. The results are tabulated in the below table.

No of hours spent 1 – 10 11 – 20 21 – 25 26 – 30 31 – 40 41 – 60
Frequency 6 15 11 13 8 3

(i) Draw a histogram on a graph paper to illustrate the above data. (6 marks)

(ii) State the modal class. (1 mark)

(iii) Calculate the estimated mean for the number of hours spent in the training centre. (2 marks)

(iv) Calculate the estimated standard deviation for the number of hours spent in the training centre.
(4 marks)

b) In a game, a marble is selected from a bag. The bag contains 5 red marbles and 7 blue marbles.
A marble is selected at random from the bag, the colour of the marble is noted.
When a red marble is selected, a biased dice with the probability 0.4 of getting ‘5’ is tossed.
When a blue marble is selected, a fair dice is tossed.

(i) Draw a complete tree diagram (including all the events and probability) to obtain ‘5’ or not ‘5’
from the game. (4 marks)

(ii) Find the probability that the fair dice is tossed and a ‘5’ is obtained. (2 marks)

(iii) Find the probability that a player obtain ‘5’ from a round of the game. (3 marks)

(iv) Given that the player does not obtain ‘5’, find the probability that the player obtained a blue
marble from the bag. (3 marks)
[25 marks]

This question paper consists of 4 questions on 8 printed pages.


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FPMA1014 STATISTICS

Question 2
a) The probability distribution for discrete random variable X is as follow:

𝑐(𝑥 − 1) 𝑥 = 3, 5, 7
P(𝑋 = 𝑥) = { 𝑐𝑥 𝑥=9
0 otherwise

(i) Find the value of c. (3 marks)


(ii) Calculate the expected mean for X, E(X). (2 marks)
(iii) Calculate the expected variance for X, Var(X) (3 marks)
(iv) Find the probability that X is less than mean. (2 marks)

b) A manufacturer supplies umbrellas to retailers in batches of 25. From previous record, the
mean number of faulty umbrella from a batch is 2.
Let X represents the number of faulty umbrellas and p is the probability that the umbrella is
faulty.

(i) Find the value of p. (2 marks)


(ii) Name a suitable probability distribution to model variable X, stating the parameters.
(3 marks)
(iii) List down the 3 criteria for the above model (part ii) to be valid. (3 marks)
(iv) Find the probability that out of a batch of 25, there will be at least 2 faulty umbrellas.
(3 marks)
(v) A retailer received 10 batches of umbrellas from the manufacturer. Find the probability that
out of these 10 batches, there will be less than 3 batches with at least 2 faulty umbrellas.
(4 marks)
[25 marks]

This question paper consists of 4 questions on 8 printed pages.


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FPMA1014 STATISTICS

Question 3
a) The heights, H, of a particular type of tree are modelled by normal distribution with mean 70
metres and standard deviation 5 metres.

(i) Find the probability that a randomly selected tree exceed the height of 66.5 metres.
(3 marks)
(ii) Find the value of c such that P(c < H < 84) = 0.8387. (4 marks)
(iii) A sample of 100 of this type of trees are selected randomly. Find the probability that between
65 to 70 (inclusive) of the trees will exceed the height of 66.5 metres. (6 marks)

b) The weights of 10 years old boys are normally distributed with a mean of 35 kg and a standard
deviation of 4 kg.
The weights of 10 years old girls are normally distributed with a mean of 38 kg and a standard
deviation of 8 kg.

(i) Find the probability that the total weight of 5 randomly chosen 10 years old boys is more than
180 kg. (4 marks)
(ii) Find the probability that the total weight of 3 randomly chosen 10 years old girls is less than
90 kg. (4 marks)
(iii) Find the probability that the weight of a randomly chosen 10 years old boy is less than ¾ times
of the weight of a randomly chosen 10 years old girl. (4 marks)
[25 marks]

This question paper consists of 4 questions on 8 printed pages.


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FPMA1014 STATISTICS

Question 4
a) X, in RM, is representing the cost for water bill for a small manufacturing firm. The water bill
for 36 consecutive months were recorded and the results are summarised as follows.

∑ 𝑥 = 6030 ∑ 𝑥 2 = 1,010,970

(i) Find an unbiased estimates of mean for the cost for water bill. (2 marks)
(ii) Find an unbiased estimates of variance for the cost for water bill. (2 marks)

The mean cost for water bill is RM µ.

(iii) Find a 99% confidence interval for µ. (4 marks)


(iv) Calculate the width for 95% confidence interval. (3 marks)
(v) If the confidence level of 99% is reduced, state whether the resulting confidence interval
will be narrower or wider, (2 marks)

b) A statistical report shows that, on average, an employee spend 60 minutes on social media
during working hours. The human resource manager of a manufacturing company believes that
the employees spend more time on average on social media during working time. Hence, the
total time spent, X, in minutes, on social media by 100 randomly chosen employees are
recorded and the results are summarised as follow:

∑ 𝑥 = 6300 ∑ 𝑥 2 = 398,088

(i) Find the unbiased estimates of the population mean. (2 marks)


(ii) Calculate the unbiased estimates of population variance. (2 marks)
(iii) Stating the null and alternative hypotheses, test at 5% significance level on whether the
human resource manager’s claim is true. (8 marks)
[25 marks]

This question paper consists of 4 questions on 8 printed pages.


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FPMA1014 STATISTICS

FORMULAE

1. ∑𝑥 ∑ 𝑓𝑥
Mean, 𝑥̄ = 𝑛
𝑜𝑟 𝑥̄ = ∑𝑓

∑ 𝑓𝑥 2 ∑ 𝑓𝑥 2
Standard deviation, s = √ ∑𝑓
− ( ∑𝑓 )

2. Binomial distribution B(n, p) :


P(X = x) = nCx(p)x (q)n –x, µ = np, σ2= npq = np(1 –p)

3. Sampling and estimation:


i) Unbiased Estimator:
x=
x, ˆ 2 =
1
( x 2 −
( x )
)
2

n n −1 n

ii) Confidence Interval of Population Mean:


   
x − z , x+z 
 n n

4. Standardization:
i) Normal Distribution:
X −
Z=

ii) Sampling Distribution:


X −
Z=

n

5. Expected value and variance:


i) E(X1 ± X2) = E(X1) ± E(X2) Var(X1 ± X2) = Var(X1) + Var(X2)

ii) E(aX±bY) = aE(X) ± bE(Y) Var(aX±bY) = a2Var(X) + b2Var(Y)

iii) E(aX± b) = aE(X) ± b Var(aX± b) = a2Var(X)

This question paper consists of 4 questions on 8 printed pages.


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FPMA1014 STATISTICS

THE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION

If Z has a normal distribution with mean 0 and


variance 1 the, for each value of z, the table give the Ф(z)
value of Ф(z), where

Ф(z) = P(Z ≤ z).

For negative values of z use Ф(–z) = 1 – Ф(z).


0 z

Critical Values for Normal Distribution

If Z has a normal distribution with mean 0 and variance 1, then for each value of p, the table gives
the value of z such that
P(Z ≤ z) = p.

p 0.75 0.90 0.95 0.975 0.99 0.995 0.9975 0.999 0.9995


z 0.674 1.282 1.645 1.960 2.326 2.576 2.807 3.090 3.291

This question paper consists of 4 questions on 8 printed pages.

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