Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Tagum College
Table of Contents
Page
ii
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Essential Knowledge............................................................................ 24
Self-Help............................................................................................... 30
Let‟s Check........................................................................................... 30
Let‟s Analyze......................................................................................... 31
In a Nutshell.......................................................................................... 40
Q&A List................................................................................................ 41
Keywords Index.................................................................................... 41
iii
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Metalanguage....................................................................................... 73
Essential Knowledge............................................................................ 73
Self-Help............................................................................................... 79
Let‟s Check........................................................................................... 79
Let‟s Analyze......................................................................................... 79
In a Nutshell.......................................................................................... 82
Q&A List................................................................................................ 82
Keywords Index.................................................................................... 82
iv
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
v
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
1
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Penalties for Late Assignments/ The score for an assessment item submitted after
Assessments the designated time on the due date, without an
approved extension of time, will be reduced by 5%
of the possible maximum score for that
assessment item for each day or part day that the
assessment item is late.
2
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Preferred Referencing Style Use the general practice of APA 6th edition.
3
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Students with Special Needs Students with special needs shall communicate
with the course coordinator about the nature of his
or her special needs. Depending on the nature of
the need, the course coordinator with the approval
of the program coordinator may provide alternative
assessment tasks or extension of deadline of
submission of assessment tasks. However, the
alternative assessment tasks should still be in the
service of achieving the desired course learning
outcomes.
Email: chenny.yntig@gmail.com
Number: 0932 7717 219
Mersun Faith A. Delco, RPm
Psychometrician
Email: mersunfaithdelco@gmail.com
Number: 0927 6086 037
Course Outcome (CO):As a student of this course you are expected discuss the
importance of an efficient financial system; be able to identify
types of financial markets; discuss how financial market works;
discuss how stock market operates and in what way that one can
earn from it; apply strategies in trading stocks virtually; apply
commonly used techniques in assessing investment under
uncertainty; be able to quantify risk and analyze risk-return
relationshipand apply Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
concepts in evaluating investments.
Let us begin!
5
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Big Picture A
Week 1–3: Unit Learning Outcomes (ULO): At the end of the unit, you are
expected to:
a. Discuss the importance of anefficient financial system; and
b. Differentiatethe types of financial markets.
Metalanguage
For you to demonstrate ULOa, you will need operational understanding of the
terms enumerated below.
1. Financial System. This refers to a network that facilitates a more efficient
transfer of funds between savers and borrowers.
2. Financial Markets. This refers to the system that allows buy and sell of
financial instruments by the market participants
6. Direct Transfer. This refers to the condition wherein a corporation sells its
stock or debt directly to investors without going through a financial institution.
7. Indirect Transfer. This refers to the transfer of funds between suppliers and
users of funds through a financial institution.
8. Price Risk. This refers to the risk that an asset‟s sale price will be lower than
its purchase price.
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Essential Knowledge
To perform the aforesaid big picture (unit learning outcomes) for the first 3 weeks of
the course, you need to fully understand the following essential knowledge lay
down in the succeeding pages. Please note that you are not limited to exclusively
refer to these resources. Thus, you are expected to utilize other books, research
articles and other resources that are available in the university‟s library e.g. ebrary,
search.proquest.com etc., and even online tutorial websites.
1. Financial System. In finance, the term financial system is used to describe a
system that allows money to flow between savers and borrowers. It plays the key
role in the economy as this system provides channels to transfer funds from
individual and groups who have saved money to individuals and group who want
to borrow moneyin a safe and efficient manner.
2.Functions of Financial System. The functions of financial system include the
following:
Works as an effective channel for optimum allocation of financial resources
in an economy.
Helps in establishing a link between the savers and the investors.
Allows „asset-liability transformation‟. Banks create claims (liabilities) against
themselves when they accept deposits from customers but also create
assets when they provide loans to clients.
Facilitate transfers of economic resources (i.e., funds) from one party to
another.
Ensures the efficient functioning of the payment mechanism in an economy.
Helps in risk transformation by diversification, as in case of mutual funds.
Enhances liquidity of financial claims.
Helps price discovery of financial assets resulting from the interaction of
buyers and sellers. For example, the prices of securities are determined by
demand and supply forces in the capital market.
Helps reducing the cost of transactions.
3.1 Risk Sharing: Financial system provides risk sharing by allowing savers to
hold many assets which means it enables individuals to transfer risk. The
ability of the financial system to provide risk sharing makes savers more
willing to buy borrowers‟ IOUs. This willingness, in turn, increases
borrowers‟ ability to raise funds in the financial system.
3.2 Liquidity: The financial system provides savers and borrowers liquidity.
This means that an asset can be easily converted to money to purchase
other assets or exchanges for goods and services. Generally, savers would
want to hold highly liquid assets to be more flexible that allows them to
respond quickly to new opportunities or unexpected events.
3.3 Information: The financial system has two informational roles, namely:
collection and communication of information. The first informational role
the financial system play is to gather information about the prospective
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
borrowers and what they will do with the funds. This is important because of
the presence ofasymmetric information which refers to information that
borrowers may haveabout their opportunities or activities that they do not
disclose to lenders or creditors and can take advantage of it.The second
informational role that financial system plays is communication of
information. Financial system thru the financial market can incorporate
information into the prices of stocks, bonds, and other financial assets. For
as long as market participants are informed, the information would be
reflected into asset returns and prices.
4.The three main components of financial system and their roles are:
4.2 Financial institutions. This component represents the key players in the
financial markets as they perform intermediary functions; therefore,
determine the flow of funds. This includes banks and non-bank institutions
like insurance companies, investment houses, financing companies,
securities dealers and brokers, pawnshops, non-stock savings and loan
associations, cooperatives, and the like.
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
5.How Financial System Works. The activities in a financial system are depicted
in the diagram below:
Financial Regulators
Financial Institutions
[
Savers
(those who have excess Borrowers
cash to invest: (those who need cash:
SURPLUS units) Lending DEFICIT units)
Savings
Lending
Financial Markets
[
(Direct)
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Figure 1 shows that in a society there will always be individuals, firms, government
or any other institutions that either looking for good investments to place their
excess money (the savers or surplus units) or looking for funds to finance their
cash needs (the borrowers or deficit units). Primarily, the financial system
facilitates the matching of the supply and demand for funds through the financial
institutions and the financial markets. The savers have two options: save their
money through financial institutions or invest it directly to financial markets. Either
way, the objective of the saver is to increase the value of his money with the
earnings that he can get from his investment. Earnings from such investment vary
relative to the risk associated with the investment.Meanwhile, the collected deposits
by the financial institutions will then be made available by extending loans to those
qualified borrowers who will opt to get their financing needs from a financial
institution or financial institutions may also make the funds available to the
borrowers through the financial markets. Some borrowers may opt to get their
financing needs from the financial markets through issuance of financial
instruments like shares, bonds, money market, etc.
Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson.
Laman, R. B., Laman, V. B., &Evia, Emiliana P. (2015). Financial system, market &
management: the basics. Manila: GIC Enterprises & Co., Inc.
Let’s Check
Activity 1:
TRUE or FALSE. Write TRUE if the statement is correct and FALSE if it incorrect.
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Activity 2:
2.1 ___________________________________________________________
2.2 ___________________________________________________________
2.3 ___________________________________________________________
2.4 ___________________________________________________________
2.5 ___________________________________________________________
3.1 ___________________________________________________________
3.2 ___________________________________________________________
3.3 ___________________________________________________________
Let’s Analyze
Activity 1. In this activity, you are required to elaborate your answer to the given
questions below.
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_____________________________________________________________
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
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_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
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In a Nutshell
Grasping the basic concepts of how financial system works is important towards
better investment decision making in the future. Based on the concepts presented,
write the three remarkable lessons you learned.
1. _____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
2. _____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
3. _____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
Q&A List
Do you have any question for clarification? Write them here.
Questions/Issues Answers
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Keyword Index
Asymmetric information
Financial system
Financial markets
Financial institutions
Financial regulators
13
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Metalanguage
For you to demonstrate ULOb, you will need operational understanding of the
terms enumerated below.
1. Primary Marketsaremarkets in which users of funds raise funds through
issuance of new financial instruments whether stocks or bonds.
3. Money markets are markets that trade debt securities or instruments with
maturities of one year or less.
4. Capital Markets are markets that trade equity (stocks) and debt (bonds)
instruments with maturities of more than one year.
5. Foreign Exchange Markets are markets in which cash flows from the sale of
products or assets dominated in a foreign currency are transacted.
Essential Knowledge
To perform the aforesaid big picture (unit learning outcomes) for the first 3 weeks of
the course, you need to fully understand the following essential knowledge laid
down in the succeeding pages. Please note that you are not limited to exclusively
refer to these resources. Thus, you are expected to utilize other books, research
articles and other resources that are available in the university‟s library e.g. ebrary,
search.proquest.com etc., and even online tutorial websites.
1. Financial Markets and their economic functions. Financial market is where
the buying and selling of financial instruments takes place. Different institutions can
raise funds in the capital market, transfer risk in the derivative market and do
international trade in the currency market. The three major economic functions of
financial markets are:
1.1 Price Discovery function. This means that the transactions between the
buyers and sellers in the financial markets determine the price of a
particular financial instrument.
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Public investors. These include private individuals and institutional investors who
will ultimately own the securities and are motivated by the returns from
holding the securities.
Brokers. Those who act as agents for public investors and are motivated by the
remuneration (commission fees)received for the services they provide.
Hence, they trade for others and not on their own account.
Dealers.Those who do trade on their own account but whose primary motive is to
profit from trading rather than from holding securities. They obtain their
return from the differences between the prices at which they buy and sell
the security over short intervals of time.
Credit rating agencies (CRAs). Those who assesses the credit risk of borrowers
1. Money markets
2. Capital markets
3. Foreign exchange markets
4. Derivative markets
Primary markets are markets in which users of funds raise funds through
issuance of new financial instruments whether stocks or bonds. Primary
market financial instruments include issuance of shares by firms who will be
trading their shares publicly for the first time. These first-time issues are
usually referred as initial public offering (IPO).
15
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Money markets are markets that trade debt securities or instruments with
maturities of one year or less. Hence, applicable for sellers who have short-
term financial need and buyers with excess funds for a shorter period.
Because of the short-term nature of financial instruments traded in the money
markets, the fluctuations in their prices are usually quite small. Usually money
markets do not operate in a specific location instead, transactions occur via
telephones, wire transfers and computer trading. Thus, they are said to be
over-the-counter (OTC) markets.
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
a. Open-end mutual fundmeans that the fund stands ready to issue new
share to the investors and is ready to buy back the shares from those
who choose to leave the fund.
b. Close-end mutual fund issues a limited number of share/units in an
initial public offering (IPO). The distinction between close-end mutual
fund from open-end mutual fund is that it is close to capital after it
starts operation, its shares are typically traded in stock exchange and
not redeemed directly by the fund and its shares can be traded during
the trading hours anytime while in an open-end mutual fund, shares
are usually traded only at the closing price at the end of the market
day.
c. Equity funds – the most common mutual funds, consist mainly of
stock investments
d. Growth funds – the more conservative investments which focus on
stocks that pay dividends
e. Value funds –invest on stocks that are undervalued which will yield
higher returns to compensate the greater risk involved
Capital Markets are markets that trade equity (stocks) and debt (bonds)
instruments with maturities of more than one year. Given the longer maturity,
these instruments experience wider fluctuations when traded in the secondary
markets compared to money market instruments. Capital markets are
subdivided into:
Stock Market – provides capital through the issuance of shares and
allows the subsequent trading thereof in the secondary market.
17
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
3.3 Foreign Exchange Marketsare markets in which cash flows from the sale of
products or assets dominated in a foreign currency are transacted. It is a global
online network where traders buy and sell currencies. It is the largest and most
liquid financial market in the world. Demand and supply determine the differences in
exchange rates, which in turn, determine traders‟ profits. The global market has two
tiers: the interbank market and theover the counter.
Interbank market is where the biggest banks exchange currencies with each
other. Even though it only has few members, the trades involve enormous
amounts. Hence, it can dictatethe values of the currency.
Foreign exchange trading is a contract between two parties. There are three
types of trades. The spot market is for the currency price at the time of the
trade. The forward market is an agreement to exchange currencies at an
agreed-upon price on a future date.
3.4 Derivative markets are the newest type of financial markets in which derivative
securities trade.A derivative securityis a financial security whose payoff is linked to
another previously issued security such as a security traded in capital or foreign
exchange markets. It generally involves an agreement between two parties to
exchange a standard quantity of an asset or cash flow at a predetermined price and
at a specified date in the future. The value of the derivative security changes,as the
value of the underlying security to be exchanged changes.
Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson.
Amadeo, K. (2019). Foreign exchange market:the market that dwarfs the stock
market. Retrieved from https://www.thebalance.com/foreign-exchange-
market-3306088.
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Laman, R. B., Laman, V. B., &Evia, Emiliana P. (2015). Financial system, market &
management: the basics. Manila: GIC Enterprises & Co., Inc.
Saunders, A., & Cornett, M. M. (2019). Financial markets and institutions (7th ed.).
New York: McGraw Hill Education.
Let’s Check
19
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
1.1 ________________________________________________________
1.2 ________________________________________________________
1.3 ________________________________________________________
1.4 ________________________________________________________
2.1 _________________________________________________________
2.2 _________________________________________________________
2.3 _________________________________________________________
3.1 __________________________________________________________
3.2 __________________________________________________________
3.3 __________________________________________________________
3.4 __________________________________________________________
3.5 __________________________________________________________
4.1 __________________________________________________________
4.2 __________________________________________________________
4.3 __________________________________________________________
4.4 __________________________________________________________
4.5 __________________________________________________________
Let’s Analyze
20
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Activity 1. In this activity, you are required to elaborate your answer to the given
questions below.
______________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
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In a Nutshell
Summarize your understanding in this section by distinguishing each type of
financial markets. Write the prominent features of each financial market in the table
provided below:
21
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Q&A List
Do you have any question for clarification? Write them here.
Questions/Issues Answers
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Keyword Index
22
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Week 4–5: Unit Learning Outcomes (ULO): At the end of the unit, you are
expected to:
a. Discuss how stock market operates and how market participants earn from
it.
b. Apply strategies in performing virtual stock trading.
Metalanguage
For you to demonstrate ULOa, you will need operational understanding of the terms
enumerated below.
1. Stock Market is where public corporations efficiently and cheaply get their
needed funds by selling to the supplier of funds (investors) their equity
securities.
Essential Knowledge
23
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
To perform the aforesaid big picture (unit learning outcomes) for the 4thand 5th
weeks of the course, you need to fully understand the following essential
knowledge laid down in the succeeding pages. Please note that you are not limited
to exclusively refer to these resources. Thus, you are expected to utilize other
books, research articles and other resources that are available in the university‟s
library e.g. ebrary, search.proquest.com etc., and even online tutorial websites.
1. The Stock Markets. Stock market is where public corporations efficiently and
cheaply get their needed funds by selling to the supplier of funds (investors) their
equity securities. In exchange, the fund users (firms) give the fund suppliers
ownership rights in the firm as well as cash flows in the form of dividends.
2. Primary stock marketsare markets in which users of funds raise funds through
new issues of stocks. The new share securities are sold to initial investors in
exchange for funds that the issuer needs. Most of the primary market transactions
go through investment banks. Investment banks can either conduct a primary
market sale using a firm commitment underwriting or best efforts underwriting
basis. In a firm commitment underwriting, the investment bank purchases the stock
from the issuer for a guaranteed price (net proceeds) and resells it to investors at a
higher price (gross proceeds). The difference between the gross proceeds and the
net proceeds is referred to as the underwriter’s spread which is the compensation
for the expenses and risks incurred by the investment bank with the issue. Usually
the investment bank will tap other investment banks to help sell and distribute the
new issues referred as a syndicate.
Usually primary markets are applicable to initial public offering (IPO) shares wherein
share are publicly traded in the stock markets for the first time. However, primary
markets are also applicable to seasoned offering wherein the firm whose shares
are already traded in the secondary markets wishes to sell additional new issue
shares. In this case, existing shareholders can exercise their preemptive rights.
Preemptive right is the right of the existing shareholders in which new shares must
be offered to existing shareholders first in such a way that they can maintain their
proportional ownership in the corporation.
3. Secondary stock markets are markets in which the stocks will be traded
(bought and sold by investors) after they have been issued in the primary markets.
When a transaction occurs in a secondary market, funds are exchanged, usually
with the help of a securities broker or firm acting an intermediary between the buyer
and the seller of the stock. The original issuer of the stock is not involved in this
transfer of stocks or funds. Examples of stock exchange are the New York Stock
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Funds Funds
• Online – those whose main interface is the internet where clients execute
their orders and access market information online.
5.3 Listed Companies, also called “issuers”, are those whose shares of
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
stock are traded on the Exchange. These companies have gone through
initial public offering (IPO) or listing by way of introduction after qualifying
with the stringent listing and reportorial requirements of the PSE. Listed
companies are classified into six different sectors:Financials, Industrial,
Holding Firms, Property, Services, and Mining and Oil.
5.4 Clearing Houseis responsible for ensuring that executed trades are
appropriately settled. In the Philippines, this role is played by the Securities
Clearing Corporation of the Philippines (SCCP).
5.7 Transfer Agents. The stock transfer agent is considered the “official
keeper” of the corporate shareholder records. The stock transfer agents
provide the issuer or the listed company with a list of holders of its securities.
They effect transfer of beneficial ownership and process corporate actions
like stock or cash dividends, stock rights, stock splits, and collation of proxy
forms.
26
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Source: https://www.pseacademy.com.ph
27
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
6.4According to Characteristics
Blue Chip stocks – are shares of well-established and financially sound
companies that have demonstrated their ability to pay dividends in both good
and bad times. They also exhibit more modest but dependable returns and
are relatively of lower risk.
Income stocks – are shares of those companies with good dividend
payment history due to steady profits. Since they are stable, income stocks
generally have a lower level of volatility.
Growth stocks – also called “glamour stocks”, are shares of corporations
whose earnings are expected to grow at an above-average rate relative to
the market. A growth stock does not usually issue dividends as earnings are
reinvested in capital projects.
Defensive stocks – are shares that provide regular dividends and stable
earnings, regardless of the overall condition of the stock market. Defensive
stocks remain stable under difficult economic conditions. Generally, these
are stocks of food, oil, and utilities companies, which are characterized by
steady demand amidst hard times.
Cyclical stocks – are those sensitive to business conditions or cycles
strongly tied with the economy‟s performance. These companies produce or
offer services that are low in demand during slowdown and increase when
business peaks.
Speculative stocks – are those that rise quickly when economic growth is
strong and falls rapidly when growth is slowing down. A speculative stock is
considered very risky because of its volatility. It increases or decreases
rapidly depending on the economic conditions.
7. The Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE) is the only stock exchange in the
Philippines and considered as one of the oldest stock exchanges in Asia, operating
since 1927 as the Manila Stock Exchange. Its trading floor is currently located at
the PSE Tower in Bonifacio Global City, Taguig City. It is composed of a 15-man
Board of Directors with Jose T. Pardo as the Chairman.
PSEi is the main index for PSE. It is composed of a fixed basket of thirty (30) listed
companies usually referred as blue chips companies. The PSEi measures the
relative changes in the free float-adjusted market capitalization of the 30 largest and
most active common stocks listed at the PSE. Blue chip companies are selected
based on a specific set of public float, liquidity, and market capitalization criteria.
Trading starts at 9:30AM with a recess at 12:00NN-1:30PM and continues until the
close at 3:30 PM.
History of PSE. The Philippine Stock Exchange was formed in December 23, 1992
from the country‟s two former stock exchanges, the Manila Stock Exchange (MSE),
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
established on August 8, 1927, and the Makati Stock Exchange (MkSE), which was
established on May 27, 1963.
8. How to invest in the stock market. The following are the steps on how to invest
in the Philippine stock market:
Step 2 - Open an account. After choosing a stockbroker, the investor will then be
required to fill out a Customer Account Information Form and submit
identification papers for verification. Most stockbrokers will require
minimum deposit to activate the account. For traditional stockbroker, a
trader or agent will be assigned each investor to assist in either buying
or selling any listed security. However, for stockbrokers with online
trading facility, investor can post orders by himself.
Step 3 - Place an order. After opening an account, the investor is now ready to
trade in the stock market. In a traditional stockbroker, the investor will
give his order (whether buy or sell) to the trader. The trader will issue a
confirmation receipt. The buy or sell orders are relayed to the
stockbroker's dealer for execution. Meanwhile, in an online system as in
PSE, the order is keyed in through a trading terminal and automatically
matched. Confirmation of done trades - via phone, email or online - is
made as soon as possible and subsequently, an official confirmation or
invoice should be delivered to the investor.
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
of sale after three days from the transaction date. However, for online
stockbrokers, it shall be credited to the investor‟s account as soon as the
transaction has been executed. If the investor wishes to have a physical
certificate of the stocks purchased, he can give instructions to the broker
and pay the required upliftment fee.
Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson.
Akhter, A., &Sangmi, M. (2015). Stock market awareness among the educated
youth: A micro-level study in india. Vision, 19(3), 210-218.
doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0972262915593661
Laman, R. B., Laman, V. B., &Evia, Emiliana P. (2015). Financial system, market &
management: the basics. Manila: GIC Enterprises & Co., Inc.
Saunders, A., & Cornett, M. M. (2019). Financial markets and institutions (7th ed.).
New York: McGraw Hill Education.
Philippine Stock Exchange. About pse. Retrieved last May 20, 2020 from
https://www.pse.com.ph.
PSE Academy. Basic stock investing. Retrieved last May 20, 2020 from
https://www.pseacademy.com.ph.
Let’s Check
Activity 1: Matching Type. Write the letter of the word/s in the box that would best
fit to the description in the statements below.
______1.This is where public corporations efficiently and cheaply get their needed
funds by selling to the supplier of funds (investors) their equity securities.
______2. Acts as an agent between a buyer and seller of stocks in the market.
______3. Companies whose shares of stock are traded on the Exchange.
______4. The “official keeper” of the corporate shareholder records.
______5. Shares that only Filipinos can trade
_____ 6.This includes companies engaged in mineral extraction, oil exploration,
extraction, and production
______7. Shares of well-established and financially sound companies that have
demonstrated their ability to pay dividends in both good and bad times.
______8. Stocks that rise quickly when economic growth is strong and falls rapidly
when growth is slowing down.
______9. Stocks that provide regular dividends and stable earnings, regardless of
the overall condition of the stock market.
______10. The only stock exchange in the Philippines
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2.
3.
4.
5.
II. If you are to invest in the stock market, to which stockbroker would you prefer to
open a trading account? Rationalize your choice.
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
Let’s Analyze
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companies, what companies would you prefer? Briefly discuss your reason of
choosing such companies.
2.
3.
4.
5.
II. Review your blue chip stocks selection and identify the sector to which they
belong.
2.
3.
4.
5.
III. Review sectors of the blue chip stocks you have selected. Do your chosen
stocks belong to the same sector or not? Are you convinced that you have selected
the best companies that can maximize your earning potential while investing in the
stock market? Discuss your conviction.
_____________________________________________________________
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_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
Activity 2. Write the role of each market participants in the stock market.
Investors
Stockbrokers
Listed Companies
Clearing House
Depository
Settlement Banks
Transfer Agents
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In a Nutshell
1. The companies will benefit for being listed in the stock market because…
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
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_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
5. If given a chance, you would like to invest your money in the stock market
because…
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
Q&A List
Do you have any question for clarification? Write them here.
Questions/Issues Answers
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Keyword Index
Best efforts underwriting Philippine Stock Exchange
Clearing house Stock brokers
Depository Stock market
Firm commitment underwriting Transfer agents
Listed companies
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Metalanguage
For you to demonstrate ULOb, you will need operational understanding of the terms
enumerated below.
1. Fundamental analysisis a method of measuring a real valueof a company‟s
stocks taking into consideration the relevant economic and financial factors.
2. Technical analysisis a method that uses charts of historical price and market
statistics to examine and ultimately to predict price movements in the financial
markets.
3. Stock ticker is a real time report of the price of the stocks being traded that is
updated continuouslythroughout the trading session.
6. Order refers to a trade transaction which can be buy order or sell order.
Essential Knowledge
To perform the aforesaid big picture (unit learning outcomes) for the 4thand 5th
weeks of the course, you need to fully understand the following essential
knowledge laid down in the succeeding pages. Please note that you are not limited
to exclusively refer to these resources. Thus, you are expected to utilize other
books, research articles and other resources that are available in the university‟s
library e.g. ebrary, search.proquest.com etc., and even online tutorial websites.
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have short selling yet. Hence, we can also earn from fluctuations in prices by
buying at a lower price and selling it at a high price.
Stock Ticker. When you open the website of Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE) and
click ticker, the encircled portion will appear in your screen – this is a stock ticker.
A ticker is a real time report of the price of the stocks being traded that is updated
continuouslythroughout the trading session.
Stock ticker
The stock ticker displays the real time trading transactions in the stock market:
The first row displays the stock code of the listed companies being traded;
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the second row displays the number of shares traded and the percentage
change in the stock price;
while the third row displays the price at which the stock was traded.
The stock ticker also observes color coding to display the changes in the prices of
the stocks traded:
Green color implies that the price of the share increased based on the last
trade.
Red color means that the price of the share decreased based on the last
trade.
Lastly, blue or yellow color means that there is no change in the price of the
stock.
Another important feature in the trading platform is the market summary found in
the left corner in the PSE website encircled in Figure 9. This feature reflects the
summary of changes in the stock market. It has four tabs, namely: Indices, Most
Active, Advances and Declines:
Indices tab shows the summary of changes in PSEindex (composed of blue
chip stocks), all shares andstocks per sector. Hence,one can readily see the
changes that happen duringtrading session. Other trading platforms term this
as “Market” wherein aside from those mentioned, relevant international
indices like Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq, S&P 500, etc. are also
shown.
Most Active tab shows the stocks with the most trading transactions during
the day. Also referred as “Actives”.
Advances tab shows the stocks that reported the highest increases in price
during the day. Also referred as “Gainers”.
Declines tab shows the stocks that reported the highest decreases in price
during the day. Also referred as “Losers”.
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Market Summary
3.Selecting the company to invest in. This is a crucial decision to make because
your potential earnings and losses will depend on it. Hence, it is important to
carefully evaluate companies to increase the chance of earning in the stock market.
In evaluating companies, one may use of the following evaluation tools:
fundamental analysis andtechnical analysis.
a. Line chart
b. Bar chart
c. Candlesticks chart –commonly used chart in doing technical analysis
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Figure 11 shows the two types of candlesticks: a bullish candlestick (green) and a
bearish candlesticks (red). The real body of the candlestick is composed of the open
price and close price. In a bullish candlestick, open price is lower compared to the
close price indicating increase in price. On the other hand, in a bearish candlestick,
the open price is higher than the close price indicating decrease in the price of the
stock. Meanwhile, the low price and the high price are represented in the lower
shadow or upper shadow, respectively. Other traders would also call shadow as
“wick”. The top end of the upper shadow represents the highest price the stock was
traded during the day; whereas, the bottom end of the lower shadow represents the
lowest price at which the stock was traded during the day.
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Candlesticks represent daily prices of JFC stocks. Green candles signify increases in
price as compared to the price the previous day. On the other hand, red candles
signify decreases in the price as compared to the price the previous day.Let us take
a closer look of the last candlestick of JFC as shown in Figure 13:
High = 145.30
Open = 144.00
Close = 145.00
Low = 140.50
As shown in the figure, JFC reported 7,277 trades (transactions) during the
day.The number of shares traded is 2,809,030 with a value of
Php404,936,553. The price of the first transaction (referred as open price) is
Php144.00, the price during the day went down as low as Php140.50 (low
price) and went up as high as Php145.30 (high price) but the price of the last
transaction was Php145.00 (close price). Moreover, for the last 52 weeks,
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the lowest price of JFC (52wL) was Php91.10 while the highest price for the
last 52 weeks (52wH) was Php289.00.
Considering the close price on this day is Ph145.00, can you imagine what
will happen to the investment of an investor who was able to buy 1,000 JFC
shares previously at the lowest price of Php91.10? Yes, he could be reporting
an unrealized gain of Php53,900 (Php145.00-Php91.10=Php53.90 x 1,000
shares).
However, what about the investor who was able to buy 1,000 JFC shares at
the highest price of P289.00? Yes, for sure he has unrealized loss amounting
to Php144,000 (Php145.00-Php289.00= -Php144.00 x 1,000 shares).
With the actual illustration above, we can conclude that investment in stock
market is risky. Hence, proper risk management should be applied, and we
can only do that if we are equipped with proper knowledge.
Stock Symbol. Each company listed in the PSE has a designated stock
symbol. The investor needs to specify the stock symbol of his chosen
company whenever he places an order. Stocksymbols of some listed
companies in the PSE are as follows:
Table 1.Stock Symbols of Selected Listed Companies
Symbol Company Name
AC Ayala Corporation
AEV Aboitiz Equity Ventures, Inc.
AP Aboitiz Power Corporation
BDO BDO Unibank, Inc.
BPI Bank of the Philippine Islands
GLO Globe Telecom, Inc.
JFC Jollibee Foods Corporation
MBT Metropolitan Bank and Trust Company
MEG Megaworld Corporation
MER Manila Electric Company
MPI Metro Pacific Investments Corporation
PGOLD Puregold Price Club, Inc.
RLC Robinson Land Corporation
SECB Security Bank Corporation
SM SM Investments Corporation
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For example, you wish to enter a buy order for Jollibee Foods Corporation
(JFC). Since the current price of JFC is Php145.00, it falls under the bracket
of P100-P199.90 with a lot size of 10. Hence, you need to purchase at least
10 shares of JFC.
Tick size is the minimum price movement of the share. Thus, in the case of
JFC, if the price will go up in each movement price will be added by 0.10.
Hence, it becomes P145.10, then P145.20, P145.30 and so on.
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Source: https://www.pse.com.ph
Price. The investor needs to indicate price that he is willing to buy or sell the
stock to be bought or sold. Price may be specified or based on the market
depending on the type of order the investor want to post.
a. Day Order (DAY)is valid until the end of the trading day only.
b. Good Till Cancelled (GTC)is valid until cancelled by the investor or trader
or until it has reached the set expiration date of the security.
c. Good Till Date (GTD) is valid until the date specified by the investor.
d. Good Till Week (GTW)is a type of limit order which is valid for seven(7)
calendar days.
e.Sliding Validity (SLIDING)is valid for 360 calendar days from the time it is
posted.
f.Fill-and-Kill (FAK)also referred to as „Execute-and-Eliminate Order‟, is
valid upon execution.
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Step 2 – Sign up. For you to retrieve your previous trading session, you need to
sign up by clicking “Signin” in the upper left corner of the platform encircled in
Figure 14. After clicking “Signin”, a message box will appear as shown in Figure 15.
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Choose one of the two alternatives, whether to sign up with you Facebook account
or through your Gmail account. As per experience, signing up with Facebook will be
more convenient. Although you may still choose the other alternative wherein you
need to input your Gmail account;either way you choose would lead you to having a
virtual trading account with a buying power of Php100,000. 😊
Step 3 –Select listed companies to invest in. The challenge in investing in stock
market lies in deciding to what company/companies are you going to invest your
money.
Since you are given a virtual cash of Php100,000, you need to select companies
that you believe are worthy to invest in. You may refer to the companies you have
previously selected in the activity from the preceding section. If you choose to
invest in more than one company, you mustalso decide how to allocate your money
to your chosen companies.
Step 4 – Enter your order. If you have already chosen your companies to invest in,
you are now ready to execute your trade.
To place your buy order,click the Select a Stock field encircled in the figure below.
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After clicking the Select a Stock field, a drop-down menu of listed companies will
appear as shown below.
After the drop-down menu appears, you need to type in the stock code of the listed
company you have chosen and click enter. When the figure belong appears, you
can already click the “Buy” button.
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After clicking the “Buy” button, you will be directed to the figure shown in the next
page. Then, you need to specify the number of shares that you are going to invest.
This platform is designed already to follow the board lot rules. Hence, all you have
to do is to click +10 ten times, if you wish to purchase 100 JFC shares; whereas if
you choose to reduce your order to 90, you just have to click -10.
Moreover, please take note that in this virtual trading platform, your orders are
considered “Market Order”, which means that the price being tagged are based on
the on prevailing market price when the order is executed.
Lastly, observed that there are associated fees in every order (whether buy or sell)
as shown in the lower part of the figure.
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Observed that after specifying the number of shares to be purchased, total amount
to be paid with corresponding fees are already reflected. In this platform, you can
also track your available balance for trading.
After reviewing the correctness of your order, you can execute the trade by clicking
“Buy” at the bottom.
After executing your buy order, observed that the “My Portfolio” and “Order History”
have entries already. “My Portfolio” shows your active trades reflecting the stock
code, last price, average price (this represents your cost composed of purchase
price of the stocks plus fees), number of shares, total cost, market value and the
related profit/(loss) in amount and in percentage. With this, you would readily know
the status of your investment.
Meanwhile, “Order History” serves as a log of your trading activities and it reflects
all the trades that you have executed, the date and time of the execution can also
be traced in the order history.
Follow the same procedure to the rest of your chosen stocks. Also, the same
procedure will be followed when you are to sell/dispose your stocks except that
after inputting the number of shares to be sold, you must click on the sell button.
Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson.
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Akhter, A., &Sangmi, M. (2015). Stock market awareness among the educated
youth: A micro-level study in india. Vision, 19(3), 210-218.
doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0972262915593661
Laman, R. B., Laman, V. B., &Evia, Emiliana P. (2015). Financial system, market &
management: the basics. Manila: GIC Enterprises & Co., Inc.
Saunders, A., & Cornett, M. M. (2019). Financial markets and institutions (7th ed.).
New York: McGraw Hill Education.
Philippine Stock Exchange. About pse. Retrieved last May 20, 2020 from
https://www.pse.com.ph.
PSE Academy. Basic stock investing. Retrieved last May 20, 2020 from
https://www.pseacademy.com.ph.
Let’s Check
_________________ 1.It is a method that uses charts of historical price and market
statistics to examine and ultimately to predict price movements in the
financial markets.
_________________ 8. A type of order which is valid until the end of the trading
day only.
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Let’s Analyze
Activity 1. Virtual Stock Trading and Trading Diary. In this activity, you are
expected to trade virtually in the stock market and document it in a Trading Diary. It
will take three days (3 trading sessions) to complete this activity. Also, please take
note that this activity will be considered as your Research Requirement in this
course which is 15% of your grade.
Instruction:
Perform the procedures in pages 47-51 to open a virtual trading account. Document
the procedures you have performed with a Trading Diary. Your trading diary serves
as your documentation of your virtual trading activities. Every section of your
Trading Diary shall reflect the dates of your transaction, screen shots of the virtual
trading portfolio and narrative or description of your trading transactions.Your
Trading Diary shall include the following sections:
b. Building-up your portfolio. In this section, your guide question is “How did I
build my portfolio? Identify first the listed companies you have chosen to
invest your Php100,000 virtual money with the related number of shares
you plan to buy. Then, document the process on how you were able to
purchase shares virtually. You include screen shots and narrative on how
you were able to do it.
In the last part of this section, youdiscuss how the experience made you
feel.
II. Portfoliomonitoring
Day 2- Make a trading journal indicate the date, the screen shot and a
narrative describing the status of your portfolio. In the last part, discuss how
the status of your portfolio makes you feel? Are you happy or sad? Optimistic
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or pessimistic about your portfolio?Do you wish to have invested your money
to other listed companies?
Day 3 - Make a trading journal indicate the date, the screen shot and a
narrative describing the status of your portfolio. After checking the status of
your portfolio, identify 1 or 2 stocks that you wish to sell.Discuss your reason
of deciding to sell the stock/s. Document your sell transaction include screen
shots and narratives.In the last part, discuss how the sell experience makes
you feel?
*Important Note: Please ensure that you can still retrieve your virtual portfolio
because we will still use it on the next section of this course.
Formatting Instruction:
Use MS Word.
Font style: Arial, Font size: 12, 1.5 Spacing, 1-inch margin each side,
Insert page number at bottom of the page (center) except for cover page
Include a cover page with the following text:
Submitted by:
Submitted to:
July 2020
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In a Nutshell
Based on the concepts presented, write the three remarkable lessons you learned
in this section.
1. _____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
2. _____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
3. _____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
Q&A List
Do you have any question for clarification? Write them here.
Questions/Issues Answers
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Keyword Index
Board lot Stock ticker
Fundamental analysis Technical analysis
Order Tick size
Stock symbol
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Big Picture C
Week 6-7: Unit Learning Outcomes (ULO): At the end of the unit, you are
expected to:
a. Apply commonly used techniques in assessing investment under
uncertainty.
b. Explain the impact of the firm‟s degree of operating and financial leverage
in making investment decisions.
Metalanguage
For you to demonstrate ULOa, you will need operational understanding of the terms
enumerated below.
1. Risk Management is the process of measuring or assessing risk and
developing strategies to manage it.
2. Decision Making under Certaintymeans that for every decision to make there
is only one event and therefore only a single outcome for each action.
5. Payoff (decision) tables are helpful tools for identifying the best solution given
several decision choices and future conditions that involve risk.
6. Perfect information is the knowledge that a future state of nature will occur
with certainty, being sure of what will occur in the future.
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Essential Knowledge
To perform the aforesaid big picture (unit learning outcomes) for the 6th and
7thweeks of the course, you need to fully understand the following essential
knowledge laid down in the succeeding pages. Please note that you are not limited
to exclusively refer to these resources. Thus, you are expected to utilize other
books, research articles and other resources that are available in the university‟s
library e.g. ebrary, search.proquest.com etc., and even online tutorial websites.
1. Risk Managementis the process of measuring or assessing risk and developing
strategies to manage it. It is a systematic approach in identifying, analyzing and
controlling areas with a potential for causing unwanted change.
ISO identifies the basic principles of risk management and that risk management
should:
1. Create value
2. Address uncertainty and assumptions
3. Be an integral part of the organizational processes and decision-making
4. Be dynamic, iterative, transparent, tailorable, and responsive to change
5. Create capability for continuous improvement
6. Be systematic, structured, and continually or periodically reassessed.
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4. Potential Risk Treatments. As suggested in ISO 3100, once risks have been
identified and assessed, techniques to manage them should be applied. The
following are the four categories of risk:
1. Risk Avoidance. This includes performing an activity that could carry risk.
However, avoiding risks would also mean losing the opportunity to earn that
accepting (retaining) the risk may have allowed.
3. Risk Sharing. This means sharing with another party the burden ofloss or the
benefit of gain and the measures to reduce a risk.
4. Risk Retention. This involves accepting the loss or benefit of gain from a risk
when it occurs.
1. Business risk. This refers to the uncertainty about the rate of return caused
by the nature of the business.
2. Financial risk. This is determined by the firm‟s capital structure or sources
of financing.
3. Liquidity risk. This is associated with the uncertainty created by the inability
to sell the investment quickly for cash.
4. Default risk. This is related to the probability that some or all of the initial
investment will not be returned.
5. Interest rate risk. This is the risk that fluctuations in interest rates will cause
fluctuations to the value of the investment.
6. Management risk.This is the risk associated with the decisions made the
management and board of directors of the firms.
7. Purchasing power risk. This is the risk that the value of the return from
investment has declined as a result of inflation.
1. Probability
2. Value of Information
3. Sensitivity Analysis
4. Simulation
5. Decision Tree
6. Standard deviation and Coefficient of Variation
7. Project Beta
Probability
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Decision Making under Certaintymeans that for every decision to make there
is only one event and therefore only a single outcome for each action. There is
100% chance of occurrence; hence, the probability is 1.0.
Pay-off is the value assigned to different outcomes from a decision which may
be positive or negative. Information is deemed to meet the cost-benefit test if the
expected value of a decision increases as a result of obtaining additional
information. The process in deciding whether the cost-benefit criterion has been
met is called information economics.
1. Mutually exclusive. This is the case when two events cannot occur
simultaneously.
2. Joint probability. This is the probability that the two events will both occur.
3. Conditional probability. This is the probability that one will occur given that
the other has already occurred.
4. Independent.This meansthat the occurrence of one has no effect on the
probability of the other.
M & O Corporation is considering two new designs for their kitchen utensil
products – Product A and Product B. Either can be produced using the present
facilities. Each product requires an increase in annual fixed cost of P4,000,000.
The products have the same selling price of P1,000 and the same variable costs
per unit of P800.
After studying past experience with similar products, management has prepared
the following probability distribution:
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Solution:
Using the given probability distribution, determine the expected
demand for the two products:
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Payoff (decision) tables are helpful tools for identifying the best solution given
several decision choices and future conditions that involve risk. It presents the
outcomes (payoffs) of specific decisions when certain states of nature (events not
within the control of the decision maker) occur.
Illustration. A dealer in luxury yachts may order 0, 1 or 2 yachts for this season‟s
inventory. The cost of carrying each excess yacht is P50,000 and the gain for each
yacht sold is P200,000. The situation may be described by a payoff table as follows:
The payoff table can be interpreted as follows: If the dealer decides not to order
yacht, it means that regardless of the actual demand, he will not incur any gain or
loss. However, he misses an opportunity to earn in case there will be actual
demand.If the dealer decides to order 1 yacht and there is no actual demand, he
will be incurring a carrying cost of P50,000 and will report a loss of the same
amount. However, if there will be 1 actual demand, he will earn P200,000. Also, if
there will be 2 actual demands of yacht, the dealer would still be earning P200,000.
Lastly, if the dealer decides to order 2 yachts and there will be no actual demand,
the dealer will be incurring carrying cost of P50,000 for each yacht. Hence, he will
be reporting a loss of P100,000. If there is an actual demand for 1 yacht, the dealer
will earn P200,000; however it will also incur P50,000 for the carrying cost of unsold
yacht. Hence, he will have net earnings of P150,000. Lastly, if the actual demand
for yacht is 2 then the dealer will maximize his earnings to P400,000.
If the decision will be based on expected value, the dealer should order 2 yachts
since it has the greatest expected value.
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Perfect information is the knowledge that a future state of nature will occur with
certainty, being sure of what will occur in the future. Before deciding to obtain the
perfect information, the management should consider how much is the expected
value of perfect information (EVPI) which can be computed as follows:
EVPI = EV without PI – Expected Value of Return for best action to take with PI
The expected value of perfect information represents that amount the company is
willing to pay to the market analysts‟ error-free advice. The company should
evaluate whether it is worthy to obtain perfect information and they will just pursue
marketing research if the amount they will spend in it is less than the benefits that
they will get if they will have perfect information. However, it should be noted that
“perfect information” is not perfect in the sense of absolute predictions.
Illustration.Using the information of the yacht dealer, assume that he was able to
poll all potential customers and they truthfully stated that whether they would
purchase a yacht this year, what is the greatest money that the dealer should pay
for this information? What is EVPI?
1. Based on the payoff table, compute the expected value of the best choice
under each state of nature.
Best Action Expected Value
Pr State of Nature Best Action Pay-off (Pr x Pay-off)
0.1 Demand =0 Buy =0 P 0 P 0
0.5 Demand =1 Buy =1 200,000 100,000
0.4 Demand =2 Buy =2 400,000 160,000
EV of the best choice = P260,000
Hence, with perfect information about future demand, the dealer expects to
make P260,000. While the choice with best expected value under uncertainty is
P225,000 as previously computed.
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This means that the dealer will NOT pay more than P35,000 to obtain
information about future demand because it will be more profitable to make the
expected value choice than to pay more to obtain the perfect information.
Sensitivity Analysis
Sensitivity analysis describes how sensitive the linear programming optimal solution
is to a change in any one number. It answers what-if questions about the effect of
change in prices or variable costs; changes in value; addition or deletion of
constraints, such as available machine hours; and changes in industrial coefficients,
such as the labor-hours required in manufacturing in a specific unit.
A trial and error method may be adopted in which sensitivity of the solution to
changes in any given variable, parameter or other assumption is calculated. In
linear programming problems, sensitivity is the range within which a constraint
value, such as a cost efficient or any other variable, may be changed without
changing the optimal solution.
Simulation
SIMULATION
Advantages Limitations
1. Time can be compressed. 1.Simulation model can be costly to
2. Alternative policies can be explored. develop.
3. Complex system can be analyzed. 2. Risk of error.
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Decision Tree
Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson.
Saunders, A., & Cornett, M. M. (2019). Financial markets and institutions (7th ed.).
New York: McGraw Hill Education.
68
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Let’s Check
Activity 1:Multiple Choice. Write the letter of your choice in the space provided
before the number.
_______ 1. The risk that securities cannot sold at a reasonable price on short
notice is called
a. Default risk c. Purchasing-power risk
b. Interest rate risk d. Liquidity risk
_______ 2. The type of risk that is not diversifiable and affects the value of a
portfolio
a. Purchasing-power risk c. Non-market risk
b. Market risk d. Interest rate risk
_______ 3. Which of the following are components of interest rate risk?
a. Purchasing-power risk and default risk
b. Price risk and market risk
c. Portfolio risk and reinvestment-rate risk
d. Price risk and reinvestment-rate risk
_______ 4. This is a helpful tool for identifying the best solution given several
decision choices and future conditions that involve risk.
a. Sensitivity analysis c. Payoff table
b. Decision tree analysis d. Simulation
_______ 5. This is a technique for experimenting with logical and mathematical
models using a computer.
a. Sensitivity analysis c. Payoff table
b. Decision tree analysis d. Simulation
_______ 6. This describes how sensitive the linear programming optimal solution to
a change in any one number.
a. Sensitivity analysis c. Payoff table
b. Decision tree analysis d. Simulation
_______ 7. This is an analytical tool used in a problem in which a series of decision
has to be mage at various time intervals.
a. Sensitivity analysis c. Payoff table
b. Decision tree analysis d. Simulation
_______ 8. The amount that an investor is willing to pay to reduce if not eliminate
uncertainty.
a. Payoff c. Expected value of perfect information
b. Fixed cost d. Expected value of net investment
_______ 9. This describes the chance or likelihood of each of the collectively
exhaustive and mutually exclusive set of events.
a. Expected value c. Payoff
b. Probability d. Probability distribution
_______ 10. Two events that cannot occur simultaneously
a. Joint Probability c. Conditional probability
b. Mutually exclusive d. Independent
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Let’s Analyze
Activity 1. Read and answer the problems.
Product X Product Y
Product Probability of Profit Product Probability of Profit
Demand Demand (Peso) Demand Demand (Peso)
(units) % %
Required:
10. Compute the expected value of the profits of Product X and Product Y.
Product X Product Y
11. Based on the computation, which product would you choose to pursue?
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
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Problem 2. A beverage stand can sell either soft drinks or coffee on any given day.
If the stand sells soft drinks and the weather is hot, it will make P2,500; if the
weather is cold, the profit will be P1,000. If the stand sells coffee and the weather
is hot, it will make P1,900; if the weather is cold, the profit will be P2,000. The
probability of cold weather on a given day at this time is 60%.
Required:
2.2 Compute for the expected payoff if the vendor has perfect information.
2.4 What advise can you give to the beverage stand owner, if somebody offered him
to do research and obtain the perfect information at a cost of P1,000?
In a Nutshell
Based on the concepts presented, write the three remarkable lessons you learned
in this section.
1. _____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
2. _____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
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_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
3. _____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
Q&A List
Do you have any question for clarification? Write them here.
Questions/Issues Answers
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Keyword Index
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Big Picture in Focus: ULOb. Explain the impact of the firm‟s degree
of operating and financial leverage in making investment decisions.
Metalanguage
For you to demonstrate ULOb, you will need operational understanding of the
terms enumerated below.
1. Leverage. This represents the fixed costs items to magnify the firm‟s results
which could be related to the determination of the amount of fixed cost
related to plant and equipment or determination of how to finance the
business.
2. Operating leverage. This is a measure of how sensitive net operating
income is to a given percentage change in peso sales.
3. Financial leverage. This reflects the amount of debt used in the capital
structure of the firm.
Essential Knowledge
To perform the aforesaid big picture (unit learning outcomes) for the 6th and7th
weeks of the course, you need to fully understand the following essential
knowledge lay down in the succeeding pages. Please note that you are not limited
to exclusively refer to these resources. Thus, you are expected to utilize other
books, research articles and other resources that are available in the university‟s
library e.g. ebrary, search.proquest.com etc., and even online tutorial websites.
1. Leverage in Business. An individual who wishes to establish a business is
faced with two primary decisions to make. First is to determine the amount of fixed
cost related to plant and equipment shall be used in the production process
(operating leverage). If the entity will install modern, sophisticated equipment, it
can virtually eliminate labor in the production. Hence, if the production volume is
high, this set up would be favorable to the entity as most of its costs are just fixed
payments for plant and equipment.
The other decision to make is to determine how the business shall be financed
(financial leverage). If the business will rely on debt financing and the business is
successful, the entity will generate substantial profits for the owner since it will
only be paying fixed costs of debt.
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2. Assume that through a more intense effort by the sales staff, the company‟s
sales increase by 8% next year. Using the degree of operating leverage, by
what percentage would you expect net operating income to increase?
Solution:
This means that the net operating income will change 5 times given an increase in
sales.
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Thus, using the degree of operating leverage, the expected net operating income if
the sales increase by 8% is computed as follows:
You can verify the answer by preparing a forecasted income statement given the
8% increase in sales. Understanding the impact of the company‟s degree of
operating leverage, will help a potential investor to assess the sensitivity of the net
operating income to sales. This means that if the trend of the company‟s sales is
increasing, the investor would most likely to invest if the degree of operating
leverage is high because he can expect a higher net operating income. However, if
the trend of the company‟s sales is decreasing, then the investor would most likely
to shy away from investing in such company since if its degree of operating
leverage is high, it is expected that its net operating income will be greatly affected
with the decrease in sales.
3. Financial Leverage. Financial leverage reflects the amount of debt used in the
capital structure of the firm. Since debt carries a fixed obligation of interest
payments, there is an opportunity to greatly magnify results at various levels of
operations. If operating leverage is affecting the left hand side of the statement of
financial position, financial leverage is affecting the right hand side.
Impact on Earnings
Suppose that the firm is evaluating two financial plans, each employing a
significantly different amount of debt in the capital structure. Financing totalling
P200,000 is required to carry the assets of the firm.
Under leveraged Plan A, the entity will borrow P150,000 and sell 8,000 shares at
P6.25 to raise an additional P50,000, whereas, conservative Plan B calls for
borrowing only P50,000 and acquiring an additional P150,000 by issuing 24,000
shares.
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It can be observed from the results shown in the table that even if both plans
assume the same operating income, the impact of the two financing plans is very
substantial. It is evident that the conservative financial plan will produce better
results at low income levels but the leveraged financial plan will generate higher
earnings per share as operating income or EBIT goes up. The firm will be
indifferent between the two plans if the EBIT level is P16,000.
The degree of financial leverage measures the effect of a change in one variable
to another variable. It can be computed by using any of the following formulas:
Using the formula, the degree of financial leverage for Plan A and Plan B at EBIT
level of P36,000 can be computed as follows:
Plan A (Leveraged)
Plan B (Leveraged)
As computed, Plan A has a much higher degree of financial leverage since its
assets are financed with more debt. At an EBIT level of P36,000, a 1% increase in
earnings will produce a 1.5% increase in earnings per share under Plan A but only
1.1% increase under Plan B.
It should be pointed out that debt financing and financial leverage offer unique
advantages, but only up to a point that debt financing may not be detrimental to
the firm. As an entity expand the use of debt in their capital structure, lenders will
perceive a greater financial for the firm. Hence, they may raise the average
interest rate to be paid and they may demand that certain restrictions be placed
on the corporation. Moreover, concerned common stockholders may drive down
the price of the stock forcing the company away from the objective of maximizing
the firm‟s overall value in the market. Lastly, the impact of financial leverage must
be carefully weighted by firms with high debt.
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The degree of combined leverage (DCL) uses the entire income statement and
shows the impact of a change in sales or volume on bottom-line earnings per
share. It summarizes the effect of both operating and financial leverage. The
higher its value, the more vulnerable a company is for a decrease in sales.
Observethat the profitability of the firm increases as the firm‟s sale increasesfrom
P160,000 (80,000 units) to P200,000 (100,000 units).
Thus, the computation of the degree of combined leverage using the formula is
as follows:
1.50
DCL = 1.50 x 100 = 100% =4
40,000 25%
160,000 x 100
Thus, the computation of the degree of combined leverage using the formula is
as follows:
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Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson.
Let’s Check
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Let’s Analyze
Problem 1
The following information is available for the Blue and Red Companies for 2019.
Blue Red
Sales (200,000 units) P1,800,000 P1,800,000
Required:
1. Compute the operating leverage for each company.
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2. Which company will be greatly affected if there are changes in its sales? Discuss
why?
3. Assume that sales will increase by 10%, what would be the expected net
operating income for Blue Company and Red Company, respectively? Use the
degree of operating leverage in your computation.
Problem 2
Firm A has P10,400 in assets entirely financed with equity. Firm B also has P10,400
in assets, but these assets are financed by P5,200 in debt (with a 10% rate of
interest) and P5,200 in equity. Both firms sell 14,000 units of output at P2.80 per
unit. The variable costs of production are P1, and fixed production costs are
P11,000.Assume an income tax rate of 30%.
Required:
2. Compute for the degree of financial leverage of both firms. Which firm is more
vulnerable to changes in sales? Explain why.
3. Compute for the degree of combined leverage of both firms. Explain what does it
imply?
4. If sales increase by 15% to 16,100 units, by what percentage will each firm's
earnings after interest increase?
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In a Nutshell
Based on the concepts presented, write the three remarkable lessons you learned.
1. _____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
2. _____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
3. _____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________
Q&A List
Do you have any question for clarification? Write them here.
Questions/Issues Answers
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Keyword Index
Degree of combined leverage
Financial leverage
Leverage
Operating leverage
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Big Picture D
Week 8-9: Unit Learning Outcomes (ULO): At the end of the unit, you are
expected to:
a. Quantify risk and analyze risk-return relationship.
b. Apply Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) concepts in evaluating
investments.
Metalanguage
For you to demonstrate ULOb, you will need operational understanding of the terms
enumerated below.
1. Risk refers to the chance that some unfavorable event will occur.
Essential Knowledge
To perform the aforesaid big picture (unit learning outcomes) for the 6th and 7th
weeks of the course, you need to fully understand the following essential
knowledge laid down in the succeeding pages. Please note that you are not limited
to exclusively refer to these resources. Thus, you are expected to utilize other
books, research articles and other resources that are available in the university‟s
library e.g. ebrary, search.proquest.com etc., and even online tutorial websites.
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Risk refers to the chance that some unfavorable event will occur. There is risk
whenever future outcomes are not completely certain. In finance, risk is associated
with the variability of an asset‟s return. Hence, if there is possibility that the actual
return of an asset could differ fr1om the expected return, then, the investment
involves risk. The greater the variability, the higher the risk. While actual return may
be above or below than the expected return, it should be noted that risk is usually
associated to the probability of loss or earning less than expected.
Investment risk is related to the probability that the actual return is less than the
expected return and the greater the chance of low or negative returns, the riskier
the investment.
Generally, investors are risk averse, which means as much as possible investor
will try to avoid risk. However, it is possible to persuade the investors will be
persuaded to take the risk when they will be compensated for it.
Risk and return have direct relationship to each other. If the investment involves
lower risk, you can expect that it will also give you lower returns. On the other hand,
if the investment involves higher risk, you can expect that such investment will give
you higher returns; otherwise, you will not plunge in that particular investment.
Returns are higher for high risk investments as compared to low risk investments
and the difference is considered a risk premium to compensate the investors for
taking the risk.
The rates of return probability distribution for the two companies are as follows:
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XO PRODUCTS, INC.
Based on the payoff matrix presented above, both companies have the same
expected return of 15%. Suppose the investor wishes to invest his money to only
one company, which of the two companies would he invest in? Perhaps, we might
suggest that Mr. Martinez can just invest to any of the two companies since both will
give the same expected return.
If we will only consider the expected value criteria, the suggestion to invest to any of
the companies may seem to be appropriate. However, if we will take a closer look
of the variability of the possible outcomes, we might offer a different proposition.
The range of probable returns for XO Products is from +100% to -70%. This means
that if the economy is in a boom state, it can give the investor earnings of as much
as 100%; however, if the economy is in recession state, investor can incur a loss in
as much as 70% of the investment. On the other hand, the probable returns for
Tagum Electric Company is from +20% to +10%. This means that if the economy is
in a boom state, it can give the investor earnings of 20%, which is far lower than
what XO Products can offer. However, the good thing about Tagum Electric
Company is that even if the economy is in recession, the investor can still earn 10%
of his investment as compared to XO Products where investor will already incur a
loss.
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Using the expected return criteria, we suggested that investor can just invest to any
of the companies since they have the same expected rate of return of 15%.
However, after evaluating the variability of the returns, we have concluded that XO
Products is riskier than Tagum Electric Company. With this, a risk averse investor
would normally decide that it would be better to invest to Tagum Electric Company
because it will give the same expected return at a lower risk.
In the previous section, the expected return computed is applicable for a stand-
alone investment. However, stock investments are usually held in a portfolio. For
example, an investor who has P100,000 investable funds decides to diversify his
investment and purchased three stocks allocated as follows:
Percentage
Amount Allocation
Jollibee Foods Corporation (JFC) P50,000 50%
Ayala Land Inc. (ALI) 25,000 25%
DITO Telecommunity Corporation (DITO) 25,000 25%
Total P100,000 100%
Assuming that the rate of return for each stock in the portfolio is as follows: JFC:
10%; ALI: 15% and DITO: 5%, the expected return of this portfolio can be
computed as follows:
The expected portfolio return is the weighted average of the expected returns
from the individual assets in the portfolio.
Robinsons Land Corporation is evaluating two opportunities, each having the same
initial investment. The project‟s risk and return characteristics are shown below:
Project E Project F
Expected return 0.10 0.20
Proportion invested in each project 0.50 0.50
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The expected portfolio returns can also be computed using the following formula:
n
řp=∑wiři
i=1
Where:
řp = expected portfolio return
wi= proportion of portfolio invested in asset, i
ři= expected return of asset, i
n = the number of assets in the portfolio
Substituting the formula, the expected portfolio return can be alternatively computed
as follows:
Standard Deviation
In the previous sections, it was noted that the riskiness of an investment can be
gauged with the variability of its returns. While we can observe the variability of
returns by considering how scattered or narrow the range is, it would be a big help if
we can quantify the risk. In this section, we will discuss how we can quantify risk
using standard deviation.
There are two types of probability distribution: symmetrical distribution and skewed
distribution.
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Using in data from the previous section, the standard deviation can be computed
using the steps enumerated:
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The computation for expected portfolio returns was already presented in the previous
section. In this section, computation of the standard deviation shall be discussed with
an illustration presented below:
Suppose the following projections are available for three alternative stock
investments.
Required:
4. What would be the expected return on a portfolio with equal amounts invested in
each of the three stocks (Portfolio 1)?
5. What would be the expected return if half of the portfolio were in A and the
remainder to be equally divided between B and C (Portfolio 2)?
6. Compute the standard deviation of Portfolio 1 and Portfolio 2?
7. Based on the portfolio standard deviation computation, which portfolio would
you recommend pursuing? Justify your decision.
Solution:
1.2 Then, expected return on Portfolio 1 can be computed using the formula
given in the previous section, to wit:
n
řp=∑wiři
i=1
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Coefficient of Variation
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The coefficient of variation provides a more meaningful basis for comparison when
expected returns on two or more alternatives are not the same. Based on the above
computations, XO Products is almost 17% riskier than Tagum Electric Company.
Portfolio risk is the variability of returns of the portfolio as a whole. The riskiness of
the portfolio may be less than the riskiness of any individual assets contained in the
portfolio because of diversification.
Diversification is investing in more than one type of asset to reduce risk. It could
also be investment in several different assets of the same type, but this would be
less effective. Diversification reduces risk by combining assets such as, securities
with different risk-return characteristics.
Generally:
If ρ = + 1.0, the two variables move in the same direction exactly to the same
degree and are perfectly positively correlated.
If ρ = - 1.0, the two variables move in opposite directions exactly to the same
degree and are perfectly negatively correlated.
If ρ = 0, the two variables are uncorrelated or independent to each other.
Risk reduction can be achieved through diversification if the returns of the assets
combined in a portfolio are not perfectly positively correlated. Hence, greater benefits
are achieved with less positive or more negative correlation among asset returns.
The following formula could be used to solve for the standard deviation of portfolio
returns for a two-asset portfolio:
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where:
w₁ = proportion invested in asset 1
w₂ = proportion invested in asset 2
σ₁ = standard deviation of asset 1
σ₂ = standard deviation of asset 2
ρ₁, ₂ =correlation coefficient between asset 1 and asset 2
σp= (0.5)² (0.08)² + (0.5)² (0.08)² + 2 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.08 (0.08)
σp= 0.0016 + 0.0016 + 0.0032
σp= 0.0064
σp= 0.08
σp= (0.5)² (0.08)² + (0.5)² (0.08)² + 2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.08 (0.08)
σp= 0.0016 + 0.0016 + 0.00064
σp= 0.00384
σp= 0.062
As observed, risk reduction occurs through diversification when the assets combined
are not perfectly positively correlated. With a low correlation of +0.2, the portfolio risk
is reduced from 0.08 to 0.062.
Risk Preferences
Investors want to be compensated for the risk associated with an investment. The
greater the risk, the more the demanded return. The actual amount of compensation
demanded is referred as the required rate of return. Such required rate of return is
influenced by the individual decision maker‟s attitude towards risk.
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Risk averse investors – those that require higher rates of return on higher-risk
securities. The are not willing to pay an amount as much as the expected
value of an uncertain investment.
Risk-neutral – those that are willing to pay the expected value.
Risk-takers – those that are willing to pay more than the expected value.
Illustration for Risk Averse, Risk-Neutral and Risk Taker Decision Makers
A risk averse investor would select project A because it involves the same
expected return as Project B but has a less risk.
In the previous sections, risk and return analysis focus only on both a single asset
and a portfolio or collection of two or more assets. It is noteworthy to mention that
there is what we call portfolio theory. Portfolio theory involves selection of efficient
portfolios. An efficient portfolio provides the highest return for a given level of risk or
the least risk for a given level of return. While portfolio theory originated in the
context of financial assets such as investment in equity shares, the general concepts
also apply to physical assets such as the capital budgeting projects.
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Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson.
Saunders, A., & Cornett, M. M. (2019). Financial markets and institutions (7thed.).
New York: McGraw Hill Education.
Let’s Check
You are considering purchasing two stocks. A brokerage firm has provided
estimated returns for the next year on these two stocks:
Rate of Return
State of Economy Probability Stock A Stock B
Required:
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4. Which stock would you recommend if the investor wishes to take the less
risky stock? Briefly discuss the basis of your recommendation.
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
Rate of Return
State of Economy Probability Stock A Stock B Stock C
Required:
1. Assume that your portfolio is invested 30% each in A and C, and 40% in B.
What is the expected return of the portfolio?
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Let’s Analyze
Activity 1. Read and answer the problem.
Mary Enterprises is evaluating two projects whose returns are normally distributed.
These projects have the following characteristics:
Project X Project Y
Net investment P50,000 P250,000
Expected return 100,000 500,000
Standard deviation 20,000 100,000
Coefficient of variation 0.20 0.20
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
You plan to form a portfolio of two stocks, Gigabyte Computers and Mega Value
Food Stores, and are considering two different options involving the weight of each
stock in your portfolio. You estimate the correlation coefficient of the returns
between Gigabyte and Mega Value to be ρ₁, ₂ = + 0.5. Other characteristics of the
two stocks are as shown below:
Plan A Plan B
Plan A Plan B
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3. How will the results of the computation affect your investment decision?
Discuss your portfolio of choice.
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In a Nutshell
To summarize the key concepts in this section, answer the following questions:
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2. The following are the statistical tools that can be used to quantify risk.
Discuss when they are applicable and how to apply them in making
investment decisions.
Standard deviation
Coefficient of variation
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Correlation coefficient
Q&A List
Do you have any question for clarification? Write them here.
Questions/Issues Answers
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Keyword Index
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Metalanguage
For you to demonstrate ULOa, you will need operational understanding of the terms
enumerated below.
1. Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is a model based on the proposition that
any stocks required rate of return is equal to the risk-free rate of return plus a
risk premium that reflects only the risk remaining after diversification.
4. Beta coefficient (or beta) is the measure of risk when assets are held in a
portfolio.
5. Risk-free rate is the rate of return that an investor would require in a riskless
investment. This is composed of the real rate and inflation premium.
6. Market rate of return is the expected rate of return of the market as a whole.
7. Market risk premium (or price per unit of risk) is the difference between the
market rate of return and the risk-free rate; computed as: (rm–rf).
Essential Knowledge
To perform the aforesaid big picture (unit learning outcomes) for the 6th and 7th
weeks of the course, you need to fully understand the following essential
knowledge laid down in the succeeding pages. Please note that you are not limited
to exclusively refer to these resources. Thus, you are expected to utilize other
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books, research articles and other resources that are available in the university‟s
library e.g. ebrary, search.proquest.com etc., and even online tutorial websites.
1. The previous sections focused only on the riskiness of stand-alone assets which
is generally appropriate for small businesses, many real estate investments, and
capital budgeting projects. However, the same may not be applicable for banks,
insurance companies, pension funds and other financial institutions as they are
required by law to hold diversified portfolio. It is believed that the risk of a stock
held in portfolio is typically lower than the stock‟s risk when it is held alone. Since
most investors dislike risk, they are inclined to hold portfolio to reduce risk. The
next discussion is an attempt to explain how risk should be considered when
stocks are held in a portfolio using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is a model based on the proposition that
any stocks required rate of return is equal to the risk-free rate of return plus a risk
premium that reflects only the risk remaining after diversification. It provides a
general framework for analyzing risk-return relationships for all types of assets.
CAPM uses only one part of the total risk called the systematic risk, in evaluating
the risk-return relationship.
The total risk (previously measured by standard deviation) can be separated into
two major components:
Undiversifiable risk – also called systematic or market risk. This is the part
of a security‟s risk caused by factors affecting the market as a whole. This
type of risk cannot be eliminated by diversification because it affects all firms
simultaneously. Some companies are sensitive than others to factors that
1affect systematic risk. Hence, systematic risk is the only relevant risk and
is affected by such factors as wars, inflation, interest rates, business cycles,
fiscal and monetary policies and therefore cannot be eliminated by
diversification.
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The price per unit of risk is the difference between return on the market and
the risk-free rate, that is:
Illustration 1. Suppose a particular stock has a risk-free rate of 5%, a rate of return
on the market of 12% and a beta coefficient (quantity of risk) of 1.5. What would be
the investor‟s required rate of return?
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The investor would require a risk premium of 10.5%. Thus, the required rate of
return is 15.5%.
Illustration 2.Using the same illustration, except that the beta coefficient is2.0,
what would be the required rate of return?
Solution: ri = rf+(rm – rf) (bi)
ri = 5% + (12% - 5%) (2)
ri = 5% + 14%
ri = 19%
The investor would demand for a greater rate of return because of the increase in
risk. The additional compensation (risk premium) required is 14%. Thus, the
required rate of return is 19%. As can be observed, the higher the risk, the greater
would be the required rate of return.
The Beta Coefficient Concept
The risk of a stock when it is held by itself can be measured using the standard
deviation of its expected returns. However, this is not applicable if stocks are held in
a portfolio. Hence, the systematic risk can be measured by a stock‟s beta
coefficient.
Beta is a measure of the sensitivity of a security‟s return relative to the returns of a
broad-based market portfolio securities. It measures the co-movement between a
stock and the market portfolio. The tendency of the stock to move with the market is
reflected in its beta coefficient (b), which is the measure of the stock‟s volatility
relative to an average stock.
An average-risk stock is defined as one that tends to move up and down in step
with the general market as measured by some index, such as PSE Index, Dow
Jones Industrials, the S&P 500 or the New York Stock Exchange Index.
An average stock generally has a beta (b) of 1.0 which means that is the market
moves up by 10%, the stock will also move up by 10%; on the other hand, if the
market falls by 10%, the stock will likewise fall by 10%. Hence, a portfolio of stocks
with beta of 1.0, will move up and down with the broad market averages, and it will
be just as risky as the averages.
If the beta is equal to 0.50, the stock is only half as volatile as the market – it will
riseand fall only half as much – and a portfolio of such stocks will be half as risky as
a portfolio of stocks with beta of 1.0.
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If the beta is equal to 2.0, the stock is twice as volatile as an average stock, so a
portfolio of such stocks will be twice as risky as an average portfolio. The value of
such portfolio could double – or halve – in a short time; hence, very risky.
Figure 9. Relative Volatility of Stocks A, B and C
Figure 9 presents the relative volatility of three stocks. The data below the graph
assume that in 2009 the market, defined as the portfolio consisting of all stocks,
had a total return (dividend yield plus capital gains yield) of km= 10%, and stocks A,
B and C (for High, Average and Low risk) also had returns of 10%. In 2013, the
market went up sharply, and the return on the market portfolio was k m= 20%.
Returns on the three stocks also went up: A soared to 30%; B went to 20%, the
same as the market; and C only went up to 15%. Now suppose that the market
dropped in 2014, and the market return was km= -10%. The three stocks‟ return also
fell, A plunging to -30%; B falling to -10% while C reported 0%. Thus, the three
stocks all moved in the same direction as the market, but A was by far the most
volatile; B was a volatile as the market; and C was less volatile.
If a higher-beta-than-average stock is added to an average-beta portfolio, then the
beta and consequently, the riskiness of the portfolio will increase. Conversely, if a
lower-beta-than-average stock is added to an average-risk portfolio, the portfolio‟s
beta and risk will decline.
To summarize, the market risk of a stock is measured by its beta coefficient, which
is an index of the stock‟s volatility. Some benchmark betas follow:
b = 0.5 : Stock is only half as volatile, or risky, as the average stock.
b = 1.0 : Stock is of average risk.
b = 2.0 : Stock is twice as risky as the average stock.
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Portfolio beta coefficient can be computed as the weighted average of the individual
securities‟ betas. The beta of the portfolio reflects how volatile the portfolio is in
relation to the market.
Since the portfolio beta is lower than 1, we can safely say that this portfolio is less
risky than the market. Hence, it should experience relatively narrow price swings
and have relatively small rate of return fluctuations.
Suppose one of the existing stocks is sold and replaced by a stock with b1 = 2, what
will happen to the portfolio beta? In this case, since, one of the stocks has
increased its beta, we can expect that the portfolio beta will also increase as
computed as follows:
Hence, from a portfolio beta of 0.80, it increased to 1.2 as a stock with higher beta
was added in the portfolio.
With a portfolio beta of .62, a market return of 11% and a risk-free rate of 5%, an
investor can expect a return of:
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The CAPM is expressed graphically by the security market line (SML). The security
market line represents the linear relationship between a security‟s required rate of
return and its risks as measured by beta.
Figure 10 shows the SML and the risk-return tradeoff of Stock 1 and Stock 2. As can
be gleaned, the risk-free rate is 8% whereas the market rate of return is 14%;
therefore, the market risk premium is 6% (14%-8%). Stock 1 with a beta coefficient
of 2 would require a high risk premium of 12%; hence, its required rate of return is
20%. On the other hand, Stock 2 with a beta coefficient of 0.5 would require a low
risk premium of 3%, hence, its required rate of return is 11%.
The required rate of return computed under CAPM can also be used as a market-
based hurdle rate for the purpose of evaluating investments. A hurdle rate is the
minimum rate of return required for a project to be accepted. Hence, if an assets‟
expected rate of return equals or exceeds the required return (falls on or above the
SML), as computed by CAPM, the asset is accepted; otherwise, it is rejected.
Based on the previous illustration, Stock 1 and Stock 2 have required rates of return
of 20% and 11%, respectively. Assume that the expected return for Stock 1 is 18%
and for Stock 2 is 15%. Should the investments be acquired based on the SML?
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Figure 11 shows that Stock 2‟s expected return of 15% is above the SML and
therefore should be acquired because it is higher than the required rate of return
(hurdle rate) of 11%. On the other hand, Stock 1 is rejected because it is expected
return is only 18% which is lower than the required rate of return of 20%. Also, based
on the graph, the expected return of Stock 1 of 18% is under the SML; hence, should
be rejected.
The CAPM is based on restrictive assumptions about investor behavior and the
securities market.
Assumptions about investor behavior include:
Investors are risk-averse and expect to be rewarded for taking risks;
Investors act rationally and prefer a security with the highest return for a given
level of risk, or the lowest risk for a given level of return;
Investors make their decisions based on a single time horizon; and
Investors share the same expectations about the risk and return
characteristics of securities.
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CAPM‟s limitation lies on the fact that some of its assumptions do not all reflect
reality. There is also greater possibility that we may not be able to determine the
average return on market portfolio since they could be many possible bases and we
may not be able to determine which is most representative of the market. Another
concern is related to beta estimation because the applicability and relevance of a
company‟s beta will depend on the futureplans of the firm.
With these limitations, finance researchers have introduced other asset pricing
models which considers other risk factors to the predictive relationship of risk and
return other than the market risk. These factors such as firm size and book-to-market
ratio are used along with beta as measure of market risk.
Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson.
Saunders, A., & Cornett, M. M. (2019). Financial markets and institutions (7th ed.).
New York: McGraw Hill Education.
Let’s Check
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Problem 1.Assume that the risk-free rate is 8%. The expected return on the market
is 16%. If a particular stock has a beta of .7, what is the expected return based on
the CAPM?
Problem 2.The ordinaryequity share of Cebu Air, Inc. (CEB) has an estimated beta
of 1.2. The risk-free rate is 7% and the expected return on the market is 12%.
2.3. Assume that the risk-free rate of 7% includes an inflation premium of 4%. What
would happen to the required rate of return if the inflationary expectations of
investors will increase to 6%?
Let’s Analyze
Activity 1. Investment Evaluationusing Beta Coefficient
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Joel Securities plans to purchase equal amount of four of the following equity
shares for one of its clients. The client already holds a highly diversified portfolio.
The risk-free rate of return is estimated at 8% and the expected market return at
14%. The beta coefficients of the equity shares are as follows:
Equity Share 1 2 3 4 56
Betai 1.5 1.0 0.8 2.0 0.3 1.2
Questions:
Stock 1: ______________________________________________________
Stock 2: ______________________________________________________
Stock 3: ______________________________________________________
Stock 4: ______________________________________________________
Stock 5: ______________________________________________________
Stock 6: ______________________________________________________
2. If the client wants to have the lowest risk portfolio, what four (4) equity shares
should be selected?
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3. What is the required rate of return of the four-equity shares portfolio selected?
Assume an equal investment in each equity share.
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_____________________________________________________________
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Stock A: ______________________________________________________
Stock B: ______________________________________________________
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Stock C: ______________________________________________________
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In a Nutshell
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3. What will happen to the required rate of return when beta coefficient increases?
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_____________________________________________________________
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5. How do you make investment decisions using Security Market Line (SML)?
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Q&A List
Do you have any question for clarification? Write them here.
Questions/Issues Answers
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Keyword Index
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Course Schedules
Activities Date Where to Submit
Big Picture (Week 1-3) ULOa: Let’s Check October 31, CF email/Quipper
Activity 2020
Big Picture (Week 1-3) ULOa: Let’s Analyze October 31, CF email/Quipper
Activity 2020
Big Picture (Week 1-3) ULOa: In a Nutshell October 31, CF email/Quipper
Activity 2020
Big Picture (Week 1-3) ULOb: Let’s Check November 5, CF email/Quipper
Activity 2020
Big Picture (Week 1-3) ULOb: Let’s Analyze November 5, CF email/Quipper
Activity 2020
Big Picture (Week 1-3) ULOb: In a Nutshell November 5, CF email/Quipper
Activity 2020
1ST EXAMINATION November 6, Quipper
2020
Big Picture (Week 4-5) ULOa: Let’s Check November 14, CF email/Quipper
Activities 2020
Big Picture (Week 4-5) ULOa: Let’s Analyze November 14, CF email/Quipper
Activity 2020
Big Picture (Week 4-5) ULOa: In a Nutshell November 14, CF email/Quipper
Activities 2020
Big Picture (Week 4-5) ULOb: Let’s Check November 19, CF email/Quipper
Activity 2020
Big Picture (Week 4-5) ULOb: Let’s Analyze November 19, CF email/Quipper
Activity 2020
Big Picture (Week 4-5) ULOb: In a Nutshell November 19, CF email/Quipper
Activities 2020
2ND EXAMINATION November 20, Quipper
2020
Big Picture (Week 6-7) ULOa: Let’s Check November 28, CF email/Quipper
Activity 2020
Big Picture (Week 6-7) ULOa: Let’s Analyze November 28, CF email/Quipper
Activities 2020
Big Picture (Week 6-7) ULOa: In a Nutshell November 28, CF email/Quipper
Activities 2020
Big Picture (Week 6-7) ULOb: Let’s Check December 3, CF email/Quipper
Activity 2020
Big Picture (Week 6-7) ULOb: Let’s Analyze December 3, CF email/Quipper
Activity 2020
Big Picture (Week 6-7) ULOb: In a Nutshell December 3, CF email/Quipper
2020
3RD EXAMINATION December 4, Quipper
2020
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Big Picture (Week 8-9) ULOa: Let’s Check December 12, CF email/Quipper
Activity 2020
Big Picture (Week 8-9) ULOa: Let’s Analyze December 12, CF email/Quipper
Activities 2020
Big Picture (Week 8-9) ULOa: In a Nutshell December 12, CF email/Quipper
Activities 2020
Big Picture (Week 8-9) ULOb: Let’s Check December 16, CF email/Quipper
Activity 2020
Big Picture (Week 8-9) ULOb: Let’s Analyze December 16, CF email/Quipper
Activity 2020
Big Picture (Week 8-9) ULOb: In a Nutshell December 16, CF email/Quipper
2020
FINALS December 17- Quipper
18, 2020
5) Plagiarism is a serious intellectual crime and shall be dealt with accordingly. The
University shall institute monitoring mechanisms online to detect and penalize
plagiarism.
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7) Teachers/Course Facilitators shall devote time to handle OBD or DED courses and
shall honestly exercise due assessment of student performance.
10) Students shall not allow anyone else to access their personal LMS account.
Students shall not post or share their answers, assignment or examinations to
others to further academic fraudulence online.
11) By handling OBD or DED courses, teachers/Course Facilitators agree and abide by
all the provisions of the Online Code of Conduct, as well as all the requirements
and protocols in handling online courses.
12) By enrolling in OBD or DED courses, students agree and abide by all the
provisions of the Online Code of Conduct, as well as all the requirements and
protocols in handling online courses.
(1) The Deans, Asst. Deans, Discipline Chairs and Program Heads shall be responsible
in monitoring the conduct of their respective OBD classes through the Quipper LMS.
The LMS monitoring protocols shall be followed, i.e. monitoring of the conduct of
Teacher Activities (Views and Posts) with generated utilization graphs and data.
Individual faculty PDF utilization reports shall be generated and consolidated by
program and by college.
(2) The Academic Affairs and Academic Planning & Services shall monitor the conduct
of LMS sessions. The Academic Vice Presidents and the Deans shall collaborate to
conduct virtual CETA by randomly joining LMS classes to check and review online
the status and interaction of the faculty and the students.
(3) For DED, the Deans and Program Heads shall come up with monitoring instruments,
taking into consideration how the programs go about the conduct of DED classes.
Consolidated reports shall be submitted to Academic Affairs for endorsement to the
Chief Operating Officer.
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Approved by:
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