Melaka SMKGajahBerang MathsT P3 2014 QA

Section A [45 marks]

Answer all questions in this section.
1. The following data presented in a stemplot are the examination marks of a group of form six
students.
2 2
3
4 0 1 6 8
5 3 4 7 9
6 5 7 key : 4 | 0 means 40
7 4
Find the median, mean and standard deviation of the students’ marks. Hence calculate the Pearson
coefficient of skewness of the above data. [6 marks]

2. In a restaurant, 45% of the customers pay the bill by using a credit card.
a) If 5 of the customers are chosen at random, find the probability that at most 3 customers pay
the bill by using a credit card. [3 marks]
b) If 300 customers are randomly chosen from the restaurant, use an approximation probability
distribution to find the value of k so that the probability at least k customers pay their bills
by using a credit card is 0.8. [5 marks]

3. A continuous random variable X has the cumulative distribution for F(x) given by
0 , x<0
1
x , 0 ≤ x<2
4
F(x) = h( x−4)2+ 1, 2 ≤ x< 4
1 , x≥ 4
where h is a constant. Find
a) the value of h. Hence sketch the graph of F(x). [3 marks]
b) the probability distribution function f(x) of X. [2 marks]
c) E(x). [3 marks]

4. In a particular fruit farm, the weights of the mangoes are normally distributed with a mean of
400 gm and a variance of 500 gm2 . Sixty samples of size 30 are taken from this population.
Find the
(a) probability that the sample mean is not more than 405 gm [3 marks]
(b) number of samples that have sample mean not more than 405 gm [2 marks]
(c) minimum sample mean w if 5% of the sampling are of grade A. [3 marks]

5. With an intention to discourage Mary from driving to her work place in a busy town, Mary’s
father claims that on average a person takes 20 minutes to find a parking space in the area. Mary
disagrees and she takes a random sample of 30 times that she drove to work. She found that the
mean time taken to find a parking space is 17 minutes. Assuming that the time taken to find a
parking space follows a normal distribution with standard deviation equal to 10 minutes. Test, at
the 5 % level of significance, whether Mary’s father is overstating the mean time taken to find a
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parking space. [6 marks]

6. In the Mendel’s peas experiments, the results of a sample of 768 pea plants produced in the lab are
observed and recorded. The colours and the shapes of the pea are grouped in the table below.
Round and Yellow Wrinkled and Yellow Round and Green Wrinkled and Green
418 153 142 55
According to Mendel’s Genetcs theory, the expected figures follows the ratio 9 : 3 : 3 : 1.
Perform a  goodness-of-fit test, at the 10% significance level whether the sample supports
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the claim. [9 marks]

Section B [ 15 marks]
Answer only one question in this section.
7. A bag contains 32 scarves as shown in the following table.

Type Colour Red Yellow Green

Silk 4 2 12
Cotton 6 8 0
Three scarves are selected randomly from the bag. Events A, B and C are defined as follow.
A : No green scarves are selected.
B : The scarves selected include a silk scarf of red colour.
C : At least a cotton scarf is selected.
Find,
a) P(A) b) P(B) c) P( A∩B )
d) P(A∪ B ¿ e) P(C) f) P ( B | A)
State with a reason whether A and B are independent. [15 marks]

8 a) In a recent STPM Mathematics T 2014 Coursework, a sample of 50 students were taken at

random. Their personal information like body weights and heights were recorded and were
classified into three categories as underweight, normal weight and overweight or obese. One of
the Upper Six students, Alan, has found ( 1-α )100% confidence interval for the population
proportion of students who are overweight or obese as (0.040, 0.320).

We are now interested to find out in Alan’s coursework, what is

(i) the proportion of the group of students who are overweight or obese [2 marks]
(ii) the standard error [2 marks]
(iii) the level of significance α [3 marks]
b) The random variable X has unknown population mean µ and unknown standard deviation σ .
From a sample of 50 observations of X taken,

∑ (x−40)=1872 and ∑ (x−40)2=96433

(i) Find the unbiased estimates of the population mean and population variance [4 marks]
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(ii) Find the 95% confidence interval for the population mean µ. [4 marks]
Melaka GajahBerang MathsT P3 2014 QA
Marking Scheme for STPM 2014 P3 Trial Exam. Maths T

1. Median = 53.5 B1
Mean = 52 B1
34538
Std dev = - 522 M1
12
= 13.20 A1

3 (52−53.5 )
Pcs = M1
13.20
= - 0.3409 A1

2. a) X – no. of customers who use a credit card.

X B( 5, 0.45 ) B1
P(X ≤3) = 1 - P(X =4) – P(X=5)

= 1 - 5 C 4(0.45 ¿ ¿4 ¿ - (0.45 ¿ ¿5 M1
= 0.8688 A1

b) Y ~ no. of customers who use a credit card

Y~N(135, 74.25) B1
P(Y≥ k ¿ = 0.8
P( Y > k - 0.5 ) = 0.8 M1
k−135.5
(
P Z>
√74.25 )
= 0.8 M1

k−135.5
= - 0.842 M1
√74.25
K = 128.2
K ≈ 128 A1

1
3. a) = 4h + 1 M1
2
1
h=- A1
8

F(x)
1 B1
0.5

0 2 4 x
b)
¼ , 0 ≤ x<2 M1
3

f(x) = -1/4(x - 4) , 2 ≤ x< 4 A1

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0 , otherwise
 2 4
c) E(x) = ∫ 4x dx + ∫ −1
4
x 2 + x dx M1
0 2

=¿ +¿ = - 11/6 M1A1

4a) X ~ N( 400, 500 )

___
500 B1
Χ ~ N( 400, 30 )

405−400 M1A1
50
P( Χ
___

= 0.8897
¿ 405 )= P( Z ¿ √ 3 )=P( Z ¿ 1.225)

4b)number of samples not more than 405 gm = 0.8897x 60 = 53.38 M1

= 53
A1
___
4c) P( Χ ≥ w ) = 0.05

w−400
50 M1
P( Z ¿ 3√ ) = 0,05

w−400
50
√ 3 = 1.645 ∴ w = 406.72 gm
M1A1

5 Let µ be the mean time taken to find a parking space

Ho : µ = 20 B1

H1 : µ < 20 B1

X ~ N( 20, 102 )

x −μ 17−20 B1M1
σ 10
Z = √n = √30
= -1.643

Since -1.643 > -1.645 M1

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A1
 We do not have sufficient evidence to reject H 0 , Mary’s
father is not overstating the mean time taken to find a parking
space..

H 0 : the sample follows the ratio of 9 : 3 : 3 : 1

6
B1
H1 : the sample does not follow the ratio of 9 : 3 : 3 : 1

total

Oi 418 153 142 55 768

Ei 432 144 144 48 768 M1A1

(Oi  Ei ) 2
0.4537 0.5625 0.0278 1.0208 2.0648
Ei

. M1A1
v  4 1  3 M1

 2 3,0.1 = 6.2514 A1

Since  cal = 2.0648 < 6.2514

2

M1A1
H
We do not have sufficient evidence to reject 0

At the 1% significance level, the sample follows the ratio 9:3:3:1

20C 3
7. a) P(A) = = 0.2298 M1A1
32C 3

4 C 1 × 28C 2
b) P(B) = = 0.3048 M1A1
32 C3

4 C 1 × 16 C2
c) P(A∩ B ¿ = = 0.09677 B1M1A1
32 C3

d) P(A∪ B ¿ = P(A) + P(B) – P(A∩ B ¿

= 0.2298 + 0.3048 – 0.09677 M1A1
5

= 0.4378
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 e) P(C) = 1 – P( C’)
18C 3
= 1- M1
32C 3
= 0.8355 A1
0.09677
f) P( B|A) = = 0.4211 M1A1
0.2298
P ( A ) xP (B) = 0.07004
P(A ∩ B ¿ ≠ P ( A ) xP(B) or P(B|A) ≠ P(B) M1
A and B are not independent. A1

8ai)

^¿ 0. 040+0 . 320 M1A1

p¿ = 2 = 0.18

¿^ ¿ ^¿

ii) Standard error =

0.054332
√ p (1− p )
n
¿
= √ 0 .18(0 . 92)
50 = M1A1

iii) 0.18 ±
Z α
2 (0.054332) = ( 0.040, 0.320 )
M1

0 . 14
Z α
2 = 0.054332 = 2.577
M1

A1
α
. 2 = 0.005 ∴α = 0.01
___
1872
Χ= +40=77 . 44
8bi) 50
M1A1
2
s =96433
50
−37 . 44 2

¿^
2= n s
n−1 M1A1
2

σ 50 96433
=49 [
50
−37 . 44 2 ]= ¿
537.66
¿^

___ σ¿
ii) 95% confidence interval =( Χ ± Z 0. 025 √n )
B1M1
537. 66
√
6

= ( 77.44 ± 1.96 50 )
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= ( 71.01, 83.87 ) A1A1