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  • Urna

    Uploaded by

    Steven Vergara
    5 views2 pages
    This document contains calculations of conditional probabilities for selecting balls from three different urns (U1, U2, U3) after observing the color A. The probabilities of selecting each urn are calculated as the probability of selecting that urn multiplied by the probability of observing color A for that urn, divided by the total probability of observing A from any urn. The probabilities of selecting U1, U2, and U3 after observing A are calculated to be 0.375, 0.1875, and 0.4375 respectively.

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    This document contains calculations of conditional probabilities for selecting balls from three different urns (U1, U2, U3) after observing the color A. The probabilities of selecting each urn are calculated as the probability of selecting that urn multiplied by the probability of observing color A for that urn, divided by the total probability of observing A from any urn. The probabilities of selecting U1, U2, and U3 after observing A are calculated to be 0.375, 0.1875, and 0.4375 respectively.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    5 views2 pages

    Urna

    Uploaded by

    Steven Vergara
    This document contains calculations of conditional probabilities for selecting balls from three different urns (U1, U2, U3) after observing the color A. The probabilities of selecting each urn are calculated as the probability of selecting that urn multiplied by the probability of observing color A for that urn, divided by the total probability of observing A from any urn. The probabilities of selecting U1, U2, and U3 after observing A are calculated to be 0.375, 0.1875, and 0.4375 respectively.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    of 2

    Urna #1

    A
    P ( U 1 )∗P()
    U1
    P(U1/A)=
    P ( U 1 )∗P ( )
    A
    U1
    + P ( U 2 )∗P
    A
    U2( )+ P (U 3 )∗P(
    A
    U3
    )

    1
    ∗0 ,6
    3
    P(U1/A)=
    1 1 1
    ∗0 ,6 + ∗0 ,3+ ∗0 ,7
    3 3 3

    0,2
    P(U1/A)= = 0,375
    0,5333

    Urna #2

    A
    P ( U 2 )∗P()
    U2
    P(U2/A)=
    P ( U 1 )∗P ( )
    A
    U1
    + P ( U 2 )∗P
    A
    U2( )+ P (U 3 )∗P(
    A
    U3
    )

    1
    ∗0 ,30
    P(U2/A)= 3
    0.5333

    0,1
    P(U2/A)= = 0,1875
    0,5333

    Urna #3

    A
    P ( U 3 )∗P()
    U3
    P(U3/A)=
    P ( U 1 )∗P ( )
    A
    U1
    + P ( U 2 )∗P
    A
    U2( )+ P (U 3 )∗P(
    A
    U3
    )

    1
    ∗0 ,7
    P(U3/A)= 3
    0,5333
    0,2333
    P(U3/A)= = 0,4375
    0,5333

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