Name: Madridano, Charlyn H.

Course & Section : IT 2-B

Subject: Probability and Statistical Inference

Assignment 1:

First, we need to calculate the probability of selecting a boy for each of the three positions. Since there
are 10 boys and 5 girls, the probability of selecting a boy on the first draw is 10/15.

After one boy is selected, there are only 9 boys left out of a total of 14 students for the second draw, so
the probability of selecting a boy on the second draw, given that the boy was selected on the first draw is
9/14.

Similarly, for the third draw there are only 8 boys left out of a total of 13 students, given that two boys
were already selected, so the probability of selecting a boy on the third draw, given that two boys were
already selected is 8/13.

To find the probability of all the three events occurring together, we multiply the individual probabilities.

Assignment 2:

A. First, we need to write down

P (E/W)=P( EW ) / P(W)

Identify the values given in the problem:

P(EW)=0.5 (Probability of having both wing and eye mutations)
P(W)=0.20 (Probability of having the wing mutation)

Calculate P(EW ) / P(W ) =0.05/0.20

=1/4 or 0.2500
Therefore, the probability that a selected fly with the wing mutation also has the eye mutation is
1/4 or approximately 0.2500

B. Write down P (W/E )=P( WE ) / P(E )

Identify the values given in the problem:

P(WE )=0.5(Probability of having both wing and eye mutations)
P(E)=0.15 (Probability of having eye mutation)

Calculate P(WE)/ P(E ) = 0.5/0.15

 =1/3 or 0.3333
Therefore, the probability that a selected fly with the eye mutation also has the wing mutation is
1/3 or approximately 0.3333

C. To find the probability that a selected fly has at least one of the mutations, we can use the
formula for the union of two events:

P(W or E) = P(W) + P(E) - P(W and E)

Identify the values given in the problem:

P(W) = 0.20 (probability of having the wing mutation) P(E) = 0.15 (probability of having the eye
mutation) P(WE) = 0.05 (probability of having both wing and eye mutations)

Substitute the values into the formula:

P(W or E) = 0.20 + 0.15 - 0.05 = 0.30

Therefore, the probability that a selected fly has at least one of the mutations is 0.30 or 30%.

Assignment 3:

To find the probability that the malpractice suit is from Hospital 1 given that it has been filed, we can use
Bayes' theorem:

P(H1|A) = P(A|H1) * P(H1) / P(A)

Identify the values given in the problem:

P(H1) = 0.50 (probability that the patient is from Hospital 1) P(A|H1) = 0.001 (probability of a malpractice
suit being filed given that the patient is from Hospital 1) P(H2) = 0.30 (probability that the patient is from
Hospital 2) P(A|H2) = 0.005 (probability of a malpractice suit being filed given that the patient is from
Hospital 2) P(H3) = 0.20 (probability that the patient is from Hospital 3) P(A|H3) = 0.008 (probability of a
malpractice suit being filed given that the patient is from Hospital 3) P(A) = P(A|H1) * P(H1) + P(A|H2) *
P(H2) + P(A|H3) * P(H3) (total probability of a malpractice suit being filed)

Calculate P(A) using the formula of total probability

Therefore, the probability that the malpractice suit is from Hospital 1 given that it has been filed is
0.1389 or approximately 0.14%