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Abstract: Land use planning plays an important role in achieving sustainable urban development. One of the problems planners frequently
encounter is the absence of an integrated quantitative approach to assessing land-use suitability and supporting land use planning (site level),
particularly in urban renewal. This paper develops a geographic information system (GIS)-based framework to solve this problem. The
framework consists of three main modules: land information database, planning/policy control mechanism, and model of land-use suitability
analysis (LUSA). In the process of developing this framework, three tasks are completed. First, key factors affecting land-use decision making
in urban renewal planning are identified and 20 of them are quantitatively examined from five perspectives of land attributes: inherent/
physical, locational, social, economic, and environmental. Second, two submodels, namely, the criterion-value generation model and suit-
ability assessment model are designed and built for LUSA in land redevelopment/urban renewal. Third, five types of land use, i.e., residential,
commercial, industrial, government/institutional/community (G/IC), and open space in Hong Kong are defined and considered for land-use
suitability grading. Several new planning approaches such as scenario planning, public participation, and collaborative interaction are
included in this framework to improve planning processes by enhancing their adoption and application in urban (land use) planning. This
proposed framework is found to be a useful tool for both practitioners and researchers involved in sustainable land use planning in urban
renewal. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)UP.1943-5444.0000216. © 2014 American Society of Civil Engineers.
Author keywords: GIS-based planning support; Urban renewal; Quantitative land-use suitability analysis; Multicriterion decision analysis
(MCDA).
distance to major living facilities and factors affecting land redevel- studies on LUSA for urban land such as residential, industrial, and
opment, are not provided in such software. A framework/approach open spaces are always limited to large scale (district level or
as the prototype of PSS specially used in supporting such a deci- above), leaving small scale (street/site level) a relatively neglected
sion-making process is highly needed since the complexity of plan- topic.
ning concerns and processes is much higher in urban renewal This paper uses multicriterion decision analysis (MCDA)/MCE
projects (Hui et al. 2011; Zheng et al. 2014). The differences be- to assess land-use suitability in developed urban areas. In spatial
tween the framework proposed in this paper and other similar PSS planning processes, identifying a suitable location for a specific
in terms of methods/techniques of PSS development (components), future land use is a multiobjective decision task, and it is difficult
applicability, and functionality are shown in Table 1. for planners to simultaneously consider multiple factors affecting
To bridge these gaps, this framework is systematically built us- land-use selection (Wang and Zou 2010). According to Malczewski
ing multicriterion evaluation (MCE), analytic hierarchy process (2006), the AHP method, as one of approaches of MCDA, is
(AHP), and GIS to enable planners to easily understand the ration- capable of achieving LUSA. The AHP method has the advantages
ale and to encourage them to follow this framework as a guideline of effectively collecting expert views (Cengiz and Akbulak 2009)
for sustainable land use planning in urban renewal. The approach and its operation process is relatively simple for nonprofessionals
and workflow of establishing geoinformation data sets are de- such as land developers and surrounding residents to understand
scribed, and a more open environment for user customization is so as to fully participate in the public consultation activities.
provided through changing the criteria of land-use suitability by Considering the needs of participatory planning support, the
users. More importantly, the communication among planning MCDA approach (MCE þ AHP þ GIS) is appropriate to serve for
practitioners (demand side), the developers of a planning support LUSA in this study and it cannot be replaced by other approaches
approach (supply side) and other stakeholders of planning is due to its easy-to-understand feature.
achieved by conducting interviews and focus group meetings at
the beginning and also during the whole process of this research.
In the following sections, land-use suitability analysis (LUSA) Formation of the Framework
as a way to decision support is introduced, and the conceptual
framework is proposed and described. Then, a completed case
The Process of Framework Development
study is presented to show the validation of this proposed frame-
work. Finally, the advantages and significance of this framework This framework was conceptualized and developed based on the
and its contributions to both academic and practice are discussed, reality of land use planning in urban renewal. The whole process
and research limitations and future research directions are also of the framework development (both conceptual and practical) is
suggested. shown in Fig. 1.
At the formation stage, a comprehensive literature review on
PSS for land use planning and LUSA in urban areas, particularly
A Way to Supporting Land-Use Decisions—LUSA small-scale urban renewal was done to identify the research gaps to
be filled by this study. At the same time, planning-related and land
Land-use suitability analysis is a tool used to identify the most suit- policy documents issued in Hong Kong were analyzed to make the
able locations for future land use for specific purposes (Collins et al. framework conform to the statutory planning practice. According
2001). It aims to comprehensively determine the most suitable pat- to the findings of in-depth interviews with five town planners who
tern for future land use to meet the needs of land users (Malczewski work in the Planning Department of Hong Kong (3) and univer-
2004). Therefore, LUSA is often used to support land-use decisions sities (2), and two committee members of the Town Planning Board
Formation of
Data
Comprehensive Policy Documents Practical Processing
Literature Review Analysis Framework
Result Framework
Formation of Validation Finalization
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Conceptual Framework
Refining
&
Adjusting
of Hong Kong (seven interviewees in all), the problem they have data are stored. The purpose of establishing this database was to
encountered for many years is that decisions of land use are made provide the processed data for spatial analysis and geospatial visu-
relying heavily on the subjective and qualitative judgment of plan- alization, and it can be regarded as physical foundation of the
ners and without a necessary objective and quantitative method to framework.
support the decision making. In addition, the public often cannot The planning/policy control mechanism is actually a set of
be effectively engaged in public consultation due to the lack of assessment criteria and their weightings for LUSA. The mechanism
planning knowledge to fully understand planners’ considerations. is built based on a literature review, document analysis, and expert
The aim of the framework is to solve these problems in planning opinions from planning practitioners (e.g., weightings are deter-
practice. Based on these preparations, a conceptual framework for mined by a focus group meeting consisting of 6–10 planning
supporting land use planning in urban renewal was formed. practitioners).
At the validation stage, an appropriate case study in which a The LUSA model of is the core of the framework. Land-use
highly developed district of Hong Kong was chosen as the study suitability maps for five types of land use, namely, residential, com-
area was conducted to adjust and validate this framework. Two mercial, industrial, G/IC, and open space can be generated from this
kinds of data were included in the framework: geospatial data such model. The model serves as a planning-support tool for land use
as topographic map, roads network, and facilities locations, and planning in urban renewal by quantitatively analyzing land-use
socioeconomic statistical data such as population, employment, suitability to assist planners in making land-use decisions for land
and housing price. These raw data were collected and processed rezoning/redevelopment and explicitly conveying the planning
to produce adapted data. As various and large amounts of data principles from the perspective of planners to the public (nonpro-
are required in this framework, data collection and data processing fessional stakeholders in planning) for improving the effectiveness
took up much of the time involved in the development of the prac- of public consultation. Land-use suitability maps can also be used
tical framework. When all the required data and the analysis as a medium with GIS visualization for enhancing the communi-
approach were created, the practical framework was completed. cation between planners and other stakeholders involved in the
A focus group meeting comprised of town planners (government process of land use planning.
sector), land developers (private sector), surrounding residents
(public sector), and the author who served as the facilitator (sup-
plier of planning support), was conducted to validate the framework Validation of the Framework—A Case Study
by discussing and evaluating the results of LUSA within the study
area. Ultimately, the procedure of the framework development was
Study Area
finalized.
According to data availability and level of land development, the
Yau Tsim Mong district was selected as the study area (Fig. 3),
Structure of Conceptual Framework
which is located in one of the metropolitan areas of Hong Kong
The framework consists of three modules, which have different (i.e., Kowloon) and covers about 7 km2 . Land is the most scarce
functions and are linked to each other in terms of the rationale and precious physical resource in Hong Kong (Shen et al. 2009).
of the development of the framework and its input-output data flow In this area, land has been highly developed and infrastructures
(Fig. 2). For instance, map layers in the land information database such as roads, railways, and main service facilities have also been
are made in accordance with assessment criteria in the planning/ built. This area was suitable for the case study of the framework
policy control mechanism, and the output data of the two modules because this study focused on a small-scale (site-level) urban
are the input data of the third module—the LUSA model. developed area. Actually, the characteristics and merits of this
The land information database is a geospatial database in framework can be reflected from conducting the process of the case
which digital map layers containing both spatial and nonspatial study.
Input
Land-use suitability
Techniques: maps for five land uses:
Residential, Environment:
Multi-criterion Commercial, Industrial,
evaluation G/IC and Open space ‘ModelBuilder’
(MCE), ArcGIS in ArcGIS
processing (Planning support in Desktop
modeling land-use decision-
making)
Functions:
Quantitative analysis for land-
use suitability, land-use
decision support for site
redevelopment
Development of Practical Framework be purchased from government offices or relevant institutions. Raw
After choosing a real case, a practical framework was developed to data are the foundation of planning support, and they provide suf-
support the planning process in practice. Corresponding to the ficient information for urban land use planning and management
structure of the conceptual framework, the practical framework also with geospatial visualization.
included three modules as follows. The raw data were processed to provide adapted data (i.e., map
layers required) for land suitability analysis. For example, the in-
Land Information Database formation of slope and elevation was derived from topographic
The land information database was established through two main maps; the distances between land sites and main public facilities
phases: data collection and data processing. To set up a comprehen- were calculated based on the location map of public facilities;
sive geodatabase for urban planning and land management, and the distribution map of housing prices was created by
volumes of raw spatial data such as digital topographic maps, aerial allocating the records of housing prices onto the corresponding
photos, and land utilization map and also many raw nonspatial data locations and then using the interpolation techniques. It was a time-
such as statistical tables recording the information of population, consuming process that required the ability to use GIS software.
employment, and housing prices were involved in this database. Corresponding to the criteria of land suitability in the planning/
The details of raw data are listed in Table 2. Some of the raw data policy control mechanism, the map layers required were created
could be obtained from governmental websites, e.g., Outline for further use in the LUSA model. In addition, the database
Zoning Plan (OZP), traffic noise distribution, population distribu- was established using ArcGIS, so that all raw data were digitized
tion, air pollution index (API), and some such as topographic maps, or converted into the storage format of file geodatabase. Data with
aerial photos, and transaction records of housing prices needed to different attributes were categorized into different datasets such as
accessibility, housing prices and land use, and data with the same Table 3. Key Factors Affecting Land-Use Decision-Making in the
attribute were divided into two types of datasets: feature dataset Planning Process
(vector format) and raster catalog (raster format). Factor type Number Factor
and in the second half, four more participants (2 local developers and
2 residents living in the studied district) joined the focus group for
a set of key factors/criteria affecting land-use decision making further discussion on weighting scoring for the criteria. Weighting
was proposed (Tables 3 and 4). In view of the data availability, matrices were scored based on expert opinions (group of planners)
20 criteria were examined in the case study (Table 5). and the weightings of each criterion were calculated by applying
The 20 criteria of urban land suitability were classified into five the AHP method in the software Expert Choice. The AHP method
categories: inherent/physical attributes, locational attributes, social is a widely used and effective means of quantitatively analyzing
attributes, economic attributes, and environmental attributes. Inher- the importance of key factors (Hill et al. 2005; Demir and Yilmaz
ent attributes mean the existing or natural attributes of pieces of 2012). It was created to deal with complex decisions, and then was
land, such as current land use, slope, and elevation. They restrict refined and developed to apply to group decision making. The tradi-
the usage of land sites from the perspective of the land’s physical tional nine-scale AHP method was used to compare the relative im-
conditions. Locational attributes represent the spatial accessibility portance between each of two criteria in the process of weighting
and compatibility, and currently this kind of land attribute is re- determination. The relative importance is ranked by numbers 1–9,
garded as the most important concern in terms of site selection and the explanation is provided in Table 8. Only one round of expert
in urban areas. There were 10 locational criteria, half of all the cri- scoring was applied in the AHP process for the scores were deter-
teria. In this study, average distances between land sites and selected mined by the group rather than each individual after group discussion.
service facilities, which were calculated based on the road network, In the AHP process, weightings were determined on the basis of two
were used for measuring the accessibility and compatibility. In ad- affiliated levels (i.e., the AHP hierarchy): five attributes/categories
dition, social attributes, economic attributes, and environmental and 20 criteria; and all the criteria were covered by the five categories.
attributes were identified to reflect the sustainability of land use. In other words, weightings were assigned to the five attributes first,
Six criteria were chosen for the three attributes, and each category and then subassigned to every criterion in each attribute category.
had two criteria. The six criteria covered the main consideration Taking residential use as an example, the hierarchical structure
of land-use sustainability in accordance with the three elements of the criteria is shown in Fig. 4, indicating that five attributes
of sustainable development, and they also suggested a more effec- (Level 1) include 14 criteria identified (Level 2). The first step
tive and convenient way to quantify the land-use sustainability. of assigning weights to criteria was to rank importance of five
After the criteria of land-use suitability were finalized, weightings attributes using a matrix for scoring (Table 9), and then the second
for each criterion were determined by a focus group meeting in step was to rank importance of selected criteria categorized in each
attribute using a similar matrix. Through inputting the matrices
with importance scores to the software Expert Choice, weights
Table 5. Criteria of Land-Use Suitability in the Case Study of each criterion selected in residential land use were automatically
Criterion type Number Criterion Data format
1. Inherent 1 Current land use Vector Table 6. Definitions of Five Types of Land Use in the Study (Adapted
attributes 2 Slope Raster from Wang et al. 2013)
3 Elevation Raster
Type of land use Definitions Examples
4 Vegetation Raster
2. Locational 5 Distance to CBD/sub-CBDs Raster Residential Residential land sites • Public housing
attributes 6 Distance to airport Raster • Private housing
(accessibility) 7 Distance to railway/MTR Raster • Staff/student
stations dormitories
8 Distance to bus terminus Raster Commercial Commercial land sites • Offices
9 Distance to ocean/streams Raster • Shopping malls
10 Distance to historic sites Raster • Markets
(Preservation) • Hotels
11 Distance to nearest hospital Raster • Carparks
12 Distance to nearest Raster Industrial Industrial land sites • Indoor/outdoor
primary/high school factories
13 Distance to open space Raster • Container
14 Distance to trunk roads Raster terminals
3. Social attributes 15 Population density Raster • Warehouses
16 Employment density Raster G/IC Abbreviation for government, • Utilities for
4. Economic 17 Unit price of land sale Raster institution, and community public purposes
attributes 18 Property average price/rent Raster Open space Land sites for open space and • Parks
5. Environmental 19 Air quality Raster recreational facilities for the • Playgrounds
attributes 20 Traffic noise Raster pleasure of surrounding residents • Gardens
calculated (Fig. 5). In addition, locational factors increasingly be- namely, the criterion-value generation model and the suitability as-
come the most important consideration for urban land use planning, sessment model. The criterion-value generation model was a geo-
particularly urban renewal in developed areas (Turk and Korthals processing model created by using the ModelBuilder application in
Altes 2011). That is why half of the criteria were categorized into ArcGIS. The ModelBuilder is a tool that is able to create, edit, and
locational attribute. manage geoprocessing models for spatial data analysis. A geopro-
cessing model is a set of spatial processes that converts input data
Model of Land-Use Suitability Analysis into an output map using a specific function in ArcToolbox such as
Land-use suitability analyses were conducted for the five types of buffer or overlay, and large models can be built by linking several
land use in this model. This model included two submodels, processes together [Environmental Systems Research Institute
(ESRI) (2000)]. With the help of ModelBuilder, the values of each
criterion of land-use suitability could be acquired for suitability
Table 8. The Instruction of Nine-Scale AHP assessment from the output maps, which were automatically gen-
Value Meaning erated based on spatial analyses of input data. For instance, slope
information of land sites needed to be obtained from the digital
1 Criterion i and Criterion j with equal importance
3 Criterion i is moderately more important than Criterion j
elevation model (DEM), which was made from elevation informa-
5 Criterion i is strongly more important than Criterion j tion by running some spatial analysis processes; and information
7 Criterion i is very strongly more important than Criterion j of average distances needed to be measured by making buffer rings
9 Criterion i is extremely more important than Criterion j of target facility locations such as mass transit railway (MTR)
2, 4, 6, 8 Medians between importance values shown above stations, hospitals, and schools first. Since 20 final map layers were
Note: The reciprocal of above values if Criterion i is less important than
involved in this study, the geoprocessing model was huge and
Criterion j. complex.
The other was the suitability assessment model. This submodel
provided a holistic approach for land-use suitability assessment,
Level 1 – Criterion attribute Level 2 – Criterion (No.) including the classification of land-use suitability, rating standards
of criterion values, and scoring formula of multicriterion analysis.
First, according to the design of this model, land-use suitability was
Physical/inherent 1 classified into four levels: highly suitable, suitable, unsuitable, and
Fig. 5. Criteria and their weightings of land suitability for residential use
very unsuitable, and integers ranging from 3 to 0 were assigned to into four levels based on the final scores: highly suitable (2.25–3.0),
the four levels correspondingly (refer to Table 10). Second, the val- suitable (1.5–2.25), unsuitable (0.75–1.5) and very unsuitable
ues of each criterion, for example, a slope mean of one piece of land (0–0.75).
extracted from the map layer of slope needed to be rated to any one
of the four levels for further scoring. The rating standards were a
crucial part of this submodel and they were determined on the basis Outcomes of the Framework
of the literature review, Hong Kong Planning Standards and Guide- Finally, land-use suitability maps for five types of land use were
lines, and also the opinions of experienced planners. The set of rat- generated. The public opinions (the other four participants) from
ing standards of one criterion—traffic noise is shown as a sample in the second half of the focus group meeting were added to the pro-
Table 10. Third, the scoring formula was a linear mathematical cess of map generation. For each land use type, every land site
model. It is depicted in the form of formula as follows: located in the study area was classified into four suitability grades
X
n as discussed above. In this study, 86 land sites with six different
Si ¼ Ri ðjÞ × WðjÞ types of land use were investigated. The current utilization of these
j¼1 land sites (Fig. 6) was shown in accordance to the map of land
utilization in Hong Kong provided by the Lands Dept. of the
where Si means the land-use suitability of land site i; i is the num- government. The total area of residential land (orange diagonal)
ber of land sites; j ¼ 1; 2; : : : ; n is the number of criteria; Ri ðjÞ was 2,205,956 m2 (40.8%); commercial land (yellow diagonal)
refers to the rating of criterion j of the land site i; and WðjÞ is was 580,797 m2 (10.7%); industrial land (in red) was 52,394 m2
the weighting of criterion j. By using the spatial overlay function (1%); G/IC use (green circle) was 1,070,752 m2 (19.8%); open
of GIS to overlay the selected criterion layers with their respective space (blue curve) was 506,323 m2 (9.4%); and vacant land or
weightings, the final scores of each land site were calculated con- others (black point) was 987,073 m2 (18.3%).
veniently. The suitability grade of each land site was also divided Land-use suitability maps created from this study can support the
particular process of land use planning, and they can be used as a
reference for land-use decision making or planners. The land suit-
Table 10. Suitability Classification and Rating Standards of Criterion—
ability maps of the five land use types are presented in Figs. 7–11.
Traffic Noise
The suitability levels of the sites were classified in accordance with
Rating standards different land uses as follows: three levels (i.e., highly suitable, suit-
Highly Very able, and unsuitable) for residential use, two levels (i.e., highly
suitable Suitable Unsuitable unsuitable suitable and suitable) for commercial use, two levels (i.e., suitable
Criterion Land use 3 2 1 0 and unsuitable) for industrial use, one level (i.e., suitable) for G/IC
use, and two levels (i.e., highly suitable and suitable) for open space.
Traffic Residential <55 55–70 70–75 >75 Taking the residential suitability map as an example, the 86 land
noise (dB)
Commercial <65 65–75 75–80 >80
sites were assessed and classified into three grades: highly suitable
Industrial <70 70–75 75–80 >80 (green circle), suitable (blue curve), and unsuitable (orange diago-
G/IC <60 60–70 70–80 >80 nal). As displayed in the study area, most land sites (94% of
Open space <60 60–75 75–80 >80 total area) were suitable for residential use since this area was
basically flat and had been developed for human habitation for a
Fig. 6. Current land use of 86 land sites (adapted from © Google, Image © 2012 DigitalGlobe)
long time. Considering multiple factors that are affecting the planning process from experienced planning practitioners, who
suitability of residential land, the majority of land sites were graded were six registered town planners in Hong Kong (not the six par-
to be suitable for residential use, whereas several land sites were ticipants in the last focus group meeting) and all had more than
rated to be unsuitable because of inconvenient public transportation, 10 years of working experience in planning practice. In the experi-
excessive traffic noise, and other locational or environmental prob- ment, the participants (like PSS users) were asked to discuss about
lems. In addition, the specific unsuitable land sites can be easily the most suitable land use for one piece of land in the study area
found and located on the map. with the planning support provided by the practical framework, and
finish a feedback questionnaire (refer to Q1–Q9 in the following
Note) as a focus group. According to the filled questionnaire,
User Evaluation—An Experiment the feedback of the focus group showed that the experts gave
An experiment was conducted to validate the effectiveness of positive comments to the framework (Fig. 12) and agreed that
the framework based on feedback of experiencing the supported the planning process supported by the framework can facilitate
Fig. 7. Land suitability map of residential use (adapted from © Google, Image © 2012 DigitalGlobe)
Fig. 8. Land suitability map of commercial use (adapted from © Google, Image © 2012 DigitalGlobe)
Fig. 9. Land suitability map of industrial use (adapted from © Google, Image © 2012 DigitalGlobe)
Fig. 10. Land suitability map of G/IC use (adapted from © Google, Image © 2012 DigitalGlobe)
Fig. 11. Land suitability map of open space (adapted from © Google, Image © 2012 DigitalGlobe)
Conclusions
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