X= foreign exchange rates over the years

Y= number of foreign tourists

-Scatter chart

chart of foreign tourists entering Vietnam at

foreign exchange rate
number of foreign tourists(million)

20 18.1
18 15.5
16
14 13
12 10
10 8
8
6 3.8 3.66
4
2 0.149
0
21.8 22 22.2 22.4 22.6 22.8 23 23.2 23.4 23.6 23.8
foreign exchange rate(usd/vnd)

Chart of foreign tourists entering Thailand at

foreign exchange rate
number of foreign tourists(million)

45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
31 31.5 32 32.5 33 33.5 34 34.5 35 35.5
foreign exchange rate(usd/baht)
 In both charts, the number of foreign tourists and the foreign exchange rate does not have a linear
relationship, at the same time in both graphs the number of tourists decreased sharply compared to the
previous period.

-Sample correlation coefficient R

S xy
R¿ √ S xx SS T

Foreign tourists entering Vietnam: S xy= -2.947; S xx=2.21 ; SS T =263.55 ;

−2.947
R¿ =-0.12
√2.21∗263.55

Foreign tourists entering Thai Lan: S xy= 40.67; S xx =16.51 ;SS T =1672.68 ;

40.67
R¿ =0.2448
√16.51∗1672.68

- Regression line equation:

Foreign tourists entering Vietnam: ^y =39.57−1.33 x

In the future when x increases to 24vnd/usd, the number of tourists will be 7.65 million

Foreign tourists entering Thai Lan: ^y =−57.7+2.467 x

in the future when x increases to 36 baht/usd, the number of tourists will be 31.112 million
-Test the significance of regression. 

Foreign tourists entering Vietnam: α = 0.05 , se ( β^ 1 )=259.63

The null hypothesis (H0): B1 = 0
The alternative hypothesis: (H1): B1 ≠ 0
^β −β
1 1,0 −1.33−0
T0= se ( β )
^ = 259.63 =-0.00512
1

P=0.996> 0.05(Fail to reject Ho)

Foreign tourists entering Thai Lan: α = 0.05 , se ( β^ 1 )=1572.35

The null hypothesis (H0): B1 = 0
The alternative hypothesis: (H1): B1 ≠ 0
^β1 −β1,0
2.467−0
T0= se ( β^ )
= 21572.35 =0.00157
1

P=0.99880> 0.05(Fail to reject Ho)