Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Sources: FAO (2016) for 1995-2011; FAO (2016) and GOAL (2014) for 2012-2014; GOAL (2016) for 2014-2018.
Southeast Asia includes Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Malaysia, Philippines, Myanmar and Taiwan.
M. rosenbergii is not included.
Shrimp
Aquaculture
by
Major
Producing
Regions:
2011
–
2018
Million MT
2.0
1.0
0.5
0.0
Southeast Asia China India Americas Middle East / North
Africa
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Sources: FAO (2016) for 2011; FAO (2016) and GOAL (2014) for 2012-2014; GOAL (2016) for 2014-2018.
Southeast Asia includes Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Malaysia, Philippines, Myanmar and Taiwan.
M. rosenbergii is not included.
Thousand
MT
Shrimp
Feed
(MT)
SHRIMP
FEED:
1800
2012
to
2014
down
15%
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
400
2011-‐2015
down
37%
300
200
100
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
800
600
400
200
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Source:
Chinese
Fisheries
Yearbook;
FAO
(2013);
World
Integrated
Trade
SoluTon
Database
(2005-‐2015):
hUp://
wits.worldbank.org
Note:
EsTmated
ConsumpTon
=
ProducTon
+
Import
-‐
Export
6
Marine
Shrimp
Aquaculture
in
China
by
Region
–
2015
and
2006
450
Thousand
MT
400
Share: 36.4%
350
300
250
200 20.1%
150
15.9%
9.3%
9.1%
9.1%
100
50
-‐
Guangdong
Guangxi
Shandong
Hainan
Fujian
Other
2015
Total
=
1,161,340
MT.
2006
Total
=
732,315
MT.
Source:
Chinese
Fisheries
Yearbook
7
Shrimp
Aquaculture
by
Major
Producing
Regions:
2011-‐2014
vs.
2014-‐2018
Average Annual Growth
Rate
40%
2011-2014 2014-2018 32.90%
30%
20%
13.70%
10.30%
10%
4.90% 4.20%
1.60% 2.50%
0%
-0.20% -1.70%-0.50%
-10%
Southeast Asia China India Americas Middle East / North
Africa
Sources: FAO (2016) for 2011; FAO (2016) and GOAL (2014) for 2012-2014; GOAL (2016) for 2014-2018.
Southeast Asia includes Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Malaysia, Philippines, Myanmar and Taiwan.
M. rosenbergii is not included.
Shrimp
Aquaculture
in
Asia:
2011
–
2018
Million MT
1.8
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.0
China Thailand Vietnam Indonesia India
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Sources: FAO (2016) for 2011; FAO (2016) and GOAL (2014) for 2012-2014; GOAL (2016) for 2014-2018.
M. rosenbergii is not included.
Shrimp
Aquaculture
in
Asia:
2011
–
2018
Thousand MT
120
Malaysia has been heavily impacted by disease but a partial recovery is expected
100 by 2018. Strong growth is expected in Bangladesh.
80
60
40
20
0
Bangladesh Malaysia Philippines Taiwan
Sources: FAO (2016) for 2011; FAO (2016) and GOAL (2014) for 2012-2014; GOAL (2016) for 2014-2018.
M. rosenbergii is not included.
Shrimp
Aquaculture
in
La3n
America:
2011
–
2018
Thousand MT
400
200
100
0
Ecuador Mexico Brazil
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Sources: FAO (2016) for 2011; FAO (2016) and GOAL (2014) for 2012-2014; GOAL (2016) for 2014-2018.
M. rosenbergii is not included.
Shrimp
Aquaculture
in
La3n
America:
2011
–
2018
Thousand MT
40
35 Disease issues are affecting and will affect growth in Honduras and
Nicaragua. Venezuela is projecting steady growth through 2018
30
25
20
15
10
0
Honduras Nicaragua Guatemala Peru Venezuela
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Sources: FAO (2016) for 2011; FAO (2016) and GOAL (2014) for 2012-2014; GOAL (2016) for 2014-2018.
M. rosenbergii is not included.
Shrimp
Aquaculture
in
La3n
America:
2011
–
2018
Thousand MT
10
Uneven growth is expected in the minor producing nations
of Latin America.
8
0
Panama Belize Costa Rica El Salvador Colombia
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Sources: FAO (2016) for 2011; FAO (2016) and GOAL (2014) for 2012-2014; GOAL (2016) for 2014-2018.
M. rosenbergii is not included.
Shrimp
Aquaculture
in
Other
Repor3ng
Countries:
2011
–
2018
Thousand MT
35
25
20
15
10
0
Saudi Arabia Egypt Madagascar Australia New Caledonia
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Sources: FAO (2016) for 2011; FAO (2016) and GOAL (2014) for 2012-2014; GOAL (2016) for 2014-2018.
M. rosenbergii is not included.
World
Shrimp
Aquaculture
(including
M.
rosenbergii)
by
Species:
1995
-‐
2018
Million MT
5.0 77%
74%
75%
4.5 72%
71%
4.0 64%
Percentages
indicate
the
share
of
P.
vannamei.
65%
3.5
3.0 52%
2.5
2.0
1.5 12%
16%
1.0
0.5
0.0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
P. vannamei P. monodon M. rosenbergii Other
Sources: FAO (2016) for 1995-2011; FAO (2016) and GOAL (2014) for 2012-2014; GOAL (2016) for 2014-2018.
Shrimp
Aquaculture
(including
M.
rosenbergii)
in
Asia
by
Species:
1995
-‐
2018
Million MT
72%
4.0 70%
70%
68%
3.5 67%
59%
3.0 Percentages
indicate
the
share
of
P.
vannamei.
60%
2.5 45%
2.0
1.5
0.2%
1.0 0%
0.5
0.0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
P. vannamei P. monodon M. rosenbergii Other
Sources: FAO (2016) for 1995-2011; FAO (2016) and GOAL (2014) for 2012-2014; GOAL (2016) for 2014-2018.
World
Landings
of
Wild-‐Caught
Shrimp
by
Species
Othe rs
Million MT
4.0 Northe rn w hite s hrim p
(Pe nae us s e tife rus )
Com m on s hrim p
3.5 (Crangon crangon)
Northe rn praw n
(Pandalus bore alis )
1.0
Southe rn rough s hrim p
(Trachipe nae us
curviros tris )
0.5 Ak iam i pas te s hrim p
(Ace te s japonicus )
0.0
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
7.0 53%
49%
51%
Aquaculture accounted for 54%
6.0
of world shrimp supplies in 2014.
5.0
28%
4.0
3.0 26%
2.0
1.0
0.0
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
42%
40%
P. vannamei is the most important species in the world, 39%
with virtually all production coming from aquaculture.
28%
Percentages
indicate
the
share
of
P.
vannamei.
4%
100% 4%
4% 10% 9% 10% >70
8% 8%
13% 12% 61-70
80% 12% 13%
51-60
19% 18%
19% 41-50
60% 21%
31-40
21% 21%
15%
26-30
40%
29% 21-25
17% 16% 18%
15-20
20%
12% 9% 9% 9%
<15
6% 8% 6%
9%
0%
US Imports - HLSO Asia Americas World
40% 19%
Green /
20%
56% Head-off
0%
US Imports Asia Americas World
Expected
Trends
in
Shrimp
Aquaculture
Product
Form
-‐
GOAL
Survey
2015
For a number of years there has been a trend for increased production of green / head-on
shrimp in Ecuador for the European and Asian markets.
GOAL
2016
Survey
Issues
&
Challenges
in
Shrimp
Aquaculture
All
Countries
Diseases
***Production costs - Feed/Fishmeal
Seed stock quality & availability
Access to disease-free broodstock
***International market prices
Production costs - Others
Product quality control
Environmental management
Feed quality and availability
Production costs - Fuel
Access to Credit
Banned chemicals / antibiotic use
***International trade barriers
Market coordination
Infrastructure
Public Relations Management
Conflicts with other users
Moderately Extremely
Not Important
Important Important
Environmental management
Access to disease-free broodstock
Seed stock quality & availability
International trade barriers
2016 2015
GOAL
2016
Survey
Issues
&
Challenges
in
Shrimp
Aquaculture
Asia
Diseases
Seed stock quality & availability
***Production costs - Feed/Fishmeal
Access to disease-free broodstock
Product quality control
***International market prices
Environmental management
Feed quality and availability
Production costs - Others
Banned chemicals / antibiotic use
Production costs - Fuel
***International trade barriers
Access to Credit
Infrastructure
Market coordination
Conflicts with other users
Public Relations Management
Moderately Extremely
Not Important
Important Important
Moderately Extremely
Not Important
Important Important
Asia Americas
GOAL
2016
Survey
Global
economic
condi3ons
will
be
be`er
in
2017
compared
to
2016
Strongly
Disagree
GOAL
2016
Survey
Feed
prices
will
be
lower
in
2017
compared
to
2016
Strongly
Disagree
GOAL
2016
Survey
The
global
shrimp
market
will
strengthen
in
2017
compared
to
2016
Americas:
Same
Outlook
Asia
Americas
Others
perspec3ve
as
last
year
Strongly
Agree
Philippines
Bangladesh,
China,
Indonesia,
Madagascar,
New
Asia:
More
Agree
South
Korea,
Taiwan,
Vietnam
Ecuador,
Peru,
Venezuela
Caledonia,
Saudi
Arabia
market
strengthening
Brazil,
Honduras,
Mexico,
Neutral/No
Opinion
India,
Malaysia,
Thailand
Nicaragua,
Panama
than
last
year
Strongly
Disagree
Trends in Trade
U.S. Shrimp Imports
Down 12% between 2011-13, Up 17% between 2013-16
650
Other
600
550 Malaysia
500
Peru
Thousand MT
450
400 Mexico
350
China
300
250 Vietnam
200
Thailand
150
100 Ecuador
50
Indonesia
-
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016* India
Imports from Thailand declined sharply (by 68%) between 2010 and 2014, with a slight recovery taking place in 2015 (from 65
to 74 thousand tons). India and Indonesia have become the top exporters to the U.S. market, accounting for 44% of imports in
2016.
100
150
200
0
50
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Pink
White
Brown
Others
Trends in U.S. Shrimp Import Prices
10
9
8
7
2000
USD/lb
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
1990
1995
1996
1998
1999
2000
2005
2006
2008
2009
2010
2015
2016
1991
1992
1993
1994
1997
2001
2002
2003
2004
2007
2011
2012
2013
2014
<15/lb
31-‐40
>70/lb
Peeled
Composite
Real prices increased sharply during 2013 but returned to previous levels in 2014 and
early 2015. Real prices have remained stable over the last 12 months.
Source: USDC/NMFS (2016).
P. Monodon vs. P. vannamei
U.S. Wholesale Prices
9.00
8.00
7.00
6.00
5.00
4.00
USD/lb
3.00
2.00
1.00
-‐
(1.00)
(2.00)
Jan-‐99
Jul-‐99
Jan-‐00
Jul-‐00
Jan-‐01
Jan-‐02
Jan-‐03
Jan-‐04
Jan-‐05
Jul-‐05
Jan-‐06
Jul-‐06
Jan-‐07
Jan-‐08
Jul-‐08
Jan-‐09
Jul-‐09
Jan-‐10
Jul-‐10
Jan-‐11
Jan-‐12
Jan-‐13
Jan-‐14
Jan-‐15
Jul-‐15
Jan-‐16
Jul-‐16
Jul-‐01
Jul-‐02
Jul-‐03
Jul-‐04
Jul-‐07
Jul-‐11
Jul-‐12
Jul-‐13
Jul-‐14
Farmed,
C&SA
White,
26-‐30
Farmed,
Southeast
Asian,
26-‐30
Premium,
White
-‐
Tiger
Coinciding with falling supplies from Thailand, wholesale shrimp prices began rising in 2010 with the sharpest increase taking place in
2013. Prices declined during 2014 and 2015 as other countries (India, Indonesia, Ecuador, Vietnam) increased their exports to the U.S. The
increase in prices during 2016 is partially driven by low harvests from the Gulf of Mexico shrimp fisheries.
450
400 Bangladesh
350
Canada
300
250 Greenland
200
Vietnam
150
100 Argentina
50
India
-
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016* Ecuador
140
120 Belgium
100 Peru
80 India
60
Nicaragua
40
China
20
Ecuador
-
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016* Argentina
100 Nicaragua
Spain
Thousand MT
80
Venezuela
60 Madagascar
Vietnam
40
Netherlands
20 Belgium
India
-
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016* Ecuador
Imports from Ecuador and India have increased dramatically since 2000,
currently accounting for nearly 38% of the import market.
300 Myanmar
250 Canada
Thousand MT
Russia
200
Argentina
150
China
100 India
50 Indonesia
Thailand
-
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016* Vietnam
Declining imports were caused primarily by lower shipments from Thailand, which went down from
80 thousand tons in 2012 to 36 thousand tones in 2015, with no substantial increase in 2016.
Thank
You
James.anderson@ufl.edu
h`p://isfs.ins3tute.ifas.ufl.edu
BONUS
SLIDES
Shrimp
Aquaculture
in
Asia:
2011-‐2014
vs.
2014-‐2018
Average Annual Growth
Rate
20%
2011-2014 2014-2018 14.40% 13.70%
15%
11.50%
10% 7.10% 4.90%
5%
2.30%
0%
-0.50%
-1.70% -2.30%
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25% -22.70%
China Thailand Vietnam Indonesia India
Sources: FAO (2016) for 2011; FAO (2016) and GOAL (2014) for 2012-2014; GOAL (2016) for 2014-2018.
M. rosenbergii is not included.
Shrimp
Aquaculture
in
Asia:
2011-‐2014
vs.
2014-‐2018
Average Annual Growth
Rate
20%
18% 2011-2014 2014-2018 16.30%
16%
14%
12%
10% 9.30%
7.10%
8% 6.80%
6%
3.80%
4% 2.50%
2% 1.70%
0%
-2%
-4% -1.60%
-3.10%
-6%
-8% -7.00%
-10%
Bangladesh Malaysia Philippines Taiwan South Korea
Sources: FAO (2016) for 2011; FAO (2016) and GOAL (2014) for 2012-2014; GOAL (2016) for 2014-2018.
M. rosenbergii is not included.
Composi3on
of
Shrimp
Aquaculture
Produc3on
by
Size
Categories
–
Comparison
of
Survey
Data
for
Asia
100% 7% 5% 5%
8% 12% 12% 13% 11% 10% >70
6% 7% 7%
7%
27% 11% 13% 61-70
10% 12% 15% 15% 16%
80% 10% 41% 14% 42%
46% 42% 51-60
48%
18% 19%
22% 19% 20% 15% 41-50
21% 19% 21%
60%
31-40
25% 18% 21%
19% 17% 26-30
40% 29% 69%30% 65% 30% 23%
64% 61%
39% 46%
50% 13%
43% 42% 21-25
15% 16% 15% 16%
8%
20% 16% 17% 15-20
18% 14% 9% 6% 9%
9% 10%
6% 7% 5% 5% 5% 6% <15
7% 7%
0%
GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Disease problems in Asia led to the harvesting of smaller sizes since 2011.
Composi3on
of
Shrimp
Aquaculture
Produc3on
by
Size
Categories
–
Comparison
of
Survey
Data
for
the
Americas
100% 4%
6% 7% 8% 6%
10% 10% 9% >70
10% 14% 4%
11% 10% 10% 10% 8%
30%
80% 15% 30% 13% 10% 30% 11%
25% 61-70
15% 13% 12% 40% 42% 14% 13%
51-60
17% 18% 19%
60% 16% 19% 22% 18% 21% 41-50
23%
31-40
24% 21%
16% 25%
40% 20% 20% 59% 26-30
25% 60%
22% 60% 61% 29%
18% 54% 19% 50% 21-25
19% 15% 22% 16%
20% 15-20
15% 18% 9%
10% 9%
16% 11% 8% 8%
10% 9% 4% 7% 6% <15
0%
GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
There was also a temporary trend towards smaller sizes in Latin America in 2011 and 2012.
Composi3on
of
Shrimp
Aquaculture
Produc3on
by
Product
Form
–
Comparison
of
Survey
Data
for
Asia
100% 3% 4% 6%
8% 10% 10% Other
12% 13% 8% 7%
11% 8% Forms
12% 9% 10%
80% 9% 16%
20% Breaded
19% 18%
22% 20% 18% 15%
15%
Cooked
60% 24%
23% 25% 23%
28% 18% 24%
30% Peeled
35%
40% 10% 18%
18% 20% 20% Green /
22% 17%
Head-off
20% 22% 42%
19% 33% 30% Green /
25% 24% 23% 22% 22%
17% Head-on
6% 9%
0%
GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Composi3on
of
Shrimp
Aquaculture
Produc3on
by
Product
Form
–
Comparison
of
Survey
Data
for
China
5% 4% 5%
100% 9% Other
10% 9% 9%
10% 17% 15% Forms
10% 18% 21% 8%
27% 15% 20% 4% Breaded
80% 13% 14%
13% 13%
15% 11% 25%
20% 16% 11% Cooked
22% 17%
60% 14% 5%
22% 27%
5%
31% Peeled
30% 20%
40% 35% 33%
15% 24%
25% Green /
5% 9%
13% 54% 3% Head-off
48%
20%
14% 28% Green /
17% 15% 25% 22% 25%
20% Head-on
4% 5% 9%
0%
GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
There has been a trend in China towards the production of green head-on/head-off
and peeled shrimp relative to processed forms in recent years.
Composi3on
of
Shrimp
Aquaculture
Produc3on
by
Product
Form
–
Comparison
of
Survey
Data
for
the
Americas
100% 3% 3% 3% 4%
6% 7% 6% 4% Other
7% 6% 7%
14% Forms
12%
15%
80% Breaded
34% 26%
32%
46% 45% 30%
53% 31% 24% Cooked
60%
Peeled
40%
63% Green /
57% 53% 56% Head-off
50% 52%
44% 46%
20% 40%
Green /
Head-on
0%
GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL GOAL
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
The growing share of the green head-on form reflects an increased presence of
Ecuadorian shrimp in European and Asian markets.