Perak SMKHorleyMethodist MathsT P3 2014 QA

SECTION A
[ 45 MARKS ]
ANSWER ALL QUESTIONS IN THIS SECTION.

1. A shopkeeper’s record shows the a mount of sales, in RM, for 30 days. His results
are summarized by = 63 000 and ) 2 = 59 000 where denotes the mean
sales for 30 days. Calculate and the standard deviation of the sales over 30 days.
[5 marks]

2. Channel TutorTV is an education television for participating schools equipped with TV sets.
A survey show that 38 % of all schools subscribe to Channel TutorTV. Of these subscribers,
3 % never use the broadcast, while 15 % use more than 5 times per week. Find the
probability that a randomly selected school
(a) subscribes to Channel TutorTV and never use the broadcasts. [3 marks]
(b) subscribes to Channel TutorTV and uses the broadcasts more than 5
times a week. [3 marks]

3. The continuous random variable X has probability density function


0 , x0

6
f(x) =   x, 0 x 1
5
 1
 , x 1
 3x 2
(a) Find the cumulative distribution function of x. Hence sketch the
graph of F(x). [6 marks]
(b) Calculate the probability that at least one of two independent values
of x is greater than 3. [3 marks]

4. The lifespan of a type of tyre is normally distributed with mean

60 000 km and standard deviation 5 000 km.
(a) Determine the probability that a randomly chosen tyre has a lifespan
of less than 70 000 km. [ 3 marks ]
(b) Determine the minimum number of tyres to be chosen so that the
standard error does not exceed 2 300 km at the 99 % confidence
level. [ 5 marks ]

5. A horticulturist chooses a random sample of 100 bean plants and measures

the total crop weight, x kg, of each plant. The results are summarized as
follows :
= 282.6 and = 1016.8.
Find the unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance of crop
weight per plant. [ 3 marks ]
The horticulturist wishes to test the null hypothesis that the mean crop
weight per plant is 3 kg against the alternative hypothesis that the crop
weight per plant is less than 3 kg. Carry out the test at 10 % level of
significance. [ 4 marks ]
Find the largest level of significance at which the test would result in
rejection of the null hypothesis. [ 3 marks ]
6. A random sample of 80 students from schools are taken to determine
whether there is any association between the schools and the grade of
Mathematics obtained. Their respective grades were recorded in the
Following table.
Grade
School Total
A B C
X 13 12 8 33
Y 19 16 12 47
Total 32 28 20 80
Test, at the 5 % level of significance, to determine whether there is any
association between the schools and the grades of Mathematics. [7 marks ]

SECTION B
[ 15 MARKS ]
ANSWER ONLY ONE QUESTION IN THIS SECTION.
7. The number of e-mails received each day in January is summarised in the
following stem-and-leaf diagram.
2 7 9 9
3 2 2 3 5 6
4 0 1 4 8 9
5 2 3 3 6 6 6 8
6 0 1 4 5
7 2 3
Key : 2 | 7 means 27 e-mails
(a) Write down the mode. [ 1 marks ]
(b) Find the median and the quartiles. [ 6 marks ]
(c) Given that  x = 1 335 and  x = 71 801, find the mean and standard
2

deviation of these data. [ 3 marks ]

(d) Using the Pearson coefficient of skewness and to show that the data are
negatively skewed. [ 3 marks ]
(e) Give two reasons why the data are negatively skewed. [ 2 marks ]

8. A pharmaceutical company is examined a new drug in pill form which is

about to be marketed nationwide. In the examination process, the mass of
the pill is considered one of the crucial part of the process. In a random of
100 pills taken and masses, X, are recorded, the results are as follows.
100 100

 xi = 1 200
i 1
x
i 1
2
i = 14 800
(a) Calculate the unbiased estimate of the mean and variance of X. [5 marks]
(b) If X is normally distributed, calculate a 95 % confidence interval
for the mean X. Explain the confidence interval that you obtain. [5 marks ]
(c) Another group of number of pills are taken in order to have a closer and
more detail examination. In a random sample of 50 pills taken, the
results are as follows.
50 50

x
i 1
i = 625 x
i 1
2
i = 7 815
Combine the two results and a random sample of 150 pills are
gathered. Assume that the masses, X, is normally distributed with an
unknown variance, obtain a 95 % confidence interval for the mean X. [ 5 marks]
 Marking Scheme STPM2014 P3
Essential Workings Marks
63000
1a) x  1
30
= 2100 1

σ2 =  ( x  x) 2

n
59000
= 1
30
59 000 1

30 1
= 44.35
2 a) Let S = Subscribe,
S’ = Do not subscribe ,
U = Use more than 5 times
U’ = Do not use
P(U 'S )
P (U’ / S ) =
P( S )
P(U 'S ) 1,1
0.03 =
0.38
P(U’∩ S) = 0.0114 1
P(U  S )
b) P (US) =
P( S )
P(U  S ) 1,1
0.15 =
0.38
P( U ∩ S ) = 0.057 1

3 a)

0 , x0

6 1 2 1, 1, 1
F(x) =  x x , 0  x 1
5 2
 31 1 3
 30  3x , x 1 (graph
Sketching)
b) Probability at least two independent values of x is greater than 3
= 1 – P(X ≤ 3) P(X ≤ 3)
= 1 – F(3)F(3) 1,1
31 1
= 1 – (  )2 1
30 9
= 0.1495
4. X ~ N (60 000, 5 0002) 1

(a) P ( X < 70 000 )

1
70000  60000
=P(Z< )
5000
= P ( Z < 2) 1
 = 0.9773 / 2
(2.576) 2 (5000) 2
(b) n≥ 1, 1, 1
(2300) 2
n ≥ 31.36 1
n = 32 1

5. Given ∑x = 282.6

Unbiased estimate of μ, x = x
n

282.6
=
100
1
= 2.826

Given ∑x2 = 1016.8

n x 2  ( x) 2
Unbiased estimate of σ2 =
n(n  1)

100(1016.8)  (282.6) 2
= 1
100(100  1)
1
= 2.204

 2.204 
X ~ N 100, 
 100 

Ho :  = 3 kg
1
H 1:  < 3 kg
1
At α = 0.1, Ztable = 1.282

X  0
Zcalc = = 2.826  3
2
s 2.204
1
n 100
= 1.172
Since Zcalc= 1.172 > 1.282, therefore there is no sufficient evidence to reject Ho. 1

For Ho to be rejected,
-1.172 < - Zα
Zα> 1.172 1

From tables,
P ( Z > 1.172 ) = 0.1206 1
Therefore the largest level of significance level at which the test would 1
reject Ho is 12.1 %
6 : Schools and grades of Mathematics are independent 1
: Schools and grades of Mathematics are not independent

13 33x32
=13.2 1
80
(finding
12 11.55
ei)
8 8.25
19 18.8
16 16.45
1
12 11.75 (all
correct)
cal=
13  13.22  12  11.552  8  8.252  19  18.82  16  16.452  12  11.752
13.2 11.55 8.25 18.8 16.45 11.75
= 0.048 1
= (2-1)(3-1) = 2
At  = 0.05, table = 5.991

Critical region : > 5.991 1

= 0.0.048 (< 5.991) does not lie in the critical region, we do not reject Ho. 1

There is insufficient evidence to suggest an association between the schools and 1

the grades of Mathematics.
Section B
7 (a) mode = 56 1
(b) n =26
49  52
Median = =50.5 2
2
Q1 = 7 th value
= 35 2
Q3 = 20 th value
= 58 2

(c) x =
x =
1335
n 26

= 51.346 1

σ =
2 x 2

 (x) 2
n

71801 1
=  (51.346) 2
26

= 125.165

σ = 125.165
1
= 11.188
 mean  mod e
(d)
s tan darddeviation

51.346  56
=
11.188
1, 1
= - 0.416
(e) 1
(i) The mean is on the left hand side of the graph
(ii) Mode > median
1
Or mean < mode
1
Or mean < median < mode
Or Q2 – Q1 > Q3 – Q2

1200
8) a) μ = x   12
100
1, 1
1  ( x ) 2 
σ = (  x ) 
2 2

n 1  n 
1  (1200) 2 
 1, 1
99  100 
= 14800

= 4.0404 1
(b)
A 95 % confidence interval for X
4.0404 4.0404
12  1.96 < μ < 12  1.96
100 100
1, 1, 1
12 - 0. 201 < μ < 12 + 0.201

11.799 < μ < 12.201 1

We are 95 % sure that the mean X is between the value of 11.799 to 12.201.
(c) 1
The unbiased variance for X is
1  ( x ) 2 
 x 
2

2
s =
n 1  n 
1  (1825) 2 

149  150 
= 22615
1
= 2.7573
s = 1.6605 1

A 95 % confidence interval for mean X is

 1.6605   1.6605  1, 1
12.167 – 1.96   < μ < 12.167 + 1.96  
 150   150 
12.167 - 0.2657 < μ < 12.167 + 0.2657 1
11.90 < μ < 12.43