Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2022
OR
0 Interest = 0% 1
100 100
• Why?
1. Satisfaction from Consumption
0 Interest = 0% 1
100 100
0 Interest = 0% 1
100 100
Bike costs $100 Bike costs $104
0 Interest = 0% 1
100 100
Bike costs $100 Bike costs $104
• Inflation R = 4%
• Nominal interest R = 0%
• Real interest R = Nominal Interest R – Inflation R
• -4% = 0% - 4%
• Lender @ a loss in real terms
2.b Obsolescence or loss of value
over time: Inflation Rate = 4%
You lend $100 for 1 year @ interest =0%
0 Interest = 0% 1
100 104
Bike costs $100 Bike costs $104
• Inflation R = 4%
• Nominal interest R = 4%
• Real interest R = Nominal Interest R – Inflation R
• 0% = 4% - 4%
• Lender indifferent regarding solely on value of money (but
remember that is not all --- you sacrificed other things)
2.c Obsolescence or loss of value
over time: Inflation Rate = 4%
You lend $100 for 1 year @ interest =0%
0 Interest = 0% 1
100 110
Bike costs $100 Bike costs $104
• Inflation R = 4%
• Nominal interest R = 10%
• Real interest R = Nominal Interest R – Inflation R
• 6% = 0% - 4%
• Lender @ a profit in real terms (solely regarding value
of money: inflation)
3. Probability of Default
0 Interest = 0% 1
100 100
• Are you sure the borrower will pay you back the full amount and on
time?
• Think about increasing “deposit” when you rent an apartment.
• Should you be compensated for the default risk you are taking? [E.g.,
1% of borrowers default --- would you increase interest rate by 1%? -
-- [For more future reading: Risk Aversion]
• Wouldn’t you want to be compensated (interest rate addition) due
to such potential risk?
4. Expectation of future rates?
0 Interest = 0% 1
100 100
0 1
I0%
100 110
0 1 2
I0% I0%
100 FV at year 2?
0 1 2 3
I0% I0% I0%
100 FV at year 3?
After 1 year:
• FV1 = PV(1 + i) = $100(1.10) = $110
After 2 years:
• FV2 = PV(1 + i)2 = $100(1.10)2 = $121
After 3 years:
• FV3 = PV(1 + i)3 = $100(1.10)3 = $133
After N years (general case):
• FVN = PV(1 + I)N
I. Calculator – Solving for FV (i=10%)
• FV equation (i=10%)
• Requires 4 inputs into calculator and will solve for
the fifth.
• (Set to P/YR = 1 and END mode.)
INPUTS 3 10 -100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 133.10
• Excel: =FV(rate,nper,pmt,pv,type)
• Excel: =FV(0.1,3,0,-100,1)
TIME TO THINK
• In these examples, did you earn interest on
interest?
• Did you earn interest on $10 during year 2?
• Did you earn interest on $21 during year 3?
Example
• Year 1: 100 + 10%*100 = $110
• Year 2: 110 + 10%*110 = $121
• Year 3: 121 + 10%*121 = $133
• What is “compound”?
I. Future Value (n=3)
0 1 2 3
5% 5% 5%
100 FV at year 3?
Example
• Year 1: 100 + 5%*100 = $105
• Year 2: 105 + 5%*5 = $110.25
• Year 3: 110.25 + 5%*5 = $115.76
MN
INOM
FVN = PV1 +
M
23
0.04
FV3S = $1001 +
2
FV3S = $100(1.02) 6 = $112.62
• FV = PVN * (1 + I)N
• Excel: =FV(0.05,10,0,-100,1) • FV (n=10, no interest on interest) =
• N=10 years = 100 + 5*10 = $150
• FV = $162.89
• Excel: =FV(0.05,30,0,-100,1) • FV (n=30, no interest on interest) =
• N=30 years = 100 + 5*30 = $250
• FV = $432.19
I. Future Value @ interest 5%
After 1 year:
• FV1 = PV(1 + i) = $100(1.05) = $105
After 2 years:
• FV2 = PV(1 + i)2 = $100(1.05)2 = $110.25
After 3 years:
• FV3 = PV(1 + i)3 = $100(1.05)3 = $115.76
After N years (general case):
• FVN = PV(1 + I)N
I. Calculator – Solving for FV (i=5%)
• FV equation - (i=5%)
• Requires 4 inputs into calculator and will solve for
the fifth.
• (Set to P/YR = 1 and END mode.)
INPUTS 3 5 -100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 115.76
• Excel: =FV(rate,nper,pmt,pv,type)
• Excel: =FV(0.05,3,0,-100,1)
TIME TO THINK
• Does is matter how often you get paid the
interest
Example
• 10% paid semi-annual (5% in Jun and 5% in Dec)
• 10% paid annually (10% in Dec)
• What is “compound”?
I. FV – Compounded annually
$110 due in one year
0 1
I0%
PV=100 FV= ?
INominal INominal /m
Year 1: 110 = 100 * (1+10%) Year 1: 105 = 100 * (1+5%) + 100*(1+5%)
*(1+5%) = 110.25
• Excel =EFFECT(nominal_rate,npery)
• Effective rate = (1 + INOM/m)m – 1
• Semiannual =EFFECT(0.1,2) = 10.25%
• Quarterly =EFFECT(0.1,4) = 10.38%
• Daily =EFFECT(0.1,365) = 10.52%
Question: Find effective rate for quoted rate 4%, daily, quarterly, and semiannually.
TIME TO THINK
• Why is Effective Interest Rate important?
Effective Effective
Annual Annual Reported Excel Formula
Rates Rates Rates
EARANNUAL 5.00% 5.00% =EFFECT(0.05,1)
EARSEMIANNUALLY 5.06% 5.00% =EFFECT(0.05,2)
EARQUARTERLY 5.09% 5.00% =EFFECT(0.05,4)
EARDAILY (365) 5.13% 5.00% =EFFECT(0.05,365)
II. Use of Different Interest Rates
Interest Use
Rates
• Written into contracts, quoted by banks and brokers.
INOM
• Not used in calculations or shown on time lines.
INPUTS 1 10 0 110
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -100
• Excel: =PV(rate,nper,pmt,fv,type)
• Excel: = PV(0.1,1,0,110,1)
• PV of future stream of $110 in one year is $100.
II. Solving for PV
• Solves FV equation for PV @ i=10% & FV = $110
• Similar to FV. Now, there are different input information
and are solving for a different variable (solving for PV,
given FV).
INPUTS 2 10 0 121
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -100
• Excel: =PV(rate,nper,pmt,fv,type)
• Excel: = PV(0.1,2,0,121,1)
• PV of future stream of $121 in two years discounted
annually at 10% is $100.
Reminder: Future Value (n=3)
0 1 2 3
I0% I0% I0%
100 FV at year 3?
After 1 year:
• FV1 = PV(1 + i) = $100(1.05) = $105
After 2 years:
• FV2 = PV(1 + i)2 = $100(1.05)2 = $110.25
After 3 years:
• FV3 = PV(1 + i)3 = $100(1.05)3 = $115.76
After N years (general case):
• FVN = PV(1 + I)N
Mirroring: Present Value (n=3)
How much should you deposit at the bank, so after 3 years
you receive 115.76 (at 5% interest rate paid annually)?
0 1 2 3
5% 5% 5%
INPUTS 3 5 0 115.76
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -100
• Excel: =PV(rate,nper,pmt,fv,type)
• Excel: = PV(0.05,3,0,115.76,1)
• PV of future stream of $115.76 in three years
discounted annually at 5% is $100.
I. Present Value @ interest 5%
PV of FV after 1 year:
• PV= FV1 /(1 + i) = $105/(1.05) = $100
PV of FV after 2 years:
• PV= FV2 /(1 + i)2 = $110.25/(1.05)2 = $100
PV of FV after 3 years:
• PV= FV3 /(1 + i)3 = $115.76/(1.05)3 = $100
PV of FV after N years (general case):
• PV = FVN /(1 + I)N or PMT/I for Perpetual Annuity
Example 1 [Annuity]
• If Besa is 25 years old and invests $1,000 every
year until she is 65 years old.
• Interest Rate (compounded annually) is 10%.
• How much money will she have then?
INPUTS 40 10 0 -1000
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 442,592
• Excel: =FV(.1,40,-1000,0,0)
Example 2 [Annuity]
• Emma is 25 years old.
• She wants to have $1 million by the time she is
65 years old.
• Interest Rate (compounded annually) is 10%.
• How much money should she pay annually?
INPUTS 40 10 0 1000000
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -2,259.41
• Excel: =FV(.1,40,0, 1000000,0)
Example 3 [Annuity]
• Julia is 20 years old.
• She wants to have $1 million by the time she is
65 years old.
• Interest Rate (compounded annually) is 10%.
• How much money should she pay annually?
INPUTS 45 10 0 1000000
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -1,391
• Excel: =FV(.1,45,0, 1000000,0)
Optional: Loan Amortization
• The FV = 0 because the reason for amortizing
the loan and making payments is to retire the
loan.
INPUTS 3 4 -1000 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 360
• Excel: =PMT(.04,3,-1000,0,0)
Year 2: 121 = 100* (1+10%)* (1+10%) Year 2: 121.55 = 100*(1+5%)(1+5%) (1+5%) (1+5%)
INPUTS 3 4 0 100
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -88.90
• Excel: =PV(rate,nper,pmt,fv,type)
I. FV – COMPOUNDED m-times
Compounded Annually Compounded Semi-Annually
Year 1: 110 = 100 * (1+10%) = 100 + 10 Year 1: 105 = 100 * (1+5%) + 100*(1+5%)
*(1+5%) = 100 + 10
Year 2: 121 = 100* (1+10%)* (1+10%) Year 2: 121.55 = 100*(1+5%)(1+5%) (1+5%) (1+5%)