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CERAM Agusan Del Sur
CERAM Agusan Del Sur
Projected Projected
CODE Description (unit) Baseline Scenario Range Value Change
Median
Number of days Upper Bound 45.8 43.7
WSDI contributing to a warm 2.0
period (days) Lower Bound 7.7 5.7
RCP8.5 Median 20.6 18.6
Upper Bound 67.4 65.4
Potential Impacts of Changes in
Historical Impacts Projected Changes in Extremes Extremes
Col 10
Projections of Selected Temperatur
TEMPERATURE
Climate Extreme Indices
RCP4.5 Median
Coldest daytime Upper Bound
TXn 24.1
temperature (˚C) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Average daytime Upper Bound
TXm 30.4
temperature (˚C) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Warmest daytime Upper Bound
TXx 33.7
temperature (˚C) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Warmest daytime
TXx 33.7
temperature (˚C)
RCP8.5
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Daily Temperature Upper Bound
DTR 8.1
Range (˚C) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Upper Bound
TN10p Fraction of cold nights (%) 11.2
Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Fraction of warm Upper Bound
TN90p 11.2
nights (%) Lower Bound
FREQUENCY
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Fraction of cool Upper Bound
TX10p 11.2
days (%) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Fraction of hot Upper Bound
TX90p 11.4
days (%) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5
DURATION
Median
Number of days Upper Bound
WSDI contributing to a warm 2.0
Lower Bound
period (days)
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
ted Temperature Extremes Indices in the Mid-21st Century (2046-2065) for Agu
MID-CENTURY
Projected Change
Projected Projected
Value Change Historical Impacts
Col 5 Col 6 Col 7
20.5 1.2
21.0 1.6
21.3 1.9
21.0 1.7
21.4 2.1
21.8 2.5
23.3 0.9
23.5 1.2
24.2 1.9
23.7 1.4
24.0 1.7
24.8 2.5
25.9 0.9
26.2 1.1
26.8 1.8
26.3 1.2
26.8 1.7
27.3 2.3
25.0 0.9
25.4 1.2
25.9 1.8
25.5 1.3
25.9 1.7
26.2 2.1
31.4 1.0
31.6 1.2
32.3 1.9
31.8 1.3
32.1 1.7
32.7 2.3
34.6 0.9
35.1 1.4
35.8 2.0
35.0 1.3
35.7 2.0
36.0 2.2
7.9 -0.2
8.2 0.0
8.3 0.2
7.9 -0.2
8.1 -0.1
8.2 0.0
0.4 -10.9
1.7 -9.6
2.5 -8.8
0.2 -11.0
0.7 -10.5
1.5 -9.8
47.6 36.5
60.2 49.0
78.3 67.1
65.1 53.9
78.4 67.3
90.9 79.7
1.8 -9.4
2.2 -9.0
2.9 -8.3
1.1 -10.1
1.4 -9.8
2.0 -9.2
29.3 17.9
38.5 27.1
41.1 29.7
35.9 24.5
47.2 35.8
57.5 46.1
19.4 17.4
37.2 35.2
149.5 147.5
26.6 24.6
61.3 59.2
324.5 322.5
entury (2046-2065) for Agusan del Sur relative to 1986-2005
Col 8 Col 9
05
Adaptation Options
Col 10
Projections of Selected Temperature
TEMPERATURE
Climate Extreme Indices
RCP4.5 Median
Coldest daytime Upper Bound
TXn 24.1
temperature (˚C) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Average daytime Upper Bound
TXm 30.4
temperature (˚C) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Warmest daytime Upper Bound
TXx 33.7
temperature (˚C) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Warmest daytime
TXx 33.7
temperature (˚C)
RCP8.5
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Daily Temperature Upper Bound
DTR 8.1
Range (˚C) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Upper Bound
TN10p Fraction of cold nights (%) 11.2
Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Fraction of warm Upper Bound
TN90p 11.2
nights (%) Lower Bound
FREQUENCY
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Fraction of cool Upper Bound
TX10p 11.2
days (%) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Fraction of hot Upper Bound
TX90p 11.4
days (%) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5
DURATION
Median
Number of days Upper Bound
WSDI contributing to a warm 2.0
Lower Bound
period (days)
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
ted Temperature Extremes Indices in the Late-21st Century (2080-2099) for Agu
LATE-CENTURY
Projected Change
Projected Projected
Value Change Historical Impacts
Col 5 Col 6 Col 7
20.8 1.4
21.1 1.8
21.8 2.4
22.8 3.5
23.3 4.0
24.3 4.9
23.6 1.3
23.8 1.5
24.8 2.5
25.0 2.7
25.6 3.3
26.7 4.3
26.2 1.2
26.4 1.4
27.4 2.3
27.6 2.5
28.1 3.1
29.1 4.0
25.3 1.1
25.7 1.6
26.5 2.4
26.6 2.4
27.2 3.1
28.2 4.0
31.6 1.2
32.0 1.6
32.9 2.5
33.1 2.7
33.7 3.3
34.8 4.3
34.9 1.2
35.3 1.6
36.3 2.6
36.4 2.6
37.4 3.7
38.2 4.4
7.9 -0.2
8.1 0.0
8.4 0.3
7.9 -0.3
8.1 -0.1
8.5 0.4
0.2 -11.1
0.9 -10.4
1.7 -9.5
0.1 -11.1
0.5 -10.8
0.9 -10.3
59.3 48.1
73.1 61.9
90.3 79.1
95.4 84.2
97.6 86.4
100.1 88.9
1.1 -10.1
1.5 -9.7
2.0 -9.2
0.4 -10.9
0.6 -10.6
0.9 -10.4
32.4 20.9
49.1 37.6
55.5 44.1
54.5 43.1
79.8 68.4
90.2 78.8
19.5 17.5
61.3 59.2
296.9 294.9
58.2 56.2
196.1 194.0
656.8 654.7
entury (2080-2099) for Agusan del Sur relative to 1986-2005
Col 8 Col 9
05
Adaptation Options
Col 10
Projections of Selected Rainfall Ex
RAINFALL
Climate Extreme Indices
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Rainfall on very wet days Upper Bound
P95 42.0
(mm) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Rainfall on extremely wet Upper Bound
P99 71.5
days (mm) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Rainfall on extremely wet
P99 71.5
days (mm)
RCP8.5
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Total rainfall from very wet Upper Bound
R95p 674.2
days (mm) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Total rainfall from extremely Upper Bound
R99p 207.4
wet days (mm) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Number of very wet days Upper Bound
P95d 11.1
(days) Lower Bound
FREQUENCY
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Number of extremely wet Upper Bound
P99d 2.2
days (days) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Upper Bound
CWD Longest wet spell (days) 21.5
Lower Bound
RCP8.5
DURATION
Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Upper Bound
CDD Longest dry spell (days) 12.8
Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
ected Rainfall Extremes Indices in the Early-21st Century (2020-2039) for Agusa
EARLY-CENTURY
Projected Change
Projected Projected
Value Change Historical Impacts
Col 5 Col 6 Col 7
2566.7 -502.7
2974.8 -94.6
3260.4 191.0
2814.5 -254.9
2989.5 -80.0
3212.1 142.7
12.0 -1.7
13.4 -0.3
15.0 1.3
12.7 -1.0
13.4 -0.3
14.1 0.4
89.3 -11.9
101.8 0.6
117.9 16.7
91.4 -9.8
104.9 3.7
114.6 13.4
229.5 -17.4
248.1 1.2
300.3 53.4
225.3 -21.7
249.4 2.4
264.8 17.9
34.3 -7.7
40.7 -1.3
44.4 2.4
37.9 -4.1
40.4 -1.6
42.3 0.3
59.1 -12.4
71.0 -0.5
74.6 3.1
65.2 -6.3
70.1 -1.5
72.8 1.3
483.3 -190.8
649.1 -25.1
764.5 90.3
572.7 -101.5
650.2 -24.0
738.2 64.0
142.7 -64.7
202.2 -5.1
231.5 24.1
177.5 -29.9
197.1 -10.3
238.7 31.4
8.2 -2.9
10.4 -0.7
13.3 2.2
9.4 -1.7
10.5 -0.6
11.7 0.6
1.5 -0.7
2.2 0.0
2.8 0.5
1.9 -0.3
2.1 -0.1
2.4 0.1
19.4 -2.2
20.6 -0.9
24.2 2.7
18.6 -2.9
21.2 -0.4
23.3 1.8
11.4 -1.4
12.9 0.1
15.0 2.2
11.3 -1.5
12.6 -0.3
15.0 2.2
ury (2020-2039) for Agusan del Sur relative to 1986-2005
Col 8 Col 9
Adaptation Options
Col 10
Projections of Selected Rainfall E
RAINFALL
Climate Extreme Indices
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Rainfall on very wet days Upper Bound
P95 42.0
(mm) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Rainfall on extremely wet Upper Bound
P99 71.5
days (mm) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Rainfall on extremely wet
P99 71.5
days (mm)
RCP8.5
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Total rainfall from very wet Upper Bound
R95p 674.2
days (mm) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Total rainfall from extremely Upper Bound
R99p 207.4
wet days (mm) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Number of very wet days Upper Bound
P95d 11.1
(days) Lower Bound
FREQUENCY
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Number of extremely wet Upper Bound
P99d 2.2
days (days) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Upper Bound
CWD Longest wet spell (days) 21.5
Lower Bound
RCP8.5
DURATION
Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Upper Bound
CDD Longest dry spell (days) 12.8
Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
lected Rainfall Extremes Indices in the Mid-21st Century (2046-2065) for Agusa
MID-CENTURY
Projected Change
Projected Projected
Value Change Historical Impacts
Col 5 Col 6 Col 7
2482.3 -587.2
2865.6 -203.8
3341.5 272.1
2624.5 -444.9
2828.1 -241.3
3098.4 29.0
11.2 -2.5
13.2 -0.5
14.4 0.7
11.6 -2.1
12.6 -1.1
13.8 0.2
89.7 -11.5
98.0 -3.2
113.2 12.0
91.4 -9.8
98.1 -3.1
109.0 7.8
207.7 -39.2
235.4 -11.5
295.1 48.2
222.0 -24.9
244.5 -2.5
262.0 15.1
32.0 -10.0
40.6 -1.4
44.8 2.7
33.0 -9.0
39.3 -2.7
41.9 -0.2
56.7 -14.8
68.3 -3.2
75.4 3.9
59.4 -12.1
65.9 -5.6
71.5 0.0
452.5 -221.7
632.1 -42.0
774.5 100.3
500.1 -174.1
585.3 -88.8
664.9 -9.3
137.3 -70.1
182.2 -25.1
251.3 43.9
153.3 -54.1
181.3 -26.0
218.4 11.0
7.7 -3.4
10.5 -0.6
12.4 1.3
8.2 -2.9
9.2 -1.9
11.0 -0.1
1.5 -0.7
1.9 -0.3
2.5 0.3
1.6 -0.6
1.9 -0.4
2.3 0.0
18.7 -2.8
21.5 -0.1
22.5 1.0
18.5 -3.0
21.3 -0.2
23.2 1.7
10.3 -2.5
12.3 -0.5
17.2 4.3
11.4 -1.5
12.0 -0.8
15.1 2.3
ury (2046-2065) for Agusan del Sur relative to 1986-2005
Col 8 Col 9
Adaptation Options
Col 10
Projections of Selected Rainfall E
RAINFALL
Climate Extreme Indices
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Rainfall on very wet days Upper Bound
P95 42.0
(mm) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Rainfall on extremely wet Upper Bound
P99 71.5
days (mm) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Rainfall on extremely wet
P99 71.5
days (mm)
RCP8.5
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Total rainfall from very wet Upper Bound
R95p 674.2
days (mm) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Total rainfall from extremely Upper Bound
R99p 207.4
wet days (mm) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Number of very wet days Upper Bound
P95d 11.1
(days) Lower Bound
FREQUENCY
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Number of extremely wet Upper Bound
P99d 2.2
days (days) Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Upper Bound
CWD Longest wet spell (days) 21.5
Lower Bound
RCP8.5
DURATION
Median
Upper Bound
Lower Bound
RCP4.5 Median
Upper Bound
CDD Longest dry spell (days) 12.8
Lower Bound
RCP8.5 Median
Upper Bound
ected Rainfall Extremes Indices in the Late-21st Century (2080-2099) for Agusa
LATE-CENTURY
Projected Change
Projected Projected
Value Change Historical Impacts
Col 5 Col 6 Col 7
2498.7 -570.7
2893.6 -175.9
3189.6 120.1
2277.9 -791.5
2588.1 -481.3
2962.6 -106.8
11.2 -2.5
13.1 -0.6
13.9 0.2
10.0 -3.7
11.4 -2.3
13.3 -0.4
97.2 -4.0
106.5 5.3
113.9 12.7
76.0 -25.2
88.0 -13.2
128.0 26.8
226.1 -20.8
254.4 7.5
279.9 32.9
187.8 -59.2
223.0 -23.9
291.2 44.3
31.5 -10.5
39.8 -2.2
43.1 1.1
27.6 -14.4
33.7 -8.3
41.6 -0.4
58.1 -13.4
68.9 -2.6
74.3 2.8
47.2 -24.3
53.1 -18.4
74.6 3.1
473.0 -201.1
643.6 -30.6
713.7 39.5
353.4 -320.8
430.5 -243.7
675.3 1.1
150.8 -56.6
201.9 -5.5
238.7 31.4
90.3 -117.0
117.2 -90.1
249.8 42.4
7.5 -3.6
9.9 -1.2
11.6 0.5
6.2 -4.9
7.5 -3.6
10.5 -0.6
1.6 -0.7
2.0 -0.2
2.6 0.4
0.9 -1.3
1.2 -1.0
2.5 0.3
18.8 -2.8
20.1 -1.4
22.9 1.4
16.4 -5.1
21.8 0.2
24.2 2.7
11.2 -1.6
12.9 0.1
16.6 3.8
9.0 -3.9
13.0 0.1
16.3 3.5
ury (2080-2099) for Agusan del Sur relative to 1986-2005
Col 8 Col 9
Adaptation Options
Col 10