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“Strategic Value Analysis” for

Competitive Advantage
Greg Young
North Carolina State University

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Strategic value analysis (SVA) integrates decision analysis with well-known
principles of business strategy to develop spreadsheet-based models that select
among alternative paths to competitive advantage. These models rank strategic
alternatives by evaluating in one spreadsheet the competitive intelligence about
rivals, customers, and suppliers, together with the value of the business position on
key resource factors for success. Strategic value analysis applies scenario analysis and
sensitivity analysis to the spreadsheet to test the validity of the ranking. Two core
SVA processes, learning and evaluation, call for the CI analyst to have a central
role in decision-making for competitive advantage, and to build collaborative
working relationships with management and other sources of expert information.
This article describes SVA and illustrates it with examples from actual business
experiences. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

The primary role of the competitive intelligence (CI) municate competitive intelligence (Berger, 1996), and
professional is to contribute to achieving competitive SVA is particularly responsive to managements’ descrip-
advantage for their organization by enhancing the effec- tion of what they want from a competitive intelligence
tiveness of business decision-making (Rosenkrans, 1998; function (see Table 1).
Youngblood, 1998). Strategic value analysis (SVA) sup- Strategic value analysis integrates techniques from deci-
ports this critical function with collaborative processes sion analysis with industry intelligence and strategic re-
that build spreadsheet-based models to rank alternative source concepts that focus on the sources of competitive
action-oriented decisions from most to least valuable for advantage (Readers interested in learning more about current
creating and sustaining competitive advantage. Spread- thinking on competitive advantage are referred to Bisp, Sorensen,
sheet-based tools generally are effective means to com- & Grunert, 1998; Grant, 1998; Prince, 1998; Ruhli & Sachs,
Competitive Intelligence Review, Vol. 10(2) 52– 64 (1999)
© 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. CCC 1058-0247/99/02052-13

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Strategic Value Analysis

Table 1. Strategic Value Analysis Responds to What Managers Want From CI

What Managers Want From CIa Strategic Value Analysis

Managers want actionable intelli- SVA prioritizes alternatives based on contribution to competitive
gence from their CI operations. advantage, and recommends to management the top-ranked
choice for approval and further action.
CI analysts should provide manage- SVA identifies key factors for successful performance and their
ment with answers to key ques- relative contribution to business objectives.
tions.
Management needs to understand SVA uses a spreadsheet format, with graphic representation of
how the CI analyst came to recommendations and the impacts of underlying assumptions.
their conclusions. This facilitates communication and provides management with
an auditable and easy to understand tool.
CI analysts and their management SVA depends on collaborative interaction with management to
customers should have an inter- document and support their objectives, preferences, trade-offs,
active relationship. and strategic insights.
The IT infrastructure supporting SVA uses inexpensive and commonly available personal comput-
CI should be low cost, adapt- ers and spreadsheet software. SVA itself can be implemented
able, and easy to use. without extensive training or infrastructure expense.

a
Prescott, J., Herring, J., & Panfely, P. (1998). Leveraging information for action: A look into the competitive and business intelligence consortium
benchmarking study. Competitive Intelligence Review, 9(1), 4 –12.

1997.). The focus of this article is to first outline the ele- consultant to evaluate strategic alternatives that include
ments of a strategic business decision, then show how these “go-it-alone,” partnerships with other domestic or inter-
elements are incorporated in strategic value analysis. Also, national brewers, and purchase or sale of assets (Wall
how to build SVA-decision models and charts using Street Journal, 1998). Similarly, in the pharmaceutical
spreadsheets is explained, as well as how to use scenario industry managers with expiring drug patents may need
and sensitivity analysis to test the impact of changes in to decide on the merits of investing in research to find
managerial preferences or in the competitive context. Im- the next “billion-dollar wonder drug” versus owning a
portantly, the learning and evaluation processes discussed in generic-drug product line; or competing in the prescrip-
this article emphasize that successfully implementing SVA tion drug segments versus the over-the-counter seg-
depends on the CI analyst’s network of collaborative ments. They may consider whether to maintain internal
working relationships with key managerial, market, and development capabilities or instead, acquire new drugs
technical experts. from external development sources; whether to locate
manufacturing facilities within the U.S. or in a foreign
The Elements of a Strategic Business Decision host country.
Business managers have performance objectives intended For any business decision, it is only natural for man-
to build toward, and sustain, a position of competitive agement to prefer the alternative that returns the highest
advantage (Grant, 1998; Langabeer, 1998). Unfortu- overall performance results on their objectives. Often,
nately, the path to superior performance and advantage these objectives are stated in terms of profitability, such
is not always clear-cut, and managers must choose as return on investment, and the proof of achieving
among alternative investments or actions that they can competitive advantage ultimately is observed in the fi-
undertake to accomplish their objectives. For example, a nancial condition of the firm. Unfortunately, it is diffi-
major U.S. brewery, losing market share and struggling cult to know ahead of time what future financial flows
in a flat beer market, recently brought in an outside will come from strategic actions in the present. For ex-

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ample, future cash flows depend not just on the current managers in a local Internet services company use SVA
decision, but also on future decisions and actions yet to in their product marketing “go, no go” decisions. They
be taken. Further, present financial value depends on compare customer requirements and demand to their
the time period selected for analysis as well as assump- own business strengths on tangible and intangible re-
tions about interest rates over the period. sources at the lower levels (financial and physical assets,
The strategic approach to forecasting competitive technology, reputation, and culture), they assess their
advantage does not rely on financial analysis of future human resource strength at the higher level, and they
cash flows. Instead, SVA assumes that the profitability of analyze industry threats at the very highest level of ag-
cash flows is driven by, and will be the outcome of, gregation.
three strategic considerations:
MANAGERS AT A LOCAL INTERNET SERVICE
1. The resources a business can mobilize to satisfy cus-
COMPANY USE SVA IN THEIR PRODUCT
tomers and defend against the threats of the market-
MARKETING “GO, NO GO” DECISION, COMPARING
place.
CUSTOMER REQUIREMENTS AND DEMAND TO
2. The intensity of competitive threats.
THEIR OWN BUSINESS STRENGTHS ON TANGIBLE
3. The power of customers and suppliers to drive hard
AND INTANGIBLE RESOURCES.
bargains that push business costs up or revenues down
(Bisp, Sorensen, & Grunert, 1998; Grant, 1998;
To clarify this point, Figure 1 arranges the resource
Langabeer, 1998; Beldona Chaganti, Habib, & Ink-
and industry threat considerations from Tables 1 and 2
pen, 1997).
into a strategic value hierarchy that shows the relation-
To choose one strategic alternative over others, there- ship among the aggregate and component parts. Refer-
fore, the CI analyst may evaluate these three broad con- ring to Figure 1, the analyst may choose to evaluate any
siderations rather than attempt to forecast future cash combination that does not involve omission of an entire
flows directly. category or double counting within a category (strategic
The analyst using this strategic approach to forecast considerations I., II.A., II.B. are one such set; consider-
competitive advantage is likely to discover that each of ations I.A., I.B., I.C., II.A.1., II.A.2., II.A.3., II.B. are
these three broad considerations is a function of more another). The appropriate level of analysis is likely to be
detailed component factors (Grant, 1998, pp. 58, 113). a function of available information sources, time, bud-
Table 2 decomposes the business resource position on get, and managerial preference. Strategic value analysis
key success factors into tangible, intangible, and human in the Internet services company discussed above con-
resources. Tangible resources can be decomposed further sists of levels (I.A.1., I.A.2., I.B.1., I.B.2., I.B.3., I.C.,
by considering financial and physical assets; intangible II.). Of course, CI analysts may elect to drill down fur-
resources can be disaggregated to examine the business ther and decompose lower-level considerations to even
technology, reputation and brand image, and organiza- finer layers of detail.
tional culture. A disaggregated evaluation of the human No matter which levels are selected for analysis, all
resource contribution to competitive advantage could influential considerations may not be equal in their im-
examine employee attitudes, motivation, technical skills, portance for building competitive advantage (Langabeer,
and knowledge. 1998). Accordingly, managers and expert sources need
Table 3 shows that the competitive threat to building to guide the analyst to the appropriate level of detail and
and sustaining a competitive advantage can be evaluated weighting for the strategic factors that will be considered
in more detail by examining separately the intensity of in the strategic value analysis.
competition from existing rivals, the threat of market In sum, the elements of a business decision are the
entry from businesses not currently competitors, and the alternative strategies to achieve performance objectives
threat from substitute products (for example, customers and the evaluation considerations that any strategy must
may be willing to substitute wine for whiskey, or fruit satisfy if competitive advantage is to be achieved. Strate-
juice for wine). gic value analysis incorporates all of these elements in a
The CI analyst may evaluate these considerations at spreadsheet-based decision model, ranks the alternatives’
any level of detail, and the level need not be the same likelihood to achieve competitive advantage by deter-
across all the evaluation considerations. For example, mining their “score” on the evaluation considerations,

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Table 2. Measuring Business Resources—Strength on Key Success Factorsa

Evaluation Considerations
Higher Level Lower Level Illustrative Measurement Scale and Criteriab

I.A. Tangible resources 1. Financial assets 0 (Low): Our profitability is very likely to
be lower than our rivals’ because of the
inferiority of our tangible resourcesc rel-
ative to theirs.
2. Physical assets 1 (Medium): Our profitability is very likely
to be about the same as the average of
firms selling in our market because of
the rough equivalence of our tangible
resourcesc relative to theirs.
2 (High*): Our profitability is very likely
to be higher than our rivals’ because of
the superiority of our tangible resourcesc
relative to theirs.
I.B. Intangible re- 1. Technology Between 0% and 100% of total market de-
sources mand will be captured by our firm be-
cause of our strength on intangible re-
sourcesd relative to our rivals.
2. Reputation and brand Our objective is to have closer to the
image HIGH end of this range.
3. Organizational culture
I.C. Human resources 1. Attitudes 0 (Low): Our profitability is very likely to
be lower than our rivals’ because of the
inferiority of our human resourcese rela-
tive to theirs.
2. Motivation 1 (Medium): Our profitability is very likely
to be about the same as the average of
firms selling in our market because of
the rough equivalence of our human
resourcese relative to theirs.
3. Technical skills 2 (High*): Our profitability is very likely
to be higher than our rivals’ because of
the superiority of our human resourcese
relative to theirs.
4. Knowledge

a
Table adapted from (Grant, 1998, p. 113). Numbering of Evaluation Considerations taken from Figure 1.
b
Criteria scores need to be supported by competitive intelligence and scenario analysis. High* score is preferred for building competitive advantage. As
shown by the measurement of intangible resources, analysts may replace the three-point (High/Medium/Low) scale with more precise information (e.g.,
profitability, revenue or market share data) if available and desirable.
c
Tangible resources are the financial and physical assets of the business, evaluated separately (lower level) or all together (higher level).
d
Intangible resources are the technology, reputation, and brand image, organizational culture of the business, evaluated separately (lower level) or all together
(higher level).
e
Human resources are the people’s attitudes, motivation, technical skills, and knowledge, evaluated separately (lower level) or all together (higher level).

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Table 3. Measuring Industry Threats

Evaluation Consideration
Higher Level Lower Level Illustrative Measurement Scale and Criteriaa

II.A. Competitive threat 1. Threat from existing rivals 0 (Low*): It is extremely unlikely that the
competitive threatb can reduce the average
profitability of the selling firms in our mar-
ket.
2. Threat of new entry 1 (Medium): There is a reasonable likelihood
that the competitive threatb will cause a
moderate reduction in the average profit-
ability of the selling firms in our market.
3. Threat from substitute 2 (High): There is a strong likelihood that the
products competitive threatb will cause a significant
reduction in the average profitability of the
selling firms in our market.
II.B. Vertical bargaining 1. Bargaining power of cus- On average for all competitors in our indus-
threat tomers over terms of con- try, vertical bargaining threatsc will cause
tract and transactions between 0 and 100% of every sales dollar
to be absorbed by the costs of satisfying
contracts and transactions.
2. Bargaining power of sup- Our objective is to have closer to the LOW
pliers over terms of con- end of this range.
tract and transactions

a
Criteria scores need to be supported by either competitive intelligence or scenario analysis. Low* scores are preferred for building competitive advantage.
As shown by the measurement of vertical bargaining power, analysts may replace the 3-point (High/Medium/Low) scale with more precise information (e.g.,
prices and costs) if available and desirable. Numbering of evaluation considerations taken from Figure 1.
b
Competitive threats are those from existing rivals, from any business that may enter the market to become a competitor, and from substitute products,
evaluated separately (lower level) or all together (higher level).
c
Vertical bargaining threats to profitability arise from the power of customers and suppliers over the terms of the contract and transactions, evaluated
separately (lower level) or both together (higher level).

and tests the stability of the recommended ranking to SVA Learning Process
changes in assumptions about the competitive and stra- As shown in Figure 2, the analyst starts the learning
tegic context. process by collecting information from both inside and
outside their organization to get a preliminary under-
SVA Learning and Evaluation Processes standing of the evaluation considerations and how to
Strategic value analysis is a process that estimates, for any measure them. Competitive intelligence from customers,
decision faced by management, which of the available suppliers, market or technical experts, government, and
alternatives will create the most business value or com- trade associations are good sources for this contextual
petitive advantage. Strategic value analysis consists of information. Prior discussion in CIR has shown CI ana-
two processes: a learning process, shown in Figure 2, and lysts how to use data mining (Mena, 1996), competitive
an evaluation process, shown in Figure 3. The effort ap- market structure analysis (Paul & Chakravarti, 1996),
plied in these processes depends on the magnitude of and experiential modeling (Kesting & Woods, 1996) to
the strategic problem. The Internet services company capture significant considerations for management’s eval-
discussed above completes routine analyses within 2 uation in strategic decision making. The analyst’s pre-
days. Strategic decisions involving substantial invest- liminary set of evaluation considerations and measures
ments have been completed in 2 weeks. are brought to the next activity of the SVA learning

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Strategic Value Analysis

Figure 1.
A generic strategic value.

process, the interviews with key management decision- consider the impact of a variety of scenarios on the stra-
makers. tegic considerations (Grant, 1998: p. 255; Kirkwood,
As shown in Figure 2, the analyst uses the prelimi- 1997; Tessun, 1997). Scenario analysis is not intended to
nary competitive intelligence as the foundation for predict the future but rather to encourage people to
working with key management decision-makers. These creatively and systematically think “outside the box”
interviews are intended to identify managerial objectives about the implications of alternative futures. Table 4 lists
for business performance, their insights concerning stra- generic scenarios that the analyst can introduce for this
tegic evaluation considerations, the relative importance purpose.
of these considerations, and the preferred approach to As shown in Figure 2, the CI analyst introduces sce-
measure the business’ position, or status, on each con- nario analysis in the SVA learning process to stimulate
sideration. thinking when collecting information and working with
management decision-makers. For example, what if the
SCENARIO ANALYSIS IS NOT INTENDED TO economy is better (or worse) than we expect? What if
PREDICT THE FUTURE BUT RATHER TO we lose (or find) a large customer or supplier? What if a
ENCOURAGE PEOPLE TO CREATIVELY AND major competitor enters (or leaves) the market? What if
SYSTEMATICALLY THINK “OUTSIDE THE BOX” current competitors respond more quickly (or more
ABOUT THE IMPLICATIONS OF ALTERNATIVE slowly) than they have in the past?
FUTURES. Scenario analysis helps broaden the perspective of
management and the key decision-makers when work-
To avoid a form of “strategic myopia” from limiting ing with the CI analyst. The creativity introduced into
the effectiveness of these interviews, it is important to the SVA learning process may suggest new strategic ob-

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Figure 2.
SVA learning process and output.

jectives, changes in key success factors, or affect rela- tion process. In this first task, the analyst works with
tionships among evaluation considerations. management and other key decision-makers to generate
The analyst organizes the information from the manage- interesting alternatives for evaluation. In the second task,
ment interviews into a strategic value hierarchy. This hier- the analyst works with key decision-makers and experts
archy documents the evaluation considerations and the to score each strategic alternative on each evaluation
logical relationships among them, managerial objectives for consideration. The analyst uses these scores to build and
these considerations, and specifies the measurement ap- calculate a spreadsheet-based decision model, the third
proach for these items. Examples of hierarchy documenta- task of the evaluation process (the next section of this
tion are found in Tables 2 and 3 and Figure 1. article discusses how to build this spreadsheet).
If management decision-makers do not accept the As shown in Figure 3, scenario analysis introduced
hierarchy as documented, then the analyst must go back into the SVA evaluation process may suggest new sets of
to the start of the process to relearn the strategic context interesting strategic alternatives to consider or scenario-
and the preferences of management. The level of effort specific ideas useful to score an alternative’s contribution
required for relearning depends on the magnitude of the to competitive advantage. In this way, scenario analysis
objections that caused the disapproval. sensitizes decision-makers to the contingent nature of
competitive advantage and the need to monitor the en-
SVA Evaluation Process vironment for changes that impact the value of strategic
When management decision-makers approve the strate- alternatives.
gic value hierarchy, the analyst proceeds to the SVA In the third evaluation task, the analyst applies the
evaluation process (shown in Fig. 3). There are three strategic value hierarchy using spreadsheet software (e.g.,
tasks in the evaluation process. The analyst uses the stra- Excel, Lotus, or Quattro Pro) to evaluate the alterna-
tegic value hierarchy documented during the earlier tives suggested by management and other key decision-
learning process as input into the first task of the evalua- makers. The output of this task is a value-based ranking,

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Figure 3.
SVA evaluation process and output.

or scoring, of the alternative paths to achieve competi- headers and the row labels are the industry context and
tive advantage. In the case of a “go, no go” decision, key success factor considerations on which each alterna-
for example, the “go” alternative receives a total score tive will be evaluated. An example of such a spread-
that can be compared to the overall score for the “no sheet, given in Figure 4, shows three alternatives being
go” alternative. The Internet services company that uses evaluated for a pharmaceutical company:
the SVA method in this way finds that, because the
1. Continue the status quo.
spreadsheet quantifies information and provides charting
2. Start a generic drug line.
capability to summarize complex information, decision-
3. Search for a new patentable “biotech wonder drug.”
making benefits from clear communication and audit-
ability of the underlying assumptions and competitive Each alternative is evaluated on the considerations listed in
intelligence. the rows, and each evaluation consideration has a weight
Finally, the analyst tests the robustness of the ranking entered along side it to indicate the best estimate of its rela-
by conducting a sensitivity analysis (discussed in more tive contribution to achieving competitive advantage.
detail below). In this last task, the analyst produces The spreadsheet in Figure 4 shows a score entered at
spreadsheet-generated charts that show each alternative’s the intersection of each evaluation consideration and
total score and any difference in ranking under a range strategic alternative. This score documents the opinion
of assumptions. To complete the evaluation stage of of the decision-making group concerning the extent to
SVA, management selects the alternative that, on bal- which that alternative, independent of all other alterna-
ance, best achieves the objectives as shown by its high tives, satisfies the performance objectives for that consid-
score relative to the other alternatives. eration.
To avoid erroneous results that may arise from the
Building an SVA Spreadsheet units in which raw scores are reported, the analyst
In the evaluation phase, the analyst constructs a spread- should convert all scores on evaluation considerations to
sheet in which strategic alternatives are listed as column a common “value equivalent” or normalized scale

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Table 4. Generic Scenariosa

Life Cycles The industry opportunities may be characterized as representative


of start-up, growth, maturity, or decline stages. These should be
considered separately during scenario planning. How would the
contents of the Strategic Value Hierarchy differ in different stages
of the life-cycle?
Pace of Change How would the contents of the Strategic Value Hierarchy differ
in a slow versus rapid change context?
Radicalness of Change Change may be incremental or radical in magnitude. What parts
of the analysis would change in each?
Key Players Who are the major customers, suppliers, and competitors? What
are they trying to accomplish, what do they value? How do
changes in the key players’ identity, goals, and ability to domi-
nate the industry affect the contents of the Strategic Value Hier-
archy?
Resource Creation Is the availability of resources likely to be stable, more scarce, or
more abundant? What parts of the analysis would change in each
of these contexts?

a
Kirkwood, C.W. (1997). Strategic decision making: Multiobjective decision analysis with spreadsheets. Belmont, CA: Duxbury Press.

(Kirkwood, 1997 discusses several simple approaches). ble. Thus, rank ordering of the alternatives may change
Without this conversion, for example, the same amount for no other reason than the reporting unit changes.
of forecasted revenue would give a higher score if re- Further, whether thousands or millions of dollars are
ported in thousands of dollars instead of in millions. reported, dollar amounts are often very large and may
Similarly, the totals and rank order for each alternative overwhelm the scoring for other considerations mea-
in Figure 4 would be different if the pharmaceutical sured in percentages. Converting scores to normalized
company had calculated Intangible Resources and Verti- value equivalents resolves these problems.
cal Bargaining Threat with percentage scores between Figure 4 shows that for each alternative a sum is cal-
0 –1 instead of the 0 –100 range that appears in the ta- culated from the value-equivalent scores multiplied by

Figure 4.
A strategic value analysis spreadsheet example.

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Figure 5.
Value of strategic alternatives in a pharmaceutical firm.

the weight of its associated evaluation consideration. more attractive than the more risky and expensive hunt for
These sums are used to rank the alternatives— higher a biotech winner.
scores preferable to lower scores, the alternative with
the highest total score is most likely to be a superior IF THE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE
path to competitive advantage. PREFERRED ALTERNATIVE WILL CHANGE IF THE
WEIGHT OR SCORE OF AN EVALUATION
Testing the Sensitivity of Recommendations CONSIDERATION CHANGES, THEN MANAGEMENT
The decision results calculated on the spreadsheet can be SHOULD MONITOR THAT FACTOR FOR ANY SIGN
presented graphically as shown in Figure 5. OF ITS REACHING THE THRESHOLD OF CHANGE.
A natural question is “What happens to the ranking if man-
agement or other key players change the weights or scores?” That Although the numbers that result from sensitivity
is, would we obtain different results if the assumptions built analysis can be complex and voluminous, spreadsheet-
into the spreadsheet change? The stability of the ranking generated charts based on these sensitivity calculations
can be tested with a sensitivity analysis that recalculates the easily communicate the big picture: Does the best alter-
ranking either for a range of consideration weights or for a native become second place, or worse, somewhere on
range of alternative scores on considerations. Figure 6 the sensitivity analysis chart? If the sensitivity analysis
shows an example of a sensitivity analysis. shows that the preferred alternative does change if the
The figure shows that in the case of the pharmaceuti- weight or score on an evaluation consideration changes,
cal company whose patents are about to expire, the bio- then management and other key decision-makers should
tech alternative is superior if the competitive threat is monitor that factor for any sign that it will reach the
weighted above approximately 10%, but below this threshold of change.
weight the status-quo product line is superior. One im-
plication of this finding is that, for pharmaceutical firms Discussion: Where Do All the Numbers Come From?
using these decision parameters, reducing the significance The role of the CI professional is to support the effec-
of rivalry in managers’ perception of their industry (such a tiveness of business decision-making (Rosenkrans, 1998),
change in thinking may result from consolidations and and SVA is a tool that enhances the decision-makers’
mergers often reported in the press) changes their preferred capacity to identify strategic alternatives likely to return
strategic approach. In this case, the status quo becomes superior profitability and build competitive advantage.

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Figure 6.
Sensitivity analysis weight of “Competitive Threat.”

As with any strategic decision-making method, SVA The CI analyst, however, can take proactive steps to
has advantages and disadvantages. This article has guard against these limitations.
pointed out advantages that include a focus on strategic First, SVA costs can be estimated and explicitly bal-
action and value creation, auditability, clarity of com- anced against the magnitude of the strategic decision.
munication, low infrastructure costs, and contribution to This estimate, perhaps in the form of a “Proposal for
a collaborative organizational culture sensitized to the Analysis,” can be a useful mechanism for analysts to plan
sources of competitive advantage. In contrast to these their effort appropriately as well as to increase decision-
advantages, there are four primary limitations of the makers’ awareness of SVA availability. As mentioned
SVA approach. These concern: earlier, SVA analyses may range from several hours (for
familiar situations with standard and reusable value hier-
1. Levels of effort that may exceed the value-added archies) to several weeks for critical strategic decisions
from the analyses. involving major investments.
2. Potential oversimplification of complex interre- Strategic value analysis is not an appropriate decision
lated factors that influence competitive advan- tool if neither management nor industry experts can
tage. identify the independent influences that resource
3. Analyses that may trail behind rapid change in strengths and industry threats have on organizational
fast-paced industries. performance. If the strategic situation is complex and
4. Errors that may be introduced by subjective ambiguous, SVA may force oversimplifications that lead
judgements, poor analysis, or poor information to erroneous results. Even in such situations, however,
(a “garbage in, garbage out” phenomenon). decision-makers still can find SVA useful to focus their

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organization’s attention on likely strategic factors and For the decision analyst, constructing an SVA spread-
facilitate discussions that may lead to additional intelli- sheet on a personal computer is relatively easy compared to
gence and understanding. the difficulty of getting management and other key organi-
In fast-paced business environments there is some risk zational players to reach a consensus on just what are the
that SVA spreadsheets may become obsolete before a strategic alternatives, what are the evaluation considerations,
strategic decision can be made or implemented. To in- what is their relative contribution to successful perfor-
corporate “real-time” information, some companies imple- mance, and how does each alternative measure up on each
ment a “war room” environment for ongoing analyses. consideration? Just how intense is competition? How pow-
Analysts provide the war room with a list of critical SVA erful are our customers and suppliers? How strong are our
information to be monitored, and analysts on a “war resources compared to our competitors? To answer these
room” distribution list are provided with requested real- questions, the analyst must build a network of ongoing
time intelligence. In these volatile competitive situations, working relationships with key managerial, market, and
analysts start their workday in the war room to access in- technical experts (Solomon, 1996). These relationships are
formation that might have changed since their last update. the critical resource on which the analyst draws to develop
and continuously refine knowledge about the strategic
SOME COMPANIES IMPLEMENT A “WAR ROOM” context, to frame strategic intelligence as choices among
FOR ON-GOING ANALYSIS. IN THESE VOLATILE alternative paths to competitive advantage, and to clearly
SITUATIONS, ANALYSTS START THEIR WORKDAY communicate this knowledge to management decision-
IN THE WAR ROOM TO ACCESS INFORMATION makers.
THAT MIGHT HAVE CHANGED SINCE THEIR LAST From this perspective, the success of the SVA process
UPDATE. depends on an organizational culture of learning, strategic
awareness, and relationships based on open communica-
A frequently mentioned limitation of a computer- tion. As suggested by Rosenkrans (1998), one measure of
based decision method such as SVA is that it may this success is likely to be the frequency with which man-
lend computer-generated credibility to otherwise un- agement demands SVA be used in decision-making for
reliable, subjective, and possibly biased judgements competitive advantage.
(Galbraith & Merrill, 1996). This problem is more
common if people are poorly trained, clear guidelines Acknowledgment
are not provided, precise information is not available, The author gratefully acknowledges Julian Bossong, Greg
decision participants come from different parts of the Bray, Julie Briddon, and Cameron McCaskill for their com-
organization and have different priorities and inter- ments on an earlier draft of this article.
ests, or if there are differences in organizational rank
and power between analysts and SVA users. Although References
reasonable people can disagree about strategic consid- Beldona, S., Chaganti, R., Habib, M.M., & Inkpen, A.C.
erations and implications for competitive advantage, (1997). Industry variety, life-cycle stages and performance: A
misinformed decision analyses can be very harmful. dynamic perspective. Competitive Intelligence Review, 8(4),
One resolution for this problem is to include proce- 65–74.
dural guidelines in every part of the SVA process. For
Berger, A. (1996). How to support your sales force with
example, documentation of information, sources, as-
competitive intelligence. Competitive Intelligence Review,
sumptions, change requests, analytical techniques, and
7(4), 81– 83.
points of contact creates a clarifying paper trail that
opens for discussion the supporting basis for the anal- Bisp, S., Sorensen, E., & Grunert, K.G. (1998). Using the key
ysis. In addition, participants in the SVA process can success factor concept in competitor intelligence and bench-
receive training in strategic management and ethical marking. Competitive Intelligence Review, 9(3), 55– 67.
guidelines for inter- and intraorganizational knowl-
Galbraith, C.S., & Merrill, G.B. (1996). The politics of fore-
edge sharing. Finally, senior management should exercise
casting: Managing the truth. California Management Review,
oversight so that all SVA participants understand their re-
38(2), 29 – 43.
sponsibility and accountability for the integrity of the
process. Grant, R.M. (1998). Contemporary strategy analysis. Malden,

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MA: Blackwell Publishers Inc. 9(2), 34 –39.

Kesting, W.R., & Woods, K.K. (1996). Experiential model- Ruhli, E., & Sachs, S. (1997). Challenges for strategic intelli-
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55–59. Tessun, F. (1997). Scenario analysis and early warning systems
at daimler-benz aerospace. Competitive Intelligence Review,
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mental test. Competitive Intelligence Review, 7(4), 46 –56. About the Author
Prescott, J., Herring, J., & Panfely, P. (1998). Leveraging in- Dr. Greg Young is a member of SCIP and an assistant pro-
formation for action: A look into the competitive and busi- fessor on the faculty of the College of Management at NCSU
ness intelligence consortium benchmarking study. Competi- in Raleigh. Dr. Young’s teaching, research, and consulting
tive Intelligence Review, 9(1), 4 –12. focuses on the influence of industry structure and organizational
resources on the competitive advantage of the firm. His work
Prince, C.C. (1998). Strategy and tactics: A primer for CI has been published in several prestigious journals including
professionals. Competitive Intelligence Review, 9(3), 15–24.
Strategic Management Journal, Organization Science,
Rosenkrans, W.A. (1998). Past, present, and future direction and the Journal of Management Inquiry. He can be con-
for technical intelligence. Competitive Intelligence Review, tacted at Greg_Young@NCSU.edu.

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