Toronto Survey for the National Ethnic

Press and Media Council of Canada

Field Dates: June 17-18

Release Date: June 20, 2023

Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,152
Torontonians through Interactive Voice
Recording (IVR) from June 17 to June 18, 2023

Respondents were screened for voter eligibility.

Responses were weighted using demographic

and geographic information to targets based on
the 2021 Census.

The margin of error for survey results is ± 2.89

percentage points, 19 times out of 20 for the
total.

Results may not add up to 100 due to rounding.

 Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (All Voters)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

30

27%

27%
26%
26%
25

22%
21%

21%
20

18%
15

14%

14%
14%

13%
12%

12%

12%
11%

11%

11%

11%
10%

10%

10%
10
9%

9%

9%

9%
8%

8%
8%
7%
7%

7%
7%

7%
7%

7%
7%

7%

7%
6%

6%

6%

6%
5%

5%

5%
5
4%

4%

4%
3%

2%
2%

1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0
Bailao Bradford Chow Furey Hunter Matlow Perruzza Saunders Someone Else Undecided

May 17-18 May 26-27 June 3-4 June 10-11 June 12-13 June 17-18
 Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (All Voters)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

All Female Male Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Downtown Etobicoke North York Scarborough
Bailao 11% 10% 11% 7% 13% 10% 8% 11% 9% 9% 14% 9%
Bradford 3% 4% 3% 4% 2% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 2% 3%
Chow 26% 24% 30% 23% 23% 26% 30% 28% 28% 25% 27% 23%
Furey 9% 10% 8% 12% 12% 8% 6% 8% 10% 8% 7% 9%
Hunter 6% 8% 4% 7% 6% 6% 7% 7% 3% 5% 3% 16%
Matlow 11% 12% 11% 9% 10% 14% 9% 12% 12% 9% 14% 8%
Perruzza 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Saunders 14% 12% 16% 13% 13% 12% 17% 14% 13% 18% 13% 14%
Someone Else 7% 7% 7% 6% 8% 7% 8% 5% 7% 9% 7% 5%
Undecided 12% 13% 11% 19% 13% 12% 11% 11% 13% 12% 11% 11%
Sample (Unweighted) 1152 596 511 45 180 347 301 324 377 213 352 210
Weighted 1152 577 533 42 390 283 253 226 402 159 342 249
 Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (Decided Only)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

40

35 35%
34%

30 30% 30% 30% 30%

29%
27%
26%
25
23% 23%
21%
20 20% 20%
19%
17%
16% 16% 16%
15 15% 15% 15%
14% 14%
12% 12% 12% 12%
11% 11% 11% 11%
10 10% 10% 10%
9% 9% 9% 9%
8% 8% 8%
7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
6% 6%
5 5% 5% 5% 5%
4%
3% 3% 3%
2% 2% 2%
1% 1% 1% 1%
0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

-5
April 13-15 April 21-22 April 28-29 May 5-6 May 12-13 May 17-18 May 26-27 June 3-4 June 10-11 June 12-13 June 17-18

Bailao Bradford Chow Furey Hunter Matlow Perruzza Saunders Someone Else
 Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (Decided Only)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

April April April May May May May June June June June Change From
13-15 21-22 28-29 5-6 12-13 17-18 26-27 3-4 10-11 12-13 17-18 Last Poll
Bailao 6% 9% 7% 9% 7% 8% 10% 9% 10% 11% 12% +1
Bradford 6% 10% 10% 12% 12% 10% 10% 7% 6% 5% 4% -1
Chow 22% 23% 26% 27% 30% 29% 30% 35% 34% 30% 30% No Change
Furey 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 6% 9% 8% 10% +2
Hunter 11% 9% 10% 10% 12% 15% 14% 11% 9% 8% 7% -1%
Matlow 23% 21% 19% 16% 15% 11% 11% 11% 12% 16% 13% -3
Perruzza 2% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Saunders 20% 19% 20% 16% 16% 17% 14% 14% 15% 16% 16% No Change
Someone
8% 5% 5% 7% 6% 5% 10% 7% 5% 5% 8% +3
Else
+1 416-483-2335

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