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10_Assignment_1

Name: Jen Samantha Linchoco Section: BSBAOM Date: June 02,2023

1.) A medical control system has three components in series with individual
reliabilities (R1, R2, R3) as shown.
In this problem, we will compute for the reliability of a system in series. We are given
the following system.

where:
R1 = 0.99
R2 = 0.98
R3 = 0.90

To solve for the system reliability, we will compute for the product of all reliabilities.
Solving for the reliability in series (RS),
RS=R1×R2×R3
Rs=0.99×0.98×0.90
=0.87318
What is the reliability of the system?
 Therefore, the reliability of the system in series is 0.87318.
10_Assignment_1

2.) A manufacturer of disk drives for notebook computers wants an MTBF of at least
50,000 hours. Recent test results for 10 units were one failure at 10,000 hours,
another at 25,000 hours, and two (2) more at 45,000 hours. The remaining units
were still running at 60,000 hours. Determine the following:
Given:

Number of units were tested = 10 units


Number of failures = 4

a.) Percent of failures


Number of failures
FR (%) = Number of units tested x 100 %
4
= 10 x 100 %
= 0.4 x 100%
= 40 %

Total time = 60,000 x 10


= 600,000 unit-hour
Nonoperating time = 50,000 hrs for 1st failure + 35,000
hrs for 2nd failure + 30,000 hrs for 3rd and 4th failures
= 115,000 unit-hour
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b.) Number of failures per unit-hour


Number of failures
FR (N)= Number of unit −hours of operationtime

4
= 600,000−115,00
4
= 485,000

= 0.000082 failure per unit-hour


c.)MTBF at this point in the testing
1
MTBF = 0.000082

= 12,195 hr

3.)As VP for operations at Méndez-Pinero Engineering, you must


decide which product design, A or B, has the higher reliability.
B is designed with backup units for components Upper R 3 and
Upper R 4. What is the reliability of each design?
Product Design A

Rs= R1 x R2 x R3 x R4
=0.99 x 0.95 x 0.998 x 0.995
= 0.934 or 93.4%
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Product Design B

Solving for R3,

Probability of failure for 2 paths = (1−0.985) × (1−0.95)


=0.015×0.05
=0.00075
Solving for the reliability for R3, we will subtract the computed probability of
failure to 1.
R3=1−0.00075
=0.99925

Solving for R4,


Probability of failure for 2 paths = (1−0.99) × (1−0.99)
=0.01×0.01
=0.0001
Solving for the reliability for R4, we will subtract the computed probability of
failure to 1.
R4 = 1- 0.0001
= 0.9999
Solving for the reliability in series for system B
10_Assignment_1

RB = R1×R2×R3×R4
=0.99×0.95×0.99925×0.9999
=0.9397
Therefore, the reliability for system B is 0.9397.

4.) Answer;
Reliability for the middle path:
Solution:
Rm= R2 x R3 x R5
= . 95 x. 95 x. 95
= 0.8573
The probability of failure for all three (3) path:
Solution:
RF = (1-0.95) × (1-0.8573) × (1-0.95)
= 0.05 × 0.143 × 0.05
= 0.0003575
5.) What is the expected number of yearly breakdowns for
the power generator at Orlando Utilities that has
exhibited the following data over the past 20 years?
Number of breakdowns Number of years in which
breakdown occured
0 2
1 2
2 5
3 4
4 5
5 2
6 0
Total = 20
Number of breakdowns Number of years in which
breakdown occured
10_Assignment_1

2
0 20
=0.1

2
1 20
=0.1

5
2 20
=0.25

4
3 20
=0.2

5
4 20
=0.25

2
5 20
=0.1

0
6 20
=0

Expected number of breakdowns = (0×0.1) +(1×0.1)


+(2×0.25) +(3×0.2) +(4×0.25) +(5×0.1) +(6×0)
=0+0.1+0.5+0.6+1+0.5+0
= 2.7 breakdowns/month

6.) The fire department has a number of failures with


its oxygen masks and is evaluating the possibility of
Outsourcing preventive maintenance to the
manufacturer. Because of the risk associated with a
failure, The cost of each failure is estimated at
$2,000. The current maintenance policy (with station
employees Performing maintenance) has yielded
the following history:
10_Assignment_1

Number of breakdowns Number of years in which


breakdown occured
0 4
1 3
2 1
3 5
4 5
5 0
The manufacturer will guarantee repairs on all
failures as part of a service contract. The cost of this
Service is $5,000 per year.

SOLUTION:
Number of breakdowns Number of years in which
breakdown occured
0 4
1 3
2 1
3 5
4 5
5 0
TOTAL = 18
Number of breakdowns Number of years in which
breakdown occured

4
0 18
=0.22

3
1 18
=0.17
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1
2 18
=0.06

5
3 18
=0.28

5
4 18
=0.28

0
5 18
=0

Expected number of breakdowns = (0×0.22) +(1×0.17)


+(2×0.06) +(3×0.28) +(4×0.28) +(5×0)
=0+0.17+0.12+0.84+1.12+0
=2.25 breakdowns/year

Expected breakdown cost = (expected number of


breakdowns) × ( cost per breakdown)
= 2.25 × $2,000
=$4, 500/year

Preventive maintenance cost = ( cost of expected


breakdown if service contract signed) + (cost of service
contract)
= ( 1 breakdown/month) ($2, 000) + $5, 000/year
=$7, 000/year

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