TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITÄT DORTMUND FAKULTÄT STATISTIK

Chapter 2 (2.1, 2.2, 2.5)

Reading Course Probability
- Selftest 2 -

The following test is a true/false test. Answers can be checked in moodle by entering the ans-
wers True/False in the selftest 2 Probability. The test is not graded and has no influence on
passing/falling the course. The test can be attempted multiple times. This test is for yourself to
check whether you have understand the material. If you think one question is wrong, then write
for you down, which should be the right answer to review the material.

Let P indicate in the following probability.

Exercise 1 The binomial distribution is denoted by binomial (n, p). Which of the following pro-
perties about the binomial distribution are true.

a) n is an integer.

b) p ∈ [0, 1].

c) The probability of k success in n trails is greater than 0 for every k.

d) The expected value is np.

e) The variance is np(1 − p).

Exercise 2 A man fires 8 shots at a target. Assume that the shots are independent, and each shot
hits the bull’s eye with probability 0.7.

a) The probability, that he hits the bull’s eye exactly 4 times, equal to 0.1361 (rounded).

b) The probability, that he hits the bull’s eye exactly 4 times given that he hits the bull’s eye
at least twice, is equal to 0.1316.

c) The probability, that he hits the bull’s eye exactly 4 times in the 8 shots given that the first
two shots hit the bull’s eye, is equal to 0.0595 (rounded).

Exercise 3 70% of the people in a certain population are adults. A random sample of size 15 will
be drawn, with replacement, from this population.

a) The most likely number of adults in the sample is 11 (rounded).

b) The chance of getting exactly this many adults is 0.00016.

Exercise √4 Let φ0 (z), φ00 (z) be the first and second derivatives of the standard normal curve
φ(z) = (1/ 2π)exp(− 12 z 2 ).

a) φ0 (z) is equal to zφ(z)

b) φ00 (z) is equal to (z 2 − 1)φ(z)

Exercise 5 Let H be the number of heads in 400 tosses of a fair coin. Are the following calculated
probabilities right (the normal approximation was used).

a) P (190 ≤ H ≤ 210) = 0.8012 (rounded);

b) P (210 ≤ H ≤ 400) = 0.1711 (rounded);

c) P (H = 200) = 0;

d) P (H = 210) ≥ 0

Exercise 6 Check whether the following statements are true or false.

a) There are 6 laboratory animals and 6 cages. There are 720 possibilities for the 6 laboratory
animals on the 6 cages.

b) From 10 experimental animals 3 should be selected for an experiment. There are 720 possi-
bilities of the selection.

c) Five different fertilizers and four different herbicides should be tested on three different wheat
varieties in a trial area. We need 60 individual fields to test that each combination of fertilizer,
weedkiller and wheat variety.

Exercise 7 Four numbers are drawn at random from a box of ten numbers 0, 1, . . . , 9. The proba-
bility that the largest number drawn is maximal a six:

a) if the draws are made with replacement is equal to 0.7;

b) if the draws are made without replacement is equal to 0.167 (rounded).