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Keywords: The world today revolves around energy, especially in the forms of electricity and heat. Distributed microgrids
Hybrid energy system that incorporate renewable energy sources with conventional fossil fuels have especially gained strong mo
Multi-criteria decision making mentum for providing power to rural areas. The present paper discusses the optimization of a hybrid system
Sensitivity analysis
composed of CHP-based diesel generators (DG), a natural gas boiler, photovoltaics (PV), wind turbines (WT), and
Sustainable development goals
Combined heat and power
a battery bank (BAT) under tropical weather conditions. The HOMER optimization algorithm and sensitivity
analysis tool are used to analyze the effect of project variables such as component prices, renewable resources
potential, power grid breakeven distance, and power consumption profile on performance. The optimum sce
nario using only economic factors and assuming cycle charging is a PV/WT/DG/BAT/Boiler system with 6 kW of
WT, 7.55 kW of PV, 10 kW of DG, and 21 kWh of battery that can achieve a 0.143 $/kWh cost of energy with a
renewable fraction of 37.1%. Implementation of TOPSIS method considering sustainable development goals for
criteria weighting eliminates the DG, and leads to a 100% renewable configuration of PV/WT/BAT/Boiler with
18 kW of WT, 33.2 kW of PV, 119 kWh of battery, and 0.301 $/kWh cost of energy. The main contribution of this
study can be seen in providing a new approach for weighting the TOPSIS multi-criteria decision-making process
based on UN sustainable development goals. Furthermore, comparing the economic optimization results with
multi-criteria optimization results for a stand-alone CHP unit provides a critical point of view on studies with a
single-objective decision making process.
* Corresponding author.
E-mail address: Hosseinyousefi@ut.ac.ir (H. Yousefi).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2022.104170
Received 22 June 2022; Received in revised form 9 September 2022; Accepted 9 September 2022
Available online 21 September 2022
2210-6707/© 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
A. Toopshekan et al. Sustainable Cities and Society 87 (2022) 104170
Bagherian et al. reviewed optimization techniques for hybrid renewable recovery system (Waqar et al., 2017). Effatnejad et al. analyzed a hybrid
energy systems utilizing CHP and CCHP, showing that the most popular system with PV, WT, and CHP with two different storage systems,
types of optimization were Economic and techno-economic. They concluding that because of lower cost and better compatibility with the
concluded that evolutionary algorithms like GA and PSO could help to grid, using batteries instead of an electrolyzer-hydrogen tank as a stor
optimize the performance of such systems (Bagherian, Mehranzamir, age system is recommended (Effatnejad, Rezapour & Vazinram, 2018).
Pour & Rezania, 2021). Maleki et al. optimized a grid-connected CHP Local economic elements are always an impactful factor when
system consisting of a wind turbine and hydrogen fuel cell by using a analyzing a system’s cost efficiency, which is why case studies are
MOPSO algorithm. Their results showed that hybridization with CHP is considered valuable. The internal rate of return for CHP systems is
an economical and reliable method for supplying energy demands, even significantly influenced by the energy pricing policies of each country.
though thermal energy storage equipment for a residential building is In Iran, compared to European countries, there is less willingness to use
still expensive (Maleki & Rosen, 2017). Sagani et al. prepared a viability combined heat and power systems because of lower energy prices. Other
assessment of a CHP system including wind turbine (WT), diesel energy sources do not have the opportunity to compete with the usual
generator (DG), photovoltaics (PV), and battery storage for off-grid way of purchasing power from the grid because of enormous energy
residential usage. The initial investment in the CHP systems was subsidies. Khoshbazan et al. designed a Micro-CHP system with a pow
deemed too expensive to be developed without financial support and ered photovoltaic Stirling engine to supply the energy requirements of a
incentives for home users, but the biggest advantage was the reduction house in three different climates of Iran. Their results showed that this
of carbon dioxide emissions by 13.5 tons per year (Sagani, Vrettakos & system has the largest reduction in carbon dioxide production, and
Dedoussis, 2017). Castellanos et al. showed that a biogas CHP with solar despite good energy savings, the return of investment period is almost
panels could provide peak load and about 60% of the off-grid energy long (Khoshbazan, Ahmadi, Ming, Arjmand & Rahimzadeh, 2018).
demand for a rural area in India. They also stated that the use of hybrid When optimizing a hybrid system, the final objective function is
renewable systems for remote areas in developing countries would usually determined based on economic indicators, leading to selections
improve the quality of life and create local business and research op with higher surplus electricity (technical weakness) and pollution
portunities (Castellanos, Walker, Poggio, Pourkashanian & Nimmo, (environmental challenge) plus low diversity of energy sources (low
2015). Shah et al. stated that coupling of CHP with PV-Battery systems energy security) as the optimal scenario. Many researchers have used
for an off-grid residential house would overcome the problem of the multi-objective optimization algorithms directly, or multi-criteria deci
periodicity of photovoltaic energy production, reduce emissions and sion-making after economic optimization, to solve this problem. Table 1
bring about economic benefits for the consumer (Shah, Mundada & represents the indicators and weighting methods used in some recent
Pearce, 2015). Batas-Bjelic et al. by simulated a smart urban energy grid studies in the field of multi-criteria decision-making on optimum hybrid
with PVs, WTs, and a CHP system. They showed that due to the flexi energy systems. As seen from the table, the most important criteria for
bility of these networks in classifying energy prices plus the use of the selection of an optimum hybrid energy system are economic, envi
additional electricity through heat storage energy costs could be ronmental, technical, social, and energy security parameters. However,
reduced even lower than market prices (Batas-Bjelic, Rajakovic & Duic, choosing equal weights for these parameters is one of the challenges that
2017). Isa et al. hybridized solar panels, fuel cells, and batteries with a can reduce the accuracy of the final decision (Salameh, Sayed, Abdel
CHP system for a grid-connected hospital in Malaysia and again showed kareem, Olabi & Rezk, 2021). Many researchers have adopted MCDM
that though installing CHP is too expensive, it can reduce the energy using different methods; but the Entropy (Shannon), the analytic hier
generation costs by 30% (Isa, Das, Tan, Yatim & Lau, 2016). Kim et al. archy process (AHP), and the analytic network process (ANP) are the
conducted a case study in a residential and commercial building in most common methods used in the calculation of criteria weights.
Atlanta to investigate the effect of the hybridization of solar panels and Furthermore, the stepwise weight assessment ratio analysis (SWARA)
microturbines with absorption chillers. They concluded that using waste method is a policy-based method that does not work on a
heat would improve the thermal, and electrical efficiency of the system pairwise-comparison basis unlike the other common methods (Behzad,
and also, reduces energy costs, energy consumption, and emissions Hashemkhani Zolfani, Pamucar & Behzad, 2020). Therefore, choosing
(Kim, James & Crittenden, 2017). Waqar et al. analyzed a appropriate weights encompassing all aspects of sustainable develop
grid-connected CHP plant including PV, DG and battery in Pakistan, ment becomes a challenge if there is no proper vision of existing criteria
showing significant economic benefits resulting from a waste heat policies, or no willingness to directly involve experts’ opinions in
2
A. Toopshekan et al. Sustainable Cities and Society 87 (2022) 104170
Table 1
Recent studies on the multi-criteria decision-making process in the optimization of small-scale rural HRES.
Study Country, year Application System Demand algorithm Decision-making Weighting
targets (number of method
indicators)
(Fioriti, Poli, Uganda, Rural village PV/DG/Bat 86 kW peak MDO-PSO Economic (2) Non
Duenas-Martinez & 2022 Technical (3)
Micangeli, 2022)
(Musbah, Ali, Aly & Little, _, 2022 Remote village WT/DG/ 89.1 kW peak Machine learning- Economic (1) AHP & FAHP
2022) Internal based algorithms Technical (2)
combustion Environmental (1)
generator Social (1)
(Hassan, Das & Hasan, Bangladesh, Remote community PV/WT/BG/HT/ 216.6 kW peak NSGA-II Economic (1) Non
2022) 2022 Bat Social (2)
(Hosseini Dehshiri, 2022) Iran, 2022 Rural household PV/WT/DG/FC/ 2.4 kW peak HOMER Economical (3) SWARA, EDAS
Bat Environmental (3) & VIKOR
(Ke, Liu, Meng, Fang & China, 2022 Urban energy Grid/PV/WT/ _ 4-dimension plan Economic (2) BWM-CRITIC-
Zhuang, 2022) demand NG/Bat selection Technical (3) VIKOR
Environmental (2)
Social (2)
(Juanpera, Ferrer-Martí & Nigeria, 2022 Remote community PV/WT/DG/Bat 248 MWh/year MILP Economic (2) Non
Pastor, 2022) Technical (4)
Environmental (3)
Social (3)
(Khan, Pal & Saeed, 2021) India, 2022 Rural consumer PV/WT/DG/Bat 11 kW peak HOMER Economic (4) Non
Technical (4)
Environmental (4)
Social (3)
(Elavarasan, Leoponraj, India, 2021 College building Grid/DG/PV/ 84 kW peak HOMER Economic (3) Fuzzy-AHP
Vishnupriyan, Dheeraj & FC/Bat Technical (2) (FAHP)
Gangaram Sundar, 2021) Environmental (1)
(Ullah, Elkadeem, Kotb, Pakistan, Rural village Grid/PV/WT/ 2764.7 kW HOMER Economic (1) FAHP &
Taha & Wang, 2021) 2021 BG/HT/Bat peak Technical (1) MOORA
Environmental (1)
Social (2)
(Elkadeem et al., 2021) Egypt, 2021 Urban city PV/WT/NG/Bat 68.2 kW peak HOMER Economic (4) AHP
Technical (3)
Environmental (3)
Social (2)
(Salameh et al., 2021) Saudi Arabia, City demand PV/WT/FC/DG/ 210.1 kW peak HOMER Economic (5) WASPA,
2021 Bat Technical (5) MOORA, &
Environmental (4) EDAS
Energy security (2)
(He et al., 2021) China, 2020 Rural demand Geo/Bio/Solar/ Equal to 400 multi-objective based Economic (4) Multimoora &
Wind households method Technical (3) TOSIS
demand Environmental (2)
Social (4)
(Mazzeo, Baglivo, Matera, Italy, 2020 Grid connected PV/WT/Bat 18 kW peak TRNSYS 17 Economic (3) Non
Congedo & Oliveti, apartments Technical (3)
2020) Environmental (2)
(Andervazh, Javadi & Tehran, 2020 119 buses, 118 WT/Bat 22.7 MW peak multi-objective Economic (-) fuzzy
Aliabadi, 2020) branches and 15 stochastic Technical (-) approach
sectionalizing optimization and
switches and 6000 probabilistic analysis
PHEV
(Diemuodeke, Addo, Oko, Nigeria, 2019 Rural household PV/WT/DG/Bat 1.2 kW peak HOMER Economic (5) Expert opinion
Mulugetta & Ojapah, Technical (2)
2019) Environmental (4)
Social (2)
Energy security (2)
determining weights. A consistent global benchmark that includes all focus on the use of renewable energy sources can provide benefits from
aspects of sustainable development can help to find the optimal social, environmental, and economic points of view in energy systems
weighting of indicators based on the specific conditions of each region. development policy (Bertheau, 2020). In addition, the relations of en
The Sustainable Development Goals developed by the United Nations ergy criteria with each sustainable development goal have been speci
are one of the most comprehensive guidelines for the development of fied in this benchmark based on the priority of the goals announced by
remote and rural communities. This benchmark consists of 17 main the United Nations (United National Development Programme (UNDP),
goals with more than 169 targets (Lamichhane, Eğilmez, Gedik, Bhutta 2017). Therefore, in this study, it was decided to use these criteria for
& Erenay, 2021). Many sustainable development goals (SDG) are closely the first time in determining the priority and weight of indicators
linked to the quality of available energy in each community, and SDG-17 affecting the selection of the optimal stand-alone energy system for rural
standards have a flexible design to prioritize important issues for each energy supply.
region (Mondejar et al., 2021). This feature can be a great advantage for Based on the aforementioned literature, it can be concluded that
weighting the criteria for optimizing the energy system. In fact, the use three kinds of sensitivity analysis including component price changes,
of a global standard adopted by most governments and having a special type of power consumption profile, and grid breakeven distance are
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A. Toopshekan et al. Sustainable Cities and Society 87 (2022) 104170
neglected in the prepared CHP results. Also, most studies have focused • Proposing a new idea to improve the results of HOMER software by
on optimization based on economic goals. In this study, all of these are entering the optimal scenarios in an MCDM method.
taken into account for a stand-alone CHP-based DG/Boiler/WT/PV/ • Comparing the economic optimization results with multi-criteria
Battery system along with technical, economic, and environmental optimization results and clarifying the fact that considering eco
analysis. Furthermore, an SDG-based multi-objective decision-making nomic goals independently cannot represent the optimal system.
process is provided in MATLAB environment to compare the results • providing a novel approach for weighting TOPSIS MCDM process
with conventional optimization of the HOMER algorithm. Due to the based on UN sustainable development goals unlike other studies that
flexibility of the indicator prioritization method in this study, the results use pre-prepared weighting methods.
can be used by researchers in other parts of the world to perform the • Providing a hybrid renewable solution for deprived areas with the
multi-criteria decision-making process based on local conditions. outstanding climate of West Asia as a less noticed kind of energy
This study is significant because it analyzes the potential of system in these areas.
weighting the decision-making criteria based on UN SDG-17 goals for a
hybrid energy system that can be applied in any part of the world. In the following sections, input data, methodology, result and
Accordingly, due to the clarity of the UN goals and the level of sus conclusion are analyzed respectively. The input data section includes the
tainable development of any region, human intervention in the direct analysis of environmental data, the electricity and heat consumption,
determination of weights is minimized. The novelty and contribution of and the fuel and component prices subsections. The methodology sec
the proposed study can be summarized in the following bullet points: tion is consistent of schematic of the hybrid system, TOPSIS method,
SDG weights for TOPSIS, power producer equations, economic param
eters, and objective function definition. Finally, the results section
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A. Toopshekan et al. Sustainable Cities and Society 87 (2022) 104170
Due to the high volume and diversity of the input data, this section is
dedicated to detailing the data used in this simulation. In this section,
environmental parameters of the selected area, electricity and heat
consumption, fuel prices, and component costs are investigated in
separate subsections.
2.1. Schematic of the hybrid system Fig. 2. Monthly average solar radiation for Naein, Iran (NASA, 2020).
5
A. Toopshekan et al. Sustainable Cities and Society 87 (2022) 104170
always a challenge. Despite the low energy consumption, these areas can
Table 2
use electricity and heat as domestic, industrial, or commercial loads. It
Characteristics of considered power transmission lines (Rad et al., 2020;
should be noted that the residential section experiences the main energy
Jahangir et al., 2020).
challenge due to its lower priority in power supply.
Parameter Data Unit
2.4. Fuel and component prices Type of power plant Conventional-natural gas _
Carbon dioxide emission 661 g/kWh
Sulfur dioxide emission 1.7 g/kWh
Although the purpose of this study is to supply energy in a stand- Nitrogen oxides emission 2.4 g/kWh
alone way, due to the need to compare the pollution level of the pro Off-peak power price 0.042 $/kWh
posed hybrid system with the power grid and also optimize the grid Shoulder period power price 0.052 $/kWh
breakeven distance, the national grid characteristics are presented in Peak period power price 0.072 $/kWh
Average grid extension cost 15,000 $/km
this section. Iranian power plants use natural gas as the main fuel for
Maximum annual power outages 50 hours
producing electrical power. The operation lifetime of the power plants’
equipment, system efficiency, and quality of the fuel are the most
important factors affecting the increase of power plants’ emissions. The
Table 3
amount of pollution created by the power plants, according to the En
The main features of the fuel used in the project (Abdul-Wahab, Charabi,
ergy Balance Sheet of Iran, is given in Table 2. In addition, the estimated
Al-Mahruqi & Osman, 2020).
cost of developing power lines is estimated at between 8000 $/km and
22,000 $/km, based on the difficulty of the terrain which affects Fuel Price Density (kg/ LHV (MJ/ Carbon Content
m3) kg) (%)
installation costs (Jahangir, Fakouriyan, Amin & Rad, 2020).
In this simulation, in addition to the grid, the diesel fuel used in the Diesel 0.20 $/L 820 43.2 88
Natural 0.05 0.79 45 67
DG and the natural gas required for the boiler are considered pollutants.
gas $/m3
The general specifications of the used fuels are shown in Table 3 and the
equipment prices are given in Table 4. The converter’s inverter (DC to
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A. Toopshekan et al. Sustainable Cities and Society 87 (2022) 104170
Table 4
Equipment and operation costs.
Item PV Panel Battery Bank Wind turbine Diesel Inverter
generator
AC) and rectifier (AC to DC) efficiency are both 95%. Also, the batteries’ Step 7. Obtain the normalized form of the decision matrix:
roundtrip efficiency are 90%.
xij
R = ( ∑m )0.5 (7)
3. Methodology
2
i=1 xij
In the presented study, the proposed system consists of both con Step 8. Calculate the weighted normalized matrix:
ventional and renewable resources, a combination that increases reli V =R×W (8)
ability, reduces total costs, and leads to a more credible optimization.
Step 9. Determine the positive and negative ideal solutions:
3.1. TOPSIS method ( )
A+ = v + +
1 , …, vm = {(max V| positive criteria), (min V| negative criteria)}
can be positive or negative; furthermore, for each of the optimized Step 11. Calculate the closeness coefficient:
scenarios, an alternative is introduced.
S−
Cj = ; 0 ≤ Cj ≤ 1, for j = 1, 2, …, n (13)
Step 2. The related criteria and alternatives evaluation for the decision S − + S+
matrix (X) and the weight matrix (W) must be defined as follows:
{ }
X = xij and W = [wi ] (2)
3.2. SDG weights for TOPSIS
For creating the weight matrix, the following steps are needed based
on the entropy method. The SDGs are the blueprint to access a better and sustainable future
for people. They clarify the important challenges like poverty, climate
Step 3. Define the normalized matrix: change, environmental degradation, inequality, peace, and justice.
xij Fig. 7 indicates the 17 SDGs stated by the United Nations in order of
Nij = ∑m (3)
i=1 xij
importance. Nine of these 17 goals are related to the energy optimiza
tion problem. Also, there are 4 general categories of objectives including
Step 4. Estimate the k value based on the number of criteria (m): Economic, Social-Environmental, Technical, and Energy Security Ob
jectives. Table 5 indicates which goal is related to HOMER parameters
1
k= (4) and categories.
lnm
To match the SDGs to the decision-making objectives, the 169 targets
Step 5. Determine the entropy for each alternative: of the 17 main goals must be considered. Each of these targets, which
can be accessed from (https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/), de
∑
m
Ej = − k Nij . lnNij (5) scribes the context covered by each of the main goals. If even one target
i=1 mentions a relationship with one of the decision-making objectives
(criteria), the goal (SDG) related to that target enters the weighting
Step 6. Survey the weight matrix: process. The relationships identified with the decision criteria for
(
1 − ej
) remote areas of Iran are summarized in Table 5. Here, two views will
wj = ∑n ( ) (6) arise: first, weighting based on the number of SDGs identified for each
j=1 1 − ej
category, and second, weighting considering the importance of SDGs
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A. Toopshekan et al. Sustainable Cities and Society 87 (2022) 104170
Table 5
Classification and weighting of parameters (United Nations, 2022).
Category Parameters Main Related SDGs to the Category Equal SDG equal SDG priority
Weights Weights weights
with the lower assigned number. Both of which are considered in this
case study.
It should be noted that in the equal weighting, all 14 parameters have
the same weight. In the SDG equal weighting, each parameter weights as
the number of goals covered regardless of the priority of goals. In the
end, the SDG priority weights column indicates the weight of parameters
due to the priority of goals. The simple method used for scoring the
parameters is as Eq. 14.
∑
n
Parameter′ s score = (18 − SDG number) (14)
i=1
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A. Toopshekan et al. Sustainable Cities and Society 87 (2022) 104170
economic data. The second step is inserting data into HOMER software Integration of a fuel generator with renewable resources makes the
and achieving the results of different scenarios. The third step is deter hybrid system more flexible in the power supply process which leads to a
mining the weights of TOPSIS decision making and the last step is more affordable stand-alone hybrid system. The selected generic diesel
putting up the considered weights into the TOPSIS model in MATLAB. generator in this study has a 25% heat recovery ratio that can be used as
a CHP unit. The hourly diesel fuel consumption of this generator is
3.3. Power producer equations calculated based on the following equation:
FD (t) = A.PR + B.P(t) (20)
In the following equations, the mathematical modeling of each
component of the system is described. where P(t) refers to the generator output power in each time step, FD (t)
denotes the fuel consumption, and PR is the rated power of the gener
• PV power equation ator. A and B are the constant values equal to 0.08 L/kW and 0.24 L/kW,
respectively (Sawle, Gupta, & Bohre, 2018).
Flat PV panels generate power from solar radiation and their output
depends on the characteristics of PV and the cell temperature. The PV
power equation is shown below (Jahangir et al., 2020):
3.4. Economic parameters and objective function definition
G
PPV = PPV × fdPV × × [1 + α( Tcell − 25)] (15)
rated
1000 The total NPC is the result of a compilation of capital, replacement,
operation, and maintenance costs, and also resource-related costs. Its
where G is solar radiation (w/m2 ), PPV rated is the PV rated power, fdPV is value can be calculated from Eq. 21 (Rad et al., 2022).
the panel derating factor (3% per year), α is the temperature coefficient
of power 0.49 (%/ ◦ C), and Tcell is the cell temperature. Also the overall CNPC =
CA
(21)
efficiency of module is considered to be 15.3%. CRF(i, LT)
• WT power equation In this equation, CA is the annualized total cost ($/year), and CRF(i, LT) is
the capital recovery factor, which is obtained by Eq. 22 (Razmjoo et al.,
The hourly power output of a WT, at a particular location, depends 2021).
on the air density, windmill area, power coefficient of the wind turbine, i(1 + i)LT
and the hourly wind velocity V (m/s). Eq. 2 shows how the output power CRF(i.LT) = (22)
(1 + i)LT − 1
of the turbine differs based on the power curve.
⎧
⎪ 0 V ≤ Vcutin LT is the project lifetime (year), and i is the annual real interest rate,
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪ which is obtained by Eq. 23 (Razmjoo et al., 2021).
⎪
⎪
⎨ P rated V3
⋅V 3 − 3 cutin 3 .Prated Vcutin ≤ V ≤ Vrated i∘ − f
(16)
3 3
PWT = Vrated − Vcutin
⎪
Vrated − Vcutin i= (23)
⎪
⎪ 1+f
⎪
⎪ P rated V rated ≤ V ≤ V cutoff
⎪
⎪
⎩
0 V > Vcutoff
i◦ = nominal interest rate (%)
where Vcutin is the cut-in wind speed (m/s), Vcutoff is the cut-off wind f = annual expected inflation rate (%)
speed (m/s), and Vrated is the wind speed (m/s) at which the turbine
generates its rated power (Prated ) (Luta & Raji, 2018). The power curve of Based on the announced rate of the Central Bank of Iran, the discount
this unit is assumed such as a 1.5 kW AWS model wind turbine. rate and the annual inflation rate are considered to be 18% and 16%,
respectively, over 20 years of the project’s lifetime. The COE is the mean
• Boiler equations cost of energy for comparing the cost-effectiveness of systems (Goswami
& Sadhu, 2021). Eq. 24 shows the COE formula (Shahsavari et al., 2022).
In order to respond to a large part of the annual thermal demand, a Cann.t
boiler with 85% efficiency is used. Natural gas, which has about 67% of COE = (24)
Eserved
carbon content, is the fuel used in the boiler. The operation cost of the
boiler is calculated by equation (17) (Poursistani et al., 2014). where Cann.t is the total annualized cost of components, and Eserved is the
consumed energy in one year. Overall renewable fraction of generated
∑
24
[ ]
Cboiler = Pgas .Gasboiler .(365).F (17) power is calculated by Eq. 25.
h=1
Enonren + Hnonren
ORF = 1 − (25)
where Pgas is the energy price of gas ($/kWh), and Gasboiler is calculated Eserved + Hserved
by Eq. 18 (Study, 2014)
where Enonren and Hnonren refer to the nonrenewable fraction of useful
Hboiler generated electrical energy and thermal power, respectively. Also, Eserved
Gasboiler = (18)
ηboiler .HV and Hserved denote the served electrical and thermal annual demands,
respectively. In this study, the generated thermal energy by the CHP unit
where Hboiler is the heat production (kWh), ηboiler is the boiler efficiency, is considered to be renewable power because it prevented natural gas
and HV is the heating value of natural gas. consumption in the boiler. Furthermore, when the thermal-related pa
Also, F is the boiler Recovery factor (Study, 2014), which is calcu rameters are removed from Eq. 11, the electrical renewable fraction or
lated based on i: interest rate and n: boiler operation lifetime. ERF is calculated. Salvage is an effective value on economic calculation
and specifies the value of the components at the end of the project
(1 + i)n − 1
F= (19) lifetime. In HOMER software, the salvage value of a component is
i(1 + i)n
directly related to its leftovers life. It also assumes that the salvage value
appertains to the replacement cost rather than the initial capital cost.
• Diesel Generator HOMER calculates the Salvage value from Eq. 26 (Jahangir et al., 2020).
9
A. Toopshekan et al. Sustainable Cities and Society 87 (2022) 104170
( ( ))
Rcomp − Rproj − Rcomp .INT
Rproj heat during this time. Explicitly, the diesel consumption is increased in
(26) the summer to make up for added demand and some of the extra power
Rcomp
S = Crep
Rcomp that is produced is diverted towards supplying heat. Contrary to PV and
wind turbine, the low capital cost of the diesel generator has led to the
where Crep is the replacement cost, Rcomp is the component’s lifetime,
installation of a 10 kW generator, beyond the need of the 10 households,
Rproj is the project lifetime, and INT is a rounding function for converting
to be economic. However, the high price of fuel compared to the low
an integer number to a real number.
maintenance on PV and wind turbine means that the system only falls
back on the diesel generator when the demand goes up. In other words,
4. Results and Discussion the additional electrical demand in the summer is not high enough to
warrant the installation of more renewable resources.
This section is divided into the six sub-sections, first, the optimized The yearly electricity output from PVs, wind turbines, diesel gener
configuration and CHP performance are discussed in 4.1 and 4.2, ators, and discharging batteries for the PV/WT/DG/Battery scenario is
respectively. Due to the variation in component prices and energy usage, depicted in Fig. 9. The photovoltaics naturally produce power during
the economic sensitivity and load sensitivity is analyzed in 4.3 and 4.4 daylight hours while the diesel generator and batteries act as compli
respectively. Also, the grid breakeven distance is analyzed in sub-sec mentary power generators that mostly supply electricity during the
tion 4.5 for finding the minimum distance of the off-grid residential night. As mentioned before, the diesel generator is active more
section from the nearest power transmission lines. Finally, the TOPSIS frequently in June till August, especially in the afternoon when tem
method is implemented for multi-criteria decision-making in sub-sec perature rise causes high cooling demand.
tion 4.6.
4.2. COE comparison
4.1. The optimal size of the systems in HOMER
In this section, a comparison between this paper and other papers has
In this section, technical and financial results of the optimum system been done. Table 8 states that researchers have resulted in different
are analyzed. Table 6 shows the characteristics of the optimized hybrid optimal COEs by installing different CHP-based systems. Among these
energy system by the HOMER software. The first and most economic studies, hydrogen systems, micro gas turbines, diesel generators, and
scenario utilizes all three energy sources, combining six wind turbines (9 boilers have been more commonly used to produce heat and power
kW) with 7.5 kW PV, 10 kW diesel generator, and 21 kWh batteries. The simultaneously. Choosing COE as an objective function allows a
least economic scenario is one that supplies energy from renewable re comprehensive comparison among investigations with different systems
sources only, with 12 wind turbines (18kW), 33 kW PV, and 119 kWh of and different sizes. Also, unlike the NPC, the lower COE in one article
batteries. The high battery capacity for the aforementioned scenario has simply indicates that the system used in that article is more efficient. The
naturally resulted in a prominent rise in the COE and NPC, both factors most important factors affecting the COE are the type of system used to
almost 100% higher than the WT/PV/DG/Battery scenario. As antici provide power, the price of components, and the fuel and grid’s elec
pated, the PV/DG/Battery scenario is more economic than the WT/DG/ tricity price in the country where the research was conducted. In gen
Battery since the PV is currently the most cost-efficient system among eral, grid-connected systems have a lower cost than stand-alone systems.
renewable energy systems. The use of a fuel cell has led to higher energy costs due to its higher
The distribution of electricity and heat generation for the WT/PV/ price. Also, in countries with high fossil fuel prices, such as European
DG/Battery scenario is demonstrated in Table 7. In colder seasons with countries, the cost-effectiveness of diesel generators and boilers is lower
lower electrical demand, the three systems are responsible for roughly than the other countries. The optimal COE in this article is 0.143
the same share of power production. For the warmer months, which ($/kWh), which is lower than all the other off-grid systems mentioned in
exhibit a spike in electrical demand due to cooling consumption, diesel Table 8.
and PV have the highest and lowest share of power production,
respectively. The performance of wind turbines is distinctly improved in 4.3. CHP performance
the summer months on account of stronger wind potential. However, PV
electricity production does not increase significantly from winter to The Simultaneous supply of electrical and thermal demand by the
summer despite heightened solar radiation. Therefore, although PV is an generator promotes less fuel consumption and higher efficiency for the
overall better choice compared to wind turbines for the system as a power system. Table 9 demonstrates the annual power production and
whole, with high wind speed the turbine becomes a superior option for fuel consumption of the diesel generator and the boiler. Also, the fuel
generating power. profit of the proposed hybrid renewable energy system as compared
As shown in Fig. 3, the city of Naein rarely faces sub-zero tempera against the pure use of DG for electrical demand and pure use of boiler
tures throughout the year. Hence, the thermal demand remains rela for thermal demand is also shown in Table 9. Additionally, the yearly
tively unvarying from summer to winter. Approximately 80% of the heat profile for natural gas and diesel consumption of the PV/WT/DG/Bat
demand is supplied from the boiler by burning natural gas, the cheaper tery system is shown in Fig. 10(a) and Fig. 10(b), respectively. Hy
fuel, and the rest is supplied from CHP. There is a notable increase in the bridizing the system has achieved a 70% profit in comparison to
share of CHP in heat generation during the summer months, which stems supplying all electricity from diesel, and a 20% profit compared to
from the extra usage of the diesel generator and the available recovered supplying all heat from natural gas. Since natural gas shortage in the
Table. 6
Techno-economic features of the optimized energy system in each configuration.
Case WT PV Converter Battery DG Fuel (L/ Gas (m3/ ORF ERF COE NPC ($)
(unit) (kW) (kW) (kWh) (kW) yr.) yr.) (%) (%) ($/kWh)
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A. Toopshekan et al. Sustainable Cities and Society 87 (2022) 104170
Table. 7
Share of each power generation equipment in the monthly power supply process.
Power Power Production Profile
Electrical
Thermal
Fig. 9. Annual power output profile of each component in the proposed hybrid energy system.
winter is a rather common occurrence, a hybrid system also provides diesel generator also means that boiler production can be lowered.
better reliability. Another observation from the table is that the diesel However, as seen in Fig. 9, there are times when diesel heat generation
generator’s total power production per year is 80% of the power pro exceeds thermal demand. Therefore, the operation of the diesel gener
duction from natural gas. However, fuel consumption and fuel cost for ator is primarily dependent on electrical demand and thus results in
natural gas have decreased by 27.5% and 81% compared to the diesel waste heat at times, which could be considered a weakness in an optimal
generator, respectively. system.
The profiles of power production, electrical demand, and thermal
demand of the PV/WT/DG for a typical week in summer are displayed in
Fig. 11. PV production has a figuratively repetitive pattern while the 4.4. Economic sensitivity analysis
more random nature of wind potential means no unique pattern can be
distinguished regarding electricity production from the wind turbine. The sensitivity analysis is important for finding the robustness of the
The excess electricity is mostly produced at times of high power gen optimal system. Different PV, WT, and DG prices affect the optimum cost
eration from the wind turbines. Therefore, the capacity of PVs is suitable of energy. Table 10 shows different price ranges for these components.
in terms of excess electricity as most of the electricity production of PVs This price difference can increase the NPC of the system and make the
is consumed immediately instead of being stored for later use. As seen in system non-optimal. Therefore, it is necessary to determine what price
Fig. 9, the power production of the diesel generator coincides with high thresholds for the PV, WT, and DG will significantly increase the cost of
electrical demand and low PV production. Since the diesel generator energy.
generates both heat and electricity, high electricity production from the By considering other studies in the field of hybrid energy power
supply, the cost range of 600 to 2800 $/kW for PV, 600 to 3200 $/kW for
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A. Toopshekan et al. Sustainable Cities and Society 87 (2022) 104170
Table. 8
Comparison of cost of energy in CHP based hybrid energy systems.
Reference Year System Location LCOE Description
($/kWh)
(Shahsavari et al., 2022 PV- WT- Diesel generator- Battery- Boiler Iran 0.236 Off-grid rural electrical, thermal, and desalination demands supplied
2022) with single-objective HOMER optimization.
(Ji, Liang, Xie, Huang 2020 PV- Bio generator -Diesel generator- China 0.275 Stand-alone power supply to a rural village by a mixed-integer linear
& Wang, 2021) Battery-Boiler programming optimization in MATLAB.
(Assaf & Shabani, 2019 PV – Electrolyzer – hydrogen tank – Fuel Australia 0.340 Supplying an off-grid load, using MATLAB-based genetic algorithm by
2019) cell – Solar Collector hybridizing PV and fuel cell.
(Effatnejad et al., 2018 PV – WT – Natural Gas Engine and Iran 0.238 Off-grid Supplying 800 bed Hospital with 2254 kW peak load and 2851
2018) Hydrogen Gas Engine – Battery – peak heat. Analyzing with HOMER software.
Electrolyzer – reformer – Boiler
(Roshandel, Golzar & 2018 SOFC system Iran 0.172 Grid-connected Supplying heat and power to a greenhouse by Solid
Astaneh, 2018) SOFC system with a micro gas turbine 0.154 Oxide Fuel Cell and different kinds of the turbine. Analyzing with
SOFC system with a steam turbine 0.096 genetic algorithm.
SOFC system with a steam injection gas 0.085
turbine
(Sagani et al., 2017) 2017 PV – WT – Diesel Generator – Battery Greece 0.517 Off-grid power generation to Meet the household demand with
sustainable power systems by using HOMER software.
(Das & Al-Abdeli, 2017 PV – Battery – Internal Combustion Engine Australia 0.210 Using GA to find the best case of coupling a combustion-based prime
2017) – Micro Gas Turbine mover with PV array. The electrical and thermal mean load was 29 and
18 kW for this stand-alone system Respectively.
(Xu, Nthontho & 2016 PV – WT – DG – Battery – Boiler South 0.540 Compared the off-grid electrification strategies for rural areas
Chowdhury, 2016) Africa
(Castellanos et al., 2015 PV – Battery – Boiler – Anaerobic digestion India 0.289 Off-grid power supply 22 MWh per year load demand for a rural village.
2015) tank – Micro Turbine Using HOMER software.
Table. 9
Performance of generator and boiler in the proposed hybrid energy system.
Device Electrical production Thermal production Annual fuel Annual fuel Needed fuel for pure Achieved annual fuel profit by the
(kWh/yr.) (kWh/yr.) consumption cost ($) DG /Boiler hybrid system
Diesel generator 19,033 (40.2%) 9990 (21.5%) 5995 L 1200 20,407 70.6%
(CHP)
Natural Gas – 36,525 (78.5%) 4351 m3 218 5457 20%
Boiler
Fig. 10. a) Annual fuel consumption profile of natural gas boiler; b) Annual fuel consumption profile of diesel generator.
WT, and 177 to 700 $/kW for DG is selected for sensitivity analysis. In influence the COE. With low fuel prices, the battery becomes redundant
the present study, the HOMER surface plot sensitivity analysis tool is and therefore the COE remains more or less constant by increasing
used for determining the variation of COE in each initial cost range of battery cost. As shown in the figure, the effect of battery cost on the COE
the component. The effect of PV and DG capital costs on the COE of the becomes more noticeable as the fuel price rises.
PV/WT/DG hybrid system is shown in Fig. 12 (a). The constant COE A decisive factor in the performance of a renewable hybrid system is
lines of the graph are close to being vertical, meaning the COE is more resource potential. Fig. 13(a) demonstrates how average wind speed and
sensitive to the capital cost of PV than it is to DG capital cost. For solar radiation affect the NPC of the PV/WT/DG plant. While low
example, if the starting point is considered 170 $ for DG and 600 $ for resource determinedly causes heightened NPC and reduces probability,
PV, multiplying the cost of DG four times only increases COE by about the sensitivity is lower for radiations higher than 6 kWh/m2.day and
8%. However, the same increase in PV capital cost raises the COE more wind speed greater than 8 m/s; indicating that the PV and wind turbine
than 17%. The effect of PV and WT capital cost on COE is shown in have reached maximum efficiency. The sensitivity of yearly CO2 emis
Fig. 12 (b) and the effect of WT and DG capital cost on COE is shown in sions against boiler efficiency and the heat recovery ratio of the diesel
Fig. 12 (c). DG capital cost clearly has the weakest impact on COE while generator is shown in Fig. 13(b). Boiler efficiency is imperative in
the effect of the initial cost for PV and WT on COE is almost equal. It is reducing emissions, but increasing the DG heat recovery ratio only
also concluded from Figs. 12. (a-c) that even by increasing components brings a slight change in emissions. The lack of remarkable emission
capital cost by more than 200%, the rise of COE would still be less than sensitivity to the DG heat recovery ratio is due to the lower share of CHP
60%. Fig. 12(d) demonstrates how diesel fuel price and battery cost in supplying heat.
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Fig. 11. Power generation profile of a typical week for supplying thermal and electrical demands.
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Fig. 12. Heat map of COE sensitivity to the initial prices: a) DG Vs. PV capital cost; b) WT vs. PV capital cost c) WT vs. DG capital cost; and d) Diesel fuel vs.
battery cost.
Fig. 13. a) Sensitivity analysis of NPC based on annual average renewable resources (with COE midpoints); b) Sensitivity analysis of annual CO2 emission based on
DG and boiler performance.
distribution cost, meteorological data, and the components’ cost of the changes from PV/WT/DG/Battery to DG/Grid. For the assumed grid cost
off-grid hybrid system. To this end, the HOMER optimization module is range, any distance less than 2.8 km would mean that the hybrid
applied and the results are shown in Fig. 17. The borderline between the renewable system is not cost-efficient, while for distances further than
two colors shows the limit that the optimal system configuration, 6.4 km the PV/WT/DG/Battery is the more proficient choice. The
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A. Toopshekan et al. Sustainable Cities and Society 87 (2022) 104170
Fig. 14. Seasonal electrical demand in different loads: a) Residential; b) Commercial; and c) Industrial.
Fig. 15. Seasonal thermal demand in different loads: a) Residential; b) Commercial; and c) Industrial.
Table. 11
Techno-economic optimizations of the hybrid-CHP system based on different power consumption profiles.
Load WT (unit) PV (kW) Converter (kW) Battery (kWh) DG (kW) Fuel (L/yr.) Gas (m3/yr.) ORF (%) ERF (%) COE ($/kWh) NPC ($)
relationship between grid cost and system type is not linear, meaning extension distance is shown in Fig. 18(a). The DG/Grid/Battery is only
that as transmission costs become more expensive, the hybrid solution applicable for a small range of electrical loads and the off-grid DG/WT/
becomes economically viable for a wider range of distances. PV is only suitable for demands less than 190 kWh/day. Extension dis
The optimum system based-on electrical load consumption and grid tance directly affects the most favorable choice but as the electrical
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Fig. 16. Comparison of thermal demand supply process by the optimal configuration .
Fig. 18. Sensitivity analysis of the optimal hybrid system configuration: a) Grid extension distance vs. Average electrical load; b) Grid extension distance vs. Diesel
fuel price.
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Table 12
TOPSIS evaluation matrix of alternatives and criteria.
Homer Priority 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Category PV/WT/ DG/BAT PV/DG /BAT/ WT/DG/ BAT/ DG/BAT PV/WT/ BAT/ PV/BAT WT/BAT/ Desirable
/Boiler Boiler Boiler /Boiler Boiler /Boiler Boiler Trend
Economic COE 0.143 0.15 0.163 0.207 0.301 0.36 0.445 negative
NPC 104,221 108,679 117,916 148,271 212,259 253,661 312,735 negative
IC 38,433 30,971 43,295 28,043 119,612 145,773 183,528 negative
OC 3917 4627 4443 7158 5516 6424 7693 negative
Environmental CO2 24,148 29,460 26,177 41,424 10,581 10,581 10,581 negative
NOX 100 136 113 214 10.3 10.3 10.3 negative
SO2 38.5 53.6 43.8 87.1 0 0 0 negative
Technical EX th 1.55 1.87 3.12 5.09 0 0 0 negative
EX el 9.85 10.4 9.74 0 50.4 67 63 negative
ERF 59.8 44.7 53.9 0 100 100 100 positive
HR 21.5 29.8 24.1 47.3 0 0 0 positive
Energy DD 6002 8364 6835 13,585 0 0 0 negative
Security NGD 4351 3902 4272 3023 5457 5457 5457 negative
Diversity 5 4 4 3 4 3 3 positive
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