You are on page 1of 12

Online/Offline Course

xx – xx XXXX 2021

Gd Suryawan
Independent Project & Risk Consultant
 18+ experience in Oil & Gas Industries (IOC & NOC)
Unocal, CVX, Lukoil, QP, PEN Consulting
 Work location: Balikpapan, Jakarta, The Haque,
Houston, Dubai, Doha
 Expertise: Project Management, Risk Management,
Cost Engineering & Business Planning

2
 Have better understanding of risk in general term and in project application
 Able to describe PRA processes: Schedule Review, Pre-Analysis Check,
Applying Duration Uncertainty, Task Existence, Probabilistic Branching, Risk
Register, Correlation & Resource Uncertainty
 Able to practice PRA tools
 Ultimately, apply PRA to support project development and execution in
respective company
 Networking

3
Day One Day Two Day Three
 Risk Management  Applying Uncertainty  Correlation
 PRA Introduction  Task Existence  Cost & Resources
 Understanding Risk  Probabilistic Uncertainty
Branching  Analyze & Mitigate
 Schedule Review
 Risk Register  MS Project Integration
 Pre-Analysis Check

*Designed for offline training, online training may require 5 days,


max 4 hours/day

4
Chapter Expectation
Risk Management  Describe general concept of risk
 Explain risk definition
 Risk standard and terminology
PRA Introduction  Introduction to PRA
 Navigate PRA interface
 Describe general description of PRA risk
methodology
Understanding Risk  Identify two kinds of project risks
 Describe how risk can impact a project
 Explain how PRA handles uncertainties and risk
events
5
Chapter Expectation
Schedule Review  Explain how important of a Schedule Review
 Describe scheduling issues that might
compromise a risk analysis
 Perform Schedule Review
Pre-Analysis Check  Describe the purpose of Pre-Analysis Check
 Use Duration Quick Risk
 Simulate risk analysis
 Use Distribution Graph to review analysis data
 Use Tornado Diagram to identify and validate
project drivers

6
Chapter Expectation
Applying Uncertainty  Use three point estimate method to apply
duration uncertainty
 Define a new task user field
 Format and add a new column to the Gantt-Chart
view
 Use Templated Quick Risk
Task Existence  Define Task Existence and existence probability
 Insert a new task into a project schedule
 Configure link between tasks
 Assign existence probability

7
Chapter Expectation
Probabilistic Branching  Define Probabilistic Branching
 Configure relationships between project activities
using the Links tab in Task Details
 Use the Risk and Uncertainty Tab and the
Probabilistic Branch Sub-Tab to assign
probabilities to different branching links
Risk Register  Use the Risk Register to record probable risks
and their qualitative impacts
 Map risks to the specific project tasks
 Document mitigation response
 Build pre and post mitigated risk impacted project
plan
8
Chapter Expectation
Correlation  Define correlation
 Use a scatter chart to illustrate correlation
 Set correlation between tasks
 Explain the Central Limit Theory
 Use correlation to compensate the Central Limit
Theory
Cost & Resources  Explain the type of resources uncertainty
Uncertainty  Use Resources dialog box to define a resource
and its uncertainty distribution
 Use Resources Uncertainty Sub-Tab to assign
uncertainty to a task’s resource allocation
9
Chapter Expectation
Analyze & Mitigate  Use Distribution Analyzer to compare S-Curves
from multiple risk analyses
 Determine where to focus mitigation efforts using
Tornado Diagram
 Use the risks display mode to see which project
risks have the most impact on project cost and
duration
Microsoft Project  Import Microsoft Project file to generate project
Integration schedule in PRA
 Review and update the start and finish date to
ensure the schedule data validity
10
 12 Chapters
 28 hands-on exercise
 Original software can be downloaded from Oracle e-delivery
 Each participant join the training with software already installed in his/her
laptop/PC otherwise special request to be arranged
 Online  arranged via Zoom by Training Provider
 Offline  need to arrange room max for 5 participants and strictly comply
with COVID-19 protocol

11
gsuryawan@gmail.com
+628152014778 (WA)

You might also like