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Journal of Defense Resources Management Vol.

11, issue 1(20) / 2020

DEFENSE OFFSET STRATEGY FOR DEVELOPMENT OF


THE NATIONAL DEFENSE INDUSTRY IN INDONESIA

Fernando SITUMEANG*, Imam SUYUDI**, A. K. SUSILO***

*Student Officer, Staff and Command College of Indonesia Armed Forces


Martanegara No.11, Bandung, West-Java, Indonesia 40264.
**Lecturer Staff, Staff and Command College of Indonesia Armed Forces
Martanegara No.11, Bandung, West-Java, Indonesia 40264
***Lecturer Staff, Indonesia Naval Technology College
Bumimoro, Moro Krembangan, Surabaya, East Java, Indonesia 60178

Basically, Indonesia has implemented a national defense offset policy. However, there are still obstacles
in the implementation of these policies. This study aims at developing a strategy of implementing the Defense
Offset to Strengthen the National Defense Industry. This study used the PEST (Politics, Economy, Social,
Technology) analysis method, Borda method, and SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats).
This study is expected to provide an analysis of the optimization of defense offsets implementation. The
analysis results of the internal factor obtained 7 aspects of strength and 13 aspects of weakness. The analysis
results of external factors obtained 11 aspects of opportunity and 13 aspects of the threat. The analysis
results of the QSPM matrix found that the strategy that is in accordance with the policy of implementing
defense offset is the SO strategy. SO Strategy consists of 18 sub-strategy steps, which are aspects of
government policy 6 sub-strategies; aspects of developing human resources 4 sub-strategies; aspects of the
defense industry infrastructure 8 sub-strategies.

Key words: The Indonesian National Armed Forces (TNI), defense offset, defense industry, borda count
method, SWOT (Strength, Weakness, Opportunity, Threat), PEST (Politics, Economy, Social, Technology)

1. INTRODUCTION and quantity of defense equipment in which it is


in accordance with regional characteristics, and
To face the challenge of tasks of The it eliminates political dependence on other
Indonesian National Armed Forces (TNI) on countries [3]. One way to get a strong and
forward, the concrete manifestation of independent defense industry, including
technological dominance in the TNI system is qualified defense technology, is through an
mainly in the form of weapon systems used offset policy [4].
covering the main equipment, with all its Basically, Indonesia has implemented a
supporters, as well as the capabilities and skills national defense offset policy [2]. However,
of TNI soldiers in a professional manner [1]. there are still obstacles in the implementation of
Certainly, the level of technology requires a these policies, among others:
strong and independent national defense 1) The absence of policies or regulations
industry [2]. The development of the domestic supporting the defense industry in the
defense industry is one of the important aspects implementation of defense offset;
of a country's efforts to develop a defense 2) Capabilities of HR in supporting the
system independently. It is related to the development of defense offset are still
fulfillment of needs both in providing quality minimal and limited; and

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3) The facilities and infrastructures in the • Putra et al (2017) explained the PEST
defense industry are still unable to fully analysis for Indonesian maritime
support the defense offset policy. security [24].
This study aims at developing a strategy of • Keung-Ho (2014) proposed the
implementing the Defense Offset to Strengthen construction of a systemic PEST
the National Defense Industry. This study used analysis diagram [11].
the PEST (Politics, Economy, Social, References about SWOT in military:
Technology) analysis method, Borda method, • Yogi et al (2017) SWOT to provide
and SWOT (Strength, Weakness, Opportunity, analysis, appropriate strategies that can
Threat). PEST analysis was used to identify the be used to plan base relocation [19].
related external factors having an effect. The • Susilo et al (2018) explained the strategy
Borda method was used to give a score to of developing the Navy's posture to
criteria of internal and external factors. SWOT support operational tasks [25].
was used to develop a defense offset • Wahyudi et al (2019) explained the
implementation strategy. This study is expected strategy of KRI dr. Soeharso in HA/DR
to provide an analysis of the optimization of operation using SWOT-ISM [20].
defense offsets implementation and to formulate • Herdijanto et al (2019) explained the
priority steps for the optimization of defense strategy of Revolution Military affair
offset policies implementation to support the using SWOT analysis.
independence of Main Equipment and Weapon In this study, there is systematic writing in
Systems. which the second section will discuss defense
There are several previous studies as offset theory, PEST analysis, SWOT theory,
references: defense industry. Then, it explains data
• Hajami and Chinoperekweyi (2019) collection, data processing, and data analysis.
critically analyzed the role of offsets and The third section will discuss the results of the
offset management in the aerospace analysis and discussion. The fourth section
industry [21]. explains the conclusions of the study.
• Platzgummer (2015) explains how
balancing agents use performance 2. MATERIAL/METHOD
management to control, direct, improve,
and provide accountability to the public 2.1. Defense Offset
in the implementation of defense offset Basically, Defense offset is a process of
[22]. purchasing weapons or mutual investment
• Terziev, et al. (2017) explains the role of agreed by weapons manufacturers or suppliers
offsets as economic operations that in return for an agreement to purchase military
represent a variety of industry and trade services and equipment. Defense offset in
practices [5]. defense trade has been carried out in the world
References about PEST: arms trade for the past five decades since the
• Alava et al (2018) explain the PEST first offset between the US and Europe in arms
analysis on the neutrosophic map [12]. trade [6].
• Acar (2015) explains about the analysis There are two types of offsets: direct and
of PEST in an unstable economic indirect offset. Direct offset is defined as goods
environment [23]. or services which are directly related to military
equipment being sold [7]. There are three types
of direct offset, which are: 1) licensed

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production; 2) Co-production; and 3) Co- 2.3. PEST Analysis


development. [8] PEST analysis is related to the influence of
Meanwhile, indirect offset is defined as the environment on business [10].
goods and services which is not directly related According to Ward and Peppard (2002)
to purchases of military products, but it is PEST analysis is an analysis of business
attached as agreements in the process of buying external environmental factors which include
and selling military and defense equipment. the political, economic, social and technological
There are at least four types of indirect offsets, fields.
which are: 1) Barter; 2) Counter-purchase; 3) PEST analysis is a simple and effective tool
Counter-investment; and 4) Buyback. [9] for identifying which external forces might
affect your business. This power needs to be
2.2. Defense industry identified because it can create opportunities
Based on the Act No. 16, 2012 concerning and threats. Therefore the purpose of conducting
the Defense industry, the purpose of the PEST is to: 1) find current external factors that
formation of that is to revive the national can affect the organization; 2) Identify external
defense industry, because the needs of Indonesia factors that might change in the future; 3) Take
for Defense Industry products currently are very advantage of opportunities or avoid threats from
high and are expected to revitalize our defense external factors [11].
industry. The presence of Act No. 16, 2012 The result of the PEST Analysis is an
concerning Defense Industry appeared at a right understanding of the whole picture of the
moment because The Indonesian National company. This analysis can also be used to
Armed Forces (TNI) is conducting the process assess new market potential. The more negative
of modernizing the defense equipment, and TNI forces that affect the market, the more difficult
has had a strategic plan on modernization of it is to do business in that market. Difficulties
Main Equipment and Weapon Systems encountered in these markets can reduce the
(Alutsista) in three stages for fifteen years [1]. company's profit potential and limit the
Republic of Indonesia Presidential company's business movements in the market
Regulation No. 59, 2013 concerning the [12].
Defense Industry Policy Committee - The
empowerment of the defense industry to 2.4. Borda Method
develop the national industry into a defense Borda Rules are included in the class of
industry directed at: meeting the needs of ranking rules in which points are awarded to
Defense equipment, encouraging in producing each candidate or alternate according to rank in
products for defense and non-defense interests, voter preferences [13]. Each decision-maker
cooperation with foreign defense industries both must order an alternate option according to the
production and development. The Integration of preference specified. One point is given to the
the Defense Industry development by highest choice alternative; the second received
considering the science and technology mastery two points and so on [14].
and technology transfer through cooperation In this method if there are n alternatives, the
between ministry and other institutions within first choice of voters is given (m -1) points, the
the scope of the Defense Industry Policy second point (m-2) and so on to the last option,
Committee (KKIP) to create a strong, which is 0 points. Then, in each alternative,
independent, and competitive defense industry summaries of all points are given from all
[2]. decision-makers (or by criteria). The alternative
is to rank in the order corresponding to the

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number, the fewer points gained, the better the These external factors influence the
alternate in the rankings. formation of opportunities and threats (O
The formula describes as [15]: and T), where this factor is related to
conditions that occur outside the company
𝑃𝑃𝑎𝑎 = ∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1 𝑟𝑟𝑎𝑎1 that affects the company's decision making.
These factors include the industrial,
Where Pa is the total number of points economic, political, legal, technological,
obtained by alternative a and rai is the rank of population and socio-cultural environments
alternative a in criterion i. [18].
a. Determining criteria related to the b. Internal Factors.
educational system of the Indonesian These internal factors affect the
Navy in order to support technology formation of strengths and weaknesses (S
mastery. and W). Where this factor is related to the
b. Giving the value of the related criteria conditions that occur in the company,
and determining the priority in the which also influences the formation of
strategy implementation. company decision making. These internal
factors include all kinds of functional
2.5. SWOT Analysis management: finance, operations, human
SWOT analysis is the systematic resources, research and development,
identification of various factors to formulate a management information systems and
company's strategy [16]. This analysis is based corporate culture.
on a logic that can maximize strengths and SWOT analysis compares the external
opportunities, but simultaneously minimize factors of opportunity and threat with the
weaknesses and threats. The strategic decision- internal factors of strengths and weaknesses.
making process is always related to the Internal factors are entered into a matrix called
development of the company's mission, goals, the internal strategy factor matrix or IFAS
strategies and policies [17]. (Internal Strategic Factor Analysis Summary).
Thus, strategic planning must analyze the External factors are entered into a matrix called
factors of the company's strategy (strengths, the EFAS external strategy matrix (External
weaknesses, opportunities and threats) in the Strategic Factor Analysis Summary). After the
current conditions. internal and external strategy factor matrix is
completed, the results are then included in a
2.6. SWOT Elements quantitative model, the SWOT matrix to
SWOT elements consist of Strength, formulate competitive strategies in the
Weakness, Opportunity, Opportunity, Threats. organization [19].
External and internal factors According to [26]
if we are to analyze more deeply SWOT, it is Table 1. IFAS and EFAS Matrix of SWOT
necessary to look at external factors and internal Strategies.
as an important part in the SWOT analysis. Aspect Weight Rating BxR
They are: Aspect 1 X Y X.Y
a. External Factors. Aspect 2 X Y X.Y
Aspect 3 X Y X.Y

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2.7. Flowchart of Research.

Fig. 1. Flowchart of Research.

The development of strategy of the concept method of data collection used to collect data by
of defense offset implementation in the distributing the list of questions to the expert so
initiation step starts with setting vision and that the expert provides the answer. The type of
mission. The second step is to identify the questionnaire used is an open questionnaire in
external and internal aspects. External aspects which the expert is able to give the information
are opportunities and threats affected by the related to the object of research in the
developments of global, regional and national implementation of defense offset as many as
strategic environments. Internal aspects are in possible. After the data from the experts was
the form of strength and weakness affected by collected, the data is compiled and identified
current conditions in the implementation of based on the carried-out criteria. Then, further
defense offset. The third, sets the IFAS and analysis is carried out.
EFAS matrices of each variable obtained and
gives a score to the related criteria. The fourth,
it sets a development strategy from the results of
giving a score by identifying the strategy
quadrant (SO, ST, WO, WT).
In this study, data collection techniques used
were a questionnaire. This technique is a

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Table 2. Expert choice in this research.


No Expert Person Number Code
1 PT. Pindad 2 experts E1-E2
2 PT. PAL 2 experts E3-E4
3 PT. DI 2 experts E5-E6
4 Ministry of Defense 2 experts E7-E8
5 The Indonesian National Armed Forces Headquarters 2 experts E9-E10

The subjects in this study were the from the grip of the West. The weapons
stakeholders related to the implementation of assistance was promised with technology
defense offset. As planned, some of them transfer allowing Indonesia to gradually take
include: care of the equipment itself and to meet its
a. Chief of Defense Industry. defense weapons needs. The defense offset
1) PT. Pindad (2 Expert). mechanism in the procurement of defense
2) PT. PAL (2 Expert). weapons has been carried out with three types
3) PT. DI (2 Expert). of offsets: purchasing licenses, co-production,
b. Ministry of Defense. (2 Expert). and co-development, but the offset mechanism
c. The Indonesian National Armed Forces has not been able to sustain the needs of defense
Headquarters. (2 Expert). equipment in Indonesia.
Indonesia has quite a number of parties
Table 3. Scores of Likert Scale. involved in the defense industry, but both
Score Description Indonesian state-owned and private-owned
1 Very Bad companies have not been able to organize the
2 Bad domestic defense industry. Indonesian
3 Moderate companies, especially private-owned
4 Good companies, most of them are becoming agents,
distributors and re-sellers of foreign-
5 Very Good
manufacturers products. This condition causes
the defense and security equipment needed by
3. RESULT & DISCUSSION the Indonesian National Armed Forces (TNI)
and The Indonesian National Police (Polri) not
3.1. Analysis of Internal Factor to be fully produced domestically.
Actually, the practice of defense offset in Based on the results of the study, analysis of
Indonesia began in the 1960s when Indonesia internal factors include:
received weapons assistance from the Soviet
Union for the campaign to liberate West Papua

Table 4. Analysis of internal factors for defense offset.


INFLUENCE
STRENGTH FACTORS WEAKNESS FACTORS
ASPECT
1) Policy of Defense Independence 1) There is no policy of the
2) Policy of Defense Budget independence of 100% of Main
Policy Equipment and Weapon Systems.
Improvement
3) Establishment of KKIP. 2) There is still the dependence of
several components of Main

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INFLUENCE
STRENGTH FACTORS WEAKNESS FACTORS
ASPECT
Equipment and Weapon Systems.
3) The absence of a holding company
for the defense industry.
4) The budget for implementing
defense offset policies is still
limited.
1) Quite experienced HR 1) The ability or HR skills are still
2) The level of HR education is limited to stage three of defense
quite high. offset.
HR 2) Weak regeneration and recruitment
management.
3) Many existing human resources
have entered retirement age.
4) Lack of expertise.
1) Previous experience in 1) The quality and quantity of the
establishing Main Equipment defense industry are still limited.
and Weapon Systems. 2) Production capacity is still limited.
Defense 2) The rise of national defense 3) Old production machines
Industry industry exports. technology.
4) Investment and capital are still
limited.
5) The R&D Institution is still
sectorial.

The implementation of defense offset has things to increase the capacity and capability of
been regulated in Act No. 16, 2012 concerning a reliable defense industry is the opportunity
the defense industry. The ability of the defense given to the defense industry to transform in the
industry in establishing main equipment and technology sector, one of which is the
weapon systems can be said to be capable and opportunity to be able to do TOT from countries
has the capability because it is supported by having technology.
several facilities such as production facilities, IT On the other hand, the existing investments,
facilities, human resources and financial such as infrastructure, need to be supported by
facilities. However, certain programs, such as order continuity because the existing
TOT submarines in the framework of Whole infrastructure has a high depreciation so that if it
Local Production have not been implemented is not supported by an order, it will be a
because there is equipment that has not been financial burden. The suitability of the budget
met due to budget constraints. certainly becomes an influential thing in the
The defense industry played a role as an implementation of defense offset. The
operational implementer needing the support of government as one giving the authority and the
various parties such as the government as a regulation of the defense budget certainly has its
regulator and other parties such as the TNI or own calculations. What is important for the
other domestic industries. One of the important defense industry is the support in the

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development of technological capabilities (e.g. However, if there is a program for the


TOT), infrastructure, industrial component recruitment of Indonesian workers in overseas,
support, and order continuity. it will have a positive impact on the defense
In the aspect of human resources, the ability industry. the overseas workers have superior
to produce main equipment and weapon systems knowledge and may have more insights due to
is adequate. This is because workers in the their relationships and networks. Thus, this
defense industry already have expertise and are advantage can be utilized for the advancement
specifically certified in the production of main of the domestic defense industry. In addition,
equipment and weapon systems. constructive positive work cultures as overseas
can be applied in Indonesia.

Table 5. Result of Scoring and Weighting for Internal Factor (Strength & Weakness).
No Factor of Internal Strategy Score Rating Value
S Strength
1 Policy of Defense Independence 0,223 4 0,893
2 Policy of Defense Budget Improvement 0,188 4 0,750
3 Establishment of KKIP 0,152 4 0,607
4 Quite experienced HR 0,125 4 0,500
5 The level of HR education is quite high 0,045 3 0,134
Previous experience in establishing main equipment and
6 0,116 4 0,464
weapon systems
7 The rise of national defense industry exports 0,152 4 0,607
Total 1,000 3,955
W Weakness
There is no policy of the independence of 100% of
1 0,089 3 0,268
Main Equipment and Weapon Systems.
There is still the dependence of several components of
2 0,024 4 0,097
Main Equipment and Weapon Systems.
The absence of a holding company for the defense
3 industry. 0,114 3 0,341
The budget for implementing defense offset policies is
4 0,097 3 0,292
still limited.
The ability or HR skills are still limited to stage three of
5 0,016 3 0,049
defense offset.
6 Weak regeneration and recruitment management. 0,046 3 0,138
Many existing human resources have entered retirement
7 age. 0,041 3 0,122
8 Lack of expertise. 0,016 4 0,065
The quality and quantity of the defense industry is still
9 limited. 0,130 4 0,519
10 Production capacity is still limited. 0,065 4 0,259
11 Old production machines technology. 0,086 3 0,259
12 Investment and capital are still limited. 0,135 4 0,541

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No Factor of Internal Strategy Score Rating Value


13 The R&D Institution is still sectorial. 0,049 3 0,146
Total 1,000 3,095

3.2. Analysis of External factor. development of science and technology, and a


The development of national defense is better level of life. Globalization in the era of
carried out to uphold national sovereignty, to Industrial Revolution 4.0 also caused
maintain the territorial integrity of the Unitary Revolutionary in Military Affairs (RMA)
State of the Republic of Indonesia, and to keep having the implications for changes in war
the safety of all nations from military and non- strategy and combat tactics in the military
military threats. Indicators of defense world. Drastic and rapid technological changes
development progress are marked by an emerging during the era of Industrial Revolution
increase in the readiness of personnel and main 4.0 forced the military to adapt more quickly
equipment and weapon systems, as well as the and to evolve to make major changes. TNI is
implementation of military training and joint preparing for the development of a new world
training in accordance with the plan in an order influenced by the era of Industrial
ongoing manner. Revolution 4.0.
Technological aspects, globalization has an Based on the results of the study, analysis of
impact on the change of attitudes, values, the external factors includes:

Table 6. Analysis of External Factor for Defense Offset.


INFLUENCE
OPPORTUNITY FACTORS THREAT FACTORS
ASPECT
Politic 1) Countries with Active-Free 1) The uncertainty of world
Politics politics.
2) Government Policy Regarding the 2) National democracy dividing
Defense Independence. the unity of the generation of
3) Policy on the Prohibition of nation.
Export of Raw Natural Resources. 3) The threat of an embargo of
main equipment and weapon
systems
Economy 1) The Increase of defense budget. 1) The uncertainty of the world
2) Export some main equipment and economy.
weapon systems to the Regional 2) A trade war between the US and
area. China.
3) Adequate natural resources. 3) Soaring world oil prices.
4) Investment in the Defense 4) World currency instability.
Industry is increasing.
Social Culture 1) Abundant Human Resources for 1) Threats from the left–right
workforce political spectrum.
2) The level of education is quite 2) Unequal education and
high. economic disparity.
3) The threat of taking over
technology experts.
Technology 1) The ability of the defense industry 1) A technological war between

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INFLUENCE
OPPORTUNITY FACTORS THREAT FACTORS
ASPECT
continues to be driven. superpowers.
2) The development of national 2) The threat of cyber-attacks
technology is quite dynamic. 3) Experts are limited.

3.3. Analysis of opportunity and threat establishing the domestic defense


a. Opportunity. industry.
1) Political Aspects. 3) Social-Cultural Aspects
Active-free political system of The demographic bonus is one of
Indonesia provides several the first steps to change this country
opportunities in implementing defense from a developing country to a
cooperation with several friendly developed country. This opportunity
countries. Several countries having must certainly be utilized to the
advantages in the field of weaponry optimum to build readiness towards the
and the defense industry have provided era of golden Indonesia of 2045. It is
opportunities in implementing defense with the role of the government as a
offset policies: 1) South Korea; 2) facility provider, the community as the
Russia; 3) Belgium; 4) Netherlands; 5) main implementers of the available
China; 6) Turkey; 7) and several other systems and facilities, and, of course,
friendly countries. This condition is the two main actors must work
supported by the government's program together.
in defense independence with the There are several sectors
issuance of Act No. 16, 2012 determining whether the country is
concerning the defense industry stating ready to face the era like this or not. It
that the development of the defense will not be far from the economy, the
industry is an integrated part of the quality, and amount of human
national resource management strategic resources, industrial productivity,
planning. governance, defense, education
2) Economic Aspects structure, and so on.
The government stated that the 4) Technology Aspects
increase in the budget of The Nowadays, the process of
Indonesian National Armed Forces or globalization has an impact on
TNI would be adjusted to the growth of interdependence between countries in
state revenue. The government various fields, including in the field of
currently allocates defense spending of the defense industry. Developed
0.9% gross domestic product (GDP). countries can provide technology
For the future, the allocation will be transfer mechanisms to developing
increased in line with an increase in tax countries on a technical level, which is
revenue. With this change, the to improve production efficiency, as
nrational budget for the TNI could well as on a political level, which is to
increase to Rp150 trillion-Rp200 strengthen the relations with these
trillion in the next two to four years. countries. Technology transfer can also
The budget will be allocated to increase be carried out between developing
welfare, education, and weaponry by countries at the aim to complement

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each other's shortcomings of the and US and by the decline in demand


technology being developed. For for goods from China from around the
Indonesia, this technology transfer world. Economic conditions both in the
mechanism can be its own opportunity, country and oversea are still bad;
especially in the context of building a global economic growth is slowing;
defense system amid the rapid instability and external uncertainties
development of current defense are also increasing. A country's defense
technology. budget is indeed very influential on the
b. Threat. armed forces. The armed forces of a
1) Political Aspects country must always be strong because
Political uncertainty and fluctuating in addition to being the frontline in a
oil prices have weighed heavily on country's defense system, the strength
global economic growth. These new of the armed forces can also be a
dynamics and concerns have given rise vibrating force on the diplomacy table.
to a new set of policy challenges, not 3) Social-Cultural Aspect
only on how to simultaneously The increase of growth rate, from
maintain stability and revive growth, year to year, is also followed by an
but also on how to strengthen the increase in life expectancy. It has an
foundations of the global political impact on the increase of working age.
system. The low level of education results in
The embargo of Indonesian arms by the difficulty of people accepting new
the United States was officially carried things. It can be seen from the inability
out in 1999. The embargo itself is a of the community to properly take care
prohibition on trade by one or a group of the results of development, so that
of countries against other countries to many public facilities have been
limit and to put the country's damaged due to the inability of the
government in a difficult internal community to treat them properly. This
situation (Rachmawatie, 2014). The fact, if left unchecked, will hamper
terminology regarding the embargo of development.
arms cited by the UN Security Council 4) Technology Aspects
(UNSC) No.1390 (2002) shows that an Technological developments have
embargo of arms is a form of had consequences for the military and
prohibition on the supply of not only defense of a country. It is inseparable
the arms, but also arms' parts and from the adoption of various
anything related to military activities to technologies and new discoveries in the
parties (countries) that usually receive military field aiming to strengthen the
the supply. national defense system. This condition
2) Economic Aspects makes all countries trying to renew
The slowest growth in the world their defense systems to face threats
economy since at least 1992 has related to the development of
reflected the increasing pressure on the technology itself. For Indonesia, it is
strength of the world's second-largest both a challenge and an opportunity for
economy. This is caused by the the current defense system.
protracted trade war between China

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Table 7. Result of Scoring and Weighting for Internal Factor (Opportunity & Threat).
No Factors of External Strategy Score Rating Value
O Opportunity
1 Countries with Active-Free Politics 0,083 3 0,250
2 Government Policy Regarding the Defense Independence 0,134 4 0,536
3 Policy on the Prohibition of Export of Raw Natural Resources 0,116 3 0,348
4 The Increase of defense budget 0,152 4 0,609
Export some main equipment and weapon systems to the
5 0,109 3 0,326
Regional area
6 Adequate natural resources 0,080 4 0,319
7 Investment in the Defense Industry is increasing 0,134 4 0,536
8 Abundant Human Resources for workforce 0,091 3 0,272
9 The level of education is quite high 0,043 3 0,130
10 The ability of the defense industry continues to be driven 0,029 3 0,087
11 The development of national technology is quite dynamic 0,029 3 0,087
Total 1,000 3,500
T Threat
1 The uncertainty of world politics 0,108 3 0,323
National democracy dividing the unity of the generation of
2 nation 0,024 3 0,073
The threat of an embargo of main equipment and
3 0,070 3 0,210
weaponsystems
4 The uncertainty of the world economy 0,024 4 0,097
5 A trade war between the US and China 0,024 4 0,097
6 Soaring world oil prices 0,094 3 0,282
7 World currency instability 0,040 3 0,121
8 Threats from the left–right political spectrum 0,024 3 0,073
9 Unequal education and economic disparity 0,024 3 0,073
10 The threat of taking over technology experts 0,094 3 0,282
11 A technological war between superpowers 0,040 3 0,121
12 The threat of cyber-attacks 0,081 3 0,242
13 Experts are limited 0,081 3 0,242
Total 1,000 2,234

3.4. Analysis of SWOT Matrix MEF is still largely dependent on foreign-


The defense industry cannot be separated manufactures imports. This condition is due to
from the development of the national defense the suboptimal role of the domestic defense
system, in any country. Thus, the existence of industry.
the defense industry is one of the important In an effort to advance the defense industry,
components for establishing a country's defense Indonesia faces very complex challenges in the
system. However, currently, the procurement of form of intense competition between countries
main equipment and weapon system in meeting in seizing market share as well as capability and

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competitiveness. Facing these challenges, it are opportunity and threat influenced by


requires a strategic step in supporting the developments in the global, regional, and
domestic defense equipment policy. national strategic environment. Internal aspects
Independence of the main equipment and are in the form of strength and weakness
weapon system can be achieved by influenced by current conditions in the
implementing the defense offset policy system implementation of defense.
that has been regulated in the Regulations. The Based on the results of the analysis of IFAS
next step, it is needed a strategy and efforts and EFAS Matrix, a strategy development
taken so that the goal of independence of the model was obtained consisting of SO strategy,
main equipment and weapon system can be ST strategy, WO strategy, WT strategy. From
achieved. the study of the strategy, among others:
Basically, establishing the defense industry
through the implementation of defense offset is Table 8. Analysis of quadrant in SWOT Strategy
not new for Indonesia. In general, Indonesia (IFAS & EFAS).
already has several main defense industries. S W Quadrant Axis
Indonesian defense industry players include 3,955 3,095 0,861 X
State-Owned Enterprises (BUMN) and private O T Quadrant
companies. The business that they do is 3,500 2,234 1,266 Y
producing military equipment, producing
components, supplying raw materials, and
offering repair and maintenance services.
In implementing the defense offset, a
strategic step is needed. The strategic steps in
the KKA research were formed by identifying
external and internal aspects. External aspects

Fig. 2. Diagram Analysis of SWOT Strategy for Defense Offset Policy.

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Based on four alternative strategies (SO, ST, under the supervision and approval of
WO, WT), one strategy needs to be identified in the Ministry of Defense.
accordance with the strategy of developing b. Aspects of Human Resource
defense offset policies in Indonesia. The results Development
of the analysis of QSPM matrix and the SWOT 1) Utilizing demographic bonuses of
diagram, the appropriate strategy is a SO abundant workforce as the
strategy that is using strength to make the most development of human resource
of opportunities in implementing defense offset and the regeneration in the
in Indonesia. SO steps, among others: implementation of defense offset.
a. Aspects of Government Policy 2) Increasing the ability of human
1) Formulating a defense offset guideline resources to become experienced
policy and a roadmap for experts by sending them to
implementation in stages until the full friendly countries.
independence of the main equipment 3) Bringing in experts from abroad to
and weapon system is fully met. become teachers.
2) Carrying out monitoring of the release 4) Calling back national experts
of offset obligations, including auditing working overseas by giving an
and reviewing progress reports increased payment.
received from the relevant defense c. Aspects of Defense Industry
industry and MSMEs supporting the infrastructure.
defense industry component. 1) Strengthening the defense industry
3) The Ministry of Defense conducts infrastructure, including
regular interactions with all QA/QC/testing laboratories, both
stakeholders, including industry, to in the public and private sectors.
encourage a partnership model for 2) Producing several technology
defense growth. platforms under licensed
4) Encouraging the government to production. Defense offset in
produce special policies related to which there is technology transfer
aerospace, maritime, and territorial has become the main reason and
defense of the country to attract determinant of technology growth
investment and apply new banking and development. Developing the
rules helping companies that are latest technology to be able to
members of holding defense offset. achieve progress in manufacturing
5) Facilitating faster absorption of of defense products.
technology and creating a multilevel 3) Applying offset banking guidelines
defense industry ecosystem. and implementing new banking
6) Establishing a synergy of cooperation rules that ease companies that are
between the national defense industry members of holding defense offset.
and the financial industry. This 4) Increasing production capacity by
condition will help the establishment of means of intensification and
Act No. 16, 2012 concerning the extensification to meet the needs
Defense Industry, particularly, of national defense equipment.
regarding the procurement of strategic 5) Gradually increasing R&D and
Defense and Security Equipment Tools development.

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