Strictly Confidential/954/3

By G.L.LEE/23September2014
SMJK JIT SIN − STPM Baharu Peperiksaan Percubaan Penggal 3 Tahun 2014
Section A [45 marks]
Answer all questions in this section.

1. The lengths (in minutes, to the nearest minute) of the phone calls made between two
teenagers are summarised in the table below.
Length, t
0t<5 5  t < 10 10  t < 15 15  t < 25 25  t < 30
(minutes)
Number of
2 k 15 18 3
phone calls
Given that the median is 14.5, find the value of k. [3 marks]
Hence, calculate the estimate of the mode, giving your answer to the nearest minute.
[3 marks]

2. In the recent intake of form six students into SMJK Jit Sin, it was found that 54% of
the students were males and 19.1% of the students joined the Red Crescent Society.
5.6% of the students who join Red Crescent Society were male students. A student is
chosen randomly. Event E is a male student being chosen and event F is a student who
join Red Crescent Society being chosen.
(a) Determine whether E and F are mutually exclusive and whether E and F are
independent. [3 marks]
(b) Find . [2 marks]

3. In SMJK Jit Sin, the ratio of the number of boys’ and girls’ students in form 6 is
3 : 2. The students are chosen randomly to form groups of 7. The total number of the
students is 240. The same student may appear more than once in different groups.
(a) Find the probability that a group contains 4 boys and 3 girls. [2 marks]
(b) A random sample of 10 groups is taken. Find the probability that at least 1 of them
has 4 boys and 3 girls. [2 marks]
(c) A random sample of 80 groups is taken. Using a suitable approximation, find the
probability that more than 30 groups has 4 boys and 3 girls. [5 marks]

4. In a survey made by Health Ministry Department on 400 people aged 30 and above. It
is found that 60 of them are obese.
(a) Obtain a 98% confidence interval for the proportion of people who are obese.
[4 marks]
(b) Determine the smallest sample size which should be surveyed so that the error of
estimation is not more than 0.03 at the 90% confidence level. [4 marks]

5. It is claimed that, on average, people following the LGL weight loss program will lose
more than 1 kg per week. The weight losses, x kilograms per week, of a random sample
of 150 people following the weight loss program were recorded and summarised by
and .
(a) Calculate unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance. [3 marks]
(b) Test the claim at the 1% significance level. [5 marks]

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6. The null hypothesis is that the random variable X has a binomial distribution with
n = 5 and p = . A random sample of 140 observations gave the following results :
x 0 1 2 3 4 5
frequency 2 10 27 42 39 20
Test the null hypothesis using a 5% significance level. [9 marks]

Section B [15 marks]

Answer only one question in this section.

7. The continuous random variable X has probability density function

where p is a constant.
(a) Show that p = . [3 marks]
(b) Find the cumulative distribution function of X. [3 marks]
(c) Find the value of E(X). [3 marks]
(d) Find the modal value of X. [2 marks]
(e) Verify that the median value of X lies between 1.76 and 1.77. [4 marks]

8. A nutrition drink ‘Milo’ is packed into packets of two sizes. The distribution of the
mass in each small packet may be regarded as normal variable with mean 1003 g and
standard deviation 5 g while the mass in each large packet is another independent normal
variable with mean 2008 g and standard deviation 9 g.
(a) The random variable Y is defined as the difference of mass of one randomly chosen
large packet and the total mass of two randomly chosen small packets. Find E(Y) and
Var(Y). [2 marks]
(b) A random sample of 150 observations of Y was chosen with a sample mean 2.3.
Calculate a symmetric 90% confidence interval of the population mean.[3 marks]
State, with a reason, whether it was necessary to use the Central Limit Theorem in the
calculation. [1 mark]
(c) The value of p is given as P(Y > 0). Find the value of p. In (b), it is found that 90
observations of Y exceeds zero. Using a hypothesis test at 5% significant level,
determine whether the value of p has changed. [9 marks]

~ End of the paper ~

SMJK JIT SIN − STPM Baharu Peperiksaan Percubaan Penggal 3 Tahun 2014
Marking scheme for Mathematics (T) P3 : (For non-exact numerical values, allow 3
to 5 significant figures or otherwise stated.)
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Strictly Confidential/954/3
By G.L.LEE/23September2014

Total
No Working/Answer Partial marks
marks
1 B1 [value 10] 6
M1 [2nd term]

k=7 A1
B1 [value 10]
M1[2nd term his k]
mode = 13 A1
2 (a) or equivalent 5
E and F are not mutually exclusive B1
and M1
or A1
Show or
E and F are not mutually independent
M1
(b)

or 0.7068 or 0.70681 or ] A1

3 (a) Total number of students = 240, 9

Number of male = = 144

Number of female = = 96
P(4 boys and 3 girls)

= M1

= 0.295 or 0.2946 or 0.29462 A1

(b) Y ~ B(10, 0.2946)
P(at least 1 group has 4 boys and 3 girls)
=1 M1(his p for Y)
= 0.969 or 0.9695 A1
(c) Y ~ B(80, 0.2946)
Approximate to normal, Y ~ N(, 2)
 = 80(0.2946) = 23.57
2 = 80(0.2946) (0.7054)= 16.62 B1
P(Y > 30) = [continuity correction] M1

[standardise] M1(his p for Y)

= P(Z > 1.6999) or P(Z > 1.700)
= 1  P(Z < 1.6999) or R(1.6999) M1
= 0.0446 or 0.04458 or 0.044575 A1

4 4
(a)
B1
or B1
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Strictly Confidential/954/3
By G.L.LEE/23September2014

98% CI =

M1
= (0.108, 0.192) or (0.1085, 0.1915) or (0.10847, 0.19153)
A1
(b) At 90% confidence level, B1 4
Error of estimation,

M1

A1
the smallest sample size = 384
A1
5 (a) unbiased estimates of the population mean ( ) = 1.3 B1 8

M1

or 2.057
unbiased estimates of the population variance ( ) = 2.06
or 2.057 A1

(b) Ho :  = 1 or   1 [average loss of weight not more

than 1 kg]
H1 :  > 1 [average loss of weight more than 1 kg] B1
At 1% significant level, = 2.326 (critical value for
one tail test) B1
n is large,
By CLT,

M1

> 2.326 [2.562 or 2.5618] M1

Reject Ho.
There is sufficient evidence to support that the program will A1
lose more than 1 kg per week.

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6 Ho : The random variable X has a binomial distribution 9

with n = 5 and p =
H1 : The random variable X does not have a binomial
B1
distribution with n = 5 and p =
[Notes : for H1 : … does not fit …]

x 0 and 1 2 3 4 5
Frequency,
12 27 42 39 20
Oi
Expected
frequency, 6.337 23.05 46.09 46.09 18.44
Ei B1(prob.)

M1A1(all – at
least 4sf)

7.32 or 7.323
Degree of freedom, v = 5  1 = 4
9.488
7.32 < 9.488
Do not reject Ho M1 (at least 4sf)
Insufficient (no significant) evidence to reject null A1
hypothesis that X ~ B(5, ).
M1
A1

A1

7 3

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(a) B1

M1

A1
3
M1
M1
(b) A1

(c)

E(X) =
M1
=
M1

E(X) = or or 1.73 or 1.733 or 1.7333

A1
2

(d)

Any valid method

Modal value X = 2 M1
A1
4

(e)

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Strictly Confidential/954/3
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F(m) = > , m lies in 1  x < 3, m = median

= M1
4m  24m + 53 = 0 or equivalent
3 2

Let g(m) = 4m3  24m2 + 53 M1

g(1.76) = 4(1.76)3  24(1.76)2 + 53
= 0.4647
g(1.76) > 0
g(1.77) = 4(1.77)3  24(1.77)2 + 53
= 0.008668
g(1.77) < 0
By intermediate value theorem,
g(1.76) and g(1.77) have opposite signs and g is continuous
between 1.76 and 1.77,
therefore the median value of X lies between 1.76 and 1.77.
(Verified)
M1

A1
8 L ~ N(2008, 81), S ~ N(1003, 25), 2
(a) Y = L − S1 − S2
L − S1 − S2 ~ N(2, 131),
Y ~ N(2, 131)
E(Y) = E(L  S1  S2)
= E(L)  E(S1)  E(S2)
= 2008  1003  1003
E(Y) = 2 B1
Var(Y) = Var(L  S1  S2)
= Var(L) + Var(S1) + Var(S2)
= 9 2 + 52 + 5 2
Var(Y) = 131 B1
4
(b)
B1

90% CI = M1(his Var)

A1
= (0.763, 3.84) or (0.7627, 3.837) or (0.76271, 3.8373)
No. X is normally distributed or population is normally
B1
distributed.

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(c) p = P(Y > 0) 9

M1
= P(Z > 0.17474)
= P(Z < 0.1747) or P(0.1747) or R(0.1747)
= P(Z < 0.175) or P(0.17474) or R(0.17474) M1
= 0.569 [0.56934 ~ 0.56936]
Ho : p = 0.5694 A1
H1 : p ≠ 0.5694 B1(his p)
5% significant level,
B1
n is large,
the distribution is approximated to normal,

= 0.6
B1

M1(his p)

Z = 0.89011 < 1.96

Do not reject Ho. M1(his p)
There is insufficient evidence to conclude that p has
changed.
A1

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