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5(c)
Latin America
3.5(c)
ReviewC
1 June 1984
Copy 390
Approved for Release: 2018/10/01 C05509030
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2018/10/01 C05509030
3.5(c)
l,atin America
Review L _ l_ _ _ _j
3.5(c)
1 June 1984
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Argentina: RadicaR Party Politic§ g 3.5(c) 7
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ALA LAR 84-0 JO
1 June 1984
3.5(c)
Argentina: Radical Party PoliticsD
Cracks in the Facade In general, the party left has pushed for a tough line 3.5(c)
The magnitude of Alfonsin's victory at first obscured in dealing with the Peronists, the military, and the
thc existence of factionalism within the Radical IMF and commerciallenders. Moreover, according to
Party, but the problem has grown since the President US Embassy reporting L __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _~
7 -iee¡ct--
ALA LAR 84-010
1 June 1984
.
3.3(b)(1) 3.3(b)(1)
oriented foreign policy.l wing was important, but he planned to take steps to
1 the left has 1 limit its influence in Congress, in his Cabinet, and 3.3(b)(1)
pressed for expaoded ties with Cuba and Nicaragua among his clase advisers
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and support for opposition groups in neighboring Alfonsin is also trying to distance himself from the
countries. Party moderates generally agree with these left by dealing with them through intermediaries.
policy objectives but, according to 1 1 3.5(c)
[]us Embassy reporting, are more w!llmg to
compromise with Argentina's traditional power The President has made sorne staffing changes that
brokers and are more realistic in dealing with foreign reflect his more moderate orientation. The most
lenders. They are also more moderate on foreign visible was the replacement of his combative labor
policy issues. For their part, Radical hardline minister in April with a modera te who has clase tiesto
nationalists have focused primarily on debt both majar party factions and is acceptable to the
negotiations and the Beagle Channel and Falklands Peronists. Moreover, one Argentine política! observer
disputes-in which they oppose any accommodation. has pointed out that Alfonsin has allowed other
1 1 3.5(c) moderates among his clase advisers to assume a larger
3.3(b)(1) role in policymaking. Even befare the shift in the
Alfonsin's Response labor portfolio, for example, Alfonsin had appointed a
The President's initial vacillation in response to the moderate union leader as his personal representative
factional pressures conveyed the impression- to smooth over differences with the Peronists. In
especially to the military-that he was indecisive. economic policy, Raul Prebisch has emerged as a
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he voice of moderation to counter the often shrill
armed forces saw him as susceptible to leftist criticism of foreign lenders by party and
pressures and unable to put together coherent policies. administration spokesmen. Moderate Angel Robledo,
Until about mid-March, according to US Embassy one of the few prominent Peronists to serve in the
and press reporting, Alfonsin allowed party leftists to administration, is an adviser on military affairs.D 3.5(c)
hold sway in the administration.
they were: Further, according to press reports, Alfonsin has
resisted pressures to call a party convention to elect a
• Behind the early aggressive moves against the new leadership. Like other Radicals elected to office,
military. 3.3(b)(1) he is bound by tradition to relinquish his post as party
leader to avoid conflicts of interest and provide the
• Behind the decision to push the labor reform bill party with full-time leadership. We agree with sorne
through Congress without consulting the Peronists political observers who believe that Alfonsin wants to
or other legislative blocs, thereby antagonizing retain control at least until the congressional election
potential supporters and assuring the bill's defeat in in 198 5 to help keep the lid on poten tia! divisiveness.
the Senate. 3.5(c)
• Among the strongest advocates of a tougher stand Outlook for the Party
against the US bankers' insistence on a March Although the splits apparently are still manageable,
deadline for the payment of interest arrearages on they will almost certainly be aggravated by inept
the externa! debt. 3. 5( e) presidential performance, further economic setbacks,
or Peronist successes. This disunity will complicate
In the wake of key legislative defeats and continuing policymaking and diminish Alfonsin's ability to hold
economic setbacks and in anticipation of budget his electoral coalition intact. Moreover, persistent rifts
debates and debt negotiations, however, Alfonsin has could dash the Radicals' hopes of capturing control of
moved gradually toward party moderates. the Senate in the congressional elections.D
the 3.3(b)(1) 3 .S(c)
"P"r_e_st~.d'e-n-:-t'b-e"li-ev_e_d.---c-ith-e--co-n--:t~in_u_e_d.---su_p_p_o_r~tof the left
3.5(c)