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ACADEMIC WRITING
Research Question
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain
Semester: 1
Word Count:
1
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Contents
Executive Summary...................................................................................................................3
Introduction................................................................................................................................4
Methodology Employed.............................................................................................................5
SWOT Analysis....................................................................................................................11
Sales Forecasting..................................................................................................................13
Investment Appraisal............................................................................................................15
Payback period..................................................................................................................15
Conclusion................................................................................................................................21
Recommendations....................................................................................................................21
Limitations:...........................................................................................................................22
Bibliography.............................................................................................................................23
Appendices...............................................................................................................................24
Appendix 1...........................................................................................................................24
2
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Appendix 2...........................................................................................................................26
Appendix 3...........................................................................................................................27
Appendix 4...........................................................................................................................29
Appendix 5...........................................................................................................................32
Appendix 6...........................................................................................................................33
Appendix 7...........................................................................................................................34
Appendix 8...........................................................................................................................34
Appendix 9...........................................................................................................................35
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Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Executive Summary
Vardhman Jewellers engages in the promotion, production and sales of gold, silver and
diamond jewellery. Despite the high-customer footfall, the business is seeing low-market
share and sales turnover compared to its major competitors. The major reason identified is
lack of accommodation for which the owner wants to invest in the physical internal
expansion of the business. Hence, the RQ: “Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the
with the major primary sources which included internal and external stakeholders such as
from surveys and interviews were utilized for SWOT analysis and the force field analysis.
Secondary data was gathered from the profit and loss account and balance sheet to forecast
future sales and market share which helped appraisal of the investment and market share
analysis. However, the time period for which I could conduct the surveys was limited due the
coronavirus pandemic.
After brainstorming and pondering upon the factors for and against decision, it was
concluded that Vardhman Jewellers should invest in the physical internal expansion of the
4
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Introduction
Vardhman Jewellers is a business run by a sole trader meaning the owner is liable for his
business’s debts. Vardhman Jewellers engages in the promotion, production and sales of
gold, silver and diamond jewellery.1 The business currently focuses on improving their
magazines, hoardings. The business also runs multiple exhibitions in the district from time to
time to advertise and showcase their jewellery artifacts to increase brand awareness. 2 The
jewellery store can currently accommodate 30 customers comfortably at a time, which due to
rapid growth over the past few years, cannot cater to the increasing number of customers
leading to low-sales turnover for Vardhman Jewellers. The owner is considering investing in
the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market share. 3 Hence, this IA
aims to answer the RQ: “Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal
1
Refer to appendix 1, Q1
2
Refer to appendix 1, Q2
3
Refer to appendix 1, Q3
5
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Methodology Employed
Primary Research
objective
on problem, customer
behaviour
accounts
The nationwide lockdown due to Coronavirus pandemic hindered the research for I had to
Secondary Research
General data from credible websites and newspapers has been used.
6
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Tools used:
Tools like, SWOT, Sale forecasting, Investment appraisal, market share and force field
Reflective Thinking
I have used multiple sources of data making the room for error and bias smaller. The data
collected is valid as the surveys were filled by customers who came to the store (people who
didn’t buy anything were also a part of the surveys) and the interviews and questionnaires
were conducted by me with individual employees. However, the employees could be biased
7
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Sales (2021)
4
Refer to appendix 2, appendix 3- Q2
5
Refer to appendix 3- Q3
8
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Annual Turnover
20 18.8
14.62
15
11.52
10.2
10
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021*
Net profit
6
Refer to appendix 4
7
Refer to appendix 1- Q5
9
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
4.29
43.697
27.7
6.72 4.2
38%
39%
6%
TV Newspaper Exhibition
Friends/relatives Other
8
Refer to appendix 5
9
Refer to appendix 5
10
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Current accommodation: 30
Capital to be employed:14
o 100% in year 1
11
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
SWOT Analysis
Swot analysis19 is a decision-making tool and is used to assess VJ’s internal strengths and
weaknesses and external opportunities and threats that affect VJ’s market share. 20 SWOT
analysis was used to look deeper into the organisation and find and compare undermined
VJ being the first jewellery store to officially get certified by the Bureau of Indian Standards21
in the region and to collab with nationwide popular jewellery brand BLUESTONE, added to
VJ’s brand awareness and image. Fig.7 implies the strong and effective word-of-mouth and
ATL promotion. The identified strengths such as incredible customer service,22 effective
promotional activities and competitive pricing23 corroborate VJ having such high customer
footfall. The store being at a pinch-point 24 contributes to the high customer footfall at the
same time causing problem of parking25 for the customers. The nearby land/shops are
expensive increasing the cost of investment. 26 The increasing interest rates27 as well could
increase the cost of investment. Every 6 months, VJ conducts a survey to refresh its product
mix in accordance with the market behaviour and requirements. 28 VJ constantly updates its
stock to meet the fast-changing customer requirements. Targeting wedding customers should
19
For the complete and segregated SWOT table, refer to appendix 9
20
BUSINESS MANAGEMENT 4TH EDITION, by PAUL HOANG, IBID Press, 2018, pp. 42–44.
21
Refer to appendix 1, Q-11
22
Refer to appendix 5
23
Refer to appendix 5
24
Refer to appendix 1, Q-7
25
Refer to appendix 7, 5
26
Refer to appendix 1, Q-7
27
Kumar, Naveen. “Interest Rates on FDs, Loans May Go up Due to CRR Hike in Coming Months.” The Economic
Times, Economic Times, 5 Feb. 2021, economictimes.indiatimes.com/wealth/save/interest-rates-on-fds-loans-may-
go-up-due-to-crr-hike-in-coming-months/articleshow/80701602.cms?from=mdr.
28
Refer to appendix 1, Q-11
12
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
be a priority as they make huge purchases. With effective marketing mix, customers are being
drawn, but without sufficient accommodation and parking problem, customers leave
unsatisfied without purchasing signifying the lower turnover. VJ is losing on its potential
customers who after seeing the jam-packed store, do not enter and turn to competition. The
business could choose to relocate to a new location, but the investment risk is too high. With
the increasing gold prices,29 the COGS expenditure of the business has increased but has
brought with it increased customer footfall.30 Parking lot to some extent can solve the
Hence, the major cause of low-turnover is lack of sufficient accommodation and can be
solved largely by internal physical expansion. However, the increasing interest rates could
cause problem for VJ even with the strong financial standing. The pace of change questions
29
“Gold Price Rose 28% in 2020; Check out Targets for next Year.” Business Today, 31 Dec. 2020,
www.businesstoday.in/markets/commodities/gold-price-rose-28-in-2020-check-out-targets-for-next-year/story/
426633.html.
30
Refer to appendix 1, Q-13
13
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Sales Forecasting
40 37.5
30
30
20 13.3 15
8.73 11
10 2.92
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021* 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
250 238.42
200 190.73
152.59
150 122.07
97.66
100 78.13
62.5
50
50 18.8 25
10.2 11.52 14.62
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
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Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
The growth rate after 2018 has pretty much been flat due to the accommodation problem.
However, after the expansion in 2021, sales and profit are forecasted to rapidly grow. The
owner used Market Research technique to come up with the predicted growth rate of 100% in
year 1 and 25% for the subsequent years. Market research refers to identifying purchasing
patterns of customers to forecast sales and profits. 34 However, market behaviour is subject to
change over time which raises uncertainties. Using the forecasted figures, investment
34
BUSINESS MANAGEMENT 4TH EDITION, by PAUL HOANG, IBID Press, 2018, pp. 395.
15
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Investment Appraisal
Payback period
PBP is the amount of time required to earn profit equal to the initial cost of investment.35
(₹lacs)
35
BUSINESS MANAGEMENT 4TH EDITION, by PAUL HOANG, IBID Press, 2018, pp. 327.
36
Refer to appendix 2 and 3
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Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
The business breaks-even in 2028. The shortfall at the end of year 2027 is ₹37.05 lacs.
190.73
=₹ 15.89 Lacs
12
Number of months=
Shortfall
Monthly cash inflow ( break−even year )
37.05
=2.3 months
15.89
Or,
≈ 3 months
Therefore, the payback period for the expansion is expected to be around 7 years and 3
months. The investment entails with it high risk as the PBP is way too much. However, the
timeline of returns cannot dictate its benefits. The investment brings an increase in net profit
by over 1000% in 9 years. Hence, VJ should invest in physical internal expansion of the
business according to the PBP. However, Jewellery business is highly seasonal37 which
37
NewIndianXpress. “Thanks to Festival Season, Jewellers Witness Increase in Sales.” The New Indian Express, The
New Indian Express, 25 Oct. 2019, www.newindianexpress.com/business/2019/oct/25/thanks-to-festival-season-
jewellers-witness-increase-in-sales-2052982.html.
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Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
To calculate the average profit of investment as a percentage of amount invested, ARR has
been used.38
ARR =
Or,
≈ ₹6.9 crores
ARR=
6.9
9
∗100=12.78 %
6
Therefore, each year VJ is predicted receive 12.78% on an average of the amount invested
during the life span of the expansion. Subtracting the 3% interest rate from savings, the real
ARR becomes 9.78%, which is worth taking the risk considering the existing store is
reaching its growth potential. However, the low-ARR could cause the business to deplete its
working capital for daily expenses. The lifespan of the investment has been deduced by the
38
BUSINESS MANAGEMENT 4TH EDITION, by PAUL HOANG, IBID Press, 2018, pp. 331.
18
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
4.29
4.29
14.29
34.29
42.86
39
Refer to appendix 8
19
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Using Fig.12, the market concentration of regional jewellery market can be found. Market
concentration is used to measure the degree of competition within jewellery market in city of
42.86 +14.29+34.29
¿ 91.44 %
The 3-firm concentration ratio41 of 91.44% means the top three firms of the market have a
combined market share of 91.44%. This signifies that the market is highly competitive as VJ
all other businesses only account for 8.56% of jewellery sales. Even though the market is
highly competitive, VJ has a such high customer footfall. Still, has a low-market share of
4.29% in 2021. The extrapolation shows how the market share is expected to grow bit-by-bit
in the coming years. Extrapolation is a forecasting technique that uses past data to extend the
trend to predict future outcomes.42 The gradual increase signifies almost equal growth in
market leaders and the store reaching its potential majorly due to the lack of accommodation.
The current growth rate is unapt and can improve with the investment as we can see rapid
40
BUSINESS MANAGEMENT 4TH EDITION, by PAUL HOANG, IBID Press, 2018, pp. 359.
41
BUSINESS MANAGEMENT 4TH EDITION, by PAUL HOANG, IBID Press, 2018, pp. 359.
42
BUSINESS MANAGEMENT 4TH EDITION, by PAUL HOANG, IBID Press, 2018, pp. 395.
20
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Force field analysis has been used to determine and weigh the driving and restraining forces
Fig.14 suggests that the driving forces outweigh the restraining forces suggesting VJ should
invest in physical expansion of the business. VJ can use this data to improve on the driving
forces and shrink the restraining forces to make the decision even more certain. The data
collected has been brainstormed and pondered with the employees and managers of the
business to ensure the weighting is to a good extent accurate. However, not all relevant forces
43
BUSINESS MANAGEMENT 4TH EDITION, by PAUL HOANG, IBID Press, 2018, pp. 109-110.
21
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Conclusion
All the tools used provide indications that substantially support Vardhman Jeweller’s
decision to invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share. SWOT analysis implies the importance of this expansion for Vardhman Jewellers at
the same time providing insights into other factors hindering VJ’s growth. The investment
appraisal done using the forecasted figures suggests low and delayed returns; however, the up
thrust of profits brought by the investment cannot be ignored. Also, as suggested by the
market share analysis, Vardhman Jewellers is expected to see flat growth rates in the coming
years if they decide not to invest. At last, consolidating and segregating all the factors into
driving and restraining forces and weighing them, we can conclude that Vardhman Jewellers
should invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market share.
Recommendations
1. As per the above conclusion the business should invest in the physical internal
expansion. However, for this to be successful, the business also needs to focus on
countering the key weaknesses and threats identified in the SWOT analysis such as
parking space problem and fierce competition to ensure continued increase in sales.
2. Even though financing the investment is a cinch for the business, the problem with
such high investment and low-ARR is that the business could deprive itself of its
recommendable for VJ to look into short-term sources of finance such as trade credit.
22
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
The firm should see the possible & suitable sources of finance to invest in this expansion and
Limitations:
Due to Covid-19, major limitations were observed while conducting surveys and interviews.
It was challenging to get appropriate feedback from respondents and some delays were
observed for my primary data collection due to nationwide lockdown. Covid-19 has also
impacted the spending pattern of people due to fear and may have impacted their decision to
buy jewellery.
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Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Bibliography
“Gold Price Rose 28% in 2020; Check out Targets for next Year.” Business Today, 31 Dec.
2020, www.businesstoday.in/markets/commodities/gold-price-rose-28-in-2020-check-
out-targets-for-next-year/story/426633.html.
“Online Jewellery Shopping Store India: Buy Gold and Diamond Jewellery with Latest
www.bloombergquint.com/business/titans-jewellery-business-enters-growth-phase-on-
weddings-festive-demand.
fashion/.
Contributors, Et. “Why Gold Is Not a Good Investment.” The Economic Times, Economic
good-investment/articleshow/59296448.cms?from=mdr.
Kumar, Naveen. “Interest Rates on FDs, Loans May Go up Due to CRR Hike in Coming
economictimes.indiatimes.com/wealth/save/interest-rates-on-fds-loans-may-go-up-due-to-crr-
hike-in-coming-months/articleshow/80701602.cms?from=mdr.
24
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Appendices
Appendix 1
1. What are the business’ aims? Who owns the business? What problem are you facing?
The business currently operates in a small city and focuses on making, promoting and
selling gold, silver and diamond jewellery. I am the sole proprietor of the business.
We have the second highest customer footfall in the town; however, our sales revenue
3. What reason have you identified for the low-sales and how do you plan to counter it?
Everyday the number of customer foot traffic is too high due to which the store is
jam-packed at almost all times due to which the accommodation of the store is no
longer sufficient. To tackle the problem, I want to expand the size of the store to
5. How much do you think will your turnover and net profit will be in year ended 31
march 2021?
so I expect the sales turnover to be around 25 crores and the net profit to be around 25
lacs.
25
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
7. How much will the expansion cost and how do you plan to finance it?
a loan of 3 crores, selling other land owned by me worth 2 crores and the remaining 1
crore shall come from the business itself. Most of the investment goes into stock and
land. Land is expensive in this area because of the market being a pinch point and
shoplifting being low. However, finance is no issue as the banks are happy to lend us
a loan much higher than required. Also, personal assets can be sold in case of
emergency.
8. How many customers can the store currently accommodate and how many will it be
The store can currently comfortably accommodate 30 customers at a time. After the
9. What is the area of the store right now and by how much do you plan to expand it?
The current area of the shop is 600 sq. ft with 2 operational floors. After the
expansion the area will be 3000 sq. ft with 1 operation floor. I plan to diversify on the
10. How long do you think before you will need to re-expand?
Based on past experience, the expansion should last around 9 years as no expansion
We are the first jewellers in the city to be certified by the Bureau of Indian Standards
and BLUESTONE.
26
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Past expansions have not done so well as the expansion soon unable to properly
Even though the gold rates have been increasing over the years constantly, it has also
14. How much do you expect the business to grow after expansion?
I have predicted a growth rate of 100% in the first year and 25% in the subsequent
years.
fashion to constantly provide our customers with the latest jewellery artifacts.
Appendix 2
27
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Appendix 3
PCJ owner: I respect Vardhman Jeweller’s owner because he has been very helpful
and cooperating in tough times such as at the time of lockdown and excise tax strikes.
28
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
2. What was your average sales turnover at the year ended on 31 March, 2020?
PCJ: 15 crores
JMS: 50 crores
3. What was your average daily customer footfall in the year 2020?
PCJ: on an average 5 customers walked in the store daily in the year 2020.
29
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Appendix 4
Figure 13 Official financial records at the end of the fiscal year 2017
30
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Figure 14 Official financial records at the end of the fiscal year 2018
31
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Figure 15 Official financial records at the end of the fiscal year 2019
32
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Appendix 5
33
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Appendix 6
1. Why is the net profit so low with the sales revenue being so high?
A major portion of the sales revenue goes into the salary of the employees and the
promotion which is why the net profit is much lower than expected.
2. What is the interest rate at which VJ will have to pay on a loan of 3 crores?
7.2%
3%
34
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Appendix 7
Appendix 8
35
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
Appendix 9
Incredible post and Lack of Buy a parking lot prices rose 28% in
Effective Competition
activities customers
44
Refer to appendix 1, Q-11
45
Refer to appendix 5
46
Refer to appendix 5
47
Refer to appendix 5
48
Refer to appendix 1, Q-7
49
Refer to appendix 1, Q-7
36
Should Vardhman Jewellers invest in the physical internal expansion of the business to gain higher market
share?
BLUESTONE.50 gold.58
Increasing interest
rates.59
50
“Online Jewellery Shopping Store India: Buy Gold and Diamond Jewellery with Latest Designs 2021.” BlueStone,
www.bluestone.com/.
, Refer to appendix 1, Q-11
57
“The Rise of Fast Fashion.” Edology, www.edology.com/blog/fashion-media/rise-of-fast-fashion/.
56
Refer to appendix 1- Q4, appendix 3- Q-2
55
“Gold Price Rose 28% in 2020; Check out Targets for next Year.” Business Today, 31 Dec. 2020,
www.businesstoday.in/markets/commodities/gold-price-rose-28-in-2020-check-out-targets-for-next-year/story/
426633.html.
54
Dsouza@sharleendsouzaBookmark, Sharleen, et al. “Titan's Jewellery Business Enters Growth Phase On
Weddings, Festive Demand.” BloombergQuint, 6 Jan. 2021, www.bloombergquint.com/business/titans-jewellery-
business-enters-growth-phase-on-weddings-festive-demand.
53
Refer to appendix 1, Q-7
52
Refer to appendix 7, 5
51
Refer to appendix 1, Q-12
58
Contributors, Et. “Why Gold Is Not a Good Investment.” The Economic Times, Economic Times, 26 June 2017,
economictimes.indiatimes.com/wealth/invest/why-gold-is-not-a-good-investment/articleshow/59296448.cms?
from=mdr.
59
Kumar, Naveen. “Interest Rates on FDs, Loans May Go up Due to CRR Hike in Coming Months.” The Economic
Times, Economic Times, 5 Feb. 2021, economictimes.indiatimes.com/wealth/save/interest-rates-on-fds-loans-may-
go-up-due-to-crr-hike-in-coming-months/articleshow/80701602.cms?from=mdr.
37