Professional Documents
Culture Documents
M6
M9 23rd of May
Mitigation Option I:
M8 M7 Heat Potentials
Mitigation Option IV: (2/2)
Circular Economy Mitigation Option II:
Mitigation Option III: Light Weight Design
Reducing Yield Losses-
Additive Manufacturing Excursion week
M01 Introduction
▪ Educational objectives
▪ Sustainability
▪ Today's use of raw materials and the energy-carbon triangle
▪ Global CO2 emissions and the “Big 5”
▪ Looking at global dynamics
▪ IPAT identity
▪ What have we learned today?
▪ Related literature
Sustainability
▪ Definition of sustainable development and sustainability
IPAT Identity
M01 Introduction
▪ Educational objectives
▪ Sustainability
▪ Today's use of raw materials and the energy-carbon triangle
▪ Global CO2 emissions and the “Big 5”
▪ Looking at global dynamics
▪ IPAT identity
▪ What have we learned today?
▪ Related literature
Sustainability
Society Environment
Sustainability Society
Economies
Economy
Sustainability
Profit
M01 Introduction
▪ Educational objectives
▪ Sustainability
▪ Today's use of raw materials and the energy-carbon triangle
▪ Global CO2 emissions and the “Big 5”
▪ Looking at global dynamics
▪ IPAT identity
▪ What have we learned today?
▪ Related literature
Annual production of
selected materials (weight)
→ Log scale
Ashby (2013), p. 19
Materials
Energy intensity of
materials
Material intensity of
energy
Energy
→ Log scale
Ashby (2013), p. 21
Embodied Energy
Materials
Energy intensity of
materials
Material intensity of
energy
Energy
Materials
Carbon intensity of
Energy energy
Carbon
Note: GHG emission figures refer to CO2 equivalent (global warming potential) for GHGs (e.g. carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide) in 2005
Source: [Gutowski et al. 2013]
M01 Introduction
▪ Educational objectives
▪ Sustainability
▪ Today's use of raw materials and the energy-carbon triangle
▪ Global CO2 emissions and the “Big 5”
▪ Looking at global dynamics
▪ IPAT identity
▪ What have we learned today?
▪ Related literature
Buildings (elec
Agriculture,
Transport and heat)
Forestry & Land
21% 23%
Use (AFOLU)
19%
Energy /
Waste Global GHG process
3% emissions emissions
50 Gt 36.6 Gt
Industrial Industry
processes 38%
Energy
5% other
73%
18%
Data source: Our world in Data Sector by sector: where do global greenhouse gas emissions come from? - Our World in Data
Energy /
process
emissions
36.6 Gt
Industry
38%
other
18%
Global anthropogenic GHG emissions Global energy/process GHG emissions Global industrial GHG emissions
Production of five materials (steel, cement, paper, plastic and aluminum) account for 55% of
industrial emissions
Data source: Our world in Data Sector by sector: where do global greenhouse gas emissions come from? - Our World in Data Allwood / Cullen (2012), p. 13
M01 Introduction
▪ Educational objectives
▪ Sustainability
▪ Today's use of raw materials and the energy-carbon triangle
▪ Global CO2 emissions and the “Big 5”
▪ Looking at global dynamics
▪ IPAT identity
▪ What have we learned today?
▪ Related literature
April 2023
Dr.-Ing. Felipe Cerdas I Lecture MRE I M01: Introduction
Slide 22
Material production has been (exponentially) increasing in the past
Example of steel
Gutowski, T. G., Allwood, J. M., Herrmann, C., & Sahni, S., (2013).
Billion 7
Industrialization period
5
0
1 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000
Year
Billion
30
25
20 Constant-fertility
High
Medium
15
Low
10
-
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Year
Data from: United Nations (2013)
M01 Introduction
▪ Educational objectives
▪ Sustainability
▪ Today's use of raw materials and the energy-carbon triangle
▪ Global CO2 emissions and the “Big 5”
▪ Looking at global dynamics
▪ IPAT identity
▪ What have we learned today?
▪ Related literature
I = P A T
Consumption Impact
Impact = Population
Population Consumption
7
Billion
0
1 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000
Gutowski, T. G., Allwood, J. M., Herrmann, C., & Sahni, S., (2013).
Note: Industrial GHG emission figure refers to CO2 equivalent (global warming
[Allwood / Cullen 2012], Our World in data potential) for GHGs (e.g. carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide) in 2005
Dr.-Ing. Felipe Cerdas I Lecture MRE I M01: Introduction
Slide 33
IPAT-Identity
Consumption Impact
Impact = Population
Population Consumption
Definition
"Material efficiency [..] entails the pursuit of the technical strategies, business models, consumer
preferences and policy instruments that would lead to a substantial reduction in the production of
high-volume energy-intensive materials required to deliver human well-being."
Motivation
"The motivations for material efficiency include reducing energy demand, reducing the emissions
and other environmental impacts of industry, and increasing national resource security“
A closely related concept is material effectiveness or substitution: Using the right material
From: Allwood et al. (2013)
If we aim to reduce our energy use by 50% (2050) to reduce carbon emissions ...
... and emerging economies catch-up with development towards developed economies, which
results in a doubling of demand for raw materials ...
... we need to reduce energy intensity of material production by 75% per material unit (kg).
Based on: Allwood / Cullen (2012), definition from Gutowski et al. (2013)
1. Cause-effect relations: How will today's actions affect the environment in the future?
2. Evolvement of the future: How will future (human) life evolve, and what impact will the future
state of the environment have on (human) life? How will (global) population evolve? What
materials will be needed, how will energy be generated?
3. Incomplete information: What are the specific current and future end-uses of materials?
What are (material) stocks available for extraction and recycling?
Carbon
Embodied Footprint
Energy
Big 5
Impact
Products
System
Thinking I = P A T
Impact Population Affluence Technology
(Environment)
World Population Growth
Manufacturing Trends Next Lecture Units
- What are the drivers for energy /
carbon intensity?
- Which strategies to reduce
energy / carbon intensity can be
applied?
- Where are the hotspots
- Which concrete measures exist
Global
or should be developed?
Dynamics
M01 Introduction
▪ Educational objectives
▪ Sustainability
▪ Today's use of raw materials and the energy-carbon triangle
▪ Global CO2 emissions and the “Big 5”
▪ Looking at global dynamics
▪ IPAT identity
▪ What have we learned today?
▪ Related literature
Sustainability
▪ Definition of sustainable development and sustainability
IPAT Identity
Please answer the following questions and prepare additional questions you would
like to ask during the next session!
1. How would you define the terms sustainable development and sustainability?
3. Which are the so-called “Big 5” materials? Why are these named “Big 5” in the context of
sustainability?
4. How would you explain the development of the different factors described in IPAT-Identity over
time ?
M01 Introduction
▪ Educational objectives
▪ Sustainability
▪ Today's use of raw materials and the energy-carbon triangle
▪ Global CO2 emissions and the “Big 5”
▪ Looking at global dynamics
▪ IPAT identity
▪ What have we learned today?
▪ Related literature
Allwood JM, Ashby MF, Gutowski TG, Worrell E (2011): Material efficiency: a white paper. Resources, Conservation and Recycling 55(3):362-381
Allwood JM, Ashby MF, Gutowski TG, Worrell E (2013): Material efficiency: providing material services with less material production. Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 371(1986): 20120496.
Asbhy M, Vakhitova T (2014): Material Risk and Corporate Sustainability: a White Paper.
Ashby MF (2013): Materials and the Environment: eco-informed material choice. 2nd ed. Butterworth-Heinemann, Waltham, MA.
Ashby MF (2015): Materials and Sustainable Development. 1st Edition. Butterworth-Heinemann, Waltham, MA.
Bieker, G. (2021): A global comparison of the life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions of combustion engine and electric passenger cars. communications, 49(30), 847129-102.
Brundtland Report (1987): Our common future. The World Commission on Environment and Development.
Cleveland CJ, Ruth M (1998): Indicators of Dematerialization and the Materials Intensity of Use. Journal of industrial ecology 2(3):15-50.
Commoner B. (1972): The Environmental Cost of Economic Growth. Chemistry in Britain 8(2):52-6
Forsund (1974): On the Measurement of Productive Efficiency, in: The Swedish Journal of Economics 76(2):141-15
Gerland P, Raftery AE, Ševčíková H, Li N, Gu D, Spoorenberg T, Alkema L, Fosdick BK, Chunn J, Lalic N, Bay G, Buettner T, Heilig GK, Wilmoth J (2014). World population stabilization
unlikely this century. Science, 234-237.
Gutowski, T. G., Allwood, J. M., Herrmann, C., & Sahni, S. (2013). A Global Assessment of Manufacturing: Economic Development, Energy Use, Carbon Emissions, and the Potential for
Energy Efficiency and Materials Recycling. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 38(1), 81–106. http://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-041112-110510
Helmers, E., & Marx, P. (2012). Electric cars: technical characteristics and environmental impacts. Environmental Sciences Europe, 24(1), 14. http://doi.org/10.1186/2190-4715-24-14
OECD (2001): Measuring Productivity - OECD Manual: Measurement of Aggregate and Industry-Level Productivity Growth, OECD, Paris, 2001.
[http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/59/29/2352458.pdf]
Rockström, J. (2015). Bounding the Planetary Future : Why We Need a Great Transition. Great Transition Initiative, (April).
UNEP (2011): Decoupling natural resource use and environmental impacts from economic growth, A Report of the Working Group on Decoupling to the International Resource Panel.
Fischer-Kowalski, M., Swilling, M., von Weizsäcker, E.U., Ren, Y., Moriguchi, Y., Crane, W., Krausmann, F., Eisenmenger, N., Giljum, S., Hennicke, P., Romero Lankao, P., Siriban
Manalang, A., Sewerin, S.
U.S. Department of Commerce United States Census Bureau (2012): World Population. http://www.census.gov/population/international/data/worldpop/table_history.php
[http://perma.cc/0dRJf7couX4]
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, Population Estimates and projections Section (2013): World Population Prospects: The 2012
Revision. http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/unpp/panel_population.htm