Professional Documents
Culture Documents
CO-POWERED BY
DESPITE SOFT
FESTIVE QUARTER
FORECAST 2023:
SLOWER RATE
OF GROWTH
16%
DIGITAL: 25%
TRADITIONAL: 10%
21 %
CO-POWERED BY
DESPITE
ADVERSE
CONDITIONS
21% ?? You may well ask. Well there are some good reasons:
In absolute terms, ADEX has added Rs. 15,572 crores last year,
growing from Rs. 74,231 crore to Rs. 89,803 crore which is the
second highest gain of the last two decades.
PRESENTS
CO-POWERED BY
Traditional Adex - Rs 29056 33435 38871 42165 43835 49202 52136 37177 48793 55399
Crores
Growth % 9 15 16 8 4 12 6 -29 31 14
Digital Adex - Rs Crores 3050 3970 5120 7315 9303 11705 15467 16974 25438 34405
Growth % 32 30 29 43 27 26 32 10 50 35
Total Adex (Rs. in crore) 32106 37405 43991 49480 53138 60908 67603 54151 74231 89803
Growth % 11 17 18 12 7 15 11 -20 37 21
Radio, too has grown well registering a 17% growth, but it is yet to
cross its 2019 level and its share is static at 2% for the last 3 years.
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Whilst TV is the number 2 medium in both India and globally, there
is a substantial difference in scale — 34% share in India but only
20% in the globe. So, Print and TV are losing out to Digital in Global
ADEX much more than they are in India.
E - Commerce 2337 4.9% 5987 12.9% 7159 14% 20% 25% 1172
Education 2479 5.2% 4263 9.2% 3883 7.6% -9% -8% -380
Clothing Fashion
1685 4% 1140 2.5% 1596 3% 40% 10% 456
Jewellery
Others 8053 17% 5890 12.7% 6586 13% 12% 15% 696
TOTAL 47596 100% 46478 100% 51164 100% 10% 100% 4686
` 9,303
35%
32%
27%
26%
10% `34,405
GROWTH %
`25,438
`16,974
`15,467
`11,705
`9,303
YEARLY SPENDS
(Rs CRORE)
CO-POWERED BY A 10-year review shows that Digital has grown from a mere
Rs. 3,050 crores, with a 9% share to Rs. 34,405 crores with
a 38% share today. Over these 10 years, in all the years it has
grown by around 30% or more, each year, except in Covid
year 2020, when it grew by only 10%.
CO-POWERED BY
Let’s look at Branding that the rest of The third reason is our ability in some
PMAR’s estimate captures. While it is way or form to track some response
imprecise to dice up the 38,000 cr into to advertising across the marketing
branding, it would be fair to estimate funnel. While not perfect, it is better
a majority share of video, and minority than to spray and pray. The advent of
shares of social and display going into Technology has also evolved our practice
Branding. Safely we can assume no of marketing analytics from multivariate
e-commerce or Search spend goes into statistics to Ai/ML led modelling.
Branding.
This takes us to a sobering realisation. As
Advertisers are pushing Digital branding Spiderman said, ‘with great power, comes
for a number of reasons. great responsibility.’ On Digital branding
it is important to call out some existing
One reason for Digital’s growth is lacunae. It is the only significant medium
clearly its now massive reach across the which does not have an industrywide
spectrum, with it overtaking TV Reach Adex Measurement. There is no industry
in some States. Advertisers realise digital audience measurement (leave
that without Digital they will not reach alone cross media measurement), and
some key consumers. This is happening some publisher giants choose to live
through incremental reach in non-TV in walled gardens. Online video has
homes (erstwhile Media dark home) as almost consciously (and inexplicably)
well as TV homes that have cut the cord, tried to distance its planning approach
best exemplified by CTV homes that can from TV planning so that it looks like we
watch Linear and On-Demand Content are planning for a completely different
without using a cable or DTH connection. media, whereas, as far as the consumer
The need of the hour is to have continual is concerned they are watching an
definitive baseline studies that capture ad while consuming content. The
the Indian Media landscape. For a variety viewership norms pertaining to coverage,
of reasons this has not happened. percentage of pixels, dwell time, are not
standardised nor enforced; Publishers bill
The second reason is our ability to target as per their internal logs even when third
much more meaningfully on Digital party measuring tools indicate a dispute.
than conventional demographics into
psychographics, contextual targeting, For Digital branding to procure a larger
retargeting, hyperlocal targeting, share of those large players who seek
etc., and has opened up the exciting to build Brands, these gaps need to be
opportunity to do scaled communication addressed at an industry level, to keep
in a customised manner. Moreover, the growth going.
spends.
25%
19%
8% 9%
4%
-11%
GROWTH %
`30,662
`28,151
`25,291
`23,432 `22,508
`19,650
YEARLY SPENDS
(Rs CRORE)
TV MEDIA BY QUARTER
IN RS CRORES
Period Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total
Yr 2019 5384 8815 5315 5777 25291
Yr 2020 4661 3423 5421 9004 22508
Yr 2021 5076 6748 7182 9145 28151
Yr 2022 4917 9754 7606 8386 30662
Growth% ( 22 / 21 ) -3% 45% 6% -8% 9%
Growth% ( 22 / 20 ) 5% 185% 40% -7% 36%
Growth% ( 22 / 19 ) -9% 11% 43% 45% 21%
Yr 2019 Share 21% 35% 21% 23% 100%
Yr 2020 Share 21% 15% 24% 40% 100%
Yr 2021 Share 18% 24% 26% 32% 100%
Yr 2022 Share 16% 32% 25% 27% 100%
AA 15+ ABC India 11.6 11.1 12.0 10.5 9.7 -8% -13%
One of the major reasons for the low growth rate is the
disappearance of many new age clients from sponsorship of big
ticket shows, which are sold at a huge premium. But FCT too has
degrown by a marginal 3%. And this drop was seen throughout the
year in all quarters. The festive dominated Q4, which usually sees a
big spike, was missing in 2022.
CATEGORY
CONTRIBUTION
& CATEGORY GROWTH
ACROSS TV IN 2022
PRODUCT CATEGORY YR 2020 YR 2021 YR 2022 GROWTH ABSOLUTE GROWTH CATG CATG CATG
RS CR RS CR RS CR % 22 / 21 GROWTH CONTBN CONTBN CONTBN CONTBN
IN 2022 2019 2021 2022
REAL ESTATE & HOME IMPROVEMENT 845 1628 1235 -24% -393 -16% 1% 6% 4%
TOTAL 22508 28151 30662 8.9% 2511 100% 100% 100% 100%
Marathi Regional 1200 - 1500 111 106 4% 4.90% 4.80% -5% 29%
Malayalam
900 - 1000 100 102 5% 4.40% 4.60% 2% 6%
Regional
Others 1800 - 2000 580 494 21% 25.40% 22.30% -15% 11%
and continues to
defy global ADEX
trends.
39%
11%
4%
3% 3%
GROWTH %
-41%
`20,045
`19,457
`18,640 `18,470
`16,595
`11,925
YEARLY SPENDS
(Rs CRORE)
Period Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total
2019 4867 5830 4493 4855 20045
2020 4020 1217 2583 4105 11925
2021 4146 2204 4790 5455 16595
2022 4045 3698 5401 5326 18470
Growth% ( 22 / 21 ) -2% 68% 13% -2% 11%
Growth% ( 22 / 20 ) 1% 204% 109% 30% 55%
Growth% ( 22 / 19 ) -17% -37% 20% 10% -8%
2019 Share 24% 29% 22% 24% 100%
2020 share 34% 10% 22% 34% 100%
2021 share 25% 13% 29% 33% 100%
2022 share 22% 20% 29% 29% 100%
H2 performed well for Print and 58% of its ADEX came from
H2 vs only 46% in pre-Covid year 2019.
CATEGORY
CONTRIBUTION
& CATEGORY GROWTH
ACROSS PRINT IN 2022
PRODUCT CATEGORY YR 2020 YR 2021 YR 2022 GROWTH ABSOLUTE GROWTH CATG CATG CATG
RS CR RS CR RS CR % 22 / 21 GROWTH CONTBN CONTBN CONTBN CONTBN
IN 2022 2019 2021 2022
EDUCATION 1803 2526 2510 -1% -16 -1% 10% 15% 14%
FMCG 1977 2631 2427 -8% -204 -11% 14% 16% 13%
REAL ESTATE & HOME IMPROVEMENT 683 1025 1241 21% 217 12% 6% 6% 7%
OTHERS 2640 3716 4166 12% 451 24% 27% 22% 23%
TOTAL 11925 16595 18470 11% 1876 100% 100% 100% 100%
Growth % Growth %
Contribution in % Contribution in % Contribution in %
LANGUAGE 2020 2021 2022
(2019) (2021) (2022)
PRINT - LANGUAGE
( 22/ 21 ) (WISE
22/ 20) PUBLICATION VOLUME
IN CC IN 2022 ( CC IN MN )
HINDI 79 102 112 9% 42% 35% 37% 35%
BENGALI 3 4 4 3% 31% 2% 1% 1%
PUNJABI 1 2 2 3% 22% 1% 1% 1%
30
30 Pitch Madison
Pitch Madison Report
Report 20232023
OOH ADEX
OOH matches its high PRESENTS
pre-pandemic level.
69% 68%
9%
4%
6%
GROWTH %
-63%
`3,666
`3,495
`3,365
`3,085
`2,178
`1,292
YEARLY SPENDS
(Rs CRORE)
SHARE % 6% 6% 5% 2% 3% 4%
CO-POWERED BY Festivities, Celebrations and Events are back, which has led
to increased mobility across markets. As per Oct 22, Google
mobility reports, mobility has grown by more than 30% on an
average.
Period Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total
Yr 2019 862 844 978 811 3495
Yr 2020 753 8 99 432 1292
Yr 2021 450 252 590 886 2178
Yr 2022 835 877 896 1058 3666
Growth% ( 22 / 21 ) 86% 248% 52% 19% 68%
Growth% ( 22 / 20 ) 11% 10863% 805% 145% 184%
Growth% ( 22 / 19 ) -3% 4% -8% 30% 5%
Yr 2019 Share 25% 24% 28% 23% 100%
Yr 2020 Share 58% 1% 8% 33% 100%
Yr 2021 Share 21% 12% 27% 41% 100%
Yr 2022 Share 23% 24% 24% 29% 100%
150000
10000
50000
0
2020 2021 2022 2023
CATEGORY
CONTRIBUTION
PRESENTS
PRODUCT CATEGORY YR 2020 YR 2021 YR 2022 GROWTH ABSOLUTE GROWTH CATG CATG CATG
RS CR RS CR RS CR % 22 / 21 GROWTH CONTBN CONTBN CONTBN CONTBN
IN 2022 2019 2021 2022
REAL ESTATE 268 472 683 45% 211 14% 14% 22% 19%
FMCG 174 289 477 65% 188 13% 11% 13% 13%
ORGANIZED RETAIL 145 298 463 55% 164 11% 15% 14% 13%
CONSUMER SERVICES 140 237 412 73% 174 12% 15% 11% 11%
PHARMACY 6 15 31 104% 16 1% 1% 1% 1%
PETROLEUM/LUBRICANTS 3 8 5 -35% -3 0% 0% 0% 0%
ENERGY 1 2 2 13% 0 0% 0% 0% 0%
TOTAL 1292 2178 3666 68% 1488 100% 100% 100% 100%
PRESENTS
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17%
14%
5%
7%
-44%
GROWTH %
`2,032
`1,733
`2,260
`2,144 `1,270
`1,875
YEARLY SPENDS
(Rs CRORE)
CONTRIBUTION % 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2%
CATEGORY CONTRIBUTION
& CATEGORY GROWTH
ACROSS RADIO IN 2022
PRODUCT CATEGORY YR 2020 YR 2021 YR 2022 GROWTH ABSOLUTE GROWTH CATG CATG CATG
RS CR RS CR RS CR % 22 / 21 GROWTH CONTBN CONTBN CONTBN CONTBN
IN 2022 2019 2021 2022
REAL ESTATE & HOME IMPROVEMENT 129 183 284 55% 101 34% 9% 11% 14%
CORPORATE 41 55 67 22% 12 4% 2% 3% 3%
HH DURABLES 35 50 61 22% 11 4% 3% 3% 3%
TOTAL 1270 1733 2032 17.3% 299 100% 100% 100% 100%
37%
30%
12%
-25%
GROWTH %
-83%
`1,045
`805
`586 `568
`182
YEARLY SPENDS
`136
(Rs CRORE)
DOMINANCE OF
TOP ADVERTISERS
REDUCES
3 out of top 5 Advertisers are FMCG;
14 New Entrants; Start-Ups reduce
While many Advertisers like Coca Cola, GCPL, Maruti, Samsung &
Pepsi gained many ranks, many brands like Colgate, Cred, Hyundai
and PhonePe dropped many ranks.
YR 2022
YR 2022
PRESENTS
CO-POWERED BY
FORECAST 2023
ADEX TO GROW
16% IN 2023
This is more than 5 times
higher than Global ADEX,
which is expected to grow only
by 3% Digital to continue to
drive ADEX growth
TV 25291 37% 22508 42% 28151 38% 30662 34% 9% 33522 32% 9%
PRINT 20045 30% 11925 22% 16595 22% 18470 21% 11% 20133 19% 9%
RADIO 2260 3.3% 1270 2.3% 1733 2.3% 2032 2.3% 17% 2438 2% 20%
CINEMA 1045 2% 182 0% 136 0% 568 0.6% 317% 995 1% 75%
OUTDOOR 3495 5% 1292 2% 2178 3% 3666 4% 68% 4106 4% 12%
TOTAL TRADITIONAL 52136 77% 37177 69% 48793 66% 55399 62% 14% 61194 59% 10%
DIGITAL 15467 23% 16974 31% 25438 34% 34405 38% 35% 43036 41% 25%
TOTAL 67603 100% 54151 74231 89803 21.0% 104230 16%
As 2023 sets in, we are reminded of an old number comfortably and settle at Rs.
Godrej Shaving Cream Ad of the late 80’s 1,04,230 crores. Covid hopefully is now
which ended with “The one bright spot history and by 2023 we will cross a pre-
in a man’s morning.” India is certainly the Covid 2019 ADEX level of Rs. 67,603 by a
bright spot in a gloomy, uncertain world, massive 54%. Like the rest of the world,
so says not the Indian government, not Digital will be the main driver of growth.
a patriotic, ever-optimistic Indian, but
the global CEOs of almost all reputed Whilst the Annexure to this report gives
Consultancies around the world. a longer economic justification for
our forecast of 16%, we recognise that
Having said that, in today’s world, we will be aided by tailwinds coming
countries are interconnected with one from Growing Consumer Confidence,
another, because of Trade and Commerce Moderating Inflation, Rapidly rising SMB
and therefore India is bound to get businesses, and complete recovery from
affected by the global gloom. Because of COVID. But we will get a bit pulled down
that, our estimates for growth in 2023 is by headwinds from Global slowdown and
a bit subdued at 16%, compared to 21% low capital inflow to Start-Ups.
growth achieved in 2022.. For perspective,
WARC’s forecast for Global ADEX in 2023 Whilst Traditional Global ADEX is expected
is a growth of only 3%. to de-grow by as much as 4%, we expect
even Traditional ADEX in India to grow
With a 16% growth rate, Indian ADEX will by 10% on the back of good growth of
cross the landmark Rs. 1,00,000 crore Television, Print and Outdoor.
PRESENTS
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major cricketing tournaments such as time will be lower than 20%. For reference,
WIPL, IPL, AsiaCup, ICC Cricket World Cup Print ADEX had a share of 32% in 2018.
and multiple impact properties across the The release of limited ABC circulation
Networks is likely to fuel TV ADEX growth. figures which were lower than circulation
FMCG, the largest category of TV Market, figures for 2019 demonstrated that Print
is likely to substantially increase their Advertising is not so elastic to Print
Advertising budgets, instead of reducing Circulation and Readership Data. However,
consumer prices because of lowering of return of Print Advertising Volumes
raw material inflation, and the lion’s share demonstrate that it is more responsive
of this increase is likely to come to TV and to Print Advertising rates. Something for
Digital Video. Publishers to chew on. If current market
rates of English Publications continue in
2023, we estimate a larger volume growth
PRINT rate in English Dailies than Hindi and other
The growth of Print Advertising volumes regional publications.
by 15% in 2022 indicates that Print offers
a compelling option for marketers for new
launches, topical communication, and OOH
topical messaging. We therefore expect 2022 was a great year for OOH ADEX. We
Print ADEX to continue to grow at 9%, expect 2023 to be another great year for
which will take Print ADEX to Rs. 20,133 OOH ADEX which is likely to grow by a
crore and reach pre-COVID levels. With further 12% on the back of a 68% growth in
this growth rate, we expect that Print share 2022, to reach a value of Rs. 4,106 crores,
of ADEX will fall further and for the first Rs. 600 crores higher than the 2019 ADEX.
PRESENTS
CO-POWERED BY
Tailwinds
• Complete recovery from pandemic slowdown
PRESENTS
• Moderate Inflation
• Growing consumer confidence
• SMB businesses on fast track
CO-POWERED BY
Headwinds
• Difficult for India to remain insulated from a slowdown in
Western world and global uncertainty
• Slowdown in capital inflow to Start-Ups
India 6.1%
USA 1.4%
Germany 0.1%
France 0.7%
Italy 0.8%
Japan 1.8%
UK -0.6%
China 5.2%
Brazil 1.2%
Growth Estimate for 2023
7.3
7 7 7 7
6.9
6.8 6.8 6.8
6.7
6.6
S&P ADB Moody Fitch Goldman World Bank RBI SBI IMF Citogroup OECD
Growth Average
PRESENTS
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CO-POWERED BY
Source: MoSPI
PRESENTS
CO-POWERED BY
Conclusion
Indian advertising has endured many economic shocks in the
recent past. Except for the peak COVID year, the general trend
of ADEX has been relative high growth rate year-on-year. Our
growth expectation hinges on the fact that India has been
fortunate that it has many levers going for it in the coming year.
While, we do not expect an accelerated growth – a cautious
growth estimate of 16% in ADEX should be achievable.