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2. Who introduced the moving assembly line which had a tremendous impact on production
across industries?
A. Henry Ford
B. Frank Gilbreth
C. Harrington Emerson
D. Henry Gantt
3. Arrange the following statements to describe the steps in the forecasting process.
1- Establish a time horizon
2- Select a forecasting technique
3- Determine the purpose of the forecast
4- Make the forecast
5- Obtain, clean, and analyze the appropriate data
6- Monitor the forecast
A. 5, 1, 3, 2, 4, 6
B. 3, 1, 2, 5, 4, 6
C. 3, 2, 1, 5, 3, 6
D. 1, 5, 3, 2, 4, 6
5. This time series behavior refers to residual variations that remain after all the other
behaviors have been accounted for.
A. Irregular Variations
B. Seasonality
C. Random Variations
D. Trends
6. It has the advantage of bringing together considerable talents and knowledge of various
managers. This approach is often used as a part of long-range planning and new product
development.
A. Associative model
B. Judgmental forecasts
C. Time-series forecasts
D. Both A and C
7. Out of the three major functional areas in an organization, what department is responsible
for producing the goods or providing the services offered by the organization?
A. Financing
B. Marketing
C. Operations
D. Both B and C are correct
8. What is the key issue if the operations manager needs to consider the quality, worker, and
product safety?
A. Ethical Issues
B. The Need for Supply Chain Management
C. Sustainability
D. Economic Decisions
10. Which of the following operations interfaces deals with the recruitment and training of
personnel or employees?
A. Public Relations
B. Human Resources
C. Legal
D. Management
13. Which among the following best offers psychological value than tangible value to a
customer?
A. iPhone 13
B. House and lot
C. Flowers on Valentine’s Day
D. Tutoring sessions
15. Which type of decision-making process determines how to adjust production capacity and
meet expected demands?
A. System accounting decisions
B. System operation decisions
C. System design decisions
D. System public relation decisions
17. What are the standards managers use when making management, control or operation
decisions?
A. Performance metrics
B. Scientific management
C. International Accounting Standards
D. Pareto phenomenon
18. In which period did the motivation of employees become prominent in operation
management?
A. Industrial Revolution
B. Scientific management
C. Human relations movement
D. Influence of Japanese manufacturers
19. The more recent values in a series are given more weight in computing the forecast.
A. Weighted moving average
B. Moving average
C. Exponential smoothing
D. Forecasting
2. Given the historical data, what is the simple three-period moving average forecast for period
5?
Period Value
1 58
2 45
3 49
4 53
A. 51.25
B. 49
C. 51
D. 50.66
3. Using the data on number 2, compute for the weighted average forecast for period 5 using
weights .50 (most recent), .30, and ..20
A. 50.2
B. 23.7
C. 52
D. 56.5
For Numbers 4-6:
1 150 147
2 136 137
3 125 129
4 146 148
5 129 132
1 17
2 21 17
3 19 21
4 23 19
5 18 23
7. Based on the data above, solve for the MAE.
A. 0.45
B. 1.36
C. 2.54
D. 1.15
10. Based on the table below, compute the weighted average forecast using a weight of .50 for
the most recent period, .30 for the next most recent, .20 for the next…
Week Sales
1 110
2 115
3 135
4 125
A. 122
B. 127
C. 126
D. 124
Shown below are the sales for a 9-week period. Use this data to compute a 3-month moving
average of all available weeks.
Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sales(1000s) 5 6 2 4 8 9 8 4 7
11. What is the sales forecast for week 7?
A. 7
B. 4
C. 8
D. 9
An assistant manager has been using a certain process to forecast demand for sachets of coffee
for the past six periods.
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Demand 90 85 91 92 95 88 92
13. What is the value for the 7th period using the 3-period moving average?
A. 91.6
B. 61.9
C. 19.6
D. 16.9
Develop a forecast for the next period, shown on the data below.
Period 1 2 3 4 5
Demand 19 20 18 19 17
15. What is the value for the 4th period using the 3-period moving average?
A. 15
B. 16
C. 17
D. 19
17. Using the data given below, develop a forecast for period 6 using a four-period weighted
moving average & weights of 0.4, 0.3, 0.2, and 0.1.
Period 1 2 3 4 5
Demand 19 20 18 19 17
A. 19.8
B. 18.9
C. 17.8
D. 18.8
18. With the data given below, using the exponential smoothing with a = 0.2, and assuming the
forecast for period 11 was 80. What would be the forecast for period 14?
Period 11 12 13
Demand 81 75 82
A. 79.16
B. 79.73
C. 80.20
D. 80.77
19. Compute Seasonal Relatives for this data using the SA method:
1 2 3 7 4
2 6 10 18 14
3 2 6 8 8
4 5 9 15 11
A. 5
B. 6
C. 7
D. 8
20. Compute MAD for the fifth period, then update it period by period using exponential
smoothing with α = .3. What is the MAD for period 10?
1 129 124
2 194 200
3 156 150
4 91 94
5 85 80
6 132 140
7 126 128
8 126 124
9 95 100
10 149 150
A. 3.911
B. 4.238
C. 3.267
D. 3.487
“Stick to the fight when your hardest hit – It's when things seem worst that you must not quit.”
-John Greenleaf Whittier
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