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or
making
Operations research is the application of
5. optimum allocation of limited re-
methods of science to complex problems
sources
arising in the direction and management
6. planning, scheduling, controlling large
of large systems of man, machine, mate-
and complex projects
iat
rial and money in industry, business, gov-
ernment and defense. Definition According Scope of Operations Research
to T.L Satly “OR is the art of giving bad The main objective of operations research
or
ment
overall objective of the organization. De-
• Cash flow analysis used to deter-
cision trees, inventory model, linear pro-
mine long term capital require-
gramming, transportation model, sequenc-
ments, dividend policies etc.
ing model, assignment model and replace-
• To determine the credit policies of
iat
ment model are helpful to the mangers to
solve various problems. the organization
culture and the seed of food grains. timing of purchase of raw mate-
rials, machineries etc.
4 In traffic control: Queuing theory is used
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• To decide rules for buying and
for traffic control.
supplying under different pricing
5 In hospitals: In hospitals we can see lengthy • Equipment replacement policies
queues. This problem can be solved by
• To determine the strategies for
the application of operations research tech-
Exploration of new material
niques.
sources
or
egy set of properties are used. An orga-
nization chart is a common analogue
• Determine the size of stock to
model.
meet future demand
3. Deriving solutions from the model plied in general and does not per-
tain to one problem only
4. Testing the model
• Specific model: it is applicable
5. Establishing control over the model
under specific condition only.
6. Implementing the solution
6. According to procedure
Operation Research models
• analytical model: mathemati-
1. Physical model (iconic model): it cal tools are used to solve a prob-
graphs and charts. They bring out sig- • Simulation: numerical solution
nificant factors and inter-relationship method which helps to analyze
MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Aviator College of Aviation Studies Manjeri IVth Semester BBA
a system to find its optimum vice and idle time of service facilities
solution through trial and error are minimized is waiting line model or
method. queuing model.
or
a firm in view of the expected counter
sion making
moves from the competitors.
2. Linear Programming: This model
7. Transportation problem: The aim
is used for resource allocation when
of this technique is find out the mini-
the resources are limited and there are
mum transportation cost.
iatnumber of competing candidates for
the use of resources. The model may 8. The assignment problem: This
on each machine is known, then the planning and control of complex jobs
4. Waiting Line Model or Queuing nique deals with the problems that
Model: A model used for solving a arise in connection with multi period
ties have to provide service to its cus- 11. Simulation: it uses a computer-
tomers, so as to avoid lengthy wait- ized symbolic model in order to rep-
ing line or queue, so that customers resent actual decision making under
will get satisfaction from effective ser- certainty for determining alternative
MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Aviator College of Aviation Studies Manjeri IVth Semester BBA
course of action based upon facts and choosing the best alternatives from a set of
assumptions. feasible alternatives, in situation in which
12. Replacement theory: this theory the objective e function as well as con-
time when items of plant should be re- ematical functions. Linear programming
or
or all variables are curvy linear.
of problems arising in business, govern-
14. Goal programming: goal program-
ment, industry, hospitals, libraries, etc.
ming deals with problems having mul-
Definition: Samulson, Dorfman and
tiple objectives.
Solow stated that LPP as “the analysis of
iat
15. Market analysis: it is a method of
analyzing the current movement of the
problems in which a linear function of a
number of variables is to be maximized (or
same variable in an effort to predict minimized) when these variables are sub-
the future movement of same variable. ject to a number of restraints in the form
Linear programming is widely used math- ful for allocating operators to ma-
or
ket locations gramming technique.
• Problem related with pro- • Media selection: the LPP is
duction distribution: the prob- used to select the advertising mix
lem is to minimize cost by decid- that will maximize the audience
ing what is to be produced at each exposure.
iat source and where the goods are to
be transported.
Merits of LP Problem
lems involving facilities for trans- the application of LPP helps to con-
∆ it may provide fractional valued answers ative values. The negative values
of physical quantities are impossible.
∆ if the management has conflicting mul-
Assumptions
tiple goals, the LP will fail to give cor-
rect solution 6. Linearity: the basic assumption is
that the objectives and constraints
∆ LP does not consider the effect of time
governing it should be linear in form.
and uncertainty
or
Both must be expressed in terms of
Basic requirements of LP linear equation or inequalities.
3. Decision variable and their rela- are not changing under the period of
or
form of network. Network is a combination
3. Identification of alternative variables
of activities & events of a project. Network
Specification of constraints.
analysis is a system which plans projects by
4. Summarizing the problem in a math- analyzing the project activities.
ematical form. Objectives of network analysis
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Graphical method Graphical method is
used to solve linear programming problem.
a) powerful tool for planning, scheduling
and control of projects
It involves two variables. Each line is rep-
b) It shows a simple way of the interrela-
resented by each constraint. Steps
tionship of the various activities con-
1. Formulate the problem. sulting a project.
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2. All constraints may be written as c) to minimize the total cost of the project
or
one or more of the activities are com-
1. Network diagram- it is a diagram pleted are called succeeding activity.
showing the activities & events of a 5. Concurrent activities- activities which
project, their sequence & relationship. can be accomplished concurrently or
2. Activity- it is a job or task or item of simultaneously are known as concur-
iat work to be completed in specific time. rent activities.
1. Critical path- it is the longest path in 11. Free float: free float is that portion of
the network the total float within which an activity
MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Aviator College of Aviation Studies Manjeri IVth Semester BBA
or
• Construction of dams or canals
time in which an activity can be com-
• Construction of building or highway pleted.
Advantages of PERT
Advantages of CPM
• Reduces cost & time
• Makes better & detail planning
• Effective control
• Helps in ascertaining the time sched-
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• Handles uncertainties
ule
• Provide updated project information
• Control become easy
Disadvantages
• Identify critical elements
• Difficult to develop clear & logical net-
• Optimum utilization of resources
work
Disadvantages
• All activities cannot be clearly identi-
3. 3 time estimate
Application of PERT 4. Consider both time & cost
• Maintenance & major repairs of ships, 6. Critical path is determined on the ba-
or
• Managing accounts
7. Compulsory
• Defense projects
IV DECISION THEORY
• Research & development projects
The decision theory is a technique used for
Difference between CPM & PERT decision making in uncertain conditions or
CPM
iat situations. It provides a framework and
methodology for rational decision making
1. Activity oriented when the outcomes are uncertain. Decision
2. State of nature: - These are future during the period in which such a decision
conditions that are not under the con- is made. That means it is the situation in
trol of decision maker. A state of na- which the decision maker knows the conse-
ture may be the state of economy, a quences of every action and option available
weather condition, a political develop- to him in taking decision.
ment, etc. Decision making under uncertainty
3. Payoff: It is the outcome resulting In decision making under pure uncertainty,
from each possible combination of al- the decision maker has absolutely no knowl-
or
ternatives and states of nature. The edge, not even about the likelihood of oc-
payoff values is always conditional val- currence for any state of nature. In such
ues because of unknown states of na- situations, the decision maker’s behavior is
ture. purely based on his/her attitude toward the
4. Payoff table: it is also known as pay unknown. There are different criteria of de-
iat off matrix. This depicts the tabular
form of pay off of various alternative
cision making under this situation.
• Optimism criterion
course of action vs. states of nature. • Pessimism criterion
5. Opportunity loss table / regret • probabilities
table: Opportunity loss of an act is
• Regret criterion.
the difference between the payoff of
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that act or action and payoff of the 1. Optimism (maximize or mini-
would earn no less than some speci- ber between 0 and 1. In the spe-
fied amount. The decision maker se- cial case where it is one, the crite-
lects the alternative that represents rion reduces to Maximize and in the
the maximum of minima pay off in special case where it is zero the crite-
case of profits. This criterion is also rion reduces to Maximize. The deci-
known as Wald’s criterion. sion maker can set alpha to a number
3. Laplace criterion: We don’t know between zero and one according to his
or
sumed that all states of nature will oc-
cur with equal probability. (minimum in column). Select an alter-
or
of perfect information is the expected out-
are instrumentally rational and act in their
come with perfect information.
best interests. The basic constituents of
EVPI = Expected value with per-
any game are its participating, autonomous
fect information – maximum EMV.
decision makers called players. A game
Expected value with perfect information
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= (best outcome for consequence for first
state of nature × probability of first state
must have two players. The total number
of players may be large, but must be finite,
and must be known. Each player must have
of nature) + best outcome for consequence
more than one choice.
for second state of nature × probability of
second state of nature) Decision trees
A decision tree is a decision support tool
Expected value of regrets or expected op-
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that uses a tree-like graph or model of de-
portunity loss (EOL): As per the crite-
cisions and their possible consequences, in-
rion, the decision is to select the strategy
cluding chance event outcomes, resource
with minimum expected opportunity loss.
costs, and utility. It is one way to display
Decision making under competition or an algorithm. Decision trees are commonly
conflict (game theory) used in operations research, specifically in
Game theory is a study of strategic de- decision analysis, to help identify a strat-
cision making. More formally, it is "the egy most likely to reach a goal. It is a
study of mathematical models of conflict schematic tree-shaped diagram used to de-
and cooperation between intelligent ratio- termine a course of action or show a sta-
nal decision-makers. Game theory is a tistical probability. Each branch of the de-
branch of mathematics that deals with the cision tree represents a possible decision or
analysis of games (i.e., situations involving occurrence. The tree structure shows how
MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Aviator College of Aviation Studies Manjeri IVth Semester BBA
one choice leads to the next, and the use of solution is a basic solution if the num-
branches indicates that each option is mu- ber of nonnegative allocations is equal
tually exclusive. to m+n -1, where ‘m’ is the number of
A decision tree consists of 3 types of nodes: rows and ‘n’ is the number of columns
i.Decision nodes - commonly represented in a transportation problem.
by squares. It indicates places where a de- 3. Optimal solution: A feasible solu-
cision maker must make a decision. tion is said to be an optimal solution,
ii.Chance nodes - represented by circles. It if it minimizes the transportation cost.
is point at which decision maker will dis-
or
4. Non degenerate basic feasible so-
cover the response to his decision.
lution: A feasible solution to a trans-
iii. End nodes - represented by triangles
portation problem is said to be non-
V TRANSPORTATIONMODEL degenerate if it contains m+n -1 and
The transportation problem involves de- each allocation is independent.
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termining a minimum-cost plan for ship-
ping from multiple sources to multiple des-
5. Loops in transportation problem:
An ordered set of four or more cells
tinations. A transportation model is used
can be formed as a loop, of any of the
to determine how to distribute supplies to
two adjacent cells in the ordered set
various destinations while minimizing total
lie either in the same row or in the
cost. The main objective of a transporta-
same column. A feasible solution to a
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tion problem is to satisfy the demand des-
transportation problem is basic if the
tination requirements within the plant ca-
corresponding cells in the transporta-
pacity constraints at minimum transporta-
tion table do not contain a loop.
tion cost.
Solution to a transportation problem
Special terms related to transportation
The following are the steps to solve a trans-
problem
portation problem.
1. Feasible solution: Feasible solution
1. Define the objective function. That is
to a transportation problem is a set
minimization of cost.
of nonnegative allocations (Xij > 0)
which satisfies the row and column 2. Set up a transportation table with ‘m’
sum restrictions. rows and ‘n’ columns
5. If the solution is not optimal, then then move vertically down to the cell
6. Repeat step and six till we get an op- 5. Continue the procedure till an alloca-
or
lution
are made in the cells with the smallest unit
1. North West corner method (NWCM)
cost. It reduces the computation as well as
2. Least cost method (LCM) the amount of time necessary to arrive at
3. Vogel’s approximation method the optimal solution
iat
North West corner method
and allocate commodity equal to the 3. Assign maximum units in the lowest
minimum of the rim values for the first cost cell. Then we can exhaust either
row and first column. a row total or a column on the basis
2. If allocation done in step I is equal of allocation. Eliminate that column
to the supply available at first source, or row.
then move vertically down to the cell 4. Consider the reduced matrix table and
(2, 1) in the second row and first col- select another lowest cost cell. Then
umn. allocate the maximum units in that
3. Apply step one again for next alloca- cell. On the basis of that we can ex-
tion. haust either a row or column.
MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Aviator College of Aviation Studies Manjeri IVth Semester BBA
5. Continue the process till all the avail- we can discuss the modified distribution
able quantities are exhausted. method (MODI).
Steps in MODI method or U.V
Vogel’s Approximation Method
method
Vogel’s method is based on the concept of
opportunity cost. Opportunity cost is the 1. Find the initial basic feasible solu-
cost incurred for forgone opportunities or tion of transportation problem by us-
penalties. Steps: - ing one of the three methods described
earlier.
1. Find the penalty cost namely the dif-
or
ference between the smallest and next 2. Determine a set of numbers for each
smallest costs in each row and column. row and each column. That is U1 and
V1 for each row and column satisfying
2. Among the penalties found in step (1),
U1 + V! = Cij for each occupied cell.
select the maximum penalty. If there
3. Then calculate cell evaluation known
iat is a tie relate with maximum penal-
ties, select any one arbitrarily. as dij values for unoccupied cells.
That is dij = Cij (U1=V1)
3. From the selected column or row (as
per step 2) fin d out the cell which is 4. if all dij values are positive, the solu-
having lowest cost. As much as quan- tion is optimal and an unique solution
tity must be allocated to this cell by exists. If at least one of them is zero
considering the demand and supply. and other are positive, the solution is
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4. The column or row which is ex- optimum but alternative solution ex-
hausted, is to be deleted. The above ist. If at least one dij is negative, the
feasible solution is attained. It should 5. Reallocation are too made, if the so-
be noted that if column is exhausted, lution is not optimal. Give maximum
then there will be a change in row allocation to the cell for which dij is
penalty and vice versa. negative making one of the occupied
cell is empty.
Finding the optimal solution
Once the initial basic feasible solution has 6. Select empty having the most negative
mine whether the solution obtained is opti- 7. Draw a closed path or loop for unoc-
mum or not. To perform optimality test, cupied cell selected in step 6. Assign
MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Aviator College of Aviation Studies Manjeri IVth Semester BBA
+ve and –ve alternatively and find the in transportation problem. It may happen
minimum allocation cell having –ve Either at the initial stage or at subsequent
sign. The allocation should be added iteration. It is called degeneracy. Unbal-
to the allocation having positive sign anced transportation problem To obtain a
and subtract from the allocations hav- feasible solution, it is necessary that the
ing negative sign. total supply must equal to total demand.
8. Repeat from the step 2 till an opti- In unbalanced transportation problem it is
mum basic solution is obtained. not equal. This unbalanced problem is to
be converted into a balanced transportation
or
Degeneracy in transportation prob-
problem. For this fictitious destination or
lem
source which will provide the surplus sup-
Some times the number of non-negative in-
ply or demands to be added.
dependent allocation is less than m+n-1,
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