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THE IMPACTS OF SOCIAL MOVEMENTS ON
Kenneth T. Andrews
Harvard University
In this paper, I examine the relationship between social movements and po-
and identifying key areas in which further theoretical development and addi-
issues raised by this assessment, I examine the civil rights movement in Mis-
four political outcomes: (1) number of Black voters registered, (2) votes cast
for Black candidates in statewide elections, (3) the number of Black candi-
dates running for office in the late 1960s and early 1970s, and (4) the number
the impact of the movement are critical pieces of the analysis. The evidence
indicates that local movements have continued to play a central, though com-
plex, role in the transformation of local politics long after the civil rights
movement peaked. This suggests that, while mobilization plays a key role in
n their review of the social movements cial movements are indirect and mediated by
literature, McAdam, McCarthy, and Zald the political process. One reason for the lim-
(1988) conclude that there is a "relatively ited body of research on social movements
underdeveloped state of knowledge about the and their outcomes is the complex theoreti-
dynamics of collective action past the emer- cal and methodological problems of mapping
gence of a movement" (p. 728). This ten- the causal links between a movement, other
dency to focus on the earliest and most vis- explanatory factors, and outcomes (for a re-
ible phase of a social movement neglects the view of the literature on outcomes, see
ongoing dynamics and long-term conse- Burstein, Einwohner, and Hollander 1995).
quences of social movements. Tarrow (1994: In this paper, I address these problems and
170) refers to the "ambiguity of social move- present an analysis of the long-term impacts
ment outcomes" because the impacts of so- of the civil rights movement on electoral
politics in Mississippi.
POLITICAL OUTCOMES
Movement Section. 1987; Tarrow 1994). This dual focus has of-
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THE IMPACTS OF SOCIAL MOVEMENTS 801
ship skills, organizational form and strength, tal factors (e.g., periods of crisis) and orga-
informal networks of activists, and links nizational factors (e.g., factionalism) predict
among social movement organizations. The the success of protest groups (Frey, Dietz,
political opportunity structure includes the and Kalof 1992). Gamson's study frames the
role of political allies and supporters, "avail- key questions for this study: Do the mobiliz-
ability of meaningful access points in the po- ing structures of social movements account
litical system, the capacity and propensity of for political outcomes? And if they do, how?
the state for repression, [and] elite fragmen- Three points are critical for expanding and
tation and conflict" (Brockett 1991: 254; also refining the analysis of social movements
see McAdam 1996 for a comparison and syn- and outcomes. These are (1) temporality, (2)
thesis of major approaches to the political resistance strategies, and (3) the selection of
of its dual focus on these internal dynamics measuring mobilization and outcomes. Re-
of movements and the broader dynamics of search on the relationship between social
political and economic institutions. Under- movement mobilization and political oppor-
standing of the dynamics of a social move- tunity structures has generated greater atten-
ment requires disentangling these internal tion to the question of timing within "protest
Gamson's The Strategy of Social Protest when studying movement outcomes in which
([1975] 1990), an influential study of the the relations among variables change over
success of U.S. social movements, draws on time. Amenta, Caruthers, and Zylan's (1992)
tween 1800 and 1945. He assessed the abil- finds that, nationally, the impact of the move-
"acceptance" (i.e., to be seen as represent- in the internal strength of the movement over
ing legitimate interests) and to gain "new the 1930s and 1940s. Yet in other cases the
advantages" (i.e., achieving the particular impact of movements may lag behind the
goals sought by the group). Gamson found peaks of mobilization, so that effects are seen
that many of the factors within a only after the movement has declined. Con-
movement's control, such as tactics, the use versely, a movement may initially generate
of violence, and organizational structure gains that subsequently are eroded (Button
In a reanalysis of Gamson's data, Gold- ment must plot the shifting levels of mobili-
stone (1980a, 1980b) argues that historical zation against the varying impacts of the
timing is the key factor predicting success of movement over a broad time span.
Resistance Strategies
ing it somewhat, the debate between Gamson A second issue in assessing movement out-
and Goldstone concerns whether mobiliza- comes is the role of resistance strategies. The
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802 AMERICAN SOCIOLOGICAL REVIEW
or escalation?" In diverse movements schol- mine a movement and its goals. Case studies
ars have found nonlinear relationships be- of the civil rights movement and the labor
tween repression and protest-for example, movement suggest that movement outcomes
the Anti-Apartheid movement in South Af- can be understood only through an analysis
rica (Olivier 1991), protest against the Shah's of the efforts to subvert, undermine, or co-
policies in Iran (Rasler 1996), and anti- opt the movement (Barkan 1984; Fantasia
nuclear power movement in West Germany 1988; Parker 1990). Thus, in addition to ex-
(Opp and Roehl 1990). Notably, all of these amining the mobilization of Blacks, an as-
studies specify contexts in which repression sessment of the transformation of local and
has positive effects. Rasler (1996), analyzing state politics requires a focus on counter-
the Iranian Revolution, demonstrates how re- mobilization by Whites. These resistance
pression both deters and escalates protest. strategies include: (1) nonviolent institu-
She argues that "in the long run repression tional strategies-the mobilization of orga-
that rapidly brought large numbers of people and privileges of members of the polity; (2)
into the streets" (Rasler 1996:143). Within violent strategies-the Puse of violence by
the face-to-face interactions of movement the state or other actors targeting the move-
networks, the legitimacy of the state and its ment and its supporters; and (3) micro-resis-
use of repressive tactics was undermined. tance- the use of intimidation in small-
The short-term effect of repression (lagged scale interactions, which often depends on
one-week) was a reduction of protest, yet the the possession of greater institutional re-
long-term effect of repression (lagged six- sources and/or implicit threats of violence.2
weeks) was an increase in the rate of protest In a study of the Mississippi legislature's
among Latin American peasants, Brockett Parker (1990) describes institutional strate-
finds that whether repression "works" or fails gies in the form of legal tactics that diluted
what he calls "the temporal location in the what he calls the "massive resistance" legis-
protest cycle" (1993:474). The relationship is lation. As Parker argues, "Black people in
curvilinear, with repression being an effec- Mississippi in 1967 were not writing on a
tive deterrent prior to the emergence of a pro- clean slate.... In large part, the white su-
test cycle and toward the end of a protest premacy politics of the white majority have
cycle. When mass protest is increasing, para- shaped post-1965 black politics" (1990:67).
doxically repression can escalate protest. In In the case of school desegregation, White
sum, the key factors in the literature on re- resistance included the unique form of estab-
pression that account for the positive impact lishing private academies as counter-institu-
lization context and the temporal location in Resistance can take public and institutional
What is the impact of repression, direct or and White-flight academies. Other forms of
indirect, on outcomes? Here, the evidence is resistance include repression as the strategic
less developed. Gamson's study (1990) is use of violence by state officials and private
one of the few to take up this question, and groups.3 In Mississippi, repression peaked in
or its goals.
"success" of movements.
sible for the murders of James Chaney, Mickey
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THE IMPACTS OF SOCIAL MOVEMENTS 803
Illustrating micro-resistance, Loewen study and how to measure them. The optimal
(1981) describes the intimidation that can be strategy is to use multiple indicators at dif-
The case Loewen describes above took place movement did not evoke a unilinear process
in 1971, six years after the passage of the of change" (Button 1989:21 1). This insight
Voting Rights Act (VRA). He shows that by that movements are neither monolithic nor
"skimming" a small percentage of the Black uniform in their distribution, strength, or im-
vote in majority-Black voting districts, pact opens up new areas for exploring the
White poll watchers contributed to disap- outcomes that movements generate.4 The
pointing outcomes for Black candidates failure to separate movement goals and out-
statewide (also see U.S. Commission on comes becomes problematic when it does not
Civil Rights 1968, 1975, 1981; Salamon allow for the unintended consequences of so-
1972; Berry 1973). These processes of mi- cial movements (Paul, Mahler, and Schwartz
the impacts of social movements, and al- achieves its explicitly stated goals is impor-
though they are difficult to measure they tant, but to understand the consequences of
should receive theoretical consideration. I movements, the researcher must dig deeper
analyze the changing impact of repression as because social movements often have mul-
well as the broader use of legal and quasi- tiple and changing goals as well as unin-
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804 AMERICAN SOCIOLOGICAL REVIEW
ment of major federal initiatives, such as the sippi in 1961 (Zinn 1965; Moses 1970).
Civil Rights Act of 1964, the Voting Rights SNCC's goals included the development of
Act, and the War on Poverty. Others have at- a grassroots infrastructure that would sus-
tributed changes in attitudes toward race and tain the movement over the long haul. Be-
politics to the efforts of the civil rights move- tween 1961 and 1963, SNCC initiated
ment. Further, the emergence of the student projects in a handful of communities. SNCC
antiwar movement and the women's move- field workers combined the broader goal of
ment have been attributed to the networks developing grassroots leadership with the
and tactical repertoires of the southern civil more immediate goal of voter registration-
rights movement (Evans 1980; McAdam a goal that often led to other goals, like lit-
In this study, I shift the focus from the na- In 1963, the Council of Federated Organiza-
South that experienced unprecedented levels the major civil rights organizations working
(1988) notes, "[T]heories that focus on the mock election to symbolically demonstrate
national state cannot explain the enormous the efforts of Black Mississippians to par-
tion of national policies" (p. 191). I examine 1989). The Mississippi movement dramati-
the impacts of local mobilization on subse- cally escalated the pace of mobilization in
quent political transformations. Each of the 1964 by recruiting college students, prima-
analytic points raised above is embedded in rily White and middle-class, from across the
HISTORICAL BACKGROUND:
1993).
IN MISSISSIPPI
In the early phases of the civil rights move- Democratic Party (MFDP) led an effort to
ment (1954-1960), mobilization was con- unseat the all-White Mississippi delegation
centrated in urban areas and in the states of to the Democratic Party's 1964 National
the upper South. By 1960, one of the major Convention in Atlantic City. The Credentials
effects of the civil rights movement in Mis- Committee failed to support the civil rights
sissippi was the mobilization of White reac- challenge, and the COFO delegation refused
tion. By June of 1956, two years after the to accept the compromise offered by the
Brown decision, the Citizens' Council-an Democratic Party of two at-large seats for
organization founded in Indianola, Missis- Aaron Henry and Ed King. The conflict
sippi and composed of middle-class and elite over whether to accept the compromise
White Southerners-could boast local orga- crystallized a long-standing rift within the
While a small cadre of NAACP workers led MFDP- and SNCC-led wing of the move-
by Medgar Evers had laid groundwork, most ment (see Romaine 1970; McLemore 1971;
zations believed that further progress was The Voting Rights Act, passed in 1965,
needed elsewhere before serious efforts shifted the political context for voter regis-
could be made to mobilize the Black com- tration work in Mississippi. While discrimi-
munity in Mississippi (see Dittmer 1985, natory practices in voter registration have
1994; McMillen 1989; Payne 1995). been documented after 1965, registrars were
Mississippi's peripheral status in the de- severely restrained, as a cursory look at voter
velopment of the civil rights movement registration data show (see Table 1). No-
changed when the Student Nonviolent Coor- where is this situation more apparent than in
dinating Committee (SNCC), led by Bob Mississippi. The major problem that faced
Moses, began developing projects in Missis- the movement in the electoral arena after
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THE IMPACTS OF SOCIAL MOVEMENTS 805
1965 was not registering voters but electing trusted White turned out a 3-to-i margin in
Electing Black candidates in Mississippi these strategies were not enough to diminish
was much more complicated than it appeared Black electoral strength, the time-tested tac-
(Parker 1990). An array of resistance mecha- tics of violence and economic intimidation
nisms implemented after passage of the VRA continued through the 1970s. The present
has impeded officeholding by Blacks to the study assesses the impact of these tactics and
present day. These forms of resistance are examines the consequences of the movement
generally referred to as "vote dilution tac- and of White resistance in post-1965 Missis-
offices (Davidson 1984). Legal resistance For this study, counties in Mississippi are the
was effective in minimizing the gains of the units of analysis (N = 81).6 The data are clus-
Black movement at three levels: (1) by limit- tered in eight groups of variables: (1) the
ing the number of Black elected officials for civil rights movement, (2) the countermove-
the period during which the movement dis- ment, (3) voter registration, (4) federal par-
mantled "vote dilution" mechanisms through ticipation in voter registration, (5) the num-
the courts; (2) by transferring political power ber of Black candidates running for office,
from local elected positions to other arenas (6) Black voter turnout, (7) Black elected of-
such as the state legislature or appointive of- ficials, and (8) demographic and social char-
fices; and 3) through Black outmigration, ex- acteristics of the counties. The data were
proportion of the total while the dismantling and other published documents. Appendix A
of legal resistance took place, leaving the describes the variables and their data
tion in 1980 compared to 1965, even though Mississippi is well suited for a study of the
a higher proportion of Blacks was registered consequences of the civil rights movement in
in 1980. In short, the "massive resistance" the South. It is an important case for under-
legislation effectively limited the political standing the history of race in the United
Blacks in Mississippi faced manipulation and careful generalization to the civil rights
statewide elections, in the majority-Black 6 Hinds County (Jackson) is omitted from the
shifted attention to other areas, especially poverty local infrastructures that cannot in Hinds County
programs and public school desegregation and be easily distinguished from the state-level infra-
funding. structure.
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806 AMERICAN SOCIOLOGICAL REVIEW
movement in other parts of the South. How- aminers) on Black political participation? I
ever, Mississippi's "exceptionalism" should assess the relative importance of federal en-
be noted. The coordination of a statewide forcement and local organizing for explain-
movement in the early 1960s and the wide ing increases in Black political participation.
array of strategies pursued by the movement (4) What were the effects of underlying so-
make the Mississippi case unique. In most cial structural factors on the level of mobili-
other Southern states the movement worked zation and outcomes? For example, both the
on a city-by-city basis rather than coordinat- level of movement organizing and the level
ing and confronting racial inequality state- of electoral participation may be shaped by
available data this is a clear advantage be- I use OLS regression and path analysis to
cause it means that comparable evidence can examine the impacts of independent vari-
be used to examine varying levels of mobili- ables on Black political participation and
zation across the state. Also, the strategies Black officeholding. Throughout the analy-
used to resist the civil rights movement in sis, I present standardized regression coeffi-
Mississippi were more intense and more var- cients to compare the relative sizes of ef-
ied than in other states. fects. First, I use the Freedom Vote of 1964
ANALYSIS
Prior research by historians and political sci- teristics of the counties in which COFO was
entists on the Mississippi civil rights move- most successful in mobilizing the Black
ment and the sociological literature on move- community to participate in electoral pro-
ment outcomes leads me to address several test? I then turn to four other groups of out-
unresolved debates (Salamon and Van Evera comes: (1) voter registration, (2) voter turn-
1973; Colby 1986; Stewart and Sheffield out, and (3) Black candidates running for
after the Voting Rights Act? The goal of the In the early period of mobilization (1961-
early movement was to develop a local 1965), was the movement active in particular
movement infrastructure that could pursue parts of the state, and if so, what were the
the interests of the local Black community. I characteristics of those areas? SNCC's early
assess the extent to which a movement infra- work focused on the larger cities like Jack-
structure was generated and the extent to son and Hattiesburg and on counties in the
which that infrastructure generated later po- "Black Belt"-the region of the South com-
I (2) What were the effects of repression on populations and single-crop agricultural
mobilization and outcomes? I assess the con- bases. The Black Belt counties in Mississippi
ditions under which repression "works" and are in the Delta, the northwestern region of
when it "backfires." I focus on the effects of the state, plus several counties in the south-
cify the impacts of resistance on different Was there systematic variation in the abil-
outcomes and at different points in time. ity of the movement to mobilize the local
(3) What were the effects of federal inter- community (measured by Freedom Votes cast
vention (through the presence of federal ex- in 1964)? The Freedom Vote, a mock elec-
mingham, Selma, and Chicago. SNCC's work 8 The 1964 Freedom Vote was the second
outside of Mississippi also focused on single "mock" election. The 1963 Freedom Vote was for
towns rather than on entire states. the offices of governor and lieutenant governor.
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THE IMPACTS OF SOCIAL MOVEMENTS 807
assaults)
[5.628] (3.710)
[-34.648] (111.140)
civil rights activists, resistance escalated the
R 2 .759
Adjusted R2 .743
p < .05 **p < .01 ***p < .001 (one-tailed tests)
history of Mississippi. Payne's (1995) study The finding here generally supports other
provides insight into how this escalation of analyses of the effects of repression in terms
Black mobilization and White violence inter- of the positive effects of repression on pro-
acted at the local level. test (Opp and Roehl 1990; Brockett 1993;
dom Democratic Party's (MFDP) challenge to the tion in the fall. However, over a longer time-
"regular" election.
tive effects were unchanged. bated, and the role of federal examiners,
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808 AMERICAN SOCIOLOGICAL REVIEW
Table 3. Coefficients from OLS Regression of Three Measures of Black Electoral Mobilization on
Constant
a Although the index covers the period 1960-1969, only 2 incidents out of 657 occurred after 1966.
Jones (1976) emphasizes the limited enforce- increases in the registration of Black voters.
notes that Mississippi was the only state to bership in the NAACP, measures the
receive "significant federal examining activ- strength of the local movement after the
iners between 1965 and 1967, only two ex- measured as the total number of Blacks reg-
aminers were sent to Mississippi between istered to vote in 1967. The size of the
on the short-term and long-term significance The Voter Education Project research in the
Federal examiners usually were sent to lowed by civil rights movement organizations
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THE IMPACTS OF SOCIAL MOVEMENTS 809
than for examiners.11 Most significantly, I Extensive research has documented the per-
find that the number of Freedom Summer or- sistence of "racial bloc voting" or "racially
ganizers and NAACP membership are better polarized voting" throughout the South and
predictors of Black voter registration (using in major cities (Loewen 1990).14 Here, I as-
the standardized coefficient as the criterion) sume that only Blacks voted for Whitley and
than is the presence of federal registrars- Evers. Undoubtedly, some Blacks voted for
Freedom Summer volunteers is by far the White candidates. For example, some White
more powerful predictor. These findings sug- poll watchers or employers manipulated
gest that the resources (Freedom Summer Blacks to vote for White candidates, but sys-
staff and volunteers) and results (NAACP tematic data on such manipulation of the
membership) of the early period of organiz- Black vote is not available by county
ing were primary factors in shaping higher (Salamon 1972; Berry 1973; Loewen 1981).
levels of voter mobilization after the VRA. Moreover, the number of votes cast for Black
In the next three sections I examine other candidates is a useful indicator of Black elec-
forms of Black political participation that toral strength because it suggests the degree
have received less attention. Voter registra- to which the votes of Black citizens can be
the Black community-it only indicates the Like voter registration, voter turnout for
activation of that community toward achiev- these statewide elections is examined in terms
Electoral Mobilization:
As indicators of electoral mobilization, I use The civil rights movement (number of Free-
votes cast for two Black candidates in their dom Summer volunteers and NAACP mem-
campaigns for statewide office-Clifton bership) and federal examiners have signifi-
Whitley in 1966 and Charles Evers in 1971.13 cant positive effects on the number of votes
of examiners.
registrars or self-reported in Census data. Even linear path through the late 1960s and
on a regular basis for deaths, migration, and an average of the two as an indicator of Black
13 Clifton Whitley ran for the Senate against for Whites to vote for White candidates and for
James Eastland in the Democratic primary in Au- Blacks to vote for Black candidates. In legal cases
gust 1966, and in the general election as an inde- concerning discriminatory redistricting, research
pendent candidate. Voter turnout in these two on racial bloc voting has established the discrimi-
elections is highly correlated (r = .80), so I use natory effect of at-large election systems.
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810 AMERICAN SOCIOLOGICAL REVIEW
Table 4. Coefficients from OLS Regression of the Number of Black Candidates Running for Office
1967 1971
Constant
R 2 .596 .606
Mobilization Infrastructure
had 889.
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THE IMPACTS OF SOCIAL MOVEMENTS 811
Black voter turnout for Whitley in 1966 is nificant gains were made in electing Black
tion in electoral politics immediately after uses the number of county-level Black
The presence of federal examiners has no dependent variables. Statewide, in 1974 there
significant impact on the number of Blacks were 49 county-level Black elected officials
running for office. However, both the number statewide; the figures are 99 and 132 for
of Freedom Summer volunteers and the num- 1979 and 1984, respectively. ' 7
ber of NAACP members have significant Studies of Black politics in the South have
positive effects, and violent resistance has a found a consistent relationship between the
significant negative effect. The statistical percentage of the population that is Black
nonsignificance of federal examiners is sur- and the number of Black elected officials. In
prising from a political process perspective electing Black candidates to office, the racial
because the presence of examiners should in- distribution of the population plays an over-
dicate a greater "openness" of the polity. whelming role. Parker (1990) suggests a "65-
However, another dimension of the political percent rule": A population at least 65 per-
opportunity structure is the use of repression cent Black is required to elect Black candi-
by elites and other actors. Here the use of vio- dates consistently. "[AIII of the black county
lence by local Whites decreases the number supervisors who have won office have been
of Black candidates for office. In short, re- elected from majority-black districts, most of
pression hampers the development of the in- them 65 percent black or more" (p. 159). A
frastructure used to launch local campaigns. number of counties with strong organiza-
The positive effects of Freedom Summer tional bases have faced structural blocks pro-
volunteers and the NAACP membership hibiting them from translating those organi-
clearly indicate the transformation of a social zational bases into electoral representation,
movement infrastructure into an electoral leaving blacks "in districts with a black
mobilization infrastructure at the local level. population of less than 65 percent . . . dra-
The last set of regression models examines separate regression equations predicting the
the election of Black candidates to office. number of county-level Black elected offi-
Voter registration drives and voter turnout in cials. Among the independent variables, I
statewide elections were mobilization tactics now include a measure of electoral mobiliza-
directed toward electing candidates who tion in the late 1960s-the number of Black
would better represent the interests of Black candidates running for office in 1967.18
Mississippians. The best indicator of success NAACP membership has a statistically sig-
in this arena is the election of Black candi- nificant and positive effect on the number of
dates to office. These regression equations county-level Black elected officials in 1979
by Justice Department intervention (Parker 1984, and they are excluded from this analysis.
16 These two variables cannot be entered in the models, I use the 1970 measures for percent ur-
same equation without generating multi- ban and percentage of Blacks in the voting-age
collinearity. In Tables 2 and 3, the dependent population in all of the remaining models, includ-
variables require a control for the absolute size of ing the path analysis. Using 1980 measures of
the Black electorate. In Tables 4 and 5, the de- these variables produces nearly identical effects.
pendent variables (Black candidates and Black For example, the correlation between the 1970
officials) require a control for the relative size of and 1980 Black voting-age population is greater
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812 AMERICAN SOCIOLOGICAL REVIEW
Table 5. Coefficients from OLS Regression of the Number of County-Level Black Elected Officials in
tion, 1970
Constant
and 1984, while percent voting for Whitley in mer projects. A reanalysis of the three equa-
1966 has a positive effect in 1974 and 1979. tions excluding Jefferson and Claiborne
The relative size of the Black voting-age Counties provided similar results: The num-
population has a significant positive effect on ber of Freedom Summer volunteers has a
the number of Black elected officials in all positive, but still nonsignificant coeffiecient.
three models. The index of White violent re- These counties are retained in all models be-
sistance has a significant and negative impact cause empirical analyses omitting these
on the number of county-level Black elected counties generate the same substantive con-
officials for all three years. Percent urban and clusions. However, the discussion here con-
the presence of federal examiners have no firms that there was no single linear path
significant impacts on the number of Black leading to the election of Black candidates.
elected officials for any of these years. The analyses presented in Tables 5 suggest
The negative though nonsignificant coeffi- that violent resistance by Whites discouraged
cient for Freedom Summer results from the the election of Blacks to office. This relation-
disproportionate impact of the southwest ship contrasts with the positive impact of
"Evers" counties (especially Jefferson and violent resistance on the number of Freedom
Claiborne Counties). These counties can be Votes cast in 1964. Over a long time-frame,
treated as outliers because of the large re- violent resistance diminishes the acquisition
siduals for each county. These are the only of political power by Blacks. Here, the im-
two counties in which the majority of portance of including a time dimension and
county-level offices are held by Blacks in the use of multiple outcome measures is con-
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THE IMPACTS OF SOCIAL MOVEMENTS 813
Refining the Links between Movements effects through NAACP membership are
This final segment of the analysis builds on tance is impacted positively by Freedom
the prior linear regression equations to Summer volunteers and percent urban.20 Fi-
present a path analysis of the final dependent nally, the number of Freedom Summer vol-
variable-the number of Black elected offi- unteers is positively effected by both exog-
cials in 1984. Previous models referred only enous variables (percent urban and the per-
to direct effects; path analysis allows for a centage of Blacks in the voting-age popula-
thus providing a better model of the underly- The path analysis demonstrates that the
ing causal processes. In addition, the path number of Black candidates in 1967 is a key
diagram summarizes key points that emerged intervening variable transmitting the effects
in the earlier models such as the transforma- of the movement base created in the pre- and
1967 elections, and the role played by repres- 1966) to later Black electoral success. The
sion in diminishing the acquisition of politi- model specifies the transformation of the
Figure 1 presents the results of the path frastructure prepared to take advantage of
analysis. 19 The path model includes the num- new opportunities that emerge in the 1970s
ber of Black candidates for office in 1967 as and 1980s. The effect of the number of Free-
after passage of the VRA. Numbers on paths NAACP membership and the number of
are standardized coefficients. The strongest Black candidates, while NAACP member-
direct effect on the number of Black elected ship has a direct and an indirect effect
officials is the relative size of the Black vot- through the number of Black candidates.
ing-age population, followed closely by the This suggests that one of the ways that so-
number of Black candidates for office in cial movements generate social change is by
1967. NAACP membership has a direct posi- producing local organizations and networks.
tive effect, while the violent resistance index I call this cluster of organizations and net-
has a direct negative effect on the number of works the electoral mobilization infrastruc-
county-level Black elected officials. Indirect ture.21 In Mississippi, the civil rights move-
effects mediated by the number of Black can- ment generated an independent structure by
didates in 1967 (in order of strength deter- the late 1960s that was positioned to take ad-
mined by the path coefficients) are the per- vantage of opportunities opening up in the
centage of Blacks in the voting-age popula- 1970s and 1980s. In addition, repression has
tion, Freedom Summer volunteers, NAACP negative direct and indirect effects on the
membership, and violent resistance. Indirect number of Black elected officials. Once
phasize this early point in the development of the 20 The percentage of Blacks in the voting-age
electoral infrastructure. I treat the number of population does not have a direct effect on the
even though some of the violence occurred be- 21 The electoral mobilization infrastructure re-
fore Freedom Summer. This decision is based on sembles the idea of "abeyance structures" ad-
the observation that violence often occurred in vanced by Taylor (1989) to refer to the organiza-
response to movement activity. Colby (1987) tions that link two periods of mass mobilization
makes a similar decision, treating an index of (1989). However, electoral infrastructures link
civil rights activity as an independent variable widespread mobilization to later success in elec-
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814 AMERICAN SOCIOLOGICAL REVIEW
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THE IMPACTS OF SOCIAL MOVEMENTS 815
repression "works" is by reducing the num- violent protesters in Selma being brutalized
ber of Black candidates for office. by state troopers on horseback at the Pettus
DISCUSSION
should be placed within the context of Mis- Can we draw the conclusion from these
sissippi politics. Mississippi has experienced cases, or from the present analysis of the
dramatic increases in Black officeholding. 1964 Freedom Vote, that repression does not
Yet, in Mississippi, where Blacks constituted work? It appears that when a movement is at
approximately 32 percent of the voting-age its strongest (and media attention is highest),
population in 1980, Blacks held roughly 10 violent resistance can be used by a move-
percent of all elected offices as late as 1984. ment to broaden mobilization. Over a longer
In addition to this rough measure of the mal- time-frame, however, violent resistance se-
have noted that Black officeholding was con- power by Blacks-at least it did in Missis-
centrated in lower-level positions and in sippi, where resistance reduced the number
small towns and rural counties with limited of Black candidates running for and being
clusions drawn from this research should be The findings concerning violent resistance
Two related questions this research raises should not overlook the impact of the civil
but cannot directly address are: (1) Is politi- rights movement itself on electoral out-
cal access in the form of elected officials fol- comes. Civil rights mobilization shaped elec-
lowed by demobilization, and (2) what ef- toral outcomes 10 to 20 years after the peak
fects do Black elected officials have on the of the movement. This is a theoretically and
distribution of public goods? Both of these historically important result. While move-
questions cry out for careful research. ments rarely achieve all of their goals, they
The analysis presented here confirms many can generate enduring consequences. As
sion, violence often has a large negative im- and disillusionment passes. Especially when
20 years; it also prevented the election of This claim is often asserted as a matter of
candidates to many lower-level offices. Like fact, but the relationship is rarely docu-
legal resistance, violent resistance has lim- mented or clarified through actual analysis.
ited Black officeholding at the local level, The results reported here demonstrate that an
"normal" politics and violence. These effects ity to shape electoral outcomes is its success
How can we account for the different ef- SNCC in its early development, distin-
fects that violent resistance has had on social guished between mobilizing and organizing.
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816 AMERICAN SOCIOLOGICAL REVIEW
(Payne 1989:897)
This organizing approach characterized the the civil rights movement and in the sociol-
Number of Freedom Number of Freedom Summer volunteers SNCC papers, Schomburg Center for the
Summer volunteers and staff working in county, summer Study of Black Culture, New York, NY,
Freedom votes, 1964 Number of freedom votes cast Freedom Information Services Archives,
members, 1966 (log) members in the in NAACP in 1966. Washington, DC, "Mississippi State
Resistance to Freedom Number of incidents of physical attack McAdam (1988:257-82); Holt (1965:
1964.
Federal examiners Presence of federal examiners in U.S. Commission on Civil Rights (1968,
Number of Blacks Number of Black registered voters U.S. Commission on Civil Rights (1961:
Number of Blacks Number of Black registered voters U.S. Commission on Civil Rights (1968,
Number of Black Number of Blacks running for office in Mississippi Freedom Democratic Party
candidates, 1967 1967 in county and state elections. micro-film collection, Mississippi De-
Baer (1970).
Number of Black Number of Blacks running for office Rims Barber Papers, Tougaloo College,
candidates, 1971 in 1971 in county and state elections. Tougaloo, MS, Box 1, File 7.
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THE IMPACTS OF SOCIAL MOVEMENTS 817
Percentage of votes Average percentage of votes cast for State of Mississippi (n.d.a:439, 442).
Evers vote, 1971 Number of votes cast for Charles State of Mississippi (n.d.b:455).
governor, 1971.
Number of county- Total number of county-level Black Joint Center for Political Studies (1974:
officials, 1974
Number of county- Total number of county-level Black Joint Center for Political Studies (1979:
officials, 1979
Number of county- Total number of county-level Black Joint Center for Political Studies (1984:
officials, 1984
Percent urban, 1960 Percent of population residing in U.S. Bureau of the Census (1967:182, 192).
Percent urban, 1970 Percent of population residing in U.S. Bureau of the Census (1977:258, 270).
Black voting-age Number of Black persons of voting U.S. Commission on Civil Rights (1968,
Black voting-age Number of Black persons of voting U.S. Bureau of the Census (1970, table 35).
Black voting-age Number of Black persons of voting Mississippi Research and Development
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