What is MegaStat?

MegaStat® is an add-in program designed to work with Microsoft Office ® Excel.   When the add-in is installe
as a selection on the Add-Ins ribbon.  When you click  'MegaStat', menus, sub-menus, and dialog boxes guid
options for statistical analysis.
Click the links below to learn more about MegaStat.

First look
This link will show you what MegaStat will look like after it is installed.

Expanded Menu
Click this link to see the MegaStat menu expanded into nearly sixty procedures, some of which have subproce

MegaStat output
This link describes how MegaStat handles its output.

Comparison to Data Analysis Tools

Why have an add-in when Excel has built-in statistical options?

Unique to MegaStat
Here are some options and features found only in MegaStat.

Requirements
If you can run Excel, you can probably run MegaStat. This link gives more details

MegaStat is a registered trade

Microsoft Office and Excel are
When the add-in is installed, 'MegaStat' appears
nus, and dialog boxes guide you to various

me of which have subprocedures.

MegaStat is a registered trademark of J. B. Orris

Microsoft Office and Excel are registered trademarks of Microsoft Corp.
MegaStat will be on the Add-ins ribbon when it is installed. The MegaStat Users Guide also tells you how to
Toolbar.
Below shows the MegaStat main menu and one sub-menu. See the Table of Contents for a link to the fully
Expanded Menu link on the Table of Contents page shows several of the dialog boxes and sample output.
(These screenshots are from Exel 2010; however, Excel 2007 looks very similar.)
MegaStat also works with Excel 2003:
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uide also tells you how to access it from the Quick Access

ents for a link to the fully expanded menu listing. The

es and sample output.
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 This is a list of all of the MegaStat menu options. Click on
the 'More' links for selected items to see the dialogs
boxes and sample output.

Descriptive Statistics More

Frequency Distributions
Quantitative More
Qualitative More
Probability
Counting rules More
Discrete - binomial
Discrete - hypergeometric More
Discrete - Poisson
Continuous - normal
Continuous - t
Continuous - F
Continuous - chi-square
Normal Distribution (graphical) More
t-Distribution (graphical) More
F-Distribution (graphical) More
Chi-square-Distribution (graphical) More
Confidence Intervals/Sample Size
Confidence Interval - Mean More
Confidence Interval - Proportion
Sample size - mean
Sample size - mean (alpha, beta)
Sample size - Proportion
Hypothesis Tests
Mean vs. Hypothesised Value
Compare Two Independent Groups More
Paired Observaions
Proportion vs. Hypothesised Value
Compare Two Independent Proportions
Chi-square Variance Test
Analysis of Variance
One factor More
Randomized blocks
Two-factor
Correlation/Regression
Scatterplot More
Correlation Matrix
 Regression More
Time Series / Forecasting
Trendline Curvefit More
Deseasonalization More
Moving average
Exponential smoothing
Chi-square / Crosstab
Contingency Table More
Crosstabulation More
Goodness of Fit Test
Nonparametric Tests
Sign Test
Runs Test for Randomness More
Wilcoxon - Mann/Whitney Test
Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test
Kruskal-Wallis Test
Friedman Test
Kendall Coefficient of Concordance
Spearman Rank-&Order Correlation
Fisher Exact Test
Quality Control Process Charts
Repeat Last Option
Random Number Generation More
Utilities
Insert descriptive information
ChartDataSheet Utililties
Start new output sheet
Delete output sheet
Remove MegaStat
Uninstall MegaStat
Help/Information
Help System More
System Information More
About MegaStat
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When you click OK on a MegaStat dialog box the program performs some statistical analysis and needs a
place to put its output. It looks for a worksheet named Output; if it finds one it goes to the end of it and
appends its output. If it does not find an Output worksheet it creates one. Output sheets are just
standard Excel worksheets and the contents may be formatted and changed in any way you want.

MegaStat will never make any changes to the user's worksheets, it only sends output to its Output sheet.
You can start a new Output sheet at any time be renaming the existing Output sheet. When MegaStat
does its next output it will not see an Ouput sheet and create a new one. You can rename the Output
sheet manually by right-clicking or do it automatically using MegaStat's Utilities menu.

Below is an example of an Output sheet:

MegaStat output is not ‘live’. I.e., the output will not automatically update if you change the input data.

While live output seems like a good thing, most MegaStat options involve calculations and operations beyond simple f
formulas can cause problems if output is pasted into other applications because the links can be broken or the data ina
changed. It is very easy to re-run MegaStat options after changing the data and that has the advantage of having the p
comparison.
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is and needs a
end of it and
are just
u want.

Output sheet.
n MegaStat
the Output

he input data.

operations beyond simple formulas. Also, live

an be broken or the data inadvertently
e advantage of having the previous output for

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 We are often asked "Why should I have an add-in when Excel already has the built-in Data
Analysis tools?" Our reply is: MegaStat does more and does it better.

MegaStat has nearly sixty menu options organized in a menu list that matches the table of
contents of most introductory textbooks, while Data Analysis has nineteen options in an
alphabetized list.

Here are some 'value added' features of MegaStat relative to Excel's Data Analysis tools.

-- A simple descriptive statistics option is missing from Data Analysis tools.

Of course, you can do AVERAGE, STDEV, etc. with Excel functions, but the primary
purpose of a statistics course is statistics, not Excel functions.

-- Data Analysis tools does not have any probability options. Again, there are functions, but doing
a full probablility distribution from scratch requires more focus on the mechanics vs. the concepts.
MegaStat does counting rules with factorials over 1,000,000! and discrete probability distributions
with histograms.

'-- MegaStat p-values are shaded light yellow and bright yellow to indicated 5% and 1% significance levels.

-- MegaStat provides graphical output for the normal, t, F, and chi-square distributions.

-- MegaStat does chi-square analysis (Contingency Table, Crosstabulation, Goodness of Fit).

-- The MegaStat hypothesis tests allow calculation using summary data.

-- MegaStat has several nonparametrics options.

-- MegaStat has time-series options.

-- MegaStat does quality control charts.

-- The MegaStat ANOVA options have a graphical display that helps illustrate within-group and between group va

-- The MegaStat ANOVA options can do post-hoc analysis with the ouput organized for easy interpretation.

-- MegaStat regression can calculate predictions and prediction intervals.

-- MegaStat multiple regression can do All Possible Regressions and Stepwise Selection.

MegaStat output is carefully formatted and attempts to display an appropriate number of decimal places and pr
Below is a comparison of outputs from MegaStat and Data Analysis.
Hypothesis Test: Independent Groups (t-test, pooled variance)
This is the same output using Excel's D
Group A Group B
152.30 146.60 mean
4.14 6.12 std. dev.
10 15 n

23 df
5.700 difference (Group A - Group B)
29.465 pooled variance
5.428 pooled std. dev.
2.216 standard error of difference
0 hypothesized difference

2.572 t
.0170 p-value (two-tailed)

p-values < .05 are shaded light yellow,

< .01 are shaded bright yellow

Columns not sized; labels truncated

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ons, but doing

hanics vs. the concepts.
probability distributions

1% significance levels.

group and between group variance.

or easy interpretation.

er of decimal places and proper column widths.

same output using Excel's Data Analysis option.

numbers not formatted.

t sized; labels truncated

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Here are some features that are unique to MegaStat:

-- On MegaStat dialog boxes, users can double-click the input box to select all of the data in a column(s).
This is called Auto Expand and it makes data selection easier than dragging the mouse through
all of the data (although you can do that also, if you prefer).

-- You do not have to check if you have labels at the top of a column. MegaStat's Auto Label feature will
automatically detect and select labels.

-- The Repeat Last option on the MegaStat menu is a quick way to get back to the last dialog box
if you need to make a minor change.

-- MegaStat can calculate factorials, permutations, and combinations of 1,000,000! and larger.

-- MegaStat provides graphical probability distribution displays for the normal, t, F, and chi-square distributions.

-- MegaStat's Stepwise Selection in multiple regression is better than traditional stepwise regression
in that it shows the best models of each size and displays a graphical comparison.

-- MegaStat's post hoc analysis for ANOVA provides a unique way of organizing the output to make it easier
to interpret the output.

-- MegaStat provides certain computational checks to help provide accurate results.

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ata in a column(s).
e mouse through

o Label feature will

nd chi-square distributions.

wise regression

tput to make it easier

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MegaStat is not a large program and does not have extensive memory requirements.
If you can run Excel, you can probably run MegaStat.

There is just one version of MegaStat. A different version is not required for different versions of Excel or Windows.

* MegaStat will work with 32 bit Microsoft Excel 2003, Excel 2007, and Excel 2010.  
Some of the terminolgy and screenshots in the User's Guide focus on Excel 2007/2010;
however, MegaStat still works fine for Excel 2003.

* MegaStat will work with 32 bit or 64 bit Windows XP, Windows Vista, and Windows 7.  

* The latest updates of Excel and Windows are recommended.

* MegaStat will probably work with earlier versions of Excel and Windows, but it has not been tested.

* Windows Regional and National Settings must specify the decimal symbol as a period '.'; not a comma ','.
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versions of Excel or Windows.

2007/2010;

indows 7.  

it has not been tested.

a period '.'; not a comma ','.

 This is the dialog box for Probability → Counting Rules → Factorial

The example shows the Preview for 1,000,000!. The largest factorial Excel
can handle directly is 170. Try =FACT(170) and =FACT(171)

Clicking OK puts the result in an Output sheet. Below is the output for
1,000,000! and 999,999!.

Factorial/Permutations/Combinations

1000000 n The 8.263931669E+5565708 is actually a text string sin

largest value Excel can handle is approximately E+306;
8.263931669E+5565708 n!, n factorial
the LN cell is an actual Excel number.
12815518.385 LN(n!)

Factorial/Permutations/Combinations

999999 n
8.263931669E+5565702 n!, n factorial

12815504.569 LN(n!)

1000000.000000 <- this cell contains the formula =EXP(B35-B42) which validates the accuracy

Larger factorials can be calculated but they become somewhat inaccurate aro
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08 is actually a text string since the

dle is approximately E+306; however
el number.

which validates the accuracy of the calculation

me somewhat inaccurate around 10,000,000!

Back to the menu

 This is a sample dialog box for Descriptive Statistics.

Click here to see the data.

The MegaStat output is shown below. This is what is put in the Output sheet when you click OK.

Descriptive statistics

SqrFt
count 124
mean 3,191.29
sample standard deviation 787.70
sample variance 620,464.45
minimum 2080
maximum 7147
range 5067

1st quartile 2,614.75

median 3,132.50
3rd quartile 3,636.75
interquartile range 1,022.00
mode 2,156.00

low extremes 0
low outliers 0
high outliers 1
high extremes 1

BoxPlot

12/6/2010 11:38.21 (1)

2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000

SqrFt
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 This is a sample dialog box for a Quantitative Frequency Distribution.

Note the interval width and lower boundary boxes are blank so the program
will attempt to determine proper values.

Click here to see the data.

The MegaStat output is shown below. This is what is put in the Output sheet when you click OK.

Frequency Distribution - Quantitative

Price cumulative
lower upper midpoint width frequency percent frequency
150 < 200 175 50 2 1.6 2
200 < 250 225 50 13 10.5 15
250 < 300 275 50 23 18.5 38
300 < 350 325 50 27 21.8 65
350 < 400 375 50 26 21.0 91
400 < 450 425 50 19 15.3 110
450 < 500 475 50 12 9.7 122
500 < 550 525 50 2 1.6 124
124 100.0

Histogram
25

20

15
ent
 Histogram
25

20

Percent 15

10

0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55
Price

Frequency Polygon
25.0

20.0

15.0
Percent

10.0

5.0

0.0
150 250 350 450
Price

Ogive
100.0

75.0
Cumulative Percent

50.0

25.0

0.0
150 250 350 450
 50.0

Cumulative
25.0

0.0
150 250 350 450
Price
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cumulative
percent
1.6
12.1
30.6
52.4
73.4
88.7
98.4
100.0
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 This is a sample dialog box for a Quantitative Frequency Distribution.
Note the interval width and lower boundary boxes are blank so the
program will attempt to determine proper values.
The specification range indicates which values are to be counted. See the
MegaStat User's Guide for more details.

Click here to see the data.

The MegaStat output is shown below. This is what is put in the Output sheet when you click OK.

Frequency Distribution - Qualitative

SubDiv
frequency percent
Burbsville 16 12.9
Englewood 36 29.0
Briar Hills 19 15.3
Lone Tree 29 23.4
Stanton 24 19.4
124 100.0

Histogram
35

30

25

20
Percent

15

10
 25

20

Percent
15

10

0
Burbsville Englewood Briar Hills Lone Tree Stanton
SubDiv
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 This is a sample dialog box Discrete Probability Distributions → Hypergeometric Distribution.

The MegaStat output is shown below. This is what is put in the Output sheet when you click OK.

Hypergeometric distribution

50000 N, population size

10000 S, number of possible occurrences
20 n, sample size

cumulative
X P(X) probability
0 0.01152 0.01152
1 0.05762 0.06914
2 0.13689 0.20603
3 0.20538 0.41141
4 0.21824 0.62966
5 0.17459 0.80425
6 0.10910 0.91335
7 0.05454 0.96789
8 0.02215 0.99003
9 0.00738 0.99741
10 0.00203 0.99944
11 0.00046 0.99990
12 0.00009 0.99998
13 0.00001 1.00000
14 0.00000 1.00000
15 0.00000 1.00000
16 0.00000 1.00000
17 0.00000 1.00000
18 0.00000 1.00000
19 0.00000 1.00000
20 0.00000 1.00000
1.00000
 4.000 expected value
3.199 variance
1.789 standard deviation

Hypergeometric distribution (N = 50000, S = 10000, n = 20)

0.25

0.20

0.15
P(X)

0.10

0.05

0.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
X
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istribution.
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The dialog boxes and output below illustrate the graphical Normal Distribution option.

What is the probability of a normal distributed value falling between 87 and 114, if the
mean is 100 and the standard deviation is 16? This is calculated by doing two outputs
with MegaStat.
 52 68 84 100 116
87 114

Normal distribution
P(lower) P(upper) z X mean std.dev
.8106 .1894 0.88 114 100 16
.2090 .7910 -0.81 87 100 16
area between = .6016

Students will need to subtract the two probabilities to find the area between.

You can right-click on the shaded/patterned areas and select Format Shape to choose other
colors and patterns. Try it.

The dialog box and output below illustrate the graphical t-Distribution option.
This example shows the calculation of a .05 critical value for d.f. = 10. Note the option is
checked to superimpose the normal distribution.
t -3 -2 -1 0 1

t-distribution
df = 10 P(lower) P(upper) t
.9500 .0500 1.812

The dialog box and output below illustrate the graphical F-Distribution option.

This example shows the calculation of a .05 critical value for d.f. of 3 and 18
 The dialog box and output below illustrate the graphical F-Distribution option.
This example shows the calculation of a .05 critical value for d.f. of 3 and 18

0 1 2 3
F
3.16

F-distribution
df1 = 3 P(lower) P(upper) F
df2 = 18 .9500 .0500 3.16
 The dialog box and output below illustrate the graphical Chi-square Distribution option.

This example shows the calculation of a .05 critical value for d.f. =3

f(Chisq)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Chi-square distribution
df = 3
 P(lower) P(upper) Chi-square
.9500 .0500 7.815

The dialog box below shows the Confidence Interval - Mean dialog box with the Preview
button clicked. Clicking OK would put the results in an Output sheet.

Descriptive Statistics can calculate confidence intervals from data.

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tion.

The first output is for X = 114 with patterned ouput.

Rounding is set at 2 so the results will match table
values.

When the normal distribution option is selected

again (or with Repeat Last) there is an Overlay
checkbox. The X value is changed to 87 and the
color is transparent (in order to see the patterning).

The result of both outputs is shown below.

 116 132 148
114

hoose other

Back to the menu

is
1 2 3
1.812
(dashed line shows normal curve)

Back to the menu

4 5 6
tion. Back to the menu

8 9 10 11 12
7.81
 Back to the menu

Preview Back to the menu

 This is a sample dialog box for Hypothesis Testing → Compare Two Indpendent Groups.

Click here to see the data.

The MegaStat output is shown below. This is what is put in the Output sheet when you click OK.

Hypothesis Test: Independent Groups (t-test, pooled variance)

Group A Group B
152.30 146.60 mean
4.14 6.12 std. dev.
10 15 n

23 df
5.700 difference (Group A - Group B)
29.465 pooled variance
5.428 pooled std. dev.
2.216 standard error of difference
0 hypothesized difference

2.572 t
.0170 p-value (two-tailed)

p-values < .05 are shaded light yellow,

p-values < .05 are shaded light yellow,
< .01 are shaded bright yellow
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Groups.

Note the option for doing the analysis with

summary data (mean, s.d., n)
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 This is an example of a One-Factor ANOVA dialog box.

Click here to see the data

The MegaStat output is shown below. This is what is put in the Output sheet when you click OK.

'(Note the Post hoc analysis and the graphical display.)

One factor ANOVA

Mean n Std. Dev

51.0 5 6.96 Alpha
63.8 4 8.14 Beta
61.3 7 7.30 Gamma
46.8 6 4.36 Delta
55.5 22 9.43 Total

ANOVA table
Source SS df MS F p-value
Treatment 1,058.44 3 352.814 7.87 .0015
Error 807.01 18 44.834
Total 1,865.45 21

Post hoc analysis

p-values for pairwise t-tests
Delta Alpha Gamma Beta
46.8 51.0 61.3 63.8
Delta 46.8
Alpha 51.0 .3177
Gamma 61.3 .0011 .0172
Beta 63.8 .0010 .0109 .5644
Tukey simultaneous comparison t-values (d.f. = 18)
Delta Alpha Gamma Beta
46.8 51.0 61.3 63.8
Delta 46.8
Alpha 51.0 1.03
Gamma 61.3 3.88 2.62
Beta 63.8 3.91 2.84 0.59

critical values for experimentwise error rate:

0.05 2.83
0.01 3.60

Comparison of Groups
75.0

70.0

65.0

60.0

55.0

50.0

45.0

40.0
Alpha Beta Gamma Delta
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 This is an example of a Scatterplot dialog box.

The chart titl

into the box o
that contains
title was in ce

Click here to see the data

The MegaStat output is shown below. This is what is put in the Output sheet when you click OK.

Price vs Size

550.0

500.0
f(x) = 0.0925834621423285 x + 55.3457079151817
450.0 R² = 0.692469966874136

400.0

350.0
Price

300.0

250.0

200.0

150.0

100.0
2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000

SqrFt
200.0

150.0

100.0
2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000

SqrFt
 Back to the menu

The chart title may be typed directly

into the box or you can click on a cell
that contains the title. In this case the
title was in cell E3 of the data sheet.
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 This is an example of a Regression dialog box.

Click here to see the data Click here to see the All Possible Regressions output

The output below is from the dialog box shown above. Click here to see the Stepwise Selection output

Regression Analysis

R² 0.922
Adjusted R² 0.883 n 25
R 0.960 k 8
Std. Error 449.026 Dep. Var. Sales

ANOVA table
Source SS df MS F p-value
Regression 38,153,564.2521 8 4,769,195.5315 23.65 1.82E-07
Residual 3,225,984.6748 16 201,624.0422
Total 41,379,548.9269 24
Regression output confidence interval
variables coefficients std. error t (df=16) p-value 95% lower 95% upper
Intercept -1,507.8137 778.6349 -1.936 .0707 -3,158.4461 142.8186
Time 2.0096 1.9307 1.041 .3134 -2.0832 6.1024
MktPoten 0.0372 0.0082 4.536 .0003 0.0198 0.0546
Adver 0.1510 0.0471 3.205 .0055 0.0511 0.2509
MktShare 199.0235 67.0279 2.969 .0090 56.9307 341.1164
Change 290.8551 186.7820 1.557 .1390 -105.1050 686.8153
Accts 5.5510 4.7755 1.162 .2621 -4.5728 15.6747
WkLoad 19.7939 33.6767 0.588 .5649 -51.5975 91.1853
Rating 8.1893 128.5056 0.064 .9500 -264.2304 280.6090

Studentized
Studentized Deleted
Observation Sales Predicted Residual Leverage Residual Residual
1 3,669.880 3,378.359 291.521 0.517 0.934 0.930
2 3,473.950 3,881.201 -407.251 0.286 -1.074 -1.079
3 2,295.100 2,617.106 -322.006 0.411 -0.934 -0.930
4 4,675.560 4,825.889 -150.329 0.461 -0.456 -0.444
5 6,125.960 5,492.614 633.346 0.186 1.564 1.645
6 2,134.940 2,057.861 77.079 0.264 0.200 0.194
7 5,031.660 5,286.027 -254.367 0.716 -1.063 -1.068
8 3,367.450 2,955.041 412.409 0.369 1.156 1.169
9 6,519.450 6,171.961 347.489 0.409 1.007 1.007
10 4,876.370 4,087.377 788.993 0.219 1.988 2.218
11 2,468.270 2,567.560 -99.290 0.187 -0.245 -0.238
12 2,533.310 2,093.912 439.398 0.502 1.386 1.431
13 2,408.110 2,402.812 5.298 0.287 0.014 0.014
14 2,337.380 2,288.041 49.339 0.380 0.140 0.135
15 4,586.950 4,731.589 -144.639 0.510 -0.460 -0.448
16 2,729.240 2,812.983 -83.743 0.513 -0.267 -0.259
17 3,289.400 3,355.561 -66.161 0.562 -0.223 -0.216
18 2,800.780 2,804.297 -3.517 0.170 -0.009 -0.008
19 3,264.200 3,796.998 -532.798 0.293 -1.411 -1.460
20 3,453.620 3,975.025 -521.405 0.186 -1.287 -1.317
21 1,741.450 1,376.995 364.455 0.398 1.046 1.050
22 2,035.750 2,585.151 -549.401 0.141 -1.320 -1.354
23 1,578.000 1,728.970 -150.970 0.334 -0.412 -0.401
24 4,167.440 4,549.491 -382.051 0.385 -1.085 -1.092
25 2,799.970 2,541.370 258.600 0.314 0.695 0.684

Predicted values for: Sales

Time MktPoten Adver MktShare Change Accts WkLoad

87.64 38,858.05 4,357.39 7.56 0.10 122.70 18.06
80.00 40,000.00 4,000.00 7.00 0.12 120.00 18.00
60.00 30,000.00 1,000.00 10.00 1.00 200.00 8.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Regression Analysis -- All Possible Regressions
25 observations
Sales is the dependent variable
With 8 independent variables, there are 28-1 = 255 po
regressions. A summary line for each regression show
initially sorted descending on Adj R²; however, you ca
of the columns. Try it.

p-values for the coefficients

Nvar Time MktPoten Adver MktShare Change Accts
6 .1983 .0001 .0018 .0004 .0927 .2881
5 .0065 .0000 .0025 .0000 .0530
7 .2868 .0002 .0027 .0066 .0897 .2339
5 .0001 .0006 .0006 .1236 .0089
6 .0002 .0006 .0098 .1035 .0070
7 .2204 .0002 .0040 .0006 .1449 .3194
6 .0081 .0000 .0054 .0000 .1143
6 .0083 .0000 .0044 .0000 .0629
6 .0002 .0010 .0009 .1419 .0109
8 .3134 .0003 .0055 .0090 .1390 .2621
7 .0003 .0010 .0123 .1246 .0089
5 .2874 .0001 .0004 .0008 .1628
7 .0103 .0000 .0085 .0000 .1269
4 .0001 .0001 .0011 .0043
6 .2214 .0002 .0026 .0008 .2559
5 .0002 .0002 .0127 .0050
5 .0051 .0000 .0041 .0000
6 .3712 .0002 .0010 .0103 .1674
5 .0002 .0006 .0013 .0058
4 .0070 .0000 .0007 .0000
7 .2922 .0004 .0048 .0096 .2474
6 .0005 .0008 .0143 .0063
6 .0072 .0000 .0079 .0000
5 .0096 .0000 .0021 .0000
4 .0000 .0046 .0000 .0647
5 .0059 .0001 .1615 .0000
5 .0000 .0062 .0000 .0808
5 .0000 .0091 .0000 .0835
6 .0076 .0001 .1736 .0000
6 .8073 .0073 .0001 .1781 .0006
4 .0051 .0000 .0000
5 .0094 .0001 .0000 .1012
4 .0126 .0000 .0000 .0155
6 .0000 .0116 .0001 .1002
5 .0179 .0001 .0000 .0337
7 .7523 .0093 .0002 .1814 .0008
5 .7446 .0061 .0000 .0003
5 .0095 .0001 .0000
6 .0141 .0002 .0000 .1399
3 .0000 .0011 .0000
6 .0567 .0005 .0001 .1111 .9645
5 .0767 .0002 .0001 .0197 .9587
4 .0000 .0041 .0000
4 .0000 .0042 .0000
6 .0678 .0002 .0003 .0382 .8422
6 .8015 .0117 .0001 .0006
7 .0538 .0005 .0003 .1503 .8019
4 .0052 .0002 .0000
5 .0092 .0002 .0000
5 .0000 .0102 .0000
5 .0500 .0007 .0002 .9438
6 .0437 .0006 .0002 .8209
3 .0194 .0001 .0000
4 .0003 .0005 .0274 .0876
4 .0259 .0005 .3591 .0001
5 .0007 .0006 .1013 .0881
5 .0004 .0011 .0460 .1452
4 .7946 .0218 .0002 .0009
4 .0201 .0000 .0000
5 .0278 .0007 .3269 .0001
4 .0282 .0003 .0001
5 .8422 .0297 .0007 .3792 .0018
6 .0009 .0015 .1279 .1425
3 .0129 .0000 .0000
5 .7991 .0322 .0005 .0014
6 .7667 .0313 .0010 .3333 .0022
5 .0850 .0002 .0003 .9269
3 .0000 .0000 .0160
4 .0000 .0000 .0394
4 .0003 .1658 .0000
4 .1185 .0003 .0004 .7190
4 .0011 .0008 .0529
4 .0000 .0000 .0609
5 .0000 .0000 .0993
5 .0007 .2809 .0000
5 .0012 .7333 .1717 .0001
5 .0012 .0014 .1111
5 .8564 .0006 .1745 .0007
3 .0001 .0000
4 .0004 .0000
4 .0021 .2380 .2226 .0001
6 .0029 .6904 .2979 .0001
3 .0004 .0010 .0526
6 .7138 .0034 .6442 .1747 .0121
4 .0004 .0010 .1306
6 .8027 .0013 .2976 .0012
4 .0004 .7852 .0000
3 .0009 .2862 .0000
5 .0019 .6673 .0000
4 .9148 .0001 .0003
3 .0004 .3084 .0000
5 .5126 .0049 .1884 .2071 .0195
5 .7748 .0008 .0008
2 .0002 .0000
4 .0028 .2349 .0000
5 .0051 .2257 .3650 .0001
5 .4093 .0098 .1597 .0306
7 .6128 .0106 .5559 .3229 .0261
4 .0000 .0000
3 .0009 .0000
6 .5723 .0081 .5188 .0228
6 .4257 .0153 .1580 .3812 .0405
4 .6088 .0009 .2653 .0075
5 .8022 .0010 .7265 .0062
4 .0017 .3932 .0000
4 .8846 .0013 .2954 .0012
3 .9261 .0003 .0005
3 .0000 .0000
3 .0000 .0000
4 .8311 .0017 .0013
5 .8581 .0029 .4094 .0019
2 .0000 .0000
5 .0178 .0098 .0027 .1198
5 .0009 .0687 .0070 .3054
4 .0004 .0506 .0060
4 .0012 .0266 .0105 .0798
6 .0236 .0165 .0048 .1782
6 .0013 .0864 .0180 .3227
5 .0007 .0727 .0130
4 .0156 .0072 .0008
5 .0017 .0390 .0243 .0951
4 .0238 .0220 .0065 .2126
5 .0143 .0195 .0034
5 .1282 .0292 .2598 .2151
4 .1080 .0266 .1902
3 .0193 .0137 .0017
4 .0006 .0024 .2311
3 .0007 .0066 .0155
4 .0454 .0533 .0009
5 .0322 .0321 .0102 .2659
6 .1386 .0537 .2880 .2599
3 .0638 .0814 .0010
3 .0002 .0019
4 .2128 .0529 .0388 .1279
5 .1120 .0400 .2550
4 .0195 .0330 .0065
5 .0746 .1562 .0010
5 .0011 .0038 .2842
4 .0793 .2234 .0009
4 .0012 .0169 .0232
4 .0006 .0022
5 .7323 .0591 .0583 .0193
4 .0998 .2062 .0012
3 .1038 .0424 .0007
4 .7498 .0809 .0876 .0202
3 .0794 .0004
5 .2185 .0803 .0554 .1753
6 .6472 .1028 .1764 .0246
5 .1379 .2366 .0018
3 .1092 .0005
4 .0903 .0004
3 .0010 .0047 .0197
5 .6831 .1331 .2295 .0255
4 .1573 .0550 .0015
4 .0012 .0027 .1160
4 .1151 .0011
2 .0462 .0004
4 .0018 .0053 .0417
4 .6158 .1478 .0192
5 .5836 .1246 .0190
2 .0593 .0001
3 .2370 .0001
3 .0412 .0004
5 .0016 .0033 .1142
4 .2005 .0001
3 .0488 .0001
3 .7825 .0589 .0117
4 .0022 .0086 .0974
2 .0000
4 .4766 .2655 .0161
3 .5596 .0639 .0108
3 .0025 .0054 .1873
5 .4434 .2241 .0161
3 .0027 .0121 .1381
3 .4282 .0120
5 .0022 .0181 .2548
3 .0007 .0007
4 .5417 .0522 .0110
3 .0000
4 .7782 .0529 .0123
3 .2609 .0895 .0658
4 .4028 .0123
4 .0012 .0126
4 .0029 .0059 .1652
4 .0029 .0251 .3155
3 .0014 .0166
2 .0011 .0011
2 .1561 .0001
4 .2353 .0771 .1367
4 .0016 .0020
2 .0015 .0028
3 .1458 .0008
3 .0024 .0031
3 .0015 .0026
1 .0000
3 .0012 .0036
3 .0210 .0446 .0530
2 .5757 .0051
4 .0200 .0348 .0385
2 .0000
5 .0173 .0707 .1485
2 .0005 .0069
4 .0193 .0879 .1860
3 .5767 .0061
3 .0094 .0973
4 .0089 .0857
3 .0279 .0286 .0588
4 .0562 .0263 .1705
3 .0019 .2167
4 .0511 .0385 .0833
2 .0146 .0266
4 .0019 .1908
2 .0023 .0318
2 .0008
5 .0894 .0366 .2082
3 .0353 .0239
3 .0157 .0272
3 .0025 .0302
3 .0009
4 .0711 .0257
2 .0048 .0380
2 .0049 .0406
3 .0043 .0311
3 .0196 .0341
3 .0086 .0933
3 .0086 .1086
4 .0072 .1697
4 .0076 .0800
2 .0109 .0878
3 .0077 .0320
2 .0112 .0103
3 .0102 .0763
3 .0038
1 .0009
3 .0185 .1698
2 .0066
2 .0076
4 .0172 .1531
2 .0013
1 .0016
2 .0098
1 .0017
3 .0081
3 .0103
2 .0023
2 .0024
2 .0041
1 .0131
1 .0143
2 .0928
2 .0179
3 .0967
1
2
 1

Regression Analysis -- Stepwise Selection displaying the best model of each size

25 observations
Sales is the dependent variable

p-values for the coefficients

Nvar Time MktPoten Adver MktShare Change Accts
1 .0000
2 .0002 .0000
3 .0000 .0011 .0000
4 .0001 .0001 .0011 .0043
5 .0065 .0000 .0025 .0000 .0530
6 .1983 .0001 .0018 .0004 .0927 .2881
7 .2868 .0002 .0027 .0066 .0897 .2339
8 .3134 .0003 .0055 .0090 .1390 .2621

Adj R² vs. Number of Independent Variables

1.000
.900
.800
.700
.600
Adj R²

.500
.400
.300
.200
.100
.000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Nvar
 Back to the menu

ossible Regressions output

wise Selection output

std. coeff. VIF
0.000
0.133 3.343
0.445 1.978
0.309 1.910
0.373 3.236
0.138 1.602
0.193 5.639
0.055 1.818
0.006 1.809
2.667
mean VIF

Cook's D
0.104
0.051
0.068
0.020
0.062
0.002
0.317
0.087
0.078
0.123
0.002
0.215
0.000
0.001
0.024
0.008
0.007
0.000
0.092
0.042
0.081
0.032
0.009
0.082
0.025

95% Confidence Intervals 95% Prediction Intervals

Rating Predicted lower upper lower upper Leverage
3.74 3,374.5676 3,184.1892 3,564.9460 2,403.8246 4,345.3106 0.040
4.00 3,228.3334 3,020.6852 3,435.9815 2,254.0563 4,202.6105 0.048
3.00 3,454.0980 2,415.8826 4,492.3135 2,045.5564 4,862.6396 1.190
0.00 -1,507.8137 -3,158.4461 142.8186 -3,413.2494 397.6220 3.007
 t variables, there are 2 8-1 = 255 possible Return
mary line for each regression shown. They are
cending on Adj R²; however, you can sort on any
y it.

WkLoad Rating s Adj R² R² Cp p-value

428.004 .894 .920 5.354 6.14E-09
430.232 .893 .915 4.443 1.59E-09
.5501 435.674 .890 .922 7.004 3.21E-08
436.746 .889 .912 4.975 2.10E-09
.3621 438.197 .889 .916 6.142 9.31E-09
.9258 440.297 .888 .920 7.345 3.82E-08
.7692 440.936 .887 .915 6.357 1.04E-08
.9474 441.966 .887 .915 6.438 1.08E-08
.7893 447.800 .884 .913 6.902 1.37E-08
.5649 .9500 449.026 .883 .922 9.000 1.82E-07
.3794 .8117 450.126 .882 .917 8.083 5.52E-08
451.605 .882 .906 6.219 3.93E-09
.9390 .7734 453.639 .881 .915 8.351 6.28E-08
453.836 .881 .900 5.431 9.56E-10
.4455 456.332 .879 .909 7.591 1.91E-08
.5040 460.043 .877 .903 6.944 5.56E-09
.2737 460.839 .877 .902 7.013 5.74E-09
.6974 461.981 .876 .907 8.054 2.37E-08
.6834 463.539 .875 .901 7.248 6.41E-09
463.948 .875 .896 6.351 1.48E-09
.7006 .4567 467.464 .873 .910 9.425 1.03E-07
.4906 .6466 469.820 .872 .904 8.706 3.18E-08
.8658 .2999 473.081 .870 .903 8.980 3.60E-08
.7611 474.813 .869 .896 8.245 1.00E-08
512.169 .848 .873 11.020 1.04E-08
.0185 516.043 .846 .878 12.095 4.75E-08
.7796 524.364 .841 .874 12.911 6.40E-08
.8447 524.930 .840 .873 12.967 6.53E-08
.0228 .7647 528.829 .838 .878 13.967 2.55E-07
.0217 529.285 .838 .878 14.010 2.58E-07
.0315 530.326 .837 .864 12.898 2.08E-08
.3050 535.052 .834 .869 13.978 9.31E-08
536.541 .833 .861 13.556 2.61E-08
.8442 .7822 538.139 .832 .874 14.853 3.45E-07
.4506 542.079 .830 .865 14.691 1.19E-07
.0268 .7205 542.522 .829 .879 15.817 1.20E-06
.0353 542.545 .829 .865 14.739 1.21E-07
.0342 .7547 542.670 .829 .865 14.751 1.21E-07
.5288 .3555 543.521 .829 .871 15.373 4.11E-07
545.515 .827 .849 13.995 8.43E-09
.3186 549.683 .825 .869 15.975 5.01E-07
550.439 .824 .861 15.552 1.58E-07
.5853 554.736 .822 .851 15.525 5.04E-08
.5946 554.944 .821 .851 15.548 5.08E-08
.4481 556.304 .821 .865 16.628 6.17E-07
.0394 .8143 556.535 .820 .865 16.651 6.21E-07
.5095 .3621 558.214 .819 .872 17.273 1.92E-06
.0419 560.741 .818 .848 16.190 6.23E-08
.3705 .0779 562.979 .816 .854 16.867 2.39E-07
.6298 .6402 565.798 .814 .853 17.167 2.63E-07
.0510 575.231 .808 .848 18.181 3.57E-07
.3695 .0841 577.560 .807 .855 18.780 1.19E-06
582.636 .803 .828 18.357 3.32E-08
583.891 .802 .835 18.818 1.38E-07
584.291 .802 .835 18.865 1.40E-07
.5550 593.446 .796 .838 20.187 6.36E-07
.6421 595.574 .794 .837 20.426 6.79E-07
595.988 .794 .828 20.234 2.06E-07
.1914 596.762 .793 .828 20.326 2.12E-07
.6857 596.823 .793 .836 20.566 7.06E-07
.9777 597.012 .793 .828 20.355 2.14E-07
598.828 .792 .835 20.792 7.51E-07
.6992 .6003 607.115 .786 .840 21.906 2.82E-06
608.422 .785 .812 21.556 8.18E-08
.9720 611.450 .783 .828 22.232 1.10E-06
.6503 611.638 .783 .837 22.398 3.21E-06
.2199 612.126 .783 .828 22.310 1.13E-06
614.048 .781 .809 22.272 9.90E-08
.3406 614.734 .781 .817 22.485 3.79E-07
.0924 617.031 .779 .816 22.766 4.08E-07
621.382 .776 .813 23.301 4.68E-07
.1211 621.933 .776 .813 23.369 4.76E-07
.6396 625.686 .773 .811 23.833 5.36E-07
.3732 .7091 628.337 .771 .819 24.205 1.82E-06
.0947 .7098 630.696 .769 .817 24.484 1.95E-06
.2235 631.078 .769 .817 24.530 1.98E-06
.5307 .1772 631.351 .769 .817 24.562 1.99E-06
.1003 632.500 .768 .816 24.699 2.06E-06
.1477 632.539 .768 .797 24.673 1.83E-07
.1178 .3591 634.339 .767 .806 24.914 7.01E-07
640.222 .762 .802 25.658 8.40E-07
.2348 .6715 645.049 .759 .819 26.146 8.04E-06
645.487 .758 .789 26.396 2.79E-07
.2876 645.886 .758 .819 26.243 8.22E-06
.3435 646.391 .758 .798 26.446 1.01E-06
.1020 .6869 646.824 .757 .818 26.351 8.43E-06
.2985 646.926 .757 .798 26.514 1.03E-06
647.493 .757 .787 26.666 2.98E-07
.2800 .3395 647.577 .757 .807 26.518 3.18E-06
.1576 647.969 .756 .797 26.648 1.06E-06
649.068 .756 .786 26.879 3.13E-07
649.289 .755 .806 26.727 3.33E-06
.1245 .3513 649.381 .755 .806 26.738 3.34E-06
650.392 .755 .775 27.156 7.45E-08
.3675 651.398 .754 .795 27.090 1.18E-06
 .6713 653.665 .752 .804 27.264 3.77E-06
.2728 656.142 .750 .802 27.570 4.04E-06
.3201 .5846 658.621 .748 .822 27.574 2.80E-05
.2230 .2164 659.044 .748 .790 28.084 1.48E-06
.5230 659.110 .748 .780 28.247 4.31E-07
.3775 .2894 659.291 .748 .811 27.805 1.17E-05
.5274 659.517 .748 .811 27.831 1.18E-05
660.647 .747 .789 28.294 1.55E-06
.3595 662.609 .745 .798 28.374 4.84E-06
.8511 662.884 .745 .788 28.588 1.66E-06
663.125 .745 .787 28.619 1.67E-06
665.558 .743 .775 29.137 5.27E-07
.1259 668.112 .741 .773 29.492 5.71E-07
.1296 668.854 .741 .773 29.595 5.84E-07
.5143 674.600 .736 .780 30.142 2.33E-06
.8313 679.518 .732 .788 30.512 7.67E-06
691.107 .723 .746 33.116 2.83E-07
.0919 720.414 .699 .762 35.908 2.23E-05
.2303 723.627 .696 .760 36.345 2.42E-05
.0621 725.601 .695 .746 37.226 9.63E-06
733.264 .688 .740 38.335 1.18E-05
.1012 .9584 740.098 .682 .762 37.900 .0001
.9770 .2432 743.438 .679 .760 38.342 .0001
.8953 .0740 744.103 .679 .746 39.177 4.01E-05
.1576 749.595 .674 .728 40.737 1.81E-05
.9792 752.299 .672 .740 40.333 4.88E-05
758.163 .667 .722 42.018 2.25E-05
.1415 .4767 758.616 .666 .736 41.232 .0001
.1446 759.187 .666 .735 41.314 .0001
.0229 765.783 .660 .717 43.170 2.73E-05
769.944 .656 .699 44.744 1.07E-05
.0863 771.329 .655 .712 44.016 3.14E-05
774.152 .652 .696 45.421 1.20E-05
.2629 774.704 .652 .710 44.533 3.42E-05
.9541 777.789 .649 .722 44.008 .0001
.9177 .1589 779.752 .647 .736 43.280 .0002
780.715 .646 .691 46.484 1.43E-05
.0080 780.925 .646 .691 46.518 1.44E-05
783.747 .644 .703 45.931 4.27E-05
.7671 .0324 783.818 .644 .718 44.895 .0001
.6153 783.868 .644 .703 45.950 4.29E-05
.2477 .5437 786.950 .641 .716 45.359 .0001
.6498 .1073 786.972 .641 .716 45.362 .0001
.2442 787.691 .640 .700 46.546 4.71E-05
.7135 790.534 .638 .698 46.991 .0001
.5058 .0172 791.182 .637 .697 47.093 .0001
.2714 792.322 .636 .712 46.158 .0001
.6287 795.215 .633 .694 47.727 .0001
795.901 .633 .679 48.977 2.13E-05
797.913 .631 .692 48.154 .0001
.0458 798.470 .630 .676 49.404 2.27E-05
.8379 803.198 .626 .704 47.793 .0002
.2513 .5035 803.693 .625 .719 46.665 .0003
.9328 .2554 807.999 .621 .700 48.522 .0002
.2056 808.494 .621 .668 51.082 2.94E-05
.3463 .1571 809.840 .620 .683 50.056 .0001
811.663 .618 .666 51.616 3.18E-05
.5889 812.208 .617 .697 49.165 .0002
.9770 815.538 .614 .679 50.975 .0001
.1398 817.210 .613 .677 51.245 .0001
.9087 .0589 817.913 .612 .677 51.359 .0001
821.376 .609 .641 54.615 1.26E-05
.5143 822.688 .607 .673 52.136 .0001
.1918 823.129 .607 .673 52.208 .0001
.3420 .1449 824.161 .606 .688 51.008 .0003
829.405 .601 .634 56.061 1.57E-05
.3609 831.822 .599 .649 55.067 .0001
.5120 831.937 .599 .649 55.087 .0001
.1563 .6507 833.809 .597 .681 52.516 .0003
.3814 .3073 835.789 .595 .662 54.292 .0001
.4607 837.732 .593 .644 56.095 .0001
839.144 .592 .643 56.342 .0001
.2720 840.833 .590 .658 55.131 .0002
.0850 840.878 .590 .624 58.152 2.12E-05
.3230 841.369 .589 .658 55.220 .0002
841.907 .589 .640 56.825 .0001
843.348 .587 .639 57.078 .0001
.3612 .2687 844.001 .587 .673 54.127 .0004
846.346 .585 .636 57.606 .0001
.0756 847.597 .583 .635 57.827 .0001
.2441 .4393 848.847 .582 .669 54.900 .0004
.2311 849.634 .581 .634 58.187 .0001
.4517 850.267 .581 .651 56.713 .0002
.4880 .0711 850.632 .580 .633 58.363 .0001
.5190 850.749 .580 .650 56.794 .0002
853.266 .578 .631 58.831 .0001
.4540 .0613 856.139 .575 .646 57.707 .0002
.3008 .1562 856.851 .574 .645 57.828 .0002
.5975 858.020 .573 .644 58.027 .0002
.5234 858.241 .573 .644 58.064 .0002
.2105 859.464 .572 .625 59.936 .0001
859.640 .571 .607 61.633 3.44E-05
859.733 .571 .607 61.651 3.45E-05
.5050 864.435 .567 .639 59.123 .0003
.2343 .8108 869.337 .562 .635 59.966 .0003
872.418 .559 .595 64.048 4.76E-05
.6168 874.610 .556 .612 62.672 .0001
.9312 879.710 .551 .607 63.604 .0002
.4464 880.415 .550 .607 63.733 .0002
881.093 .550 .568 67.558 1.35E-05
.2170 892.871 .538 .595 66.034 .0002
894.166 .536 .594 66.275 .0002
894.359 .536 .575 68.278 .0001
.3418 895.269 .535 .613 64.505 .0005
.8136 899.732 .530 .570 69.330 .0001
.3082 .4365 903.622 .526 .625 63.946 .0013
 905.371 .525 .564 70.440 .0001
.5034 905.792 .524 .603 66.385 .0007
.7974 913.935 .516 .576 69.998 .0004
.1233 924.480 .504 .566 72.017 .0005
.4226 .0991 931.824 .496 .580 71.130 .0012
937.108 .491 .554 74.465 .0006
.5052 949.386 .477 .564 74.407 .0016
.2297 952.442 .474 .540 77.483 .0008
.7130 956.926 .469 .557 75.833 .0019
957.044 .469 .513 80.941 .0004
.4528 .1989 961.967 .463 .553 76.793 .0021
963.862 .461 .506 82.370 .0004
.0334 965.821 .459 .504 82.783 .0004
.7341 .5229 971.018 .453 .567 75.852 .0044
.1510 972.206 .452 .520 81.445 .0013
.6613 974.993 .449 .518 82.010 .0013
.5838 979.352 .444 .513 82.897 .0015
.5719 .0314 980.877 .442 .512 83.209 .0015
.5651 .1847 987.797 .434 .528 81.788 .0034
994.782 .426 .474 88.978 .0009
998.823 .421 .470 89.857 .0009
.4419 1003.616 .416 .489 87.909 .0024
.4540 1008.448 .410 .484 88.921 .0026
.8349 1017.113 .400 .475 90.750 .0031
.2252 1017.212 .400 .475 90.771 .0032
.3946 .2747 1023.148 .393 .494 88.840 .0065
.4376 .7754 1026.257 .389 .491 89.472 .0069
1028.981 .386 .437 96.530 .0018
.3225 1029.491 .385 .462 93.388 .0040
1030.114 .385 .436 96.785 .0018
.5101 1042.111 .370 .449 96.111 .0051
.2446 .0492 1047.924 .363 .443 97.376 .0057
1049.287 .361 .388 104.596 .0009
.7935 1051.438 .359 .439 98.145 .0061
.0198 1058.182 .351 .405 103.180 .0033
.2378 1064.357 .343 .398 104.610 .0038
.4999 .7429 1064.905 .342 .452 97.489 .0135
.9735 1072.842 .332 .388 106.589 .0045
1075.242 .329 .357 110.886 .0016
.3154 1075.575 .329 .385 107.230 .0048
1076.873 .327 .355 111.286 .0017
.6332 .2194 1083.373 .319 .404 105.246 .0111
.6408 .2923 1095.059 .304 .391 107.897 .0137
.8221 1098.117 .301 .359 112.576 .0075
.7865 1099.200 .299 .358 112.836 .0077
.0948 1125.064 .266 .327 119.113 .0128
1169.866 .206 .239 135.120 .0131
1174.100 .200 .234 136.252 .0143
.3928 1176.025 .198 .265 131.908 .0340
.8962 1195.686 .171 .240 136.996 .0489
.7967 .3876 1201.753 .162 .267 133.421 .0831
.0464 1228.228 .125 .162 151.085 .0464
.9750 .0616 1255.803 .085 .162 153.077 .1440
.5768 1332.062 .000 .014 181.411 .5768

Stepwise Selection displays the one best model of

each size from the All Possible Regressions. There is Return
also a graph showing the Adj R² for each number of
variables.

WkLoad Rating s Adj R² R² Cp p-value

881.093 .550 .568 67.558 1.35E-05
650.392 .755 .775 27.156 7.45E-08
545.515 .827 .849 13.995 8.43E-09
453.836 .881 .900 5.431 9.56E-10
430.232 .893 .915 4.443 1.59E-09
428.004 .894 .920 5.354 6.14E-09
.5501 435.674 .890 .922 7.004 3.21E-08
.5649 .9500 449.026 .883 .922 9.000 1.82E-07

Back to the menu

 This is a sample dialog box for a Time Series/Forecasting → Trendline Curvefit.
This example fits an exponential curve and forecasts for three time periods.

Click here to see the data.

The MegaStat output is shown below. This is what is put in the Output sheet when you click OK.

Regression Analysis

r² 0.974 n 17
r 0.987 k 1
Std. Error 0.025 Dep. Var. log(Sales)

ANOVA table
Source SS df MS F p-value
Regression 0.3444 1 0.3444 554.95 2.91E-13
Residual 0.0093 15 0.0006
 Total 0.3537 16

Regression output confidence interval

variables coefficients std. error t (df=15) p-value 95% lower 95% upper std. coeff.
Intercept 3.5905 0.000
t 0.0291 0.0012 23.557 2.91E-13 0.0264 0.0317 0.987

coefficients in terms of the model: abx

3894.518 = a, beginning value
1.069 = b, growth factor
6.92% average rate of change

t log(Sales) Predicted Residual

0 3.58602 3.59045 -0.00443
1 3.61363 3.61951 -0.00588
2 3.69152 3.64856 0.04296
3 3.67541 3.67762 -0.00221
4 3.68592 3.70667 -0.02075
5 3.77866 3.73573 0.04293
6 3.72346 3.76478 -0.04133
7 3.82066 3.79384 0.02682
8 3.79789 3.82289 -0.02500
9 3.84036 3.85195 -0.01159
10 3.87239 3.88100 -0.00861
11 3.89763 3.91006 -0.01243
12 3.92080 3.93911 -0.01831
13 3.97081 3.96817 0.00264
14 3.98376 3.99722 -0.01346
15 4.04848 4.02628 0.02220
16 4.08178 4.05533 0.02645

Durbin-Watson = 2.74

Predicted values for: log(Sales)

95% Confidence Intervals 95% Prediction Intervals
t Predicted lower upper lower upper Leverage
17 4.08439 4.05745 4.11133 4.02485 4.14393 0.257
18 4.11344 4.08417 4.14272 4.05281 4.17408 0.304
19 4.14250 4.11084 4.17415 4.08068 4.20432 0.355

Predicted values for: Sales

95% Confidence Intervals 95% Prediction Intervals
t Predicted lower upper lower upper Leverage
17 12144.72 11414.31 12921.87 10588.76 13929.32 0.257
18 12985.02 12138.60 13890.45 11292.95 14930.61 0.304
19 13883.45 12907.49 14933.21 12041.41 16007.28 0.355

Residuals
0.04983
std. error)

0.02491
 Residuals
0.04983

Residual (gridlines = std. error) 0.02491

0.00000

-0.02491

-0.04983
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
Observation

Exponential curve fit

14,000

12,000
f(x) = 3894.51791226872 exp( 0.0669014527100312 x )
10,000 R² = 0.973681883114035

8,000
Sales

6,000

4,000

2,000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
t

Data:
t log(Sales) Sales
0 3.5860 3,855
1 3.6136 4,108
2 3.6915 4,915
3 3.6754 4,736
4 3.6859 4,852
5 3.7787 6,007
6 3.7235 5,290
7 3.8207 6,617
8 3.7979 6,279
 9 3.8404 6,924
10 3.8724 7,454
11 3.8976 7,900
12 3.9208 8,333
13 3.9708 9,350
14 3.9838 9,633
15 4.0485 11,181
16 4.0818 12,072
Back to the menu
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 This is an example of a Time Series / Forecasting → Deseasonalization dialog box.

Click here to see the data

The MegaStat output is shown below. This is what is put in the Output sheet when you click OK.

Centered Moving Average and Deseasonalization

Centered
Moving Ratio to Seasonal Sales
t Year Quarter Sales Average CMA Indexes Deseasonalized
1 2003 1 518.0 0.935 554.17
2 2003 2 575.0 0.996 577.10
3 2003 3 579.7 583.413 0.994 0.985 588.75
4 2003 4 641.3 594.163 1.079 1.084 591.46
5 2004 1 557.3 605.038 0.921 0.935 596.21
6 2004 2 621.7 615.900 1.009 0.996 623.97
7 2004 3 620.0 625.650 0.991 0.985 629.68
8 2004 4 687.9 631.988 1.088 1.084 634.44
9 2005 1 588.7 636.900 0.924 0.935 629.80
10 2005 2 641.0 641.925 0.999 0.996 643.34
11 2005 3 640.0 647.825 0.988 0.985 649.99
12 2005 4 708.1 654.325 1.082 1.084 653.07
13 2006 1 615.7 660.825 0.932 0.935 658.69
14 2006 2 666.0 669.500 0.995 0.996 668.43
15 2006 3 667.0 677.588 0.984 0.985 677.41
16 2006 4 750.5 683.838 1.097 1.084 692.17
17 2007 1 638.0 690.800 0.924 0.935 682.55
18 2007 2 693.7 698.800 0.993 0.996 696.23
19 2007 3 695.0 712.638 0.975 0.985 705.85
20 2007 4 786.5 729.425 1.078 1.084 725.37
21 2008 1 712.7 744.000 0.958 0.935 762.46
 22 2008 2 753.3 758.150 0.994 0.996 756.05
23 2008 3 752.0 769.875 0.977 0.985 763.74
24 2008 4 842.7 779.450 1.081 1.084 777.21
25 2009 1 750.3 789.075 0.951 0.935 802.69
26 2009 2 792.3 800.050 0.990 0.996 795.19
27 2009 3 790.0 0.985 802.33
28 2009 4 892.5 1.084 823.14

Calculation of Seasonal Indexes

1 2 3 4
2003 0.994 1.079
2004 0.921 1.009 0.991 1.088
2005 0.924 0.999 0.988 1.082
2006 0.932 0.995 0.984 1.097
2007 0.924 0.993 0.975 1.078
2008 0.958 0.994 0.977 1.081
2009 0.951 0.990
mean: 0.935 0.997 0.985 1.084 4.001
adjusted: 0.935 0.996 0.985 1.084 4.000

Deseasonalization

950.0

900.0

850.0

800.0 f(x) = 9.20803939281198 x + 550.821422585511

R² = 0.975009422293662
750.0
Sales

700.0

650.0

600.0

550.0

500.0
0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28

Quarter
Sales Deseasonalized Linear (Deseasonalized)
Back to the menu
Back to the menu
 This is an example of a Chi-Square → Contingency Table dialog box.

The dialog box uses the data below that shows computer ownership of a sample of
GRaduate and UnderGraduate students.

UG GR
Own PC Yes 49 47
No 114 36

The output below is from the dialog box shown above.

Chi-square Contingency Table Test for Independence

UG GR Total
Yes Observed 49 47 96
Expected 63.61 32.39 96.00
O-E -14.61 14.61 0.00
(O - E)² / E 3.36 6.59 9.95
No Observed 114 36 150
Expected 99.39 50.61 150.00
O-E 14.61 -14.61 0.00
(O - E)² / E 2.15 4.22 6.37
Total Observed 163 83 246
Expected 163.00 83.00 246.00
O-E 0.00 0.00 0.00
(O - E)² / E 5.50 10.81 16.31
16.31 chi-square
1 df
.0001 p-value
Back to the menu
Back to the menu
 This is a sample dialog box for a Chi-square → Crosstabulation dialog box.

This example will create a 5 x 2 table and a chi-square test. Note how the
specification ranges indicate the values to be counted.

Click here to see the data.

The MegaStat output is shown below. This is what is put in the Output sheet when you click OK.

Crosstabulation

Pool?
No Yes Total
BurbsvilleObserved 13 3 16
Expected 8.00 8.00 16.00
O-E 5.00 -5.00 0.00
(O - E)² / E 3.13 3.13 6.25
% of chisq 10.1% 10.1% 20.2%
% of row 81.3% 18.8% 100.0%
% of column 21.0% 4.8% 12.9%
SubDiv % of total 10.5% 2.4% 12.9%
Englewood Observed 23 13 36
Expected 18.00 18.00 36.00
 O-E 5.00 -5.00 0.00
(O - E)² / E 1.39 1.39 2.78
% of chisq 4.5% 4.5% 9.0%
% of row 63.9% 36.1% 100.0%
% of column 37.1% 21.0% 29.0%
% of total 18.5% 10.5% 29.0%
Briar Hills Observed 14 5 19
Expected 9.50 9.50 19.00
O-E 4.50 -4.50 0.00
(O - E)² / E 2.13 2.13 4.26
% of chisq 6.9% 6.9% 13.8%
% of row 73.7% 26.3% 100.0%
% of column 22.6% 8.1% 15.3%
% of total 11.3% 4.0% 15.3%
Lone Tree Observed 9 20 29
Expected 14.50 14.50 29.00
O-E -5.50 5.50 0.00
(O - E)² / E 2.09 2.09 4.17
% of chisq 6.7% 6.7% 13.5%
% of row 31.0% 69.0% 100.0%
% of column 14.5% 32.3% 23.4%
% of total 7.3% 16.1% 23.4%
Stanton Observed 3 21 24
Expected 12.00 12.00 24.00
O-E -9.00 9.00 0.00
(O - E)² / E 6.75 6.75 13.50
% of chisq 21.8% 21.8% 43.6%
% of row 12.5% 87.5% 100.0%
% of column 4.8% 33.9% 19.4%
% of total 2.4% 16.9% 19.4%
Total Observed 62 62 124
Expected 62.00 62.00 124.00
O-E 0.00 0.00 0.00
(O - E)² / E 15.48 15.48 30.96
% of chisq 50.0% 50.0% 100.0%
% of row 50.0% 50.0% 100.0%
% of column 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
% of total 50.0% 50.0% 100.0%

30.96 chi-square
4 df
3.11E-06 p-value

.500 Phi coefficient

.447 Coefficient of Contingency
.500 Cramér's V
Back to the menu
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 This is an example of a Nonparmetric Tests → Runs Test for Random Sequence dialog box.

The sample data shows 100 tosses of a coin. Does it appear to be a fair coin?

Click here to see the data

The MegaStat output is shown below. This is what is put in the Output sheet when you click OK.

Runs Test for Random Sequence

variable: Coin Toss

n runs
49 18 Heads
51 18 Tails
100 36 total

50.98 expected value

4.97 standard deviation It does not appear to be a fair coin.
-2.91 z (with continuity correction) Although the percent Heads/Tails is close
to .5, there are significantly fewer runs
.0036 p-value (two-tailed) than expected.

Probability distribution for total runs

49 n1
51 n2

R p(R) p(r <= R) p(r >= R)

2 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
3 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
4 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
5 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
6 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
7 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
 8 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
9 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
10 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
11 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
12 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
13 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
14 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
15 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
16 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
17 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
18 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
19 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
20 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
21 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
22 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
23 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
24 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
25 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
26 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
27 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
28 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000
29 0.00000 0.00001 1.00000
30 0.00001 0.00001 0.99999
31 0.00002 0.00004 0.99999
32 0.00005 0.00009 0.99996
33 0.00011 0.00019 0.99991
34 0.00022 0.00042 0.99981
35 0.00044 0.00085 0.99958
36 0.00085 0.00170 0.99915
37 0.00150 0.00320 0.99830
38 0.00267 0.00587 0.99680
39 0.00435 0.01022 0.99413
40 0.00710 0.01732 0.98978
41 0.01064 0.02796 0.98268
42 0.01595 0.04391 0.97204
43 0.02202 0.06593 0.95609
44 0.03038 0.09631 0.93407
45 0.03866 0.13497 0.90369
46 0.04914 0.18412 0.86503
47 0.05769 0.24181 0.81588
48 0.06763 0.30944 0.75819
49 0.07327 0.38270 0.69056
50 0.07925 0.46196 0.61730
51 0.07925 0.54121 0.53804
52 0.07913 0.62034 0.45879
53 0.07304 0.69338 0.37966
54 0.06731 0.76069 0.30662
55 0.05733 0.81802 0.23931
56 0.04875 0.86677 0.18198
57 0.03830 0.90507 0.13323
58 0.03003 0.93510 0.09493
59 0.02175 0.95685 0.06490
60 0.01571 0.97256 0.04315
61 0.01047 0.98304 0.02744
62 0.00697 0.99000 0.01696
63 0.00427 0.99427 0.01000
64 0.00261 0.99688 0.00573
65 0.00147 0.99835 0.00312
66 0.00082 0.99917 0.00165
67 0.00042 0.99960 0.00083
68 0.00022 0.99981 0.00040
69 0.00010 0.99992 0.00019
70 0.00005 0.99997 0.00008
71 0.00002 0.99999 0.00003
72 0.00001 0.99999 0.00001
73 0.00000 1.00000 0.00001
74 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
75 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
76 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
77 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
78 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
79 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
80 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
81 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
82 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
83 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
84 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
85 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
86 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
87 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
88 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
89 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
90 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
91 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
92 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
93 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
94 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
95 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
96 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
97 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
98 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
99 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
1.00000

50.98 = expected value

24.73 = variance
4.97 = standard deviation
 Back to the menu
g box.

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Back to the menu
 This is a sample dialog box for a Random Number Generation dialog box.

This example will create 50 normally distributed random numbers with a mean of 120
and a standard deviation of 20. The dialog box specifies 'Live' output, so the values
will recalculate when you press the F9 function key. Try it.
Click in the cells to see how the values are calculated.

The MegaStat output is shown below. This is what is put in the Output sheet when you click OK.

Normally Distributed Random Numbers (Press F9 to recalculate values.)

parameters
Mean 120
Stdev 20
Dec places 1

calculated
mean 120.66
std. dev. 18.45
n 50
min 76.6
max 152.7

Normal
125.3
137.4
113.8
117.4
113.5
130.4
91.0
145.9
105.5
152.7
127.0
133.2
140.6
76.6
120.3
123.6
135.6
139.0
108.8
136.7
116.1
116.9
134.2
87.5
95.3
91.6
130.9
113.2
121.9
148.4
133.9
143.3
146.4
122.1
102.5
124.0
106.1
107.4
127.8
97.6
116.5
82.7
147.1
131.2
131.8
103.2
104.1
113.6
118.9
142.4
Back to the menu
Back to the menu
If you click Help/Information → Help System on the MegaStat menu, you get this:

This is an example of context sensitive help from one of the dialog boxes.
If you ever get an error message like this (which should never happen; this one was artificially generated):

Clicking Help would give the following:

Back to the menu
Back to the menu
If you click Help/Information → System Information on the MegaStat menu, you get this:

If you click Insert, the information is put in an Output sheet as shown below:

System Information (6-Dec-10 10:12 AM)

MegaStat version: 10.2 Release 2.1

Operating System: Windows (32-bit) NT 6.01
Excel version: 14.0 (Build 4756)
Program file: C:\Users\SysAdmin\AppData\Roaming\Microsoft\AddIns\MegaStat.xla
Help file: C:\Users\SysAdmin\AppData\Roaming\Microsoft\AddIns\MegaStat.chm
Back to the menu

Back to the menu

 Return
SqrFt
3985
3564
2914
3413
3627
3727
2304
3103
3859
4318
2931
3926
2206
2401
3152
2863
2683
3468
3159
4390
2425
2259
2718
3032
4447
2100
3294
3393
3376
4391
3588
2419
2710
3312
3799
2362
2800
3495
2239
3757
2617
2636
3107
2288
2773
3043
3866
2573
2166
3434
2335
2515
2156
2835
2080
2805
2407
2266
4637
2945
3894
2484
3053
2138
3429
3160
2822
3698
3137
3674
3221
6180
2686
3766
3273
2920
3932
2771
4648
2766
3470
2156
2508
3504
2500
3176
2201
3269
2900
2774
3749
4756
4247
3666
2938
3264
3567
3201
2716
2434
3470
3113
2712
3430
3626
2968
3809
3252
2581
2467
2491
3128
3872
3464
3718
4320
7147
3153
2608
3708
2250
3847
2330
4215
 Alpha Beta Gamma Delta
46 73 65 44
55 61 50 50
49 67 58 48
44 54 61 41
61 56 53
68 45
71

Click here to return.

 Return
Price
480.1
397.8
307.4
413.0
389.3
353.3
331.0
381.2
422.5
427.3
380.6
439.6
249.8
248.0
337.3
376.5
320.4
341.8
339.3
455.9
273.7
283.8
381.4
382.8
419.6
275.8
336.8
339.2
391.4
387.0
412.9
290.7
306.8
343.0
452.2
224.7
271.6
407.4
278.0
350.6
328.4
330.9
401.8
235.0
357.9
353.7
475.7
257.7
283.0
399.2
245.0
192.9
258.4
298.1
298.3
227.0
224.1
262.0
433.8
333.3
346.2
300.2
347.4
299.7
407.0
272.3
380.9
414.9
354.6
415.1
381.6
452.3
296.7
451.4
280.1
248.2
411.4
314.4
500.0
316.8
406.8
267.7
247.5
345.5
207.8
338.6
276.5
368.6
309.7
297.7
350.7
511.0
460.2
411.7
383.3
392.3
450.9
341.6
379.1
197.8
390.3
349.6
296.2
390.2
348.8
386.8
475.5
385.3
263.6
200.5
202.5
341.4
452.4
332.0
430.8
421.6
429.5
283.2
328.1
405.6
277.0
456.0
239.9
457.3
 Alpha Beta Gamma Delta
46 73 65 44
55 61 50 50
49 67 58 48
44 54 61 41
61 56 53
68 45
71

Click here to return.

 Return
SubDiv
5 subdivision names
4 Burbsville 1
3 Englewood 2
1 Briar Hills 3
4 Lone Tree 4
2 Stanton 5
4
4
5 Specification
5 range for SubDiv
4 variable
5
1
3
3
4
3
3
2
5
2
2
4
4
5
2
2
2
4
3
4
2
3
2
5
1
2
4
2
2
3
2
4
1
2
2
5
1
1
4
4
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
5
3
2
2
3
2
4
2
4
5
2
5
4
5
2
5
2
2
4
3
5
3
4
2
4
2
1
3
2
3
3
2
2
5
5
4
4
4
5
2
4
1
4
3
3
4
2
4
5
4
1
1
1
2
5
3
5
5
5
2
3
4
2
5
1
5
 Alpha Beta Gamma Delta
46 73 65 44
55 61 50 50
49 67 58 48
44 54 61 41
61 56 53
68 45
71

Click here to return.

SqrFt Price
3985 480.1 Price vs Size <-- this cell was used for the title
3564 397.8
2914 307.4
3413 413.0
3627 389.3
3727 353.3
2304 331.0
3103 381.2
3859 422.5
4318 427.3
2931 380.6
3926 439.6
2206 249.8
2401 248.0
3152 337.3
2863 376.5
2683 320.4
3468 341.8
3159 339.3
4390 455.9
2425 273.7
2259 283.8
2718 381.4
3032 382.8
4447 419.6
2100 275.8
3294 336.8
3393 339.2
3376 391.4
4391 387.0
3588 412.9
2419 290.7
2710 306.8
3312 343.0
3799 452.2
2362 224.7
2800 271.6
3495 407.4
2239 278.0
3757 350.6
2617 328.4
2636 330.9
3107 401.8
2288 235.0
2773 357.9
3043 353.7
3866 475.7
2573 257.7
2166 283.0
3434 399.2
2335 245.0
2515 192.9
2156 258.4
2835 298.1
2080 298.3
2805 227.0
2407 224.1
2266 262.0
4637 433.8
2945 333.3
3894 346.2
2484 300.2
3053 347.4
2138 299.7
3429 407.0
3160 272.3
2822 380.9
3698 414.9
3137 354.6
3674 415.1
3221 381.6
4080 452.3
2686 296.7
3766 451.4
3273 280.1
2920 248.2
3932 411.4
2771 314.4
4648 500.0
2766 316.8
3470 406.8
2156 267.7
2508 247.5
3504 345.5
2500 207.8
3176 338.6
2201 276.5
3269 368.6
2900 309.7
2774 297.7
3749 350.7
4756 511.0
4247 460.2
3666 411.7
2938 383.3
3264 392.3
3567 450.9
3201 341.6
2716 379.1
2434 197.8
3470 390.3
3113 349.6
2712 296.2
3430 390.2
3626 348.8
2968 386.8
3809 475.5
3252 385.3
2581 263.6
2467 200.5
2491 202.5
3128 341.4
3872 452.4
3464 332.0
3718 430.8
4320 421.6
4689 429.5
3153 283.2
2608 328.1
3708 405.6
2250 277.0
3847 456.0
2330 239.9
4215 457.3
Gamma Delta
65 44
50 50
58 48
61 41
56 53
68 45
71
Return
Time Year Q Sales
Seven years of quarterly data.
1 2003 1 518.0
2 2003 2 575.0
3 2003 3 579.7
4 2003 4 641.3
5 2004 1 557.3
6 2004 2 621.7
7 2004 3 620.0
8 2004 4 687.9
9 2005 1 588.7
10 2005 2 641.0
11 2005 3 640.0
12 2005 4 708.1
13 2006 1 615.7
14 2006 2 666.0
15 2006 3 667.0
16 2006 4 750.5
17 2007 1 638.0
18 2007 2 693.7
19 2007 3 695.0
20 2007 4 786.5
21 2008 1 712.7
22 2008 2 753.3
23 2008 3 752.0
24 2008 4 842.7
25 2009 1 750.3
26 2009 2 792.3
27 2009 3 790.0
28 2009 4 892.5
Return
 This dataset is from: Bowerman, B. L., O'Connell, R. T., Orris, J.B., Murphree, Emily S., (2010).
Essentials of Business Statistics, 3rd. Ed. Burr Ridge, IL: McGraw-Hill/Irwin.

Sales Time MktPoten Adver MktShare Change Accts WkLoad Rating

3669.88 43.10 74065.11 4582.88 2.51 0.34 74.86 15.05 4.9
3473.95 108.13 58117.30 5539.78 5.51 0.15 107.32 19.97 5.1
2295.10 13.82 21118.49 2950.38 10.91 -0.72 96.75 17.34 2.9
4675.56 186.18 68521.27 2243.07 8.27 0.17 195.12 13.40 3.4
6125.96 161.79 57805.11 7747.08 9.15 0.50 180.44 17.64 4.6
2134.94 8.94 37806.94 402.44 5.51 0.15 104.88 16.22 4.5
5031.66 365.04 50935.26 3140.62 8.54 0.55 256.10 18.80 4.6
3367.45 220.32 35602.08 2086.16 7.07 -0.49 126.83 19.86 2.3
6519.45 127.64 46176.77 8846.25 12.54 1.24 203.25 17.42 4.9
4876.37 105.69 42053.24 5673.11 8.85 0.31 119.51 21.41 2.8
2468.27 57.72 36829.71 2761.76 5.38 0.37 116.26 16.32 3.1
2533.31 23.58 33612.67 1991.85 5.43 -0.65 142.28 14.51 4.2
2408.11 13.82 21412.79 1971.52 8.48 0.64 89.43 19.35 4.3
2337.38 13.82 20416.87 1737.38 7.80 1.01 84.55 20.02 4.2
4586.95 86.99 36272.00 10694.20 10.34 0.11 119.51 15.26 5.5
2729.24 165.85 23093.26 8618.61 5.15 0.04 80.49 15.87 3.6
3289.40 116.26 26878.59 7747.89 6.64 0.68 136.58 7.81 3.4
2800.78 42.28 39571.96 4565.81 5.45 0.66 78.86 16.00 4.2
3264.20 52.84 51866.15 6022.70 6.31 -0.10 136.58 17.44 3.6
3453.62 165.04 58749.82 3721.10 6.35 -0.03 138.21 17.98 3.1
1741.45 10.57 23990.82 860.97 7.37 -1.63 75.61 20.99 1.6
2035.75 13.82 25694.86 3571.51 8.39 -0.43 102.44 21.66 3.4
1578.00 8.13 23736.35 2845.50 5.15 0.04 76.42 21.46 2.7
4167.44 58.54 34314.29 5060.11 12.88 0.22 136.58 24.78 2.8
2799.97 21.14 22809.53 3552.00 9.14 -0.74 88.62 24.96 3.9

values used for prediction:

87.64 38858.05 4357.39 7.56 0.10 122.70 18.06 3.7 These are the means s
80 40000 4000 7 0.12 120 18 4 A 'typical' prediction.
60 30000 1000 10 1.00 200 8 3 This predicition illustra
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 With all zeros, the pre
 Return

These are the means so the predicted value will be the mean of Sales
A 'typical' prediction.
This predicition illustrates exrapolation.
With all zeros, the predicted value will be the intercept.
Group A Group B
148 143
149 137
152 147
157 151
153 146
148 155
160 147
154 150
154 147
148 138
145
144
155
156
138
Return
Pool? SubDiv
1 5 subdivision names
1 4 Burbsville 1
0 3 Englewood 2
0 1 Briar Hills 3
0 4 Lone Tree 4
0 2 Stanton 5
0 4
1 4
1 5 Specification range for
the SubDiv variable
1 5
1 4
0 5
1 1
0 3 No 0
0 3 Yes 1
0 4
1 3
0 3 Specification range for
the Pool? variable
0 2
1 5
0 2
0 2
0 4
1 4
1 5
0 2
0 2
0 2
1 4
0 3
1 4
1 2
1 3
1 2
1 5
0 1
0 2
1 4
0 2
0 2
0 3
1 2
1 4
0 1
0 2
1 2
1 5
0 1
0 1
1 4
1 4
0 1
0 2
1 2
1 2
1 1
1 1
0 1
1 5
0 3
0 2
0 2
0 3
1 2
1 4
1 2
0 4
1 5
1 2
1 5
1 4
1 5
0 2
1 5
1 2
0 2
0 4
0 3
1 5
0 3
1 4
1 2
0 4
0 2
0 1
1 3
0 2
0 3
1 3
1 2
0 2
1 5
1 5
1 4
1 4
1 4
1 5
0 2
0 4
0 1
1 4
0 3
1 3
1 4
0 2
1 4
1 5
1 4
0 1
0 1
0 1
0 2
0 5
0 3
1 5
1 5
1 5
1 2
0 3
0 4
0 2
1 5
0 1
0 5
 Alpha Beta Gamma Delta
46 73 65 44
55 61 50 50
49 67 58 48
44 54 61 41
61 56 53
68 45
71

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Return
 Return
Year t Sales
1993 0 3855
1994 1 4108
1995 2 4915
1996 3 4736
1997 4 4852
1998 5 6007
1999 6 5290
2000 7 6617
2001 8 6279
2002 9 6924
2003 10 7454
2004 11 7900
2005 12 8333
2006 13 9350
2007 14 9633
2008 15 11181
2009 16 12072
 Return
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