Students

Moving Exponentially Moving average Moving average

Semester Enrolled in average smoothed α=0.2 Dt-Ft |Dt-Ft|
OM
1 270 - 270.00 - -
2 310 - 270.00 - -
3 250 - 278.00 - -
4 290 276.67 272.40 13.33 13.33
5 370 283.33 275.92 86.67 86.67
6 410 303.33 294.74 106.67 106.67
7 400 356.67 317.79 43.33 43.33
8 450 393.33 334.23 56.67 56.67
9 - 420.00 357.38 - -
306.67

MAD(Moving average forecast) 61.33

MAD(Exponentially smoothed forecast) 70.42
Because 70.42>61.33 => Moving average forecast is most accurate
 Exponentially Exponentially
smoothed Dt - Ft smoothed |Dt - Ft|

- -
40.00 40.00
-28.00 28.00
17.60 17.60
94.08 94.08
115.26 115.26
82.21 82.21
115.77 115.77
- -
492.92