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Original Investigation

Comparison of Patient Survival Between Hemodialysis


and Peritoneal Dialysis Among Patients Eligible for
Both Modalities
Ben Wong, Pietro Ravani, Matthew J. Oliver, Jayna Holroyd-Leduc, Lorraine Venturato, Amit X. Garg, and
Robert R. Quinn

Background: Although peritoneal dialysis (PD) among patients younger than 65 years. Complete author and article
costs less to the health care system compared to However, after excluding approximately one-third information provided before
references.
in-center hemodialysis (HD), it is an underused of all incident patients deemed to be ineligible
therapy. Neither modality has been consistently for PD, the modalities were associated with Correspondence to
shown to confer a clear benefit to patient similar survival regardless of age. This finding B. Wong (bcw@ualberta.
net)
survival. A key limitation of prior research is that was also observed in analyses that were
study patients were not restricted to those restricted to patients initiating dialysis therapy Am J Kidney Dis. 71(3):
eligible for both therapies. electively as outpatients. The impact of modality 344-351. Published online
November 22, 2017.
on survival did not vary over time.
Study Design: Retrospective cohort study. doi: 10.1053/
Setting & Participants: All adult patients devel- Limitations: The determination of PD eligibility j.ajkd.2017.08.028
oping end-stage renal disease from January 2004 was based on the judgment of the multidisci- © 2017 by the National
to December 2013 at any of 7 regional dialysis plinary team at each dialysis center. Kidney Foundation, Inc.
centers in Ontario, Canada, who had received
Conclusions: HD and PD are associated with
at least 1 outpatient dialysis treatment and
similar mortality among incident dialysis patients
had completed a multidisciplinary modality
who are eligible for both modalities. The effect of
assessment.
modality on survival does not appear to change
Predictor: HD or PD. over time. Future comparisons of dialysis mo-
dality should be restricted to individuals who are
Outcomes: Mortality from any cause.
deemed eligible for both modalities to reflect the
Results: Among all incident patients with end- outcomes of patients who have the opportunity
stage renal disease (1,579 HD and 453 PD), to choose between HD and PD in clinical
PD was associated with lower risk for death practice.

M anagement of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) is


resource intensive, and the cost of caring for patients
with ESRD is largely driven by the provision of mainte-
comparisons do not appear to be possible, strategies to
minimize the potential for bias in observational studies
comparing different dialysis therapies are important to
nance.1 In 2013, the United States spent more than $25 inform clinical practice.
billion (w7% of all Medicare expenditure) caring for pa- One key limitation of previous works is that compari-
sons were not restricted to patients who were eligible for
Editorial, p. 309 both therapies—the population faced with a decision be-
tween the 2 therapies in clinical practice.16 This may have
tients who had ESRD, although this cohort made up <0.5% led to biased results because patients who are not eligible
of the Medicare population.1 Peritoneal dialysis (PD) affords for PD tend to have worse health status than those who are
cost savings to the health care system compared to con- eligible for PD.6,17-20 The primary objective of this study
ventional in-center hemodialysis (HD),2,3 but remains an was to compare survival in incident patients with ESRD
underused therapy.1 As a result, many jurisdictions have treated with HD or PD who were eligible for both thera-
introduced strategies to increase the use of PD, including pies. As a secondary objective, we attempted to quantify
implementation of the ESRD Prospective Payment System.4,5 the impact of including ineligible patients on mortality in
However, there remains equipoise regarding the impact prior comparisons of HD and PD.
of dialysis modality on patient survival. The single ran-
domized controlled trial comparing the 2 therapies was
Methods
unable to meet recruitment targets because patients
developed strong preferences for a particular dialysis mo- Overview
dality when they were educated about their treatment We conducted a retrospective cohort study using deiden-
options, and it is unlikely that another randomized tified administrative health data stored at the Institute for
controlled trial will be completed.6 Numerous observa- Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES) in Toronto, Canada. The
tional studies comparing PD and HD have been conducted Conjoint Health Research Ethics Board at the University of
in this area with mixed results.6-15 Given that randomized Calgary and the Institutional Review Board at Sunnybrook

344 AJKD Vol 71 | Iss 3 | March 2018


Original Investigation

Health Sciences Center, Toronto, Canada, approved the status 6 months following the initiation of dialysis therapy
study. Informed consent was waived due to deidentified regardless of whether they were still receiving dialysis or
information. had died, recovered, or transferred out of a program. We
excluded patients with less than 6 months of “potential
Data Sources follow-up” to ensure that minimum follow-up on dialysis
We used data collected from January 2004 through therapy was 6 months. However, if patients died or
December 2013 from the 7 centers that participated in the stopped dialysis therapy early for transplantation, they
Dialysis Measurement Analysis and Reporting (DMAR) were included. This is in contrast to actual follow-up time,
system (Sunnybrook Health Sciences Center, Halton which is measured from the initiation date of dialysis
Healthcare, London Health Sciences Center, Grand River therapy until a patient dies or has a censoring event. A
Hospital, Sault Area Hospital, William Osler Health Center, minimum of 6 months of potential follow-up was chosen
and The Ottawa Hospital). The DMAR system prospec- to ensure adequate time to declare modality choice,
tively collects high-quality data for the purposes of quality observe for clinical outcomes, and minimize the risk for
improvement, using a web-based data collection platform. bias introduced by urgent dialysis therapy starts, for which
Data elements include detailed information for de- patients are preferentially treated with HD and have a poor
mographics, comorbid conditions, laboratory values, his- prognosis.
tory of predialysis care, and acuity of dialysis therapy We constructed 3 different patient cohorts: (1) all pa-
initiation. All dialysis modality changes, hospitalizations, tients who had completed modality assessment, regardless
vascular access procedures, transplantations, patients lost to of their eligibility for PD, to mirror the population used in
follow-up, transfers out of the program, and deaths are traditional analyses (traditional cohort); (2) patients
captured. Data are entered by trained front-line staff using deemed eligible for both dialysis modalities to reflect those
a standardized coding scheme. To ensure data quality, all faced with a modality choice in clinical practice (eligible
data elements collected at the participating sites are cohort); and (3) patients deemed eligible for both mo-
double-reviewed by the same 2 investigators (R.R.Q. and dalities who initiated dialysis therapy electively as out-
M.J.O.) and queries are communicated to end users to be patients to determine whether exclusion of patients who
rectified. Using encrypted versions of patients’ unique initiated dialysis therapy in the hospital affected results
health insurance numbers, data from the Canadian Organ (eligible outpatient cohort). The process of determining
Replacement Register and Registered Persons Database PD eligibility has been described previously in detail.18
were linked to DMAR to obtain additional information
(self-reported race, primary kidney disease, and socio- Statistical Analyses
economic status) that may confound the relationship be- We used standard methods for descriptive statistics and
tween dialysis modality and survival. group comparison (PD vs HD). Frequency was reported
for qualitative variables and mean ± standard deviation or
Patient Population median with range were reported, as appropriate, for
Consecutive incident patients 18 years or older initiating quantitative variables. We screened for collinearity using
dialysis therapy at each participating center were included the variance inflation factor.21
if they: (1) had a diagnosis of ESRD confirmed by a The initial outpatient dialysis treatment modality (PD vs
nephrologist, (2) had received at least 1 outpatient dialysis HD) was the primary exposure of interest. Patients were
treatment, and (3) had completed a multidisciplinary followed up from the date of the first outpatient dialysis
modality assessment. A multidisciplinary team including a treatment for all-cause mortality. Follow-up was censored
nephrologist, predialysis nurse(s), PD and/or acute care at the occurrence of transplantation, loss to follow-up,
nurse(s), and sometimes a social worker met every 2 recovery of kidney function, or end of the study period,
weeks at the respective regional dialysis programs to re- but not with changes in dialysis modality. To account for
view incident dialysis patients and determine eligibility for patients who initiated HD therapy urgently but subse-
HD and PD using a structured assessment (Item S1). The quently switched to PD therapy because PD was their
team ensured that patients were educated about their modality choice, we performed a sensitivity analysis on the
treatment options and offered the therapies they were eligible cohort in which patients who converted from HD
candidates for so that they could make an informed choice. to PD within 6 months of initiating dialysis therapy were
Patients who had previously received a kidney transplant removed from the analysis.
and those who had recovered kidney function within 180 Survival methods were used to compare mortality ac-
days of dialysis therapy initiation were excluded. We also cording to dialysis modality in the 3 separate cohorts. We
excluded those with less than 6 months of potential used Cox regression to adjust for covariates that may have
follow-up, those who had had significant gaps (>1 month) confounded the relationship between dialysis modality and
in follow-up due to temporary transfer out of the program, all-cause mortality. These included demographic variables
and those who had had significant gaps in dialysis treat- (age stratified into <65, 65-74, and ≥75 years; sex; and self-
ment of more than 31 days. Potential follow-up for 6 reported race), socioeconomic status as defined by neigh-
months means that we were able to report on a patient’s borhood income quintile, primary kidney disease (diabetes,

AJKD Vol 71 | Iss 3 | March 2018 345


Original Investigation

hypertension, glomerulonephritis, polycystic kidney dis- All analyses were conducted using Stata, version 13.1
ease, and other), inpatient dialysis therapy initiation, co- (StataCorp LP).
morbid medical conditions (presence of diabetes, coronary
artery disease, congestive heart failure, cerebrovascular
Results
disease, malignancy, and peripheral vascular disease),
receipt of a minimum of 4 months of predialysis care, and Study Population
baseline laboratory variables (hemoglobin, creatinine, and There were 2,146 patients who had confirmed ESRD and
albumin). Neighborhood income quintile is a household had received at least 1 outpatient dialysis treatment after the
size–adjusted measure of household income on the basis of exclusion of certain patients. Patients were excluded for the
the 2006 Canadian Census data. Quintiles were defined following reasons: previous transplant (148 [6%]: 133 HD,
within each neighborhood and not across the entire prov- 15 PD), less than 6 months of potential follow-up (160
ince to minimize the effect of large differences in housing [6%]: 120 HD, 40 PD), significant gaps (>1 month) in
costs and ensure an equal percentage of the population in follow-up due to temporary transfer out of the program
each income quintile. We also included prespecified inter- (110 [4%]: 100 HD, 10 PD), significant gaps in dialysis
action terms (age × modality, sex × modality, and treatment of more than 31 days (13 [0.5%]: 3 HD, 10 PD),
diabetes × modality) containing variables that may modify and recovered kidney function within 6 months (65 [2%]:
the relationship between dialysis modality and survival.7-12 64 HD, 1 PD). Of these, 114 (5%) could not be assessed for
Interaction terms were retained only if they were significant PD (Fig 1). Of the remaining patients, 460 (23%) had a
at P < 0.05. We tested the proportional hazards assumption contraindication to PD and an additional 196 (10%) had
using formal tests based on Schoenfeld residuals, and barriers to PD that could not be overcome with support.
graphically, using log-log plots for categorical covariates, These barriers are categorized into 4 groups: medical (eg,
and plotting the slope of the scaled Schoenfeld residuals nocturia), physical (eg, frailty), social (eg, small living
over (log) time for quantitative variables. For the patient space), and cognitive (eg, learning disability; Fig 1).
cohort in which the proportional hazards requirement was The traditional cohort consisted of 2,032 patients,
violated, we performed further Cox analysis stratified by age including 1,579 HD and 453 PD patients. Patients were
and if necessary by follow-up time (before and after year 3). followed up for a median of 520 days. Overall, HD patients

2146 paƟents with


confirmed ESRD and had
received at least one
outpaƟent dialysis
treatment
114 (5%) could not complete
460 (23%) had a contraindicaƟon to PD
modality assessment
• 44 Refused to parƟcipate Medical
• 37 Transferred out of program 86 Abdominal scarring
• 20 Died TradiƟonal cohort 50 Obesity
• 7 Other 20 Abdominal aneurysm
(N=2032) 19 Cirrhosis
• 6 PalliaƟve
16 Hernia not repairable
15 Ileostomy
14 Colostomy
13 Large polycysƟc kidneys
12 Bowel cancer
196 (10%) had at least one barrier 10 DiverƟculiƟs
to PD that could not be overcome 10 Ileal conduit
with support (categories are not 8 Future abdominal surgery
mutually exclusive) 8 Inflammatory bowel disease
• 138 Medical 48 Other *
• 142 Physical
• 113 Social Social
• 109 CogniƟve 64 Nursing home
Eligible cohort 18 ReƟrement home
(N=1376) 12 No permanent residence
10 Complex conƟnuing care
27 Other %

OutpaƟent Eligible
cohort (N=874)

Figure 1. A total of 2,146 patients met inclusion criteria; 124 patients were unable to complete dialysis modality assessment. Of the
remaining patients, 460 (23%) had a contraindication to peritoneal dialysis (PD) and 196 (10%) had barriers to PD that could not be
overcome with support. *Bowel obstruction, diarrhea, gastrostomy tube, gastroparesis, incontinence, ischemic gut, and nephrotic
syndrome. %Rehabilitation, small living space, and employment. Abbreviation: ESRD, end-stage renal disease.

346 AJKD Vol 71 | Iss 3 | March 2018


AJKD Vol 71 | Iss 3 | March 2018

Original Investigation
Table 1. Baseline Patient Characteristics as per Cohort Definition
Traditional Cohort (n = 2,032) Eligible Cohort (n = 1,376) Eligible Outpatient Cohort (n = 874)
Variable HD PD P HD PD P HD PD P
Total no. of patients 1,579 453 926 450 465 409
Age, y 66.8 ± 15.3 64.8 ± 14.8 0.01 65.3 ± 16.0 64.7 ± 14.8 0.5 64.1 ± 16.2 64.1 ± 14.4 0.9
Female sex 40.5% 40.2% 0.9 38.3% 40.4% 0.5 35.7% 40.6% 0.1
Race 0.3 0.9 0.2
White 72.7% 68.4% 68.6% 68.2% 70.8% 68.0%
Asian 4.6% 5.1% 5.9% 5.1% 4.5% 5.4%
Black 4.4% 6.0% 4.8% 6.0% 3.2% 6.1%
Other 10.1% 12.8% 12.6% 12.9% 11.8% 13.2%
Unknown 8.2% 7.7% 8.1% 7.8% 9.7% 7.3%
Income quintile 0.2 0.4 0.07
1 23.2% 19.0% 22.6% 19.1% 23.0% 18.1%
2 18.8% 22.5% 20.4% 22.7% 17.6% 23.0%
3 19.6% 21.0% 19.0% 21.1% 19.4% 22.0%
4 19.6% 19.0% 17.5% 18.7% 18.1% 19.3%
5 18.8% 18.5% 20.5% 18.4% 21.9% 17.6%
Primary kidney disease 0.006 0.01 0.4
Diabetes 37.0% 34.2% 35.5% 34.4% 32.9% 35.2%
Glomerulonephritis 18.2% 18.1% 19.3% 17.8% 19.1% 18.3%
Other 23.9% 19.6% 23.9% 19.6% 24.7% 19.6%
Polycystic kidney disease 3.2% 6.2% 2.9% 6.2% 4.7% 6.1%
Renal vascular 17.7% 21.9% 18.4% 22.0% 18.5% 20.8%
Inpatient start 54.1% 9.9% <0.001 49.8% 9.1% <0.001 — — —
Diabetes 55.0% 46.4% 0.001 52.7% 46.0% 0.02 50.3% 45.7% 0.2
Coronary artery disease 37.3% 26.3% <0.001 35.2% 26.0% 0.001 30.8% 24.5% 0.04
Congestive heart failure 31.0% 16.8% <0.001 28.3% 16.0% <0.001 17.2% 13.5% 0.1
Cerebrovascular disease 19.1% 9.9% <0.001 17.3% 9.8% <0.001 13.8% 9.1% 0.03
Malignancy 21.6% 14.1% <0.001 17.6% 14.0% 0.1 18.7% 14.2% 0.08
Peripheral vascular disease 19.7% 10.6% <0.001 16.7% 10.7% 0.003 14.2% 9.8% 0.05
Received predialysis care ≥4 mo 78.1% 94.9% <0.001 80.2% 95.1% <0.001 91.2% 96.6% 0.001
Hemoglobin, g/dL 9.7 ± 2.0 10.7 ± 1.4 <0.001 9.6 ± 1.7 10.7 ± 1.4 <0.001 10.0 ± 1.6 10.8 ± 1.4 <0.001
eGFR, mL/min/1.73 m2 9.3 ± 10.1 8.6 ± 3.3 0.02 8.8 ± 9.1 8.5 ± 3.1 0.4 8.6 ± 3.4 8.4 ± 3.0 0.3
Albumin, g/dL 3.3 ± 1.8 3.8 ± 0.5 <0.001 3.5 ± 2.2 3.8 ± 0.5 <0.001 3.6 ± 0.6 3.8 ± 0.5 <0.001
Note: Values for categorical variables are given as percentages; values for continuous variables, as mean ± standard deviation.
Abbreviations: eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; HD, hemodialysis; PD, peritoneal dialysis.
347
Original Investigation

were older and had a higher frequency of diabetes, coro- 94 of which occurred in the PD group, corresponding to
nary artery disease, congestive heart failure, cerebrovas- an event rate of 0.47 and 0.38 deaths per 1,000 patient-
cular disease, malignancy, and peripheral vascular disease days, respectively (Table 2). We found the same signifi-
(Table 1). They also initiated dialysis therapy with lower cant interaction between age and dialysis modality
hemoglobin and albumin values, had more inpatient (P = 0.02). Age was again identified as an effect modifier.
dialysis therapy starts, and were less likely to have received The effect of dialysis modality on survival did not vary over
at least 4 months of predialysis care. time, and PD and HD were associated with a similar risk
The eligible cohort consisted of 1,376 patients (926 HD for death (adjusted HRPD:HD, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.82-1.42;
and 450 PD patients), representing 68% of those who Figs 2 and S3).
completed modality assessment and were deemed eligible In the eligible outpatient cohort (n = 874), there were
for both dialysis modalities (Table 1). Patients were fol- 186 (21%) deaths, 107 of which occurred in the HD
lowed up for a median of 547 days. Among eligible pa- group and 79 of which occurred in the PD group, corre-
tients, HD patients had a higher burden of comorbid sponding to event rates of 0.41 and 0.34, respectively
conditions and were more likely to initiate dialysis therapy (Table 2). We found that none of the prespecified inter-
in an inpatient setting. There was a high proportion of action terms were significant (age × modality: P = 0.07;
central venous catheter (CVC) use, with 84% of HD pa- sex × modality, P = 0.4; and diabetes × modality, P = 0.3).
tients dialyzing via a CVC. People treated with PD and HD had similar risks for all-
The eligible outpatient cohort consisted of 874 patients cause mortality (adjusted HRPD:HD, 1.19; 95% CI, 0.86-
(465 HD and 409 PD) who initiated dialysis therapy 1.65), with constant estimates over time (Figs 2 and S4).
electively, as outpatients. Patients were followed up for a
median of 564 days. Baseline characteristics between HD Sensitivity Analysis
and PD patients in this cohort were more homogeneous When patients in the eligible cohort who converted from
(Table 1). Use of a CVC remained high; 73% of HD HD to PD therapy within 6 months of initiating dialysis
patients dialyzed via a CVC. therapy were removed from the analysis, none of the pre-
specified interaction terms were significant. Again, the effect
Survival Data of dialysis modality on survival did not vary over time, and
In the traditional cohort (n = 2,032), there were 628 PD and HD were associated with a similar risk for mortality
(31%) deaths, 530 of which occurred in the HD group and (adjusted HRPD:HD, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.82-1.45).
98 of which occurred in the PD group, corresponding to
event rates of 0.65 and 0.42 deaths per 1,000 patient-days,
respectively (Table 2). We found a significant interaction Discussion
between age and dialysis modality (P = 0.02) and a time- In this analysis comparing HD and PD, we attempted to
varying association between dialysis modality and mor- make the 2 populations more comparable by including
tality (before and after year 3). There was no statistically only patients deemed eligible for PD after a multidisci-
significant difference in all-cause mortality between HD plinary assessment. We initially found that there was no
and PD in the elderly (65-74 and ≥75 years; Figs 2 and difference in survival between the 2 therapies in patients
S1). However, in those younger than 65 years, PD was older than 65 years, but that PD was associated with lower
associated with significantly lower risk for death when risk for death in younger patients in analyses in the
compared to HD in the first 3 years of dialysis therapy traditional cohort. However, approximately one-third of
(adjusted hazard ratio for PD vs HD [HRPD:HD] = 0.60; all incident dialysis patients were deemed ineligible for PD.
95% confidence interval [CI], 0.42-0.86; Figs 2 and S2). When these patients were excluded, we found that HD and
In the eligible cohort (n = 1,376), there were 333 PD were associated with similar survival in incident dial-
(24%) deaths, 239 of which occurred in the HD group and ysis patients, regardless of age. The effect was robust in

Table 2. Survival Data Pertaining to Various Cohorts


Cohort HD Event Ratea PD Event Ratea Unadjusted HRPD:HD (95% CI) Adjusted HRPD:HD (95% CI)
Traditional
Overall 0.65 0.42 0.59 (0.48-0.73)
Age < 65 y, before y 3 0.60 (0.42-0.86)
Age < 65 y, after y 3 1.45 (0.74-2.86)
Age ≥ 65 y, before y 3 0.91 (0.69-1.19)
Age ≥ 65 y, after y 3 1.54 (0.93-2.50)
Eligible 0.47 0.38 0.76 (0.60-0.97) 1.08 (0.82-1.42)
Eligible outpatient 0.41 0.34 0.83 (0.62-1.11) 1.19 (0.86-1.65)
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; HD, hemodialysis; HR PD:HD, hazard ratio for PD vs HD; PD, peritoneal dialysis.
a
Number of deaths per 1,000 patient-days.

348 AJKD Vol 71 | Iss 3 | March 2018


Original Investigation

our analyses to only patients deemed eligible for both


dialysis modalities. Selection bias may better explain the
observed change in the RR for death over time between
HD and PD in previous studies.11 The inclusion of sicker
patients and urgent starts may bias analyses against HD
early in the treatment course because they have a much
higher initial mortality rate and are treated almost exclu-
sively with HD. Consistent with our findings, the increase
over time in the RR for death on PD compared to HD
therapy has been shown to disappear when acute-start
patients are excluded.11 It may be that patients who are
not eligible for PD are also more likely to start dialysis
therapy urgently while admitted to the hospital.
The presence of diabetes has been shown to modify the
relationship between dialysis modality and survival in
previous studies.2,8,9,12,13 Similar findings were reported
Figure 2. Adjusted risk for death (peritoneal dialysis vs hemodi- for older patients compared with younger patients8,9,12-14
alysis) according to cohort definition. Abbreviation: HR, hazard and for females compared with males.12-14 In our study,
ratio. after we excluded patients who were not eligible for PD,
only age was found to modify the relationship between
modality choice and survival. Of note, older age was not
analyses that were restricted to patients initiating dialysis found to be associated with lower PD eligibility after ac-
therapy electively, as outpatients. In addition, the impact counting for barriers to self-care and family support in a
of modality on survival did not vary over time. previous analysis.18
In this study, we assessed the association between patient Our study has important strengths. First, it was based on
survival and dialysis modality restricting the analysis to high-quality data collected prospectively in clinical practice
patients who were eligible for both PD and HD, which is to with rigorous oversight. Second, we restricted our analysis to
our knowledge has not previously been studied, aside from patients who were considered eligible for both HD and PD
the prior attempt at a randomized controlled trial.6 This is a using a structured assessment. This information is not
relevant consideration because only patients who are routinely available in prior studies of patients with ESRD, but
eligible for both therapies are faced with a choice between is important and allows us to focus on the patient group that
the 2 in clinical practice, and studies should ideally be is faced with a choice between HD and PD in clinical practice.
restricted to this population.16 Unfortunately, most regis- Our study also has limitations. First, the determination
tries do not contain information about eligibility. In our of PD eligibility was based on the consensus of the
study, PD eligibility was determined using a structured respective multidisciplinary team at each dialysis center.
approach that was centrally reviewed to enhance trans- There may have been subjective variations across the
parency and minimize subjectivity. Patients who did not various participating centers, but the process reflected
undergo modality assessment and those deemed ineligible actual decision making in everyday clinical practice. Sec-
for PD made up 36% of the total dialysis population, were ond, we did not perform an as-treated analysis that takes
older, and had a higher burden of comorbid conditions. into account changes in dialysis modality and/or vascular
Prior estimates6,17-20 of PD eligibility have ranged from 64% access over time for each respective incident patient. It is
to 83% among incident dialysis patients. As a consequence, not uncommon for patients with ESRD to switch from one
PD eligibility may have been an important contributor to the dialysis modality to another, and our analysis does not
underlying case-mix differences between HD and PD pa- show the association between current dialysis modality
tients in many of the previous comparisons. The population and mortality. However, we performed sensitivity analysis
of patients who are not eligible for PD may naturally carry a in which patients who converted from HD to PD within 6
poor prognosis, and inclusion of these patients in prior months of initiating dialysis therapy were removed from
analyses may have led to biased results. the analysis and we reached similar findings. Third, our
Some have posited that there may be an initial survival cohort was smaller than most registry studies comparing
advantage with PD that dissipates over time.7,8,10,12 This HD and PD, but similar in size compared with other cohort
has historically been explained by better preservation of studies done to date.10,14,15 Fourth, despite adjusting for
residual kidney function and urine output in PD patients comorbid conditions, the analysis does not necessarily
followed by loss of ultrafiltration capacity, inadequate account for the severity of patients’ comorbid diseases.
volume control, and elevated risk for death the longer a Taken together, we acknowledge that there is residual
patient spends on therapy.22,23 However, we did not find confounding given the observational nature of this study,
that the relative risk (RR) for death on PD therapy, as and the association found between mortality and dialysis
compared to HD, changes over time when we restricted modality in this study does not imply causality.

AJKD Vol 71 | Iss 3 | March 2018 349


Original Investigation

In conclusion, we have shown that HD and PD are a PD catheter registry for the North American Research Consortium
associated with similar mortality among incident dialysis of the International Society of Peritoneal Dialysis.
patients who are eligible for both modalities. The effect of Disclaimer: The opinions, results, and conclusions are those of the
modality on survival does not appear to change over time. authors and are independent from the funding sources. No
endorsement by ICES, AMOSO, SSMD, LHRI, CIHR, or the
Ideally, future studies should be restricted to individuals MOHLTC is intended or should be inferred. Parts of this material
who are deemed eligible for both modalities when are based on data and/or information compiled and provided by
possible, in an attempt to reflect the outcomes of patients Canadian Institute for Health Information (CIHI). However, the
faced with a choice between HD and PD therapy in clinical analyses, conclusions, opinions and statements expressed in the
practice. material are those of the author, and not necessarily those of CIHI.
Peer Review: Received February 26, 2017. Evaluated by 2 external
peer reviewers, with direct editorial input from a Statistics/Methods
Supplementary Material Editor, an Associate Editor, and the Editor-in-Chief. Accepted in
Figure S1: Survival curves for traditional cohort for those age 65 and revised form August 27, 2017.
older.
Figure S2: Survival curves for traditional cohort for those younger References
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Item S1: Structured assessment to determine eligibility for HD and
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Authors’ Full Names and Academic Degrees: Ben Wong, MD,
MSc, Pietro Ravani, MD, PhD, Matthew J. Oliver, MD, MHS, Jayna patients with end-stage renal disease: the impact of dialysis
Holroyd-Leduc, MD, Lorraine Venturato, PhD, Amit X. Garg, MD, modality and dialysis access. Am J Kidney Dis. 2002;40(3):
PhD, and Robert R. Quinn, MD, PhD. 611-622.
4. Hornberger J, Hirth RA. Financial implications of choice of
Authors’ Affiliations: Department of Community Health Sciences,
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University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta (BW, PR, JH-L, RRQ);
economic analysis. Am J Kidney Dis. 2012;60(2):280-287.
Department of Medicine, Headwaters Health Care Center,
Orangeville, Ontario (BW); Cumming School of Medicine, 5. Liu FX, Walton SM, Leipold R, Isbell D, Golper TA. Financial
University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta (PR, JH-L, RRQ); implications to Medicare from changing the dialysis modality
Department of Medicine, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Center, mix under the bundled prospective payment system. Perit Dial
University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario (MJO); Faculty of Nursing, Int. 2014;34(7):749-757.
University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta (LV); Department of 6. Korevaar JC, Feith GW, Dekker FW, et al. Effect of starting with
Medicine, Western University, London (AXG); and Institute for hemodialysis compared with peritoneal dialysis in patients new
Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (AXG). on dialysis treatment: a randomized controlled trial. Kidney Int.
Address for Correspondence: Ben Wong, MD, MSc, Headwaters 2003;64(6):2222-2228.
Health Care Center, 100 Rolling Hills Drive, Orangeville, Ontario, 7. Fenton SS, Schaubel DE, Desmeules M, et al. Hemodialysis
Canada L9W 4X9. E-mail: bcw@ualberta.net versus peritoneal dialysis: a comparison of adjusted mortality
rates. Am J Kidney Dis. 1997;30(3):334-342.
Authors’ Contributions: Research idea and study design: BW,
8. Collins AJ, Hao W, Xia H, et al. Mortality risks of peritoneal
RRQ; data acquisition: BW; data analysis/interpretation: BW, PR,
AXG, RRQ; statistical analysis: BW, PR, RRQ; supervision or dialysis and hemodialysis. Am J Kidney Dis. 1999;34(6):
mentorship: PR, MJO, JH-L, LV, RRQ. Each author contributed 1065-1074.
important intellectual content during manuscript drafting or revision 9. Vonesh EF, Snyder JJ, Foley RN, Collins AJ. The differential
and accepts accountability for the overall work by ensuring that impact of risk factors on mortality in hemodialysis and perito-
questions pertaining to the accuracy or integrity of any portion of neal dialysis. Kidney Int. 2004;66(6):2389-2401.
the work are appropriately investigated and resolved. 10. Jaar BG, Coresh J, Plantinga LC, et al. Comparing the risk for
Support: This study was supported by the ICES Western site. ICES death with peritoneal dialysis and hemodialysis in a national
is funded by an annual grant from the Ontario Ministry of Health and cohort of patients with chronic kidney disease. Ann Intern Med.
Long-Term Care (MOHLTC). Core funding for ICES Western is 2005;143(3):174-183.
provided by the Academic Medical Organization of Southwestern 11. Quinn RR, Hux JE, Oliver MJ, Austin PC, Tonelli M, Laupacis A.
Ontario (AMOSO), the Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry Selection bias explains apparent differential mortality between
(SSMD), Western University, and the Lawson Health Research dialysis modalities. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2011;22(8):
Institute (LHRI). The research was conducted by members of the 1534-1542.
ICES Kidney, Dialysis and Transplantation team, at the ICES 12. Yeates K, Zhu N, Vonesh E, Trpeski L, Blake P, Fenton S. He-
Western facility, who are supported by a grant from the Canadian modialysis and peritoneal dialysis are associated with similar
Institutes of Health Research (CIHR). The funders of this study did outcomes for end-stage renal disease treatment in Canada.
not have any role in study design; collection, analysis, and Nephrol Dial Transplant. 2012;27(9):3568-3575.
interpretation of data; writing the report; and the decision to 13. van de Luijtgaarden MW, Noordzij M, Stel VS, et al. Effects of
submit the report for publication. comorbid and demographic factors on dialysis modality choice
Financial Disclosure: Drs Oliver and Quinn are co-inventors of the and related patient survival in Europe. Nephrol Dial Transplant.
DMAR system. They receive support from Baxter Healthcare to build 2011;26(9):2940-2947.

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according to the duration of dialysis: analysis of the 69-72.
Netherlands Cooperative Study on the Adequacy of Dialysis 2. 21. Kutner M, Nachtsheim C, Neter J, eds. Applied Linear
J Am Soc Nephrol. 2003;14(11):2851-2860. Regression Models. 4th ed. Columbus, OH: McGraw-Hill Irwin;
16. Quinn RR, Austin PC, Oliver MJ. Comparative studies of dial- 2004.
ysis therapies should reflect real world decision-making. 22. Churchill DN, Thorpe KE, Nolph KD, Keshaviah PR,
J Nephrol. 2008;21(2):139-145. Oreopoulos DG, Page D. Increased peritoneal
17. Jager KJ, Korevaar JC, Dekker FW, Krediet RT, membrane transport is associated with decreased patient and
Boeschoten EW; Netherlands Cooperative Study on the Ad- technique survival for continuous peritoneal dialysis patients.
equacy of Dialysis (NECOSAD) Study Group. The effect of The Canada-USA (CANUSA) peritoneal dialysis study group.
contraindications and patient preference on dialysis modality J Am Soc Nephrol. 1998;9(7):1285-1292.
selection in ESRD patients in the Netherlands. Am J Kidney 23. Menon MK, Naimark DM, Bargman JM, Vas SI,
Dis. 2004;43(5):891-899. Oreopoulos DG. Long-term blood pressure control in a cohort
18. Oliver MJ, Garg AX, Blake PG, et al. Impact of contraindications, of peritoneal dialysis patients and its association with residual
barriers to self-care and support on incident peritoneal dialysis renal function. Nephrol Dial Transplant. 2001;16(11):2207-
utilization. Nephrol Dial Transplant. 2010;25(8):2737-2744. 2213.

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